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KPMG 2016 UAE Food & Beverage Report 3
Offering insight
into a leading
global F&B market
4 Hungry for more?
2
MENU
HOUSE
Specialties 22
We explore how innovation is affecting
the UAE's F&B market, paying particular
attention to the growth and popularity of
SPECIALS
digital (including food apps), healthy eating
and food festivals.
Hot bites 26
We examine some of the challenges
Appetizers 6
F&B operators may have underestimated,
Introduction to the 2016 UAE F&B report
including the imminent introduction of
by Anurag Bajpai, Partner and Head of
7"5
UIFEJGDVMUJFTPGQSFEJDUJOHDPOTVNFS
Retail for KPMG in the Lower Gulf.
behavior, and how to sustain top line growth.
Entres 8
We examine the current state of the
Desserts 30
We explain who we questioned - both
UAE's F&B market and investigate how
consumers and industry executives - and
often we eat out, what we eat, and how
highlight the services KPMG provides to F&B
much we are prepared to pay.
clients.
Fusion 14
We look at customer preferences, Spices
including how and why we choose the Our report contains infographics
cuisines and formats we frequent and based on consumer and F&B
how consumers react to market forces. operator responses.
Appetizers
Introduction to the 2016 UAE F&B report by
Anurag Bajpai, Partner and Head of Retail for
KPMG in the Lower Gulf.
Entres
We examine the current state of the UAE's F&B market and investigate how often
we eat out, what we eat, and how much we are prepared to pay.
Decline
The UAEs food & beverage market Stagnation
Growth
2015
16,234 1.2x
27%
2020
19,053
46%
2015
52,399 1.6x
27%
2020
81,960
Challenges galore
While there is considerable optimism regarding the
Despite the market growing overall,
64%
longer-term prospects for the sector, the short-term
of operators surveyed indicated outlook has been dampened by current macroeconomic
that same store sales over the last
conditions. Only one in four of the operators we spoke to
12 months have either been
stagnant or have declined. expect to see improved market conditions in the short
term. As the market grows, the UAE in general, and Dubai
in particular, continues to attract new players, resulting in
increased competition. For individual operators, this means
a growing struggle for footfall and revenue. There are also
TQFDJDJTTVFTBGGFDUJOHUIFTFDUPSJODMVEJOHJODSFBTJOH
rental costs, the race for space, topline growth, rising food
costs and increasing attrition of trained staff. In aggregate,
these challenges may force some operators across
cuisines and formats - out of the market.
I am losing some
of my best staff.
Finding a good
location is getting
increasingly
EJGDVMU
Sustaining topline
is not easy.
10 Hungry for more?
Reasons to be cheerful
Frequency Consumer demand for F&B offerings remains robust
people in the UAE, residents and tourists, like to eat
out. Our consumer survey indicated the vast majority of
people are eating out at least as much as last year with
around one third of our respondents indicating that they
are eating out even more frequently.
44%
of respondents eat lunch out or get a take
away about the same as those who
bring a packed lunch from home.
66%
respondents are eating out at least
as much as last year. of respondents have brunch at least
once a month.
63%
AED51-100 >AED300
Eating out - 3%
26% 38% 33%
Dinner
1%
Takeaways 38% 43% 18%
12 Hungry for more?
64%
invest either by increasing the UAE footprint of their
existing brands, or through geographical expansion
outside the UAE, or by investing in newer brands,
both homegrown and franchises. Operators positive
longer-term outlook means continued investment and an
Expand the outlet network for existing increasing number of outlets, brands and concepts - all of
franchises and brands which are good news for consumers.
