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THINKHQ / METRO NEWS ALBERTA POLL – MANAGING THE PROVINCIAL ECONOMY JULY 2017 Copyright ©
THINKHQ / METRO NEWS
ALBERTA POLL – MANAGING THE PROVINCIAL ECONOMY
JULY 2017
Copyright © 2017. All contents of this document are the exclusive property of ThinkHQ Public Affairs Inc.
All rights are reserved.
Permission to reproduce, redistribute and/or refer to our copyrighted property is granted on the condition that all such use
gives proper attribution to the “ThinkHQ/Metro News Poll”.
www.thinkhq.com | 1
R ESEARCH M ETHODOLOGY • Study fielded via online research panel -   Field dates:

RESEARCH METHODOLOGY

R ESEARCH M ETHODOLOGY • Study fielded via online research panel -   Field dates: June
R ESEARCH M ETHODOLOGY • Study fielded via online research panel -   Field dates: June

Study fielded via online research panel

-Field dates: June 22 to 28, 2017

-Panel source: Voice of Alberta & Angus Reid Forum

n=1142

Weighted to reflect gender, age and region of Alberta population according to Stats Canada

This online survey utilizes a representative but non-random sample, therefore margin of error is not applicable. However, a probability sample of this size would yield a margin of error of +/- 2.9 percentage points at a 95% confidence interval.

Accuracy of sub-samples of the data decline based on sample sizes

R EGIONAL S AMPLE S IZES AND M ARGINS OF E RROR Total Interviews (Unweighted)

REGIONAL SAMPLE SIZES AND MARGINS OF ERROR

R EGIONAL S AMPLE S IZES AND M ARGINS OF E RROR Total Interviews (Unweighted) Total
R EGIONAL S AMPLE S IZES AND M ARGINS OF E RROR Total Interviews (Unweighted) Total
Total Interviews (Unweighted) Total Interviews (Weighted) Margin of Error (n) (n) (Associated with a probability
Total Interviews
(Unweighted)
Total Interviews
(Weighted)
Margin of Error
(n)
(n)
(Associated with a
probability sample of this
size)
ALBERTA TOTAL
1142
1142
+/- 2.9
Calgary
392
383
+/- 4.9
Edmonton
333
348
+/- 5.4
North
102
148
+/- 9.7
Central
164
138
+/- 7.7
South
151
125
+/- 8.0
PROVINCIAL GOVERNMENT APPROVAL -MANAGING THE PROVINCIAL ECONOMY JULY 2017 Copyright © 2017. All contents of
PROVINCIAL GOVERNMENT APPROVAL
-MANAGING THE PROVINCIAL ECONOMY
JULY 2017
Copyright © 2017. All contents of this document are the exclusive property of ThinkHQ Public Affairs Inc.
All rights are reserved.
Permission to reproduce, redistribute and/or refer to our copyrighted property is granted on the condition that all such use
gives proper attribution to the “ThinkHQ/Metro News Poll”.
www.thinkhq.com | 4
P ROVINCIAL G OVERNMENT A PPROVAL -M ANAGING THE P ROVINCIAL E CONOMY Over six-in-ten

PROVINCIAL GOVERNMENT APPROVAL

-MANAGING THE PROVINCIAL ECONOMY

OVERNMENT A PPROVAL -M ANAGING THE P ROVINCIAL E CONOMY Over six-in-ten (62%) Albertans disapprove of
OVERNMENT A PPROVAL -M ANAGING THE P ROVINCIAL E CONOMY Over six-in-ten (62%) Albertans disapprove of
OVERNMENT A PPROVAL -M ANAGING THE P ROVINCIAL E CONOMY Over six-in-ten (62%) Albertans disapprove of

Over six-in-ten (62%) Albertans disapprove of the Notley Government’s management of the provincial economy, with almost one-half (46%) offering strong negative ratings. In comparison, only one-third (33%) of Alberta voters approve of how the provincial government is managing the economy

Edmonton residents offer the most positive evaluation of GOA’s economic stewardship (44% approve), but even here one-half (50%) offer a “thumb’s down” to their economic plan

Evaluations are highly partisan, with past Wildrose and PC voters offering the most harsh evaluation, and future NDP voters the most favourable. Fully one-third (33%) of NDP voters from 2015 disapprove of the Government’s handling of economic matters today

Over one-half (52%) of Albertans feel the NDP government has had a negative impact on their lives since taking office in May 2015, compared to just under one-quarter (23%) who feel they have had a positive influence, and 25% saying they’ve had no real influence at all

Partisan and regional evaluations tend to follow the same pattern. Edmontonians are most likely to say the NDP government has had a positive impact on their lives, but even in the capital region, a plurality say the government’s influence has been negative

Wildrose and PC voters overwhelmingly say the NDP have been a negative influence on their lives. Meanwhile three-quarters (77%) of future NDP voters say they are personally better off due to the government. One-fifth (21%) of those who voted NDP in 2015 now say the government they voted for has done them more harm than good

T ARGETED G OVERNMENT A PPROVAL ON E CONOMIC M ANAGEMENT What about when it

TARGETED GOVERNMENT APPROVAL ON ECONOMIC MANAGEMENT

T ARGETED G OVERNMENT A PPROVAL ON E CONOMIC M ANAGEMENT What about when it comes
T ARGETED G OVERNMENT A PPROVAL ON E CONOMIC M ANAGEMENT What about when it comes

