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ARTICLE IN PRESS

Int. J. Production Economics 125 (2010) 313323

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Int. J. Production Economics


journal homepage: www.elsevier.com/locate/ijpe

An investment evaluation of supply chain RFID technologies:


A normative modeling approach
In Lee a,, Byoung-Chan Lee b
a
Department of Information Systems and Decision Sciences, College of Business and Technology, Western Illinois University, Stipes Hall 431, Macomb, IL 61455, USA
b
Department of Business Administration, Graduate School, Keimyung University, Taegu, South Korea

a r t i c l e in fo abstract

Article history: As Radio Frequency Identication (RFID) technology advances rapidly and major retailers start to push
Received 24 April 2009 their suppliers to adopt the technology, RFID costbenet analysis has become a subject of great focus.
Accepted 13 February 2010 RFID complements or replaces barcode systems and traditional manual tracking systems to identify,
Available online 18 February 2010
retrieve, track, and store merchandise automatically. The adoption of this technology is gaining
Keywords: momentum rapidly as technological, societal, and competitive pressures push rms to transform and
RFID innovate themselves. Because of the potential benets gained and high investment costs incurred by
Supply chain RFID, rms need to carefully assess every RFID opportunity and challenge to ensure that their resources
Investment are spent judiciously. This paper presents the Supply Chain RFID Investment Evaluation Model, and
provides a basis for enhancing our understanding of RFID value creation, measurement, and ways to
maximize the value of RFID technology. A future research direction is also discussed.
& 2010 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.

1. Introduction is the most advanced technology for supply chain integrity and
traceability (Kumar and Budin, 2006). As evidenced by Wal-Marts
Global competition, short product life cycle, and information recent RFID mandate to its suppliers, RFID has received signicant
technology (IT) advances have rapidly changed the ways rms attention as a viable supply chain management technology. RFID
operate their businesses. These changes have driven rms to cut invested in supply chain is expected to enhance information
costs, innovate their products/services, and redesign their busi- sharing and collaboration between supply chain partners due
ness processes. Radio Frequency Identication (RFID) technology to its automated data collection and transmission capabilities.
is one of the emerging technologies that are being used by a A recent case study on a system of integrating mobile commerce
number of organizations such as manufacturers, retailers, logistics and RFID applications illustrates that the RFID provides greater
providers, hospitals, and libraries. The timing and magnitude of visibility of the operations data and improves the control
the RFID adoption and related process redesign have become processes (Ngai et al., 2007).
more critical than before as rms strive to use RFID technology at RFID technology management is a process of evaluating RFID
an unprecedented rate. technology, developing RFID systems, and managing RFID infra-
RFID technology shows great potential for process improve- structure to achieve business objectives. In the evaluation stage of
ment and cost reduction related to supply chain management. RFID technology, managers identify potential business processes,
The supply chain has become the central organizing unit in explore different technologies, assess the costbenets of alter-
todays global industries (Miles and Snow, 2007). Furthermore, in native technologies, and choose the best technology. Despite the
todays environments in which competition is among supply popularity of RFID technology, the disappointingly slow return on
chain networks rather than individual rms, rms are confronted RFID investment forced senior managers to scrutinize the
with the need to effectively manage increasingly extending investment opportunity more closely and to reshape their existing
supply chain activities beyond the boundary of the rms RFID initiatives. As RFID projects often compete with other
(Patnayakuni et al., 2006). As rms extend supply chain activities IT projects for the scarce resources, the fundamental questions
beyond the boundary of the rms, the need for new inter-rm for RFID adoption are whether RFID technology can create a value
information technologies has increased signicantly. RFID technology that will justify its investment, and how the RFID value can be
measured.
However, despite the urgent need for a solid evaluation
 Corresponding author. method in the industries, RFID valuation methods have not been
E-mail addresses: I-Lee@wiu.edu (I. Lee), bclee@kmu.ac.kr (B.-C. Lee). fully developed, and measuring RFID value has been elusive for

