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Energy ETFs are your ticket into the broader energy How you get paid
marketthats why theyre such a hot item. For the rst time
What to look for in an ETF
ever, the average investor has access to massive, diversied
oil and gas portfolios. You cant get this from playing individ- And the advantages and disadvantages of going
ual stocks, and when it comes to mutual fundsyou dont with an energy ETF
even get to see everything youre investing in. On a less technical level, we will also take you through the
ment tools can land you some mouth-watering energy How the risks compare among various types of
assets, they are evolving by the day and along with that energy ETFs
evolution, the complexities are piling up.
How to nd out what the risks are
Warren Buffets famously simple advice applies here as well:
How to determine which ETF is right for you in
Never invest in a business you cant understand.
terms of risk
There is a price to be paid for this impressive growth,
On a broader level, we will:
though: ETFs are becoming increasingly complicated and
with so many to compare and contrast, the average investor Give you the ammunition you need to nd whats
will nd it challenging to nd the right fund. Even nancial right for you
advisors have a hard time keeping pace, and they must
Share some research tools that can help you keep
constantly re-educate themselves or risk getting lost in the
pace with this dynamic playing eld
chaos and take their clients down with them. This is a contin-
ual game of catch-upand that is the number one point you
need to take home with you today. Part I: Understanding Energy ETFs
In this special report we will give you the context and back- First, lets go over the basics with a broad brush so you have
ground you need to understand: the necessary context to start with, then well get into the
raw details that can help you to decide whether an energy
What ETFs are
ETF is for youand, if so, how to get there successfully.
How they work
What Are ETFs?
How they are structured
An Exchange-Traded Fund (ETF) trades just like a common
The various types of ETFs stock on a stock exchange. ETFs are marketable securities
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Making Money & Avoiding Risk with Hotter-Than-Ever Energy ETFs
What are Energy ETFs? Creation Basket A specic list of names and quanti-
ties of securities or other assets that may be
There are hundreds and hundreds of ETFs out there, and
exchanged for shares of the ETF. The creation basket
energy is but one category of ETF. The term energy
typically either mirrors the ETE's portfolio or contains a
encompasses a rather wide range of ETFs, and can include
representative sample of the ETF's portfolio. The
funds that focus on the following:
contents of the creation basket are made publicly avail-
Oil and gas exploration able on a daily basis.
Nuclear energy and coal given permission to proceed, ETF shares can be created.
These funds can realistically only be managed by the largest
How is an ETF Created?
institutional money management rms with indexing experi-
If youve never played around with ETFs before, under- ence, such as Vanguard Group and Barclays Global Inves-
standing them can seem a bit overwhelming, so we will try tors. These large rms have experience directing massive
to put this primer into language that is easy for the average pension funds that hold impressive global baskets of stocks
investor to understand. and they are usually the only ones who can loan the stocks
necessary for the creation of an ETF. Beyond this, they also
The rst thing to understand is that ETFs are securities
have the power to create demand for a new ETF.
certicates that essentially give the bearer of those certi-
cates the legal right of ownership over part of a basket of The simplest explanation of the process of creating ETF
assets, or in other words, of individual stock certicates. shares is that an authorized participanttypically a large
This is the key to understanding how they are created and institutional investordeposits a daily list of names and
how they are structured. quantities of securities or other assets (a creation basket), or
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Making Money & Avoiding Risk with Hotter-Than-Ever Energy ETFs
cash, with an ETF. This creates ETF shares. These shares The Custodial Bank will also earn a small portion of the
travel through the same agency that records individual funds assets. This typically comes out of the funds man-
stock sales and keeps ofcial transaction recordsthe agement fees, distributed by the fund manager.
Motivators: The Players in This Game We will start with ve basic categorizations into which all
energy ETFs should fall in terms of size, scale and diversity.
Player 1: The Authorized Participant
1. Single-Contract Energy ETFs, in which futures contracts
The Authorized Participant is the one who has the most
deal only with one energy commodity
prot motivation here. The Authorized Participant is motivat-
ed by the prots that are derived from the difference in price 2. Multi-Contract Energy ETFs, which are broader because
between the creation basket of stocks and the ETF, as well they hold futures contracts tracking more than one energy
as by the bid-ask spread of the ETF. commodity.
