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INTENSIDADES MXIMAS (mm/hr)

WEBERBAWER DEPARTAMENTO : CAJAMARCA


2536 msnm PROVINCIA : CAJAMARCA
07 30 S LONGITUD : 78 30 W

m Ao 5 min. 10 min. 15 min 30 min. 60 min. 120 min.


1 1975 109.8 65.28 48.16 28.64 17.03 10.13
2 1976 106.32 63.24 46.64 27.74 16.49 9.805
3 1977 117.96 70.14 51.76 30.78 18.3 10.88
4 1978 52.68 31.38 23.12 13.76 8.18 4.86
5 1979 81.6 48.48 35.8 21.28 12.65 7.52
6 1980 83.88 49.86 36.8 21.88 13.01 7.735
7 1981 114.48 68.04 50.24 29.86 17.76 10.56
8 1982 88.8 52.8 38.96 23.18 13.78 8.195
9 1983 86.76 51.6 38.16 22.64 13.46 8.005
10 1984 80.4 47.82 35.28 20.98 12.47 7.415
11 1985 57.72 34.32 25.32 15.04 8.95 5.32
12 1986 79.8 47.46 35 20.82 12.38 7.36
13 1987 70.8 42.06 31.04 18.46 10.98 6.53
14 1988 53.04 31.5 23.24 13.82 8.22 4.89
15 1989 87.36 51.96 38.32 22.8 13.55 8.06
16 1990 74.04 43.98 32.44 19.3 11.48 6.825
17 1991 86.52 51.42 37.96 22.56 13.42 7.98
18 1992 51.6 30.66 22.6 13.44 8 4.755
19 1993 65.52 39 28.76 17.1 10.17 6.045
20 1994 83.04 49.38 36.4 21.66 12.88 7.655
21 1995 60 35.7 26.32 15.66 9.31 5.535
22 1996 102.24 60.78 44.84 26.68 15.86 9.43
23 1997 80.4 47.82 35.28 20.98 12.47 7.415
24 1998 92.4 54.9 40.52 24.08 14.32 8.515
25 1999 113.04 67.2 49.6 29.48 17.53 10.425
26 2000 105.12 62.52 46.12 27.44 16.31 9.7
27 2001 82.2 48.84 36.04 21.42 12.74 7.575
28 2002 64.92 38.64 28.48 16.94 10.08 5.99
29 2003 60.6 36 26.6 15.8 9.4 5.59
30 2004 81.84 48.66 35.92 21.36 12.7 7.55
31 2005 58.8 34.98 25.8 15.34 9.13 5.425
32 2006 60 35.7 26.32 15.66 9.31 5.535
33 2007 74.04 43.98 32.44 19.3 11.48 6.825
34 2008 78.6 46.74 34.52 20.52 12.2 7.255
35 2009 64.68 38.46 28.36 16.86 10.03 5.965
36 2010 106.08 63.06 46.52 27.66 16.45 9.78
37 2011 80.64 48 35.4 21.04 12.51 7.44
38 2012 81.24 48.3 35.64 21.2 12.61 7.495
INTENSIDADES MXIMAS EN LA MICROCUENCA

Altitud (Valor Representativo) 3420 m.s.n.m


Altitud Media de la Cuenca 3392.579 m.s.n.m

INTENSIDADES MXIMAS (mm/hr)

m Ao 5 min. 10 min. 15 min. 30 min. 60 min. 120 min.


1 1975 146.89 87.33 64.43 38.31 22.78 13.55
2 1976 142.23 84.60 62.39 37.11 22.06 13.12
3 1977 157.80 93.83 69.24 41.18 24.48 14.55
4 1978 70.47 41.98 30.93 18.41 10.94 6.50
5 1979 109.16 64.85 47.89 28.47 16.92 10.06
6 1980 112.21 66.70 49.23 29.27 17.40 10.35
7 1981 153.15 91.02 67.21 39.95 23.76 14.13
8 1982 118.79 70.63 52.12 31.01 18.43 10.96
9 1983 116.06 69.03 51.05 30.29 18.01 10.71
10 1984 107.56 63.97 47.20 28.07 16.68 9.92
11 1985 77.22 45.91 33.87 20.12 11.97 7.12
12 1986 106.75 63.49 46.82 27.85 16.56 9.85
13 1987 94.71 56.27 41.52 24.70 14.69 8.74
14 1988 70.96 42.14 31.09 18.49 11.00 6.54
15 1989 116.87 69.51 51.26 30.50 18.13 10.78
16 1990 99.05 58.84 43.40 25.82 15.36 9.13
17 1991 115.74 68.79 50.78 30.18 17.95 10.68
18 1992 69.03 41.02 30.23 17.98 10.70 6.36
19 1993 87.65 52.17 38.47 22.88 13.61 8.09
20 1994 111.09 66.06 48.69 28.98 17.23 10.24
21 1995 80.27 47.76 35.21 20.95 12.45 7.40
22 1996 136.77 81.31 59.99 35.69 21.22 12.62
23 1997 107.56 63.97 47.20 28.07 16.68 9.92
24 1998 123.61 73.44 54.21 32.21 19.16 11.39
25 1999 151.22 89.90 66.35 39.44 23.45 13.95
26 2000 140.63 83.64 61.70 36.71 21.82 12.98
27 2001 109.96 65.34 48.21 28.65 17.04 10.13
28 2002 86.85 51.69 38.10 22.66 13.48 8.01
29 2003 81.07 48.16 35.58 21.14 12.58 7.48
30 2004 109.48 65.10 48.05 28.57 16.99 10.10
31 2005 78.66 46.80 34.51 20.52 12.21 7.26
32 2006 80.27 47.76 35.21 20.95 12.45 7.40
33 2007 99.05 58.84 43.40 25.82 15.36 9.13
34 2008 105.15 62.53 46.18 27.45 16.32 9.71
35 2009 86.53 51.45 37.94 22.55 13.42 7.98
36 2010 141.91 84.36 62.23 37.00 22.01 13.08
37 2011 107.88 64.21 47.36 28.15 16.74 9.95
38 2012 108.68 64.61 47.68 28.36 16.87 10.03
Promedio 108.39 64.45 47.55 28.27 16.81 10.00
Desv Estand. 24.79 14.74 10.88 6.47 3.85 2.29