0925-5273/$ - see front matter & 2010 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
doi:10.1016/j.ijpe.2010.02.006
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managers. Traditionally, accounting and nancial methods have the US, Europe, and Asia (Soon and Gutierrez, 2008). RFID allows
been widely used to assess the value of projects. Return on automatic identication and data capture using radio waves, a
investment (ROI), net present value (NPV), and payback period tag, and a reader. The tag can store more product data than
methods are classic in accounting and nancial literature. traditional barcodes (Jones et al., 2004). The tag contains product
However, the traditional accounting and nancial methods have data in the form of Electronic Product Code (EPC), a global RFID-
played a limited role in justifying the RFID investment opportu- based item identication system developed by the Auto-ID
nities, because many of its benets are non-quantiable. Center. Product data the RFID tag stores include product ID,
In light of the ongoing debate on the measurement methods production location, production date, and shipping container ID.
for RFID investment, this study provides an overview of existing A number of studies view information sharing as one of the major
evaluation studies, presents the Supply Chain RFID Investment supply chain management activities (Min and Mentzer, 2004;
Evaluation Model, and discusses a future direction for researchers Morton et al., 2006; Krause et al., 2007). RFID technology enables
and practitioners. The major contribution of our research is that supply chains to easily and inexpensively collect and share
we have identied three supply chain RFID investment factors information, thus enhancing supply chain visibility. The enhanced
and developed analytical procedures to derive optimal RFID supply chain visibility leads to reduced stock-out, lower labor
investment levels for these factors. Our paper proceeds with costs, reduced transaction costs, and improved inventory manage-
literature review in Section 2, the evaluation model in Section 3, ment in their supply chains (Twist, 2005).
an analysis of the investment model with an illustrative scenario In addition to the above-mentioned data storage and informa-
in Section 4, and the conclusion in Section 5. tion sharing capability, RFID improves information quality sig-
nicantly. Managers may not use information provided from
supply chain partners if they do not have condence in information
2. Literature review quality, and furthermore will not share their own information with
their partners. While RFID technology is known to provide more
According to the latest market data from ABI Research (2009), accurate, current, and reliable information to supply chain partners
total revenue earned from RFID transponders, readers, software than the traditional barcode technology, which leads to a better
and services will amount to more than $5.6 billion in 2009. The collaboration among supply chain partners, challenges such as
growth prospect of RFID industry is noteworthy in the IT industry. false read, data overload, real-time acquisition of data, data
The global industry for RFID technology has been growing steadily security, and privacy must be dealt with (Bose and Lam, 2008).
and is expected to grow rapidly before stabilizing and settling on
a steady growth path. The RFID market is forecasted to grow at a
moderate compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of around 20.7% 2.2. RFID valuation methods
during 20082016 (RNCOS Group, 2007). These statistics suggest
that RFID has become one of the most important IT investment As RFID research is relatively new and there is a growing body
opportunities for rms, and thus RFID investment deserves of RFID evaluation studies, we rst review existing IT evaluation
special attention from management. Reasons for the growth of methods and attempt to link these studies to the RFID evaluation.
RFID investment include cost savings, reduction of production Many studies have focused on the ex post evaluation of IT value
costs of RFID tags, and mandatory policies of some mega retail and theory building based on empirical data. Our review focuses
chains such as Wal-Mart, Tesco, and Target, to name a few. on the ex ante IT evaluation methods which are used to predict
Like other IT value measures, RFID business value includes lead IT value before investment occurs, since the ex ante IT project
time reduction, productivity improvement, cost reduction, in- evaluation methods are of greater practical use to IT managers.
creased revenue, customer satisfaction, competitive advantage, Most IT justication studies point out the limitations of
inventory reduction, and other metrics of performance (Michael traditional capital budgeting methods in measuring the true
and McCathie, 2005; Angeles, 2007; Veeramani et al., 2008). Dutta value of IT (Clemons, 1991; Kumar, 2004). Consequently, many
et al. (2007) examined three dimensions of the value proposition IT investments are based upon gut feelings or intuition, rather
of RFID as an initial roadmap to ongoing research: the generic than quantiable criteria (Dos Santos, 1991). However, given the
architecture of RFID implementations and the drivers of value, nancial impacts of IT investments and tight budgetary constraints,
measurement issues, and incentives for achieving diffusion. it is essential for IT managers to clearly understand whether their
Large organizations such as the US Department of Defense, investments are nancially justiable, and likely to yield sufcient
Wal-Mart, Tesco, and Target have driven the adoption of RFID benets or fail. Managers need to take into account such factors as
technology by their mandate for their major suppliers to tag their tangible and intangible benets and the costs of undertaking the
merchandises. However, a recent survey shows that the cost of program, the risks of proceeding with the program, the expected
the tags and hardware, and the availability of these components competitive impact, and the possible need for partnership with
are the main issues hampering the widespread adoption of the competitors (Clemons, 1991). The involvement of the relevant
technology by suppliers (Vijayaraman and Osyk, 2006). Many business functions in translating non-quantiable benets into
organizations take a wait and see stance and hope to learn more monetary value is also recommended (Tiernan and Peppard, 2004).
from the early adopters, since the suggested benets of RFID are A recent study of 130 senior executives from large companies
still uncertain while RFID technology requires signicant up-front that spend an average of $230 million annually reported that 51%
investment (Reyes and Jaska, 2007). While most of the RFID work of respondents have no process to evaluate IT investments against
has focused on logistics and inventory management applications, business strategy; 68% do not compare their IT projects benets
the potential of RFID in other areas of operations, such as to original targets; 74% do not track nancial metrics after making
manufacturing, after-sales service support, and total product life an investment decision; and 80% lack the necessary nancial skills
cycle management, is also great (Lee and Ozer, 2007). (Chabrow, 2003). The lack of necessary measurement and analysis
skills by the senior executives potentially leads to misalignment
2.1. Supply chain RFID of IT and business strategies, over- or underinvestment, inoppor-
tune investment, and eventually the lowered productivity and
Supply chain RFID is an emerging application that has decreased IT investments. The implications of this survey results
attracted a lot of attention from researchers and practitioners in are signicant as the executives are the ultimate sponsor and
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I. Lee, B.-C. Lee / Int. J. Production Economics 125 (2010) 313323 315

