ONTARIO MAY 2017

EMBARGOED UNTIL:
8 AM EST, JUNE 12, 2017
Methodology
Mainstreet surveyed a stratied random sample of
2,000 Ontarians on May 23-25, 2017 through
Chimera IVR. Landline and Cell lines were included.
Responses were weighted using demographic
information to targets based on the 2016 Census.
The margin of error for survey results is 2.19
percentage points, 19 times out of 20.
. majority government in the 2015 federal election.
About Mainstreet
With 20 years of political experience at all three
levels of government, President and CEO Quito
Maggi is a respected commentator on Canadian
public aairs.
Dierentiated by its large sample sizes, Mainstreet
Research has provided accurate snapshots of
public opinion, having predicted a majority NDP
government in Alberta, a majority Liberal
government in British Columbia and a majority
Liberal government in Ontario. Mainstreet has
been the most accurate polling rm in several by
elections and the most recent Toronto mayoral
election. Most recently, Mainstreet Research was
the only polling rm to correctly predict a Liberal
Contact Information
In Ottawa: Quito Maggi, President
quito@mainstreetresearch.ca
In Montral: David Valentin, Executive Vice
President. david@mainstreetresearch.ca
In Toronto: Dr. Joseph Angolano, Vice President
joseph@mainstreetresearch.ca
Find us online at:
www.mainstreetresearch.ca
twitter.com/MainStResearch
facebook.com/mainstreetresearch
HALF CANT IDENTIFY BROWN, HORWATH

June 12, 2017 (Ottawa, ON) A new Mainstreet poll nds over half of Ontarians cant name Patrick Brown or
Andrea Horwath when asked who leads the Progressive Conservatives or the Ontario NDP. The Mainstreet
poll has a margin of error of +/- 2.19%, 19 times out of 20.

With one year until Election Day in Ontario, it appears the PCs led by Patrick Brown are poised to form
government with a 14 point lead (43%) over the Kathleen Wynne led Liberals (29%) and a 19 point lead over
the Andrea Horwath led NDP (24%), said Quito Maggi, President of Mainstreet Research.

When we asked people to identify the leaders of Ontario's political parties, Wynne faired much better than
Brown or Horwath. Just 8% of Ontario residents did not know who the Leader of the Ontario Liberals was
compared to 78% who could correctly identify Wynne. Just 48% could correctly identify Brown as the
Leader of Ontario's PCs with 44% who did not know. Only 44% of people could correctly identify Horwath
and 48% of respondents did not know who the leader of the Ontario NDP is.

When it comes to putting a price on carbon and Ontario's cap and trade system, a majority of Ontarians
do not approve of the current system, 54% with 40% strongly disapproving. This number comes down to
just 11% among Liberal voters who overwhelmingly approve of cap and trade (79%). The bad news for
Wynne is that 56% of undecided voters disapprove compared to just 26% who approve.

89% of PC voters approve of the plan to abolish Cap and trade which is signicantly higher among all
voters (48%). Again, the bad news for Brown and the PCs is that among undecided voters, the plan to
abolish cap and trade has the just 29% approval. The plan to abolish the cap and trade plan makes people
equally more likely (30%) to vote for the PCs and less likely (29%).

-30-

For additional information or to arrange an interview, contact:

Quito Maggi, President, quito@mainstreetresearch.ca

David Valentin, Executive Vice-President, (514) 913-5524 - david@mainstreetresearch.ca
Who are the leaders,anyway?

Respondents were asked to identify the three leaders of the major political
parties using voice respone through Chimera IVR.
 Can they name
the leaders?

Kathleen Wynne
Can Name Correctly: 78%
Incorrectly: 13%
Cant Say*: 1%
Dont Know: 8%

OVer 50% Cant Name Brown, Horwath

Despite consistently polling as the leader with the highest favourables, over 50% of
Ontarians cant name Andrea Horwath when asked who leads the Ontario NDP.
Patrick Brown
In fact, Horwath has less name recognition than Brown, who 48% can identify as the
leader of the Progressive Conservatives. Only 44% can identify Horwath. Can Name Correctly: 48%
Incorrectly: 7%
Cant Say*: 1%
Kathleen Wynne meanwhile is well known and can be named by 78% of Ontarians. A Dont Know: 44%
further 13% name someone else incorrectly when asked who leads the Ontario
Liberals (most commonly Justin Trudeau, but a few also named Hazel McCallion).

Respondents who answer about Patrick Brown incorrectly typically believe the
leader of the Ontario PCs is still Tim Hudak, Rona Ambrose, or a federal Conservative
Leadership contestant.

Those who mis-identify the leader of the NDP either name federal leader Tom
Mulcair or a federal NDP Leadership contestant.

The scoring of verbal responses was generous. For instance, Catherine Wynne was
marked as correct. So were all responses who mispronounced Horwath.

Some couldnt say the name but knew identifying characteristics, these responses
were marked as cant say. Andrea Horwath
Can Name Correctly: 44%
Incorrectly: 7%
Cant Say*: 2%
Dont Know: 48%

*Cant Say - The respondent was able to

provide identifying information but could
not state the name, ie. Shes from Hamilton
(Andrea Horwath)
 ENERGY
SHOWDOWN

NEW Conservative Party Leader, Andrew Scheer, is

against a carbon tax - but the PCs Patrick Brown has
made it his energy and environment plan.

Heres what Ontarians make of it.

Ontario has a new program called cap and trade, also described as carbon
pricing, which is designed to reduce greenhouse gas emissions. Critics say
that cap and trade has increased the cost of home heating and gasoline in
Ontario. Do you approve or disapprove of the provincial government's cap
and trade program?
Does the Ontario government's cap and trade program make you more likely
or less likely to vote for the Ontario Liberal party in the next provincial
election?
The Progressive Conservatives are promising to abolish the provincial
government's cap and trade program. Do you approve or disapprove of the
Progressive Conservative plan to abolish the cap and trade program?
Does the Progressive Conservative policy to abolish the Ontario cap and
trade program make you more likely or less likely to vote for the Ontario PC
Party in the next provincial election?
The Progressive Conservatives plan to replace the cap and trade program
with a carbon tax. This would maintain a carbon price on home heating and
gasoline. Do you approve or disapprove of the Ontario PC party proposal to
put a price on greenhouse gas emissions though the introduction of a new
Ontario carbon tax?
Does the Progressive Conservative policy to establish a carbon tax make you
more likely or less likely to vote for the Progressive Conserrvatives in the next
provincial election?