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Question 1
We are interested in estimating the proportion of graduates at a mid-sized university
who found a job within one year of completing their undergraduate degree. Suppose
we conduct a survey on current graduate students, and find out that 298 of
487randomly sampled graduatestudendsfound jobs. The graduate class under
consideration included over 10080students. Answer the following questions, and
where applicable and unless otherwise stated, round and give your answers to two
decimal places.
Ons is genteresseerd in die skatting van die verhouding van gegradueerdes in'n
mediumgrootte universiteit wat 'n werk binne een jaar na die voltooiing van hul
voorgraadse graad gevind het. Veronderstel ons doen 'n opname op huidige nagraadse
studente en vind dat 298van 487lukraak gemonsterde nagraadse studente'n werk
gevind het. Die nagraadse klasonder oorweging sluit meer as 10080studente
in.Beantwoord die volgende vrae, en waar van toepassing en tensy anders gestel, rond
en gee uantwoord tot twee desimale plekke.
a)
What is the value of the point estimate of this parameter?
Wat is die waarde van die punt skatting van hierdie parameter?
b)
What isthe population parameter of interest.
The true proportion of graduate students at the university who found a job.
Die ware proporsievan nagraadse studente aan die Universiteit wat 'n werk
gevind.
The true number of graduate students at the university who found a job.
Die ware aantal nagraadse studente aan die Universiteit wat 'n werk gevind het.
c)
Which ofthe following conditions, or part of a condition, for constructing a confidence
interval based on these data are met.Select all correct options, but note that
incorrectoptions selected are negatively marked.
Watse valdie volgende voorwaardes, of gedeelte van 'n voorwaarde, vir die bou van 'n
vertrouensinterval op grond van hierdie data wordaan voldoen.Kies alle opsies wat reg
is, maar let daarop dat verkeerde gekieste opsies negatief gemerk word.
More than 10 students from the sample group did not find a job.
Meer as 10 studente van die monster groep het nie 'n werk gevind het nie.
Less than 10% of all graduate students at the univeristy who did not find a job
were included in the sample.
Minder as 10% van alle nagraadse studente aan die Universiteit wat nie 'n werk
gekry het nie is ingesluit in die monster.
The sample included more graduate students who found a job than those who
did not.
Die steekproef het bestaan uit meer nagraadse studente wat 'n werk gevind het
as diegene wat nie 'n werk gevind het nie.
More than 10 students from the sample group did find a job.
Meer as 10 studente van die monster groep het 'n werk gevind het.
More than 10 students from the sample group are expected to have found a job.
Dit word verwag dat meer as 10 studente van die monster groep sal 'n werk
gevind het.
Less than 10% of all graduate students at the univeristy were included in the
sample.
Minder as 10% van alle nagraadse studente aan die Universiteit is ingesluit in die
monster.
The sampled graduate students are not independent fromall the graduate
students.
Minder as 10% van nagraadse studente het nie 'n werk gekry nie.
The graduate students in the sample are independent from each other.
d)
Calculate a 95% confidence interval for the proportion of all graduates who found a job
within one year of completing their undergraduate degree at this university.
Bereken 'n 95% vertrouensinterval vir die proporsievan alle gegradueerdes wat 'n werk
binne een jaar na die voltooiing van hul voorgraadse graad aan hierdie Universiteit
gevindhet.
( , )
e)
What does "95% confidence" mean? Select all correct options, but note that
incorrectoptions selected are negatively marked.
Wat beteken "95% vertroue"?Kies alle opsies wat reg is, maar let daarop dat verkeerde
gekieste opsies negatief gemerk word.
We are 95% certain that the actual proportion of graduate students who found a
job lies within the calculated 95% confidence interval.
job lies within the calculated 95% confidence interval.
Ons is 95% seker dat die werklike proporsievan nagraadse studente wat 'n werk
gevind binne die berekende 95%-vertrouensinterval l.
There is a 5% chanse that the calculated confidence interval does not contain
theactual proportion ofgraduate students who found a job.
