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Macroeconomics
1. Aggregate Demand.........................................................................................................................4
2. Methods of measuring GDP? ..........................................................................................................4
a.) Expenditure method: ..........................................................................................................4
b.) Income method: ..................................................................................................................5
c.) Production method: ................................................................................................................5
3. Gross National Income (GNI) ..........................................................................................................5
4. Inflation .........................................................................................................................................5
4.1 CPI ...........................................................................................................................................6
4.2 WPI ..........................................................................................................................................6
4.3 Cost Push and Demand Pull Inflation .........................................................................................6
4.3.1 Cost-Push Inflation .............................................................................................................7
4.3.2 Demand-Pull Inflation ........................................................................................................8
5. Deflation ....................................................................................................................................9
6. Monetary Policy .........................................................................................................................9
7. Money Supply .......................................................................................................................... 11
8. Fiscal Policy .............................................................................................................................. 13
8.1 Expansionary Fiscal Policy ....................................................................................................... 13
8.2 Contractionary Fiscal Policy..................................................................................................... 13
8.3 Tools of Fiscal Policy ............................................................................................................... 14
8.3.1 Changes in government spending Governance .................................................................. 14
8.3.2 Changes in taxation .......................................................................................................... 14
8.3.3 Automatic Stabilizers........................................................................................................ 14
8.4 Fiscal Policy and the Multiplier ................................................................................................ 14
8.5 The Budget Balance ................................................................................................................ 15
8.7 Government Budgets .............................................................................................................. 15
8.8 Deficits Versus Debt ................................................................................................................ 15
8.9 Types of Deficits ..................................................................................................................... 15
8.10 Should the Budget Be Balanced? ........................................................................................... 16
8.11 Problems Posed by Rising Government Debt ......................................................................... 16
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Table of Contents II. Bond Basics
1. Bond Characteristics ................................................................................................................. 17
2. Types of Bonds ......................................................................................................................... 17
2.1 Based on the issuer: ................................................................................................................ 17
2.2 Variations in bonds based on features: .................................................................................... 17
3. Relationship between bond price and Interest Rates ................................................................. 18
5.1 Slope of the Yield Curve .......................................................................................................... 19
5.1.1 Normal Yield Curve .......................................................................................................... 19
5.1.2 Flat Yield Curve ................................................................................................................ 19
5.1.3 Inverted Yield Curve ......................................................................................................... 20
5.2 Yield data (for the week ended September 9, 2016) ................................................................. 21
2
2.8 Calculating Indices .................................................................................................................. 30
3. Capital Market Instruments ...................................................................................................... 33
3.1 Deep Discount Bonds .............................................................................................................. 33
3.2 Equity Shares with Detachable Warrants ................................................................................. 33
3.3 Fully Convertible Debentures with Interest.............................................................................. 33
3.4 Equity Preference Shares ........................................................................................................ 34
3.5 Sweat Equity Shares................................................................................................................ 34
3.6 Disaster Bonds ........................................................................................................................ 34
3.7 Mortgage Backed Securities (MBS) .......................................................................................... 34
3.8 Global Depository Receipts/ American Depository Receipts ..................................................... 35
3.9 Foreign Currency Convertible Bonds (FCCBs)............................................................................ 36
3. 10 Derivatives........................................................................................................................... 37
3.10.1 Futures .......................................................................................................................... 37
3.10.2 Options .......................................................................................................................... 38
3.11 Participatory Notes ............................................................................................................... 38
3.12 Hedge Fund .......................................................................................................................... 39
3.13 Fund of Funds ....................................................................................................................... 39
4. Call Money Market ................................................................................................................... 39
4.1 Need for call money market .................................................................................................... 39
4.2 Money market instruments..................................................................................................... 40
4.2.1 T-Bills .................................................................................................................................. 41
4.2.2 Commercial paper................................................................................................................ 41
4.2.3 Certificate of deposits (CD) ................................................................................................... 42
4.2.4 Repurchase agreements (Repo) ............................................................................................ 42
4.2.5 Bankers Acceptance: ............................................................................................................ 43
5. Derivatives Market ................................................................................................................... 43
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I. MACROECONOMICS
1. Aggregate Demand
The total amount of goods and services demanded in the economy at a given overall price
level and in a given time period. It is represented by the aggregate-demand curve, which
describes the relationship between price levels and the quantity of output that firms are
willing to provide. Normally there is a negative relationship between aggregate demand and
the price level. It is also known as "total spending".
Aggregate demand is the demand for the gross domestic product (GDP) of a country, and is
represented by this formula:
Aggregate Demand (AD) = C + I + G + (X-M)
C = Consumers' expenditures on goods and services
I = Investment spending by companies on capital goods
G = Government expenditures on publicly provided goods and services
X = Exports of goods and services
M = Imports of goods and services.
4. Inflation
To calculate inflation, the number of goods that are representative of the economy are put
together into what is referred to as a "market basket." The cost of this basket is then
compared over time. This results in a price index, which is the cost of the market basket today
as a percentage of the cost of that identical basket in the starting year.
There are two main price indexes that measure inflation:
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4.1 CPI
CPI uses a "basket of goods" approach that aims to compare a consistent base of products
from year to year, focusing on products that are bought and used by consumers on a daily
basis. The CPI measures price change from the perspective of the retail buyer. It is the real
index for the common people. It reflects the actual inflation that is borne by the
individual. CPI is designed to measure changes over time in the level of retail prices of
selected goods and services on which consumers of a defined group spend their incomes.
