Caudal 1) Caudal

N Ao
(m3/s) ordenado
1 1911 7.91 3.14 2) Estimacin del Rango
2 1912 8.01 4.58
3 1913 13.27 4.76

4 1914 16.39 7.91 R= 77.69

5 1915 80.83 8.01
6 1916 60.08 9.67 3) Nmero de intervalos de clase
7 1917 21.55 10.05
8 1918 27.71 10.42
9 1919 28.63 11.78 NC = 6.650
10 1920 30.27 12.46 NC = 7.0
11 1921 33.43 12.7
12 1922 35.16 12.94 4) Amplitud de cada intervalo
13 1923 27.21 13.27
14 1924 15.58 14.6
15 1925 64.81 15.58
16 1926 51.26 16
17 1927 33.48 16.15 x = 12.95
18 1928 25.79 16.19 x = 12
19 1929 25.8 16.39 5) Limites de cada intervalo de clase
20 1930 18.93 17.57
21 1931 16.15 18.2
22 1932 38.3 18.91
23 1933 54.54 18.93
24 1934 59.4 19.17 LCI1 = -2.86 0
25 1935 24.58 20.24 LCS1 = 12
26 1936 28.49 21.49
27 1937 10.05 21.55 6) Marca de clase
28 1938 28.01 22.78
29 1939 34.92 22.88
30 1940 31.36 22.99
31 1941 42.74 23.99 MC1 = 6
32 1942 12.94 24.58
33 1943 41.16 24.69
34 1944 35.9 25.79
35 1945 33.76 25.8
36 1946 29.28 27.21
37 1947 19.17 27.71
38 1948 29.37 28.01
39 1949 30.06 28.49
40 1950 9.67 28.63
41 1951 10.42 29.26
42 1952 23.99 29.28
43 1953 42.17 29.37
44 1954 16 30.06
45 1955 22.78 30.14
46 1956 32.69 30.27
47 1957 34.28 30.57
48 1958 20.24 31.14
49 1959 22.88 31.36
50 1960 17.57 32.26
51 1961 14.6 32.69
52 1962 31.14 33.43
53 1963 18.2 33.48
54 1964 24.69 33.76
55 1965 22.99 34.28
56 1966 11.78 34.92
57 1967 32.26 34.99
58 1968 4.76 35.16
59 1969 12.7 35.9
60 1970 16.19 38.3
61 1971 30.14 41.16
62 1972 30.57 42.17
63 1973 45.38 42.74
64 1974 18.91 45.38
65 1975 34.99 51.26
66 1976 21.49 54.54
67 1977 29.26 59.4
68 1978 4.58 60.08
69 1979 12.46 64.81
70 1980 3.14 80.83
 Marca de Frecuencia Frecuencia Frecuencia
Intervalo de clase
clase absoluta relativa relativa acum
-6 0 0
1 0 - 12 6 9 0.13 0.1286
2 12 - 24 18 22 0.31 0.4429
3 24 - 36 30 28 0.40 0.8429
4 36 - 48 42 5 0.07 0.9143
5 48 - 60 54 3 0.04 0.9571
6 60 - 72 66 2 0.03 0.9857
7 72 84 78 1 0.01 1.0000
84
70

Histograma de fri

alo de clase

Poligono de fri
 Funcion de densidad

Funcion relativa acumulada

 Funcin Funcin Aux
densidad densidad acum
0 0
0.0107 0.0107 0 - 12
0.0262 0.0369 12 - 24
0.0333 0.0702 24 - 36
0.0060 0.0762 36 - 48
0.0036 0.0798 48 - 60
0.0024 0.0821 60 - 72
0.0012 0.0833 72 - 84

ma de fri

ri
ada
 Precipitacin
n Ao
(mm) Xi

1 1994 141.86 13.29 176.56 2346.11

2 1995 152.27 23.70 561.58 13308.16
3 1996 110.09 -18.48 341.60 -6313.48
4 1997 108.42 -20.15 406.12 -8184.16
5 1998 150.91 22.34 498.97 11145.89
6 1999 139.49 10.92 119.20 1301.35
7 2000 133.44 4.87 23.69 115.34
8 2001 144.15 15.58 242.66 3780.15
9 2002 113.32 -15.25 232.63 -3548.19
10 2003 89.1 -39.47 1558.06 -61500.35
11 2004 142.98 14.41 207.58 2990.77
12 2005 114.15 -14.42 208.00 -2999.88
13 2006 131.26 2.69 7.22 19.42
1671.44 -1.3E-13 4583.89 -47538.86