KPMG view
The UAE's F&B market, despite issues and challenges, businesses are having to realign their expansion strategies
continues to be resilient. Our consumer survey shows that with competitive realities.
residents are spending more and are eating out as much
as last year. The UAE continues to evolve as a tourism We see the medium-term outlook for the sector as
destination, attracting more visitors from across the world. positive, particularly as the number of tourists is
The UAE as a whole and Dubai in particular has widely predicted to continue to grow. We expect to
developed a reputation as a go to market for owners, see increasing investment in the market in anticipation
operators, chefs and brands. While the overall market is of medium to long term success. Operators will,
growing, there is increasing competition among brands however, need to work harder to identify gaps in their
BOEPVUMFUT*OEJWJEVBMCVTJOFTTFTBSFOEJOHHSPXUINPSF market offerings and get the ingredients for success
challenging. Many of the operators we have spoken to right.
have not seen same store sales growth this year and
dont expect this to change in the near term. Consequently,
14 Hungry for more?
Fusion
We look at customer preferences, including how and why we choose the cuisines
and formats we frequent and how consumers react to market forces.
147
105
111
101
54
161
105
55
235 63
117 44
61
38 28
25 23
17 110 52
32 97
84 48 22 24 30
51 24
47
16 33 31 30 29 14
3 20 18 9
6
Central and
Latin American
Chinese
French
Indian
Japanese
Lebanese and
Levantine
North American
(includes burgers)
Other European
Pakistani
KPMG 2016 UAE Food & Beverage Report 15
Consistent choices
Quick service restaurants (QSRs) and cafs continue to
be the most popular formats, suggesting a preference for How often do you visit a bar?
speed, value for money and a sociable environment. While
OFEJOJOHJTMBSHFMZLFQUGPSTQFDJBMPDDBTJPOT
JUDPOUJOVFT
be popular with a smaller, select set of respondents. Most
market observers have suggested that macroeconomic
12%
conditions have had limited impact on this end of the More than three
times a month
market. 18%
48%
Never
Only 30%
of our respondents
visit bars or lounges
regularly (at least
once a month)
16 Hungry for more?
Quality rules
How do you choose a restaurant? There is also consistency in the way consumers chose
restaurants once again, consumers rated quality of food
Food quality Variety in and service and their favored cuisine as the key factors
and taste the food determining the choice of restaurants.
Cuisine Ambience
Consumers indicated that travel time is not a key
Good quality Location and consideration when choosing restaurants. Nearly two
service travel time
thirds of survey respondents are willing to travel for
Value for Enough parking more than 20 minutes to get to their choice of restaurant.
money or valet service
Interestingly, while consumers said that price was not the
QSJNBSZESJWFSPGSFTUBVSBOUDIPJDF
GPVSPVUPGWFTVSWFZ
respondents reported that price increases would change
2% eating out behavior. This resonates with the industry
6%
executive view that the market has become increasingly
7% 25% price sensitive, with reactions to price increases felt most
strongly in the fast food and QSR segments.
7%
16%
How many minutes are you prepared to
18% spend traveling (including parking) when eating out?
18%
<10 min 10-20 min 20-30 min >30 min Travel time is
7% 28% 41% 9% not important
15%
Adventurous palates?
Similarly, while most respondents said they were willing
to experiment with food choices, data from the survey
suggests that experimenting is limited to restaurants serving
familiar tastes. While 48 percent of our respondents have
tried a new restaurant in the last six months, only a quarter
of respondents had tried a new cuisine.
An overwhelming 88%
of our respondents say they like to
experiment with new cuisines and
restaurants.
Yes No
24%
KPMG analysis
42% Our surveys of both consumers and industry executives
48%
suggest that consumer preferences are reasonably
consistent. Preferred cuisines are much the same as last
76% Restaurant Cuisine year. Quick service restaurants, cafes and casual dining are
still popular formats. Operators should continue to invest
in enhancing the customer experience as quality of both
food and service adds considerable competitive
advantage.
Delicacies
We look at the importance of engaging effectively with consumers. We question
how quality service, deals and promotions attract and retain consumers. We also
investigate how social media and data and analytics are affecting the sector.
Advertising
I dont tip
Service is included
1% - 10%
10% - 20%
8% >20%
3% 10%
23%
?