Till January 2012, in India CPI was calculated based on
1. Industrial Workers (IW) (base 2001),
2. Agricultural Labourer (AL) (base 1986-87) and
3. Rural Labourer (RL) (base 1986-87)
4. Urban Non-Manual Employees (UNME) (base 1984-85)
However, these did not encompass all the segments of the population and thus, did not
reflect the true picture of the price behaviour in the country as a whole.
Thus, now Central Statistics Office (CSO) of the Ministry of Statistics and Programme
Implementation has started compiling a new series of CPI for the
1. CPI for the entire urban population - CPI (Urban)
2. CPI for the entire rural population - CPI (Rural)
3. Consolidated CPI for Urban + Rural will also be compiled based on above two CPIs
These would reflect the changes in the price level of various goods and services consumed
by the urban and rural population. These new indices are now compiled at State / UT and all
India levels.
4.2 WPI
It is an index that measures and tracks the changes in price of goods in the stages before the
retail level. Wholesale price indexes (WPIs) report monthly to show the average price
changes of goods sold in bulk, and they are a group of the indicators that follow growth in
the economy.
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4.3.1 Cost-Push Inflation
Aggregate supply is the total volume of
goods and services produced by an
economy at a given price level. When
there is a decrease in the aggregate
supply of goods and services stemming
from an increase in the cost of
production, we have cost-push inflation.
Cost-push inflation basically means that
prices have been "pushed up" by
increases in costs of any of the four
factors of production (labor, capital, land or entrepreneurship) when companies are already
running at full production capacity. With higher production costs and productivity
maximized, companies cannot maintain profit margins by producing the same amounts of
goods and services. As a result, the increased costs are passed on to consumers, causing a
rise in the general price level (inflation).
Cost-push inflation occurs when businesses respond to rising costs, by increasing their
prices to protect profit margins. There are many reasons why costs might rise:
1. Component costs: e.g. an increase in the prices of raw materials and components. This
might be because of a rise in global commodity prices such as oil, gas copper and
agricultural products used in food processing a good recent example is the surge in the
world price of wheat.
3. Higher indirect taxes imposed by the government for example a rise in the duty on
alcohol, cigarettes and petrol/diesel or a rise in the standard rate of Value Added Tax.
Depending on the price elasticity of demand and supply, suppliers may pass on the
burden of the tax onto consumers.
4. A fall in the exchange rate this can cause cost push inflation because it normally leads
to an increase in the prices of imported products. For example during 2007-08 the pound
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fell heavily against the Euro leading to a jump in the prices of imported materials from
Euro Zone countries.
Cost-push inflation can be illustrated by an inward shift of the short run aggregate supply
curve. The fall in SRAS causes a contraction of GDP together with a rise in the level of prices.
One of the risks of cost-push inflation is that it can lead to stagflation.
1. A depreciation of the exchange rate which makes exports more competitive in overseas
markets leading to an injection of fresh demand into the circular flow and a rise in
national and demand for factor resources there may also be a positive multiplier effect
on the level of demand and output arising from the initial boost to export sales.
2. Higher demand from a government (fiscal) stimulus e.g. via a reduction in direct or
indirect taxation or higher government spending and borrowing. If direct taxes are
reduced, consumers will have more disposable income causing demand to rise. Higher
government spending and increased borrowing feeds through directly into extra
demand in the circular flow.
3. Monetary stimulus to the economy: A fall in interest rates may stimulate too much
demand for example in raising demand for loans or in causing rise in house price
inflation.
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4. Faster economic growth in other countries providing a boost to UK exports overseas.
5. Improved business confidence which prompts firms to raise prices and achieve better
profit margins
Demand pull inflation is most likely to occur when an economy is becoming stretched and
is said to be danger of over-heating. This is often seen towards the end of a boom when
output is expanding beyond the economys usual capacity to supply, the result being higher
prices and also a larger trade deficit.
5. Deflation
It is a general decline in prices, often caused by a reduction in the supply of money or credit.
Deflation can be caused also by a decrease in government, personal or investment spending.
The opposite of inflation, deflation has the side effect of increased unemployment since there
is a lower level of demand in the economy, which can lead to an economic depression. Central
banks attempt to stop severe deflation, along with severe inflation, in an attempt to keep the
excessive drop in prices to a minimum.
6. Monetary Policy
Monetary policy is the macroeconomic policy laid down by the central bank. It involves
management of money supply and interest rate and is the demand side economic policy used
by the government of a country to achieve macroeconomic objectives like inflation,
consumption, growth and liquidity.
In India, monetary policy of the Reserve Bank of India is aimed at managing the quantity of
money in order to meet the requirements of different sectors of the economy and to increase
the pace of economic growth.
The RBI implements the monetary policy through open market operations, bank rate policy,
reserve system, credit control policy and through many other instruments. Using any of these
instruments will lead to changes in the interest rate, or the money supply in the economy.
Monetary policy can be expansionary and contractionary in nature. Increasing money supply
and reducing interest rates indicate an expansionary policy. The reverse of this is a
contractionary monetary policy.
For instance, liquidity is important for an economy to spur growth. To maintain liquidity, the
RBI is dependent on the monetary policy. By purchasing bonds through open market
operations, the RBI introduces money in the system and reduces the interest rate.