INTENSIDADES MXIMAS TRANSPUESTA DE LA MICROCUENCA


(Ordenadas de Mayor a menor)
INTENSIDADES MXIMAS EN LA MICROCUENCA

Altitud (Valor Representativo) 3420 m.s.n.m m.s.n.m


Altitud Media de la Cuenca 3392.579 m.s.n.m m.s.n.m

INTENSIDADES MXIMAS (mm/hr)

m Ao 5 min. 10 min. 15 min. 30 min. 60 min. 120 min.


1 1973 157.80 93.83 69.24 41.18 24.48 14.55
2 1974 153.15 91.02 67.21 39.95 23.76 14.13
3 1975 151.22 89.90 66.35 39.44 23.45 13.95
4 1976 146.89 87.33 64.43 38.31 22.78 13.55
5 1977 142.23 84.60 62.39 37.11 22.06 13.12
6 1978 141.91 84.36 62.23 37.00 22.01 13.08
7 1979 140.63 83.64 61.70 36.71 21.82 12.98
8 1980 136.77 81.31 59.99 35.69 21.22 12.62
9 1981 123.61 73.44 54.21 32.21 19.16 11.39
10 1982 118.79 70.63 52.12 31.01 18.43 10.96
11 1983 116.87 69.51 51.26 30.50 18.13 10.78
12 1984 116.06 69.03 51.05 30.29 18.01 10.71
13 1985 115.74 68.79 50.78 30.18 17.95 10.68
14 1986 112.21 66.70 49.23 29.27 17.40 10.35
15 1987 111.09 66.06 48.69 28.98 17.23 10.24
16 1988 109.96 65.34 48.21 28.65 17.04 10.13
17 1989 109.48 65.10 48.05 28.57 16.99 10.10
18 1990 109.16 64.85 47.89 28.47 16.92 10.06
19 1991 108.68 64.61 47.68 28.36 16.87 10.03
20 1992 107.88 64.21 47.36 28.15 16.74 9.95
21 1993 107.56 63.97 47.20 28.07 16.68 9.92
22 1994 107.56 63.97 47.20 28.07 16.68 9.92
23 1995 106.75 63.49 46.82 27.85 16.56 9.85
24 1996 105.15 62.53 46.18 27.45 16.32 9.71
25 1997 99.05 58.84 43.40 25.82 15.36 9.13
26 1998 99.05 58.84 43.40 25.82 15.36 9.13
27 1999 94.71 56.27 41.52 24.70 14.69 8.74
28 2000 87.65 52.17 38.47 22.88 13.61 8.09
29 2001 86.85 51.69 38.10 22.66 13.48 8.01
30 2002 86.53 51.45 37.94 22.55 13.42 7.98
31 2003 81.07 48.16 35.58 21.14 12.58 7.48
32 2004 80.27 47.76 35.21 20.95 12.45 7.40
33 2005 80.27 47.76 35.21 20.95 12.45 7.40
34 2006 78.66 46.80 34.51 20.52 12.21 7.26
35 2007 77.22 45.91 33.87 20.12 11.97 7.12
36 2008 70.96 42.14 31.09 18.49 11.00 6.54
37 2009 70.47 41.98 30.93 18.41 10.94 6.50
38 2010 69.03 41.02 30.23 17.98 10.70 6.36
Promedio 108.39 64.45 47.55 28.27 16.81 10.00
Desv Estand. 24.79 14.74 10.88 6.47 3.85 2.29
PRUEBA DE BONDAD DE AJUSTE (SMIRNOV - KOLMOGOROV). PARA T=5 min PRUEBA DE BONDA

()=^(
Se ajustar a la distribucin GUMBEL ^((()/)) ) Se ajustar a la distribucin
Donde: Donde:
S: Desviacin Estandar
X: Media muestral
=6/

=0.57721
Cuyos Parametros son: Cuyos Parametros son:
X: 108.39
S: 24.79
: 19.332
: 97.234

Tabla N 1 Prueba de Bondad Y Ajuste Smirnov Para T= 5 Min. Resumen de Clculos Tabla N 2 Prueba de B