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Making Money & Avoiding Risk with Hotter-Than-Ever Energy ETFs
MacroShares $100 Oil Down ETF (DOY), which is about to expire, it is sold out bit by bit and replaced with
inversely tracks the spot price of West Texas Interme- futures that will expire the next month. Trading prices will be
Daily Energy Bear 3x Shares (ERY) Where it gets a bit slippery here is that these ETFs are
designed to track markets over lengthy periods, but since
Popular Bullish Energy ETFs their inception they have often only succeeded over short
Energy Bull 3X-Triple Leveraged ETF (ERX) periods.
MacroShares $100 Oil Up ETF (UOY), which does Broad-Based Energy ETFs
the exact opposite of DOY
Broad-Based Energy ETFs are multi-contract funds that
track the energy industry with a wider sweep. Here, you get
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Making Money & Avoiding Risk with Hotter-Than-Ever Energy ETFs
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Making Money & Avoiding Risk with Hotter-Than-Ever Energy ETFs
but some of the most popular Big Oil Energy ETFs include: China and CNOOC. At any given time, exposure to these
emerging market giants might be very risky, but the trick is in
United States Oil Fund (USO A)
how the funds are mixed up and weighted.
PowerShares DB Oil Fund (DBO A-)
Master Limited Partnership (MLP) Energy ETFs
United States 12 Month Oil Fund (USL A+)
A lot of investors will probably nd this ETF segment quite
Small-Cap Energy ETFs attractive, if not complex. After all, in order to get their tax
This is where it gets more interestingand certainly more benets, MLPs are obliged to distribute a lot of their current
volatile. These are ETFs that target only the small-cap earningsso, for the investor looking for quick gains, these
energy companies, excluding the big players. Again, Power- types of ETFs tend to offer very nice distribution yields.
Shares is one of the most popular, with its PowerShares S&P First things rst: MLPs are limited partnerships that are
SmallCap Energy Portfolio (PSCE B-). traded on major exchanges, which in turn means that they
Emerging Market Energy ETFs have the tax benets of a Limited Partnership plus the
liquidity of a publicly-traded company. This is a great com-
This is the easiest way to gain exposure to energy in emerg-
bination.
ing markets, by tapping into major energy companies
controlling key venues in Africa, Asia and Latin America, Exploration & Production ETFs
but investing in a singular-targeted ETF is a big risk if you
ETFs that focus solely on oil and gas exploration and
dont have a very clear grasp of both global oil markets and
production offer investors much narrower exposure to
geopolitics (and few are prophetic enough to play this
energy, but the exposure is more direct. Investors will benet
game well).
here when the E&P companies make a new discovery or
Some singular targets that represent high-risk exposure when oil and gas prices climb, but the inverse is also true.
include:
Some key Exploration & Production ETFs include:
China Energy ETF (CHIE C)
SPDR S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production ETF
Market Vectors Russia ETF (NYSEARCA:RSX) (XOP A)
Some broader-based emerging market energy ETFs who iShares Dow Jones U.S. Oil & Gas Exploration & Produc-
cover more in their basket and thus de-risk exposure a bit, tion Index Fund (IEO A)
include:
PowerShares Dynamic Energy Exploration & Production
iShares MSCI Emerging Markets Energy Sector Capped Portfolio (PXE A-)
Index Fund (NASDAQ:EMEY)
Oil & Gas Equipment & Services ETFs
EGShares Energy GEMS ETF (NYSEARCA:OGEM)
These ETFs focus on the oil services industrythose who
These broader funds will include everyone from Russian provide the services and equipment to the explorers and
Gazprom and Brazilian Petrobras to Chinese giants Petro- producers, which means that their fate will move along with
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Making Money & Avoiding Risk with Hotter-Than-Ever Energy ETFs
the fate of the E&P and, at the end of the day, oil and gas Claymore Mac Global Solar Energy ETF (TAN)
prices.
