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CALCULO DE LA VIDA TIL DEL PROYECTO:

Tenemos una produccion mensual de 600 TMS/mes trabajando 12 meses al ao


tenemos: 7200 TM/ao

Para calcular la vida til del proyecto consideramos la reserva de mineral del
informe de la mina del ao 2010 la cual es de: 70000 TM

Se calcula utilizando la siguiente frmula:

Reemplazando datos, se tiene:

VU = 70000TM
(600 TM/mes)*(12meses/ao)

VIDA UTIL = 9.72 aos

Redondeando:

VIDA UTIL = 10 aos

EN NUESTRO CASO LA MINA TOMA LA MANO TIENE UNA VIDA UTIL DE 10 AOS, TRABAJANDO A ESE RITMO D
TRABAJANDO A ESE RITMO DE PRODUCCION
Evolucin Histrica de los Precios de los
Principales Minerales

ZINC PLOMO PLATA


AO
Ctvs.US$/lb Ctvs.US$/lb US$/Oz. Tr.
2006 148.56 58.50 11.57
2007 147.07 117.03 13.42
2008 85.04 94.83 15.01
2009 75.05 77.91 14.68
2010 98.18 97.61 20.19
2011 99.50 108.97 35.17
2012 88.35 93.54 31.17
2013 86.65 97.17 23.86
2014 98.07 95.07 19.08
2015 87.47 80.90 15.68
2016 94.83 84.89 17.14
VALORES HISTRICOS DE LA DEMANDA Y OFERTA

DEL ZINC DEL PLOMO

DEMANDA OFERTA DEMANDA OFERTA


AO AO
D x 10 3
O x 10 3
D x 10
3
O x 103
2006 14389.00 10289.92 2006 7609.00 7249.05
2007 14397.10 9548.17 2007 7958.30 6851.21
2008 14412.20 10279.42 2008 8317.00 6452.12
2009 14453.00 9445.91 2009 8586.70 6054.55
2010 14472.20 10254.34 2010 8843.00 5661.08
2011 14497.70 11178.11 2011 9014.30 6048.05
2012 14523.70 10120.82 2012 9104.70 6481.85
2013 14567.76 10198.24 2013 9623.00 6743.76
2014 14712.80 10273.90 2014 9423.60 7023.51
2015 14734.00 10334.50 2015 9325.32 7217.70
2016 14757.00 10365.45 2016 9369.15 7250.10
OFERTA

DE LA PLATA

DEMANDA OFERTA
AO
D x 10 3
O x 103
2006 3366.45 32488.31
2007 3345.12 32284.98
2008 3452.56 32447.38
2009 3675.87 32324.02
2010 3713.10 32240.84
2011 3842.98 32197.47
2012 4254.78 32201.23
2013 4235.32 32412.12
2014 4104.43 32532.25
2015 4156.32 32565.34
2016 4189.25 32595.50
VALORES HISTORICOS DE LA DEMANDA Y EL PRECIO DEL ZINC
DEMANDA PRECIO VARIA. D VARIA. P D/D P/P
AO
D x Ctvs.US$/lb D x 10 ^3 P (US$/lb) % %
2006 14389.00
10 ^3 148.56 ------------ ------------ ---------- -------------
2007 14432.10 147.07 43.10 -1.49 0.299 -1.013
2008 14678.20 85.04 246.10 -62.03 1.677 -72.942
2009 14453.00 75.05 -225.20 -9.99 -1.558 -13.311
2010 14472.20 98.18 19.20 23.13 0.133 23.559
2011 14497.70 99.50 25.50 1.32 0.176 1.327
2012 14523.70 88.35 26.00 -11.15 0.179 -12.620
2013 14567.76 86.65 44.06 -1.70 0.302 -1.962
2014 14712.80 98.07 145.04 11.42 0.986 11.645
2015 14734.00 87.47 21.20 -10.60 0.144 -12.118
2016 14757.00 94.83 23.00 7.36 0.156 7.761

