Académique Documents
Professionnel Documents
Culture Documents
Eni ronmental
Accoulnting
Public Disclosure Authorized
for Sustainable
Development
Public Disclosure Authorized
edited by E'
YusufJ. Ahnad
Salahi El Serafy
Ernst Lutz
Public Disclosure Authorized
Bank Symposium
A UJiNEP-World
4~~~~~~~~~~
i
Accounting
En4ronmental
for
Sustanable
Development
A UN.EP-WorldBank Symposium
I
I I
EnvironmentalAccounting
for
Sustasinable
Development
editedby
Yusuf J. Ahmad
Salah El Serafy
Ernst Lutz
The WorldBank
Washington,D.C.
1989 The InternationalBankfor Reconstruction
and DevelopmentI THE WORLD BANK
1818H Street,N.W.,Washington,D.C.20433,U.S.A.
Allrightsreserved
Manufactured in the UnitedStatesof America
FirstprintingJune 1989
Library
of CongressCataloging-in-Publication
Data
Internationalorganizationsare making a substantialef- way must be found to measure the prosperity and pro-
fort to incorporateenvironmentalconcernsiintheir regu- gress of mankind.
laroperations.A great deal of work is nowbeing done to
help clarifythe linkages between developmentand the We have witnessedincreasingpressure on the environ-
environment. Thisworkwillenable us to irntegrateenvi- ment and the natural resource base. We have come to
ronmentaland resourcemanagementconcernsmore ef- understand that, where te environmentis concerned,
fectivelyin the economicdecisionmakingprocess.It will "there is no such thing as a free lunch"and that someone
be an essentialcomponentin our effortsto establishthe will eventuallyhaveto bear the "externalcosts" of pro-
basisfor long-termand sustainabledeveloprnent. duction and consumptionactivities.We must learn to
dis5tinguish
betweentrue incomegenerationand the draw-
Environmentalaccountingis a complexand sometimes ing downof capitalassets by resourcedepletion or deg-
elusivesubject.It is also a tool with great potential,how- radation.
ever,a tool that can help ensure that future calculations This volumereflects the attention given during the past
of nationalincomemore accuratelyrepresenttrue, "sus- six years by the World Bank and the United Nations
tainable"income.The current systemof nationalincome EnvironmentProgramme,as wellas others, to this impor-
accountinghas some limitations.Gross domesticproduct tant topic. We hope it will help bring about a needed
(GDP) figuresare widelyusedby economists,politicians, changein attitudeand perceptionabout this issue.
and the media. Unfortunately,they are generallyused
without the caveat that they represent an income that BarberB. Conable MostafaTolba
cannotbe sustained.Current calculationsig5nore the deg- ExecutiveDirector
radationof the natural resourcebase and viewthe sales President UnitedNations
of nonrenewableresources entirelyas income.A better The WorldBank EnvironmentProgramme
v
I~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
Contents
Preface xi
Abbreviations xii
Contributors xiii
vii
viii Contents
This volume contains selected papers from a series of Numerousparticipantsat the workshopsmade signifi-
workshopsjointlysponsoredby the WorldBank and the cant contributions,either by presenting papers or by
United Nations EnvironmentProgramme(UNEP). UNEP substantialparticipationin the discussions.They are too
was created at the StockholmConferencein 1972. Dur- manyto acknowledgeindividually; insteadwe havehad to
ing the past seventeenyears, membersof its Governing content ourselveswith listing the names and affiliations
Councilhave urged UNEP to help clarifythe linkages of all participantsin the appendix to the text. Of the
betweendevelopmentand the environment.The council more than thirty papersor notes that were presented,we
believedthat such clarificationwouldhelpintegrateissues haveselectedthe seventhat appearedto us to have pro-
of environmentaland resourcemanagementooncerninto vided broad insightsor brought out new aspects of a
the frameworkof economicdecisionmakingand thiuspro- complexand sometimeselusivesubject.In addition,we
vide a basis for long-termand sustainabledevelopment. haveincludedthree contributionsthat werewrittenafter-
In 1982, UNEP'S Session of a Special Character,which wardby workshopparticipants(Chapters4, 9, and 10).
commemoratedthe tenth anniversaryof the Stockholm In general, the papers indicate current thinkingon the
Conference,requestedthe executivedirector to develop issueof environmentaland resource accounting.Readers
methodological guidelinesfor developingcountrieson en- interestedin examiningpapers not includedin this vol-
vironmentalaccountingand its use in developmentpolicy ume are encouragedto contactthe particularauthors.
and planning. The chapters in this volumereflect different aspects
In February1983, UNEP conveneda consultativemeet- and approachesto environmentalaccounting.They are
ing under the chairmanshipof YusufJ. Ahmad,assistant concernedmostlywith financialand economicconsidera-
to the executivedirector and director for specialassign- tions and the prospects of modifyingthe U.N.Systemof
ments at UNEP. The mainobjectiveof the meetingwasto NationalAccounts(SNA) to reflect issues of environmen-
ascertainwhetherenvironmentalaccountingcouldbe de- tal and natural resourceconcern.
velopedas a publicpolicytool,based on the presentstate In publishingthis volumewe havereceivedencourage-
of the art. Robert Goodlandwas the only 'WorldBank ment, support, or comments from Ramesh Chander,
representativeat that first meeting.He subsequentlypro- Vinod Dubey,Stanley Fischer, Robert Goodland,Ken-
vided much leadership and encouragedeconomiststo neth Piddington,Ibrahim Shihata, MichaelWard, and
focuson these critical issues. He and YusufJ. Ahmad, JeremyWarford.
Salah El Serafy,and Jacques Theys chaired the subse-
quent workshops,whichwere sponsoredjointlyby UNEP YusufJ. Ahmad
and the WorldBank. Salah El Serafy
Ernst Lutz
xi
Abbreuiations
xii
Contributors
xliii
I I I
EnvironmentdlandResourceAccounting:
An Overtiew
Salah El Serafy and Ernst Lutz
Most production and consumptionactivAities have some ance, and many other things. Developmentplanners,
effect on the physical environment.As economicand economists,and politiciansthus makefrequentuse of the
populationgrowthhave occurred,they have increasingly nationalincomemeasureof gross nationalproduct (GNP)
put pressureon the environmentand the natturalresource and its variants, such as GDP (gross domesticproduct)
base. Yearsago, whenthe pressure wasstill small, econ- and NNP (net nationalproduct) for a varietyof purposes.
omistsmayhavebeenjustifiedin makingno referenceto GDP, the most commonlyused variant of aggregate in-
the role playedby the environment,both as a resource come, is essentiallya short-term measure of total eco-
base and as a "sink" to receivethe residuesof the pro- nomic activityfor whichexchange occurs in monetary
ductionand consumptionprocess.But there is little jus- terms withina givenyear.It is valuablemostlyfor indicat-
tificationforthis now. ing short- to medium-termchanges in the level of eco-
Economistshaveconsideredthe side-eifectsof produc- nomic activity,and it is particularlyuseful for demand
tion and consumptionactivitiesto be "externaleffects." managementand stabilizationpolicies.As calculatedat
But such effects are external only if a narrow view is present, however,it is less useful for gauging long-term
taken, whichdoes not considerthe effecton the resource sustainablegrowthpartly becausenatural resourcedeple-
systemas a whole.Althoughthis systemis generallylarge, tion and degradationare being ignored. Furthermore,
it is neverthelessfinite,and in certainrespectsit is subject GDP is often used inappropriately as an indicatorof "wel-
to great stress. The realizationis growingthat, wherethe fare," frequentlywithoutany caveat about its shortcom-
environmentis concerned,"there is no such thing as a ings for that purpose. The concept of welfareis much
free lunch"and that someonewilleventuallyhaveto bear broader than a monetarymeasure of income. It covers
those "externalcosts."If a broaderviewis talken,environ- manydimensionsof subjectivewell-beingother than those
mental costs would be internalizedin the production that involvemarkettransactionsor that can be measured
processes.In this connectionit is essential to reckon in monetary terms, particularlyfor people whose basic
costs and benefitsproperlyand to distinguishclearlybe- materialneeds havebeen met.
tween true income generationand the drawingdown of As most economistsknow,there are severalcontrover-
capitalassets by resourcedepletionor degradation.This, sial issuesconcerningnationalincomeaccountingas cur-
in generalterms,is the subjectof this volume. rentlybeing practiced,such as the treatment of leisure,
householdand subsistenceproduction,other nonmarket
Shortcomings of the Current National transactions,and the servicesof long-livedconsumerdur-
IncomeMeasures ables. This chapter willnot deal with any of those issues;
instead it addresses certain environmentaland natural
Incomeaccounting,if properly done, is a most useful resourceissuesas they relate to the proper measurement
tool foreconomicanalysisand policyprescriptions.It can of incomeand variationsin assets. GDP, as measuredat
indicatethe levelof economicactivity,its variationsfrom present, does not adequatelyrepresent true, sustainable
yearto year,the size of savingsand investment,the limits incomebecauseof two shortcomings.These concernthe
society can consume out of its current receipts, factor treatment of environmentalprotectioncosts and the deg-
productivity,industrial structure, comparativeperform- radationand depletionof natural resources.The fact that
1
2 SalahEl Serafy and Ernst Lutz
these issues are not properly dealt with in the current stream of incomegenerated by economicactivity.It has
U.N.Systemof NationalAccounts(SNA)is a seriousflaw thereforebeen proposedthat such outlaysshould not be
from an accountingpoint of view.As a result, policy countedas finalexpenditure,as is currentlythe case,but
advicebased on measurementsproducedunder the SNA rather as intermediateexpenditure.
can be faultyto the extent that GDP does not adequately A conceptuallydifferentapproachcan be taken by con-
reflectenvironmentaland natural resourceerosion. sideringresourcessuch as water,air, soil, and so forth as
natural capital.When such capital is drawndownor de-
The Necessity of Measuring Sustainable graded,this shouldshowup as consumptionin the meas-
Income urements of national income whether or not defensive
expendituresare actuallybeing incurred to correct for
True income is "sustainable"income. This is a key the negativeeffectsand restore the drawn-downnatural
True~
~~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~~~ ~cptl Them difrec betweenletheme
defesiv expendi-
pointstressedbyDaly(Chapter2) and El Serafy(Chapter captal. The dlifferencebetween the defensiveexpendi-
3). True income can be thought of as the maximum tures actuallyincurred and the depreciabonof the envi-
amountthat can be consumedin a given period without ronmentalcapital wouldbe reflected at the level of net
redcinofth
reducingthe amount ossbleconumpionin
amuntof
possibleconsumptionin a fuure
future domestic
posed product and
by Harrison (NDP). This approach
outlined has in
in more detail been pro-
Chapter
period.This conceptencompassesnot only current earn- 4. A s arrconcal approach ha been propoed
ings but also changes in assets: capital gains increase 4. A similar conceptual approach has been proposed by
ingsm;
b it.al..soes in assets.capi.Tal gssincrease Peskin (Chapter10), whoproposesthe introductionof a
ionce;pit lncosehs
rede incoed T . he esenc ot nature account in additionto the standard accounts for
concpt
hasbee
f icom
sttedby Sr Jhn ick as households,industry,and government.Aside from the
the maximumvaluethat a person can consumeduringa dfulty ing a consen to hoite environ-
time period and stfi expect to be as well off at the end difficulty of reaching a consensus as to how the environ-
of the period as at the beginning(Hicks 1946,
a p. 172).
e mental or natural capital is to be treated conceptually,
ofudnth
Prudentperiodoma
economicmanatghembeginng(uics 1946,
management requires that p.o172).
govern- the greatest difficultylies in actuallyestimatingthe level
ments knowthe maximumamountthat can be consumed of environmentalservicesand damages.
by a nation without causing its eventual impoverishment. Measuring Pollution within the sNA Framework
It is important,therefore,that nationalincomebe meas-
ured correctlyto indicate sustainable income. Adjust- Pollution-that is, the dischargeof wastesin waysthat
mentsof the SNAappear to be necessaryin the two areas raise the cost of later activities,harm people, or reduce
noted above, since these are currently not dealt with the enjoymentthey get from their surroundings-is an
satisfactorily:the so-called"defensiveexpenditures"to tant area in from
their accountsngs-isan
protector restorethe environmentand the depletionand imp re inwichntental aconts clde
degradatio
resourcesused
of natura to Improveenvironmental policymaking.Blades
degradationof natural resources. (Chapter 5) distinguishesfour aspects of pollutionand
considersthe extent to whichit is possibleand usefulto
Defensive Expenditures measurethem withinthe frameworkof the national ac-
counts. These aspects are the output of pollutants, the
Actionis often taken to defendthe environmentagainst damagesof pollution, the costs of abatement,and the
encroachmentby economicactivity,and the SNAtreats its benefitsderivedfrom it.
costas generatingincome.Defensiveexpenditurescan be Althoughit maybe feasibleto use nationalaccountsto
large or small, dependingon wherethe boundariesare measure the output of pollutants,the informationso ob-
drawn.Thisvolumeconsidersonlydefensiveexpenditures tained maybe too generalto be usefulfor environmental
againstthe unwantedside-effectsof productionand con- policymaking.Chapter 5 notes that although there are
sumption(such as pollution)but not those relating to conceptualand practicaldifficultiesin estimatingthe total
national security,even though similar argumentswould costs of pollutiondamage,it wouldbe possibleand help-
applyto them.The most obviouscategoryto be included ful to identifysome of the main costs that are already
under defensiveexpendituresis the cost of environmental includedin the nationalaccountsbut are not shownsep-
protectionactivities.Anotherpossiblecategorywould be aratelyat present. The costsof pollutionabatementare a
car repair and medicalexpenses as a result of traffic part of defensiveexpenditures.They havebeen measured
accidents.Leipert listed other costs that might be in- in severalcountriesand have been incorporatedin mac-
cludedand recentlymeasuredthe defensiveexpenditures roeconomicmodelsto showthe effectof abatementpoli-
for the Federal Republicof Germany(Leipert 1986 and cies on prices, output, and employment.In this area the
1987). national accountswould be a valuabletool for environ-
It does not make sense to incorporate expenditures mentalpolicymaking,and Chapter 5 considers in detail
incurred to redress some or all of the negative conse- the conceptual and practical problems of measuring
quences of production or consumptionactivitiesin the abatementcosts. Finally,althoughit wouldbe interesting
Environmental
andResource
Accounting:
An Overview 3
to measure the "market valuation"of the benefits of fectedin developingcountriesin whichnatural resources
pollutionabatement,the practicaldifficultiesinvolvedare are exploitedby the public sector.
enormous,and it wouldgenerallynot be feasibleto incor- Underlyingthis asymmetryis the implicit,as well as
porate such data in the national accountson a regular inappropriate,assumptionthat natural resources are so
basis. abundantthat theyare costlessor haveno marginalvalue.
Historicallythey havebeen regarded as free gifts of na-
Measuringthe Differencebetween Environmental ture-a bias that providesfalsesignals for policymakers.
Standardsand Actual Behavior This approachignoresthe depletionof valuableresources
and confusesthe sale of commerciallymarketablenatural
Hueting(Chapter6) discussesseveralw&s toDdeal with assets with the generationof income.Thus it promotes
defensiveexpendituresand lists the pros and ons of the and seemsto validatethe idea that rapid economicgrowth
defensive
andexpenditures
lists the ps ad ccan be obtainedby exploitinga resource base that may
variousoptions.Sincehe is skepticalabout the usefulness be rapidlydiminishing.The growthcan be illusory,and
of the willingness-to-pay-method,he prefersth't environ- the prosperityit engenderstransitory,if the apparentgain
mental standards be determined by considerations of i i
health and sustainable development. The costi of achiev- in income means permanent loss in wealth, that is, if at
healtuchstandasutialedev beent. ost ofe least part of the receipts is not redirectedinto new pro-
Ite
ingld
wouldsuho
standards
show would
how far nthen
b has
etimted.
s These rosts ductive investments.As income is inflated, often con-
a country drifted away from smto sas,adtecutycnendgt opa
sustainable economic development. Although the ap- sumption is also, and the country concerned gets compla-
susainab enomic de .t Althoug
the
h wouldap- cent about its economicperformance;as a result the
poach ,ha inui tivenappa, dterm ingthecost wol adjustmentin economicpolicygets delayedby the seem-
oinkagesbetweenproduction and consumptionactivities ing prosperity.In this regard, proper income accounting
linkges betweent is an aid to better decisionmaking,but, of course, it does
and the environment.
Generallyspeaking,the issueof the treatmentof defen- not guarantee that improveddecisionswill actuallybe
siveexpendituresfor nationalaccountingassumesgreater made.
significancethe higher the degree of industrializationof Existingnatural capital of geological(nonrenewable)
the countryconcerned.The issuesof depletionand deg- and biological(renewable)resourcesas wellas of flow
radation, which are considered below, ar-enot directly resources(suchas water and air) is needed for industrial
raain whc ar cosdee below, ar.o drcl and agroindustrialproduction.Newgeologicaldiscover-
relatedto the levelof industrialization,however,although aswa astreyl anduconservation, dosnovers
they seem to be particularlyrelevant to countries that tes, as wellas recyclkgand conservaton, do not reverse
base their economicactivitieson the exploitationof nat- the depletion of known stocks. The newlydiscovered
ural resources. stocks themselvescomefrom a finite stock of resources,
and they merelyextend the time span over whichdeple-
tion can continue. Depletion of renewable natural re-
The Depletion and Degradation sourcescan haveserious indirect effectsby reducingthe
of Natural Resources sustainable flow needed for industrial inputs and eco-
systemservices.
There is an evident asymmetryin howthe SNA treats Similarly,
crop productionat the expenseof soil erosion
man-madeassets and natural resources. Man-madeas- cannot be sustained.Only carefulhusbandryof environ-
sets-buildings and equipment,for example--arevalued mental capacitiescan ensure sustainableand potentially
as productiveassets and are writtenoff againstthe value larger flowsof incomein the future.The optimisticargu-
of productionas they depreciate.Naturalresourceassets ment that human ingenuityis bound to find substitutes
are not so valuedor adequatelyaccountediforin most for the naturalresourcesbeingdepletedmaybe generally
instances,however,and their loss producesno charge in valid,but it would be imprudentfor societyto base its
the national accounts against current income to reflect behavioron such optimismand wouldbe wrongfor econ-
the decreasein potential future production.If a country omistsand accountantsnot to take rational precautions
is exhaustingits renewableor nonrenewableresources, in case this does not occur.
its current incomewill thus be inflated by the sale of Two main conceptualapproachesto deal with the de-
natural assets that willeventuallydisappear.Differences pletion or degradationof natural resources have been
in recording under the SNA may arise depending on proposed:the depreciationapproachand the "user cost"
whethera resourceis publiclyor privatelyowned.Private approach. The principle of depreciationof man-made
companiestend to take a long viewof the natural assets capitalcan be appliedstraightforwardlyto the consump-
they own, and many make provisionfor the decreasein tion of capitalembodiedin renewableand nonrenewable
the capital stock of natural resources, and in certain resources (Daly,Chapter 2; Harrison,Chapter 4). Since
countries tax legislationpermits such provisionsto be geologicaland ecologicalinformation on depletion or
excludedfrom taxableincome.No such exclusionis ef- degradationcomesin physicalunits, this must be priced
4 SalahEl Serafy and Ernst Lutz
or valuedin some way before some adjustmentcan be R-X would be the "depletionfactor" (or user cost) that
madeto GDP to arrive at a correctednet product. Valua- should be set aside and allocatedto capital investment
tion couldbe basedeitheron the principleof replacement and excludedfrom GDP, while X would represent true,
cost,wherereplacementis possible,or on (the discounted that is, sustainable,income.
valueof) willingnessto pay. Present conventionswould This method is flexible enough to handle changing
valuethe depletedor degradedresourcesat currentprices levelsof extraction,movementsin the discount rate, and
whereavailable.If such a correctionwere effected,the alterationsin reserve estimates.Such alterationswould
grossproductwouldremainunchanged,but the net prod- includenew discoveries,whichwouldchangethe reserve-
uct wouldbe adjustedto reflect the depreciationof envi- to-extractionratio. In the aboveformulathis is denoted
ronmentalcapital that has occurred duringthe account- by n, that is, the life expectancyof the reservemeasured
ingperiod. in years at the current period's extraction rate. The
Because the depreciationapproach would leave GDP methodis not concernedwith valuingtotal reserves,but
unadjustedand becauseit would wipe out from the net onlywith the fractionof the resourcebeing liquidatedin
product the entire proceedsfrom natural resourcesales, the current accountingperiod, whichis valuedat current
the user cost approach (see Chapter 3) has been pro- prices.That fractionreliesentirelyon physicalquantities,
posed as a wayof properlytaking accountof depletionof since the price is the same in the numeratorand denom-
mineralresources.Possessionof a natural resource con- inator.The method can be adapted to deal with mineral
veyson its owneran incomeadvantagethat is deniedto extractionunder conditionsof deterioratingqualityof the
those withouta natural resource,and it is not satisfactory product and rising costs of extraction.Resourceowners
to arrive at a measurementof zero net income, as pro- usuallyminethe richer depositsfirst, leavinginferiorde-
duced by the depreciation method. The user cost ap- positsfor later periods,thus inevitablyraisingthe cost of
proach avoidsthe difficultiesof putting a valueon the futureextraction.
stock of the resource, but it relies on the consciousas- This method, like all accounting methods, does not
sessmentof current extractionrates in relation to the indicatean ex ante optimalrate of depletion,but merely
total availablestock, measuredin physicalterms.Depend- mirrors decisionsalready made by the resource owner
ing on the rate of depletionand on a discountrate, the about liquidatinghis natural resource.The ownerusually
revenuefrom the sales of a depletableresource, net of determineshis extractionrate in the lightof manyfactors,
extractioncost, can be splitinto a capitalelement,or user includinghis expectationof future price changes. If he
cost,and a valueaddedelement,representingtrue income. decidesto extract20 percent of his reservesin one year,
T-hecapitalelementrepresentsasset erosion,and it has then n in the aboveformulationis equalto 5; the income
been proposedthat it shouldbe hypothetically (El Serafy content of his net receipts, using a 5 percent discount
1981) or actually(Ward 1982) reinvestedin alternative rate, wouldbe 25 percent; and the user cost to be rein-
assets so that it continuesto generate income after the vested is 75 percent. If, however,he extracts only 10
resourcehas been totallyexhausted.Unlikethe deprecia- percent of his reserves,that is, plans to exhaust his re-
tion method,this wouldseek to alter the reckoningof GDP source over ten years, then he needs to set aside for
itself,not just of NDP. This methodwouldbe in harmony reinvestment58 percent of his net receipts,and willthus
with accountingprinciplesand woulduse current market enjoy 42 percent as current income. The correction
pricesfor valuationpurposes,but it wouldrequirea rule- needed to reckon "true" incomeout of natural resource
of-thumbdiscountrate for convertingthe capitalsalesinto sales is higher the nearer the resource is to exhaustion,
an incomestream.It is alsorootedin a properunderstand- and lowerthe longerits life expectancyat current extrac-
ing ofthe economicmeaningsof "valueadded"and "rent," tion rates. Onlya 1 percentreductionwouldbe necessary
whichshouldnot be confusedwith assetsales. in net receiptsto arrive at "true" incomeusing a 5 per-
How the net revenuecan be split into user costs and cent discountrate ifthe resourceis beingliquidatedover
true incomeis explainedin Chapter3. One needs firstto 100 years. The choice of the discount rate materially
decideon a discountrate, r, say 5 percent. Second,one affectsthe calculation.A high discount rate, whichde-
has to determinethe number of periods, n, over which pressesfuture againstcurrent valuation,raises the ratio
the resourceis being liquidated.This can simplybe read of "true" incomein current receipts. But alternativein-
from the ratio between total reserves and whatever vestmentsmust be found in whichto sink the depletion
amountis extractedin the current period.Then the for- factor (R-X) so that it can yieldthat much as a return.'
muladevelopedby El Serafy(1981) is used to calculate
the ratio of true income,X, to net receipts (exclusiveof Resource Accounting
extractioncosts),R:
For resourceaccounting,data need to be collectedon
1
X/R 1 - renewableand nonrenewablenatural resourcesprimarily
XIR = I)n+1*for the purposeof planningtheir long-runexploitationin
(1 + r)~~1 pursuitof sustainableeconomicactivity.Severalindustrial
Environmentaland ResourceAccounting:An Overview 5
not spell out how such alternative value systerns can be Revenue,and the Supply of Petroleum." The Journal of
established or used; nor does he speculate on the sort of Energyand Development7(1, Autumn):73-88.
solutions they would produce. Hicks,John R. 1946. Valueand CapitaL2nd ed. Oxford:Ox-
There are other areas in which the workshop partici- ford UniversityPress.
pants have expressed different points of vievw,but the Keynes,John Maynard.1936. The GeneralTheoryof Employ-
main message this volume hopes to convey is ihe urgent ment,Interest,and Money.London:Macmillan.
need to recognize the shortcomings of the cun-ent meas- Leipert,Christian.1986. "SocialCosts of EconomicGrowth."
ures of income and to work toward a more sustainable Journalof EconomicIssues20(1):109-31.
concept and measurements-a common thread in all the . 1987. "DefensiveAusgaben in der Bundesrepublik
contributions included here. Deutschland,1970bis 1985:AbsoluteWerte und Relations-
zahlenmitdem BSP."InternationalInstitutefor Environment
Note and Society,Berlin.Processed.