Intensidades P(X>x P(X<x) F(x) |(<)


m Ao (<)| m
(mm/h) Weibull) 1-P(X>X) F(X<x)
1 1975 157.80 0.026 0.974 0.957 0.0170 1
2 1976 153.15 0.051 0.949 0.946 0.0027 2
3 1977 151.22 0.077 0.923 0.941 0.0175 3
4 1978 146.89 0.103 0.897 0.926 0.0288 4
5 1979 142.23 0.128 0.872 0.907 0.0353 5
6 1980 141.91 0.154 0.846 0.906 0.0594 6
7 1981 140.63 0.179 0.821 0.899 0.0789 7
8 1982 136.77 0.205 0.795 0.879 0.0838 8
9 1983 123.61 0.231 0.769 0.774 0.0053 9
10 1984 118.79 0.256 0.744 0.720 0.0231 10
11 1985 116.87 0.282 0.718 0.696 0.0218 11
12 1986 116.06 0.308 0.692 0.686 0.0068 12
13 1987 115.74 0.333 0.667 0.681 0.0145 13
14 1988 112.21 0.359 0.641 0.631 0.0103 14
15 1989 111.09 0.385 0.615 0.614 0.0018 15
16 1990 109.96 0.410 0.590 0.596 0.0062 16
17 1991 109.48 0.436 0.564 0.588 0.0241 17
18 1992 109.16 0.462 0.538 0.583 0.0445 18
19 1993 108.68 0.487 0.513 0.575 0.0623 19
20 1994 107.88 0.513 0.487 0.562 0.0746 20
21 1995 107.56 0.538 0.462 0.556 0.0948 21
22 1996 107.56 0.564 0.436 0.556 0.1205 22
23 1997 106.75 0.590 0.410 0.543 0.1325 23
24 1998 105.15 0.615 0.385 0.515 0.1301 24
25 1999 99.05 0.641 0.359 0.402 0.0434 25
26 2000 99.05 0.667 0.333 0.402 0.0690 26
27 2001 94.71 0.692 0.308 0.320 0.0124 27
28 2002 87.65 0.718 0.282 0.194 0.0884 28
29 2003 86.85 0.744 0.256 0.181 0.0758 29
30 2004 86.53 0.769 0.231 0.176 0.0552 30
31 2005 81.07 0.795 0.205 0.100 0.1056 31
32 2006 80.27 0.821 0.179 0.090 0.0893 32
33 2007 80.27 0.846 0.154 0.090 0.0636 33
34 2008 78.66 0.872 0.128 0.073 0.0549 34
35 2009 77.22 0.897 0.103 0.060 0.0427 35
36 2010 70.96 0.923 0.077 0.020 0.0565 36
37 2011 70.47 0.949 0.051 0.018 0.0328 37
38 2012 69.03 0.974 0.026 0.014 0.0121 38
Promedio 108.393 Valor: max 0.1325 Promedio
Desv Estand. 24.795 Desv Estand.
N de Datos 38 N de Datos
PRUEBA DE BONDAD DE AJUSTE (SMIRNOV - KOLMOGOROV). PARA T=10 min PRUEBA DE BONDAD DE AJUSTE

()=^(
e ajustar a la distribucin GUMBEL ^((()/)) ) Se ajustar a la distribucin GUMBEL
Donde:
S: Desviacin Estandar S: Desviacin Estandar
X: Media muestral X: Media muestral
=6/ =6/

=0.57721 =0.57721
uyos Parametros son: Cuyos Parametros son:
X: 64.45
S: 14.74
: 11.491
: 57.815

Tabla N 2 Prueba de Bondad Y Ajuste Smirnov Para T= 10 Min. Resumen de Clculos Tabla N 2 Prueba de Bondad Y Aju

Intensidades P(X>x P(X<x) F(x) |(<)