champion of IT projects. In light of the signicant lack of of RFID adoption would change over time because of the future
IT valuation knowledge by the senior executives, it is urgent that uncertainty involving IT. The RFID system should be exibly
IT researchers and professionals develop an education program to designed to tap new opportunities that may arise, and to avoid the
deliver executives the needed knowledge and skill sets. risk of heavy up-front investment in the technology.
A wide range of other IT pre-investment justication meth- To assess the impact of RFID technology on the tier-one
odologies have been developed by researchers and practitioners suppliers, Veeramani et al. (2008) present a framework and
including: index and ranking methods (Sethi et al., 1993), models which measure ve benet areas: lower operating costs,
business process simulation (Lee, 2004), option theory (Bardhan increase in revenue, lower overhead costs, reduced inventory
et al., 2004; Dixit and Pindyck, 1995; Dos Santos, 1991), analytical capital cost, and lead time reduction. In order to address the
hierarchical process (AHP) (Goh, 1997), balanced scorecard discrepancy between expected and realized benets of RFID
(Kaplan and Norton, 1992), IT portfolio management (Bardhan investment, potential benets and risks are also explored
et al., 2004; Jeffery and Leliveld, 2004), business case (Ross and (Michael and McCathie, 2005).
Breath, 2002), game theory (Zhu and Weyant, 2003), technology Business Process Reengineering (BPR) has been investigated in
road-mapping (Groenveld, 1997), Activity Based Costing method line with the use of RFID technology. Business value of RFID
(Peacock and Tanniru, 2005), and total value of ownership technology can be derived through rening business processes and
(Luftman and Muller, 2005). The challenge for IT managers is expanding the business model (Bose and Lam, 2008; Tzeng et al.,
that the success of the translation of non-quantiable benets 2008). A eld study conducted in the utility industry shows how
into nancial metrics often depends on the choice of justication process optimization can be achieved when integrating RFID
methods and the validity of the assumptions made. technology into information systems applications (Bendavid
Relatively new to the eld, the RFID evaluation methodologies et al., 2006). A case study in the retail industry indicates that RFID
have been a focus of a number of studies. However, there have technology can cancel, automate, or automatically trigger some
been no instruments for an accurate and fast feasibility study that business processes (Wamba et al., 2008). In supply chains, partial
takes into account the critical variables for the application of the information sharing can be achieved with the use of RFID tags, and
RFID technology (Ngai et al., 2008). As in many other IT projects, the use of a bidirectional billing system is suggested to share cost
one of the barriers to the adoption of RFID by organizations is the and benet among supply chain partners (Uckelmann et al., 2009).
difculty in assessing the potential ROI (Veeramani et al., 2008). Simulation is exploited as a tool to investigate reengineering of
Much of the research and analyses of ROI in implementing RFID RFID logistics processes and protability (Bottani, 2008; Ozelkan and
technology have focused on the benets to the retailer (Rekik Galambosi, 2008). A simulation study on the RFID-enabled storage
et al., 2008). Practitioner-oriented guides for calculating ROI for management of vehicles of an automobile terminal of E.H. Harms
RFID investment illustrate the risk, cost, and benets of RFID Automobile-Logistics shows that establishing autonomous control
investments using two hypothetical companies and an invest- leads to higher performances such as short lead times or high due
ment scenario (RFID Wizards Inc., 2009). + et al., 2009). An empirical study at Wal-Mart
date punctuality (Bose
Doerr et al. (2006) report on an analysis of the costs and benets stores shows that RFID-enabled inventory management processes
of elding Radio Frequency Identication/MicroElectroMechanical reduce inventory inaccuracy when RFID is used as a supplement to
System (RFID/MEMS) technology for the management of ordnance existing manual adjustment processes (Hardgrave et al., 2009).
inventory. They combine a multi-criteria tool for the valuation of Our literature review shows that RFID is in an early stage of the
qualitative factors with a Monte-Carlo simulation of anticipated technological diffusion and is projected to grow rapidly with the
nancial factors. Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) methodology is phenomenal advancements in wireless communication technolo-
also employed as a decision analysis mechanism to analyze the gies. Most of the above-mentioned studies are descriptive in nature.
RFID adoption decision processes of both RFID expert and industry Our literature review shows that there exists no analytical
evaluators and to assist organizations to judge if they are suitable normative RFID evaluation model. RFID is entering into the main-
to adopt the RFID systems (Lin and Lin, 2007). An analytical stream information technology arena. As RFID innovations drive
approach was also attempted for the RFID evaluation. An exact organizational transformations, researchers and practitioners need
analytical expression was applied to derive for the break-even to understand the implications of these technological and organiza-
prices of an RFID tag, considering both the shrinkage fraction and tional changes. Given the growing interests in RFID investments by
the impact of RFID technology (de Kok et al., 2008). The analysis managers, researchers need to develop theories and measurement
shows that the break-even prices are highly related with the value tools that will help managers apply knowledge gained from the
of the items that are lost, the shrinkage fraction and the remaining research to make a judicious RFID investment decision and to
shrinkage after implementing RFID. enhance the RFID value. In an attempt to ll a gap in the current
A number of simulation studies were conducted to assess the descriptive studies, our study provides a normative investment
impacts of RFID on the supply chain (Wang et al., 2007; Bottani and evaluation model for Supply Chain RFID technologies, capture