Magrath,William,and Peter L. Arens.1987. "The Costsof Soil
1. J. M. Keynes(1936)first introducedthe conceptof "user Erosionon Java:A NaturalResourceAccountingApproach."
cost" in relation to capital equipment.He defined it as the WorldResourcesInstitute,Washington,D.C.Processed.
"maximumnet valuewhichmighthavebeen conserved. . . if it Repetto, Robert, MichaelWells,ChristineBeer, and Fabrizio
tthe equipment]had not been used."He describedthis concept Rossini.1987. "NaturalResourceAccountingfor Indonesia."
as constituting"one of the links betweenthe present and the WorldResourcesInstitute,Washington,D.C.Processed.
future." (Seechap. 6 and its appendixof his GeneralTheory.) Schramm,Gunter.1986. "PracticalApproachesfor Estimating
Projectanalysisof depletablemineralshas also made use of the ResourceDepletionCosts."In EdwardMiles,Robert Pealy,
concept of user cost at the micro level (see, fcr example, and Robert Stokes, eds.,NaturalResourcesEconomicsand
Schramm1986). PolicyApplications:Essays in Honorof James A. Crutch-
field. Seattleand London:Universityof WashingtonPress.
References UnitedNations,EconomicCommissionfor Europe. 1987. En-
vironmentStatisticsin Europe and North America:An Ex-
Alfsen,Knut, TorsteinBye, and Lorents Lorentsen.1987.Nat- perimentalCompendium.NewYork.
ural ResourceAccountingand Analysis:The NorwegianEx- Ward,Michael.1982. Accountingfor the Depletionof Natural
perience,1978-86. Social and EconomicStudy 65. Oslo: Resources in the NationalAccounts of DevelopingEcono-
CentralBureauof Statisticsof Norway. mies.DevelopmentCentre PublicationCDIR(82)3010. Paris:
El Serafy,Salah. 1981. "AbsorptiveCapacity,the Demandfor OECD.
2
8
Towarda Measureof SustainableSocialNet NationalProduct 9
This is entirelyanalogousto the depreciationof man- Hicks,JohnR. 1946.Valueand Capital.2nd ed. Oxford:Ox-
madecapital.In fact, Keynesjustifiedthe conzeptof user fordUniversity
Press.
The ProperCalculationof Income
from DepletableNaturalResources
Salah El Serafy
Recognitionis growingthat income is not being accu- revenue derived from the sale of natural resources as
rately calculated for economies based on natural re- currentincome,or rent, that is availablefor consumption.
sources.Somewouldevensay that, for these economies, If the revenueaccruesto the publicsector, it can be used
nationalaccountingmethodsproducemisleadingcalcula- just like revenue from any other source, such as the
tions. They lead to measurementsthat neither faithfully proceedsfrom income taxes. Giventheir short perspec-
describeeconomicperformanceex post, nor can theybe tive,the politiciansin charge of such economiesoften do
used as a basis for useful policy proposals.For such not want to be remindedthat the revenuederivedfrom
economies,current accountingpractices exaggeratein- liquidatingtheir country'snatural assets is neither recur-
come, encourage unsustainablelevels of consumption, rent nor sustainable.And many a developingcountry
and obscure the necessityto implementgreatly needed rejoicesin havingits leadershippraisedfor illusoryrapid
policyadjustment.The problemis relevantto practically economicgrowth, apparentlyhigh rates of saving and
all countries where nonrenewableresources are being investment,and deceptivelystable or near-stable price
exploitedand where renewableresources are being run levelsbroughtabout by import surpluses.
downwithoutbeing restored. But it is most acute where Such apparentprosperityis bought at the costof asset
such resourcesare being exploitedin the public sector, erosion-a sure recipefor future economicdecline.Thus
eitherdirectlyor throughforeigninterests. natural resourcesare exportedand used up to prop up a
In the moreindustrializedcountries,whereexploitation truly unbalanced, but seeminglycomfortable, external
typicallyoccurs in the private sector, tax allowancesfor balance.An overvaluedexchangerate inevitablydevelops,
depletiontend to correct the calculationof the "value and relativeprices are upset as a "Dutch Disease"syn-
added"believedto be generatedby such activities.Such drome sets in, wherebythe prices of nontradablegoods
correctionof courseis effectedas depreciation,reducing and servicesrise in relationto those of tradables.' Con-
the gross product by an elementto coverdepletion.The sequently,the economy'scapacityis reduced to produce
correctionis frequentlynot exact, but it is a step in the and exportthe productsof nonnatural-resource-based ac-
right direction.This process is being helped by the fact tivitiesthat could providebadlyneeded employmentand
that whenproperties containing marketablenatural re- (sustainable)future income.Any comparativeadvantage
sources,such as subsoil deposits,exchangehands, their the countrymay havegets sacrificedduring a period of
marketvaluetends to reflect their natural-resourcecon- ephemeralprosperityand illusorygrowth.This is partic-
tent. Bycontrast, no such correctionis made in most of ularlytrue wherethe exhaustionof the resourceis immi-
the developingcountries, whose economiesdepend in nent. Needlessto say, the citizensof these countriesfind
varyingdegrees on the exploitation of their natural re- it onlytoo easyto adjustto a higherlevelof consumption.
sources, such as mineral extraction or the commercial When the bonanza ends and the natural resource is
loggingof forests to maketimber and paper. This prob- almost exhausted,standards of living have to fall, and
lem, therefore, is one of paramountimportancefor the intolerablepressures develop on the external balance.
developingworld. Quite often the country finds itself saddled with a high
The practice in these countries followsthe United externaldebt,whichit contractedin the prosperousyears
NationsSystemof NationalAccounts(SNA),whichtreats when it had overestimatedits capacityto borrowand its
10
The ProperCalculationof IncomefromDepletableNaturalResources 11
creditors had mistakenlyassumed that the prosperity into a definitionof incomeas that amountwhicha person
would continue.The governmentthen finds itseliFin an can consumeduringa givenperiod and still be as welloff
impossiblesituationin whichthere are no marginsleft to at the end of the period as at the beginning. 2 More
providea cushionfor urgentlyneeded policy adjustment specifically,
weare told in no uncertainterms that:
that should havebeen initiatedyearsbefore.The halcyon
if a person's receiptsare derivedfrom
tation of a wastingasset, liableto giveout the
period of plenty willhave come to an end, and all the
. .. exploi-
at a future
putativeeconomizingthat had been done during those date, we shallsay that his receiptsare in excessof his
years is seen in retrospectto havebeen false and futile. income"(Hicks1946,p. 187).
Defectiveaccountinghad led economicbehaviorand pol-
icy analysisastray. Natural resources are certainly "wastingassets" if they
The fundamentalprinciplethat is flouted by applying are nonrenewable(for example,minerals),or, if they are
conventionalnational income accountingto depletable renewable(for example,forestsexploitedfor timber,fish-
resourcesis the separationthat must be maintainedbe- eries, or agricultural soil), are not actually renewed
tween incomeand capital.This principletells us that if through careful maintenance,thus causing the receipts
you liquidateyour assets and use the proceedsfor con- fromtheir exploitationto giveout in the future.Ignoring
sumption,you are livingbeyondyourmeans,and in doing this elementaryfact makes a mockeryof what has been
so you are underminingyour abilityto create future in- passingas economicanalysisand policyprescriptionfor
come. The accountingprofessionwas born, in the late economiesbasedon natural resources(and in particular,
MiddleAgesin the city states of the Mediterraneanbasin, those based on minerals),in which no effort has been
largelyto separate from the proceeds accruingto mer- madeto compensatefor drainingthe nationalwealth by
chants that part which they could use to finance their depletingthese resources.Maintainingcapital intact is
families'current needs. Those merchantshad to guard not a marginalissue.It is centralto all economicbehavior
againstconsumingtheir capital,whichwas the sourceof and analysis,and it is a poor economistindeed who is
their continuedwell-being.From its infancythe account- unableto tell capitalfrom income.
ingprofessionspecifically has addressedthis task. In pres-
ent-daylanguagethe accountantswere asked to define Conceptual Background
sustainablelevelsof consumption,and they could do so
onlyby attemptingto keep capitalintact. The confusionof capital and income,whichhas been
The same principlewastaken up by AdamSmith,who the standardapproachto incomecalculationin this area
sawcapitalas a means"to increasethe productivepowers and which derives support from the SNA, is becoming
of labor" and as an asset whosemaintenancewas imper- increasinglyuntenable.This chapter offersa wayto esti-
ative, since it "is alwaysrepaid with great profit, and mate the true incomecontent of the proceedsfrom min-
increasesthe annual produce by a much greater value eral sales. The treatment of incomefrom renewablere-
than that of the support whichsuch improvementsre- sources such as forests, which have to be maintained
quire."The Wealthof Nations(Smith1776) states that: through replanting, or fisheries, which have to be re-
The gross revenue of all the inhabitants of a great stocked,is more straightforward.Where such replanting
country, comprehendsthe whole annual produce of or restocking is effected at technologicallyacceptable
country,ncomprehends the whol annuea produ o rates that wouldkeep capitalintact,these activitiescould
thi
lan an laor th nea reeu,wa .ean be charged against the gross returns from the natural
free to them after deductingthe expense of maintain-
ing; first, their fixed;and, second,their circulatingcap- resourceto obtain the net valueadded generated;this is
ital; orencroaching
what, without
un
ital; or what, without encroaching upon their ccapital,
.r , similar to the way capital consumption is treated in na-
ioaacunsSilesonloblngtoheam
they can place in their stock reserved for immediate conal accounts. Sofl erosion also belongs to the same
consumption,
or spn.pntersbsseieovn category of a natural resource whose depletion can be
icnsum, amuspmend
ord uoTheir subsiste oo. n offsetby restoration,and the cost of restoration should
iences, and amusemn. their
r eat tooeisei
proportion,not to theirgross,but to their neat revenue. be chargedagainstthe gross product of the soilto obtain
a true estimateof the net product.
The SNA, in failingto distinguishbetweenunsustainable But quite often, particularlyin poorer countries, the
receipts, derived from the sale of natural assets, and resourceis not restored to the same levelof activity.As a
sustainableincome,producedby the factors of produc- result the valueadded that appears to be generatedcon-
tion, disregards the fundamental Smithian concept of tains capital elements that should be removed.In this
"neat revenue,"whichshouldguidethe consumptionand casethose whoestimatenationalincomeshouldimpute a
assessmentof the wealthof the revenuerecipienlt. capitalconsumptioncharge based on technicallyaccept-
The distinction between capital and income has re- able criteria against current receipts to obtain the true
mainedcrucial throughoutthe developmentof econom- incomefromthese activities.For soil erosion,some esti-
ics. In the present day, Hicks paraphrasedthis principle mate maybe necessaryof the decliningpowerof the soil
12 SalahEl Serafy
to produce, and this can be based, for example,on de- quenceof acceleratingthe liquidationof subsoilassets is
cliningland yieldsover time. This chapter, however,ad- applauded as good economicperformance and is con-
dressesonlythe problemof estimatingincomegenerated fused with the growth that comes from labor, capital
from depletable,nonrenewableresources. formation,technologicalprogress,and efficientorganiza-
My thinking on this topic began to be shaped by a tion. The revenueaccruingto countriesthat depletetheir
senseof discomfortoverwhat I thought to be an inappro- natural resources in this way is reflected in increased
priate use of economicconcepts when the pricing of savingrates and investmentcoefficientsand in improved
petroleumbeganto attract the attention of economistsin parameters, such as incremental capital-outputratios
the early 1970s. To my mind the oil market had long (ICORS),which shed deceptivelyfavorablelight on the
been an oligopsonisticmarket, dominated by powerful economicperformanceof such economies.Policyadvice
multinationalconglomerates.Economicanalysishad con- basedon these calculationsbecomesdulled at best-and
tributed little to understanding how prices were deter- downrightwrongat worst.
minedin that sort of market,beyondthe traditionalmod- The conceptof rent in this situationis profoundlymis-
els of oligopoly theory, which concentrated on how used and totally misapplied.In the perception of the
equilibriumwasreachedrather than on the levelof prices classicaleconomiststhe rent that qualifiedas valueadded
producedby it. Later,when oligopsonyin the petroleum derivedfrom the indestructiblepowersof nature.5 Such
marketgavewayto an apparentmonopolyallegedlyinsti- revenueis clearlysustainablewherethe powersof nature
tuted by the Organizationof PetroleumExportingCoun- to reproduce it are not impaired,and it can therefore
tries (OPEC), the price increaseswere too facilelyattrib- legitimatelybe counted as income. The surplus, net of
uted to the powersof the exporters'cartel. extractioncosts, emanatingfrom liquidatingnatural re-
It was curious that many analysts overestimatedthe sources, however,has little kinship with either rent or
competitionprevailingin that market before 1973 and quasi-rentas definedby Marshall(1920).
underestimatedit afterward,emphasizingOPEC'S monop- There seemsto be no alternativeto bringingthe capital
olypower.It wasevenmore curiousthat manyanalystsin nature of such exploitationinto the open and integrating
the 1970sappearedto think that iffree competitionwere this in all economicthinkingand measurements,not just
to prevail,competitiveequilibriumwouldindicatea price to gauge welfareadequately,but to savethe disciplineof
equalto the marginalcost of extraction,whichwas-and economicsfrom disrepute.Even noneconomistshave on
still often is-referred to as production,and that it was occasionrightly perceivedthat mineral extraction reve-
only becauseof the allegedcartelizationof supply that nues are not whollycurrent income.A smalland under-
the price wasable to rise abovethat cost.3 developedcountry such as Libyacould thus legislateas
This constructionwas later challengedby those who earlyas 1963 (whenit firstbegan to extractpetroleumin
were aware that the price of an irreplaceablenatural commercialquantities)that at least 70 percent of petro-
resource,such as petroleum,should perhaps contain a leum proceedshad to be allocatedto development.The
user cost or capital element,representingthe erosionof perceptionwasstrong in that verypoor countrythat this
the resource.Even under free competition,the marginal uniquewealth truly belongedto future generationsand
cost of extractioncould not possiblyindicatean equilib- should not be squanderedon consumption,as would be
rium price level, since the cost of extraction is tanta- impliedby treating its sales as current income.To recall
mountto the cost of asset liquidationand cannot deter- Hicks'sstandarddefinition,currentincomeis that part of
minethe valueof the veryasset being sold.Hotellinghad receiptswhich, if devotedto consumption,would leave
to be resurrected and used with great dexterityby an the earner no worse off at the end of the accounting
importanteconomistlike Solowfor a more convincing period than at its beginning.
explanationof petroleumprice increasesbeforethe eco-
nomic professioncould be persuaded. 4 But it has not Weakness of the Depreciation Approach
been completelypersuaded,and doubtersstill abound.
Parallelto the microeconomicconfusionaboutthe pric- Likeother economistsof the same bent, I thought first
ing of natural resources, other inaccuracieshave also of usingthe "capitalconsumption"or "depreciation"ap-
beenperpetratedand havedistorted thinkingabout mac- proach to treat income from depletable mineral re-
roeconomicsin countries where the exploitation of de- sources.As the resource is depleted by the quantity of
pletablenatural resources is significant.If the marginal extractionduringthe year,the amountof depletion,val-
cost of extractionwas the only cost, then any surplus ued at current prices, can be deducted from the gross
accruingto the sellers was pure rent and represented proceeds,just as, for example,the depreciationof capital
valueadded to be includedin the gross domesticproduct equipmentused for manufacturingis subtractedfrom the
(GDP). This certainlyis impliedby the accountingprac- gross valueadded by manufacturingactivities.The min-
tices currentlybeingused underthe SNA. Basedon these eral extraction earnings can still be reckoned in GDP,
practices,the expansionof economicactivityas a conse- providedthat the valueofthe depletionis deductedfrom
The ProperCalculationof IncomefromDepletableNaturalResources 13
it for calculatingnet income.The problem of the exact zero-a measurementthat is not particularlyedifying.For
valuationof capital consumptionin this case appearsto the gross product this approach would not make any
be of secondaryimportance.Much more impcrtant is to adjustmentand would simplyeliminatethe net product
try to make some adjustment.Variousmethods are al- altogether.Such a measurementof net income would
ready used to treat inventoriesand other capital assets belie the observablefact that havingsubsoilmineral de-
used up in the processof production.Shortcuts,approx- posits to exploitgives their possessorsan income edge
imations,and arbitraryestimationsare used throughout over thosewho do not havethat advantage.
national income calculations,and no special harm can
come from adding the depreciationof natural.resources Conversion to a Permanent Income Stream
to the list.
On reflection, however,I movedaway from this ap- Mineraldepositsand other comparablemarketablenat-
proach,both for practicalas wellas conceptualconsider- ural resourcesare assets. Salesof assets do not generate
ations. First the conceptual.It is wrongto describe as valueadded and should not be includedin GoP. They do
current productionthat whichis not current production. vate addedand howeve ich inbe Tto
GDP is an importantmeasurementand is much more in generateliquidfunds,however,whichcan be put to alter-
use than NDP (net domesticproduct).Even if NDP and its nativeuses.A countrymaychooseto spend the proceeds
national parallelNNP are correctlymeasured,the whole (net of extractioncosts) on consumptionor investment
apparatusof GDP withits structure,input-outputrelations, or any combinationof the two. But this is neither here
and changes over time would remain incorrectly calcu- nor there. Froman accountingpoint of view,however,an
lated if revenuesfrom depletableresourcesare counted incomecontent of the net receiptscan be estimated.This
as valueadded in GDP. incomecontent shouldbe part of GDP since it represents
It is not by chance that the gross product, rather than valueadded. The argumentfor this proceedsas follows. 6
the net product, is the preferredquantityfor macroeco- If an owner of a wastingasset is to consumeno more
nomic analysis.It is often used as a denorninatorfor than his income,he must relendsome part of his receipts
crucialmacroeconomicratios, with the nominatorbeing so that the interest on it will make up for the eventual
moneysupply,exports,imports,externaldebt, debt serv- failureof receipts from the wasting asset in the future.
ice, savings,capitalformation,and so forth.As Hickshas This proposition,which can be found in Hicks (1946
suggested,the conceptof net incomeis usuallyeschewed chapter 14), suggestedthe need to convertthe mineral
because it is alwaysarbitrary. It relies on estimatesof asset concerned into a perpetual income stream. The
depreciationand inventoryuse that are a miixedbag of finiteseries of earningsfrom the sale of the resource,say
hlistoricalcosts and estimationbased on accountingcon- a ten-year series of annual extractions leading to the
ventions, tax lawsand allowances,and insurance com- extinctionof the resource, has to be converted to an
ven ration taxlaws
s, andallowasjcves, vansuratonce bcom- infiniteseries of true income, such that the capitalized
pany practices, as well as subjectivevaluationby eco- valuesof the two series are equal. From the annual earn-
nomic agents who do the reckoning and wvhohave a insfosae,nicmepronttcnbepntn
variety of expectationsabout the future (Hlicks1981, ings from sales, an incomeportion that can be spent on
chap. 9). If an incomecorrectionis to be made,it should consumptionshould be identified;the remainder,a capi-
apply thereforeto the gross product itself,and it is not tal element, should be set aside year after year and in-
enough to effectthe adjustmentat the net product level. vestedto create a perpetualstream of incomethat would
Another reason whyI discarded the depreciation ap- providethe same level of true income,both during the
proach to rectifyingincome accounting for depletable life of the resourceas wellas after the resourcehas been
resource activitiesis the fact that countrieswith market- exhausted.The two constituent portions of current re-
able natural resourcesare evidentlybetter ofi than those ceipts need to be defined:the income portion and the
withoutsuch resources,and they can enjoya higherand capital portion. Under certain a,ssumptions,which are
sustainablestandard of livingthan the latter by virtueof neither too restricting nor too unrealistic,the ratio of
their resourceendowment.Such an advantageshouldbe true incometo total receiptsis:
reflectedin calculatingthe incomeof both groups.If we 1
deduct from the gross receiptsfrom mineralsales in any XIR = 1 - ____r_n_
be set against capital formationin new assets, so that Figure3-1. Income Contentof MineralSalesat Various
total expenditurewouldstill be equalto the true income. Life Expectanciesand DiscountRates
If all of the receiptswere devotedto consumptionand if
new capitalformationfell short of the depletionfactor,
the accounts should show a negative value for capital 1.0 r = 10percent
formation,thus reflectingthe disinvestmentthat had oc-
curredin the accountingperiod.