media aritmet = 128.57 mm 128.572

varianza = 381.99 mm2 381.99

desviacin es = 19.54 mm 19.545

= 0.15

x
n 3
x
M3 i 1
i
-3656.84
n
n2 M 3 -0.63
CS donde:
n 1 n 2 S 3

x
n 4
i x
M4 i 1
270683.04
n
n3 M 4 3.09
CK
n 1 n 2 n 3 S 4
 31174.41
315372.79
116687.62
164929.80
248973.55
14207.69
561.43
58886.06
54118.06
2427560.54
43090.12
43265.23
52.18
3518879.49
m Q Qordenado P = m/
(m3/s) (m3/s) (n+1)
1 121.3 26.7 0.026 -1.949
2 144.9 32.9 0.051 -1.633
3 26.7 36.3 0.077 -1.426
4 92.8 40.3 0.103 -1.267
5 110.1 48.5 0.128 -1.135
6 95.6 48.8 0.154 -1.020
7 63.4 52.3 0.179 -0.917
8 76.3 52.5 0.205 -0.823
9 122.4 57.4 0.231 -0.736
10 162.1 58.8 0.256 -0.654
11 64.2 59.6 0.282 -0.577
12 110.2 63.4 0.308 -0.502
13 59.6 64.2 0.333 -0.431
14 142.4 67.5 0.359 -0.361
15 205.8 70 0.385 -0.293
16 114.5 72.5 0.410 -0.227 media
17 72.5 76.3 0.436 -0.161 Desviacion
18 58.8 76.9 0.462 -0.097 estandar
19 57.4 79 0.487 -0.032
20 79 88 0.513 0.032
21 76.9 92.8 0.538 0.097
22 48.8 95.6 0.564 0.161
23 148.3 97.2 0.590 0.227
24 67.5 109.2 0.615 0.293
25 70 110.1 0.641 0.361
26 52.3 110.2 0.667 0.431
27 36.3 112.2 0.692 0.502
28 88 114.5 0.718 0.577
29 97.2 121.3 0.744 0.654
30 52.5 122.4 0.769 0.736
31 165.5 137.1 0.795 0.823
32 144.7 142.4 0.821 0.917
33 109.2 144.7 0.846 1.020
34 48.5 144.9 0.872 1.135
35 112.2 148.3 0.897 1.267
36 137.1 162.1 0.923 1.426
37 32.9 165.5 0.949 1.633
38 40.3 205.8 0.974 1.949

0.5 0.000
0.8413 1.000
92.32

42.80
Yotala (x) Sucre (y) Xi * Yi Xi2
28 15 420 784 b= 0.787
178 142 25276 31684
90 50 4500 8100 a= -1.952
96 75 7200 9216
122 88 10736 14884
50 41 2050 2500
62 39 2418 3844
82 75 6150 6724
117 73 8541 13689 Y = -1.952 + 0.787 X
102 99 10098 10404
45 28 1260 2025 Qsucre = -1.952 + 0.787*Qyotala
60 56 3360 3600
72 63 4536 5184
1104 844 86545 112638 Chart Title
n= 13

f(x) = 0.7874799371x - 1.9521423508

R = 0.8798432466
 a
y i

x i
b
n n

+ 0.787*Qyotala

Chart Title

21423508
m Q Qordenado * Siguiendo el procedimiento del ejemplo 5 obt
(m3/s) (m3/s)
1 121.3 26.7 Intervalos Marcas de
2 144.9 32.9 de clase clase
3 26.7 36.3 8.7 44.7 26.7
4 92.8 40.3 44.7 80.7 62.7
5 110.1 48.5 80.7 116.7 98.7
6 95.6 48.8 116.7 152.7 134.7
7 63.4 52.3 152.7 188.7 170.7
8 76.3 52.5 188.7 224.7 206.7
9 122.4 57.4
10 162.1 58.8 * Estimando la media y desviacin estandr
11 64.2 59.6
12 110.2 63.4
13 59.6 64.2 90.17
14 142.4 67.5
15 205.8 70
16 114.5 72.5 43.03
17 72.5 76.3
18 58.8 76.9 * Estimando frecuencia esperada ei
19 57.4 79
20 79 88 Intervalos lmites de
21 76.9 92.8 de clase clase
22 48.8 95.6 8.7
23 148.3 97.2 8.7 44.7 44.7
24 67.5 109.2 44.7 80.7 80.7
25 70 110.1 80.7 116.7 116.7
26 52.3 110.2 116.7 152.7 152.7
27 36.3 112.2 152.7 188.7 188.7
28 88 114.5 188.7 224.7 224.7
29 97.2 121.3
30 52.5 122.4
31 165.5 137.1
32 144.7 142.4
33 109.2 144.7
34 48.5 144.9
35 112.2 148.3
36 137.1 162.1
37 32.9 165.5
38 40.3 205.8
to del ejemplo 5 obtenemos:

