Académique Documents
Professionnel Documents
Culture Documents
This presentation includes forward-looking statements based on current beliefs and expectations
about future events. Forward-looking statements include financial projections and estimates and
their underlying assumptions, statements regarding plans, objectives and expectations with respect
to future events, operations, products and services, and statements regarding future performance
and synergies. Forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance and are
subject to inherent risks, uncertainties and assumptions about BNP Paribas and its subsidiaries and
investments, developments of BNP Paribas and its subsidiaries, banking industry trends, future
capital expenditures and acquisitions, changes in economic conditions globally or in BNP Paribas
principal local markets, the competitive market and regulatory factors. Those events are uncertain;
their outcome may differ from current expectations which may in turn significantly affect expected
results. Actual results may differ materially from those projected or implied in these forward-looking
statements. Any forward-looking statement contained in this presentation speaks as of the date of
this presentation: BNP Paribas undertakes no obligation to publicly revise or update any forward-
looking statements in light of new information or future events.
The information contained in this presentation as it relates to parties other than BNP Paribas or
derived from external sources has not been independently verified and no representation or
warranty expressed or implied is made as to, and no reliance should be placed on the fairness,
accuracy, completeness or correctness of, the information or opinions contained herein. None of
BNP Paribas or its representatives shall have any liability whatsoever in negligence or otherwise for
any loss however arising from any use of this presentation or its contents or otherwise arising in
connection with this presentation or any other information or material discussed.
Please note that 2003 and 2004 figures are based on French accounting standards, while 2005,
2006 and 2007 figures are based on IFRS accounting standards.
Around
Around30%
30%of
ofBNP
BNPParibas
Paribas
-1.2pts -5.6pts
CAGR 60.9%
+12% 8 090 58.2% 57.0% 57.8%
5 818 55.3%
2003 2004 2004 2005 2006 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
French IFRS
GAAP EU
BNL activities transferred to CIB included from 01/04/2006
An ambitious strategy
Pan-European leader
With a second home market in Italy
Global reach
Rolling out key areas of strength in high growth markets
In bn
5.1
3,9* 3.8 3.8
3.3 3.3
2.3
In bn
NORTH
AMERICA EMEA JAPAN
1,500
1,200
700 AUSTRALIA
100
14,800
14,800staff
staffin
in53
53countries
countries
April 30, 2007
Distinctive
Distinctiveglobal
globalfootprint
footprintwith
withhigh
highgrowth
growthpotential
potential
Strong
Strongin
inboth
bothEquity
Equityand
andFixed
FixedIncome
IncomeDerivatives
Derivatives
Financing
Financingfranchise
franchisefocused
focusedon
onSpecialised
SpecialisedActivities
Activities
CIB Investor Day CIB Overview 10
Client Focused
But Not Balance-Sheet Driven
Deep restructuring of "corporate Large Corporates revenue mix - Europe
banking activity into a higher value-
added business
+25%
Upgrade of client coverage structure Investment Banking
Upgrade of RMs and Client
Management systems Derivatives
Implementation of cross business +50%
client action plans Specialised Finance
Cross-selling incentive plans
Review / segmentation of client base Other Corp. Banking
Restructured towards clients offering - 4%
highest cross sell potential Vanilla Lending
Systematic review of relationship
potential 2004 2006
Loan Screening Committee to ensure Financing businesses RWA
discipline in loan origination, pricing
and help achieve RoE targets
Specialised
63% 70%
finance
-7pts
Increased
Increasedcross-selling
cross-sellingand
and 37% 30%
Corporate vanilla
loan book
reduced
reducedvanilla
vanillalending
lending
2004 2006
New clients
Search for alpha, asset and liabilities 46%
matching for pension funds and insurers
Growing activity by Hedge Funds
BNP Paribas
Increasingly sophisticated risk management Derivatives revenues
needs of corporate clients
New underlyings CAGR +20% 172
Credit derivatives, Equity derivatives and Base
Commodity derivatives the fastest growing 100
Innovation constantly fuelling new product
development : longevity, property etc.
New markets
Asia and Emerging Markets 2003 2006
AAkey
keygrowth
growthdriver
driverfor
forCIB
CIB
An
Anestablished
establishedleader
leaderacross
acrossasset
assetclasses
classes
Total 1705
Industrialised infrastructure to support the
business Support Capital Markets
professionals
Dedicated resources and specialised
expertise in key functions: Compliance & Legal 280
compliance, legal expertise Risk management 290
Massive IT capabilities requirements, IT & operations 4500
High
Highbarriers
barriersto
toentry
entry
CIB Investor Day CIB Overview 14
A Leading Player in Specialised Finance
Leading positions in 2006 Specialised financing revenues 2006
Global leader in
E&C specialised finance Asset Finance (incl.