Rizzi, 2008; Ozelkan and Galambosi, 2008; Ustundag and Tanyas, intangible benets and integrate them into the objective function,
2009; Bose+ et al., 2009). A simulation of an integrated RFID system and investigates the relationships between model input parameters
on a three-echelon supply chain shows that increasing product (e.g., demand, RFID cost functions), decision variables (e.g., RFID
value increases the total supply chain cost savings, and the investment level), and result variables (e.g., total cost savings and
increased demand uncertainty decreases the supply chain cost benets). While this study focuses on the supply chain RFID
savings (Ustundag and Tanyas, 2009). The results indicated that investment, our model can be extended to other domains such as
each member of the supply chain does not benet equally from governments and libraries.
RFID integration, the retailer has the highest cost savings, and
increasing lead time decreases the total supply chain cost savings
of the retailer. Since commonly used nancial methods such as 3. The Supply Chain RFID Investment Evaluation Model
Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) and NPV calculations are too limited
to make RFID investment decisions, a real option approach was In this section, we introduce the Supply Chain RFID Investment
proposed as an alternative method for valuing RFID investments Evaluation Model and examine relationships between model
(Patil, 2004). The real options approach may build a strong parameters and the degree of RFID investment. The proposed
business case for RFID investments due to the fact that the value model is not only useful in its own right, but it also underscores
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the feasibility of using analytical models in the eld of RFID periodic order cycle, JIT efciency narrows the timing gap between
investment. Given the current trend of RFID technology adoption, delivery of goods/parts and actual consumption/production. JIT
IT managers should be concerned about its effectiveness and efciency reects more accurately the RFID advantages of better
efciency for organizations. However, the evaluation of the RFID inventory management, and it can be improved with the RFID
investment in supply chain is one of the weakest research areas wireless merchandise tracking capability. Operating efciency is
and no analytical decision-making framework for the supply achieved by managing the individual goods/parts efciently. For
chain RFID investment exists. In the following subsections, we example, operating efciency is improved by the RFID merchandise
also present an analytical framework for estimating the optimal, monitoring capability. The costs related to supply chain activities
cost minimizing supply chain RFID investment level. and RFID benets are summarized in Table 1.
The Supply Chain RFID Investment Evaluation Model is based on Since the decision variables in the RFID investments are
the classic economic order quantity (EOQ) model that is widely investment costs, an in-depth understanding of the cost compo-
used in manufacturing and inventory management. The rationale nents is necessary. Since the cost of an RFID implementation is
for using EOQ as a ground for our RFID investment analysis is the one of the most serious concerns for managers, the estimation of
need to measure the direct impact of RFID on the ordering cost and the total investment cost requires a thorough investigation of
inventory holding cost. The fundamental concepts of EOQ model are individual cost components. Table 2 presents the list of costs
suitable for the tradeoff analysis between the RFID benets and relevant to RFID investment. There are ve cost categories:
costs. Since differences exist in the cost structure between the EOQ hardware (e.g., tags, readers, printers, and network infrastructure),
model and the supply chain RFID investment, our decision model software (e.g., middleware, labeling/automation equipment),
takes into consideration a cost function and cost components that development (e.g., testing, installation, and communication),
are unique to the RFID investment. Since differences exist in the training, and services. These cost categories are further divided
cost structure between the EOQ model and the supply chain RFID into initial investment costs and recurring costs. The cost of
investment, our model takes into consideration a cost function and individual RFID components varies, depending on the complexity
cost components that are unique to the RFID investment. The model of technological features. For example, the cost of tags is usually
allows us to determine the optimal investment level in supply chain based on the volume, the amount of memory on the tag, and the
RFID technology that minimizes the total cost. packaging of the tag.
The classic EOQ model identies the optimal order quantity that Next we introduce the nomenclature we use throughout this
minimizes the total inventory management cost. While the EOQ paper and discuss a model formulation.
model consists of setup cost and inventory holding costs, our model Nomenclature
considers three unique RFID investment factors of ordering
efciency, Just-In-Time (JIT) efciency, and operating efciency. O xed order cost per order cycle
Ordering efciency is realized by minimizing any inefciency related H annual inventory holding cost per unit
to the ordering activities, and it is typically dependent on the D annual demand
intensity of the RFID technology. RFID improves ordering efciency C operating cost per unit
in various ways. For example, receiving accuracy reduces the count/ R ordering efciency
recount in the delivery and speeds up the order fulllment. I JIT efciency
Companies no longer need to open the box and spend long and J operating efciency
tedious hours counting and recounting products. The loss of K investment level for ordering efciency
incoming materials is minimized. The movement of ordered V investment level for JIT efciency
products to the warehouse and production oor is smooth. X investment level for operating efciency
While the EOQ model assumes that an instantaneous delivery of d daily delivery rate
the entire batch of order quantity takes place at the beginning of the c daily consumption/production rate