56%
65%
with more generous sharing schemes tend to have a
*OEVDFSTUUJNF
trials 27% Do Michelin stars shine bright?
Increase footfall
27%
28% Yes
Don't generate customer loyalty
50% 57% No
15% *EPOUGSFRVFOUOFEJOJOHSFTUBVSBOUT
Shall I Instagram that for you? Operators are also using some form of data and analytics
With high levels of smartphone penetration, social media to help improve:
JTQMBZJOHBHSPXJOHSPMFBTCPUIBOJOVFODFSBOEBUPPM
for customer engagement. According to the Arab Social
Customer insight
Media Report 2015, 88 percent of the Middle East's
online population use social networking sites daily with
WFQFSDFOUPGVTFSTTQFOEJOHNPSFUIBOGPVSIPVSTQFS
session. Nearly two-thirds of regional social media users
regularly use social networks to get recommendations on
products and services. This resonates with consumer
feedback on the relevance of online reviews and Brand and product management
underlines the growing importance of customer
engagement through social media.
Pricing
decisions
0QFSBUPSTVOEFSTUBOEUIBUUIFZOFFEUPOEXBZTUPCPOE
and remain connected with their customer base. They are
investing in social media capabilities, along with data and
analytics, to gain consumer insight and promote their
brands. Operators believe that data and analytics will help
them establish a competitive advantage in a rapidly Market
evolving digital economy.
expansion
Portfolio
All the operators we spoke to were engaging in some type
rationalization
of social media activity with their customers, although
objectives and uses varied. Key themes of social media
engagement include:
Campai g ns
Geo-targeting
Pictures
Feedback
network
activity
CONVERSATION
Celeberation
Virtual clicks
is a key differentiator for successful F&B businesses.
From personal recommendations to the increasing
use of social media, consumer feedback is playing
SEO media
an increasingly important role. Our surveys suggest
most operators are still adapting to the challenges of
monitor
experiences
We see human touch points as being critical to
customer experience and engagement. Operators
SURVEY should consider further investing in both retention
of and training for staff which aligns with their
brand ethos. Positive customer experiences lead to
better reviews, better engagement and, eventually,
better bottom lines.
22 Hungry for more?
Specialties
We explore how innovation is affecting the UAE's F&B market, paying particular
attention to the growth and popularity of digital (including food apps), healthy eating
and food festivals.
Call me maybe?
Consumers use their smartphones to: As with almost everything else, smartphones are
transforming the way consumers buy F&B. Food apps
Choice 1 have been a major catalyst in this change. Consumers use
UIFJSTNBSUQIPOFTBOEGPPEBQQTUPOEOFXSFTUBVSBOUT
Choice 2
and read online reviews, and also - according to 40
Choice 3 percent of respondents - to buy meals.
No.1
126
Do you own a smartphone or tablet?
209
Yes No
146 149
127
76
75
5%
142
125
182
238
178
42
112 124
39 22 95%
55
17
19 7
promotions, or deals
Look for discounts,
Read a restaurant
Write restaurant
Book tables at
to restaurants
Order meals
restaurants
reviews
reviews
to try
KPMG 2016 UAE Food & Beverage Report 23
Apps on the up
Given the growth of food apps and their impact on How are food apps affecting your business?
operators' volumes and topline, they are seen as an
important contributor to success. Most operators we
spoke to are not just listed but also get a reasonable We see
reasonable
volume of business through these platforms. bookings from
these apps.
Food apps continue to evolve, looking to offer new
propositions to consumers that drive convenience and We don't track
add value. What started with search and discovery 18% volumes separately
PGGFSJOHT
BMMPXJOHDPOTVNFSTUPOESFTUBVSBOUTBOESFBE but we know they
contribute.
36%
Food apps do not
contribute much
to our business.
Do you see value in food apps?
46%
Yes, we are
already listed on
all the food apps
in the market.