VALORES REGRESIVOS DE PRECIO Y DEMANDA PORCENTUAL DEL ZINC

AO P/P D/D (P/P)(D/D) ( "D/D) " ^2


2007 -1.013 0.430 0.299 0.185
2008 -72.942 1.547 1.677 2.394
2009 -13.311 -1.558 -1.558 2.428
2010 23.559 0.133 0.133 0.018
2011 1.327 0.176 0.176 0.031
2012 -12.620 0.179 0.179 0.032
2013 -1.962 0.302 0.302 0.091
2014 11.645 0.986 0.986 0.972
2015 -12.118 0.144 0.144 0.021
2016 7.761 0.156 0.156 0.024
S -69.676 2.494 2.493 6.195

VALORES DE SERIES DE TIEMPO Y VALOR FUTURO DE LA DEMANDA PORCENTUAL DEL ZINC


AO t D/D D/D * t t^2 AO D/D FURURA
2007 -4 0.430 -1.719 16 2017 0.2802
2008 -3 1.547 -4.642 9 2018 0.2859
2009 -2 -1.558 3.116 4 2019 0.2916
2010 -1 0.133 -0.133 1 2020 0.2973
2011 0 0.176 0.000 0 2021 0.303
2012 1 0.179 0.179 1 2022 0.3087
2013 2 0.302 0.605 4 2023 0.3144
2014 3 0.986 2.957 9 2024 0.3201
2015 4 0.144 0.576 16 2025 0.3258
2016 5 0.156 0.779 25 2026 0.3315
S 5 2.494 1.719 85

VALORES FUTUROS DE LA DEMANDA Y DEL PRECIO DEL COBRE DEL 2016 AL 2026
DEMANDA PRECIO VARIA. D VARIA. P D/D P/P
AO
D x Ctvs.US$/lb D x 10 ^3 P (US$/lb) % %
2016 14757.00
10 ^3 94.83 14757.00 7.36 0.156 7.761
2017 14798.35 103.23 41.35 8.40 0.2802 8.85
2018 14840.66 112.39 42.31 9.16 0.2859 8.87
2019 14883.93 122.39 43.28 10.00 0.2916 8.90
2020 14928.18 133.30 44.25 10.91 0.2973 8.92
2021 14973.42 145.21 45.23 11.91 0.303 8.94
2022 15019.64 158.21 46.22 13.01 0.3087 8.96
2023 15066.86 172.42 47.22 14.20 0.3144 8.98
2024 15115.09 187.93 48.23 15.51 0.3201 9.00
2025 15164.33 204.87 49.24 16.95 0.3258 9.02
2026 15214.60 223.39 50.27 18.52 0.3315 9.04
precio del zinc

Chart Title
250.00

200.00

150.00
PRECIO
Ctvs .US$/l b
100.00
Li near (PRECIO
Ctvs .US$/l b)
50.00

0.00
16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26
20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20
AO
VALORES HISTORICOS DE LA DEMANDA Y EL PRECIO DEL PLOMO
DEMANDA PRECIO VARIA. D VARIA. P
AO
D x Ctvs.US$/lb D x 10 ^3 P (US$/lb)
2006 7609.00
10 ^3 58.50 ------------ ------------
2007 7958.30 117.03 349.30 58.53
2008 8317.00 94.83 358.70 -22.20
2009 8586.70 77.91 269.70 -16.92
2010 8843.00 97.61 256.30 19.70
2011 9014.30 108.97 171.30 11.36
2012 9104.70 93.54 90.40 -15.43
2013 9623.00 97.17 518.30 3.63
2014 9423.60 95.07 -199.40 -2.10
2015 9325.32 80.90 -98.28 -14.17
2016 9369.15 84.89 43.83 3.99

VALORES REGRESIVOS DE PRECIO Y DEMANDA PORCENTUAL DEL PLOMO

AO P/P D/D (P/P)(D/D)