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Statutory Liquidity Ratio (21.5%): The minimum percentage of deposits that the bank has to
maintain in form of gold, cash or other approved securities. Every bank is required to maintain
at the close of business every day, a minimum proportion of their Net Demand and Time
Liabilities as liquid assets in the form of cash, gold and un-encumbered approved securities.
The ratio of liquid assets to demand and time liabilities is known as Statutory Liquidity Ratio
(SLR). RBI is empowered to increase this ratio up to 40%. An increase in SLR also restricts the
banks leverage position to pump more money into the economy.
Cash Reserve Ratio (4%): Banks in India need to hold a certain proportion of their deposits in
the form of cash. Higher the ratio (i.e. CRR), the lower is the amount that banks will be able
to use for lending and investment. This power of RBI to reduce the lendable amount by
increasing the CRR makes it an instrument in the hands of a central bank through which it can
control the amount that banks lend. Thus, it is a tool used by RBI to control liquidity in the
banking system.
Repo rate (6.5%): Repo (Repurchase) rate is the rate at which the RBI lends shot-term money
to the banks against securities. When the repo rate increases borrowing from RBI becomes
more expensive. Therefore, RBI wants to make it more expensive for the banks to borrow
money, it increases the repo rate; similarly, if it wants to make it cheaper for banks to borrow
money, it reduces the repo rate
Reverse Repo rate (6%): Reverse Repo rate is the rate at which banks park their short-term
excess liquidity with the RBI. The banks use this tool when they feel that they are stuck with
excess funds and are not able to invest anywhere for reasonable returns. An increase in the
reverse repo rate means that the RBI is ready to borrow money from the banks at a higher
rate of interest. As a result, banks would prefer to keep more and more surplus funds with
RBI.
Marginal Standing Facility (7%): MSF rate is the rate at which banks borrow funds overnight
from the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) against approved government securities. This came into
effect in May 2011. Under the Marginal Standing Facility (MSF), currently banks avail funds
from the RBI on overnight basis against their excess statutory liquidity ratio (SLR) holdings.
Additionally, they can also avail funds on overnight basis below the stipulated SLR up to 2.5%
of their respective Net Demand and Time Liabilities (NDTL) outstanding at the end of second
preceding fortnight.
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7. Money Supply
In economics, the money supply or money stock is the total amount of monetary
assets available in an economy at a specific time. Money supply includes currency in
circulation and demand deposits (generally savings and current accounts in the commercial
banks).
That relation between money and prices is historically associated with the quantity theory of
money. There is strong empirical evidence of a direct relation between money-supply growth
and long-term price inflation, at least for rapid increases in the amount of money in the
economy. That is, a country such as Zimbabwe which saw rapid increases in its money supply
also saw rapid increases in prices (hyperinflation). This is one reason for the reliance
on monetary policy as a means of controlling inflation.
The nature of this causal chain is the subject of contention. Some heterodox economists argue
that the money supply is endogenous (determined by the workings of the economy, not by
the central bank) and that the sources of inflation must be found in the distributional structure
of the economy.
In addition, those economists seeing the central bank's control over the money supply as
feeble say that there are two weak links between the growth of the money supply and the
inflation rate. First, in the aftermath of a recession, when many resources are underutilized,
an increase in the money supply can cause a sustained increase in real production instead of
inflation. Second, if the velocity of money, i.e., the ratio between nominal GDP and money
supply changes, an increase in the money supply could have either no effect, an exaggerated
effect, or an unpredictable effect on the growth of nominal GDP.
The Reserve Bank of India defines the monetary aggregates as:
Reserve Money (M0): Currency in circulation + Bankers deposits with the RBI + Other
deposits with the RBI = Net RBI credit to the Government + RBI credit to the commercial
sector + RBIs claims on banks + RBIs net foreign assets + Governments currency
liabilities to the public RBIs net non-monetary liabilities.
M1: Currency with the public + Deposit money of the public (Demand deposits with the
banking system + Other deposits with the RBI).
M2: M1 + Savings deposits with Post office savings banks.
M3: M1+ Time deposits with the banking system = Net bank credit to the Government +
Bank credit to the commercial sector + Net foreign exchange assets of the banking sector
+ Governments currency liabilities to the public Net non-monetary liabilities of the
banking sector (Other than Time Deposits).
M4: M3 + All deposits with post office savings banks (excluding National Savings
Certificates).
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Central banks around the world control the money supply using various tools at their disposal.
The tools are broadly classified as below:
1. A change in reserve requirements
The reserve ratio is the percentage of reserves a bank is required to hold against deposits.
A decrease in the ratio will allow the bank to lend more, thereby increasing the supply of
money. An increase in the ratio will have the opposite effect.
2. A change in the discount rate
The discount rate is the interest rate that the central bank charges commercial banks that
need to borrow additional reserves. It is an administered interest rate set by the Fed, not
a market rate; therefore, much of its importance stems from the signal the central bank
is sending to the financial markets. As a result, short-term market interest rates tend to
follow its movement. If the central bank wants to give banks more reserves, it can reduce
the interest rate that it charges, thereby tempting banks to borrow more. Alternatively,
it can soak up reserves by raising its rate and persuading the banks to reduce borrowing.
3. Open-market operations
Open-market operations consist of the buying and selling of government securities by the
central bank. If the bank buys back issued securities (such as Treasury bills) from large
banks and securities dealers, it increases the money supply in the hands of the public.