Gasoline ETFs
Under this category, you will nd:
Not to be confused with natural gas ETFs, there are even
Market Vectors Oil Services ETF (OIH A-) ETFs that focus solely on gasoline. A popular investment
under this category is the United States Gasoline ETF (UGA).
iShares Dow Jones U.S. Oil Equipment & Services Index
Fund (IEZ) Nuclear Energy ETFs
SPDR S&P Oil & Gas Equipment & Services ETF (XES A-) Finally, while there are endless ETFs-and more popping all
the time, requiring even more categories, were going to cut
PowerShares Dynamic Oil & Gas Services Portfolio
it off here, with our nal entry: nuclear energy. Whether you
(PXJ B-)
should invest in nuclear energy depends on where you stand
Unconventional Oil & Gas ETFs theoretically: this is a play that requires predicting the future
balance between fossil fuels, alternative energy and nuclear
These ETFs are focused entirely on getting unconventional
energy. If youre willing to take the gamble that nuclear is still
oil and gas out of the ground. That means shale, tight oil,
here to stay for some time, then there are a few funds that
tight gas and oil sandsanything thats not conventional. It
stick out:
also means they focus on unconventional processes, such
as hydraulic fracturing and directional drilling (horizontal iShares S&P Global Nuclear Energy Index ETF (NUCL)
drilling). Under this category, the pioneer is Market Vectors
Market Vectors Uranium+Nuclear Energy ETF (NLR)
Unconventional Oil & Gas ETF (FRAK), sponsored by Van
Eck Global, which sponsors dozens of other ETFs as well. Global X Uranium ETF (URA)
First Trust Global Wind Energy ETF (FAN) Keep this in mind, though: While ETFs are generally lauded
for their comparatively lower expense ratios, not all ETFs are
PowerShares Global Wind Energy ETF (PWND)
equal and there are some major differences in expense
Market Vectors Solar Energy ETF (KWT) ratios out there.
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Making Money & Avoiding Risk with Hotter-Than-Ever Energy ETFs
The expense ratio is the annual fee that ETFs charge their The four biggest energy ETFs are:
shareholders. Essentially, this is a percentage of assets
Vanguard Energy ETF (VDE)
deducted each scal year for fund expenses. These fund
Expense Ratio: 0.12%
expenses can include management fees, administrative
fees, operating fees or any other asset-based costs the ETF Energy Select ETF (XLE)
The average expense ratio for energy ETFs is around 0.47%. iShares Dow Jones Energy ETF (IYE)
So, lets take a look at the four biggest energy ETFs out there Expense Ratio: 0.45%
to see how they compare in terms of expense ratios. S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production ETF (SPDR)
Expense Ratio: 0.35%
Gross Expense Ratio
This applies only to the fund, not to the investor. So from a strictly expense ratio standpoint, the Vanguard
Net Expense Radio ETFthe brainchild of Jack Bogleis the cheapest, even
This is the amount you, the investor, pays for operating though it tracks the same type of assets as XLE (issued by
costs. State Street SPDR) and SPDR (also issued by State Street).
Expense Waiver iShares, issued by BlackRock, is the most expensive.
The percentage of costs a fund sponsor is willing to
Here is a broader comparative look at expense ratios, start-
absorb to keep the funds net expense ratio low.
ing with the cheapest ETFs:
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Making Money & Avoiding Risk with Hotter-Than-Ever Energy ETFs
Ok, so youve found an energy ETF with a comparatively low attractive aspects of the ETFthey can give investors imme-
expense ratiobut there are other costs that you could incur diate, diversied exposure to the energy industry. When you
and you need to know what they will all be beforehand. are comparing these diversied ETFs, you will want to
Beyond the expense ratiowhich is a good starting consider concentrationhow many of its assets are actually
pointthere will likely be other fees and costs associated in the top 10. Again, you need to dig deeper into the individ-
with trading. ual holdings to get a better idea. The ETF itself is just a
storage container.
At the end of the day, your total costs may also include:
But, once youve landed on a diversied ETF, what you really
Commissions: The cost of commissions in the form of
want to look for is how deep their exposure actually goes.
trading fees is something a more active investor will really
This is where the real difference comes into play. Just
need to consider carefully. The more active an investor
because one ETF has more holdings than another doesnt
you are, the more commission fees you will incur. But
mean its better. When you want to understand the depth of
there is some good news here: Again, not all ETFs are
exposure you need to look carefully at the ETFs ticker page.
equal, and some of them offer commission-free trading.