Table 1
Category of costs related to supply chain inefciency and RFID benets.

Factors Costs related to supply chain inefciency RFID benets

Ordering efciency Detecting irregular items entering the supply chain Improved accuracy and visibility of inventory data throughout
the supply chain processes
Handling counterfeited items Automated counting and accurate put-away
Resolving dispute of inaccurate invoicing Automated reconciliation of dispute
Handling defective items Automated verication processes

JIT efciency Managing the excess inventory or Improved lead time management; enhanced cross docking
safety stock levels operations
Handling back orders Enhanced visibility of inventory level and customer demands;
improved ability to meet daily demand

Operating efciency Inaccurate inventory counts in the warehouse/ Reduction in inventory counts
distribution centers
Unreported stock loss Accurate real time tracking of products moving in the supply chain
Mislabeling Automated tagging
Inaccessible/misplaced inventory Improved inventory tracking
Resolving inventory count discrepancy Automated reconciliation and control of inventory
Managing inventory loss/shrinkage/spoilage/ Improved monitoring and tracking of goods
obsolescence
Tracking consumer buying patterns and ensure Improved customer service due to timely delivery of goods
products are on shelves
Identifying defective items on shelves Reducing the cost of defective items reaching consumers
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Table 2
Categories of RFID investment costs.

Categories of costs Initial investment costs Recurring costs

Hardware Tags, readers, antennas, transponders, sensors, printers, network Upgrade, maintenance, move, change
infrastructure, RFID host server, labeling/automation equipment
Software Data collection software, data management software, middleware Upgrade, maintenance, move, change, system
printer/encoder management software, RFID tracking applications, integration costs with existing systems
event sensor software, condition monitoring applications, network
appliance software, RFID edgeware
Development Infrastructure development, testing, installation, documentations Internal technical staff, corporate overhead cost,
collaboration with external partners, tagging labor
costs, communication costs
Training Initial training, certication On-going training and change management
Services Initial consulting, implementation services On-going third-party services, professional services

The optimal order quantity, Qn, and the optimal total cost (TC) 3.1. RFID investment in the ordering efciency
of the EOQ model are given by
Ordering efciency is dened as the degree to which the xed
r
2OD order cost per order cycle is reduced by the investment, K. In this
Q 1 section, we assume that the ordering efciency, R, is an
H
exponential function with a base e where the RFID investment
cost, K, improves the ordering efciency. Billington (1987)
D Q  p
TC  O  H 2HOD 2 suggested a similar exponential function with base e to determine
Q 2 the optimal investment cost for the reduction of setup costs in the
The rst term, OD=Q  , represents the total order cost during a classic EOQ model. As RFID technology improves the ordering
planning period (i.e., the xed order cost per order cycle times the efciency, but incurs the RFID investment cost, the following cost
number of orders during a planning period). The second term, minimization model is suggested.
HQ  =2, represents the total inventory holding cost during a RD Q
planning period (i.e., the annual inventory cost per unit times Min TC O IH JCD K 6
Q 2
the average inventory level). Eq. (1) shows that a higher xed
order cost results in a larger optimal order quantity, and a Mathematically, the ordering efciency function is dened as
higher inventory holding cost results in a smaller optimal order follows:
quantity. For the derivation of the optimal solution, refer to Roach R N MNebK , 0 r N rM r1 and 0 rR r1 7
(2005).
The Supply Chain RFID Investment Evaluation Model extends where M is the lowest ordering efciency achieved when there
the EOQ model by incorporating the ordering efciency of R, JIT is no investment in RFID technology and N is the highest
efciency of I, operating efciency of J, and investments of K, V, ordering efciency achievable by the investment of K. Note that
and X for these factors. Our model is based on a number of a lower value of the ordering efciency equates to a higher
assumptions. It is assumed that the initiation of each periodic efciency.
order cycle incurs a certain xed order cost. The proposed model The rst derivative of Eq. (6) is taken with regard to K and set
also assumes that the total demand level is known and constant. to zero, and solved. The results are given by
The annual consumption/production rate and related inventory @TC R0 OD
holding costs can be estimated in advance and reected in the 1 8
@K Q
annual purchase plan. The mathematical formula for our model is
given by @R Q
 9
RD Q @K OD
TC O IH JCD K V X 3 The rst derivative of Eq. (7) is taken with regard to K. The
Q 2
result is given by
r
2ORD
Q 4 @R
bMNebK bRN o 0 10
HI @K
where Setting Eq. (9) equal to Eq. (10) and substituting Eq. (4) for Q in
  Eq. (11) yield Eq. (12). Then, by solving Eq. (12), we derive the
dc c
I 1 ; 0rIr1 5 optimal ordering efciency, Rn, and the optimal order quantity, Qn,
d d
from Eqs. (14) and (16), respectively.
In this model, the total cost, TC, includes six cost components:
Q
ordering cost, inventory holding cost, operating cost, investment  bRN 11
OD
cost for ordering efciency (K), investment cost for JIT efciency (V),
and investment cost for operating efciency (X). Eq. (4) shows the r
2ORD
optimal order quantity which minimizes the total cost. Eq. (5) bRNOD 12
HI
indicates that JIT efciency (I) improves as the daily delivery rate (d)
approaches the daily consumption rate (c).
2ORD
In the following subsections, we examine: (1) investment RN2 13
in the ordering efciency, (2) investment in the JIT efciency,
b2 O2 D2 HI
(3) investment in the operating efciency, and (4) simultaneous p
RFID investment decisions. R s s2 N 2 14
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where The rst derivative of Eq. (19) is taken with regard to V and set
1 to zero, and solved. The results are given by
s N 2
15
Hb ODI
@TC HI0 Q
1 21
Q @V 2
 bRN
OD @I 2
 22
Q  bR NOD 16 @V HQ
The rst derivative of Eq. (20) is taken with regard to V. The
Given the optimal ordering efciency, Rn, then the optimal
result is given by
investment, Kn, is derived from
lnR N=MN @I
lULelV lIL o 0
K 17 @V
23
b
Setting Eq. (22) equal to Eq. (23) and substituting Eq. (4) for Q
in Eq. (24) yield Eq. (25). Then, by solving Eq. (25), we derive the
3.1.1. The minimum demand level for RFID investment in the
optimal JIT efciency, In, and the optimal order quantity, Qn, from
ordering efciency
Eqs. (27) and (30), respectively.
To identify the minimum demand level for the optimal
investment during a planning period, Eq. (14) is set less than or 2
 lIL 24
equal to M and solved, resulting in Eq. (18). Note that the HQ
minimum demand level can be derived from Eq. (18) without the r
2
optimal solution. Therefore, 2M=MN2 Hb OI can serve as a 2 2ORD
25
threshold value for the RFID investment. HlIL HI

