Académique Documents
Professionnel Documents
Culture Documents
Inversin 100,000,000
Letras de tesorera 50%
Bono a 10 aos 50%
Inters Precio Cambio en el precio
LT B10 LT B10 Cartera LT B10
Sep-97 3.7 5.5 96.43 96.14 96.29
Oct-97 4 5.6 96.15 95.78 95.97 -0.29% -0.38%
Nov-97 4 5.4 96.13 96.62 96.38 -0.02% 0.87%
Dec-97 3.9 5.3 96.29 97.5 96.90 0.17% 0.91%
Jan-98 3.7 5 96.41 99.62 98.02 0.12% 2.15%
Feb-98 3.7 4.9 96.47 100.58 98.53 0.06% 0.96%
Mar-98 3.8 4.9 96.31 100.72 98.52 -0.17% 0.14%
Apr-98 3.9 5 96.29 100.18 98.24 -0.02% -0.54%
May-98 3.8 4.8 96.36 101.34 98.85 0.07% 1.15%
Jun-98 3.8 4.8 96.33 101.77 99.05 -0.03% 0.42%
Jul-98 3.7 4.6 96.39 102.99 99.69 0.06% 1.19%
Aug-98 3.5 4.2 96.58 106.37 101.48 0.20% 3.23%
Sep-98 3.5 3.8 96.64 109.57 103.11 0.06% 2.96%
Oct-98 3.3 4.1 96.76 107.15 101.96 0.12% -2.23%
Nov-98 3.3 1 96.85 108.47 102.66 0.09% 1.22%
Dec-98 2.9 3.9 97.18 109.31 103.25 0.34% 0.77%
Jan-99 2.8 3.6 97.25 111.36 104.31 0.07% 1.86%
Feb-99 2.9 4 97.15 108.12 102.64 -0.10% -2.95%
Mar-99 2.8 4 97.25 108.18 102.72 0.10% 0.06%
Apr-99 2.5 3.8 97.58 109.76 103.67 0.34% 1.45%
May-99 2.6 4.1 97.48 107.24 102.36 -0.10% -2.32%
Jun-99 2.7 4.5 97.35 103.99 100.67 -0.13% -3.08%
Jul-99 3 4.8 97.13 101.85 99.49 -0.23% -2.08%
Aug-99 3 4.9 97.09 100.93 99.01 -0.04% -0.91%
Sep-99 3.1 5.1 96.96 99.54 98.25 -0.13% -1.39%
Oct-99 3.5 5.1 96.62 99.23 97.93 -0.35% -0.31%
Nov-99 3.5 5.1 96.6 99.12 97.86 -0.02% -0.11%
Dec-99 3.7 5.4 96.44 97.34 96.89 -0.17% -1.81%
Jan-00 3.8 5.5 96.33 96.05 96.19 -0.11% -1.33%
Feb-00 4 5.5 96.14 96.27 96.21 -0.20% 0.23%
Mar-00 4.2 5.2 96.01 98.45 97.23 -0.14% 2.24%
Apr-00 4.4 5.3 95.76 97.8 96.78 -0.26% -0.66%
May-00 4.8 5.2 95.39 98.66 97.03 -0.39% 0.88%
Jun-00 4.9 5.2 95.34 98.47 96.91 -0.05% -0.19%
Jul-00 5.1 5.2 95.14 98.48 96.81 -0.21% 0.01%
Aug-00 5.2 5.3 95.09 97.77 96.43 -0.05% -0.72%
Sep-00 5.1 5.2 95.16 98.29 96.73 0.07% 0.53%
3.68 4.72 -0.04% 0.06%
0.71 0.85 0.17% 1.56%
172,251 1,559,883
mbio en el precio
Cartera
-0.33%
0.43%
0.54%
1.15%
0.52%
-0.01%
-0.28%
0.62%
0.20%
0.64%
1.77%
1.59%
-1.12%
0.69%
0.57%
1.02%
-1.61%
0.08%
0.93%
-1.27%
-1.66%
-1.18%
-0.48%
-0.77%
-0.33%
-0.07%
-1.00%
-0.73%
0.02%
1.06%
-0.46%
0.25%
-0.12%
-0.10%
-0.39%
0.31%
0.01% Media
0.85% Desviacin estndar
1,699,174 VAR en pesos
1 2 3 4
Rating Ao 1 Ao 2 Ao 3 Ao 4
AAA 3.60% 4.17% 4.73% 5.12%
AA 3.65% 4.22% 4.78% 5.17%
A 3.72% 4.32% 4.93% 5.32%
BBB 4.10% 4.67% 5.25% 5.63%
BB 5.55% 6.02% 6.78% 7.27%
B 6.05% 7.02% 8.03% 8.52%
CCC 15.05% 15.02% 14.03% 13.52%
Fuente: CreditMetrics; Technical document, 1997
Desviacin
Clase de Seniority Media (%)
estndar (%)
Senior secured 53.80% 26.86%