#1 Global Export Finance Export)
14%
#3 Global MLA Project Finance Acquisition
Finance 9% 25%
#3 Syndicated Shipping Loans
50%
#5 Bookrunner leveraged loans Europe
27%
Aircraft Innovator of the Year 2006 (Janes) Leverage Energy &
Finance Commodities
Focus on lead / arranger roles to ensure
lions share of cross-selling revenues
Higher standalone profitability Revenues on RWA by product line
from fees
Global solutions including advisory,
underwriting, syndication, risk hedging
X8
Contributing to overall high level of return on
equity for financing businesses
30% pre-tax ROE in 2006
2006 Vanilla loans Acquisition Project Commodity Commodity Leveraged Export
Finance Finance Structured Trade Finance Finance
Finance Finance
AAhighly
highlyprofitable
profitablefinancing
financingfranchise
franchise
CIB Investor Day CIB Overview 15
Investment Banking (1/2)
A Significant Player in Europe
Gradually deepening our M&A League tables M&A and ECM Europe
and Equity Capital Market footprint
Consistent leader in France: # 1 in both M&A
2003 2004 2005 2006
and ECM over 2003-2006
M&A # 11 #7 # 10 #8
Renewed focus and ambition in Italy after
BNL acquisition ECM #8 # 12 # 10 #9
- o/w Eurozone #7 #9 #6 #4
Focused build-up in Europe
Leveraging award winning Exane BNP Source: Dealogic
Paribas European Equity research for ECM
Leading player
in European Debt Capital Markets
Consistent top tier presence in investment
grade corporates League tables DCM Europe
A leader in capital raising for financial
institutions, governments and supra-national 2003
2003 2004
2004 2005
2005 2006
2006
agencies
Euro
EuroCorporates
CorporatesIG
IG ##22 ##22 ##22 ##44
Established presence in Swiss Franc
Euro
EuroCorporates
CorporatesHY
HY ##88 ##77 ##66 ##99
Best High Grade Corporate Bond House 2006
(Credit Magazine) Euro
EuroAgencies
Agencies ##44 ##88 ##33 ##88
FIXED EQUITY
INCOME DERIVATIVES
Corporate FIG
coverage coverage
SPECIALISED CORPORATE
FINANCE FINANCE
RISK MANAGEMENT INFRASTRUCTURE
U.S.
U.S.Client
Clientrevenues
revenuesup
up27%
27%in
in2006
2006
CIB Investor Day CIB Overview 19
In Emerging Markets:
Strong Presence in Fast Growing Regions
Present since 1980; 5 cities; 200 CIB staff in Mainland China
China
China Client revenues +27% in 2006/2005
Leadership
LeadershipininDerivatives
Derivatives
focus
focuson
onFixed
FixedIncome
IncomeDerivatives
Derivatives
Leadership
Leadershipin
inSpecialised
SpecialisedFinance
Finance
focus
focuson
onEnergy
Energy&&Commodities
Commodities
Global
Globalroll
rollout
outof
ofplatforms
platformsininstrong
strongproduct
productareas
areas
focus
focusononEquity
EquityDerivatives
Derivativesin
inthe
theUS
US
Strong
Strongbase
basein
inAsia
Asiaand
andEmerging
EmergingMarkets
Marketsto
tobuild
buildon
on
focus
focuson
onJapan
Japan
focus
focuson
onChina
China
Fixed Income
Leadership in
Derivatives
Frdric Janbon
Global Head of Fixed Income
CAGR 18%
CAGR 120% 40
29
31
29
24
14
in $Tn
in $Tn 6
Significant
Significant opportunities
opportunities
for
for the
the most
most sophisticated
sophisticated players
players
CIB Investor Day Fixed Income Leadership in Derivatives 25
CIB on the move
Derivatives Markets:
Trends and Challenges
A Global Derivatives
Powerhouse
231 Trading
Total Front office 376 Sales & Organisation
Headcount** : 695
68 Quant Research
Revenues Growth
Flow
CAGR +13% 31%
Interest
Rates
67%
Exotic Client
69% revenues
Forex 10% 69%
Credit
23%
2003 2004 2005 2006
Flow Derivatives Exotic Derivatives **Does
Does not
not include
include Commodity
Commodity Derivatives
Derivatives
Banks/ Americas
Financial
Corporates Italy
Institutions
22% 54%
X +
Access to liquidity
Bid/offer spread
and information
From
From scale-driven
scale-driven to
to smart
smart trading
trading
- Cost of replicating
hedge portfolio (MidMkt) Cutting edge product design and
structuring
- Execution Costs Superior model-based risk
(bid/offer) aggregation leading to efficient
hedging
Access to large distribution
- Reserves for valuation
channels
uncertainty: Model risk,
Illiquidity Ability to redistribute complex,
second order risks away to
specialised professional
- Credit reserves accounts (i.e. Hedge Funds)
Robust and precise controls at
= Client Revenue all levels