( "D/D) " ^2
2007 50.013 4.389 219.513 19.264
2008 -23.410 4.313 -100.965 18.601
2009 -21.717 3.141 -68.212 9.865
2010 20.182 2.898 58.495 8.400
2011 10.425 1.900 19.811 3.611
2012 -16.496 0.993 -16.378 0.986
2013 3.736 5.386 20.121 29.010
2014 -2.209 -2.116 4.674 4.477
2015 -17.515 -1.054 18.460 1.111
2016 4.700 0.468 2.199 0.219
S 7.708 20.318 157.716 95.544

NTUAL DEL ZINC VALORES DE SERIES DE TIEMPO Y VALOR FUTURO DE LA DEMANDA PORC
AO t D/D D/D * t t^2
2007 -4 4.389 -17.557 16
2008 -3 4.313 -12.939 9
2009 -2 3.141 -6.282 4
2010 -1 2.898 -2.898 1
2011 0 1.900 0.000 0
2012 1 0.993 0.993 1
2013 2 5.386 10.772 4
2014 3 -2.116 -6.348 9
2015 4 -1.054 -4.216 16
2016 5 0.468 2.339 25
S 5 20.318 -36.135 85

VALORES FUTUROS DE LA DEMANDA Y DEL PRECIO DEL PLOMO DEL 2016


DEMANDA PRECIO VARIA. D VARIA. P
AO
D x P (US$/lb)
Ctvs.US$/lb D x 10 ^3
2016 9369.15
10 ^3 84.89 9369.15 7.36
2017 9270.96 86.41 -98.19 1.52
2018 9121.88 86.70 -149.08 0.28
2019 8924.12 85.71 -197.76 -0.99
2020 8680.67 83.47 -243.45 -2.23
2021 8395.25 80.07 -285.42 -3.40
2022 8072.20 84.51 -323.05 4.44
2023 7716.38 90.43 -355.82 5.92
2024 7333.03 98.10 -383.35 7.67
2025 6927.66 88.34 -405.37 -9.75
2026 6505.90 78.26 -421.76 -10.08
PRECIO DEL PLOMO

Chart Title
120.00

100.00

80.00

60.00 PRECIO
Ctvs .US$/l b
Li nea r
40.00 (PRECIO
Ctvs .US$/l b)
20.00

0.00

AO
ECIO DEL PLOMO VALORES HISTORICOS DE LA DEMANDA Y E
D/D P/P DEMANDA
AO
% % D x
---------- ------------- 2006 3366.45
10 ^3
4.389 50.013 2007 3345.12
4.313 -23.410 2008 3452.56
3.141 -21.717 2009 3675.87
2.898 20.182 2010 3713.10
1.900 10.425 2011 3842.98
0.993 -16.496 2012 4254.78
5.386 3.736 2013 4235.32
-2.116 -2.209 2014 4104.43
-1.054 -17.515 2015 4156.32
0.468 4.700 2016 4189.25

PORCENTUAL DEL PLOMO VALORES REGRESIVOS DE PRECIO Y DEMA

D/D) " ^2 AO P/P

2007 13.785
2008 10.593
2009 -2.248
2010 27.291
2011 42.593
2012 -12.833
2013 -30.637
2014 -25.052
2015 -21.684
2016 8.518
S 10.326

UTURO DE LA DEMANDA PORCENTUAL DEL PLOMO VALORES DE SERIES DE TIEMPO Y VALO


AO D/D FURURA AO t
2017 -1.048 2007 -4
2018 -1.608 2008 -3
2019 -2.168 2009 -2
2020 -2.728 2010 -1
2021 -3.288 2011 0
2022 -3.848 2012 1
2023 -4.408 2013 2
2024 -4.968 2014 3
2025 -5.528 2015 4
2026 -6.088 2016 5
S 5