This page tells you how many securities the ETF has
This can change, so youll have to do your homework.
because, while one may have more holdings than another,
Bid-Ask Spreads: This is where it gets more complicat- some of those holdings may be grouped into securities, so
ed for new investors who havent dabbled in the stock the numbers arent necessarily painting the whole picture.
market before. Lets break it down. There are two parts to
Consider this by way of example when you are trying to
this spread: 1) Bid: the price someone is willing to pay for
choose the right energy ETF: S&P Oil & Gas Exploration
an ETF, and 2) Ask: the price someone is willing to sell it
SPDR ETF (XOP), to which we have referred earlier in this
for. The spread is the difference. Bid-ask spreads for
report, is considered to be slightly riskier some of its peers
most ETFs are pretty negligent, largely because an ETF
because it is more levered to oil prices and hence more
typically trades close to its NAV (net asset value). Howev-
sensitive to commodity ups and downs.
er, you need to watch out for those with signicant
spreads, and these will most often be the ETFs that have And if you insist on focusing on futures-based ETFs, we will
low volumes, but low-liquidity ETFs can also have a higher assume that you fully understand commodities; otherwise,
bid-ask spread. Remember, a wide bid-ask spread will this is a very difcult realm to navigate. What we have found
negatively affect your prots. Even some thinly traded is that while futures-based energy ETFs are a great way to
ETFs can have wide bid-ask spreads with liquid stocks. At gain exposure to these assets that you might not otherwise
the end of the day, the wider the spread, the bigger your have, many investors simply plunge in without understand-
upfront loss when you buy the ETF. ing how they workand without doing their homework.
There are layers and layers of factors that will inuence how
Exposure Depth & Diversication
these futures-based commodities will perform, and the
The best way to de-risk your ETF investment is to go with a connections between these layers and the overriding cause
diversied, broad-based fund. In fact, this is one of the most and effect remain elusive even to the best minds out there.
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Making Money & Avoiding Risk with Hotter-Than-Ever Energy ETFs
Liquidity picture and if you look only at the big picture you might miss
a lot. The bottom line is this: dont look at the liquidity of the
Its no easy task to sort through what ends up being over a
ETFlook at the liquidity of the underlying holdings.
thousand ETFs out there on the market. If you entrust this
task to a nancial advisor, it will save you time, but our expe- Distributions & Yield
rience is that nancial advisors can sometimes miss the
Is your choice of ETF efciently managed in terms in terms of
mark on liquidity for ETFs. Just because an ETF is small
distributions? To determine this you must review the distribu-
does not necessarily mean it doesnt have liquidityso you
tion history of the ETF. What you are looking for here is
might miss out on a good opportunity when your nancial
whether any capital gains distributions have been made. If
advisor weeds out all the smaller funds through a crass lter
there havent been any capital gains distributed in recent
that has good intentions but is sort of one-size-ts-all. If you
times this is a positive for the investor.
really want to determine an ETFs liquidity, you should look at
it more closelyat the stocks that make up its creation And when it comes to yield, you will want to check out the
basket. And liquidity is, well, uid. A small ETF could, at any funds 30-day history with the US Securities and Exchange
time, create new shares that are liquid. Think of it this way: Commission (SEC)but this is traditionally made easier for
An ETF is a collection of smaller pictures making up the big you by going directly to the funds website.
Disadvantages of an ETF
More Expensive Than Straight Stock
While ETFs will be cheaper than mutual funds, when you compare them to simply investing in a specic stock, the costs are often
higher because with a stock you don't have to pay the fund management fees through the expense ratio.
High-Risk With Leveraged ETEs
If you're looking at ETFs that are double or triple leveragedyou could also be looking at more than double or triple losses. These are
highly speculative. Leveraged ETFs are really only for day-tradersand gamblers.
Dividends Aren't Always High
Some dividend-paying ETFs don't pay high yields and focus instead on dividend consistency.
Intraday Pricing, Questionable Benets
For the longer-term investor, the intraday pricing of ETFs might be too much. When prices change throughout the day, there will be
little benet to the longer-term investor. It also produces irrational fears among investors who can't take the intraday price swings.
Plenty of Pitfalls
While ETFs make it very easy for investors to gain access to the broader energy market, it is still a complex world to navigate. The rule
of thumb here should be this: If you can't understand a specic ETF and the risks involved after you've looked over the prospectus
thoroughly, then don't do it without help.
Dangerous Dynamics
ETFs are evolving rapidly, and what they look like today might not be what they look like tomorrow. They are becoming hugely popular
and as they do so, they become more confusing.