Local platform aligned with sales forces Hong Kong 2002 x 1.7
Distribution of local product via local Bangkok 2003 x 4.0
sales force
Local product to global clients via Mumbai 2003 x 1.7
dedicated Emerging Market global sales Seoul 2003 x 2.1
force
Activities extended as market matures China 2004 x 2.7
A Decisive Competitive
Advantage
Hedging and
managing residual risks
Growing
Growing young
young diversified
diversified talent
talent
Creating
Creating aa homogeneous
homogeneous quantitative
quantitative culture
culture
CIB Investor Day Fixed Income Leadership in Derivatives 41
A Constant Drive to Innovate
Sales; i.e.: client enquiry leading to new idea
Channelling
Traders; i.e.: specific market opportunities
diverse sources
of innovation Research; i.e.: breakthrough in term structure modelling
unveiling new arbitrage situation
Critical role of the Gather all product / package new ideas and analyse feasibility
and potential client demand in tight cooperation with Sales,
global structuring
Trading and Research
and new product
team Once approved, ensure fast roll out of pricing tools, training
sessions and marketing campaigns
IR and
hybrids
FX options
Structured
Credit
60%
60%of
ofFixed
FixedIncome
Incomerevenues
revenueson
onderivatives,
derivatives,
the
thefastest-growing
fastest-growingand
andmost
mostprofitable
profitablesegment
segment
AAculture
cultureof
ofexcellence:
excellence:
from
fromproduct
productinnovation
innovationto
torisk
riskmanagement
management
AAclient-driven
client-drivenbusiness
businessmodel
modelensuring
ensuringsustainable
sustainable
growth
growthand
andrecurrent
recurrentvalue
valuecreation
creation
Equity Derivatives:
Breakthrough
in the Americas
Todd Steinberg
Head of Equities & Derivatives Americas
CIB InvestorDay
CIB Investor Day
CIB on the move
Presentation Overview
Breakthrough
Way Forward
10,4
Europe Americas CAGR +38%
11.6 10.4
7,4
5,5
Growth
Growthopportunities
opportunitiesin
inthe
theUS
USare
arecompelling
compelling
* Mercer Oliver Wyman analysis, ** BCG analysis
CIB Investor Day Equity & Derivatives: Breakthrough in the Americas 51
EQD Global Market Overview
US market is driven by flow and equity finance
EQD Industry Revenues (2006, Euro in Billions)*
Structured Prime Brokerage/
2006 (bn) Flow Total revenues
Products Finance
Europe 5.1 3.8 2.7 11.6
Americas 1.0 3.9 5.5 10.4
Asia 1.2 1.0 0.8 3.0
Total 7.3 8.7 9.0 25
Opportunities
Opportunitiesin
inthe
theUS
USare
aredistinct
distinctfrom
fromEurope
Europe
* Source BNP Paribas research
CIB Investor Day Equity & Derivatives: Breakthrough in the Americas 52
Successful Adaptation to the Local Market
Tailor strategy to the Americas Market
Client-focused with Hedge Funds
EQD at the center
Innovative Flow with a structured product accent
Prod. Breadth Equity Finance as core activity
Global Execution
Excellent EQD Adapt products that are most relevant
Mgt. Experience to the US
Complex flow
CIB (dispersion, correlation, dividends)
Global Presence
Listed Options (single stock, index, ETF)
Strong Global Client Base
Synthetic prime brokerage
Risk Expertise
(basket swaps, CFDs)
Solid US platform
Investment-themed structured products
Support Culture and Teams
Value both product expertise and local
BNP Paribas
market knowledge
Credit Rating (Aa1/AA)
European experts together with local flow
Balance Sheet (Assets: 1.4 Trillion EUR) sales and trading
Strong Management Support Innovation and flow as complementary
Strong risk management culture
Leveraged
Leveragedand
andadapted
adaptedour
ourstrengths
strengthsto
topenetrate
penetratethe
themarket
market
108
Over 175 support staff dedicated to
EQD (IT, legal, compliance and ops)
84
Comprehensive US territory
infrastructure
Client Coverage: 142
Credit risk: 48
Market risk: 41
2004 2005 2006
Combine
Combinelocal
localtalent
talentand
andEuropean
Europeanexpertise
expertise
Leading provider in the US for fund-linked financing (Risk Magazine, June 07)
#2 Hedge Fund Derivatives (Risk - Institutional Investor End-User Survey 07)
Diversified, multi-billion euro portfolio
Strong connection to structured products
An MD at Thomas H. Lee Capital says:
We continue to be impressed with BNP Paribas' capabilities relative to its
peers in the fund derivatives business."