Ao (<)| m Ao
(mm/h) Weibull) 1-P(X>X) F(X<x)
1975 93.83 0.026 0.974 0.957 0.0170 1 1975
1976 91.02 0.051 0.949 0.946 0.0028 2 1976
1977 89.90 0.077 0.923 0.941 0.0175 3 1977
1978 87.33 0.103 0.897 0.926 0.0288 4 1978
1979 84.60 0.128 0.872 0.907 0.0356 5 1979
1980 84.36 0.154 0.846 0.906 0.0594 6 1980
1981 83.64 0.179 0.821 0.900 0.0792 7 1981
1982 81.31 0.205 0.795 0.879 0.0837 8 1982
1983 73.44 0.231 0.769 0.774 0.0044 9 1983
1984 70.63 0.256 0.744 0.721 0.0230 10 1984
1985 69.51 0.282 0.718 0.697 0.0212 11 1985
1986 69.03 0.308 0.692 0.686 0.0063 12 1986
1987 68.79 0.333 0.667 0.681 0.0139 13 1987
1988 66.70 0.359 0.641 0.630 0.0107 14 1988
1989 66.06 0.385 0.615 0.614 0.0015 15 1989
1990 65.34 0.410 0.590 0.595 0.0050 16 1990
1991 65.10 0.436 0.564 0.588 0.0241 17 1991
1992 64.85 0.462 0.538 0.582 0.0432 18 1992
1993 64.61 0.487 0.513 0.575 0.0622 19 1993
1994 64.21 0.513 0.487 0.564 0.0766 20 1994
1995 63.97 0.538 0.462 0.557 0.0955 21 1995
1996 63.97 0.564 0.436 0.557 0.1211 22 1996
1997 63.49 0.590 0.410 0.543 0.1330 23 1997
1998 62.53 0.615 0.385 0.515 0.1304 24 1998
1999 58.84 0.641 0.359 0.401 0.0415 25 1999
2000 58.84 0.667 0.333 0.401 0.0672 26 2000
2001 56.27 0.692 0.308 0.318 0.0108 27 2001
2002 52.17 0.718 0.282 0.195 0.0869 28 2002
2003 51.69 0.744 0.256 0.182 0.0744 29 2003
2004 51.45 0.769 0.231 0.176 0.0552 30 2004
2005 48.16 0.795 0.205 0.099 0.1066 31 2005
2006 47.76 0.821 0.179 0.091 0.0887 32 2006
2007 47.76 0.846 0.154 0.091 0.0631 33 2007
2008 46.80 0.872 0.128 0.074 0.0546 34 2008
2009 45.91 0.897 0.103 0.060 0.0428 35 2009
2010 42.14 0.923 0.077 0.020 0.0569 36 2010
2011 41.98 0.949 0.051 0.019 0.0324 37 2011
2012 41.02 0.974 0.026 0.013 0.0123 38 2012
Promedio 64.447 Valor: max 0.1330 Promedio
Desv Estand. 14.738 Desv Estand.
N de Datos 38 N de Datos
A DE BONDAD DE AJUSTE (SMIRNOV - KOLMOGOROV). PARA T=15 min PRUEBA DE BONDAD DE AJUSTE (SMIRNOV -

()=^(
distribucin GUMBEL ^((()/)) ) ()=^(
Se ajustar a la distribucin GUMBEL
Donde:
Desviacin Estandar S: Desviacin Estandar
Media muestral X: Media muestral
=6/

=0.57721 =0.57721
Cuyos Parametros son:
X: 47.55 X:
S: 10.88 S:
: 8.485 :
: 42.654 :

2 Prueba de Bondad Y Ajuste Smirnov Para T= 15 Min. Resumen de Clculos Tabla N 3 Prueba de Bondad Y Ajuste Smirnov Pa

Intensidades P(X>x P(X<x) F(x) |(<) Intensidade


(<)| m Ao
(mm/h) Weibull) 1-P(X>X) F(X<x) s (mm/h)
69.24 0.026 0.974 0.957 0.0170 1 1975 41.18
67.21 0.051 0.949 0.946 0.0026 2 1976 39.95
66.35 0.077 0.923 0.941 0.0175 3 1977 39.44
64.43 0.103 0.897 0.926 0.0286 4 1978 38.31
62.39 0.128 0.872 0.907 0.0352 5 1979 37.11
62.23 0.154 0.846 0.905 0.0591 6 1980 37.00
61.70 0.179 0.821 0.899 0.0789 7 1981 36.71
59.99 0.205 0.795 0.878 0.0835 8 1982 35.69
54.21 0.231 0.769 0.774 0.0047 9 1983 32.21
52.12 0.256 0.744 0.721 0.0230 10 1984 31.01
51.26 0.282 0.718 0.696 0.0220 11 1985 30.50
51.05 0.308 0.692 0.690 0.0028 12 1986 30.29
50.78 0.333 0.667 0.681 0.0147 13 1987 30.18
49.23 0.359 0.641 0.631 0.0102 14 1988 29.27
48.69 0.385 0.615 0.612 0.0032 15 1989 28.98
48.21 0.410 0.590 0.595 0.0052 16 1990 28.65
48.05 0.436 0.564 0.589 0.0249 17 1991 28.57
47.89 0.462 0.538 0.583 0.0447 18 1992 28.47
47.68 0.487 0.513 0.575 0.0623 19 1993 28.36
47.36 0.513 0.487 0.563 0.0758 20 1994 28.15
47.20 0.538 0.462 0.557 0.0953 21 1995 28.07
47.20 0.564 0.436 0.557 0.1210 22 1996 28.07
46.82 0.590 0.410 0.542 0.1321 23 1997 27.85
46.18 0.615 0.385 0.517 0.1323 24 1998 27.45
43.40 0.641 0.359 0.400 0.0411 25 1999 25.82
43.40 0.667 0.333 0.400 0.0667 26 2000 25.82
41.52 0.692 0.308 0.319 0.0114 27 2001 24.70
38.47 0.718 0.282 0.195 0.0874 28 2002 22.88
38.10 0.744 0.256 0.181 0.0756 29 2003 22.66
37.94 0.769 0.231 0.175 0.0558 30 2004 22.55
35.58 0.795 0.205 0.100 0.1049 31 2005 21.14
35.21 0.821 0.179 0.090 0.0891 32 2006 20.95
35.21 0.846 0.154 0.090 0.0635 33 2007 20.95
34.51 0.872 0.128 0.074 0.0546 34 2008 20.52
33.87 0.897 0.103 0.060 0.0426 35 2009 20.12
31.09 0.923 0.077 0.020 0.0568 36 2010 18.49
30.93 0.949 0.051 0.019 0.0326 37 2011 18.41
30.23 0.974 0.026 0.013 0.0124 38 2012 17.98
47.551 Valor: max 0.1323 Promedio 28.275
10.883 Desv Estand. 6.470
38 N de Datos 38
DE AJUSTE (SMIRNOV - KOLMOGOROV). PARA T=30 min PRUEBA DE BONDAD DE AJUSTE (SMIRNOV - KOLMOGOROV).