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Making Money & Avoiding Risk with Hotter-Than-Ever Energy ETFs
Advantages of an ETF
Instant Diversication
ETFs have the advantage over stocks in that they offer the investor a great opportunity to de-risk and gain increased exposure to the
energy sector through instant diversication. This is much better than trying to buying various different ocks to diversify on your own.
This is much more serious protection against volatility.
Good Performance
There is an almost bullet-proof path to performance here because most ETFs are indexed, rather than actively managed in the way
that mutual funds are.
No Risk of Issuer Default
The investor is not threatened by credit risk to the issuer because ETFs are not debt instruments.
Tax Efciency
By comparison to mutual funds, ETFs are much more tax efcient for investors. From a tax perspective, the treatment of istributions
is much more favorable. In fact, investors are allowed to pay accumulated capital gains taxes at the nal sale of he ETF. So the biggest
difference here is that you get to wait until you sell your ETF to pay taxes, which adds extra value to your money, which earns invest-
ment returns. Please note, however, that inverse and leveraged ETFs are more complex and ay be treated differently, so be sure to
check with your nancial advisor before you commit if tax efciency is one of the ain reasons you are considering an energy ETF.
Low Expense Ratios
Much lower than mutual funds, which is one of the most appealing aspects of the ETF. While mutual funds can see expense ratios in
the neighborhood of 2.0%, energy ETFs range from 0.12% to 0.75% typically.
No Minimums & Trading Flexibility
Energy ETFs don't have any investment minimums (unlike Index Funds). You can buy or sell them however you want, even one share
at a time. You have much greater trading exibility, with the option for short-selling and with pricing throughout the day.
Doesn't Get More Transparent Than This
It's hard to nd an investment door into the energy industry that is more transparent than an ETF. As an investor, you can e everything
you need to see (unlike with mutual funds)all the securities an ETF holds are right there for the naked eye.
Energy ETF Resources ious-minded, this handbook is a very deep guide to abso-
lutely everything you need to know about ETFs from a techni-
ETFs are highly transparent. As an investor you can get all
cal standpoint. Its intended audience is the nancial advisor
the information you need on an ETF from the funds website,
and institutional investor, and this fact speaks volumes about
fact sheet and prospectus. You can track everythingall the
how difcult it can be to navigate the ETF world).
time. What this means is that the responsibility is all yours. If
you lose your shirt, its because you didnt do your home- The ETF Database (ETFdb) Screener helps you to narrow
work, not because you were scammed. In addition to every- down leveraged and inverse options for commodities and
thing weve explained in this report, here are some additional energy equities. This tool gives you access to detailed
tools you will need to make sure you know what youre information on US-listed ETFs.
getting into.
Zacks ETF Rank tool helps investors choose the ETF best
The ETF Handbook, by David J. Abner (For the very ser- suited to their investment goals. It ranks by asset classes,
oilprice.com I 12
Making Money & Avoiding Risk with Hotter-Than-Ever Energy ETFs
expense ratios and bid-ask spreads. This is the key tool you should rely on to determine if a
specic ETF is right for you.
ETFReplay.com allows investors to research, analyze and
back-test ETFs to develop a strategy for gaining exposure
and avoiding drawdowns. Ask these questions:
These are all very useful tools, but be sure to read every Do the investment objectives line up with your
potential ETF prospectus regardless. A typical prospectus own? But rst, do you actually HAVE clear invest-
will be about ve pages long and will contain information on: ment goals?
Passive Strategy/Index Risk: The Fund is managed with a passive investment strategy, attempting to track the perfor-
mance of an unmanaged index of securities. This differs from an actively-managed fund, which typically seeks to outper-
form a benchmark index. As a result, the Fund may hold constituent securities of the Index regardless of the current or
projected performance of a specic security or a particular industry or market sector. Maintaining investments in securities
regardless of market conditions or the performance of individual securities could cause the Funds return to be lower than
if the Fund employed an active strategy.
Index Tracking Risk: While the Adviser seeks to track the performance of the Index as closely as possible (i.e., achieve
a high degree of correlation with the Index), the Funds return may not match or achieve a high degree of correlation with
the return of the Index due to operating expenses, transaction costs, cash ows, regulatory requirements and operational
inefciencies. For example, the Adviser anticipates that it may take several business days for additions and deletions to the
Index to be reected in the portfolio composition of the Fund.