Leader
Leaderin
inFund-Linked
Fund-LinkedDerivatives
Derivatives
Leader
Leaderin
inComplex
ComplexFlow
Flow
Importing
Importingour
ourStructured
StructuredProducts
Productsexpertise
expertise
Equity Finance
Sizeable securities lending business
#2 dividend swaps provider (Greenwich survey 2006)
Recently established synthetic prime brokerage group
Equity Execution
Global execution platform with trading in 33 countries
US is execution only, no research or origination
Asian research sales covering US investors
Proprietary Trading
Complex high frequency/mean reversion trading
Complex statistical arbitrage
Limited fundamental trading
Broad
Broadproduct
productline
line
2x 211 3x
Base 100 Base 100
Equity Finance
47%
Investments
Investmentsare
arepaying
payingoff
off
Keep the business model balanced across the market and product
cycles
Continue to diversify the client base (long only, mutual and pension
funds)
Building
Buildingon
onthe
theinvestment
investment
Compelling
CompellingEQD
EQDopportunity
opportunityin
inthe
theAmericas
Americas
but
butdistinct
distinctfrom
fromEurope
Europe
EQD
EQDAmericas
Americasapproach
approachtailored
tailoredto
tothe
theUS
USmarket
market
while
whileleveraging
leveragingglobal
globalstrengths
strengths
Breakthrough
Breakthroughachieved
achievedand
andBNP
BNPParibas
Paribas
now
nowrecognised
recognisedas
asan
animportant
importantplayer
playerin
inthe
theUS
US
Well
Wellpositioned
positionedto
tobuild
buildon
onthe
theinvestment
investment
and
andgenerate
generatestrong
strongrevenue
revenuegrowth
growth
CIB
CIBInvestor
InvestorDay
Day
CIB on the move
Booming Sector
Longstanding Leadership
Global Reach
29% 30%
27%
10%
Annual average Nominal GDP MER*
growth rate 2002/2006
OECD Gas Aluminium Oil Copper
CIB Investor Day A Worldwide Leadership in the Energy & Commodities Industry 64
CIB on the move
Booming Sector
Longstanding Leadership
Global Reach
(*) United European Bank, located in Switzerland, in which BNP increased its share from 50% to 100% in 1998.
CIB Investor Day A Worldwide Leadership in the Energy & Commodities Industry 66
Global Leadership in Key Businesses
Global network and Best Commodity Bank (1)
consistent presence in Leadership in oil export
the E&C market financing with ~ 6 to 8 million
In-depth industry knowledge barrels per day financed under
documentary operations
Emerging market experience
Best Project Finance house (2)
Combination of debt structuring
Top 3 Global Project Finance
skills and client coverage
Mandated Lead Arrangers
Risk management, advisory with a 3.8% market share (3)
and underwriting capabilities
Best Structured Commodity
High capacity to engineer Bank (4)
creative structured solutions
7 "Deals of the Year" Awards
Extracting value from the more granted in 2006 in Nigeria,
mature markets Russia, Zambia, Azerbaijan,
Turkey, Ukraine and Brazil (5)
Expertise
Expertiseand
andstrength
strengthcombined
combined
(1) Trade Finance Magazine 2005; (2) Euromoney - 2005; (3) Dealogic 2006; (4) Trade Finance Magazine 2007;
(5) Trade & Forfaiting Review, Global Trade Review and Trade Finance Magazine
CIB Investor Day A Worldwide Leadership in the Energy & Commodities Industry 67
A Track Record of Growth and Profitability
An impressive growth track record in financing
Purely organic
Financing Revenues
173
CAGR +20%
148
Base 115
100
Base
Base100
100
*RAROC: (Revenues on zero equity basis Expected loss) / Economic Capital for Credit Risk
CIB Investor Day A Worldwide Leadership in the Energy & Commodities Industry 68
CIB on the move
Booming Sector
Longstanding Leadership
Global Reach
CIB Investor Day A Worldwide Leadership in the Energy & Commodities Industry 70
Highly Specialised Financing Solutions
Along the Commodity Value Chain
Exploration Production Logistics Transformation
Pre-Export
financing
CIB Investor Day A Worldwide Leadership in the Energy & Commodities Industry 71
Financial and Industrial
Engineering Skills at Work
2 examples
High
Highbarriers
barriersto
toentry
entry
CIB Investor Day A Worldwide Leadership in the Energy & Commodities Industry 72
Track Record of Managing Distinctive Risks
Focus on strategic commodities in Emerging Markets
No loss recorded on the E&C sector during South-East Asia and
Russia crises
Highly collateralised Commodity Finance transactions