2M 4HI
DZ 2
18 IL2 26
MN2 Hb OI 2
2H2 l ORD
p
I w w2 L2 27
3.2. RFID investment in the JIT efciency
where
JIT efciency is dened as the degree to which the time gap 1
w L 28
between the point of delivery and the time of the consumption/ 2
Hl ORD
production is reduced by the investment, V. Mathematically, the JIT
efciency is calculated by: I 1c=d; 0 r I r1 where d is the daily 2
 lIL 29
delivery rate and c is the daily consumption rate. The improvement of HQ
the JIT efciency decreases the inventory management costs by
2
narrowing the time gap between the point of delivery and the time of Q 30
HlI L
the consumption/production. The decreasing time gap is attributable
to the fact that among others, RFID enhances the accuracy of the Given the optimal JIT efciency, In, then the optimal invest-
inventory information, resulting in a better control of shrinkage, ment, Vn, is derived from the following equation:
misplacement of products, and automated ow of materials. RFID is lnI L=UL
V 31
not only a data collection technology, but also a technology to help l
businesses further streamline their production ow. While the
inventory holding cost is related to rent for the required space, labor 3.2.1. The minimum demand level for RFID investment
to operate the space, interest on money invested in the inventory and in the JIT efciency
space, and other direct/indirect expenses, the JIT efciency is a To identify the minimum demand level during a planning period
technology-enabled improvement. Improving the JIT efciency is for the optimal investment in the JIT efciency, Eq. (27) is set less
achieved by the investment in a particular RFID technology. than or equal to U and solved, resulting in the following equation:
Several characteristics of RFID technology make the improve- 2U
ment of the JIT efciency possible. RFID has been instrumental in DZ 2
32
UL2 Hl OR
generating a constant ow of delivery information around-the-
clock. RFID can also help transport items more efciently by
cross-docking, tracking, and just-in-time delivery. Let V represent 3.3. RFID investment in the operating efciency
the investment in the reduction of the JIT efciency. The cost
minimization model is dened as Operating efciency is dened as the degree to which the
RD Q operating cost per unit is reduced by the investment, X. Several
Min TC O IH JCD V 19 characteristics of RFID technology make the reduction of operat-
Q 2
ing/maintenance cost of each item possible. Reducing inaccurate
An exponential investment function for the reduction of the inventory counts, preventing misplacement of goods, identifying
JIT efciency, I, is dened as defective items, and monitoring the condition of stored goods are
I L ULelV , 0 rL rU r 1 and 0 r V r1 20 among the benets from the operating efciency. For example,
holding conditions for certain goods are automatically monitored
When there is no RFID investment in the JIT efciency, the
and alerted to warehouse managers when the conditions are not
lowest efciency, U, is incurred. L is the highest efciency
met, thereby minimizing the spoilage costs. As RFID technology
possible. When I is equal to 1, all ordered goods are assumed to
improves the operating efciency, but incurs the RFID investment
be delivered at the beginning of each order cycle. When I is equal
cost, the following cost minimization model is suggested.
to 0, zero inventory costs are incurred (i.e., just-in-time
inventory). I of 0 implies that all ordered goods are consumed RD Q
Min TC O IH JCD X 33
immediately as soon as the delivery is made. Q 2
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Let us assume that the operating efciency, J, is an exponential cost at the same time. Since we consider the ordering efciency,
function with base e. JIT efciency, and operating efciency for the RFID investment
decisions, the investment costs, K, V, and X are incorporated in
J E AEewX ; 0 rE rA r 1 and 0 r J r 1 34
RD Q
where A is the lowest operating efciency achieved when there is Min TC O IH JCD K V X 41
Q 2
no investment in RFID technology and E is the highest operating
efciency achievable by the investment, X. If the rst derivative of Since lIL=bRN I=R, by setting I 2 lHQL=lHQ and
TC is taken with regard to the investment, X and set to zero, and R Q bODN=bOD we can derive Eq. (42) to obtain the optimal
solved, then the results are order quantity, Qn.
r
@TC 2ODN
Q  f f
2
J0 CD 1 35 42
@X HL
where
@J 1
 36
@X CD bl
f 43
The rst derivative of Eq. (34) is taken with regard to X. The lbHL
n n n n
result is given by Given the optimal order quantity, Q , we obtain R , I , K and
@J Vn as follows:
wAEewX wJE o 0 37
@X Q  bODN
R 44
Setting Eq. (36) equal to Eq. (37), we derive the optimal bOD
operating efciency, Jn, from the following equation:
2 lHQ  L
1 I 45
J E 38 lHQ 
CDw
Given the optimal operating efciency, Jn, then the optimal lnR N=MN
K 46
investment, Xn, is derived from the following equation: b
ln1=CDwAE lnI L=UL
X 39 V 47
w l