x
k n
Frecuencia Frecuencia Frecuencia 2

absoluta () relativa acumulada

i 1
f i xi
i 1
i x fi

4 0.1053 0.1053 106.8 16115.634349

15 0.3947 0.5000 940.5 11322.049861
9 0.2368 0.7368 888.3 654.28254848
7 0.1842 0.9211 942.9 13878.149584
2 0.0526 0.9737 341.4 12968.975069
1 0.0263 1.0000 206.7 13578.382271
38 3426.6 68517.474
viacin estandr

xx f(Z) Frecuencia Frecuencia Frecuencia Frecuencia

Z
S Tablas relativa esperada ei esperada ei absoluta ()
-1.89 0.47062
-1.06 0.3554 0.11522 4.38 5 4
-0.22 0.0871 0.2683 10.20 11 15
0.62 0.2324 0.3195 12.14 12 9
1.45 0.4265 0.1941 7.38 7 7
2.29 0.489 0.0625 2.38 2 2
3.13 0.4991 0.0101 0.38 1 1
38

i ei
2
k
C 2 2.40
i 1 ei

=
k= 6
* Criterio de decisin

como c2 = 2.405 <

LOS DATOS SE AJUSTAN A LA DISTRIBUCIN NORMAL

 i ei
2

ei

0.20
1.45
0.75
0.00
0.00
0.00
2.40

0.05
a tablas t2 = 7.81
3
 t2 = 7.81

RIBUCIN NORMAL
 X Media = 92.321
S Desv Estan = 42.796
m Q Qordenado P(x) = xx F (Z)
Z
(m3/s) (m3/s) m/(n+1) S

1 121.3 26.7 0.0256 -1.533 0.0626

2 144.9 32.9 0.0513 -1.388 #NAME?
3 26.7 36.3 0.0769 -1.309 #NAME?
4 92.8 40.3 0.1026 -1.216 #NAME?
5 110.1 48.5 0.1282 -1.024 #NAME?
6 95.6 48.8 0.1538 -1.017 #NAME?
7 63.4 52.3 0.1795 -0.935 #NAME?
8 76.3 52.5 0.2051 -0.930 #NAME?
9 122.4 57.4 0.2308 -0.816 #NAME?
10 162.1 58.8 0.2564 -0.783 #NAME?
11 64.2 59.6 0.2821 -0.765 #NAME?
12 110.2 63.4 0.3077 -0.676 #NAME?
13 59.6 64.2 0.3333 -0.657 #NAME?
14 142.4 67.5 0.3590 -0.580 #NAME?
15 205.8 70 0.3846 -0.522 #NAME?
16 114.5 72.5 0.4103 -0.463 #NAME?
17 72.5 76.3 0.4359 -0.374 #NAME?
18 58.8 76.9 0.4615 -0.360 #NAME?
19 57.4 79 0.4872 -0.311 #NAME?
20 79 88 0.5128 -0.101 #NAME?
21 76.9 92.8 0.5385 0.011 #NAME?
22 48.8 95.6 0.5641 0.077 #NAME?
23 148.3 97.2 0.5897 0.114 #NAME?
24 67.5 109.2 0.6154 0.394 #NAME?
25 70 110.1 0.6410 0.415 #NAME?
26 52.3 110.2 0.6667 0.418 #NAME?
27 36.3 112.2 0.6923 0.465 #NAME?
28 88 114.5 0.7179 0.518 #NAME?
29 97.2 121.3 0.7436 0.677 #NAME?
30 52.5 122.4 0.7692 0.703 #NAME?
31 165.5 137.1 0.7949 1.046 #NAME?
32 144.7 142.4 0.8205 1.170 #NAME?
33 109.2 144.7 0.8462 1.224 #NAME?
34 48.5 144.9 0.8718 1.229 #NAME?
35 112.2 148.3 0.8974 1.308 #NAME?
36 137.1 162.1 0.9231 1.630 #NAME?
37 32.9 165.5 0.9487 1.710 #NAME?
38 40.3 205.8 0.9744 2.652 #NAME?
F x P x