9% No - although we
are listed. reviews, was further augmented with capabilities to call
9% and order and then online ordering and delivery, allowing
No - we aren't
customers to order with a few clicks. One prominent food
listed. tech player reported that nearly 20 percent of orders
channeled through their platform are now online. Having
captured a sizable share of the delivery business, food
apps are now playing a role in restaurant reservations as
well as table management, going well beyond just lead
82% generation.
Description
Search for restaurants, write reviews, Web or app-based food delivery Web or app-based table reservations
get suggestions, rate experiences, call
outlets
Revenue model
Primarily dependent on advertising Charges per order which can either be Fixed charges per table or person;
revenue; potential to explore premium YFEPSMJOLFEUPPSEFSWBMVF potential to charge a percentage of bill
listing charges value
Key players
Zomato, Foodonclick, Talabat, 24h.ae, Zomato, Talabat, Foodonclick, Reserveout, Zomato, OpenTable,
RoundMenu Deliveroo, 24h.ae RoundMenu
Increased operator engagement Integrated platforms for order Integration of payment gateways
is the next step and table management Geo-targeting
Customer analytics /FBSFMEUFDIOPMPHJFT
24 Hungry for more?
53%
I always eat healthy food. Yes, the trend has really picked up.
I eat healthily during the week, Yes, but it is still early days for
however, I indulge a bit at the healthy eating.
weekend.
No.
I have become more
health-conscious.
14%
23% 27%
36%
22% 41%
37%
KPMG 2016 UAE Food & Beverage Report 25
Operators see these developments as positive as it Food festivals are a great Food festivals don't
opportunity for smaller (and
gives both operators and consumers an opportunity to generate much
newer) operators to offer revenue - but will
experiment. Operators can gauge enthusiasm for new new concepts
concepts without having to invest heavily in a traditional continue.
venue. At the same time, consumers can try different
cuisines and formats without having to travel widely.
5IFTFUSFOETEFOJUFMZIFMQDSFBUJOHBOBDUJWFJOUFSFTU
New brands and
in food. However, operators believe that food festivals
concepts are
will continue to be niche events with limited appeal in introduced during food
UIFNFEJVNUFSN5IFZBSFDPOEFOUUIFTFGFTUJWBMT festivals.
do not pose an imminent threat to the more traditional
segment of the business.
I don't think
food festivals do
anything for the
F&B sector.
LATEST FOOD
INNOVATIONS KPMG view
Food apps are playing an increasingly important
role in driving business and transforming the
Social media
way consumers interact and transact as
engagement might be expected in a region with such high
Personalized dining smartphone adoption. Food tech players are
experiences becoming stakeholders rather than simply
Authenticity of cuisine generating leads, integrating themselves
within the operator value chain.
Organic food and
restaurants Although healthy eating is growing in popularity,
Food festivals it is still a niche in the UAE. While the F&B
industry has a key role to play in educating
consumers about healthier options, they wont
have mass appeal until they can consistently
match the price, taste and convenience
Self-ordering offered by some other formats.
Organic food and
Operators understand innovation and the
restaurants NBSLFUEJGGFSFOUMZ
SFFDUJOHUIFWBTUSBOHF
Street concepts of opportunities in the UAE. Where you
Themed restaurants stand on innovation depends on where you
DIY food sit operators need to clearly understand
their strategy and identify and invest in
innovation which is implementable and
aligned to their brand strategy.
26 Hungry for more?
Hot bites
We examine some of the challenges F&B operators may have underestimated,
JODMVEJOHUIFJNNJOFOUJOUSPEVDUJPOPG7"5
UIFEJGDVMUJFTPGQSFEJDUJOHDPOTVNFS
behavior, and how to sustain top line growth.