Conversely, the money supply decreases when the bank sells a security. In the case of an
open-market purchase of securities by the central bank, it is more realistic for the seller
of the securities to receive a check drawn on the bank itself. When the seller deposits it
in his or her bank, the bank is automatically granted an increased reserve balance with
the central bank. Thus, the new reserves can be used to support additional loans. Through
this process, the money supply increases. The monetary expansion following an open-
market operation involves adjustments by banks and the public. The bank in which the
original check from the Fed is deposited now has a reserve ratio that may be too high. In
other words, its reserves and deposits have gone up by the same amount; therefore, its
ratio of reserves to deposits has risen. To reduce this ratio of reserves to deposits, it
chooses to expand loans.
When the bank makes an additional loan, the person receiving the loan gets a bank
deposit. At this stage, when the bank makes a loan, the money supply rises by more than
the amount of the open-market operation. This multiple expansion of the money supply
is called the money multiplier.
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8. Fiscal Policy
Fiscal policy is the use of taxes, government transfers, or government purchases of goods and
services to shift the aggregate demand curve.
Discretionary Fiscal Policy: government takes deliberate actions through legislation to
alter spending or taxation policies
Inflation: The rate at which the general level of prices for goods and services is rising, and,
subsequently, purchasing power is falling.
Deflation: A general decline in prices, often caused by a reduction in the supply of money
or credit. Deflation can be caused also by a decrease in government, personal or investment
spending. The opposite of inflation.
Disinflation: A slowing in the rate of price inflation. Disinflation is used to describe
instances when the inflation rate has reduced marginally over the short term. Although it is
used to describe periods of slowing inflation, disinflation should not be confused with
deflation.
Hyper-Inflation: Extremely rapid or out of control inflation. Hyperinflation is a situation
where the price increases are so out of control that the concept of inflation is meaningless.
Stagflation: A condition of slow economic growth and relatively high unemployment - a
time of stagnation - accompanied by a rise in prices, or inflation
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8.3 Tools of Fiscal Policy
14
8.5 The Budget Balance
Other things equal, discretionary expansionary fiscal policiesincreased government
purchases of goods and services, higher government transfers, or lower taxesreduce the
budget balance for that year
That is, expansionary fiscal policies make a budget surplus smaller or a budget deficit
bigger
Conversely, contractionary fiscal policiessmaller government purchases of goods and
services, smaller government transfers, or higher taxesincrease the budget balance for
that year, making a budget surplus bigger or a budget deficit smaller
Some of the fluctuations in the budget balance are due to the effects of the business cycle
In order to separate the effects of the business cycle from the effects of discretionary fiscal
policy, governments estimate the cyclically adjusted budget balance, an estimate of the
budget balance if the economy were at potential output
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8.10 Should the Budget Be Balanced?
Most economists dont believe the government should be forced to run a balanced
budget every year because this would undermine the role of taxes and transfers as
automatic stabilizers
Yet policy makers concerned about excessive deficits sometimes feel that rigid rules
prohibitingor at least setting an upper limit ondeficits are necessary
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II. BOND BASICS
1. Bond Characteristics
A bond is a fixed income security with the following characteristics:
1. Face value/Par value: The face value (also known as the par value or principal) is
the amount of money a holder will get back once a bond matures. The par value is not
the price of the bond (the bonds price fluctuates throughout its life). When a bond
trades at a price above the face value, it is said to be selling at a premium. When a bond
sells below face value, it is said to be selling at a discount.
2. Coupon: The coupon is the amount the bondholder will receive as interest
payments. The coupon is expressed as a percentage of the par value. If a bond pays a
coupon of 10% and its par value is $1,000, then it'll pay $100 of interest a year.
3. Maturity: The maturity date is the date in the future on which the investor's
principal will be repaid
4. Yield: the return provided by a fixed income investment = Coupon/ Bond purchase
price
5. Yield to Maturity: total return you will receive if you hold the bond to maturity
2. Types of Bonds
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3. Relationship between bond price and Interest Rates
Interest rates and bond prices have an inverse relationship. When interest rates fall, bond
prices usually rise and when interest rates rise, bond prices usually fall.
Example: An investor buys a new bond for $1,000 that has a 6% interest payment (yield)
earning $60 in interest each year. (This interest payment is generally referred to as a
coupon.) If interest rates increase by 1%, new bonds will provide a 7% interest payment,
paying investors $70 annually. Because investors will now be able to buy a bond with a
higher interest payment (higher yield), not as many people will want to buy the 6% bonds.
This decline in demand will cause the value of the 6% bond to fall.
4. Bond Valuation
The value of a bond at any time is simply the present value of the remaining cash flows.
Consider a bond having a coupon of 10% and 3 years remaining to maturity. The face
value/par value of the bond is Rs.1000. The bond gives has a yield to maturity of 12.5%.
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5. Yield curve analysis
The yield curve is a favourite market indicator of analysts and investors around the world.
Lets look at how we can use the yield curve to analyse current market conditions and
project future market conditions.
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5.1.3 Inverted Yield Curve
An inverted yield curve tells us that investors believe the Federal Reserve is going to
be dramatically cutting interest rates. Typically, the Federal Reserve has to
dramatically cut interest rates during a recession. Therefore, an inverted yield curve
is often a sign that the economy is in, or is headed for, a recession.
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5.2 Yield data (for the week ended September 9, 2016)
The table below shows the latest yields per the maturities. If you plot this on the graph,
it will be an upward slopping (or normal) yield curve.