Senior unsecured 51.13% 25.45%
Senior subordinated 38.52% 23.81%
Subordinated 32.74% 20.18%
Junior subordinated 17.09% 10.90%
Fuente: Carty & Lieberman-Moody's Investors Service
mTotal = 107.07
s2Total = 8.94
CCC Default
0.12% 0.18%
83.63 51.13
549.60 3129.21
0.660 5.633
Clculo del VAR de crdito de una cartera de dos bonos
1 2 3 4
Rating Ao 1 Ao 2 Ao 3 Ao 4
AAA 3.60% 4.17% 4.73% 5.12%
AA 3.65% 4.22% 4.78% 5.17%
A 3.72% 4.32% 4.93% 5.32%
BBB 4.10% 4.67% 5.25% 5.63%
BB 5.55% 6.02% 6.78% 7.27%
B 6.05% 7.02% 8.03% 8.52%
CCC 15.05% 15.02% 14.03% 13.52%
Fuente: CreditMetrics; Technical document, 1997
Clase de Desviacin
Media (%)
Seniority estndar (%)
Senior secured 53.80% 26.86%
Senior unsecured 51.13% 25.45%
Senior subordinate 38.52% 23.81%
Subordinated 32.74% 20.18%
Junior subordinate 17.09% 10.90%
Fuente: Carty & Lieberman-Moody's Investors Service
Bono A
Bono BBB AAA AA A BBB BB
0.09% 2.27% 91.05% 5.52% 0.74%
AAA 0.02% 0.00% 0.00% 0.02% 0.00% 0.00%
AA 0.33% 0.00% 0.04% 0.29% 0.00% 0.00%
A 5.95% 0.02% 0.39% 5.44% 0.08% 0.01%
BBB 86.93% 0.07% 1.81% 79.69% 4.55% 0.57%
BB 5.30% 0.00% 0.02% 4.47% 0.64% 0.11%
B 1.17% 0.00% 0.00% 0.92% 0.18% 0.04%
CCC 0.12% 0.00% 0.00% 0.09% 0.02% 0.00%
Default 0.18% 0.00% 0.00% 0.13% 0.04% 0.01%
Bono A
Bono BBB AAA AA A BBB BB
104.78 104.60 104.08 103.00 97.59
AAA 109.35 214.13 213.95 213.43 212.35 206.95
AA 109.17 213.95 213.77 213.25 212.17 206.77
A 108.64 213.42 213.24 212.72 211.64 206.24
BBB 107.53 212.31 212.13 211.61 210.53 205.12
BB 102.01 206.78 206.61 206.09 205.00 199.60
B 98.09 202.86 202.69 202.17 201.08 195.68
CCC 83.63 188.40 188.23 187.71 186.62 181.22
Default 51.13 155.91 155.73 155.21 154.13 148.72
s Total
= 3.35 VAR 5% = $ 5.53
VAR 1% = $ 7.80
CCC Default
0.00% 0.00%
0.02% 0.00%
0.01% 0.06%
0.12% 0.18%
1.00% 1.06%
4.07% 5.20%
64.86% 19.79%
CCC Default
0.01% 0.06%
79.72 53.80
A
B CCC Default
0.26% 0.01% 0.06%
0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
0.19% 0.01% 0.04%
0.04% 0.00% 0.01%
0.02% 0.00% 0.00%
0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
A
B CCC Default
93.76 79.72 53.80
203.11 189.08 163.15 214.13 213.95 213.43
202.93 188.90 162.97 213.95 213.77 213.25
202.40 188.37 162.44 213.42 213.24 212.72
201.29 187.26 161.33 212.31 212.13 211.61
195.76 181.73 155.81 206.78 206.61 206.09
191.84 177.81 151.89 202.86 202.69 202.17
177.38 163.35 137.43 188.40 188.23 187.71
144.89 130.85 104.93 155.91 155.73 155.21
Precios Variacion
LT B10 Cartera LT B10 Cartera
May-01 96.43 96.14 96.29 - - -
Jun-01 96.15 95.78 95.97 -0.29% -0.37% -0.33%
Jul-01 96.13 96.62 96.38 -0.02% 0.88% 0.43%
Aug-01 96.29 97.5 96.90 0.17% 0.91% 0.54%