Cons
u Ope
insig mer rat
hts revie ional
VAT ws
Expansion
strategies
KPMG 2016 UAE Food & Beverage Report 27
Identify project Review legislation - when Validate the impact Test exceptions
resources released - to validate VAT assessment 1SFQBSFBOEMF
Map supply chains UPVDIQPJOUTJEFOUJFE Action issues in log VAT returns
Map business units in phase 1 - classify Validate applicable Resolve any
and systems transactions for VAT transitional provisions teething issues
Document key VAT Build input tax credit for long-term contracts Fine-tune
touch points allocation model Test VAT systems compliance
incorporate these Agree requisite IT changes (IT vendor) practices
into the VAT impact with IT vendor Ensure VAT system
assessment (phase 2) Build log to monitor and SFQPSUTBSFTVGDJFOU
Review existing resolve issues where the Train staff
long-term contracts law or its application
which straddle VAT remains unclear Registration
implementation Log transitional provisions Register for VAT
Consider VAT clauses in the long-term contracts
in new contracts and register
tender documents
Now Before the end of 2016 During 2017 From 1 January 2018
28 Hungry for more?
Expansion and entry strategies should, but too often dont, address issues
including:
Strategy
)PXUPRVJDLMZBOEQSPUBCMZFOUFSOFXNBSLFUTBOETFHNFOUT
How to develop and commercialize innovative products to support growth
How to attract new customers and enhance loyalty
)PXUPBDDFTTOFXBOEVONFUSFWFOVFBOEQSPUQPPMT
Customer insight
KPMG analysis
Robust strategic planning is going to be needed in the currently predicting. While prices will increase, the impact
current market environment. Expansion strategies have on current systems and business functions will be more
too often been based on unrealistic growth objectives TJHOJDBOU
and implementation capabilities may not have been
considered. Businesses must also align their offerings We have seen that the market is resilient and that
with consumer requirements - which can only be done consumer engagement, combined with innovation,
through a focused effort to gather and analyze data around is key to sustainable F&B success. However, there are
preferences and behaviors. Finally, operational reviews challenges beyond location, staff attrition and high
based on leading practice, which offer industry-focused rents that businesses need to prepare for. In our
external perspectives, are an increasingly important way of view, those businesses that take note of - and most
maintaining focus on both top and bottom line growth. importantly are proactive in addressing - such challenges
are those likely to face the least amount of disruption
We also believe that VAT will have more of an impact on to their operations.
the sector than many of the operators we spoke to are
KPMG 2016 UAE Food & Beverage Report 29
Key takeaways
1. The UAE's F&B market remains
resilient and the outlook is robust in
the longer term. F&B operators
continue to invest with an eye on the
future.
Desserts
We explain who we questioned - both consumers and industry executives - and
highlight the services KPMG provides to F&B clients.
How old are you? Where are you from? Whats your annual income (AEDk)?
3% 3%
8%
9% 13%
12%
10% 32%
29%
We spoke to key decision makers at more than a dozen questions in wide ranging interviews held in the second
UAE F&B businesses, representing more than 60 brands and third quarters of 2016, we tested hypotheses
and over 550 outlets, and two of the UAE's predominant suggested by our consumer survey and elicited views
food tech players. Using a combination of open and closed on the current and future state of the market.
Key aspects of your F&B business
and KPMG service offerings
The Head of Retail for KPMG in Based in Dubai, Matt has advised UK, Vikrant has been advising clients
the Lower Gulf, Anurag is widely Emirati and international clients within on strategy, business planning
recognized as a leading expert on the FMCG, retail and F&B sectors on and transactions for over 11 years.
the nations food and beverage sector, issues ranging from acquisitions and Focused on the consumer markets
responsible for writing a wide range disposals to business planning and space, Vikrant has a particular interest
of thought leadership, speaking at strategy. Since helping to author the in the food and beverage sector,
conferences and developing a range 2015 F&B survey, Matt has worked having recently worked with leading
of leading practice. Anurag advises with a number of UAE-focused F&B local, regional and international
the C suite and boards at a number organizations on a range of different operators on a number of different
of UAE-based family businesses assignments. assignments.
and leading global multinationals.
0GDFMPDBUJPOT
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