Date 1 Mo 3 Mo 6 Mo 1 Yr 2 Yr 3 Yr 5 Yr 7 Yr 10 Yr 20 Yr 30 Yr
09/01/16 0.27 0.33 0.47 0.60 0.78 0.91 1.18 1.44 1.57 1.90 2.23
09/02/16 0.25 0.33 0.45 0.59 0.80 0.92 1.20 1.47 1.60 1.95 2.28
09/06/16 0.24 0.32 0.45 0.56 0.74 0.86 1.13 1.40 1.55 1.90 2.24
09/07/16 0.25 0.34 0.49 0.57 0.74 0.86 1.12 1.39 1.54 1.89 2.23
09/08/16 0.26 0.35 0.50 0.57 0.78 0.91 1.19 1.46 1.61 1.98 2.32
09/09/16 0.24 0.35 0.51 0.58 0.79 0.93 1.23 1.51 1.67 2.05 2.39
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III. CAPITAL MARKETS
Types of Markets Primary and Secondary
1. Primary Markets
It is a market that issues new securities on an exchange. It is used by Companies,
governments and other groups obtain financing through debt or equity based securities.
The primary markets are where investors can get first crack at a new security issuance.
The issuing company or group receives cash proceeds from the sale, which is then used
to fund operations or expand the business. Primary markets are facilitated by
underwriting groups, which consist of investment banks that will set a beginning price
range for a given security and then oversee its sale directly to investors.
IPOIt is the first sale of stock by a private company to the public. IPOs are often issued
by smaller, younger companies seeking the capital to expand, but can also be done by
large privately owned companies looking to become publicly traded.
In an IPO, the issuer obtains the assistance of an underwriting firm, which helps it
determine what type of security to issue (common or preferred), the best offering price
and the time to bring it to market. For further information -
http://www.sebi.gov.in/faq/pubissuefaq.pdf
Prospectus- A formal legal document, which is required by and filed with the SEBI that
provides details about an investment offering for sale to the public. A prospectus should
contain the facts that an investor needs to make an informed investment decision.
Book Building- SEBI guidelines defines Book Building as "a process undertaken by which
a demand for the securities proposed to be issued by a body corporate is elicited and
built-up and the price for such securities is assessed for the determination of the quantum
of such securities to be issued by means of a notice, circular, advertisement, document
or information memoranda or offer document".
Book Building is basically a process used in Initial Public Offer (IPO) for efficient price
discovery. It is a mechanism where, during the period for which the IPO is open, bids are
collected from investors at various prices, which are above or equal to the floor price. The
offer price is determined after the bid closing date.
As per SEBI guidelines, an issuer company can issue securities to the public though
prospectus in the following manner:
100% of the net offer to the public through book building process
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75% of the net offer to the public through book building process and 25% at the
price determined through book building. The Fixed Price portion is conducted like
a normal public issue after the Book Built portion, during which the issue price is
determined.
The concept of Book Building is relatively new in India. However it is a common
practice in most developed countries.
2. Secondary Markets
This is the market wherein the trading of securities is done. Secondary market consists of
both equity as well as debt markets.
Securities issued by a company for the first time are offered to the public in the primary
market. Once the IPO is done and the stock is listed, they are traded in the secondary
market. The main difference between the two is that in the primary market, an investor
gets securities directly from the company through IPOs, while in the secondary market,
one purchases securities from other investors willing to sell the same.
Equity shares, bonds, preference shares, treasury bills, debentures, etc. are some of the
key products available in a secondary market. SEBI is the regulator of the same.
For the general investor, the secondary market provides an efficient platform for trading
of his securities. For the management of the company, Secondary equity markets serve
as a monitoring and control conduitby facilitating value-enhancing control activities,
enabling implementation of incentive-based management contracts, and aggregating
information (via price discovery) that guides management decisions.
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Difference between a demutualised exchange and mutual exchange
In a mutual exchange, the three functions of ownership, management and trading are
concentrated into a single Group. Here, the broker members of the exchange are both
the owners and the traders on the exchange and they further manage the exchange as
well. This at times can lead to conflicts of interest in decision making. A demutualised
exchange, on the other hand, has all these three functions clearly segregated, i.e. the
ownership, management and trading are in separate hands.
2.2.1 Equity: The ownership interest in a company of holders of its common and preferred
stock. The various kinds of equity shares are as follows:-
Rights Issue / Rights Shares: The issue of new securities to existing shareholders
at a ratio to those already held.
Bonus Shares: Shares issued by the companies to their shareholders free of cost
by capitalization of accumulated reserves from the profits earned in the earlier
years.
Preferred Stock / Preference shares: Owners of these kinds of shares are entitled
to a fixed dividend or dividend calculated at a fixed rate to be paid regularly before
dividend can be paid in respect of equity share. They also enjoy priority over the
equity shareholders in payment of surplus. But in the event of liquidation, their
claims rank below the claims of the companys creditors, bondholders / debenture
holders.
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Cumulative Convertible Preference Shares: A type of preference shares where
the dividend payable on the same accumulates, if not paid. After a specified date,
these shares will be converted into equity capital of the company.
Zero Coupon Bond: Bond issued at a discount and repaid at a face value. No
periodic interest is paid. The difference between the issue price and redemption
price represents the return to the holder. The buyer of these bonds receives only
one payment, at the maturity of the bond.