3.3.1. The minimum demand level for RFID investment in the


4. Analysis of RFID investment with an illustrative scenario
operating efciency
To identify the minimum demand level during a planning
period for the optimal investment, Eq. (38) is set less than or equal This section examines the performance of different investment
to A and solved, resulting in Eq. (40). If the demand level is greater strategies discussed above and conducts sensitivity analyses to
than or equal to 1=C wAE, there is an optimal investment level. understand model behaviors of the investment decisions by
changing parameter values. The base parameter values assumed
1 are presented below.
DZ 40
C wAE Base parameters

O xed order cost of $10,000 per order cycle


3.4. Simultaneous RFID investment decisions
H annual inventory holding cost of $1000 per unit
D annual demand of 120,000 units
To improve the RFID investment productivity further, we C operating cost of $10 per unit
develop mathematical procedures to solve investment decisions M 1.0
for the optimal ordering efciency and the JIT efciency simulta- N 0.3
neously. The simultaneous RFID investment decisions refer to the U 1.0
investment considerations in which both the ordering efciency L 0.2
and the JIT efciency variables are solved at the same time in the A 1.0
hope of saving investment costs further. On the other hand, the E 0.5
previous three investment decisions are sequential in that only one l 0.00001
decision variable is solved at a time. Note that the operating b 0.00002
efciency does not need the simultaneous investment decisions.
w 0.00002
In the sequential RFID investments, the three investment
decisions are made independent of each other. Simultaneous RFID
investments are made by considering the interdependence of the Using Eq. (18), the minimum demand level required for the RFID
three decisions. The simultaneous investment decisions refer to investment in the ordering efciency is given at 1021. At the demand
the investment considerations in which both the ordering level of less than 1021, no optimal investment can be found. As can
efciency and the JIT efciency decision variables are solved at be seen from Fig. 1, both no investment and optimal investment
the same time in the hope of saving investment costs further. The incur the same total cost at the demand level of 1021. As the demand
rationale for the simultaneous investments is the consideration of level increases, the benets of investing in ordering efciency
the interaction effect between the ordering cost and the inventory increase. Fig. 2 shows that the ordering efciency improves rapidly
holding cost. The sequential investment does not consider the near the minimum demand level, and the rate of improvement slows
interaction effects and may result in the overinvestment in each down as the demand level increases. Our analysis indicates that an
efciency category. The simultaneous investment decision will organization with a large demand level (e.g., Wal-Mart) can achieve
lead to an optimal investment, considering the interaction effects a greater cost advantage from RFID technology than an organization
between the order cost and the inventory cost. Billington (2003) with a small demand, since a marginal increase in investment
showed the benets of reducing both the holding cost and setup provides large savings in the total cost.
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320 I. Lee, B.-C. Lee / Int. J. Production Economics 125 (2010) 313323

Fig. 1. Comparison of total cost between no investment and investment in ordering efciency.

Fig. 2. The relationship between optimal ordering efciency and the demand level.

Table 3
Performance of simultaneous RFID investment.

No. RFID investments (A) Sequential RFID Simultaneous RFID Improvement (A  C) Improvement (B  C)
investment (B) investment (C)

TCn $2,749,193 $1,633,831 $1,612,151 $1,137,042 $21,680


Rn 1 0.3375 0.3693 0.6307  0.0318
In 1 0.2667 0.3202 0.6798  0.0535
Jn 1 0.5417 0.5417 0.4583 0.0000
Kn 0 $146,337 $115,615  $115,615 $30,722
Vn 0 $248,491 $189,538  $189,538 $58,953
Xn 0 $124,245 $124,245  $124,245 0
Kn + V n + X n 0 $519,073 $429,398  $429,398 $89,675