Collateral Management segregated from front-office and controlled
by an independent Collateral Control Team
Attention given to the control of Operational Risk
Documentation monitoring
Importance granted to procedural and regulatory compliance
Know Your Customer rules strictly applied
Regular staff training
Hands-on management of sensitive assets
This has led to the complete recovery of Project Finance US
doubtful portfolio (Merchant Power sector)
860
860professionals
professionalsin
inlegal,
legal, compliance,
compliance, risk,
risk,
and
andother
othersupport
support functions
functions
CIB Investor Day A Worldwide Leadership in the Energy & Commodities Industry 73
CIB on the move
Booming Sector
Longstanding Leadership
Global Reach
Eastern EMEA
Europe 400
Americas NORTH AMERICA
22%
35%
140
ASIA PACIFIC
Western 90
Europe
15% LATAM
Asia 30
8%
MEA
20%
Presence
Presencein
inover
over 40
40countries
countries
CIB Investor Day A Worldwide Leadership in the Energy & Commodities Industry 75
Prime Position in the US Market
Deep knowledge of the sector through 30 years of consistent support to
the E&C world
More than 100 front-office professionals in New York
and almost 30 in Houston
Broad base of more than 370 clients
Leading player on mid-market names and Tier 1 Bank on majors
Market leader position in Commodity Finance
2nd US Oil & Gas Agent, 1st non-US
1Q2007 U.S. Oil & Gas Agent Only
Rank Bank Holding Company
1 JP Morgan
2 BNP Paribas
3 Bank of America
4 Citigroup
Source: Loan Pricing Corporation
Sustained growth over recent years with dedicated CIB product teams to
support the E&C franchise
Successfully launched a sectorial M&A team
Highly
Highlysuccessful
successful deployment
deployment
of
of global
globalE&C
E&Cexpertise
expertise
CIB Investor Day A Worldwide Leadership in the Energy & Commodities Industry 76
A Pioneering Role in Emerging Markets
Half
Half of
ofrevenues
revenuesgenerated
generatedfrom
from
emerging
emergingmarkets
markets
CIB Investor Day A Worldwide Leadership in the Energy & Commodities Industry 77
A Pioneering Role in Emerging Markets
Know-how enables BNP Paribas to move forward through the
range of financing products, as the country and the clients
become more sophisticated
Transactional finance
Strategic Exports and imports
Hard currency link
Structured debt
Longer term
First access to capital markets
CIB Investor Day A Worldwide Leadership in the Energy & Commodities Industry 78
CIB on the move
Booming Sector
Longstanding Leadership
Global Reach
of multi-product solutions
M&A and Financing Corporate investment
within E&C suite needs (Convertibles) products
Cash-rich industry
Higher liquidity levels in
privately-held companies
Fixed Income Private Banking
Concentration in the E&C sector
and internationalisation of Financing needs (DCM),
Commodity
emerging market clients Hedging (interest rate
and foreign exchange Derivatives
Relationships with
wealthy clients
Need for financing solutions derivatives)
Client
Clientbase
basewith
withincreasingly
increasinglydiversified
diversifiedneeds
needs
CIB Investor Day A Worldwide Leadership in the Energy & Commodities Industry 80
Promising Success
in Multi-Product Solutions
USA
USA USA
USA
Credit Facility
with: US Municipal
Gas Revenue
Exclusive WTI Bonds Issue
crude oil swaps
European
European Commodity Swap Middle-
Middle-
Purchase/ and IRS provider
sponsor
sponsor East
East
transportation/
delivery of crude oil Co-underwriter
Largest Private Refinery Financing
Power and Water combining:
Project Finance Commodity
Islamic tranche Structured Financing
ECA-backed tranche Export Financing
Equity bridge loan Commodity
Commercial tranche Hedging Products
Strong
Strong innovation
innovation culture
culture and
and global
global execution
execution
capabilities
capabilities to
to deliver
deliver high
high value-added
value-added solutions
solutions
CIB Investor Day A Worldwide Leadership in the Energy & Commodities Industry 81
Maintaining Competitive Edge
in a Changing World
Opportunities BNP Paribas strengths
CIB Investor Day A Worldwide Leadership in the Energy & Commodities Industry 82
A New Frontier
Green energies (Carbon trading, wind, ethanol, bio diesel )
constitute a privileged axis of development for BNP Paribas
Full Carbon Trading & Finance team providing Carbon Risk
management to BNP Paribas customers