Oil and Gas Sector Risk: The Funds assets will generally be concentrated in the oil and gas exploration and production
industry, which means the Fund will be more affected by the performance of the oil and gas exploration and production
industry versus a fund that is more diversied. Companies in the oil and gas sector develop and produce crude oil and
oilprice.com I 13
Making Money & Avoiding Risk with Hotter-Than-Ever Energy ETFs
natural gas and provide drilling and other energy resources production and distribution related services. Stock prices for
these types of companies are affected by supply and demand both for their specic product or service and for energy
products in general. The price of oil and gas, exploration and production spending, government regulation, world events
and economic conditions will likewise affect the performance of these companies. Correspondingly, securities of compa-
nies in the energy eld are subject to swift price and supply uctuations caused by events relating to international politics,
energy conservation, the success of exploration projects, and tax and other governmental regulatory policies. Weak
demand for the companies products or services or for energy products and services in general, as well as negative devel-
opments in these other areas, would adversely impact the Funds performance. Oil and gas exploration and production
can be signicantly affected by natural disasters as well as changes in exchange rates, interest rates, government regula-
tion, world events and economic conditions. These companies may be at risk for environmental damage claims.
Non-Diversied Investment Risk: The Fund is non-diversied and may invest a larger percentage of its assets in securi-
ties of a few issuers or even a single issuer than that of a diversied fund. As a result, the Funds performance may be
disproportionately impacted by the performance of relatively few securities.
Energy ETFs: The Final Word preventing this. While ETFs absolutely cannot collapse, they
can close. What does this mean, exactly? Closures are actu-
The overriding question here is not really whether ETFs are a
ally fairly regular. ETFs close down when they fail to generate
good thing or not; the question is whether they are right for
signicant interest from investors and drain cash from the
YOU. ETFs have stormed on to the scene quite aggressive-
issuers. But when it closes down, your investment doesnt
lyand they were very welcome because they gave us the
simply disappearportfolios are gradually liquidated and
means to gain wide exposure to the energy industry very
funds are returned to investors.
easily. The risks, as we have clearly demonstrated, are quite
well stated even on the prospectus of the ETFand these Most of this is misplacedand most of the problems have
risks are laid out specically for the fund; they are not broad, been the fault of the investor, rather than the fund. Other
general risks. negative news has been put out there by mutual funds who
are losing out to competing ETFs.
Despite the raging popularity of energy ETFs from the onset,
you will come across a fair amount of negative information This is why we continue to emphasize the need to be a
on the funds. One of the biggest fear-mongering rumors out responsible investor and to absorb all the information that is
there has been that of ETF collapse. ETFs cannot collapse out there on the energy ETF of your choice. As we have
and leave investors in the lurch. There are provisions that noted numerous times, ETFs are highly transparent, so
require share redemptions to occur with settled shares doing your homework is easy if not time-consuming. Its in
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Making Money & Avoiding Risk with Hotter-Than-Ever Energy ETFs
your hands now, and we hope you will use the background Whats Up Next?
we have given you, along with the additional tools, to make
Next month we have our experts take you through the
the most of your foray into the world of the energy ETF.
process of valuing an oil and gas company. If you want to
So at the end of the day, we think ETFs are a great way for know if an oil and gas company you are interested in is
you to gain low-risk exposure to the energy sector and to do overvalueddont miss this report. We will discuss,
it whether the oil and gas market is up or downdepending in-depth, the various metrics you can use for E&P valuation,
on how you like to play it. We simply caution that this is a including multiples to cash ow, reserves values, value per
dynamic playing eld, so you have to not only do your owing barreland much more. Not only will we explain all
research thoroughlybut you have to keep doing it. There these metrics and how to use them, but we will also demon-
are so many to choose from and the trick is rst understand- strate the pros and cons of each in terms of E&P valuation
ing what you want to achieve and then nding the ETF that and how they all tie in. Make your next investment a sound
can achieve it for you. Patience in this case is a critical virtue. one with our oil and gas valuation expertise.
Copyright 2015, all rights reserved by Oilprice.com. No portion of this report may be published or reused in any way
without the explicit consent of Oilprice.com.
oilprice.com I 15