()=^( ^((()/)) ) ()=^(


Se ajustar a la distribucin GUMBEL ^((()/
Donde:
S: Desviacin Estandar
X: Media muestral
=6/

=0.57721
Cuyos Parametros son:
28.27 X: 16.81
6.47 S: 3.85
5.045 : 2.998
25.363 : 15.083

ndad Y Ajuste Smirnov Para T= 30 Min. Resumen de Clculos Tabla N 4 Prueba de Bondad Y Ajuste Smirnov Para T= 60 Min. Res

P(X>x P(X<x) F(x) |(<) Intensidade P(X>x


(<)| m Ao
Weibull) 1-P(X>X) F(X<x) s (mm/h) Weibull)
0.026 0.974 0.957 0.0169 1 1975 24.48 0.026
0.051 0.949 0.946 0.0027 2 1976 23.76 0.051
0.077 0.923 0.940 0.0173 3 1977 23.45 0.077
0.103 0.897 0.926 0.0287 4 1978 22.78 0.103
0.128 0.872 0.907 0.0354 5 1979 22.06 0.128
0.154 0.846 0.905 0.0591 6 1980 22.01 0.154
0.179 0.821 0.900 0.0793 7 1981 21.82 0.179
0.205 0.795 0.879 0.0840 8 1982 21.22 0.205
0.231 0.769 0.773 0.0040 9 1983 19.16 0.231
0.256 0.744 0.721 0.0222 10 1984 18.43 0.256
0.282 0.718 0.697 0.0211 11 1985 18.13 0.282
0.308 0.692 0.686 0.0062 12 1986 18.01 0.308
0.333 0.667 0.681 0.0139 13 1987 17.95 0.333
0.359 0.641 0.631 0.0103 14 1988 17.40 0.359
0.385 0.615 0.613 0.0019 15 1989 17.23 0.385
0.410 0.590 0.594 0.0044 16 1990 17.04 0.410
0.436 0.564 0.589 0.0251 17 1991 16.99 0.436
0.462 0.538 0.583 0.0441 18 1992 16.92 0.462
0.487 0.513 0.576 0.0630 19 1993 16.87 0.487
0.513 0.487 0.562 0.0750 20 1994 16.74 0.513
0.538 0.462 0.557 0.0955 21 1995 16.68 0.538
0.564 0.436 0.557 0.1211 22 1996 16.68 0.564
0.590 0.410 0.543 0.1328 23 1997 16.56 0.590
0.615 0.385 0.516 0.1317 24 1998 16.32 0.615
0.641 0.359 0.401 0.0421 25 1999 15.36 0.641
0.667 0.333 0.401 0.0678 26 2000 15.36 0.667
0.692 0.308 0.319 0.0117 27 2001 14.69 0.692
0.718 0.282 0.195 0.0875 28 2002 13.61 0.718
0.744 0.256 0.181 0.0752 29 2003 13.48 0.744
0.769 0.231 0.175 0.0561 30 2004 13.42 0.769
0.795 0.205 0.099 0.1060 31 2005 12.58 0.795
0.821 0.179 0.091 0.0886 32 2006 12.45 0.821
0.846 0.154 0.091 0.0630 33 2007 12.45 0.846
0.872 0.128 0.073 0.0547 34 2008 12.21 0.872
0.897 0.103 0.059 0.0434 35 2009 11.97 0.897
0.923 0.077 0.020 0.0568 36 2010 11.00 0.923
0.949 0.051 0.019 0.0324 37 2011 10.94 0.949
0.974 0.026 0.013 0.0124 38 2012 10.70 0.974
Valor: max 0.1328 Promedio 16.814 Valor: max
Desv Estand. 3.845
N de Datos 38
SMIRNOV - KOLMOGOROV). PARA T=60 min PRUEBA DE BONDAD DE AJUSTE (SMIRNOV - KOLMOGOROV). PARA T=120 m

=^( ^((()/)) ) ()=^(


Se ajustar a la distribucin GUMBEL ^((()/)) )
Donde:
S: Desviacin Estandar
X: Media muestral
=6/

=0.57721
Cuyos Parametros son:
X: 10.00
S: 2.29
: 1.783
: 8.968

e Smirnov Para T= 60 Min. Resumen de Clculos Tabla N 5 Prueba de Bondad Y Ajuste Smirnov Para T= 120 Min. Resumen de C

P(X<x) F(x) |(<) Intensidade P(X>x P(X<x)