Convertible Bond: A bond giving the investor the option to convert the bond into
equity at a fixed conversion price.
Commercial Paper: A short term promise to repay a fixed amount that is placed
on the market either directly or through a specialized intermediary. It is usually
issued by companies with a high credit standing in the form of a promissory note
redeemable at par to the holder on maturity and therefore, doesnt require any
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guarantee. Commercial paper is a money market instrument issued normally for
tenure of 90 days.
Treasury Bills: Short-term (91 days, 182 days, 364 days) bearer discount security
issued by the Government as a means of financing its cash requirements.
2.4 Trading
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2.4.2 NEAT
NSE is the first exchange in the world to use satellite communication technology for
trading. Its trading system, called National Exchange for Automated Trading (NEAT),
is a state of-the-art client server based application. At the server end all trading
information is stored in an in-memory database to achieve minimum response time
and maximum system availability for users. For all trades entered into NEAT system,
there is uniform response time of less than one second.
2.4.3 BOLT
BSE On-Line Trading System, popularly known as the BOLT System took its genesis in
the year 1994, as part of the four-phase computerization program to create an
automated trading environment. BOLT system aimed at converting the Open Outcry
System of trading to a Screen-based trading system (SBT). In BOLT system buy and
sell orders entered by the Trading Members are known as "Bid" and "Offers",
respectively.
Order Addition/Modification/Cancellation
Random stoppage between 7th and 8th minute
9:00am -
Order Entry Period Dissemination of Indicative Price, Cumulative
9:07/08am
buy & sale Quantity & Indicative Index
Uniform price band of 20% is applicable
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Continuous Trading Session 9:15am 3:30pm Trades occur continuously as orders
match at time/price priority
2.6 Settlement
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- excluding Saturdays, Sundays, bank and Exchange trading holidays). The funds and
securities pay-in and pay-out are carried out on T+2 days.
Trading Members can modify the unconfirmed give up entry upto 11:00 a.m.
Confirmation of give up data by the Custodians upto 1:00 p.m.
T+1
Downloading of final securities and funds obligation statements by Trading
Members / custodians
Pay-in/Payout: Pay-in of funds and demat securities by 11:00 a.m. The Trading
Members to ensure availability of funds in their designated Clearing Bank account
and securities in their demat Pool/Principal Accounts by 10:30 a.m. In case of
delivery of securities in physical form, the Trading Members have to deliver the
T+2 securities to the Clearing House in special closed pouches along with the relevant
details like distinctive numbers, scrip code, quantity, etc., on a floppy between
9.30 a.m. to 10:30 a.m.
Pay-out of funds and securities by 1:30 p.m.
Auction on BOLT between 2.00 p.m. to 2.45 p.m.
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Auction Report Downloads to Trading Members between 3.00 p.m. to 3.15
p.m.
T+3 Auction pay-in and pay-out of funds and securities after 11.00 a.m.
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METHOD ADOPTED FOR SENSEX CACULATION
The method adopted for calculating Sensex is the market capitalisation weighted method in
which weights are assigned according to the size of the company. Larger the size, higher the
weightage.
The base year of Sensex is 1978-79 and the base index value is set to 100 for that period.
WHY IS THE BASE VALUE SET TO 100 POINTS?
The total value of shares in the market at the time of index construction is assumed to be
100 in terms of points. This is for the purpose of ease of calculation and to logically
represent the change in terms of percentage. So, next day, if the market capitalization moves
up 10%, the index also moves 10% to 110.
HOW ARE THE STOCKS SELECTED?
The stocks are selected based on a lot of qualitative and quantitative criterias. You can view
the listing criteria here.
HOW IS THE INDEX CONSTRUCTED?
The construction technique of index is quite easy to understand if we assume that there is
only one stock in the market. In that case, the base value is set to 100 and lets assume that
the stock is currently trading at 200. Tomorrow the price hits 260 (30% increase in price) so,
the index will move from 100 to 130 to indicate that 30% growth. Now lets assume that on
day 3, the stock finishes at 208. Thats a 20% fall from 260. So, to indicate that fall, the Sensex
will be corrected from 130 to 104(20%fall).
As our second step to understand the index calculation, let us try to extend the same logic
to two stocks A and B. A is trading at 200 and lets assume that the second stock B is
trading at 150. Since the Sensex follows the market capitalization weighted method, we have
to find the market capitalization (or size of the company- in terms of price) of the two
companies and proportionate weightage will have to be given in the calculation.
How do we compute size of the company- in terms of price?
Thats simple. Just multiply the total number of shares of the company by the market
price. This figure is technically called market capitalization.
Back to our example-
We assume that company A has 100,000 shares outstanding and B has 200,000 shares
outstanding. Hence, the total market capitalization is (200 x 100000 + 150 x 200000) Rs 500
lakhs. This will be equivalent to 100 points.
Lets assume that tomorrow, the price of A hits 260 (30% increase in price) and the price of
B hits 135. (10% drop in price). The market capitalization will have to be reworked. It would
be 260 x 100,000 + 135 x 200,000 = 530 lakhs. That means, due to the changes in price, the
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market capitalization has moved from 500 lakhs to 530 indicating a 6% increase. Hence, the
index would move from 100 to 106 to indicate the net effect.
This logic is extended to many selected stocks and this calculation process is done every
minute and thats how the index moves!