The ratioXIR dependsonly on two values:the reserves-
to-extractionratio, that is, the life expectancyof the re-
sourcemeasuredin years,and the discountrate. A country 3 percent
that liquidatesits mineralreservesoverfiftyyearsneedsto 0.8/
set asidefor reinvestmenta smallerportionof its receipts r = 2 percent
than anotherthat liquidatesits reservesovertwentyyears,
and thus it can count a larger portion of its receiptsas r4I
income.Similarly, if the receiptsset aside can be invested
at a higherinterestrate, say 10 percent,a higherportion II
wouldbe reckonedto incomethan if the interest was 5
percent.Accordingto this formula,witha discountrate of ' 1
5 percent, a countrythat liquidatesits natural resource r = 1 percent
overten years can consideras incomeonly42 percentof E
its annual receipts,whileanother witha fifty-yearhorizon
can reckonas muchas 92 percentof its annualreceiptsto 0.4
currentincome.At a 10 percentdiscountrate the former's I
current incomewouldbe 65 percent of the receiptsand 1l
the latter's 99 percent, whichwould require almost no /
correctionto GDP estimatesas currentlymade.
Figure3-1 shows the ratio XIR (the portion of total
receipts that is true income) as a function of the life 0.2
expectancyof the resource,N, measuredin years, at ten
alternativediscountrates, decreasingfrom 10 to 1 per-
cent. The same relation is given in Tables3-1 and 3-2.
Table3-1 showsthe income content of mineral sales at
elevenalternative discount rates from 0 to 10, for re- 0...,.l.,.l.,.l.,.Il.,.l...,i.l.,.l.,.l
sourcelife expectanciesof 1 to 100 years.This is shown 0 40 80 120 160 200
as percentageshares of the receipts that are currently Ratio of reserves to extraction (A
being treated under the SNA as if they were whollyin- (Lifeexpectancyof resourcein years)
come. Table 3-2 is the complementof Table 3-1 and Note:r = alternative discount rates.
presents the user cost content of the annual sales, ex-
pressed also as a percentage of total receipts, for the
same discountrates and life expectancies.This percent- the utilityof the resourceto future generations.Current
age representsthe capital elementthat, I believe,should practicesfor calculatingGDP accordingto the injunctions
be excludedfromGDP as a depletionfactor. of the SNA are thus seen to be built on one of two
The calculations show that the present practice of untenablepremisesor a combinationof both: that the
counting mineral sales proceeds as current income im- natural resource being liquidatedwould last foreverand
pliesthat the fraction that the welfareof futuregenerationsdoes not matter.
1
(1 + r)n+l Clarification of the User Cost Approach
equalszero in the previousformula.For onlythen would In defenseof this approach,the followingpointsshould
XIR = 1. This would be obtained, irrespectiveof the be clarifiedand emphasized.
discountrate, by havingn = oo;or alternatively, wheren
is finite,by havinga veryhigh valueof the discountrate * A discountrate must be chosen. This decisionhas
so that r tends to infinity.Such a high rate of discount to be arbitrary,but the arbitrarinessof the discountrate
implies a very strong time preference of the resource is not in principle any differentfrom the arbitraryesti-
ownersand is tantamountto setting a very lowvalueon mation methods used extensivelyunder the SNA. A rate
The Proper Calculation of Income from Depletable Natural Resources 15
6, on "The Definitionof Income,Savingand Investment,"and but this should not inhibit approximationsthat can be later
that chapter's"Appendixon UserCost." revised.In the words of the late Sir Dennis Robertson,"it is
3. OPEC admittedlymet regularlyto agree on the prices at betterto be approximatelyrightthan preciselywrong!"
whichits memberswouldsell oil. But such prices clearedthe
marketwithoutany quotasimposedto regulatesupply.Not until References
1982, however,did OPEC behave like a cartel, with individual
quotasindicatedfor its members,but likeall cartelsthis attempt Corden, W. M. 1984. "BoomingSector and Dutch Disease
to maintainpricesin a decliningmarketpalpablyfailed. Economics:Survey and Consolidation."Oxford Economic
4. See Solow(1974),in whichhe recalledHotelling'spath- Papers36:359-80.
breakingarticle, "The Economicsof ExhaustibleResources," El Serafy,Salah.1979. "The OilPrice Revolutionof 1973-74."
Journalof PoliticalEconomy39 (April1931):137-75. Journalof Energyand Development4(2, Spring):273-90.
5. "[T]heoriginaland indestructiblepowersof the soil" as 1
formulatedby Ricardo(1821). . 1981. "AbsorptiveCapacity,the Demandfor Revenue,
6. 1had been thinkingalong these linesfor some timeand and the Supplyof Petroleum."Journalof Energyand Devel-
first expressedmy viewson this topic in a paper deliveredin opment 7(1,Autumn):73-88.
March 1979 to the staff of the OAPEC in Kuwait (El Serafy Hicks,J. R. 1946. Valueand Capital.2nd ed. Oxford:Oxford
1979). I elaborated these viewsand proposed a method for UniversityPress.
estimatingincomefrom depletablenaturalresourcesin a later . 1981. Wealthand Welfare:CollectedEssays on Eco-
paper on absorptivecapacity,presentedin 1980 to an energy nomic Theory.Cambridge,Mass.:HarvardUniversityPress.
conferenceorganizedby the Universityof Colorado.The con- Keynes,John Maynard.1936. The GeneralTheoryof Employ-
cern at the time wasthat the so-called"capitalsurplus"econo- ment,Interest,andMoney.London:Macmillan.
mies, which exported petroleum,had too low an absorptive Marshall,Alfred.1920. Principlesof Economics.8th ed. Lon-
capacity.It was felt that if that could be increased,it would, don:Macmillan.
throughincreasedimports,restoreequilibriumto the petroleum donMacil.
buyers'balancesof payments.I attackedthis approachbecause Ricardo,David.1821. On the Principlesof PoliticalEconomy
it reflectedthe short-terminterestsof petroleumconsumersand and Taxation.3rd ed. London:John Murray.
not that of the ownersof this scarceresourceand of humanity Smith,Adam.1937. An InquiryInto the Nature and Causesof
at large. See El Serafy (1981). An appendix to that paper the WealthofNations, 1776.Cannan Edition.NewYork:The
entitled, "HowMuchof PetroleumReceiptsCan Be Reckoned ModernLibrary.
to Income?"proposedthe formulashownin the appendixto Solow,Robert M. 1974. "The Economicsof Resourcesor the
this chapter. Resourcesof Economics."AmericanEconomicReview64(2,
7. Occasionally estimatingreserveswouldraisecontroversy, May):1-14.
__ _ __ _ _ 4
Duringthe past ten to fifteen years public reaction to the "desirables"that the SNA omits and excludes the
environmentalissueshas broadenedfrom a concern for "undesirables"that the SNA includes.
preservingendangeredwildlifeand aestheticallypleasing Such alternativestatisticalsystemscould form satellite
landscapesto the realizationthat the wholeprocess of accountsto be used in conjunctionwith the revisedSNA.
economicdevelopmentdependson the utilizationof nat- To the extent that such systemsare greater elaborations
ural resources.In extremecases,such as in Sub-Saharan of specificdetail and rearrangementsof existing items
Africa,the physicaland economicsurvivalof millionsof and inclusionof others, no conflict should arise. How-
people dependscriticallyon the managementof both the ever,giventhe claimof the SNA to providea comprehen-
quantityand qualityof land and waterresources. sive frameworkunder which all such satellite accounts
When environmentaleconomistswish tc demonstrate can be developed,it is importantto establish an appro-
their concernin quantitativeterms and to illustratethe priate interfacewithenvironmentalmatters in the process
effectof alternativescenarios,they find the present Sys- of reviewingthe SNA.
tem of NationalAccounts(sNA) (UnitedNal:ions1968) to From an environmentalperspective,neither exhausti-
be inadequatefor a number of reasons.The problemsare ble resources such as mineral deposits nor permanent
both of omissionand commission.On the one hand, resourcessuch as land and water should be treated as
manyactivitiesundertakenbywomenin developingcoun- freegiftsof nature. Althoughland and water seem at first
tries, such as findingand carryingwater amdfuelwood, to be free, these resources are not automaticallyself-
are excludedfromthe presentmeasuresof grossdomestic renewing,and although humanity may have power to
product (GDP). On the other hand, majc,rprojects to renewthem,it has a muchgreater powerto destroythem.
rehabilitatepollutedriversor otherwiserestore degraded Economicactivitynecessarilyinteracts with nature, and
environmentalresources are included in GDP, and in- allowancemustbe madefor the existenceof environmen-
creasesin this typeof activitylead to increasesin GDP. tal programs,whichhusband and maintainthese penna-
Steps to redress some of these shortcomingsare in nent resources,and for the lack of such programs,which
hand. Variousspecializedstatistical systemshave been, leads to the destructionof natural resources.
or are being, developedto addressquestionsin specific The presenceor absenceof such programsis therefore
areas, and the environmentis no exception.Physicalre- an economicdecisionthat directly affects the potential
source accountsare being developedto show,in volume economicactivityin subsequentperiods, just as a deci-
terms, inputsand outputsof physicalprocesses,including sion on the rate of depletionof nonrenewableresources
natural resourcesas wellas manufactured'products.The does. In both cases, therefore, there is a strict parallel
"Frameworkfor the Developmentof EnvironmentalSta- with the decisionto create and maintainman-madecapi-
tistics" (UnitedNations 1984), for example,attemptsto tal, and environmentalistsargue that the SNA should rec-
showthe interactionamongenvironmental,economic,and ord these resources as alternativeforms of capital.The
social statistics. Various proposals have beern,and are question,therefore,is howmuchpresent practicesunder
being, examinedto developan aggregatethat includes the SNA wouldchange if these resourceswere treated as
19
20 Anne Harrison
natural capital. The main purpose of this chapter is to absorb the operatingloss, and on the balance sheet the
answerthis question. valueof the reserveswouldbe givenas zero.
Morecomplicatedalternativevaluationsfor mineralex-
traction have been proposed. For example, El Serafy
ExploitableResources (Chapter3) suggestsdeterminingan income streamwith
the use of a discountedcash flow analysisof expected
Muchof the past discussionbyresourceeconomistshas earningsfromthe depositover its expectedlifetime.
concernedthe treatmentof nonrenewableresources,such
as mineraldeposits.In fact, similarargumentsalso apply Permanent Resources
to natural forests used for timber and to natural fish
stocks. Since both of these are renewable,even if not Anothertypeof expenditureof concernto environmen-
actuallyrenewedon a realistictime scale,it is convenient talists is related to the preservationof land, water, and.
to considerall three cases as exploitableresources. clear air. This is generallydescribedas defensiveexpen-
In the production accounts of the present SNA, when diture, althoughfurther categorizationis instructive,and
an exploitableresourcesuch as oil is extractedand sold, incomeas wellas expenditureneedsto be considered.In
onlythe directcosts associatedwithits extraction,includ- contrast to the exploitableresources discussed above,
ing labor, are deducted from its market value, and the these resources will be referred to as permanent re-
wholeof the differenceis treated as gross operatingsur- sources.
plus. Net operating surplusdiffersfrom this only to the Beforeconsideringhow to deal with issues related to
extent that fixed man-made capital is consumed. Al- permanentresources,it is helpfulto reviewthe SNA guide-
though the processof oil extractionis treated as produc- lineson the treatmentof man-madecapital.Two typesof
tion, neither the value of newlydiscoveredreserves nor expendituresassociatedwith capital occur on a yearly
changes in the value of reservesbecause of changes in basis.The firstis the consumptionof fixedcapital(depre-
worldprices is treated as production. ciation),whichis an allowanceto permitthe replacement
This results in the rather anomalouspresentationof of the capital asset at the end of its usefullife. Overthe
infdrmationabout stocks. The value of the unexploited economyas a wholethe valueof the consumptionof fixed
oil at the start of the year appears in a balancesheet for capitalin a year is the valueof all man-madeassets that
the industryand the nation, as do the start-of-yearvalues were used up in that year and that haveto be replacedif
of man-madecapitalassets, but, since all changesto the the level of man-madecapital stock at the start of the
valueof exploitableresourcesbetween the start and end yearis to be kept intact.The second is the currentexpen-
of the year are explainedin the reconciliationaccount, diture necessaryto repair and maintainthe capitalstock.
this occurrencein the balance sheet is like a memoran- The SNA distinguishesbetween current and capital re-
dum item. If exploitableresourcesweretreated as natural pairs: "expenditureson current repair and maintenance
capital, part of what is now treated as gross operating make good breakagesin fixed assets and keep them in
surplusin the productionaccount wouldappear as con- properworkingorder, whileoutlayson capital repair and
sumptionof natural capital, and net operating surplus alterationlengthenthe expectednormallifetimeof use ol
would be decreasedby this amount. A matchingentry fixed assets or increase the productivityof these good
wouldappear in the balance sheet of natural capital as- significantly"(para. 6.123).
sets. This distinctionmay be blurred in practice, however.
The question arises of what value is appropriate to Althoughcurrent maintenancemay not directly extend
attach to the exploitableresourcebefore its exploitation. the life of an asset, the lack of maintenancemayshorten
Daly(Chapter2) and others suggestthat, in additionto it, and, in practice, estimates of the lifetime of assets
the direct cost of extraction,an entrepreneurialreturn assume regular maintenance.There is thus a relation
(calculatedperhaps as a standard markup on the direct between the levels of current maintenance and capital
costs) should also be deductedfrom the valueof the oil consumption.Indeed,for a specificgroup of assets, in-
at the wellheadand that the residualwouldrepresentthe cludingroads and dams,the SNA states: "it may be con-
subsoilvalue. This straightforwardapproachhas the ap- sideredthat expenditureson repairsand maintenanceare
peal of simplicityand economicsense. Variationsin world sufficientto maintainthe asset in its originalcondition"
priceswouldlead to matchingvariationsin subsoilvalues (para. 7.20);this is consideredas justificationfor making
and would determinewhen a deposit was commercially no provisionfor consumptionof these fixed assets. This
viableand when not; the latter being when the subsoil provisionhas alreadybeen questionedin the SNA revision
valuefell to zero or below.In certain circumstancesex- process,and it is likely to be changed in the new SNA
ploitationmightcontinueevenif this valuewerenegative, manual.'
forexample,becausethe directcostscouldnot be averted. In severalpoorerdevelopingcountries,for example,the
In such a case, the entrepreneurialreturn wouldhaveto retrenchmentof governmentexpenditurehas led to the
IntroducingNaturalCapitalinto the SNA 21
neglectof road maintenance.Eventuallynew capitalpro- does not make the case either for suppressingGDP as a
jects have been necessaryto replace roads, and these measureof all economicactivityregardlessof desirability
involvecapitalexpenditurethat wouldnot haveoccurred or for changingthe accountingbasis for discriminating
if there had been adequatecurrent maintenance.Thus it betweenintermediateand finalexpenditure.
is suggestedthat if maintenanceis not adequateto keep Eventhe alternativepresentedhere-that whenpreven-
roads in their original condition, then the capital con- tive expenditureis undertakenby industryor by govern-
sumptionof these assets should be estimated.Although ment on a charge-backbasis,it is intermediateexpendi-
not yet discussedin detail, the appropriatevalueof the ture-is oversimplifiedand misleading.The preventive
capitalconsumptionwould seem to be that of the "miss- expenditureconsistsof the purchaseof labor and of goods
ing" maintenance. and services,whichin turn have labor input. Therefore
Howdo these practicalitiescarry over to the proposal initiatinga preventiveexpenditureprogramdoes increase
to treat naturalresources as capitalassets?Expenditures the valueadded,and thus GDP, evenif it is first recorded
associatedwith permanent resources can be of two re- in the accountsas intermediateexpenditure.Indeed,the
lated, but rather different,types. The first are expendi- fact that increasingpollutionpreventionwould increase
tures intendedto preventthe degradationof natural re- employmentopportunitiesis often cited by environmen-
sources,and the second are to redress degradationthat talistsas an argumentfor initiatingsuch programs.Under
has alreadyoccurred.Preventiveexpenditureclearlypar- the present SNA, all alternativeslead to the conclusion
allelscurrent maintenanceand, in particular,the current that initiatinga pollutionpreventioncampaign,however
maintenanceof roads. If all industriesensure that land, funded,increasesGDP.
air, and water are not degraded,these natural resources It is suggestedhere, however,that no such apparent
remain in their original condition,and Ihe preventive increase in GDP should be shown.The consequenceof
expenditureis clearlycurrent. treating natural resourcesas capital assets is that degra-
Basically,such preventiveexpendituresmaybe madein dation of those natural assets is treated as capital con-
one of three ways:by industryitself(eithervoluntarilyor sumptionand shouldbe includedin GDP. This treatment
in response to governmentlegislation),by government would exactlyparallelthe present situationof the treat-
and funded by taxes leviedon industryaccordingto its ment of roads describedabove.The newSNA proposalis
pollutionpotential,or by governmentand fundedby gen- that GDP should include either the cost of maintaining
eral revenue.In the first case, expendituresby industry roads in their original conditionor the consumptionof
to preventpollutionwould be classifiedas intermediate man-madecapital of the same amount.This recognizes
expenditures.In the second case, since the paymentto that the present practice, in whichthere is no mainte-
governmentis relatedto the serviceprovided,this activity nance, leads to GDP being understatedby the amountof
of governmentshould be treated as a public enterprise. this missingcapital consumption.For the environment,
Paymentsto governmentshould not be treated as taxes, therefore,it is proposedthat if preventiveexpenditureis
but as feesforservices,and thus shouldalso be classified incurredand no pollutionresults,GDP is correctlymeas-
as intermediateinputs. (Governmentprovisionof waste ured. But ifsuch programsare neededbecausepollution
disposalservicesto industryis alreadytrealtedas a public is increasing,but theyare not being initiated,then GDP is
enterprise in some countries.)In the third case, when underestimatedby the cost of the programs. A simple
governmentfunds pollutioncontrol out of general reve- numericalexampleof the alternativesis given in Table
nue, this appears as a final expenditure. 4-1. Thisillustratesthe casein whicha countryat present
Someresource economistsargue that all such preven- has a GDP of 100 with consumptionof man-madecapital
tive expenditureshouldbe excludedfrom GDPand there- of 10.The effectof environmentaldegradationis 5, which
forewishto categorizeevengovernment-funded programs
as intermediateexpenditure,but this proposalis inconsis-
tent with accountingdefinitions.The distinctionbetween Table4-1. Effecton GDPof Introducing
intermediate and final expenditure is determined by an EnvironmentalProtectionProgram
whetherthe product is resoldto anotherec:onomicagent, aPreent SNA Proposedrevision
not by the nature of the product. For welfareor other Without With Without With
analyses,specificactivitiesmay be excludedbecause of program program program program
their nature. In addition to environmentalprotection GDP 100 105 105 105
costs,such candidatesas defenseexpendituresand crime Consumption
of
and drug "industries"have been put forwardfor exclu- man-madecapital 10 10 10 10
sion. The derivationof an alternative measure of a re- Consumption
of
stricted set of activitiesby deductingfrom (and possibly naturalcapital - - 5 0
addingto) those includedin GDPusingnormativecriteria NDP 90 95 90 95
is a legitimateand arguablydesirabledevelopment.But it - Not applicable.
22 Anne Harrison
of stock at the end of the period to that at the begiining. specifictopic and attended by experts from both developing
This would help develop more comprehensive measures and developedcountriesand representativesof the international
of sustainable income in the longer term and to empha- organizationsconcernedwithcollatingand publishingeconomic
size the practicality and desirability of using net rather statistics.
than gross product measures where this is appropriate.
References
Note
UnitedNations.1968. "A Systemof NationalAccounts."Publi-
1. The presentSNA was publishedin 1968 and is IIowin the cation E.69.XVII.3. NewYork.
course of review,which started in the early 1980s and is ex- . 1984. A Frameworkfor the Developmentof Environ-
pectedto lead to a revisedversionin 1991. The reviewprocess ment Statistics. StatisticalPapers, Series M, no. 78. New
consistsof a series of three or four meetingsa year,each on a York.
_ ~~~~~~~~5
MeasuringPollutionuithin theFramework
of theNationalAccounts
Derek W Blades
The nationalaccounts could make a usefulcontribution To date onlyone attempt has been made to applysuch
to environmentstatisticsin the importantarea of meas- a model. This was developedby Victor (1972) for the
uring certain aspectsof pollution.Pollutionis taklento Canadianeconomyand has been used to determinethe
mean the disposalof waste solids, liquids,gases, heat, output of pollutantsassociatedwith one dollar'sworth of
and noisein waysthat harm people or reducetheir enjoy- final demandfor variouscommodities.The data require-
ment of theirsurroundings.It is helpfulto distinguishtwo ments for matrixesB and C are clearlyveryheavy,partic-
sides of pollution:the act of polluting, such as by dis- ularly since they involveinformationthat is not usually
charge of noxiousgases or fluids into the environment, collectedin industrialsurveys.In addition,however,there
and the abatementof pollution,whichcoversgovernment are at least two other reasonswhyrelativelylittle interest
monitoringof pollutionlevelsas wellas measurestalken has so far been shownin this approach.
by industryand householdsto reduce the output of pol- First,matrixesB and C containvariousunits of volume,
lutants.This discussioncoverstwo aspectsof the act of suchas gallonsof wateror cubicfeet of nitrogenin matrix
polluting(the output of pollutantsand pollutiondamage) B and millicuriesof cesiumor tons of sulfur dioxidein
and two aspectsof the abatementof pollution(the costs matrixC. Thus the entries cannot be aggregatedto pro-
and the benefitsof pollutionabatement). duce meaningfultotals, and the relative importance of
variousinputs and outputs can be measuredonly in an
The Outputof Pollutants arbitraryfashion.The second problem concerns the op-
erationalvalueof the model.The kind of data that poli-
Since pollutantsmay be regarded as a particular (uin- cymakersneed about the output of pollutantsis highly
wanted) type of industrial output, it seems natural to site-specific.The informationthat the pulp and paper
studythe generationof pollutantsby an extensionof the industryuses x gallons of water and emits y tons of
conventionalinput-outputtable. Table 5-1 summarizesa chlorineis not in itselfvery helpful.Such data have op-
model proposed by Ayres and Kneese (1969), which erational significanceonly when they can be related to
showsthe overalleffectof economicactivityon the envi- informationabout the particular sites where pulp and
ronment. It is based on the materialsbalance principle: paper millsare located.In short, matrixesB and C are of
goods that are taken out of the environmentcirculate limitedinterestfor most policypurposesbecausethe data
through the production-consumptioncycleand are re- they contain are too generalizedto be applied to local
turned to the environmentin a changed,but not dimin- problems.
ished,form.