0.03695
#NAME?
#NAME? = 0.109
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME? = 0.22062113
#NAME? 1.36/(N^0.5)
#NAME?
#NAME? * CRITERIO DE DECISIN
#NAME?
#NAME? 0.109 < 0.22
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
LOS DATOS SE AJUSTAN A LA DISTRIBUCIN NORMAL
m Q (m3/s) a) Prueba de bondad de ajuste
1 95.05
2 105.21 Por el hidroesta
3 108.75
4 123
5 132.49
6 146.08
7 158.48
8 177
9 193.78 b) - Estimacin de parmetros
10 212.48
11 98.13 Q 152.25 m3/s
12 105.81
13 110.77 S= 43.61
14 123.22
15 134.1 b.1) Q= 180
16 153.64
17 162.29 P Q 180 P( Z ) 0.73772315
18 182.53
19 193.88 x Z= 0.63634176
Z
20 217.52 S
21 100.18
22 106.4 b.2) Q= 100
23 114.31 P Q 100 1 P(Q 100) 1 P( Z) 1 1 P(Z) P(Z)
24 124.31 1 P(Q 100)
25 136.22
26 153.97 x Z= -1.19799836
Z
27 164.35 S
28 183.11
29 197.58 b.3) Q= 200
30 239.07
31 101.66 P Q 200 P( Z ) 0.86322564
32 107.43
33 116.69 x Z= 1.09492679
Z
34 127.82 S
35 144.22
36 154.8 P 50 Q 200 P Q 200 P Q 50
37 169.18
38 183.49
39 207.78 b.4) T=
40 256.62
41 101.76 1 1 1
T
42 107.62 P Q 210 1 P Q 210 1 P Z
43 119.52
44 128.15
x
Z
S
45 145.79 x Z= 1.3242193
Z
46 156.8 S
47 169.64
48 184.98 b.5) Q=
49 208.18
50 266.54 P(Z) = 0.98

Q= 241.82
 73.77

a tablas

P(Z) = 0.88454117 88.45

a tablas

Q= 50

86.32 P Q 50 P( Z ) 0.0095273 0.95

a tablas x Z= -2.34446093 a tablas

Z
S

P Q 50 85.37

Q= 210 m3/s

1 T= 10.785728 aos

210 1 P Z
a tablas P(z) = 0.90728489

T= 50 aos

Z= 2.05374891

m3/s
m Q (m3/s) Ln Q 1) Prueba de bondad de ajuste
1 95.05 4.55440307
2 105.21 4.65595835
3 108.75 4.68905167
4 123 4.81218436
5 132.49 4.88650717
6 146.08 4.98415442
7 158.48 5.0656284 2) Estimacin parmetros
8 177 5.17614973
9 193.78 5.26672349 Q 4.98724148
10 212.48 5.35884787
11 98.13 4.58629313 S= 0.27696642
12 105.81 4.66164503
13 110.77 4.70745598 3) Determinacin del Caudal que corresponde a un T =
14 123.22 4.81397138
15 134.1 4.89858579 1 1 1
T
16 153.64 5.0346122 P Q Qo 1 P Q Qo 1 P Z
17 162.29 5.08938486
1
18 182.53 5.20691454 P Z 1 0.9867
19 193.88 5.26723941 T
20 217.52 5.3822908
y y ln x y lnQ y
21 100.18 4.60696857 Z
y y y
22 106.4 4.66720558
23 114.31 4.73891406
24 124.31 4.82277845 LnQ Z y y 5.60109955
25 136.22 4.91427123
26 153.97 5.03675778
27 164.35 5.1019983 Q= 270.72
28 183.11 5.21008707
29 197.58 5.28614357
30 239.07 5.4767564
31 101.66 4.62163391
32 107.43 4.67683947
33 116.69 4.75952085
34 127.82 4.85062302
35 144.22 4.97133991
36 154.8 5.04213396
37 169.18 5.13096324
38 183.49 5.21216017
39 207.78 5.33647983
40 256.62 5.54759639
41 101.76 4.6226171
42 107.62 4.6786065
43 119.52 4.78348372
44 128.15 4.85320145
45 145.79 4.98216723
46 156.8 5.05497111
47 169.64 5.13367854
48 184.98 5.22024771
49 208.18 5.33840309
50 266.54 5.58552433
corresponde a un T = 75 aos