(<)| m Ao
1-P(X>X) F(X<x) s (mm/h) Weibull) 1-P(X>X)
0.974 0.957 0.0169 1 1975 14.55 0.026 0.974
0.949 0.946 0.0026 2 1976 14.13 0.051 0.949
0.923 0.940 0.0174 3 1977 13.95 0.077 0.923
0.897 0.926 0.0287 4 1978 13.55 0.103 0.897
0.872 0.907 0.0352 5 1979 13.12 0.128 0.872
0.846 0.905 0.0593 6 1980 13.08 0.154 0.846
0.821 0.900 0.0791 7 1981 12.98 0.179 0.821
0.795 0.879 0.0839 8 1982 12.62 0.205 0.795
0.769 0.773 0.0042 9 1983 11.39 0.231 0.769
0.744 0.721 0.0225 10 1984 10.96 0.256 0.744
0.718 0.696 0.0219 11 1985 10.78 0.282 0.718
0.692 0.686 0.0065 12 1986 10.71 0.308 0.692
0.667 0.681 0.0145 13 1987 10.68 0.333 0.667
0.641 0.631 0.0104 14 1988 10.35 0.359 0.641
0.615 0.613 0.0019 15 1989 10.24 0.385 0.615
0.590 0.594 0.0047 16 1990 10.13 0.410 0.590
0.564 0.589 0.0248 17 1991 10.10 0.436 0.564
0.538 0.582 0.0435 18 1992 10.06 0.462 0.538
0.513 0.576 0.0635 19 1993 10.03 0.487 0.513
0.487 0.562 0.0748 20 1994 9.95 0.513 0.487
0.462 0.556 0.0946 21 1995 9.92 0.538 0.462
0.436 0.556 0.1203 22 1996 9.92 0.564 0.436
0.410 0.543 0.1327 23 1997 9.85 0.590 0.410
0.385 0.516 0.1313 24 1998 9.71 0.615 0.385
0.359 0.402 0.0425 25 1999 9.13 0.641 0.359
0.333 0.402 0.0682 26 2000 9.13 0.667 0.333
0.308 0.320 0.0119 27 2001 8.74 0.692 0.308
0.282 0.195 0.0875 28 2002 8.09 0.718 0.282
0.256 0.182 0.0745 29 2003 8.01 0.744 0.256
0.231 0.175 0.0557 30 2004 7.98 0.769 0.231
0.205 0.099 0.1057 31 2005 7.48 0.795 0.205
0.179 0.090 0.0890 32 2006 7.40 0.821 0.179
0.154 0.090 0.0634 33 2007 7.40 0.846 0.154
0.128 0.074 0.0542 34 2008 7.26 0.872 0.128
0.103 0.059 0.0431 35 2009 7.12 0.897 0.103
0.077 0.020 0.0569 36 2010 6.54 0.923 0.077
0.051 0.019 0.0326 37 2011 6.50 0.949 0.051
0.026 0.013 0.0122 38 2012 6.36 0.974 0.026
Valor: max 0.1327 Promedio 9.997 Valor: max
Desv Estand. 2.287
N de Datos 38
OLMOGOROV). PARA T=120 min VERIFICACIN DE AJUSTE

^((()/)) ) Valor: O 0.211 Obtenido de la Tabla Smirnov Kolmogor

Resumen de max para los tiempos 5 min,10 min, 30 min, 60 min, 120 min

Cuadro de Resumen
Weibull 0.1325 0.1330 0.1323 0.1328
Duracin de Intensidades Max 5 10 15 30

Dado a que se cumple que: O>max, Para todos los tiempos.


Se Ajusta a la Distribucin GUMBEL

CONSTRUCCIN DE CURVA IDF

a T= 120 Min. Resumen de Clculos Para ello se aplicar la ecuacin despejada de GUMBEL
=(((11/)))
F(x) |(<)
F(X<x) (<)|
0.957 0.0170 Y un tiempo de Retorno de: 50 aos
0.946 0.0026
0.941 0.0174
0.926 0.0289 Donde los parametros se detallan en la siguiente Tabla:
0.907 0.0352 PARMETRO INTENSIDADES MAXIMAS PARA LOS TIEMPOS
0.905 0.0592 Tiempo 5 10 15 30 60
0.900 0.0792 Promedio 108.39 64.45 47.551 28.27 16.81
0.879 0.0838 Desv Estandar 24.79 14.74 10.883 6.47 3.85
0.773 0.0042 19.332 11.491 8.485 5.045 2.998
0.721 0.0222 97.234 57.815 42.654 25.363 15.083
0.697 0.0213 x 172.668 102.651 75.763 45.048 26.781
0.686 0.0062
0.681 0.0146 Luego Graficando los valores Obtenidos de las Intensidades vs los tiempo se tiene la curva siguie
0.630 0.0105
0.613 0.0026
0.594 0.0047 CURVA IDF
0.589 0.0246 200.00
0.582 0.0431 180.00
0.576 0.0628 f(x) = 577.2964033999 x^-0.7499526973 Peri odo 50 aos
INTENSIDAD MAXIMA (mm/h)

160.00
R = 0.9999999792 Power (Peri odo 50
0.562 0.0752 140.00 aos )
0.556 0.0948 120.00
0.556 0.1204 100.00
0.543 0.1325 80.00
0.516 0.1316 60.00
0.401 0.0424 40.00
0.401 0.0680
20.00
0.320 0.0125
0.00
0.194 0.0878 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 110 120 130
0.181 0.0751 TIEMPO (min)
20.00