MatrixA is a conventionalinput-outputtable displaying Pollution Damage
the commoditycompositionof intermediateconsumption
by industries. MatrixB shows the amounts of various Pollutioncauses damages, such as sickness and pre-
natural resources used in production, including "free" mature death, stuntedgrowthof crops, disappearanceof
resources such as air and water. Matrix C shows the wildlife,or corrosionof metalsand masonry.The national
amountsof wasteproductseventuallydischargedinto the accountsreflectsome of the costs of some of these dam-
environment. ages in, for example,increased health expendituresby
26
MeasuringPollutionwithinthe Frameworkof the NationalAccounts 27
Total
Environmental
commodities B _ i
households or government, lower labor productivity, In a study by the United KingdomAtomic Energy Au-
highercosts of foodproduction,and increasedoutlaysfor thority (1971) the costs of air pollutionwere deemed to
repairing and maintainingbuildings,but they are not include, in addition to medicalexpenses, the value of
explicitlyshownas costs of pollutiondamage.Wlouldit production lost through illness and death, the loss of
be possibleto do so? Table 5-2 showsan input-output imputedincomeof housewivesand students,and the so-
table that could serve as a frameworkfor showingexplic- cialcostsof prematuredeath and illness.The socialcosts,
itly some of the costs of pollution damage that are in- whichwereby far the largestpart of the total, werebased
cludedin the national accountsbut hiddenat present. on a valueof 1,000 for each year of life lost and on the
The columnsheaded DC indicatecosts frornpollution ranges of legal compensationawardedfor sickness.The
damage. ColumnsA and B are intermediate costs in- valuationprocedures used for these various costs are
curredby industryin, for example,cleaningpollutedwa- often very arbitraryand subjectto great uncertainty.Just
ter forhuman consumptionor industrialuse and protect- howuncertainmaybe judged from the results of studies
ing buildingsand equipmentfrom atmosphericpollution. on the costs of air pollution in the United States pub-
ColumnC would includethe costs of repairs to govern- lishedannuallyby the Councilon EnvironmentalQuality.
mentbuildingsbecauseof air pollutionand-a largeitem For 1968, estimatesof the cost of air pollutiondamage
in many countries-the costs of medicalservices con- ranged from $8.1 billionto $20.2 billion,and for 1970
nected with pollution-linkeddiseases.Householdexpen- from $7.0 billionto $12.3billion.Saunders(1977, p. 51)
ditures on these medical services would be shown in observedthat "the range of uncertaintysurroundingsuch
columnD, whichwouldalso includesuch cosis as insula- estimatesis enormous.It maybe suggestedby the skep-
tion to protect houses from traffic noise, air-filtering tics that the usefulnessof such figures. .. is in the sphere
equipment,and water filters to removechemicalsfrom of publicrelationsrather than of socialscience."
drinkingwater. The costs discussedabove in connectionwith Table
Finally,columnE includescapitaloutlaysby producers 5-2 are less open to criticism on these grounds, since
and governmentin connection with pollutiondamage. . they are alreadyincludedin the national accounts;they
These would includepart of the cost of replacingbuild- only need to be separatelyidentified.Whilethe difficul-
ings and equipmentwhoseliveshavebeen shortenedby ties of doing this should not be minimized(often the
pollution. costs of pollution-relateddamagecannot be easilydistin-
ColumnsA through E containonly a smallpart of the guishedfrom the costs of normalwear and tear), it seems
total cost that could be attributed to polluticn damage. worthwhileto try to identifysome of the major costs of
indirectices . . .
Rest of world l l l l
Note: PA = pollutionabatementcosts.
MeasuringPollutionwithinthe Frameworkof theNationalAccounts 29
The second difficultyis the problem of joint costs. rangingantipollutionlawsmaybe enacted,and, whenthis
Some equipmentand industrialprocessesare both good happens,it is certainlyusefulto measure their effecton
for business and less polluting. In such cases it is not industrialcosts.In other years,however,there maybe no
clear how much of the additionalcost of the equipment new legislationrequiringoutlayson pollutionabatement,
or process should be treated as a pollutionabatement and there is then no obviousneed for a survey.In short,
expenditure.In the UnitedStatessurvey,respondentsare the aim should be to measure PACE in response to a
askedfor their "best estimatesof the cost of that portion particular piece of legislationin particular years, rather
of plant and equipmentexpendituresattributableto spe- than to considera continuoustime series.
cial features for [air and water] pollution abatement" The second lesson is that the conventionalsurveyap-
(Cremeans1974, p. 62). Respondentspresumablybase proach-mailing questionnairesto a large number of re-
their best estimateon the costs of alternativemodelsthat spondents-may not be suitable for PACE statistics. As
producethe same output as the equipmentacluallyused noted, the U.S. questionnairerequires respondents to
but that lack the model'sspecialantipollutionfeatures.In estimate some importantcomponentsof PACE, but there
the unlikely,but not impossible,eventthat a new pieceof are some pollutionabatement costs that haveto be ig-
equipmentis as productiveas an older model but less noredbecauserespondentsare unawareof them.In these
pollutingand less costly,it wouldbe reasonableto attrib- circumstancesit maybe better to investigateintensivelya
ute a negativecost to the antipollutionactivity.The U.S. smallnumber of establishments.The larger samplinger-
surveydoes not attempt to identifysuch cases, perhaps rors probablywouldbe offsetbythe smallernonresponse
because of the difficultyof makingaccurate estimates. errors, and the enumerators could collect information
However,new,less-pollutingprocessesmaysometimesbe about abatementcosts that the respondentsdo not rec-
cheaperthan older,more-pollutingones.An often-quoted ognize as such. In addition,serious pollutionproblems
exampleis the switchby pulp and paper manufacturers are confinedto a relativelysmall number of industries:
fromsulfiteto sulfateprocesses.Sincethe new methodis home heating, transport, electricitygeneration, chemi-
both less pollutingand cheaper,the pollutionabatement cals, paper and pulp, and steel. Thus,an intensiveinves-
involvedhas a negativecost. tigation of relativelyfew establishmentsmay yield accu-
A third difficultyconcernsthe respondent'sawareness rate data on the bulk of pollutionabatementoutlays.
of antipollutioncosts. For example, if new legislation
forbidsopen-castmining,the additionalexpenseof shaft Benefits of Pollution Abatement
mining should be counted as an antipollutien cost. In
general, however,respondentswould probablyoverlook One of severalbenefitsthat may result from pollution
costs of this kind and would in any event have great abatementis the recoveryof usablematerials.In practice,
difficultyin estimatingthem.Similarproblemsarisewhen such benefitsare usuallyquite small, and, if they can be
antipollutionpressuresresultin demandshiftsfrommore- identifiedat all, the most convenientwayto treat them in
to less-pollutingproducts. Examples here include the a national accounts frameworkis probably as negative
switch to unleaded gasoline,biodegradablezontainers, abatementcosts. Far more importantare improvements
and low-phosphatedetergents.These goods are all more in health, enhancedenjoymentfrom the natural environ-
costlythan the more-pollutingitemsthey replace,but the ment, and related benefitsthat the communityat large
producergenerallywouldnot regardthe extra investment derivesfrom pollutionabatement.There are severalways
and higher operating costs involvedin their production to valuethese indirectbenefits.
as a pollutionabatementcost. Indeed,in the IJ.S. survey, One possible approach is to consider the damages
such costs are explicitlyexcluded,and manufacturersare avoided.Thus, if it could be establishedthat a particular
supposedto report only the outlaysincurred in reducing type of pollutioncaused1,000 dollars'worth of damage,
pollutionin their ownproductionprocesses. then it could be argued that abating this particular pol-
Becauseof these problems,some criticshavesuggested lution providesbenefitsworth the same amount.Several
that it is futileto try measuringbusinessoutlayson pol- authors have indeed assumed that damage costs and
lution abatement.However,this positionmaybe too ex- abatementbenefitsare two sides of the same coin. Jaszi
treme. In attempting to compile the PACE series, the (1971, p. 224), for example,doubts the possibilityof
Bureau of Economic Analysisis respondingto a real measuringthe benefitsof environmentalprotection be-
concernfelt by policymakersand business people, who cause he "cannot formulatea question relating to the
need to know the costs involvedin differentpollution damagesof pollutionthat could be answeredby knowl-
abatementpolicies.What is open to questionis whether edgeable respondents in a meaningfulway" (emphasis
the approachused by the bureau is the best wayto meet added).The valuationof goods and services,however,is
this need. There are two lessonsto be learned from the not generallybased on the assumptionthat the benefits
U.S. experience.First, it maynot be usefulto compilea receivedequalthe damagesavoided.Clothingis not val-
time series for PACE statistics.In someyearsseveralwide- ued at the cost-in terms of social ostracism or legal
30 Derek W.Blades
penalties-of goingaround naked, and food is not valued Figure5-1. Supply and Demand for CleanAir
at the cost of starvingto death. In conventionalnational
accounts,goods and servicesare valued in one of two Price
ways.Goodsand servicesthat are sold on the marketare Demand(D)
valued at their market prices, that is, at prices that are \
assumedto measurethe purchaser'svaluationof the ben-
efitsderivedfromthem,whilegoodsand servicesthat are PI
providedfree or at heavilysubsidizedprices are valuedat
their cost of production. P3
The outputs ofpollutionabatement-clean air and pure
water,for example-obviouslycannotbe sold on the rnar-
ket. So the natural approachfor the nationalaccountant
is to value the benefits of pollution abatement as being l_
equal to the costs of pollution abatement. If, as was P2
suggestedin the previoussection, abatementcosts were
shownseparatelyin the national accounts,users would
have all the informationneeded to valuethe benefitsof SI D3
pollutionabatement in preciselythe same way that the P3
benefitsof other publicgoods-national defenseor public
administration,for example-are valued.
This simple,orthodoxmethodof valuationmaybe crit- A, A2 A,
icized on the grounds that the market, or the community (dirty) Index of air quality - (clean)
as a whole, may not necessarilyvalue the benefitqof
abatementat the costs of abatement.The same objection
may,of course, be made against valuingother nonmar-
keted goods at cost, and several authors have indeed abatementunderstatesthe benefitsof abatementasjudged
argued that all goods and services in the national ac- by the market. In the second case, the "at cost" value
counts should be valuedat market prices regardlessof representedby 0, P3 , S3, A3 is much higher than the
whetheror not they are actuallymarketed.Peskin and benefitsas judged by the market. For most people, type
Peskin(1978)havesuggestedhowthis mightbe done for A3 air is not worth the cost; the market wouldpay only
pollutionabatement. P3 ', and the area P3 ', P3 , S3, D3 represents the amount
The problemmaybe demonstratedin Figure5-1. The by whichthe "at cost" valuationof abatementoverstates
demandcurve (D) shows how much air cleanlinessthe the market valuationof the benefitsof abatement.
market would buy at differentprices, while the supply To measurethe marketvaluationof abatementbenefits,
curve (S) givesthe price of various levelsof air quality, it is necessaryto estimate the demand curve in Figure
that is, the cost of abating air pollution.If clean air were 5-1. The direct approachof askingpeoplehowmuchthey
sold on the market,the amountsuppliedwouldbe deter- would pay for differentamounts of abatementdoes not
mined by the intersectionof D and S. The air supplied appear to have been widelyused. One problem is that
wouldbe the moderatelycleanA2 type,the publicwould shrewdrespondentsmaydeclareno interest in payingfor
buy it at price P2, and the valueof purchases-the num- any pollutionabatement because they know that since
ber that wouldbe recordedin the national accountsun- clean air and pure water are public goods, they could
der householdconsumptionexpenditures-is represented never be excludedfrom enjoyingthem. This causes the
by the area 0, P2, S2, A2. marketvaluationof abatementbenefitsto be understated.
In practice, of course, the level of air pollutionis set Anotherdifficultyis that it is not clear whetherrespon-
not by the market but by governmentfiat. A government dents should be treated as buyersor sellers of clean air
sensitiveto businesspressuresmightdecideon lowabate- and water (Seneca and Taussig 1974). Should they be
ment standards that result in air of the rather dirty A, asked howmuch they wouldpayto enjoya givenlevelof
type, whilea governmentdominatedby consumerinter- pollution abatement, or how much they would charge
ests mightlegislateto produce very pure A3 type air. In polluters for the use of their clean air and water? The
the first case, the number that goes into the national latter approach, which is based on the view that the
accounts(as pollutionabatementcosts) is representedby inhabitantsof a countryhavecollectivepropertyrights in
the smallarea 0, P1, SI, A,. However,the demandcurve their environment,wouldgenerallylead to a highervalu-
indicatesthat the marketwouldhavepaid Pi' rather than ation of abatementbenefits.To be realistic,however,it is
P, for the amountof pollutionabatementrepresentedby unlikelythat either question could elicit anything but
Al, so that area P1, P1 ', D1, S, maybe taken as a measure fancifulresponses. People are simplynot very good at
of the extent to whichthe "at cost" valuationof pollution puttingprices on thingsthat are never marketed.
MeasuringPollutionwithinthe Frameworkof the NationalAccounts 31
32
CorrectingNationalIncome for EnvironmentalLosses 33
in the past must also be madeclear. The burden on the paid for by the governmentor private households, or
environmentis equal to the product of the number of whentheyare takenby privatefirmsbut financedthrough
people and the amountand type of activityper person. levies imposed by the government, they are currently
Sustainableeconomicdevelopmentthereforerequiresthat treated as finalconsumption.
the nature of our activitiesand the number of our species However,all these outlaysshould be entered as inter-
be adapted to the carryingcapacity of our planet; such mediateexpenditurewhen a long time series such as that
adaptationsmaydecrease GDP in the short run but will for national incomeis composed.For the losses of envi-
providesustainedeconomicdevelopmentin the long run. ronmentalfunctionsare currentlynot entered as costs at
It shouldalso be kept in mind that the SNA'S mainvalue the time they occur, and thereforetheir restoration or
is for short-termmacroeconomicanalysis.Finally,market compensationshouldnot be entered as a finaldeliveryat
prices do not indicatethe marginalutilityof goodswhen the momentit is undertaken. This procedure cannot be
their productionand consumptionare at the expenseof changed because it is impossibleto construct shadow
scarce environmentalfunctions. prices.It is thereforedoublecountingto enter outlaysfor
In additionto such caveats,as much quantitativeinfor- compensatingthese lossesor for eliminatingthem as final
mation as possibleshould be providedon the losses of consumption.Expenditureon preventingand compensat-
environmentalfunctionsand their consequences.To the ing environmental lossesdoes not contributeto the quan-
extent possiblethis should be done in rrmonetary terms, tity of consumergoods; these outlaysprotect or replace
such as compensationand eliminationcositsand financial scarce environmentalgoods that were already available.
damage.This can be supplementedby informationex- (Someof the disadvantagesattributedby Kuznetsto the
pressed in physicalunits, such as emissions,concentra- urbanpattern oflife,such as the greater distancebetween
tions, fragmentationof the countryside,and losses of home and work, maybe interpretedas losses of function
species.The figures in physicalterms can be related to resultingfrom spatial competition,and the expenditure
standards for environmentalfunctionsand will thus de- on this as the cost of compensatorymeasures.) 2
scribe their availabilityor loss. For exarnple,if certain Most authorities in this field, including most partici-
thresholdsof emissionsand subsequentconcentrations pants in the uNEP-WorldBank workshops on environ-
are exceeded,the function of surface water as a basic mental accounting,favoreither merely isolatingthe de-
materialfor drinking water is lost. The informationin fensive outlays for the environment or isolating and
physicalunits could be collectedin so-calledsatelliteac- correctingfor these items in an alternativepresentation
countsof the nationalaccounts(Theys,Chapter7). of national income alongsidethe current one. In both
The recommendationsmade above-that proper cave- cases, the time series would not be interrupted. The
ats be used and that GDP be supplementedby monetary current figure would remain intact for analytical pur-
and physicalinformationon the environment-can and poses, but the interactionbetween production and the
should be implemented immediately.T'he rest of this environmentwouldbe better understood, and the ability
chapter reviewsthree optionsfor correctingC.DP. to provide informationin physicalunits and to collect
these data in satelliteaccountswould,of course, not be
Correcting National Income for Defensive hamperedat all.
Environmental Outlays The approach of isolating and correcting, however,
seemspreferable.The politiciansand the public,whoare
Whennational incomeis calculatedaccordingto pres- now givenonly one figure of income,wouldthen realize
ent conventions,severalactivitiesthat have a cost char- that part of the increasein nationalincomeconsistsof an
acter, and thereforeought to be entered as intermediate increase in cost, since defensiveenvironmentaloutlays
deliveries,are currentlydesignatedas finadconsumption. are increasing(Leipert 1987). If the income correction
Kuznets,one of the great theoreticiansof the conception was made, however,severalclarificationswould have to
of nationalincome,emphasizesthis point (Kuznets1947, be made in the introduction of national accounts
1948a, 1948b). publications.
To the three classes of expendituresdistinguishedby
Kuznets (expenditureinvoked by an urban pattern of * The correctionis onlypartial, since the greater part
living,expenditureinherent in participationin the tech- of environmentallossesare neither restored nor compen-
nicallyand monetarilycomplexcivilizationof industrial sated.
countries,and the majorpart of governmentactivity),the * The mutations in both the current and corrected
expenditureon measuresthat compensatefor, redress,or figures of GDP do not represent economicgrowthor the
guard againstlossesof environmentalfunctionscouldbe courseof welfareovertime.
added.Theseexpendituresare currentlye:nteredas inter- * Reallocationby shiftingthe productionand consump-
mediatedeliveriesinsofaras the measures,are taken, and tion packageon behalfof the environment(for example,
directlypaid for, by privatefirms.Whenthe measuresare more bicyclesand publictransport and fewerprivate cars
34 Roefie Hueting
becauseof the pressureof physicalrestrictionsand levies) * In order not to make the questioningunjustifiably
constitutesa sacrifice.This is not reflected in the SNA, vague,some research on environmentalaccountinghas
insofar as the pattern of consumptionthat is thus pro- to be done beforehand.For clear air, clean water,and so
duced differsfrom the first choice,whichwasmadewith- forth are not homogeneousgoodsfroman economicpoint
out regardto environmental considerations.The shiftswill of view,as water and air have quite a few differenteco-
often lead to a check on productiongrowth.This is auto- nomic functions.If the persons being questionedare to
maticallyreflectedin the SNA but is not visible. have a clear picture of the issues, they must be given
* Isolationand correctionformpart of a broader field informationon the significanceof the differentfunctions,
of defensiveoutlays(see Hueting1980;Kapp1963; Kuz- the consequencesof their loss, and the measures and
nets 1947, 1948a, 1948b, 1954; Leipert 1986a, 1986b; costs involvedin their restoration.All together this con-
Mishan1984;and Tinbergen1985). stitutes a huge amount of information,whichwould not
be easyto survey.Althoughthe willingness-to-pay method
ComplementingCorrectionsfor Defensive Outlays might be justified for one or two factors affectingthe
through Surveys immediatelivingconditionsof people asked, it is most
probablynot a sound base for correctingnationalincome
The possibilitiesfor preferencesfor the current and for all environmentallosses.
future use of environmentalfunctionsto manifestthem- * Peoplemaybe interestedin the effectsof their bids,
selvesin marketbehaviorare verylimited(Hueting1980). together with the (unknown)bids of others, on, for in-
Thereforeeffortshave been madeto trace these prefer- stance,.employmentlevelsand consumptionpatterns. For
ences byaskingpeoplehowmuchtheywouldbe prepared answeringlegitimatequestionsabout this, studiessuch as
to pay to whollyor partially restore lost environmental the scenario study mentioned belowhave to be elabo-
fts th
being rated, and the resultshaveto be presentedto the persons
dfncton willingnessto pay.cHoweverm this method does questioned.This hardlyseemsfeasible.Again,what might
neoalwillinnes
not tolpay.eStimateS
alwaysprovidereiable However
forthis
manymethods.
reasons. be justifiedon a micro scaleis most probablynot justified
on a macro scale.