As ons 500 keer die eksperiment sou herhaal en elke keer die vertroue interval
bereken, sou ons verwag om die ware proporsienagraadsestudente wat 'n werk
gevind het sowat 25 keer temis.
95% van alle nagraadse studente aan die Universiteit het 'n werk gevind.
We are 95% certain that thethe confidence interval calculations are correct.
Ons is 95% seker dat die vertroue interval berekeninge korrek is.
We are 95% certain that the proportion of sampled graduate students who
found a job is equal to the actual proportion of graduate students who found a
job.
Ons is 95% seker dat die proporsievan die gegradueerde studente in die
monster wat 'n werk gevind het gelyk is aan die werklike proporsievan
nagraadse studente wat 'n werk gevind.
We are 95% certain that all graduate students at the university have found a job.
Ons is 95% seker dat allenagraadsestudente by die universiteit 'n werk gevind
het.
We are 95% certain that the sampled graduatestudents at the university have
found a job.
Ons is 95% seker dat dienagraadse studente aan die Universiteit in die
proefsteed 'n werk gevind het.
We are 95% certain that the actual proportion of graduate students who found a
jobis morethan the lowervalue of the calculated 95% confidence interval.
jobis morethan the lowervalue of the calculated 95% confidence interval.
Ons is 95% seker dat die werklike proporsievan nagraadse studente wat 'n werk
gevind het meeris as die ondersetewaarde van die berekende 95%-
vertrouensinterval.
We are 95% certain that the actual proportion of graduate students who found a
jobis less than the upper value of the calculated 95% confidence interval.
Ons is 95% seker dat die werklike proporsievan nagraadse studente wat 'n werk
gevind het minder is as die boonste waarde van die berekende 95%-
vertrouensinterval.
95% of all the sampled graduatestudents at the university have found a job.
95% van al die nagraadse studente aan die Universiteit in die monster het 'n
werk gevind.
f)
Calculate a 99% confidence interval for the same parameter of interest.
( , )
g)
When comparingthe widths of a76% and 78% confidence intervals,which one is
wider?
76%
78%
h)
The Department of higher education classifiesa University as under performing if less
than 75% of its graduates are able to find a job. Recall that the survey found that 298
than 75% of its graduates are able to find a job. Recall that the survey found that 298
out of 487randomly sampled graduates at the University found jobs. Let bethe
actualproportion of graduate students at the university who found a job, and
bethe proportion of sampled students at the university who found a job.
0 : =
: <
i)
We wishto calculate the test statistics, -score, for the observed proportion, , of
graduate students who found a job, under the assumption that the null hypothesis is
true.
For step 1, calculate the Standard Error (SE) and round your answer to FOUR (4)
decimal places.
Ons wil die toetsstatistiek, -score, bereken vir die waargeneemde verhouding, ,
van nagraadse studente wat 'n werk gevind het, onder die aanname dat die nulhipotese
waaris.
Vir stap 1, bereken die Standaard Fout (SE) en rond u antwoord to VIER(4) desimale
plekke.
j)
Using thecalculatedStandard Error (SE), calculate the test statistic, -score, and round
your answer to TWO (2) decimal places.
Gebruik die berekende standaard fout (SE), en bereken die toetsstatistiek, -score, en
rond uantwoord tot TWEE (2) desimale plekke.
k)
In the survey we observed that298 out of 487 found a job. What is the likelyhood of
observing this proportion or less if the null hypothesis is true? Round your answer to
TWO (2) decimal places.
Hint: use the calculated -scoreand normal probability tables.
In die opname het ons waargeneem dat 298 uit 487 'n werk gevind het. Wat is die
waarskynlikheid omdie proporsieof minder waar te neem indien die nulhipotese waar
is?Rond uantwoord tot TWEE (2) desimale plekke.
l)
Using a significance level of = 6%, what is the outcome of the hypothesis test?
Note that this part is NOT adaptively marked.
Met behulp van 'n betekenis vlak van = 6%, wat is die uitslag van die hipotese toets?
Let daarop dat hierdie gedeelte NIE adaptief gemerk word NIE.
Do not rejectthe null hypothesis since: -value <
Moet nie die nulhipotese verwerp nie aangesien: -value <