What about when it comes to specific issues? Would you say you approve or disapprove of the performance of the Provincial Government when it comes to…?

of the Provincial Government when it comes to …? Strongly approve Somewhat approve Somewhat disapprove

Strongly approve

Provincial Government when it comes to …? Strongly approve Somewhat approve Somewhat disapprove Strongly disapprove

Somewhat approve

when it comes to …? Strongly approve Somewhat approve Somewhat disapprove Strongly disapprove   33% 62%

Somewhat disapprove

…? Strongly approve Somewhat approve Somewhat disapprove Strongly disapprove   33% 62% 11% 22% 16%

Strongly disapprove

 

33%

62%

11%

22%

16%

46%

5%

Managing Alberta’s provincial economy

% Albertans

5% Managing Alberta’s provincial economy % Albertans Unsure Net “Approve” -29 ThinkHQ/Metro News – July

Unsure

Net

“Approve”

-29

T ARGETED G OVERNMENT A PPROVAL ON E CONOMIC M ANAGEMENT -B Y R EGION

TARGETED GOVERNMENT APPROVAL ON ECONOMIC MANAGEMENT

-BY REGION AND PROVINCIAL VOTE

CONOMIC M ANAGEMENT -B Y R EGION AND P ROVINCIAL V OTE What about when it
CONOMIC M ANAGEMENT -B Y R EGION AND P ROVINCIAL V OTE What about when it

What about when it comes to specific issues? Would you say you approve or disapprove of the performance of the Provincial Government when it comes to…?

“Managing Alberta’s provincial economy”

       

Next

Total

 

Region

Last Provincial Vote

Vote

 

Alberta

Calgary

Edmonton

North

Central

South

NDP

WR

PC

LIB

NDP

(1142)

(383)

(348)

(148)

(138)

(125)

(386)

(235)

(269)

(42)*

(269)

Approve

33%

35%

44%
44%

24%

25%

17%
17%
61%
61%
5%
5%
9%
9%
73%
73%
88%
88%

Disapprove

62%

59%

50%
50%
76%
76%

71%

76%
76%
33%
33%
94%
94%
89%
89%
25%
25%
9%
9%

Unsure

5%

6%

6%

-

4%

7%

6%

1%

2%

2%

3%

*Caution: small sample size

P ERSONAL I MPACT OF NDP G OVERNMENT Would you say that since they were

PERSONAL IMPACT OF NDP GOVERNMENT

P ERSONAL I MPACT OF NDP G OVERNMENT Would you say that since they were elected
P ERSONAL I MPACT OF NDP G OVERNMENT Would you say that since they were elected

Would you say that since they were elected in May 2015, the current provincial government has had a more positive or negative influence on your life personally?

9% Positive Net “Positive Influence” on Albertans personal lives: 23% -29 14% 25% 22% 30%
9%
Positive
Net “Positive
Influence” on
Albertans
personal lives:
23%
-29
14%
25%
22%
30%

Very positive

Somewhat positive

No real influence/Unsure

Somewhat negative

Negative

52%

Very negative

% Albertans

P ERSONAL I MPACT OF NDP G OVERNMENT -B Y L AST P ROVINCIAL V

PERSONAL IMPACT OF NDP GOVERNMENT

-BY LAST PROVINCIAL VOTE AND NEXT NDP VOTE

-B Y L AST P ROVINCIAL V OTE AND N EXT NDP V OTE Would you
-B Y L AST P ROVINCIAL V OTE AND N EXT NDP V OTE Would you

Would you say that since they were elected in May 2015, the current provincial government has had a more positive or negative influence on your life personally?

Positive

No influence/

Unsure

Negative

LAST PROVINCIAL VOTE

NEXT VOTE

 

NDP

WR

PC

LIB

NDP

(386)

(235)

(269)

(42)*

(269)

23%

 
51%
51%
1%
1%
5%
5%

48%

77%
77%

25%

28%

8%

16%

37%

20%

 

52%

21%
21%
91%
91%
78%
78%

15%

3%
3%

% Albertans

*Caution: small sample size

P ERSONAL I MPACT OF NDP G OVERNMENT -B Y R EGION Would you say

PERSONAL IMPACT OF NDP GOVERNMENT

-BY REGION

P ERSONAL I MPACT OF NDP G OVERNMENT -B Y R EGION Would you say that
P ERSONAL I MPACT OF NDP G OVERNMENT -B Y R EGION Would you say that

Would you say that since they were elected in May 2015, the current provincial government has had a more positive or negative influence on your life personally?

Positive

No influence/

Unsure

Negative

Calgary

Edmonton

REGION

North

Central

South

 

(383)

(348)

(148)

(138)

(125)

23%

 

26%

30%
30%

17%

13%
13%
8%
8%

25%

26%

26%

11%

27%

36%
36%
 

52%

48%

44%
44%
72%
72%

60%

56%

% Albertans

For more information, contact: Marc Henry, President ThinkHQ Public Affairs Inc. MLH@ThinkHQ.ca (587) 774-2395 Want

For more information, contact:

Marc Henry, President ThinkHQ Public Affairs Inc. MLH@ThinkHQ.ca (587) 774-2395

Want to have your say about topics and issues that affect Albertans?

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Copyright © 2017. All contents of this document are the exclusive property of ThinkHQ Public Affairs Inc. All rights are reserved.

Permission to reproduce, redistribute and/or refer to our copyrighted property is granted on the condition that all such use gives proper attribution to the “ThinkHQ/Metro News Poll”.