Informationon the significanceof environmental * Askingpeople howmuch they are prepared to pay
functionsis deficientin manycases.This is especiallyso suggeststhat conservingthe environmentalwaysrequires
for the functionsthat determinethe future qualityof the extra provisionsthat must be paid for. In quite a few
environment.For these (life-support)functionsthere is cases, however,conservationis a matter of refraining
oftenthe risk that interruptingcomplicatedprocesses,for from doing things rather than of doing them, and this
instance,ecosystems,maylead to seriousovershootsand savesrather than costsmoney.Thus,not buildinga road
collapse,and the chance that technologies not yet in- through a mountainousarea that is vulnerableto erosion
vented or operationalmay cope with those risks. Many is cheaper than buildingit, cyclingis cheaperthan driv-
peoplemaynot be able to weighthese risksand chances, ing, wearing a sweater and using an extra blanket is
and thus to answerhowmuch they are prepared to pay cheaper than raisingthe temperature,and confiningthe
for avoidingthem.Accordingto the biologicalliterature, consumptionof lettuce to the summerseason is cheaper
the possibilitythat overshootsand collapsemay occur if than eating it throughout the year. People who realize
the growthpattern of production(and population)is not this maymodifytheir answersbecauseof such considera-
changedconstitutesthe most importantpart of the envi- tions.
ronmental problem (see, for example,Odum 1971). If * Some peoplewillprobablybe convincedthat it does
individualsare not awareof the importanceof an environ- not matter what theybid becausetheir bid willnot influ-
mentalfunction,the surveymethodis pointless. ence environmentalpolicyat all, and this convictionwill
* There is a considerabledifferencebetween saying influencetheir bid.
that one is willingto spend money on somethingand * Some people may think they have a "right" to a
actuallypayingfor it. healthy and safe environmentand will probably react
* The questioningmethodin fact tries to approachthe accordinglyby not makinga bid at all.
valueof a collectivegood as ifit werea privatemark.etable a Some people willprobablyhave their doubts about
good(bytryingto findsomepointson the demandcurve). the participationof others (the Prisoner'sDilemmafrom
In a market the bidder knowsfairlywellwhat qualityand gametheory) or prefer to waitand see (the Free Rider
quantitycan be acquiredby differentbids. In a collective Principlefromthe theoryof collectivegoods).
situation, however,this is not possible,becauseit is not * The environmentis an important collectivegood.
knownhowmuch other people are goingto bid. Without But it is not the only one. Dikes, public administration,
a considerableamount of additionalresearch it is also and the army are too, while police and educationhave
not knownhow much moneyis requiredto attain differ- clear collectiveproperties.To be sure of not exceeding
ent qualitystandardsfor the environmentalfunctions. budget restrictions,people also have to be questioned
CorrectingNationalIncomefor EnvironmentalLosses 35
about howmuch they are prepared to pay for the other mates of the expenditureon the measuresrequired to
collectivegoodsof the society.This hardlyseemsfeasible. meet physicalstandards for the availabilityand qualityof
Again,what might be justifiedfor one or two separate environmentalfunctions (includingnature and natural
environmentalagentson a micro scalemaybe impossible resources).4 The standards can in turn be based on the
on a macroscale. prerequisitesof healthand a sustainableeconomicdevel-
* The willingness-to-paymethod also measures the opment,that is, developmentwithsustainableyields.This
consumer'ssurplus.In national incomethe total valueof seemsthe most naturalguidelinefor setting standardsfor
the goods is found by multiplyingthe quantity of each environmentalfunctions. Standards and the measures
good by its respectiveprice and then addingtogetherthe based on them mayreferto the occupationof space, the
resultingamounts.Usingthis procedure,the consumer's use of soil, the availabilityof stocks of natural resources,
surplusis not expressedin the levelof nalional income. the compositionof products, the consumptionof raw
Thus, a doctor who savesa patient's life creates a value materialsand energy,the emissionof pollutants,and the
that, whateverone may think about its exact size, is concentrationof chemicaland other agents.
certainlyhigherthan the valueaddedrecorcledin national The standards can be related to environmentalfunc-
income.The intra-marginalutility of goods,whichis ig- tions. Thus it is possibleto formulatethe wayin whicha
nored in nationalincome,willapproachan infinitevalue, forestshould be exploitedto attain a sustainableuse of
becauseit includes the utility of the first unit of food, its functions.Thesefunctionscouldincludebeinga source
drink, and so forth. For this reasonthe resultsof willing- of wood, regulatorof the water management,preventer
ness-to-payresearch are not suitableto be used in con- of erosion, bufferof carbon dioxideand heat, regulator
junction with the figures of national incc,me.An addi- of the climate,gene reserve,objectof studyfor ecological
tional objectionto incorporatingthe consumer'ssurplus research,supplierof natural productsfor the local popu-
in the willingness-to-pay approach is that the resultsre- lation,and sourceof incomefromtourism.The estimated
flect the income distributionmore directlythan do the expenditureon the measuresrequiredto meet those stan-
prices of market commodities;the differencesbetween dards then indicatesin monetaryterms howfar a nation
rich and poor in the weightsof the "votes"becomegreater has drifted awayfrom its (supposed)end or standard of
whenthe consumer'ssurplusis included.The occurrence sustainableuse of its forestresources.
of differencesin weightsof "votes" is often defendedby Likewiseit is possibleto formulatethe way in which
the argumentthat the contributionto the nationalpack- surfaceand groundwatershould be exploitedto arrive at
age of goods and servicesby the rich is greater than by a sustainableuse of its functions.These functionscould
the poor: their incomesare higherbecauseof the greater include water for drinking,for agriculture,for cooling,
relativescarcityof their abilities.This argument is not for flushing and transport, for industrial processes,for
validwith regard to the environment,because it is not recreation,for navigation,in the natural environment,
producedby humanity. and forwastedumping.The estimatedexpenditureon the
Becauseof the limitationsmentionedabove,the willing- measuresrequired to meet those standards would indi-
ness-to-paymethoddoes not presenta firm enoughbasis cate in monetaryterms howfar a nation has drifted away
for correctingnationalincome for lossesof scarce envi- from a sustainableuse of its water resources.The same
ronmentalfunctions.A correctionbased on this method holdstrue for the use of air, soil, and space.
may
lead to inaccurate estimates of envi.ronmentalde- The measuresmayrange fromselectivelycuttingtrees,
mlea. reforesting,buildingterraces,drainingroads, maintaining
mine, buffersin the landscape,and selectivelyusing pesticides
and fertilizersto buildingtreatment plants, recirculating
Complementing Corrections for Defensive Outlays materials, introducingflow energy, altering industrial
through Standards for Sustainable Economic processes,makingmore use of public transport and bi-
Development cyclesinstead of private cars, and using space so that
plant and animalspecieshave enough room to survive.
It can be concludedfromthe abovethat the correction Whenput into practice,these measureswilllead, in one
of nationalincomeis highlydesirable.But shadowprices wayor another,to different-sustainable-productionand
for environmentallossesthat are directlyccmparablewith consumptionpatterns. It followsfrom the earliersections
market prices (on which national income figures are in this chapter that the levelof welfarewillnot decrease
based)can be constructedonlyexceptionally, becausethe if people prefer to maintain a sustainabledevelopment
intensityof the preferencesfor the present and future rather than to risk the overshootsand collapseinherent
availability
of environmentalfunctionscan mostlynot be in the present production and consumption patterns.
measured. For this problem there is a well-defensible Whetherthis is the case cannot be provedor disproved,
practicalsolution.This consistsof supplementingthe cor- becausein manycasesit is impossibleto constructshadow
rections for defensiveenvironmentaloutlayswith esti- pricesfor environmentalfunctions.
36 RoefieHueting
Phosphates 81 29
Oxygendemand 35 17
Thermalload 139 44
Solidwaste 152 108
Harborsludge - 100
Energyrelated 1,400 467
Gypsum 210 90
Industrialslag 358 136
Chemicals 91 64
Radioactivewaste
Laboratorywaste 100 100
Nuclearenergywaste 300 0
Reprocessingwaste 598 0
Fissionablematerial 633 0
Energyinput 123 81
Coal 505(605)c 292
Uranium 463(0)' 0
Landscape Further deterioration(seeplant and Checkeddeteriorationor even
animalspecies) improvement
Livabilityof cities - Improvement
Production
CDP 164 127
Agriculture 181 135
Industry 321 177
Services 181 145
Availableincomeper capita 116 104
Unemployment 82 83
Employment 110 111
Tax burden 98 103
-= Not available.
a. Thisfigureis notconsistentbecausethecarbonmonoxide
emissions
of processes
andstationary
sourcesaremissing.
b. Veryroughestimate.
c. If nuclearenergyis notused,coalinputincreases.
Source:Hueting1987.
CorrectingNationalIncomefor EnvironmentalLosses 37
The expenditurenecessaryto carryout thesie(and sim- The mainresults of the studyare shownin Table 6-1.
ilar) measurescan be estimated.The sum ofthe amounts The total net expenditure(or cost of forgoneproduction)
found wouldindicatein monetaryterms howfar the na- to meet the conditionsor standards set in the environ-
tion has drifted awayfrom a sustainableeconomicdevel- mental scenario is equal to the difference in gross na-
opment. This indicatorcan be used in conjunctionwith tional product (GNP) betweenthe two scenariosin 2000.
the figuresof the nationalincome,which,after correction The benefits(in regainedand safeguardedenvironment)
for defensiveoutlays,showshow far the nation has pro- are equal to the differencesin the environmentalindica-
ceeded in raisingthe levelof production. tors in 2000. A similarstudy is in progress for Taiwan
No measurescan be formulatedfor irreversiblelosses. (Hueting1986a).
If plant and animalspeciesbecomeextinct,no restoration An example of a practical applicationof correcting
measuresare possible.The same probablyholdsfor the nationalincomefigures,albeitnot based on standardsfor
total loss of the topsoilof a mountainousarea. An arbi- attaininga sustainableeconomicdevelopment, is the study
trary value then has to be assignedto these losses, of by the Economic Councilof Japan, which developsa
whichone can say for certainonlythat the valueis higher measure of net national welfare.In this approach the
than zero. nationalincomefiguresare correctednot only for actual
A more or less similar problem seems to arise for expenditureon compensationand restorationof environ-
nonrenewableresources.Onceoil has been exploitedand mental functions,but also for the estimatedcost of the
exportedor used, it is gone forever.This loss constitutes measuresnecessaryto attain the level of environmental
a cost for the country,since oil reservesare finite.If no quality prevailingin the base year (in this case 1955).
alternativesare developed,the generation that experi- Thus, de facto, a correction of national income figures
ences the depletion (or a sharp rise in the operating on the base of standardswaselaboratedthere (Economic
costs) of the resource willsuffer a severeeconomicloss. Councilof Japan 1974,pp. 99ff).
Since the prospect of a safe and prosperous future for De Groot(1986) can alsobe mentionedin this respect.
one's childrenand one's children'schildranis a normal In that studythe ecologicalparametersare formulatedfor
humanneed, the diminutionof the reservesof nonrenew- the performanceand sustainableuse of, among others,
able resources such as oil constitutesa cost here and the functionsof water purification,fishery,gameanimals,
now. and nursery.The StimulationProgrammefor Researchin
The depreciation of nonrenewableresources can be HumidTropical Forest Lands (Tropenbos)is now con-
valued by estimatingthe costs involvedin the develop- ductingresearch on the conditionsfor the conservation
ment and practical introductionof alternativessuch as and rationaluse of forests and forestland resourcesand
solar energy, substitutes for minerals, and recycling on howto bring these conditionsinto practice(Bax and
methods. others 1986; Ross and Donovan1986; Grainger 1987;
An example of a practical applicationis a scenario Hueting1986b).Apart from these and other, more inte-
studyelaboratedfor the Netherlands(Hueting1987).This gral, approaches,numerousstudies notablyon the meas-
study scans the effects on the level of production and ures and costsinvolvedin reducingemissionsof harmful
employmentof the transition to a sustainableeconomic agents have been carried out in quite a few countries.
developmentbetween 1980 and 2000. The conditionsor Somehealthstandards havebeen establishedfor the con-
standards for such a developmentand the measuresto centrationof harmfulagentsallowedfor variousfunctions
meet these conditionsor standards were formulatedby of water and air, such as drinking,swimming,and physi-
specializedscientificinstitutes. The estimated costs of ologicalfunctioning.
these measureswere enteredinto the econometricmodel, From these experiencesit seems feasible to correct
whichthen scanned the effects on production and em- national income figures on the basis of standards for
ployment.The resultswere contrastedwith the resultsof health and a sustainable economic development. The
a scenario based on a traditional growthpolicy,elabo- methodhas three advantagesand four drawbacksor im-
rated alongsidethe environmentalscenario. Thus, com- perfections.
parison of the outcomeof the two scenarioscan indicate The first drawbackis that the results of the approach
the differencesbetween a policy aimingat sustainability do not represent individualvaluationsin the true sense,
and one aimingat increasingthe nationalincomeaccord- as has beenextensivelyexplainedabove.For,amongother
ing to the present pattern. Because the environmental things, the intensityof the preference for a sustainable
scenario makes an importantstep in the directionof a economicdevelopmentcannot be measured.This simul-
sustainableeconomicdevelopmentover the wholefieldof taneouslyimplies,however,that the intensityof the pref-
productionand consumption,comparisonolfthe results erences for the acceptanceof the adverse effects and
of the two scenarios also gives a rough impressionof future risks involvedin the present growth pattern of
what may be expectedif GDP is correctedaccordingto productionand consumption,and thus for the growthof
standardsfor a sustainableeconomicdevelopment. GNP, is equallyunknown.Both of these aspectsshouldbe
38 RoefieHueting
clearly mentioned when the results of the method are environmentseveralpossibleuses can be distinguished.These
presented in the publications of the national accounts. are calledenvironmentalfunctions.Whenthe use ofan environ-
Second, the method ignores the loss of welfaresuffered mental functionby an activityis at the expense of the use of
by people who have a strong preference for the survival another (or the same)functionby another activityor threatens
of plant and animal species apart from their role in main- to be so in the future, loss of functionoccurs;lossesof function
taining the life-support functions of our planet (which is constitutecosts. In this situation,which is called competition
tainreruingthe
lfore-susofutaionabed lourpmenet).(whee ps between functions,the environmenthas an economicaspect.
a prerequisite for a sustainable development). These pref- Competitionbetween functionscan be qualitative,spatial, or
erences could be compared with the preferences for cre- quantitative.Qualitativecompetitionamountsbroadlyspeaking
ating and maintaining art or churches. This might not be to pollution:the use of the environmentalfunction "dumping
considered indispensable for sustainable development and ground for waste"is at the expenseof other functions.It is as
yields, but their loss would constitute a decrease in wel- if there were an intermediatestep. An activityintroduces an
fare for those who appreciate them. The same holds true agent (forinstance,a chemical,heat, or noise)into the environ-
for species that might not be considered indispensable ment, as a result of whichthe qualitychanges;this maydisturb
for a sustainable economic development. This too should other uses or render them impossible.In spatialand quantita-
be mentioned when presenting the results. tive competitionthere is not enough space or matter to meet
Third, no measures can be formulated for irreversible the existingdemandfor it. The use of a functionalso includes
losses. This holds true for any method. Fourth, the the passiveuse of the function"natural environment"to con-
method is laborious. serve the actual and potentialutilitiesof ecosystems,nowand
in the future,and to retainthe diversityof speciesof our planet.
The first advantage to the method is that it seems to Competitionbetweenfunctionscan take all sorts of forms.But
provide an acceptable supplement to national income fig- in most casesit is a questionof the environmentbeingused for
ures by indicating the losses of environmental functions productionand consumptionactivitiesat the expenseof another
in monetary terms, since shadow prices cannot be con- desireduse (Hueting1980).
structed. 2. This chapter followsthe usual procedureof classifyingas
Second, the method compels the definition of an exact compensationcosts expendituressuch as extra provisionsfor
content of the term "sustainable economic development." the drinkingwater supply,buildingswimmingpools when the
Without such a content the term remains vague and not waterhas been polluted,or travelcosts to natural parks when
operational for economic policy regarding the environ- naturalareas in the vicinityhavedisappearedand of classifying
ment. as financialdamagesuch effectsas diminishedproductivitybe-
cause of damageto crops and acceleratedcorrosionor devalu-
Third, the physical data required for comparison with ation of properties caused by pollution. At the same time,
the standards come down to basic environmental statistics asking people how much they would be prepared to pay to
that have to be produced anyhow if we are to get a grip conserveand restorethe environmentis classifiedunderwilling-
on the state of the environment. The formulation of the nessto pay.Someauthors,however,placeall of these categories
measures to meet the standards and the estimates of the underwillingnessto pay.
expenditure involved are indispensable for policy deci- 3. An overviewof the methodsused, includingquite a few
sions. In other words, the work necessary to supplement results(albeitnot in the contextof correctingnationalincome
national income figures might be laborious, but it has to figures) can be found in Kneese (1984), Ewers and Schulz
be done anywayif one wants to formulate a policy on the (1982),and Schulz (1985).For criticismof the method in the
environment, environmentalfield,see Kapp(1972,pp. 17 ff).
Based on the arguments given above, the national in- 4. Whenthe applicationof all availabletechnicalmeasuresis
comefigures shudbecreceoinsufficient
to meet a standard, the estimatesmust be supple-
come figures should be corrected for the losses of envi- mentedwiththe marketvalueof the reductionin activities(in
ronmental functions (including resources) on the basis of additionto the measures)necessaryto meet the standard.
standards for health and a sustainable economic develop-
ment. This would provide alternative national income fig- References
ures alongside the existing ones. The differences between
the two will show politicians and the public in monetary Bax, J., R. Hooghiemstra,and H. deWitte,eds. 1986.Initiating
terms how far the country has drifted away fiom the a GlobalResearchProgrammeto Conserveand Develop
course of sustainable economic development. TropicalRainForests.TropenbosInformationSeries 1. Ede,
Netherlands:Tropenbos.
Notes Economic Council of Japan. 1974. MeasuringNet National
Welfareof Japan. Tokyo.
1. Thischapter uses the conceptof environmentalfinctions, Ewers,H. J., and WernerSchulz.1982. Die monetarenNutzen
which was designed to describe the economicaspect of the gewasserguteverbessernder Massnahmen-dargestellt am
environment.For an economicapproach,the environmentcan BeispieldesTegelerseesin Berlin.Berlin:Erich SchmidtVer-
best be interpretedas the physicalsurroundingsof humans,on lag.
whichthey dependcompletelyin all their activities.Withinthe Grainger,Alan. 1987. Report of the 7iel Consultation27-31
CorrectingNationalIncomefor EnvironmentalLosses 39
40
EnvironmentalAccountingin DevelopmentPolicy:The FrenchExperience 41
_/ ~~~~~~ ~ ~~(SPIRE)
(POLLEN) models
of theEeffects
of of macroeconomic ffects acconts
_. patrimony
Level IV [\P Environmental accounts
Accounts Patrimony account satellite account National
accounts
t LevelLState
\ of the Regionalreports Pl roEss conomic data on Plan data
Statistical environment on the state of _ lain progres the environment /
syntheses (national report) the environment indicators (annual report) Damage
assessment
indicatoirs.As yet,
* LevelVI concerns quality-of-life the overalldevelopmentof local livingconditions.How-
France has made no attempt-unlike the United States ever,these effortsare still experimental.
and Japan-to supplementgross national product (GNP)
with one or severaladditionalrepresentativeindexes of Naturally,all of these levels are linked in varyingde-
national welfareor wealth.Indeed,using a multicriteria grees to external informationsystems,such as research
methodology,some work has been undertakento assess resultsin publicationson the cost of damagescausedby
42 JacquesTheys
N
Total
tion of the relationship between people and nature, such The rigor of an accounting approach. Patrimony ac-
as extraction, pollution, nondestructive use cf the envi- counts do not purport to be an organized and periodical
ronment, access, land use planning, development, and inventory of information alone, as are, for example, re-
selection. For obvious reasons, the categories chosen for ports on the state of the environment. As already indi-
agent accounts are derived from those used in national cated, they represent a commitment to the notion that
accounting systems (such as business firms, households, the relationship between people and their environment
government services, and foreign firms or entities). can be effectivelyportrayed in accounting terms.
Compared with similar experiments, the most original This concept first appears in the systematic construc-
feature of French patrimony accounts is that the natural tion of an account for each component, such as raw
environment is analyzed according to each of its basic materials, the physical environment, living organisms, and
functions: economic, ecological, and social. This func- ecosystems. This account describes the available stock of
tional approach is in fact essential when it comes to the component at the beginning and end of a given period
revealing natural potential and qualitative damages result- (initial and final stock), as well as the factors that may
ing from market and nonmarket activities. It explains to have brought about any changes: increases or decreases
a large extent why patrimony accounts have been devel- in stock from natural causes and the destruction or de-
oped independently from national accounts; the main ob- velopment caused by humanity. Such an account, called
jective is to demonstrate not a net profit or loss from the the central account, is an itemized balance sheet (see
exploitation of nature, but tradeoffs between the eco- Table 7-1 and a practical example in Table 7-2).
nomic, ecological, and social functions of natural re- One of the advantages of the accounting approach is
sources. Nomenclatures of the French Natural Patrimony that the coherent picture it offers accurately reflects the
Accounts are given in the appendix to this chapter. loops and relations. In theory, each change in one part of
Table 7-2. Example of a Central Account: Growing Stock of a Commercial Forest, 1969 to 1979
(thousandsof cubic meters)
Resource/asset Broadleaf Coniferous Total Use Broadleaf Coniferous Total
Volume of growing stock 980.1 6,526.5 7,506.6 Natural reduction 5.6 21.0 26.6
in 1969 (mortality)
Natural growth of initial 401.9 2,583.5 2,985.4 Accidental reduction 9.7 481.2 490.9
stock (breakage and windfall)
Natural growth by Resource extraction 92.0 1,474.0 1,566.0
reproduction (commercialfelling)
(recruitment) Self-consumption 13.6 395.0 408.6
Adjustment -29.4 +1,239.2 1,209.8
Volumeof growing stock 1,330.7 5,758.0 7,088.7
in 1979
Total 1,422.2 9,368.4 10,790.6 Total 1,422.2 9,368.4 10,790.6
44 JacquesTheys
Figure 7-2. Links between Economic, Agent, fromthe environmentand the damagesborne by it. Nor-
and Patrimony Accounts wegianresource accounting,however,is based on an
analysisof eco-energyand materialbalance.This system
Economic
activities translates economic activity into flows of matter to energy
National Input-outputaccounts and viceversa.The Canadianapproachdrawsheavilyon
economic the concept of impact studies and applies them at a
accounts Production Consumption macroeconomic level.This approachis concernedprimar-
ily withthe dynamicof ecologicalsystemsthat havebeen
Uses , t Resources disturbed by the economic system.
Typology of relations ____ _ The experience of the Netherlands hinges on the neces-
Agent beTvpology
of relations _ Noneconomic sity of harmonizingthe economic,social, and ecological
accounts Social 4 activities functionsof nature. The French patrimonyaccounts,al-
Extractio Accretion uses, though based on this conceptof function,share with the
Pollution and and such Norwegianaccountsthe aim of attaininga genuineecon-
depletion development as
access' omyof wealthbasedon an assessmentof the potentialities
Impacts t (bothmonetaryand nonmonetary)of usingnaturalassets.
The approachespursued by differentcountries reflect
PatrimonyChangesin resourcestocksseeaplnigccrsadobctv.
accounts and environmentalquality several plannng concems and objectives.