CALCULATION OF SENSEX
What was said was the general method to construct indices. Since, the Sensex consists of 30
large companies and since its shares may be held by the government or promoters etc, for
the purpose of calculating market capitalization only the free float market value is
considered, instead of the total number of shares.
What is free float?
Thats the total number of shares available for the public to trade in the market. It excludes
shares held by promoters, governments or trusts, FDIs etc.
To find the free float market value, the total value of the company (total shares x market
price) is further multiplied by a free float market value factor, which is nothing but the
percentage of free float shares of a particular company.
So logically, the company which has more public holding will have the highest free float
factor in the Sensex. This equalizes everything.
Example- lets assume that the market value of a company is Rs 100,000 Crore and it has
100 Crore shares having a value of Rs 1,000 each but only 20% of it are available to the public
for trade. The free float factor would be 20/100 or 0.20 and the free float market value would
be .20 x 100,000 = 20,000 Crores.
NOW, LETS SE HOW THE SENSEX MOVES.
Sensex value = Current free-float market value of constituents stocks/Index Divisor
So, the numerator is available straight from the BSE site. Its the total of free float factors of
30 stocks x market capitalization.
NOW, THE DENOMINATOR
The index divisor is nothing but the present level of index.
So, now, we have all the figures.
Lets assume that the free-float market capitalisation is Rs 10,00,000 Crore. At that point,
the Sensex is at 12500. What would be the value of Sensex if the free-float market
capitalization is Rs 11,50,000 Crore?
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3. Capital Market Instruments
A capital market is a market for securities (debt or equity), where business enterprises
and Government can raise long-term funds. It is defined as a market in which money is
provided for periods longer than a year, as the raising of short-term funds takes place on
other markets (e.g., the Money market). The capital market is characterized by a large
variety of financial instruments: equity and preference shares, fully convertible
debentures (FCDs), non-convertible debentures (NCDs) and partly convertible debentures
(PCDs) currently dominate the capital market, however new instruments are being
introduced such as debentures bundled with warrants, participating preference shares,
zero-coupon bonds, secured premium notes, etc.
Example-IDBI deep discount bonds for Rs 1 lac repayable after 25 years were sold at a
discount price of Rs. 2,700.
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the project is operational, the investor can participate in the profits through share price
appreciation and dividend payments
Example- Mexico sold $290 million in catastrophe bonds, becoming the first country to
use a World Bank program that passes the cost of natural disasters to investors.
Goldman Sachs Group Inc. and Swiss Reinsurance Co. managed the bond sale, which
will pay investors unless an earthquake or hurricane triggers a transfer of the funds to
the Mexican government.
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Mortgage backed securities represent claims and derive their ultimate values from the
principal and payments on the loans in the pool. These payments can be further broken
down into different classes of securities, depending on the riskiness of different
mortgages as they are classified under the MBS.
New instruments to collect funds from the market, very economic and more effective
Financial companies save on the costs of maintenance of the assets and other costs
related to assets, reducing overheads and increasing profit ratio.
Collateralized mortgage obligation: a more complex MBS in which the mortgages are
ordered into tranches by some quality (such as repayment time), with each tranche
sold as a separate security
Stripped mortgage backed securities: Each mortgage payment is partly used to pay
down the loan's principal and partly used to pay the interest on it
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investment for NRIs and foreign nationals wanting to invest in India. By buying these,
they can invest directly in Indian companies without going through the hassle of
understanding the rules and working of the Indian financial market since ADRs and
GDRs are traded like any other stock, NRIs and foreigners can buy these using their
regular equity trading accounts!
Example - HDFC Bank, ICICI Bank, Infosys have issued both ADR and GDR
The investors receive the safety of guaranteed payments on the bond and are also able
to take advantage of any large price appreciation in the company's stock. Due to the
equity side of the bond, which adds value, the coupon payments on the bond are lower
for the company, thereby reducing its debt-financing costs.
Advantages
Some companies, banks, governments, and other sovereign entities may decide
to issue bonds in foreign currencies because, as it may appear to be more stable and
predictable than their domestic currency
Gives issuers the ability to access investment capital available in foreign markets
Companies can use the process to break into foreign markets
The bond acts like both a debt and equity instrument. Like bonds it makes regular
coupon and principal payments, but these bonds also give the bondholder the option
to convert the bond into stock
It is a low cost debt as the interest rates given to FCC Bonds are normally 30-50
percent lower than the market rate because of its equity component
Conversion of bonds into stocks takes place at a premium price to market price.
Conversion price is fixed when the bond is issued. So, lower dilution of the company
stocks
Advantages to investors
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Redeemable at maturity if not converted
Easily marketable as investors enjoys option of conversion in to equity if resulting
to capital appreciation
Disadvantages
3. 10 Derivatives
A derivative is a financial instrument whose characteristics and value depend upon the
characteristics and value of some underlying asset typically commodity, bond, equity,
currency, index, event etc. Advanced investors sometimes purchase or sell derivatives
to manage the risk associated with the underlying security, to protect against
fluctuations in value, or to profit from periods of inactivity or decline. Derivatives are
often leveraged, such that a small movement in the underlying value can cause a large
difference in the value of the derivative.
