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8-6 EXPECTED RETURNS Stocks X and Y have the following probability distributions of
expected future returns:
Probability X Y Probability*X Probbility*Y
0.1 -10 -35 -1 -3.5
0.2 2 0 0.4 0
0.4 12 20 4.8 8
0.2 20 25 4 5
0.1 38 45 3.8 4.5
12 14
a. Calculate the expected rate of return, ^rY, for Stock Y (^rX 12%).
b. Calculate the standard deviation of expected returns, _x0002_X, for Stock X (_x0002_Y 20.35%).
Now calculate the coefficient of variation for Stock Y. Is it possible that most investors
will regard Stock Y as being less risky than Stock X? Explain.
a. Calculate the expected rate of return, ^rY, for Stock Y (^rX 12%).
^Ry 14%
^rX 12%
b. Calculate the standard deviation of expected returns, _x0002_X, for Stock X (_x0002_Y 20.35%).
^rX 12
Probability X r-^R
0.1 -10 22 484 48.4
0.2 2 10 100 20
0.4 12 0 0 0
0.2 20 -8 64 12.8
0.1 38 -26 676 67.6
SUM 148.8
STD Dev 12.19836055
STD DEV X 12.21%
STD DEV Y 20.35%
CV-x 1.02
CV-y 1.45
No. Since STD DEV and CV for Stock Y is high it is more risky than Stock X.
^ry 14
Probability Y r-^R
0.1 -35 49 2401 240.1
0.2 0 14 196 39.2
0.4 20 -6 36 14.4
0.2 25 -11 121 24.2
0.1 45 -31 961 96.1
SUM 414
STD Dev 20.34699
r-^r
p r 12.4
0.1 -27 -39.4 1552.36
0.2 -7 -19.4 376.36
660.4 0.4 15 2.6 6.76
0.2 30 17.6 309.76
0.1 45 32.6 1062.76
Y 20.00933
-35
0
20 20.03597
25
45 p r 10.5
0.1 -17 -29.4 864.36
0.2 -3 -15.4 237.16
0.4 10 -2.4 5.76
0.2 25 12.6 158.76
0.1 38 25.6 655.36
15.54799
155.236 14.6
75.272
2.704
61.952
106.276
401.44
20.03597
86.436
47.432
2.304
31.752
65.536
233.46
15.2794
PORTFOLIO REQUIRED RETURN Suppose you are the money manager of a $4 million
investment fund. The fund consists of four stocks with the following investments and betas:
If the markets required rate of return is 14% and the risk-free rate is 6%, what is the funds
required rate of return?
MRP 14%
RFR 6%
Portfolio's Retutn
Ri=rRF+(rM-rRF)bi
bP 0.76
12.08
Beta Bi*Rpm
Stock R 1.5 9 9
Stock S 0.75 4.5
RFR 7
RM 13
RPM-(rm-rrf) 6
Ri for Stock R 16
Ri for Stock S 11.5
4.5%The required return on the riskier stock exceed the required return on the less risky stock by 4.5 %
CAPM AND REQUIRED RETURN Calculate the required rate of return for Manning Enterprises
assuming that investors expect a 3.5% rate of inflation in the future. The real risk-free
rate is 2.5%, and the market risk premium is 6.5%. Manning has a beta of 1.7, and its
realized rate of return has averaged 13.5% over the past 5 years.
IP 3.5
RRF 2.5
R*RF 6.0
MRP 6.5
RPm 11.05
Beta 1.7
Ri=rRF+(rM-rRF)bi 17.1