* To diagnosethe current (or foreseeable)state of the
environment(Canada,France,and Norway)
* To analyzethe effect of environmentalpolicies (or
total anticipatedrevenuesand services,or even rneasur- the absencethereof)on economicperformanceand wel-
ing opportunity or replacementcosts. All of these ap- fare (Japanand UnitedStates)
proaches yielddifferentresults, and it is clear that this * To assess the value of resources that can be ex-
subjecthas not yet been fullythought out. ploited for developmentas wellas the conditionsof their
Despite the seeming complexityof the F'ren,chap- regeneration(Franceand Norway)
proach, tangibleresultshavebeen obtainedover a fairly * To identifythe possibleoptions among the social,
short period and at a relativelylow cost (three staff-years economic,and ecologicalobjectivesof development,with
and $100,000 in research grants) by focusingattention a viewto globalnegotiation(France and Netherlands).
on a limited number of areas (water,forestry,soil, and In conclusion,no natural resourceaccountingeffortso
wildlife)and by decentralizingthe data gatheringprocess. far has madeit possibleto attain all of these goalssimul-
Additionalyearsof studywillbe requiredto translatethe taneouslyor to coverthe entire range of planningpro-
resultsof patrimonyaccountinginto changesin the rela- cesses(as illustratedin Figure 7-3).Moreover,it is diffi-
tive price structure of natural resourcesand into mone- cult to imaginea systemcapable of meetingthe needs of
tary values.Therefore,in the immediatefuture, the pri- economists,ecologists,the public, decisionmakers,and
ority has been given to using componentaccounts in environmentalmanagersall at the same time. Developing
long-termmodelingand to buildingecologicalsector ac- countriesmay thus haveto choose from the variouspos-
countsthroughremotesensing. sible approachesby referringto their own needs,levelof
development,and environmentalmanagementproblems.
The Experience of Franceand OtherDeveloped This is discussedbelow.
Countries:A Comparisonof Planning Objectives
Adapting Environmental Accounts
As a conclusionto the firstpart of thischaptsr, it would to Developing Countries
be interestingto situatethe Frenchexperiencein relation
to the general trend of establishingenvironmentalinfor- It is no coincidencethat proposals currentlyput for-
mation systemsand to compare the variousapproaches ward about environmentalaccounting are varied. This
adoptedin the lightof planningobjectives.On examining heterogeneitysimplyreflects the varied political con-
some of the more representativeprojects, one is struck cerns, institutionalstructures,and problemsin the devel-
by their diversity.Each countryseemsto haveadaptedits oped countries.It also indicatesthe difficultyof findinga
environmentalaccountsto its own national needs, insti- consensuson a theoreticalframeworkthat wouldpresent
tutions,and culture. clearlythe complexrelation between the economyand
Americanand Japaneseproposalsare clearlybased on the environment.Therefore,a case-by-case,country-by-
the theory of welfareeconomics:their aim is to modify country, and perhaps even region-by-regionanalysis is
GNPby assessingin monetaryterms the servicesderived calledfor, based on a simplifiedaccountingframework.
46 JacquesTheys
Accumulation or
depletion Environmental Direct use of
goodsand goodsand
Useof gods
Outputan d services Impactof
Mobilizable Inpt Nonmarket Market service (consumption)o
potentials production produiction activities
* Human * Economic
* Nature * Ecological
* Movableassets Imports . _ Social
and currency Waste, Absorption
* Realand pollution of pollutants On
capitalgoods * People
9 Nature
Resourcefunctions * Movableand
* Economic I \ real goods
* Ecological _ . Available Useof * Institutions
* Social * publicservices, publicservices (positiveand negative)
including
Public environmental
management services
1 Policies
* Plans
Projects o
r 9~~~~~~~
Incentives Criea
and standards evu
Obetie
mxmie0Output O b j 'ective:maximize
weath-*a goals social,economic,and
|Long-termchoie|| Social |
discountrate values l
Problems Specific to the Developing World that directly affect environmental accounts. First, most
people are aware of the critical role that natural resources
The first question that naturally comes to mind is the continue to play in the economic activity of developing
applicabilityof environmental accounting in the context countries at all levels (employment, production, export,
of the physical problems experienced by the developing and consumption). Most developing countries-particu-
countries. It is clear, however,that such accounts will not larly the poorest-depend on the export of primary com-
be created unless they correspond to a perceived eco- modities or one or two other products for their growth.
nomic need. Resource regeneration and improvement is thus a vital
factor in these economies.
Economic issues and their implications. Despite the Second, the importance of natural resources is made
enormous diversity of structures and economic situations even more apparent if nonmarket activities are consid-
in the developing world, there are a few common features ered. Another feature of developing countries is the exis-
Environmental
Accounting
in Development
Policy:TheFrenchExperience 47
that environmentalaccountingwillin the short term ei- marginalsettlementsin rural or urban areas. Generally
ther be based on existingdata alone or depend on statis- speaking,existingdata are often not sufficientlylocalized
tical programs already envisagedin other fields. This and are discontinuousor isolated.Once again, they are
restrictionmakesit strategicto establisha preciseinven- gatheredby a host of independentagencies,whichfail to
tory of all currentlyavailabledata (mapping,scientific, circulatetheir findingsamongthemselves.
and statistical). In general,there is little data availableon stocks and
In 1977 the United Nations Office of Statistics ad- even less on their growthor depletion.Assessmentsof
dresseditselfto this taskby undertakinga generalsurvey natural resource potential are generallydealt with in ad
of 122 countriesand case studieson Kenya,the Domini- hoc studiesor research,such as those carried out before
can Republic,and the FijiIslands(UnitedNations1982). a major project is implemented.Purely economicesti-
The main problemsfound were dispersedand compart- mates most often remain confinedto the university(at
mentalized data, insufficientspecific information,ex- least at a global level),and studiessummingup environ-
tremely uneven quality of nonspecificdata, and over- mental expenditureat the national level are extremely
general statistics prepared by international agencies. rare. Finally-and most significant-qualitativedata are
Theseare discussedbelowin turn. virtuallynonexistent.
(1970) pointed out long ago the limitations of applying comprises only 400 stations for the entire world, which
the notion of GNPto developing countries whose econo- represents an average of only 2 to 4 in each country. Last
mies include sizable nonmonetary agricultural sectors. but not least, entire sections of environmental concerns
These two limitationsexplain why the quality of aggre- have poor or inadequate data coverage; this is especially
gate data collected can vary considerably. In Africa, for true of wildlifeand flora and of environmental economics.
example, estimates of GNP growth during 1960 to 1970
ranged, according to the sources and countries concerned, Environmental Accounting as a Tool
from 1 to 11 percent for Chad, from 1 to 13 percent for for Policymaking
Mali, from 1 to 6 percent for Burkina Faso, and from 1 to
2 percent for Senegal (World Bank 1981). These gaps, Natural resource accounting could act as a catalyst for
which may at first seem to represent insurmountableobsta- framing environmental policy in developing countries.
cles to creating environmentalaccounts, can also, paradox- Many of these countries have complained that it is diffi-
ically, be viewed as significant opportunities. As pointed cult to put the concept of integrated development into
out on numerous occasions, improvingthe quality of con- practice without a tool to facilitate the distribution of
ventional economic data systems (national accounting, in investment to various areas of the environment or to
particular) will obviously benefit enviromnental accounts identify beforehand the payers and beneficiaries of the
by emphasizing the nonmonetary sector. policies envisaged. To a large extent, environmental ac-
Two examples-among many others-exist of this con- counting answers this dual need. In this respect, it can
vergence. First, by excluding wood-based fuels, current fulfill, at the national level, the same role of initiator or
statistics obscure the specific nature of the energy crisis in driving force that impact studies have at the project level.
the developingcountries and may lead to irrational invest- It can supply environmental institutions with the means
ment decisions. In Zaire, for instance, if noncommercial to open dialogue with economic administrators and mem-
energy sources were included, energy consumption would bers of the scientific community.It can also provide these
jump from 3 to 10 percent of gross domestic product same institutions with effective management tools in their
(GDP). Second, because of the quality of data compiled on particular field of competence, such as priority criteria
nonmarket food crops, Kenya was able to lorecast harvest and minimal data on anticipated expenditure and its im-
yields that proved to be invaluable during the drought in pact. Environmental accounting cannot, of course, substi-
the late 1970s. A project specificallyaimed at collecting tute for political will, but, for environmental administra-
data on natural resources not intended for export markets tions, which are often weak, it can constitute a powerful
could thus easily become economicallyprofitable. means of internal structuring and recognition with re-
Abundant but overgeneral data from inzternationalor- spect to other ministerial offices.
ganizations. Beginning in the mid-1970s, many interna-
tional organizations-including the Food and Agriculture Proposals
Organization (FAO); Unesco Man and the Biosphere Pro-
gram; the World Health Organization (WHO); and the The preceding survey shows that the development of
U.N. Environment Programme (uNEP)--have involved environmental accounting in the developing world will
themselves in far-reaching programs to compile data on inevitablyencounter a set of serious obstacles. The prob-
the environment and natural resources. lem of insufficient and poorly dispersed basic data is
For example, the FAO recently completed a soil map on compounded by several factors.
a scale of 1:1.5 million, as well as a map of areas in the * The shortage of financial and human resources that
process of desertification. It has also launched a project can be mobilized in the light of other, more urgent,
to partition Africa and Asia into homogerneousecological priorities for statistical data that have not yet been filled.
regions and has analyzed soil potential for twelve types of * The lack of a coordinating structure capable of
crops (UNEP 1981). It periodically dissenninates data on bringing together multidisciplinaryteams.
soil use (in five categories), pesticide use, area of land * The unsuitability of a cost-benefit approach in sec-
under irrigation, and fishing yields. Two years ago, it tors dominated by nonmarket activities.
completed an inventory of tropical forests and their * The present lack of political demand for this type of
growth, in conjunction with Unesco and UtNEP. tool, particularly by economic planning bodies.
For its part, UNEP has coordinated a monitoring net-
work to oversee climate, long-range transport of pollut- Although these obstacles may seem sizable, they are
ants, environmentalhealth, oceans, and terrestrial natural not insurmountable. There are a few factors that might
resources (GEMS program). In many fields, these data are help in establishing environmental accounts, and results
often the only available at the moment. The pollution from the few projects recently undertaken in developing
monitoring network coordinated by the GEMS program countries have been encouraging.
50 Jacques Theys
model transposableto all the developingzountries,but willbe possibleto attain all these objectiveswithin two
to launch a process of implementationthat takes into years.
accountthe assets and constraintsspecifict:oeach one of
them. It is thus necessaryto go beyonda list of desirable SecondStage: Development
activitiesand to propose a program with very specific
stagesand time scales. The second stage should havetwo objectives:on the
The followingprogram proposes a series of steps in one hand, to extend the precedingsteps so as to include
three stages(short-,medium-,and long-term),whosemain fewereconomicaspectsand, on the other hand, to set up
aim is graduallyto arouse in the developingcountries the essentialinstitutionalstructuresin each countrycon-
concerned sufficientmotivationto proceed to the final cemed. The expertsshouldthus be graduallyreplacedby
stage of creatingaccounts. nationalbodies.
The followingactivitiescould thus be carried out dur-
First Stage:Awareness and Experimenta,tion n this
ing hsseodsae
second stage.
The aim of the firststage is to interestplanningofficials * The setting up, in each of the countries in whicha
(and beyondthem, politicaldecisionmakers)in creating pilot studywasdone, of institutionalstructuresresponsi-
accounts as soon as possible.The stress is thus deliber- ble for the accounts(Figure7-4).
ately placed on producing results rapidlyand on using
accountsfor economicforecasting.
For that purpose four or five pilot studies should be Figure 7-4. Using Accounts to Compare Projects
launched, with the participationof experts from these or AlternativeDevelopmentScenarios
countries and from the developedcountries who have
experiencewith environmentalaccounting.Initiallyeach Valueandsustainability
study would prepare a central account (stock account) ofthe project
for one of the resourcesconsideredto be strategicby the
volunteer countries (such as water, forest:,soil, humid ,
zones,fisheries,or genotype).
The first drafts of the accounts thus created are used Ecological Social Economic
in the second stage to analyzeresource processingnet- evaluation evaluation evaluation
works throughout the production system and to assess
the modificationsin the economicvalueof the stock at
the beginning and the end of the period under consider- Ecological Social
ation.It willbe possibleto test severalmethodsof mone- functionof function
tary evaluationconcurrently. natural (nonmarket)
The best wayof turning the precedinginformationto resources
account would be to construct in a third stage, together
with planning officials, two contrasting resource manage- Gainor loss Economic
ment scenarios. One of these would prolong past trends, of function function
while the second would be a conservation scenario. This of stocks Consumption
prospective analysis would illustrate by simple indicators Amountof stocks * Imports
the relevance-both from the economic and physical view- in t, t + 1, t + n * Exports Expenditures
points-of a strategy of sustainable development.The case (quantityand quality) Jobs protection
studies would also localize existing information and as- I J p/
sess the cost and technical conditions involved in obtain- Resourceflows /
ing currently unavailable data. By the end of the first Macroeconomic
stage, the experts should thus be able tD propose an model
initial program for organizing the existing environmental /
data in each country.
Finally,at the same time as this fieldworkis being done, - Usesand _ t_
it would appear to be essential to maintain or to set up Patrimony extraction National Satellite
an ad hoc assessment team. This team would be respon- accounts of resource accounts
sible for periodically following the progress of the case
studies and for assessing the results of this first stage, Scenarios
together with the national leaders. The few rare experi- and projects
ments that have already been highlighted indicate that it (Prospectivemodels)
52 Jacques Theys
LinkagesbetweenEnvironmental
andNationalIncomeAccounts
Richard B. Norgaard
Almostfour decadesago K. WilliamKapp(1950) argued users of informationfrom the SNA, as advisersto devel-
that both our conceptionof the developmentprocessand opingcountries, and as coordinatorsof systematicdata
our nationalincomeaccountswere inadequateior devel- collectionand exchange-have initiatedvariouseffortsto
opmentplanning.Neither our theories nor our primary improvethe usefulnessof environmentaldata. The Con-
indicatorsof economicdevelopmentincorporatethe serv- ferenceof EuropeanStatisticiansof the EconomicCom-
ices of the environmentand of resources.This conceptual missionfor Europebegan to investigatethe organization
problembecamea popularconcernduringthe 1.960s,as and use of environmentaldata in 1973.
awarenessof pollutionand environmentalmar,agement The U.N. StatisticalOffice(uNso) began working on
problemsincreasedin the developedcountries, By this the problemsof organizingenvironmentaldata in 1974.
time the shortcomingsof the grossnationalproduct (GNP) In 1983 the first of several EnvironmentalAccounting
becamemore and more apparent. GNP, as conventionally Workshopswas held. In late 1984 UNSO presented "A
measured, could be increased by using up limited re- Frameworkfor the Developmentof EnvironmentStatis-
sources faster at the expense of future generations. It tics."
could also be increasedboth by degradingthe environ- The EnvironmentalAccountingWorkshopshavestrug-
ment and by correctingenvironmentaldegradation. gledwith the complexmethodologicalissues of howvari-
Duringthe 1970seconomistsand othersbeganto make ous heterogeneous environmental data should be se-
serioussuggestionsfor changesin the Systemof National lected, organized,aggregated,and incorporatedinto or
Accounts(sNA) to correct the shortcomings.In spite of linked with the informationprovidedby the SNA. Strong
the logic behind many recommendations,however,the arguments,presentedpredominantlyby economists,have
onlysuggestionthat manycountrieshaveadoptedin their been made that the SNA is already an effectivetool. Its
national accounts is to keep separate track of environ- defendersbelievethat it simplyneeds to be improvedby
mentalcorrectionexpenditures(nameddefensiveexpen- includingboth the valueof environmentaland resource
ditureselsewherein this volume). servicesin the current account and the variationin the
Since the early 1970s an increasingnumber of prob- value of resource stocks and environmentalsystemsin
lems in developingcountries also have been linked to the capitalaccount Someeconomistsbelievethat appro-
inadequateconsiderationof environmentaland resource priate techniques exist to fullyincorporate critical re-
factors.Both specificdevelopmentprojectsand general source and environmentalvaluesin the SNA. Others be-
strategies failed to reflect environmentalopportunities lieve that environmental accounting should be
and constraints.In the early 1970s the politicalleaders, independentof economicaccountingand that linkages
governmentadvisers,and academicsin developingcoun- should be made betweenthe accountsas appropriatefor
tries rejectedthe concept of an environmentalcrisis as differenttypes of questions.
perceivedby their counterparts in developedcountries. Economistshave developednumeroustechniquesdur-
Duringthe past decade,however,someof them havebeen ing the past three decadesfor estimatingthe monetary
active in reformulatingdevelopmentthinkingto include valuesof resourceand environmentalservices.The values
the relationshipsbetween well-being,environment,and of the environmentsor environmentalfactors and of the
resources. resourcesfrom whichthese servicesderive are the pres-
The internationaldevelopmentorganizations-as major ent valueof the services.Economistshavetried to ground
54
LinkagesbetweenEnvironmentaland NationalIncomeAccounts 55
these techniquesin economictheory,have obtainedade- with economictheory.The derivationof the SNA stems
quate data in some cases, and have establishedeffective from heated debate as to what should be includedand
econometricprocedures.' To most economists,environ- how.Thus, the SNA is based on conventionsestablished
mentaland resourcevaluationis a provenarea, onewhere through a process of acquiring consensus rather than
success appears consistentlypossibleafter sufficientef- basedon proceduresdeduced fromeconomictheory.
fort. Thus most economistsconcernedwith environmen-
tal accountingargue that the greatest problemsof the The Value Aggregation Issue
SNA with resources and environmentalsystemscan be
correctedby developinga good systemof accounts,with Muchof the interestin environmentalaccountingstems
everythingmeasuredand aggregatedin monetaryterms. from a concern with the sustainabilityof development.
Furthermore,with everythingin monetary terms, plan- Economistsargue that sustainability,to the extent that it
ners could readilycompareoptions. is important to people, is incorporated in individuals'
The skepticsare concernedwiththe limitsof economic values and reflected in the decisions they make. For
valuationor of any other single technique. They argue economists,one goal of environmentalaccountingis to
that the environmentalaccountsshouldbe maintainedin provideappropriateindicatorsof people's willingnessto
physicalunits to the extent possible and thait multiple maintain or improvethe quality of the environmentas
approachesto linkingaccounts with the SNA should be developmentoccurs.Valuationtechniquesfor nonmarket
developedand used as appropriate,given the question goods and services, however,rely on individualprefer-
under consideration.They have been unified by their ences about the future as expressedfor goods and serv-
skepticismof the economists'arguments,and they agree ices in those marketsthat are working.
that questionsrelatedto appropriatedevelopmentare too Environmentalistsargue, however,that they are ethi-
important, diverse, and complicated to be pursued cally compelledto seek sustainable development. For
through a single approach. But they have so far not these people,sustainabilityshouldbe a constrainton, or
reacheda consensuson an alternativeapproachor com- separatesocialobjectiveof, developmentstrategies.Even
binationof approaches.2 if a societydoes not select sustainabilityas a constraint
The methodologicaldebate has circledaround the ec- or objective,it should explicitlymonitor the extent to
onomicapproach versusthe use of diverse,less formal, whichcurrent preferencesjeopardizefuture generations.
methods.Manyof these other methodshavebeen exper- Economictechniques, however,aggregatekey environ-
imentedwith in the French systemof envirornmental ac- mentalinformationof importanceto socialdecisionmak-
3 A consensus,however,has hardly developed
counting. ers and considersocialvaluesby initiallyweightingthem
on whichmethods might be conceptuallymc,resuitable with respect to individualpreferences as they are ex-
or practically more effective under different circum- pressedin privatemarkets.
stances. Economistsmaketradeoffsbetweengenerationson the
assumptionthat interest rates reflect optimal exchanges
sNA Developed by Consensus, Not Theory between present and future generations. The fact that
future generationscannot possiblyparticipate in capital
Most lay people and many planners assume that in- marketsprovidesa clear rationalefor social intervention
creasing the GNP means that the economicwelfareof in capitalmarketsand independentsocialdecisionsabout
peoplehas improved.But GNP only measuresthe levelof conservingresources and environmentalsystems.Socie-
economicactivitythat goes through the market mecha- ties could,and to someextent do, protect future genera-
nism.Welfareis best thought of as the sum of producers' tions through interest rate policy.Societies frequently
and consumers'surpluses-the difference between the makedecisionsto directlyreserveresourcesand environ-
areas under demand curves and above supply curves. mental systemsfor future generations. The information
When these areas increase,other thingsheld equal,wel- for makingthese socialdecisionsshouldnot be presented
fare has improved.Expendituresare an awkwardcombi- solelyin a formreflectingthe currentgeneration'svalues,
nation of the cost of supplyinggoods and servicesand as expressedindividuallyby the rate of interest generated
the producers'surplus. And other things are rarely held in capitalmarkets.
equal. GNP increaseswhen subsistencefarmersjoin the Althoughthe issue of sustainabledevelopmentis rela-
labor force and stop producing their own food, when tivelynew,the philosophicaldivisionbetweenthinkingof
womenjoin the labor force and hire domestichelp and socialgoalsas the sum of the goalsof a society'sindivid-
childcare, when the stock of housing and factories is ualsand thinkingof societyas havingits owngoals above
destroyedby war and then replaced,and when the envi- and beyond those of its individualshas deep historical
ronmentdeterioratesand the governmentinitiatescorrec- roots. Economictheory is based on the formerpremise,
tive actions. but all societiesoperate on the second premiseto some
The SNA has these internal inconsistenciesbecauseof extent, mostto a considerableextent. In the publicpolicy
the difficultiesof buildingaccounts that are consistent arena, economistsare repeatedlyconfrontedby the con-
56 RichardB. Norgaard
EnvironmentalandNonmarketAccounting
in Developing
Countries
Uenry M. Peskin
National accountingsystems, in one form cr another, nomicactivity.The OECD surveydid not ask the respon-
exist in nearly every nation, regardless of the nation's dents whythey engaged in nonmarketaccounting.How-
stage of development.The United Nations encourages ever,since only a dozen of the 150 nations classifiedas
standardizationboth in accountingproceduresand in the developingdisplaythe nonmarketinformationseparately,
layoutof final tables-presumably to make it easier to it can be inferredthat more importanceis being placed
compare economic performance across nations. One on providingbetter measuresof economicperformance
could argue, however,that there is a special need to than on buildingbetter data systems(Blades 1975, p.
depart fromthe standardin developingnations. In partic- 406).The concernthat neglectingsubsistenceeconomic
ular,they maybenefitmore than developednations from activitycauses total economicactivityto be underesti-
modificationsthat better accountfor the coniributionof mated seems well justified.Of the forty-eightsurveyed
environmentaland other nonmarketassets. countriesthat were able to determinethe share of gross
An importantcharacteristicof these nations,and a key domesticproduct (GDP)accountedfor by subsistenceac-
indicator of their stage of development, is the large tivities,nineteenestimatedthat these activitiesaccounted
amount of economicactivitythat occurs outside organ- for more than 20 percent of total GDP. Moreover,this
ized markets. This activityhas not been ignored by na- percentage must surely be an underestimatesince, as
tional accountantsin these countries. Acccrdingto a Bladespoints out, many nonmarketproductionactivities
surveyconductedby the OECDDevelopmentCentre,most are not accountedfor at all. For example,most countries
of the sixty-fiverespondingnations accountl:o some de- surveyeddid not make an estimate for food processing,
gree for nonmarket,subsistenceactivities(Blades1975). handicraft,construction,water portage, and transporta-
There is no evidence,however,that any of these nations tion activitiesin the householdsector.
accountfor the servicesof the environment,the principal The OECDsurveydoes not indicatewhetherany of the
nonmarketasset that is the concern of ministriesof the respondents attempted to account for any nonsubsist-
environment. ence, nonmarket activities-in particular,the consump-
This chapter points out howa system of national ac- tion ofthe servicesof the environment.To myknowledge,
counts, possiblydevelopedalong the lines of the frame- no nation, developedor developing,has adoptedformal
work described in the next chapter, could better serve accountingfor the servicesof the environment,although
the needs of developingnations. Certainimplementation in recent yearsthe U.N.EnvironmentProgramme(UNEP)
problemsspecificto these nations are discussedand a has beenattemptingto determinewhatrecommendations
courseof actionsuggested. should be made to member nations along these lines.