Prime position in trading and clearing contracts under the European Trading
Scheme
Structuring of financing solutions for projects developed under the Clean
Development Mechanism and Joint Implementation defined by the Kyoto
Protocol
Landmark deals closed
First US private placement for a wind generation project financing
Mandated Lead Arranger and Technical Bank on the largest European solar
project financing
Early market recognition
BNP Paribas topped the MLA league table for Wind Projects worldwide
BNP Paribas was the Winner of Renewable Energy 2006 Business Gold
Awards (Energy Business Awards Dec 2006)
CIB Investor Day A Worldwide Leadership in the Energy & Commodities Industry 83
Conclusion
An
Anindustry
industrywith
withsustainable
sustainablegrowth
growthprospects
prospects
and
andexpanding
expandingfinancing
financingneeds
needs
BNP
BNPParibas
Paribasestablished
establishedleader
leaderin
inaaprofitable
profitablebusiness
business
with
withhigh
highbarriers
barriersto
toentry
entry
Increasing
Increasingsophistication
sophisticationof
ofclient
clientbase
base
offering
offeringfurther
furtheropportunities
opportunitiesfor
forvalue
valuecreation
creation
CIB Investor Day A Worldwide Leadership in the Energy & Commodities Industry 84
CIB on the move
Asia:
A Key Market
for CIB
Jacques dEstais
Global Head of
Corporate and Investment Banking
CIB
CIBInvestor
InvestorDay
Day
Asias Challenges & Opportunities
Opportunities for growth
Specific challenges
An
Anopportunity
opportunityfor
forCIB
CIBto
toleverage
leverage
Specialised Finance
Fixed Income
Sydney
EQD Melbourne
Corporate Finance
Presence in 12 countries
3,300 employees, 22% of CIBs workforce
Full product offering with regional hubs in Hong Kong, Singapore and Tokyo
Growth stories
Developed - Mature
Strong
Strongexisting
existingregional
regionalplatforms
platforms
Long
Longestablished
establishedCorporate
CorporateBanking
Bankingfranchise
franchise
repositioned
repositionedas
asaasource
sourceof
ofclient
clientaccess
accessfor
forCIB
CIBproducts
products
Growth
Growthstrategy
strategyfocused
focusedon
onwhat
whatwe
wedo
dobest
best
A Capital Markets
Leader in Japan
Hikaru Ogata
General Manager
BNP Paribas Securities (Japan)
CIB InvestorDay
CIB Investor Day
Overview
A growth story
Client-driven approach
Ambition
Ambition::double
doublerevenues
revenuesby
by2010
2010
A Growth Story
First-Class Product
Capability
2.7
2.0 2.2
1.9
1.4
1.0
0.3 0.2 0.3
US$ Tn %
Japan China Korea India HK 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
Source: ADB, BNP Paribas Source: ESRI
1.7
1.0 0.7 0.9 0.8 0.8
0.1 0.1
US$ Tn US$ Tn
Japan China Korea Malaysia HK TSE SEHK SSE KSE BSE
Source: ADB, BNP Paribas Source: ADB, BNP Paribas
Largest
Largesteconomy
economyand
andcapital
capitalmarkets
marketsin
inAsia
Asia
CIB Investor Day A Capital Markets Leader in Japan 95
BNP Paribas in Japan
Corporate and Investment Banking
Asset Management
BNPP AM Japan Ltd and Fischer Francis KK
Insurance
Cardif Seimei (Life) and Cardif Sompo (Casualty)
AAcomprehensive
comprehensivewholesale
wholesaleset-up
set-up
Financial performance
400 400
0 0
Strong
Stronggrowth
growthof
ofrevenues
revenuesand
andprofitability
profitability
Institutional Clients
Ambition 40%
Corporate Clients 2x
21%
2x
3%
Growing
GrowingCorporate
CorporateFranchise
Franchise
A Growth Story
First-Class Product
Capability
Opportunities & Strategy
Primary Markets
400
410 Breakthrough in league tables
CAGR +50%
300
200 Base 100 and revenues
100
0
2002 2006
Strong
Stronggrowth
growthin
inall
allproduct
productlines
lines
At
Atthe
theforefront
forefrontof
ofinnovation
innovation
98
45
24
CDS: 10% market share (source: Notional 0
12
Totan) US$ Bn
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 Source: BOJ
Trading
Value JPY 0
Trn 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 Source: Quick
Active
Activeintermediation
intermediationin
inFlow
FlowMarkets
Markets
Proven
Provenprimary
primaryexpertise
expertise
A Growth Story
First-Class Product
Capability
1,438trn 1,541trn
14% 250
21%
26% 28%
21% 100
31%
59%
53%
45%
50
27%
19% 22%
0
'0 000 0
France
Germany
England
Japan
Japan
US
0 20 40 60 80
Increasing
IncreasingRisk
RiskAppetite
Appetiteby
byJapanese
JapaneseInvestors
Investors
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
Already
AlreadyOne
Oneof
ofthe
theLeaders
Leaders