1

o 1 P Z

Z= 2.21636278

m3/s
m Q (m3/s) LN Q 1) Prueba de bondad de ajuste
1 53.50 3.97968165
2 165.60 5.10957524
3 250.50 5.52345892
4 234.00 5.45532112
5 65.40 4.18052226
6 64.00 4.15888308
7 155.80 5.04857313 2) Estimacin de parmetros
8 120.50 4.79164975
9 189.00 5.24174702
10
11
123.00
169.60
4.81218436
5.13344272
y ln x lnx ln Q lnQ
12 199.00 5.29330482
13 250.50 5.52345892 Como y < 0.5772 entonces
14 196.00 5.27811466
15 119.00 4.77912349
16 162.70 5.09190801
17 22.80 3.12676054 = 3.4280
18 231.70 5.44544343
19 96.90 4.57367952
20 200.00 5.29831737
21 102.10 4.62595273 3) Estimacin de Q para un T =
22 76.00 4.33073334
23 207.00 5.33271879
24 91.60 4.51743127 2 7
25 380.00 5.94017125

2
2x 2Q 2
Finalmente
2
Q
2
dad de ajuste

parmetros Q 157.05 lnQ 4.9036863

x ln Q lnQ 0.15287

entonces

x Q
45.8133833

Q para un T = 50 aos

1
F Q q P Q q 1
T
1
F Q q F x 1 F(X) = 0.98
50
1 F x 1 - F(x) = 0.02

16.6224219

2Q 2
Q 380.76 m3/s
2
m Q (m3/s) LNQ
1 1660 7.415 1) Prueba de bondad de ajuste
2 618 6.426
3 876 6.775
4 563 6.333
5 824 6.714
6 557 6.323
7 917 6.821
8 683 6.526
9 740 6.607 2) Estimacin de parmetros
10 520 6.254
11 824 6.714
12 818 6.707
13 3800 8.243
14 934 6.839
15 1120 7.021
16 360 5.886
17 1230 7.115
18 1030 6.937
19 1410 7.251
20 779 6.658
21 610 6.413
22 367 5.905
23 522 6.258 = 4.3143 =
24 418 6.035
25 2280 7.732 3) Estimacin de Q para un T = 50
26 921 6.825
27 1150 7.048
28 658 6.489 2 9 F Q q P Q q 1
29 581 6.365
1
F Q q F x 1
50
1 F x

2 19.6790161

2 ln x xo
Finalmente 2 2 ln x xo 2 LnQ

 6.712

0.518

0.963

0.250 Xo = 5.635

aos

1
F Q q P Q q 1
T
1
F Q q F x 1 F(X) = 0.98
50
1 F x 1 - F(x) = 0.02

2
xo 2 LnQ xo 8.0906535462
2

Q= 3263.82 m3/s
m Q (m3/s)
1) Bondad de ajuste
1 1660
2 618
3 876
4 563
5 824
6 557
7 917
8 683 2) Determinacin de parmetros
9 740
10 520 X 957.586207
11 824
12 818 S= 682.724663
13 3800
6
14 934 S 532.318236
15 1120
16 360 X 0.45 S 650.360109
17 1230
18 1030 3) Calculo del caudal de diseo para T=
19 1410
1
20 779 F Q q P Q q 1
21 610
T
1
22 367 F Q q F y 1 0.98
50
23 522
24 418
e y
25
26
2280
921 F y e =0.98
27 1150
28 658 y= 3.90193866
29 581

Q
y Q y

 50 aos

Q= 2727.43 m3/s
m Q (m3/s) Ln Q 1) Bondad de ajuste
1 1660 7.4146
2 618 6.4265
3 876 6.7754
4 563 6.3333
5 824 6.7142
6 557 6.3226
7 917 6.8211
8 683 6.5265 2) Determinacin de parmetros
9 740 6.6067
10 520 6.2538 X 6.71162934
11 824 6.7142
12 818 6.7069 S= 0.51842162
13 3800 8.2428
6
14 934 6.8395 S 0.40421168
15 1120 7.0211
16 360 5.8861 X 0.45 S 6.47833961
17 1230 7.1148
18 1030 6.9373 3) Calculo del caudal de diseo para
19 1410 7.2513
1
20 779 6.6580 F Q q P Q q 1
21 610 6.4135
T
1
22 367 5.9054 F Q q F y 1
50
23 522 6.2577
24 418 6.0355
e y
25
26
2280
921
7.7319
6.8255 F y e =0.98
27 1150 7.0475
28 658 6.4892 y= 3.90193866
29 581 6.3648
ln Q
y ln Q y

 T= 50 aos
1
1
T
1
1 0.98
50

=0.98

Q y ln Q = 8.06

Q= 3151.23 m3/s