I
0.00
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 110 120 130
TIEMPO (min)
0.176 0.0553
0.100 0.1054
0.090 0.0890
0.090 0.0634
0.074 0.0546
0.059 0.0431
0.020 0.0566
0.019 0.0327
0.013 0.0122
alor: max 0.1325
a Tabla Smirnov Kolmogorov

0.1327 0.1325
60 120

IEMPOS
120
10.00
2.29
1.783
8.968
15.926

o se tiene la curva siguiente:

Peri odo 50 aos


Power (Peri odo 50
aos )

0 100 110 120 130


0 100 110 120 130
INTENSIDADES MXIMAS (mm/hr)

WEBERBAWER DEPARTAMENTO : CAJAMARCA


2536 msnm PROVINCIA : CAJAMARCA
07 30 S LONGITUD : 78 30 W

m Ao 5 min. 10 min. 30 min. 60 min. 120 min.


1 1973 101.00 71.00 24.00 14.00 11.00
2 1974 73.00 58.00 34.00 18.00 19.00
3 1975 90.00 50.00 24.00 16.00 10.00
4 1976 68.00 63.00 37.00 19.00 9.00
5 1977 65.00 53.00 37.00 21.00 11.00
6 1978 26.00 24.00 21.00 12.00 6.00
7 1979 60.00 60.00 38.00 23.00 14.00
8 1980 73.02 61.00 33.80 21.08 9.28
9 1981 67.20 54.80 29.13 15.54 13.02
10 1982 88.29 75.15 37.20 23.10 13.27
11 1983 75.30 50.40 31.40 23.71 13.99
12 1984 112.80 71.80 27.60 15.63 9.80
13 1985 56.20 54.40 25.56 14.70 8.05
14 1986 84.60 65.40 30.11 15.60 8.23
15 1987 76.00 59.10 21.60 13.20 7.25
16 1988 70.40 52.80 23.00 15.90 7.85
17 1989 73.60 47.80 28.00 16.00 9.60
18 1990 111.60 75.00 37.94 23.00 12.00
19 1991 83.00 73.00 41.00 26.00 14.00
20 1992 56.00 39.00 19.00 10.00 5.80
21 1993 62.80 51.00 27.00 18.00 10.00
22 1994 91.49 64.18 36.22 19.04 12.91
23 1995 71.11 56.25 28.66 16.72 9.32
24 1996 81.30 60.21 22.44 17.88 11.12
25 1997 82.20 68.10 35.04 17.86 11.94
26 1998 92.00 66.34 40.60 27.10 13.50
27 1999 78.00 42.85 20.05 11.00 14.40
INTENSIDADES MXIMAS (mm/hr)
Altitud (Valor Representati 3420 m.s.n.m
Altitud Media de la Cuenc 3100 m.s.n.m

Intensidades mximas transpuestas a la microcuenca

m Ao 5 min. 10 min. 30 min. 60 min. 120 min.


1 1973 123.46 86.79 29.34 17.11 13.45
2 1974 89.24 70.90 41.56 22.00 23.23
3 1975 110.02 61.12 29.34 19.56 12.22
4 1976 83.12 77.01 45.23 23.23 11.00
5 1977 79.46 64.79 45.23 25.67 13.45
6 1978 31.78 29.34 25.67 14.67 7.33
7 1979 73.34 73.34 46.45 28.12 17.11
8 1980 89.26 74.57 41.32 25.77 11.34
9 1981 82.15 66.99 35.61 19.00 15.92
10 1982 107.93 91.86 45.47 28.24 16.22
11 1983 92.05 61.61 38.38 28.98 17.10
12 1984 137.89 87.77 33.74 19.11 11.98
13 1985 68.70 66.50 31.24 17.97 9.84
14 1986 103.41 79.94 36.81 19.07 10.06
15 1987 92.90 72.24 26.40 16.14 8.86
16 1988 86.06 64.54 28.12 19.44 9.60
17 1989 89.97 58.43 34.23 19.56 11.74
18 1990 136.42 91.68 46.38 28.12 14.67
19 1991 101.46 89.24 50.12 31.78 17.11
20 1992 68.45 47.67 23.23 12.22 7.09
21 1993 76.77 62.34 33.00 22.00 12.22
22 1994 111.84 78.45 44.28 23.27 15.78
23 1995 86.92 68.76 35.03 20.44 11.39
24 1996 99.38 73.60 27.43 21.86 13.59
25 1997 100.48 83.25 42.83 21.83 14.60
26 1998 112.46 81.09 49.63 33.13 16.50
27 1999 95.35 52.38 24.51 13.45 17.60
Promedio 93.71 70.97 36.69 21.92 13.37
Desv Estand. 21.89 14.34 8.30 5.39 3.64

TABLAS
Tabla N Prueba de Bondad Y A
Altitud (Valor Representativo 3420 m.s.n.m
Altitud Media de la Cuenca 3100 m.s.n.m

Intensidades mximas transpuestas a la microcuenca

m Ao 5 min. 10 min. 30 min. 60 min. 120 min.