Sep-01 96.41 99.62 98.02 0.12% 2.17% 1.16%
Oct-01 96.47 100.58 98.53 0.06% 0.96% 0.52%
Nov-01 96.31 100.72 98.52 -0.17% 0.14% -0.01%
Dec-01 96.29 100.18 98.24 -0.02% -0.54% -0.28%
Jan-02 96.36 101.34 98.85 0.07% 1.16% 0.63%
Feb-02 96.33 101.77 99.05 -0.03% 0.42% 0.20%
Mar-02 96.39 102.99 99.69 0.06% 1.20% 0.65%
Apr-02 96.58 106.37 101.48 0.20% 3.28% 1.79%
May-02 96.64 109.57 103.11 0.06% 3.01% 1.61%
Jun-02 96.76 107.15 101.96 0.12% -2.21% -1.12%
Jul-02 96.85 108.47 102.66 0.09% 1.23% 0.69%
Aug-02 97.18 109.31 103.25 0.34% 0.77% 0.57%
Sep-02 97.25 111.36 104.31 0.07% 1.88% 1.03%
Oct-02 97.15 108.12 102.64 -0.10% -2.91% -1.60%
Nov-02 97.25 108.18 102.72 0.10% 0.06% 0.08%
Dec-02 97.58 109.76 103.67 0.34% 1.46% 0.93%
Jan-03 97.48 107.24 102.36 -0.10% -2.30% -1.26%
Feb-03 97.35 103.99 100.67 -0.13% -3.03% -1.65%
Mar-03 97.13 101.85 99.49 -0.23% -2.06% -1.17%
Apr-03 97.09 100.93 99.01 -0.04% -0.90% -0.48%
May-03 96.96 99.54 98.25 -0.13% -1.38% -0.77%
Jun-03 96.62 99.23 97.93 -0.35% -0.31% -0.33%
Jul-03 96.6 99.12 97.86 -0.02% -0.11% -0.07%
Aug-03 96.44 97.34 96.89 -0.17% -1.80% -0.99%
Sep-03 96.33 96.05 96.19 -0.11% -1.33% -0.72%
Oct-03 96.14 96.27 96.21 -0.20% 0.23% 0.02%
Nov-03 96.01 98.45 97.23 -0.14% 2.26% 1.07%
Dec-03 95.76 97.8 96.78 -0.26% -0.66% -0.46%
Jan-04 95.39 98.66 97.03 -0.39% 0.88% 0.25%
Feb-04 95.34 98.47 96.91 -0.05% -0.19% -0.12%
Mar-04 95.14 98.48 96.81 -0.21% 0.01% -0.10%
Apr-04 95.09 97.77 96.43 -0.05% -0.72% -0.39%
May-04 95.16 98.29 96.73 0.07% 0.53% 0.31%
MATRIZ DE TRANSICIN A 1 AO
NO DEF. INDETERMINADO DEFAULT
A B C D E DEFAULT
A 93.00% 6.21% 0.71% 0.07% 0.00% 0.00%
B 4.75% 88.31% 6.50% 0.38% 0.03% 0.03%
C 0.11% 6.04% 88.63% 4.78% 0.33% 0.11%
D 0.00% 0.07% 3.43% 86.00% 9.00% 1.50%
E 0.00% 0.00% 0.63% 7.63% 73.63% 18.13%
DEFAULT 0.00% 0.20% 0.20% 1.20% 23.00% 75.40%
Soberano 0% 100%
Gobiernos regionales y locales Igual que las entidades de crdito
Empresas pblicas Igual que las empresas
Entidades de crdito 20% 100%
Empresas 100% 100%
Coeficientes propuestos en Basilea II.
Por debajo No
clasificados
Rating de crdito externo AAA a AA- A+ a A-
de B-
150% 100% Ponderacin de riesgo segn Basilea II 20% 50%
de crdito Requerimientos de capital segn Basilea II 1,6% 4%
de crdito Ponderacin de riesgo segn Basilea I 100% 100%
Requerimientos de capital segn Basilea I 8% 8%
150% 50%
150% 100%
150% 100%
LGD
la entidad ms un escaln. Crditos a empresas, gobiernos y entidades 45%
financieras (sin garantas)
Obligaciones subordinadas corporativas 75%
Garantizadas con ctas a cobrar 40%
nes corporativas
No
BBB+ a BB- Inferior a BB-
calificada
100% 150% 100%
8% 12% 8%
100% 100% 100%
8% 8% 8%