JPY Bn
4.5 x
840 840
2.7 x
331
50
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2003 2004 2005 2006
Source: BOJ Source: Thomson
Strong
Strongmomentum
momentumfor
forgrowth
growthin
inthe
theCorporate
Corporatesector
sector
105
81 ECM DCM
66
57 60
Strategic
Securitisation
Equity
Risk Corporate
Advisory Solutions
Bn
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
An
Anintegrated
integratedteam
teamto
todeliver
deliverhigh
highvalue
valueadded
addedsolutions
solutions
Complete
Completewholesale
wholesaleset-up
set-up
in
inthe
thelargest
largesteconomy
economyand
andcapital
capitalmarkets
marketsin
inAsia
Asia
Strong
Stronggrowth
growthachieved
achievedby
bydeveloping
developingthe
theclient
clientfranchise
franchise&&
investing
investingin
ininnovation
innovation
Recognised
Recognisedasasmajor
majorplayer
playerin
inDerivatives,
Derivatives,
Flow
Flowand
andPrimary
PrimaryMarkets
Markets
Strong
Strongposition
positionto
tocapture
capturegrowth
growthopportunities:
opportunities:
ambition
ambitiondouble
doublerevenues
revenuesby
by2010
2010
China: Seizing
the Opportunity
Mignonne Cheng,
Head of North & East Asia
CIBs Successful
Achievements in China
Well Positioned
for New Opportunities
BNP
BNPParibas
Paribasrelied
reliedon
onits
itsstrong
strongassets
assetsto
tosuccessfully
successfully
capture
capturethese
theseopportunities
opportunities
1,800
1,800total
totalstaff
staffin
inGreater
GreaterChina
Chinaof
ofwhich
which200
200in
inChina
China
Leveraging
Leveragingthe
theclient
clientfranchise
franchise
Full
Fullproduct
productoffering
offeringand
andleading
leadingexpertise
expertise
CIB Investor Day China: Seizing the Opportunity 115
China
Proven ECM Capabilities
Working closely with industry leaders and achieving outstanding results in capital markets
China
Sunny Optical Haitian Jin Jiang Dalian Port Nine Dragons Paper China Ting
Largest Worlds Largest Largest Largest
Largest
2007 2006 2006 2006 2006 2005
Largest Optical World largest Largest hotel Largest port Largest Largest silk
component Plastic injection operator operator containerboard apparel
manufacturer in moulding in China in North-eastern products OEM in China
China machinery China producer in China
manufacturer
Lianhua Hengan
CITIC 1616 Mengniu Supermarket International
Top Telecom hubbing service First First First
2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 1998
Top telecom First hotel First Chinese First First Chinese First Chinese
hubbing service REIT in Asia department store Chinese dairy supermarket private enterprise
provider in Asia listed in producer listed in chain listed in listed in Hong
International Hong Kong Hong Kong Kong
Market
Accompany Participate
Provide local companies in the
Finance access expanding development
large to international abroad of local
infrastructure and capital (export, financial
development markets (DCM, acquisition markets
projects ECM) finance )
Repeatedly
Repeatedlytook
tookadvantage
advantageof
ofmarket
marketdevelopments
developments
CIBs Successful
Achievements in China
Well Positioned
for New Opportunities
Well
Wellpositioned
positionedto
totake
takeadvantage
advantageof
ofmarket
markettrends
trends
Well
Wellpositioned
positionedto
totake
takeadvantage
advantageof
ofmarket
markettrends
trends
Develop
Be
Beone
oneof
ofthe
thetop
topCIB
CIBplayers
playersin
inChina
China
China
26%
15%
55%
74%
85%
2003 2006 2010
Commitment
Commitmentto
toChina
Chinais
ispaying
payingoff
off
Build
Buildon
onlongstanding
longstandingrelationships
relationshipsto
toroll
rollout
outCIB
CIB
areas
areasof
ofexcellence
excellence
Leverage
Leverageaadistinctive
distinctiveInvestment
InvestmentBanking
Bankingfootprint
footprintin
inthe
the
rising
rising mid-caps
mid-capssegment
segment
Capture
Capturethe
theincreasing
increasingdemand
demandforforwealth
wealthmanagement
management
through
throughinnovative
innovative&&tailor-made
tailor-madederivative
derivativeproducts
products
Ambition:
Ambition:revenues
revenuesx3
x3by
by2010
2010
CIB
On the move
Jacques dEstais
Global Head of CIB
Risk Management
Capital Management
73%
71% 70%
67% 67%
64%
62% 61%
56% 55%
Remain
Remainamong
amongthe
thebest
bestperformers
performersin
ineach
eachbusiness
business
7.4
25% Investment grade Non-investment grade
> 1: More
20% upgrades
15%
< 1: More 3.9
downgrades
10% 1.9