1 1973 137.89 91.86 50.12 33.13 23.23
2 1974 136.42 91.68 49.63 31.78 17.60
3 1975 123.46 89.24 46.45 28.98 17.11
4 1976 112.46 87.77 46.38 28.24 17.11
5 1977 111.84 86.79 45.47 28.12 17.10
6 1978 110.02 83.25 45.23 28.12 16.50
7 1979 107.93 81.09 45.23 25.77 16.22
8 1980 103.41 79.94 44.28 25.67 15.92
9 1981 101.46 78.45 42.83 23.27 15.78
10 1982 100.48 77.01 41.56 23.23 14.67
11 1983 99.38 74.57 41.32 22.00 14.60
12 1984 95.35 73.60 38.38 22.00 13.59
13 1985 92.90 73.34 36.81 21.86 13.45
14 1986 92.05 72.24 35.61 21.83 13.45
15 1987 89.97 70.90 35.03 20.44 12.22
16 1988 89.26 68.76 34.23 19.56 12.22
17 1989 89.24 66.99 33.74 19.56 11.98
18 1990 86.92 66.50 33.00 19.44 11.74
19 1991 86.06 64.79 31.24 19.11 11.39
20 1992 83.12 64.54 29.34 19.07 11.34
21 1993 82.15 62.34 29.34 19.00 11.00
22 1994 79.46 61.61 28.12 17.97 10.06
23 1995 76.77 61.12 27.43 17.11 9.84
24 1996 73.34 58.43 26.40 16.14 9.60
25 1997 68.70 52.38 25.67 14.67 8.86
26 1998 68.45 47.67 24.51 13.45 7.33
27 1999 31.78 29.34 23.23 12.22 7.09
X Promedio 93.71 70.97 36.69 21.92 13.37
S Desv Estand. 21.89 14.34 8.30 5.39 3.64

Prueba de Bondad de Ajuste (Smirnov - Kolmogorov). T=5 min

()=^( ^(
(()/)) )
1/=_/
= _

y 1.283
Estimacin de

y 0.577
Parmetros
Estimacin de
Parmetros
X 93.713
S 21.887
17.065
83.863
abla N Prueba de Bondad Y Ajuste Smirnov Para T= 5 Min P(X<x) F(x) |(<)
m Ao 5 min. P(X>x Weibull) 1-P(X>X) F(X<x) (<)|
1 1973 137.89 0.036 0.96 0.9587 0.006
2 1974 136.42 0.071 0.93 0.9551 0.026
3 1975 123.46 0.107 0.89 0.9064 0.014
4 1976 112.46 0.143 0.86 0.8293 0.028
5 1977 111.84 0.179 0.82 0.8236 0.002
6 1978 110.02 0.214 0.79 0.8057 0.020
7 1979 107.93 0.250 0.75 0.7834 0.033
8 1980 103.41 0.286 0.71 0.7276 0.013
9 1981 101.46 0.321 0.68 0.7000 0.021
10 1982 100.48 0.357 0.64 0.6855 0.043
11 1983 99.38 0.393 0.61 0.6685 0.061
12 1984 95.35 0.429 0.57 0.6004 0.029
13 1985 92.90 0.464 0.54 0.5550 0.019
14 1986 92.05 0.500 0.50 0.5385 0.038
15 1987 89.97 0.536 0.46 0.4970 0.033
16 1988 89.26 0.571 0.43 0.4824 0.054
17 1989 89.24 0.607 0.39 0.4819 0.089
18 1990 86.92 0.643 0.36 0.4335 0.076
19 1991 86.06 0.679 0.32 0.4150 0.094
20 1992 83.12 0.714 0.29 0.3519 0.066
21 1993 82.15 0.750 0.25 0.3309 0.081
22 1994 79.46 0.786 0.21 0.2740 0.060
23 1995 76.77 0.821 0.18 0.2197 0.041
24 1996 73.34 0.857 0.14 0.1569 0.014
25 1997 68.70 0.893 0.11 0.0879 0.019
26 1998 68.45 0.929 0.07 0.0849 0.013
27 1999 31.78 0.964 0.04 0.0000 0.036
X Promedio 93.71 Valor Maximo 0.094
S Desv Estand. 21.89
N de Datos 27

Cuadro de Resumen

Weibull 0.094 0.106 0.153 0.093 0.108


Duracin de Intensidades 5 10 30 60 120

Clculo de delta Critico (sale de Tablas

o 0.26
Como Ninguno de los valores Wibull son mayores, entonces no se ajusta al modelo matemtico Gumbel

=(((11/)))
=(((11/)))

Parmtero 5 min (max) 10 min (max) 30 min (max) 60 min (max) 120 min (max)
Promedio 93.71 70.97 36.69 21.92 13.37
Desv Estanda 21.89 14.34 8.30 5.39 3.64
17.07 11.18 6.47 4.21 2.84
83.86 64.52 32.95 19.49 11.73

5 141.63
10 102.356
30 54.846
60 33.738
120 21.345

Chart Title
160

140

120

100

80

60

40

20

0
0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140
Chart Title
Model o Empi ri co Model o Teori co
1.20

1.00

0.80

0.60

0.40

0.20

0.00
20.00 40.00 60.00 80.00 100.00 120.00 140.00 160.00

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