The relationship between the underlying and the derivative (e.g. forward, option,
swap)
The type of underlying (e.g. equity derivatives, foreign exchange derivatives and credit
derivatives)
3.10.1 Futures
It is a financial contract obligating the buyer to purchase an asset, (or the seller
to sell an asset), such as a physical commodity or a financial instrument, at a
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predetermined future date and price. Futures contracts detail the quality and
quantity of the underlying asset; they are standardized to facilitate trading on a
futures exchange. Some futures contracts may call for physical delivery of the
asset, while others are settled in cash. The futures markets are characterized by
the ability to use very high leverage relative to stock markets. Some of the most
popular assets on which futures contracts are available are equity stocks, indices,
commodities and currency.
3.10.2 Options
It is a financial derivative that represents a contract sold by one party (option
writer) to another party (option holder). The contract offers the buyer the right,
but not the obligation, to buy (call) or sell (put) a security or other financial asset
at an agreed-upon price (the strike price) during a certain period of time or on a
specific date (exercise date). A call option gives the buyer, the right to buy the
asset at a given price. This 'given price' is called 'strike price'. It should be noted
that while the holder of the call option has a right to demand sale of asset from
the seller, the seller has only the obligation and not the right.
For Example: If the buyer wants to buy the asset, the seller has to sell it. He does
not have a right. Similarly a 'put' option gives the buyer a right to sell the asset at
the 'strike price' to the buyer. Here the buyer has the right to sell and the seller
has the obligation to buy. So in any options contract, the right to exercise the
option is vested with the buyer of the contract. The seller of the contract has only
the obligation and no right. As the seller of the contract bears the obligation, he
is paid a price called as 'premium'. Therefore the price that is paid for buying an
option contract is called as premium.
The primary difference between options and futures is that options give the
holder the right to buy or sell the underlying asset at expiration, while the holder
of a futures contract is obligated to fulfill the terms of his/her contract.
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register themselves with the SEBI. RBI, which had sought a ban on PNs, believes that
it is tough to establish the beneficial ownership or the identity of ultimate investors.
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To lend surplus funds in the market for short term
To borrow money for meeting mandatory reserve requirements of CRR and SLR
Instruments
Debt
Securities
Capital Money
Market market
The money market provides very short-term funds to corporations, municipalities and
national governments. Money market securities are debt issues with maturities of
one year or less. Money market instruments give businesses, financial institutions and
governments a means to finance their short-term cash requirements. Three important
characteristics are:
Liquidity - Since they are securities with short-term maturities of a year or less, money
market instruments are extremely liquid.
Safety - They also provide a relatively high degree of safety because their issuers have
the highest credit ratings.
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Discount Pricing- A third characteristic they have in common is that they are issued at
discount to their face value.
4.2.1 T-Bills
Treasury bills are the most marketable money market security. Their popularity is
mainly due to their simplicity. Essentially, T-bills are a way for the central
governments to raise money from the public. T-bills are short-term securities that
mature in one year or less from their issue date. T-bills are purchased for a price that
is less than their par (face) value; when they mature, the government pays the holder
the full par value. Effectively, the interest is the difference between the purchase
price of the security and what you get at maturity. The only downside to T-bills is that
they wont give a great return because Treasuries are exceptionally safe. Corporate
Bonds, CODs and money market funds will often give higher rates of interest.
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For the most part, commercial paper is a very safe investment because the financial
situation of a company can easily be predicted over a few months. Furthermore,
typically only companies with high credit ratings and credit worthiness issue
commercial paper.
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the securities to a lender and agrees to repurchase them at an agreed future date at
an agreed price. They are usually very short-term, from overnight to 30 days or more.
This short-term maturity and government backing means repos provide lenders with
extremely low risk. Repos are popular because they can virtually eliminate credit
problems.
Reverse Repo - The reverse repo is the complete opposite of a repo. In this case,
a dealer buys government securities from an investor and then sells them back at a
later date for a higher price
Term Repo - exactly the same as a repo except the term of the loan is greater
than 30 days
5. Derivatives Market
Derivatives markets are markets that are based upon another market, which is known as
the underlying market. Derivatives markets can be based upon almost any underlying
market, including individual stock markets (e.g. the stock of company XYZ), stock indices
(e.g. the Nasdaq 100 stock index), and currency markets (i.e. the forex markets)
Derivatives markets take many different forms, some of which are traded in the usual
manner (i.e. the same as their underlying market), but some of which are traded quite
differently (i.e. not the same as their underlying market). The following are the most often
traded types of derivatives markets:
Futures Markets
Options Markets
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Warrants Markets
Contract For Difference (CFD) Markets
Spread Betting
In The Money
A call option is in-the-money when its strike price is below the current trading price
of the underlying asset. A put option is in-the-money when its strike price is above the
current trading price of the underlying asset. In-the-money options are generally
more expensive as their premiums consist of significant intrinsic value on top of their
time value.
Calls are out-of-the-money when their strike price is above the market price of the
underlying asset. Puts are out-of-the-money when their strike price is below the
market price of the underlying asset. Out-of-the-money options have zero intrinsic
value. Their entire premium is composed of only time value. Out-of-the-money
options are cheaper than in-the-money options as they possess greater likelihood of
expiring worthless.
At The Money
An at-the-money option is a call or put option that has a strike price that is equal to
the market price of the underlying asset. Like OTM options, ATM options possess no
intrinsic value and contain only time value, which is greatly influenced by the volatility
of the underlying security and the passage of time. Often, it is not easy to find an
option with a strike price that is exactly equal to the market price of the underlying.
Hence, close-to-the-money or near-the-money options are bought or sold instead.
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