The analysis of the JIT efciency also shows a similar pattern to for the ordering and JIT efciencies achieve greater efciencies
the previous analysis in the total cost reduction. A minimum than the simultaneous RFID investment decisions, they result in
demand level of 3125 for the investment in the JIT efciency is overinvestment and the larger total cost. Fig. 3 shows that as the
derived from Eq. (32). At the demand level of less than 3125, demand level increases, the cost savings of the simultaneous RFID
no feasible solution for investment can be found. Eq. (4),
p investment become greater than those of the sequential RFID
Q  2ORD=HI, suggests that as the ordering efciency of investment.
R improves, the optimal order quantity decreases, and as the Further scenario-based analysis was conducted by changing
JIT efciency of I improves, the optimal order quantity increases. parameter values. Figs. 4 and 5 show the impact of different values
Table 3 presents the improvement made by the simultaneous of the xed order cost and the inventory cost on the benets,
RFID investment decisions over the sequential RFID investment respectively. The results show that the order cost and the inventory
decisions at the demand level of 120,000. In the sequential RFID cost are highly related with the benets of RFID. While the RFID
investment decisions, the two investment decisions are made investment increases marginally, the higher the order cost and the
independently. While the sequential RFID investment decisions inventory cost are, the greater the benets of RFID are.
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Fig. 3. Cost saving by simultaneous RFID investment over sequential RFID investment.

Fig. 4. Change of xed order cost per cycle and benets.

Fig. 5. Change of inventory cost per unit and benets.


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322 I. Lee, B.-C. Lee / Int. J. Production Economics 125 (2010) 313323

5. Conclusions method requires the experts to answer questionnaires in two or


more rounds. After each round, a facilitator provides an
Advances in RFID technology hold great promise for lowering anonymous summary of the experts parameter estimates from
transaction costs and speeding up order fulllment processes. the previous round as well as the reasons for their judgments.
However, despite the popularity of RFID technology, no signicant Then, experts are asked again to revise their earlier estimates in
statistics are available on the ROI of various RFID technologies and light of the estimates of other members in the group. During this
effectiveness of management practices because of the limited repetitive process, the range of the parameter values will decrease
history with RFID. The growing RFID adoption in the industry and the group will converge towards the best estimate. The black
raises an important question for many organizations on the box approach can be used when it is difcult to estimate
optimal/sound investment level. For example, an organization parameter values. For example, one may use a variety of RFID
may need to decide the most cost-effective technology among a technology options on a small trial basis and see how much
number of alternative technology choices ranging from pallet improvement/saving can be obtained. The black-box approach
level tagging to item level tagging. will facilitate the understanding of the impact of the RFID
Many risks may lie ahead in the management of RFID investment and provide estimates of parameter values from the
technologies, as we have already observed signs of overinvest- trial-runs of the technology. While this approach is less
ment in RFID infrastructure. In 2003, Wal-Mart announced that by sophisticated than a full-scale analysis, it is a fast solution and
January, 2005 its top 100 suppliers will be required to implement can be used in conjunction with the Delphi method and AHP.
RFID at the pallet and case level for all of their products, thus Accounting practices such as Activity-Based Cost Accounting can
streamlining the supply chain processes. Since then, only about help identify the sources of cost in great detail. Many organiza-
600 of Wal-Marts over 60,000 nationwide suppliers have engaged tions have already utilized data warehousing and sales database
in the project. Despite support from major suppliers such as to analyze the historical demand patterns and to forecast the
Procter & Gamble, Kimberly-Clark, and Unilever, Wal-Mart is future demand during the planning period.
reshaping its RFID strategy due to unexpected organizational and To the best of our knowledge, our study is the rst effort in
technical challenges. Wal-Marts abrupt change of plan demon- developing an analytical normative Supply Chain RFID Investment
strates that in time of this early stage of technology diffusion, Evaluation Model and analyzing the impact of RFID technologies
IT managers cannot emphasize enough the importance of the on the cost savings. While our model focuses on the business
solid justication of the RFID investment. organizations supply chain RFID technology, the model can be
To complement the body of studies that are mostly descriptive easily expanded to the investment decision-makings of other
in nature, we presented the Supply Chain RFID Investment areas such as hospitals, governments, and libraries that have
Evaluation Model. This model considers RFID investment oppor- similar cost structures and investment functions.
tunities to improve the ordering efciency, JIT efciency, and RFID valuation research needs to deepen our understanding of
operating efciency, and derives optimal investment levels for the relationships between RFID technology and value creations in
these efciencies. The model gives managers insights into why many levels of organizations. Otherwise, the valuation of RFID
individual companies should make different investment decisions will continue to be elusive and the investment will be based on
on RFID technology. While we used an exponential function with gut feelings rather than a rational decision. The Supply Chain RFID
a base e as a form of investment functions, other functional forms Investment Evaluation Model provides a solid foundation to
can be easily applied to the model and optimal investment assess RFID business value and optimal investment in RFID,
decisions can be readily made with the help of computer software moving beyond the descriptive RFID valuation studies to value
such as spreadsheet software. maximizing prescriptive studies, the outcomes of which should be
Without the widespread RFID adoption and further techno- able to guide our RFID professionals to plan on what RFID we need
logical breakthrough, the cost of RFID tags, readers, and software to invest; how much we need to invest; when we need to invest;
remains a barrier. Our analysis suggests that in general, a higher and how we can enhance the values.
demand level will result in a larger optimal investment but with
larger cost savings. For example, companies with a growth
strategy are likely to enjoy greater investment benets. An References
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