PRECIO DEL PLOMO DEL 2016 AL 2026 VALORES FUTUROS DE LA DEMANDA Y


D/D P/P DEMANDA
AO
% % D x
0.156 8.670 2016 4189.25
10 ^3
-1.048 1.79 2017 4214.76
-1.608 0.33 2018 4229.01
-2.168 -1.14 2019 4231.84
-2.728 -2.61 2020 4223.21
-3.288 -4.07 2021 4203.15
-3.848 5.54 2022 4171.79
-4.408 7.01 2023 4129.37
-4.968 8.48 2024 4076.18
-5.528 -9.94 2025 4012.63
-6.088 -11.41 2026 3939.20

PRECIO DEL PLATA


Chart Title
100.00
90.00
80.00
70.00
60.00
PRECIO 50.00
Ctvs .US$/l b 40.00
Li nea r
(PRECIO 30.00
Ctvs .US$/l b) 20.00
10.00
0.00

AO
STORICOS DE LA DEMANDA Y EL PRECIO DEL PLATA
PRECIO VARIA. D VARIA. P D/D P/P
Ctvs.US$/lb D x 10 P ^3(US$/lb) % %
11.57 ------------ ------------ ---------- -------------
13.42 -21.33 1.85 -0.638 13.785
15.01 107.44 1.59 3.112 10.593
14.68 223.31 -0.33 6.075 -2.248
20.19 37.23 5.51 1.003 27.291
35.17 129.88 14.98 3.380 42.593
31.17 411.80 -4.00 9.679 -12.833
23.86 -19.46 -7.31 -0.459 -30.637
19.08 -130.89 -4.78 -3.189 -25.052
15.68 51.89 -3.40 1.248 -21.684
17.14 32.93 1.46 0.786 8.518

GRESIVOS DE PRECIO Y DEMANDA PORCENTUAL DEL PLATA

D/D (P/P)(D/D)
( "D/D) " ^2
-0.638 -8.790 0.407
3.112 32.964 9.684
6.075 -13.656 36.906
1.003 27.364 1.005
3.380 143.951 11.422
9.679 -124.203 93.674
-0.459 14.077 0.211
-3.189 79.892 10.170
1.248 -27.071 1.559
0.786 6.696 0.618
20.996 131.222 165.655

E SERIES DE TIEMPO Y VALOR FUTURO DE LA DEMANDA PORCENTUAL DEL PLATA


D/D D/D * t t^2 AO D/D FURURA
-0.638 2.551 16 2017 0.609
3.112 -9.336 9 2018 0.338
6.075 -12.150 4 2019 0.067
1.003 -1.003 1 2020 -0.204
3.380 0.000 0 2021 -0.475
9.679 9.679 1 2022 -0.746
-0.459 -0.919 4 2023 -1.017
-3.189 -9.567 9 2024 -1.288
1.248 4.994 16 2025 -1.559
0.786 3.930 25 2026 -1.83
20.996 -11.821 85

FUTUROS DE LA DEMANDA Y DEL PRECIO DEL plata DEL 2016 AL 2026


PRECIO VARIA. D VARIA. P D/D P/P
Ctvs.US$/lbD x 10 P^3(US$/lb) % %
17.14 4189.25 7.36 0.156 18.173
20.32 25.51 3.18 0.609 18.582
24.05 14.25 3.73 0.338 18.338
28.40 2.83 4.35 0.067 18.093
33.47 -8.63 5.07 -0.204 17.849
39.37 -20.06 5.89 -0.475 17.605
46.20 -31.36 6.83 -0.746 17.361
54.11 -42.43 7.91 -1.017 17.117
63.24 -53.19 9.13 -1.288 16.873
73.75 -63.55 10.52 -1.559 16.628
85.84 -73.43 12.08 -1.83 16.384

Chart Title
00.00
90.00
80.00
70.00
60.00
50.00 PRECIO
Ctvs .US$/l b
40.00 Li nea r
30.00 (PRECIO
Ctvs .US$/l b)
20.00
10.00
0.00

AO

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