UNEP and the World Bank are concerned, with some
Uses of Expanded Accounts justification,that neglectof environmentaldeterioration,
in Developing Countries and especiallydeterioration of the stock of natural re-
sources,willgive a false picture of economicgrowthas
In developingas wellas developedcountries,there are measuredconventionallyby national account aggregates
two principaluses of the accounts:to generate measures such as the net national product (NNP).'Thus, although
of economicperformanceand to organizedata on eco- the neglect of many subsistence nonmarket activities
59
60 Henry M Peskin
causes conventionalnational accountingprocedures to will not measure true opportunitycosts, and observed
generatedeficientindicatorsof economicperformancein output prices willnot measure true socialbenefits.Given
developingnations, perhaps a more importantreason is thiswell-known resultfromeconomictheory,development
their neglectof the deteriorationof the stock of natural economistshaveattempted to construct shadow cost or
resources and environmentalcapital. This neglect has price measures,whicheither supplementor replace the
receivedmuch recent attention becauseof the failureof conventionalmonetarymeasures. 3 It seems, however,
that
developmentpoliciesto generatesustainedgrowth. much more attention has been directed towardthe bene-
Historically, overlookingdeclinesin the stock of natural fit side than the cost side, even though theory suggests
resourcesin the conventionalaccountswasthoughtto be that observedcosts and pricesfail to adequatelymeasure
of littlesignificance.This viewwas basedon the fact that valuesfor reasonsthat are just as applicableto costs as
discoveriesof new natural resourceswere also neglected, they are to benefits. Based on the relative number of
as were other resource-increasingfactors such as re- books and articles devotedto each subject, one would
charge and the natural growth of renewableresources. haveto concludethat plannersare far more satisftedwith
Therefore,as long as discoveries,recharge, and growth their measuresof cost than with their measuresof bene-
equaledor exceededdepletions,this mutual neglectwas fits.
thought not to have any adverse social consequences Clearly,however,whenthere is a large degree of non-
(Landefeldand Hines 1982).2The current perception, market activityin an economy,monetarymeasures can
however,is that discoveries,recharge,and naturalgrowth be just as deceivingfor estimatesof true opportunitycosts
are not keepingup with depletion.Moreover,for stocks as they are for estimates of social values or benefits.
of such environmentalcapital as clean water, clear air, Moreover,rectifyingthe problem can be just as difficult.
and natural forests,the potentialfor new discoveriesand There is, in fact, no easy quickfix.Althoughthe literature
rapid increasesin growthappear slimindeed. Therefore, impliesthat correct cost estimatescan be madeby adjust-
as long as maintainingthe stock of these resources is ing the observedvalues,determiningthe appropriatead-
consideredessential to sustainedgrowth in developing justment factors is no easy matter (Little and Mirrlees
nations(an assumptionexaminedin the next section),the 1969). For many years,the planning professionhas rec-
neglectof their deteriorationin the accountsis especially ognizedthat the analysisof complexeconomicinterde-
serious. pendenciesrequiressome typeof interindustryor activity
With respect to the second traditionaluse of national analysis.One of the most importantcontributionsof con-
accounts-a frameworkfor the consistent assemblysf ventionalnationaleconomicaccountinghas been its abil-
economicdata-conventional accounting practice that ity to generate the data sets necessaryto support such
neglectsnonmarketactivityis alsodeficientfor the needs analyses.An expandedaccountingsystem that includes
of developingnations. Althoughthis deficiencyhas not nonmarket,environmentalactivitiescan serve this tradi-
receivedmuch attention in the literature, it should be tional role for those developingeconomiesfor whichthe
clear that if nonmarketactivityis widespreadin an econ- nonmarketedeconomicactivitiesare as importantas the
omy and if such activityis ignored in national data sys- marketedones.
tems, then these systemswill not be able to support
accurateanalysesof economicbehavior. Implementation Problems
Althoughcynicsmayfeel that such analyticaldeficieri-
cies affectthe communityof analystsfar more than the Severalproblems,uniquein the developingnations,can
communityof developingnations,the lackof a framework arise if the attempt is made to implementan expanded,
for assemblingnonmarketdata can havemore than mere nonmarketaccountingframework.Two of these are dis-
academicconsequences.Developmentplannershave be- cussedin this section.These problemsare not critical in
comeincreasinglyawarethat a lack of data on nonmarket the sense that their solution is a necessaryprecondition
activities,especiallythose that lead to negativeexternali- for implementation.In particular,the valuationdifficulties
ties such as pollution, mayproduce a distorted viewof discussedbelowmaynot be fullysolvable.However,the
the likelybenefits of actual and proposed development failureto find acceptablevaluationsfor nonmarketgoods
projects.I do not believethat they are as equallyaware and serviceswill not diminishthe usefulnessof the ac-
of the contributionthat a completeaccountingof market countingstructure as a data systemto support economic
and nonmarketactivitiescan maketo the analysisof the planning,particularlyin its abilityto shed light on the
opportunitycosts of actual and proposed development true opportunitycosts of alternativedevelopmentstrate-
projects.Indeed,for estimatingtrue opportunitycostsas gies.
wellas benefits,it is the accountingframework,and noi:
merelythe assemblyof nonmarketdata, that can make a Accounting for EnvironmentalAsset Depreciation
significantanalyticalcontribution.
This assertionderivesfromthe fact that, in the absence The followingchapter emphasizesthe important dis-
of perfectlycompetitivemarkets,observedmonetarycosts tinctionbetweenphysicaldeteriorationand economicde-
EnvironmentalandNonmarketAccountingin DevelopingCountries 61
activity in many rural societies, crucially depends on the havethe desiredcharacteristics,even though all the inputs in
location and availabilityof natural forests and, of course, such a functionare, by definition,substitutes.
on competing market and nonmarket sources of energy. 6. Followingthe analysisof Marglin(1984),if an economic
Analysisof such projects as the development of plantation systemwere based on neo-Marxistprinciples,consumersover-
forests would be greaty facilitated if the accounting sys- eigntywouldbe limited,in theory,to the short-rundetermina-
tion of output mix. In contrast,if an economywere structured
tern reflected these interdependencies. accordingto neoclassicalprinciples,consumersovereignty would
Realistically, limitations of available staff and money have a much larger role to play.Of particularimportancefor
may preclude development of an accounting system that the justificationof cost- benefit techniquesis the role of con-
fully covers all nonmarket assets. It may be necessary to sumersovereigntyin determiningrelativeprices.
confine the effort to environmental assets. Indeed, it may
be necessary at first to confine the effort to one or two References
particular assets, such as water and natural forests. Such
initial, modest steps should be encouraged. Baumol,WilliamJ. 1969. "On the DiscountRate for Public
Projects."In U.S.Congress,TheAnalysis and Evaluationof
PublicExpenditures.The PPB System. Papers submittedto
Notes the Subcommitteeon Economyin Governmentof Joint Eco-
nomicCommittee,vol. 1. 91st Congress,1st session.
1. In the accountingschemeoutlinedin the followingchap- Blades,DerekW. 1975. "SubsistenceActivitiesin the National
ter, depreciationof natural resourceswill not affectthe gross Accountsof DevelopingCountrieswithSpecialReferenceto
productaggregates,such as GNP. LatinAmerica."Reviewof Incomeand Wealth21(4,Decem-
2. Of course, such a viewneglectsthe importantdistinction ber):391-410.
made in the followingchapter between changes in physical Landefeld,J. S., and J. M. Hines.1982. "ValuingNonrenewable
stocks and changes in the value of those stocks. A country NaturalResources:The MiningIndustries,"In U.S. Depart-
could be sufferinga real loss in wealtheven if physicalstocks ment of Commerce,MeasuringNonmarketEconomicActiv-
of certainnaturalresourcesincreased,if the resources:n ques- ity. Bureauof EconomicAnalysisWorkingPaper. Washing-
tion provedto have decliningvalue. The shift from tropical ton, D.C.
hardwoodforests to softwood plantationsin Indonesiamay Lind, Robert C., KennethJ. Arrow,Gordon R. Corey,Partha
providean example. Dasgupta,AmartyaK. Sen, ThomasStauffer,Joseph E. Stig-
3. Althoughthe terms "shadowcost" and "shadowprice" are litz, 3. A. Stockfish,and Robert Wilson. 1982. Discounting
widelyused, they are often defineddifferentlyby differentau- for Timeand Risk in EnergyPolicy. Washington,D.C.:Re-
thors. Here the terms are used rather looselyto refer to the sourcesfor the Future.
unit values, necessarilyimputed, of nonmarketedgoods and Little,1.M. D., and James A. Mirrlees.1969.Manualof Indus-
services.Dependingon the imputationprocedures,the term trialProjectAnalysisin DevelopingCountries.Vol.11,Social
could be equivalentto severalshadowconcepts.Examplesare Cost-BenefitAnalysis.Paris: OECDDevelopmentCentre.
the shadowpricesgeneratedby a linearprogrammingproblem Marglin,Stephen A. 1984. Growth,Distribution,and Prices.
or the shadowwages,as definedby Little and Mirrlees(1969), Cambridge,Mass.:HarvardUniversityPress.
used to measurenet consumptionchangesassociatedwiththe
movementof labor from agricultureto industryas a result of Page, Talbot. 1977. Conservationand EconomicEfficiency.
developmentprojects. Baltimore, Md.: Johns Hopkins UniversityPress for Re-
4. The followingchapter shows,however,that the two con- sourcesfor the Future.
cepts can be related.Valuedepreciationcan be definedto equal Peskin,HenryM. 1987. "NationalAccountingand the Environ-
physicaldeteriorationminus capital gain or plus capital loss. ment." Resources for the Future, Washington,D.C. Proc-
Nevertheless, the two conceptsare quitedistinct. essed.
5. In effect,the resultpostulatesa verysimpleeconornywide Repetto, Robert, MichaelWells,Christine Beer, and Fabrizio
productionfunction,whichis not separablewithrespectto any Rossini.1987. "NaturalResourceAccountingfor Indonesia."
of its inputs.A simpleCobb-Douglas productionfunctionwould WorldResourcesInstitute,Washington,D.C.Processed.
10
AccountsFramework
A ProposedEntronmental
Henry M. Peskin
The objectiveof expandingthe nationalincomeand prod- the economy,whether or not these materialsare valued
uct accountsto encompassthe environmentrequiresthe with a positivemarketprice. Usingtechniquesof interin-
developmentof a theory linkingenvironmentaldata with dustry or input-outputanalysis,these material balance
the economicinformationalready covered by conven- approachesare easilylinked to the economicdata drawn
tional national accounts. Such a theory is presented in fromnationalaccountingsystems.
this chapter. Both an advantageand disadvantageof this approach
The cost of the proposed expansionis minimizedby is its apparent neutrality: only materials are being ac-
adheringas much as possibleto the accountingstructure countedfor;there is no indicationwhetherthese materi-
of existingnational income and product accounts,such als are good or bad. This is in contrastto other environ-
as the U.N. Systemof NationalAccounts(SNA). Indeed, mentalaccountingschemesthat attempt to measure or
the suggestedchanges are introducedas separableaddi- otherwiseaccountfor the negativeeffectof pollutionand
tions to the existingaccounts. In this way,the modified human activitieson the environment.These approaches
accountspreserve all existinginformation,and the sug- are more difficultto implement,since a metric must be
gested changes can be ignored by users of the conven- devisedto valuethe damagedone by pollutionand envi-
tional accounts who do not require the additionalenvi- ronmental degradation. Implementinga scheme based
ronmentalinformation.Because of the close linkage to only on the measurementof physicalflows is far easier.
conventionalaccounting structure, this discussionpro- However,even though a material balance accounting
videsan overviewof the conventionalincomeand product scheme may be useful to organize and displaycertain
accounts,presents a modifiedaccountingstructure, and environmentalinformation,by itselfit is not sufficientto
emphasizeshowcloselythe proposedmodiFications fit the augmentthe coverageof the accounts.
existingnationalaccountingconcepts. The problem is that the elementsincludedin the ac-
counting schemeshould reflect economicwelfare.If, at
Theory of Environmental Asset Services the outset, an accountingscheme is set up that, as a
matter of principle, precludes placing a value on the
The firstissuethat ariseswhenone sets out to account elementsbeing measured,then such a schemeby defini-
for the environmentis to decidewhat aspect of the envi- tion saysnothing about economicwelfare.Materialsac-
ronmentwillbe measuredor accountedfor. One possibil- counting, with its neutral valuationis similarlyneutral
ity, reflecting the popular concern with air and water with respect to economicwelfare.Of course, inferences
pollution,is to accountfor the generationamddisposition can be drawn about economicwelfarefrom material ac-
of pollutingmaterials.Thus, followingthe lead of Ayres countsjust as from indexesof production.But to do so
and Kneese(1969)and Leontief(1970),a systemcan be requires the aggregationof dissimilarentities measured
devisedto trace all physicalflowsof materialsthroughout in differentunits (for example,tons of cement, barrelsof
oil, and gallonsof water).The material accounts,them-
selves, offer no guidance on how to do this aggregation.
Note: Someofthe material in thischapter,including
a graph- For its full implementation,
the accountingschemeout-
icalanalysis,is givenin Peskin (1989). lined below requires the measurement of all entries in
65
66 HenryM.Peskin
valueterms to allowfor aggregationand the direct com- counting frameworkassumes that these decisions are
parison of environmentalwith nonenvironmentalentries. madewisely.Morespecifically, the chosen amountof pol-
Oftenit is necessaryto measuresuch physicalinformation lutiongeneratedis assumedto be that whichmaximizes
as the quantity of air and water pollutants emitted by profitsforpollutingproducersor whichmaximizesutility
industrialcategory.Effortsto build materialbalance ac- for pollutingconsumers.
countsand effortsto build the expandedaccountscan be Generally,the less pollution is generated or (what
very complementaryactivities.The objectivesof the two amounts to the same thing in this simpleexample)the
exercisesare, in principle,however,verydifferent. less use is made of the disposalservicesof the environ-
Rather than materialflows,this expandedschemeat- ment,the more costlyit is for the producer.Therefore,it
tempts to cover flows of servicesgeneratedby environ- is assumedthat there are positivebenefitsto the polluter
mental capital.It is based on two concepts:all income associatedwithhigherpollutionlevels,which,however,at
originatesfrom capital,and the physicalenvironmentis a somepoint begin to becomeless positive.Indeed,ifthese
form of capital fundamentallysimilarto the other forms levelsget too high, the pollutionmaybeginto impedethe
of tangibleand human capitalthat generate the income productionprocess(say,by affectingthe workers'health),
flowsalreadyaccountedfor in the conventionalaccounts. and thus the benefitsof pollutingmayevendecline.(Since
The first concept,whichexpressesthe fundamentalrela- the producer is assumedto be rational, however,such a
tion betweenincomeand capital,has been wellaccepted situationwouldnot existfor very long.)
in modemeconomicthought ever since it was originally Up to now,the focushas been on the benefitsof using
stated (Fisher1906).The secondconcept,whilehardlyin environmentalassets and on the associatedpollutionby
the same centralpositionin economicthought,wouldnot the polluter.The other side of the coinis nowconsidered,
be found to be objectionableby most economists.The namely,the "disbenefits"or damagesthat maybe associ-
environment"is a form of social capital which society ated with the use of environmentalassets.There are two
must somehowmanage if it is to maximizeits welfare" sorts of disbenefits.One is the familiardirectdamagethat
(Johnson1975, p. 321). Why this type of capitalneeds pollutionby one party can inflict on another. Air pollu-
social managementwhileother types of capital,such as tion's effecton a person's health is a clear exampleof
factoriesand machines,can rely on private management this sort of direct effect.By measuringthese direct dis-
is central to the theory of environmentalmanagement. benefitsas negativebenefits,one can imaginea relation
This theoryunderliesboth the proposedaccountsframe- betweenpollutionand disbenefitsthat, in general, indi-
workand the proposedmethodsof valuation.' catesvirtuallyno disbenefitat verylow levelsof pollution,
Although,as arguedabove,materialflowaccountingby a rapid increasein disbenefitat moderatelevelsof pollu-
itselfdoesnot providesufficientinformationto add to the tion, and a satiation of disbenefitat very high levels of
accountingof the elementscomprisingeconomicwelfare, pollution.Althoughthis pattern is realisticfor many pol-
the material flow and the proposed asset service flow lutantsthat cause adversedirect healtheffects,other pat-
approachare highlycomplementary.This is becausethe terns are possible.This pattern, however,along with the
productionof anymaterial,whetherit is a product to be assumedform of the relation betweenpollutionand ben-
sold or a wastematerialto be disposedof, can be linked efits,illustratesthe frequentsituationwherethe net social
to the servicesprovidedby some specificasset. Just as benefitsof pollution(the sum of the benefitsand disbene-
the productionof goods sold in the marketplacereflects fits)reachesa maximumat some positivepollutionlevel,
the capitalservicesof the plant and machinesusecdin the (wherethe marginalbenefitsand disbenefitsof pollution
manufactureof the goods,likewisethe productionof waste are equal)but wherepollutionis at a lowerlevelthan the
products,such as smokeand spent processand cooling polluter finds optimal. Assuminga known relation be-
water,reflectsa demandfor the capitalservicesprovided tweenenvironmental assetuse andpollution,optimalunits
by the environment-servicesof waste disposal,cooling, of environmentalservicerather than pollutioncould also
and the provisionof importantinputs, such as oxygenfor be determined.
burningor nutrientsfor crops. The secondtypeof disbenefitoccurswhenthe pollution
To understandthe relationbetweenthe demandfor the or environmentalasset use denies someone else use of
servicesof environmentalassets and the generation of the environmentalasset. For example,using a lake for
pollutants,however,an importantprinciplemust be es- waste disposalmaydeny the use of the lake to someone
tablished:the polluteralwayshas some choiceabout how elsefor gettingpotablewater or fishing.This second type
much pollutantwillbe generated.Thus,whilesome pol- of disbenefitis referred to as an indirect disbenefitto
lutionmaybe an inevitableconsequenceof mostproduc- distinguishit fromthe direct disbenefitsdiscussedabove. 3
tion processes,the amount generated for each unit of The key feature of this type of disbenefitis that it will
product can vary substantially,dependingon a multitude exist only if there is a finite amountof availableenviron-
of decisionsaffectingproductionlevels,productiontech- mentalasset service.
nique, and product mix.2 The model underlyingthis ac- For the proposed accountingframework,three key el-
A Proposed Environmental Accounts Framework 67
ementsare relevant.First, and most important,both pos- marginalunit sold.Allother so-calledinfra-marginal units
itiveand negativebenefitsare associatedwithany amount are valued at this same price (assumingthat the seller
of pollutingactivity.Thus a singleaccountingentrywill, cannot practice price discrimination).To measure the
in general, not be adequate to capture the effects of disbenefitsassociatedwith the use of environmentalas-
environmentalasset use. Second,with a finiteavailability sets, marginal valuations should be used.4 One important
of environmentalasset services,the identificationof one advantageof marginalvaluations(besidesconsistency)is
party (for example,industry)as the polluterand another that they provide a way to estimate whether observed
party (for example,households)as the injured party is environmentalassetuse is greater or less than the optimal
not alwaysappropriate.The accounting system should use, whichmaximizesnet benefits.At the optimal level,
recognizethat any actor in the economymaybe using the marginalbenefitand disbenefitvaluationsare exactly
environmentalasset servicesto the detrimentof another equal;at levelsgreater than that, the marginalvaluation
actor. A third element concerns the effect of the total of disbenefitexceeds the marginalvaluationof benefit;
availabilityof environmentalasset services.If the availa- and, at levelsless than that, the marginalvaluationof
bility of such services is very great in relation to the benefitexceedsthe marginalvaluationof disbenefit.These
demandsplaced on the environment,and dLepending on latter situationscan be interpreted as conditionsfor too
the methodchosento placevalueson these demands(see much and too little pollution,respectively. Althoughmar-
below),it may be appropriateto ignore certain environ- ginalvaluationsallowfor this interpretation,total valua-
mental asset uses in the accountingsystern.Of course tions are usuallyeasier to estimate.