1.4 1.1
0.7 0.7 0.9
5%
0%
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Europe US Emerging Global
Mkts
BNP Paribas Clients
S&P Universe
rated by S&P
Remain
Remainvigilant
vigilantin
inthe
thecurrent
currentcycle
cycle
70%
29.1%
53%
18.3% 40%
21%
5.4% 17% 13%
5.0%
Source: S&P
(May 2006)
shocks
Worst stress scenario: Worst
-10% overnight across all stress
equity markets worldwide scenario
would lead to loss of 13% of
Capital Markets revenues -13% of Capital
Markets Revenues
AAstrategy
strategygeared
gearedtowards
towards
Return
Returnon onEquity
Equityimprovement
improvement
CIB Investor Day CIB On the Move 132
Positive Growth Dynamics
Revenue Trends : BNP Paribas vs Market
Derivatives: among the fastest
growing businesses in our
Next five
industry Last five years
years
Established leadership
BNPP 2007-
CAGR Market
Specialised financing: resilient, (03-06) 2011E
real-economy-based growth Rates Derivatives 12% 12%
drivers Credit Derivatives 22% 17%
Leadership position in E&C, FX Derivatives 15% 20% 15%
and Infrastructure Finance Equity Derivatives 20% 14%
Asia and emerging markets: Commodity Derivatives 30% 20%
Fast growing corporate and Project Finance 7% 16% 8%
investment banking revenue Energy & Commodities 7% 20% 7%
pools: Asia +30% over 2004-
2006 (Source: BCG) Source: Oliver Wyman; BNP Paribas
17%
Strong presence with client
access and local
infrastructure
Italy: leveraging on BNL
Europe
Europeas
asour
ourdomestic
domesticmarket
market
Leverage
Leverageand
andcombine
combineour
ourstrengths
strengths
China
Continue to invest in local set-up
Leverage large portfolio of existing
relationships
Russia - CIS
In particular, excellent E&C franchise
(Russia, Gulf Region)
High
Highmedium
mediumterm
termpotential
potential
as
as markets are opening to moresophisticated
markets are opening to more sophisticatedproducts
products
Build
Buildon
onextensive
extensiveexisting
existingbase
baseand
andleverage
leveragehigh
high
growth
growthpotential
potentialwith
withkey
keysegments
segments
Strong
Strongpotential
potentialfor
forfurther
furthergrowth
growth
duplicating
duplicatingand
andimproving
improvingcross-selling
cross-sellingbest
bestpractices
practices
CIB Investor Day CIB On the Move 138
Key Takeaways
AAEuropean
Europeanleader
leaderwith
withaasecond
secondhome
homemarket
marketin
inItaly
Italy
Valuable
Valuableglobal
globalproduct
productleadership
leadershipareas:
areas:
Derivatives,
Derivatives,Specialised
SpecialisedFinance
Finance
Strong
Strongpresence
presenceand
andbroad
broadclient
clientfranchise
franchise
in
inEmerging
EmergingMarkets
Marketsand
andAsia
Asia
AAfocused
focusedstrategy
strategyto
totap
taphigh
highgrowth
growthin
inkey
keyareas
areas
Conclusion
Baudouin Prot
Chief Executive Officer
CIB InvestorDay
CIB Investor Day
CIB: A key Part of Group Strategy
CIB
CIBatatthe
theheart
heartof
ofBNP
BNPParibas
Paribas
profitable
profitablegrowth
growthstrategy
strategy
Combining
Combininggrowth
growthmomentum
momentumand
andresilience
resilience
CIB Investor Day Conclusion 146
BNP Paribas: Conclusion
CAGR = +23.3%
CAGR = +28.8%
8.03
6.96 +14.7% 3.10
5.51 2.60
4.28 2.00
2.38 2.73 1.45
in in
2003 * 2004 * 2005 * 2006 1Q06 1Q07 2003 2004 2005 2006
Undiluted EPS calculated based on the
average number of shares oustandings
AATrack
TrackRecord
Recordof
ofGrowth
Growthand
andValue
ValueCreation
Creation
CIB Investor Day Conclusion Restated from the impact of the rights issue in March 2006 147
CIB on the move
CIB
On the Move
Appendix
Figures
62 62
-9 -14
-17
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 1Q07
Moderate
Moderatecost
costof
ofrisk
riskin
inlatest
latestyears
years
-3.4%
95,8 92,5
in bn
2005 2006
Protection bought
Average net weighted assets
25 28 27 19 19 36 25 28 16 19 21 20 25
2 5 Commodities
5
2 2 2
5 4 3
2 3 2 17 4 Change & others
4 4 1
2 18 2 2 3 3 4 21
40 29
2 14 4 22
14 3 2 Equities
15 6 19 9
31 28
26 11 25 25 15 14
24 18 21 23 14 13 21 23 Interest rate
18 16
14
23 15 20 25
14 11 15
21
20 18 22
14 12 15 14 17 12 13 16 15 Credit
11
Netting
-25 -23 -22 -24 -27
-31 -30 -30 -28 -29
-37 -41
-45 Quarterly
average VaR
31.03.04
30.06.04
30.09.04
31.12.04
31.03.05
30.06.05
30.09.05
31.12.05
31.03.06
30.06.06
30.09.06
31.12.06
31.03.07
in millions of euros
*
Bar chart: data from the last market trading day of the period *Excl. BNL