treatingall environmentalservicesas free goods and not Up to now, cost and valuationprinciples have been
assigningany valueto them has in part contributedto used for the situationwhere a polluter creates a direct
the current environmentalproblems. The point being disbenefit.For indirectdisbenefits,in additionto the total
madehere, however,is that a judgmentmust be madeon benefit to party 1 (formerlythe polluter),the fact that
a case-by-case basis on whetherassigninga zero valuefor party 2 (formerlythe party sufferingdirectpollutiondam-
accountingpurposesis justified. age)enjoysa benefitfromthe remainingunits of environ-
mentalassets must be accountedfor. Similarly,the indi-
Valuation Concepts rect damage party 1 causes party 2 needs to be
considered.To this value must be added the indirect
For valuationmethods,a distinctionshould be made damageparty 2 causesparty 1 by denyingparty 1 various
betweenthe cost of pollutioncontrolalreadyincurredby unitsof asset service.Againat the optimallevel,marginal
pollutersand the potential cost to pollutersequal to the valuationsof benefitsand disbenefitsare equal. As op-
forgonebenefitif theyweredenied accesstcithe environ- posedto the analysisof directpollutiondamage,however,
ment (whichequals the value to the polluitersof being the differencebetween benefit and disbenefit estimates
allowedto pollute).The former cost is, in principle,al- cannot be interpretedas conditionsfor too much or too
ready accounted for in the conventionaleconomicac- little pollutionor asset use. It can be said only that one
counts (althoughit may not be clearlyidentifiedas a party'suse at the expense of the other party's use is too
pollutioncontrol cost). The latter cost is not currently excessiveto be sociallyoptimal.
accounted for. Yet its estimationis important for the
expanded accountingsystem, since it providesan esti- Investment and Depreciation
mate of the value to polluters of disposalservicespro-
videdby the environment.This cost, that is, the prospec- Conventionaleconomicaccounting distinguishesbe-
tive cost to the polluter of being denied any use of the tween the purchase of goods for consumptionand for
environmentalasset, measures the value of a nonmar- investment.A further distinctionis made between gross
keted factor input (the environmentalasset service)just and net investment,the latter being equalto gross invest-
as, say, the wage bill measuresthe value of a marketed ment less capitaldepreciation.In expandingthe conven-
factor input (labor). tional accounts to include environmentalasset services,
As environmentalassets are used and pollutionpro- these distinctionsshould be preserved. In particular,in-
duced, disbenefits are also produced; this is also ne- vestmentsthat increase the environmentalasset stock
glectedin conventionalaccountingsystems.Most availa- should be accountedfor if this is not alreadydone in the
ble measuresof these disbenefitsrely on total valuations: conventionalaccounts. Similarly,there will be an entry
the total valuesocietywould be willingto pay to avoid measuringany depreciationin environmentalassets. The
such disbenefits.But these total values are not entirely definitionsof investmentand depreciationmay not ex-
consistentwith the valuationconcept used for marketed actly be the same as those used in conventionalaccount-
goods in the conventionalnational accounis. The usual ing,however,althoughthe definitionsused are consistent
valuationfor marketed goods is a price-times-quantity with economictheory.
valuation,the price in questionbeingthat for the last or Specifically,followingAlfredMarshall(1920), income
68 HenryM. Peskin
(regardlessof whether it originates from marketed or equals consumptionplus net investmentand net invest-
nonmarketedcapital)is definedas the sumof currentand ment equalsgross investmentless depreciation,however,
potentialfuture additionsto well-being.The formationof net incomethus equalsgross incomeless depreciation.It
capitalthat allowsfor both additionsto future income followsfrom equation3 that net incomeequalsiVo.Thus
and the maintenanceof current income is gross invest- equation3 can be rewrittenas:
ment. If current additionsto well-beingare identifiedas
consumption,gross incomecan be definedas consump- (4) = Cl + I1 + D,
tion plus gross investment.Net income is simplycon- where C and II are consumptionand net investmentin
sumptionplus net investment,where net investmentis year 1. In other words,
gross investmentless that portion of capital investment
just necessaryto maintaincurrent levelsof consumption. Grossincome = net income + (value)depreciation
Althoughdepreciationis defined conventionallyas the = consumption+ net investment
differencebetweengross and net investment,one should + (value)depreciation
also distinguishbetween valuedepreciationand physical = consumption+ gross investment.
depreciation. This relation between income and depreciation was
One reason that depreciation exists is that the physical dvlpdwtotayrfrnet h hscldsrc
abiit
t geerte
ofcaita onumaleserics dclne developedwithout any referenceto the physicaldestruc-
ability*of
captal to generate consumae s decli
aeps tion of capital. It is true that as capital wears out physi-
over time. This loss in physicalability-physical epreci- cally,future Q's may fall, which explains why VI may
ation-may also lead to a loss in the valueof the capital exceed V'. However,future Q's mayfallfor other reasons,
stock-value depreciation;that is, valuedepreciationmay such as a fallin the demandforthe capital'sservices.The
reflectphysicaldepreciation.However,valuedepreciation Q's may also decline because of an inabilityto employ
can alsoarise for other reasons.The valueof capitalcan
fall becauseof a changein tastes for consumptionItems thcailfuy.Ttisifapalomeensabra
declinein labor serviceswouldalsobring about a decline
producedby the capitalor simplybecauseof a changein in future Q's.
interestrates. Moreover,in contrast to physical depreciation,value
The relation betweenincome and the change in value depreciation,V. - VI, need not necessarilybe positive;
depreciation can be shown as follows. A society's capital that is V c
has value presumablybecause it generates a stream of . ouv in prince ecedion. Conven al
goods and services,that is, income.Let V0representthis tive and to refer to the case where V, exceeds Vnas a
valueat the beginningof the year and Ql, Q2, and so capitalgain. This chapter does not followthis practice
forth represent the servicesat the beginningof the next since it implicitlyassumes that the term "depreciation"
and subsequentyears.AlsoQ, is definedas grossincome can onlymeanphysicaldepreciation.Rather,valuedepre-
in year 1. ciationis decomposedinto two components:the portion
Vocan be relatedto the Q's as follows: of the differencebetween V0 and V,that is due to actual
Q __Q_ Q physicaldepreciationand the portionthat is due to other
(1) VO= (1 + *--+ (1+ +y causes.The latter,if positive,willbe termed "capitalgain"
and, if negative,will be termed "capital loss." Thus by
wherei is the rate of interest.Since V, the valueof Voat definition:
the end of year 1, is simply
(5) Valuedepreciation= physicaldepreciationminus
Q2(+ + + Qn+'Il capitalgain or plus capitalloss.5
(1+t) (1+02 (1+1')+*
Of course, the physicaldepreciationmust be valuedto
equation1 can also be written: makethis computationpossible.Howthe unitsof physical
Q, V1 Q,+ V1 loss should be valued-using the original price of the
(2) VO (1+0 + T1 (1+i capital,its currentprice,or some other price-is a matter
of somecontroversy.Since the choiceaffectsthe measure
fromwhichit followsthat of physicaldepreciation,it has importantimplicationsfor
(3) Qi = ivo + (VO VI). both corporateaccounting(whichis not of concernhere)
and for national accounting(whichis of concern).If the
The term (Vo- V,), representingthe loss in valueof focusis on valuedepreciation,however,the implications
the initialcapitalstock, can be identifiedas valuedepre- of choosing among alternative capital prices can be
ciationoccurringin year 1, or D,. As before, gross in- avoided by estimatingvalue depreciationby successive
come, Q, (using the Marshalldefinition),is defined as applicationof equation 1 one year apart rather than by
consumptionplus gross investment.Since net income applicationof equation5.
A ProposedEnvironmentalAccountsFramework 69
Sources of Environmental Asset Depreciation the number of individualsis n, each of the identicalindi-
vidualsis allottedzin of seashore.
Like any other capital asset, the depreciationof the The implicationsfor the asset's valuedepreciationde-
valueof an environmentalasset is due both to physical scribedin the secondexampleare more complicatedthan
depreciationand capitalloss (or gain).To illustratethese those illustratedin the first example.Even though the
two sourcesof valuedepreciation,two assets are consid- amountof externaldamageeach user inflictson the other
ered: one experiencesonly physicalreductionwhile the increasesas the numberof individualsincreases,the total
valueof the other depreciatessolelybecause each user utilityfor all individualsas a group increases.Algebrai-
perceivesa reductionin the qualityof servicesprovided. cally,at the time the numberof individualsn is moderate,
The formerasset mightbe a lake whoseonlyserviceis to the assumedutilityof each individual(for a Pareto opti-
provide drinking water. It is assumedthat as drinking mal distribution)is u = u(zln).This utilitydecreasesas n
wateris withdrawn,neithermanmadenor natural replen- increases.However,the total utilityfor all individualsis
ishmenttakes place, so that the availabilityof drinking nu(z/n);this utilityincreaseswith increasesin n, although
water is steadilyreduced.6 The second examplemightbe at a decreasingrate. In effect,previousseashoreusers are
a stretch of seashoreof a givenlength.It is assumedthat worse off as n increases, but, because there are new
the only serviceprovidedby this asset is recreationand, users, total utilitymayincreaseeventhough averageutil-
further,that as the demandfor this serviceincreases,the ity falls.Total utilitymayalsodecrease,however,depend-
qualityof serviceperceivedby eachdemanderdiminishes. ing on the relativesize of an individual'stotal and mar-
In the first example-the demand for the services of ginal utilitywith respect to n. The theoreticalchange in
the first asset, drinkingwater,overtime by two users-in total utilityas n increasesis u(zln) - u'(zln)Jn,and this
order to clearlydistinguishthe two sourcesof valuede- can be either positiveor negative.
preciation,each user's demandis assumedto be constant In sum, it is not self-evidentthat the valueof an asset
overtime. Also,to keepmatters verysimple,the demands that does not deterioratephysicallydeclinesas it becomes
are assumedto be identical,and the capitalgain compo- more heavilyused. A recreationalasset mayexperiencea
nent in equation 5 is neglected. Each demander is as- capital gain even though it becomes heavilycongested
sumed to have a maximumdemand of, say, X. When and even though each user becomes less satisfiedwith
capacityis reducedbelow2X, the remainingasset is as- the servicesprovided.Whetherthe valuedepreciationof
sumed to be equallyshared. Under the assumptionthat such an asset is positiveor negativedepends on a com-
the demandfunctionsare identical,such amevenalloca- parisonbetweenthe decliningutilityof each user and the
tion is Pareto optimal:no other allocationcan makeone increasingnumber of users. One importantbut perhaps
user better off withoutmakingthe other worseoff. disquietingimplicationis that if marginalvaluationsare
The implicationfor the lake's valueover time is quite used, a pristinelake has no valueuntil a point of conges-
simple. Since the availabilityof drinking water is more tion is reached, that is, the point wheredemand curves
than adequateforboth users, for a time there is no value start crossing.Actualphysicalcongestionis not required;
reductionand hence no valuedepreciation,eventhough a demandcan existwithoutactualuse if the demandis in
in real terms there is physicaldepreciation.However,the the form of a reservationfor future use. The existenceof
valueof this physicaldepreciationis initiallyzero. Yet,as such an optiondemand maysufficeto givevalueto the
soon as the lake's capacity is reduced t:) 2X drinking pristinelake.
water units, the valueof the lake beginsto decline,and Nevertheless, manywouldfeel that the pristinelake has
value depreciationincreases. That is, the value of the valueevenin the absenceof optiondemandor any other
physicaldepreciationbecomespositive. sourceof demand.Even if everyoneacceptedthis view,it
The second polar exampleis representedby the sea- wouldnot vitiatethe theoreticalstructurejust presented.
shore. It is assumedthat there is an increasingnumberof The keypoint is that the accountingsystemdiscussedin
identical individuals,each demanding the same fixed this chapteris intendedto coveronlyelementsthat affect
length of seashore.To showthe effectof this increasing economicwelfare.Consistentwith this objective,valua-
demandin a two-dimensional diagram,the individualsare tions are confinedonly to economicvaluations-not to
dividedinto two groups of equal size. Three basic situa- valuationsthat mayhavereligious,ethical,or philosophi-
tions arise: (1) when the number of individualsis small cal foundations.Unlikeother sourcesof value,the basis
enough that their maximumdemand is less than the for economicvaluationis the interactionof demandand
seashorecapacity,(2)when the number ef individualsis supply.
moderate so that their maximumdemands just exceed
seashorecapacity,and (3)whenthe numberof individuals Overviewof the National AccountingStructure
is so large that their summedmaximumdemandsgreatly
exceedseashorecapacity.For the latter two casesa Par- To analyzethe implicationsof this theory of environ-
eto optimal distributionis assumed:if capacityis z and mentalassets for the proposed modificationto the con-
70 HenryM. Peskin
into the conventionalaccountsand the principle;for eval- uct account is rather simple.Likewise,the modifiedac-
uating these services.Basically,the frameworkassumes count shownin Table 104 is very simple. It contains
that these servicescan be treated as unpaidfacl:orinputs those additionalentries that accountfor the government's
to either production or consumptionactivities.The ad- use of the environment,the resulting damage, and the
verseeffectsof pollutionor of the denialof environrnental necessarybalancingentry. However,it also differsfrom
servicesto others caused by the use of the servicesas the industrialaccountin that it displaysan entry account-
13
inputscan be treated as negativeoutput or damages. A ing for environmentaldepreciation.The implicitassump-
balancingterm is requiredto assure that the converntional tion is that all environmentalassets are "owned"by the
equalitybetweentotal inputsand outputs is maintained. government.
The followingset of accounts,modifiedto reflect these
ideas, is rather similar to the conventionalaccounting
structure outlinedin Tables 10-1 and 10-2.14Although Households
Table 10-2 showsthe consolidatedaccount as a combi-
nation of industrial and governmentalproduction ac- The conventionalnational accounts assume that very
counts, here the consolidatedaccount is a coimbination little productiontakes place in households(primarilyac-
of productionaccountsin four sectors: industry,govern- countedfor by nonprofitinstitutionsand the servicesof
ment,household,and the environment(nature).To make domestics)(Table 10-5). The focus of the conventional
them more understandableto those familiarwith the con- accounts on activitiesthat reflect market transactions
ventionalaccounts,additionalentries are shown,which, precludesconsiderationof the outputs relatedto keeping
to simplifythe exposition,were neglectedin the accounts up a house,preparing meals,raisingchildren,and do-it-
in Tables 10-1 and 10-2. There are no new entries for 16 Householdsare far more importantin
yourselfprojects.
current pollutioncontrol outlays,since these are already the modifiedaccounts.Especiallyin developingcountries,
includedin the conventionalaccountingof costs.Asnoted householdsaccount for a substantialportion of environ-
above, however,it probablywould be usefulto identify mental damageto water becauseof direct dischargesof
these costsseparately,as has been done by the Bureauof sanitarywastes."7
EconomicAnalysis(U.S.Departmentof Commerce)since Householdsare uniqueamongthe producingsectors in
1972. that most of the environmentaldamagecausedby house-
holds(as a result of their consumptionof environmental
Industrial Sector services)are inflictedwithin the householdsector itself.
In contrast, industries and governmentstend to inflict
The typical industrial account shown in Table 10-3 damageoutsidetheir ownsectors.
containsthree new entries that would ordinarilybe ab-
sent from a conventionalaccountof the industry'sinputs
and outputs.In addition,capitalconsumptionallowances Nature
includenatural resource and environmentaldepreciation
as wellas ordinarydepreciation.Item10 is an accounting The modifiedaccountingsystemdiffersmost markedly
of the environmentalservices,and item 15 is an account- fromthe conventionalsystemin its inclusionof nature as
ing of damages-not just to consumers,but to any agents a separate sector (Table 10-6). Nature is shown as the
in the economythat are damaged,includingother busi- primarysourceof all environmentalasset servicesand as
nesses. Becausethey are "free," environmentalservices the final consumer of environmentaldamages. Nature
are like a subsidy to the industry.Therefore,they are also must be includedbecause it generates a substantial
entered as a negativeinput. Item 11 is the arithmetic portion of environmentaldamage.For example,a large
differencebetween items 15 and 10. It ensuresthat the portionof dissolvedsolidsin water havea natural origin,
modifiedaccounts balance. Since it is defined as the and, on average,naturallygeneratedparticulatesand ni-
differencebetweenthe servicebenefitof the environment trogen oxides(other than NO2) greatly exceed the man-
and the disbenefitof environmentaldamage,it has been madeproductionof these air pollutants.
named net environmentalbenefit." 5 The modifiedindus- Althoughsome may havea philosophicalobjectionto
trial account input and output totals equal the conven- the idea of nature as a polluter,the concept is required
tional input and output totals less the absolute valueof for practical reasons. Availableestimates of damages
environmentaldamage. caused by air and water pollutants cannot distinguish
between damages from offensiveresiduals that have a
Government human origin and those with a natural origin. Rather
than attribute all the damageto nonnaturalcauses, it is
As is suggestedby the abovediscussionof tne standard more accurate to prorate the damagesbetween the two
national accounts, the conventionalgovernmentalprod- sources.
74 HenryM. Peskin
Consolidated Income and Product Account may not be interested in the modifications to simply ig-
nore them. Thus, for example, while the modified ac-
The modified accounts shown above can be consoli- counts show environmental depreciation as a negative
dated into a modified income and product account, as in adjustment (item 9) to NNP, it is added back (item 11) to
Table 10-7. The procedure is the same as that used to leave the conventional measure of GNPunchanged. Ar-
consolidate the accounts shown in Table 10-2. As before, ranging the entries in this way should alleviate the fears
all flows within sectors have been eliminated. That is, all of those who object to modifying the conventional ac-
items appearing on both sides of the consolidated ac- counts on the grounds that such modifications destroy
count are eliminated. Also as before, househo'ldsare not the integrity of the accounts.
included in the consolidation; nor is the nature account
(except for natural sources of environmental damage). The Modified Account Aggregates
Although nature is viewedas the source of environmental Inspection of the modified consolidated account indi-
services and the consumer of environmentaldamages, the cates that modified GNP equals conventional GNP less en-
proposed accounting framework does not vievwnature as vironmental damage. Actually this relation is an identity:
undertaking production activities. It is thus excluded from it is necessarily true because of the way the entries are
the gross production account. arranged in the accounting structure. Several other ar-
The new entries have been arranged to preserve the rangements are possible, however,each leading to its own
conventional account entries, which will enable those who formula relating the conventional GNP to a modified GNP.
To showthis, the followingnotation is first defined: the first three, since the relation between the environ-
ment and conventionalGNP has alreadybeen discussed.
VA = chargesagainstconventionalGNP or valueadded
GNP = conventionalGNP Option 1: GNP' = GNP - ED
GNPi= modified GNP, definition i (i = 1, 2, 3, or 4)
ES = environmentalservices It was demonstrated above that the conventionalac-
NEB = net environmentalbenefit count aggregatesdo not alwaysrespond to changes in
ED = environmentaldamage. environmentalqualityin a manner that wouldmakethese
aggregatesacceptableindicatorsof well-being.
GNP tended
Sincethe left- and right-handsides of the consolidated to increasewith environmentaldeterioration,and efforts
accountsmust balance,the followingidentityholds: to improvethe environmentare often reflectedby reduc-
(6) VA - ES + NEB = GNP - ED. tions in GNP, particularlyif these effortswereundertaken
Asno,this
identityimpliesthe followingdefinition byreallocatingbusinesscurrentaccountinputsor shifting
As noted,GNP investment.Clearly,the abovedefinitionof modifiedGNP
of modifiedGNP: seems to perform much better as an indicator of well-
(7) GNPI = GNP - ED. (Definition1) being. GNP' appears to move correctly with respect to
changesin ordinaryGNP and to changesin environmental
Accountingarrangementsare somewhatarbitrary,how- quality.Perhapsthis is whythis modificationto conven-
ever,and other arrangementsare possibleas long as the tional GNP was recommendedby Olson (1977).Yet, this
accountsbalance.For example,by addingES and ED to first definitioncoversonly part of the environmentalre-
both sides of equation6 and noting that NEB = ES - lation.The seconddefinitioncoversanotherpart.
ED, a newidentitycan be formed:
declinesdependingon whetherthe expenditureby busi- dualityand the fact that the benefitsof pollutionreduc-
ness is on capital or current account and on whether tion are rarely gained withoutcost: some portion of the
capital outays for pollutioncontrol divert capital from benefitsof environmentalservicesusuallyhaveto be for-
more productiveuses. Assumingfull employment,how- gone.
ever,GNP2 willalwaysdeclineas pollutionconbtolexpen- As noted from Table 10-7, in this frameworkenviron-
dituresincrease.Accordingto the theorybehindthe mod- mentaldepreciationmodifiesonly NNP, but not GNP. For
ifiedframework,pollutioncontrolexpenditures'meamthat this reason environmentaldepreciationwas neglectedin
marketed goods and services are being substitutedfor the foregoingdiscussionof modifiedGNPconcepts.Since
environmentalservices.Thus, since ES willdecline,GNP2 many prefer NNP to GNP as an aggregate measure of
will also decline. Some may feel that this result, along economicperformance,however,it is possibleto recast
with the potentialfor doublecounting,makesCNP2 a less all the previousdiscussionin terms of NNP. By simply
desirableindicator of well-beingthan GNP'. However,its subtractingcapital consumptionallowancesand environ-
focuson the benefitsof Esis a strongpoint in its favor. mentaldepreciation(items10 and 11 in Table10-7)from
both sidesof equations6 through 11, all the conclusions
Option 3: GNP3 = GNP + NEB = GNP + ES - ED can be restated for NNP.Thus, for example, NNPI = NNP
- ED, NNP2 = NNP + ES, and so forth. The above
This definitionof modifiedGNP appears to be a com- inequalitieshold as well.
promisebetweenGNP' and GNP2 and shares the strengths
and weaknessesof both measures.As an indicatorof well- Notes
being it appears to move in the correct direction: in-
creasesin ES and decreasesin ED implyincreasesin GNP3. 1. Environmental
management
theoryhasfoundits wayinto
Yet there are some circumstances under which GNP3 has severaltexts, but one ofthe best expositionsis the seminalbook
difficultyin movingin any direction. In the absenceof byKneeseandBower(1968).
technologicalchange,decreasesin environmentaldamage 2. Simpleinput-outputmodels,whichviewpollutionas a
by business, ED, must invariably be accompanied by de- by-productproduced in fixed proportion to salableproduct,
creasesin environmentalservicesto business,ES. Thus, neglectthis importantprinciple.The earliestexampleof such a
under policies of pollution control, NEB may remain es- modelis Leontief(1970).
3. Both directand indirectdisbenefitscan occursimultane-
sentially unchanged. For this reason, it may not be very os
effective as an indicator of well-being after all. If D and ously.
4. Marginalvaluationsequal totalvaluationsless consumer's
ES are valued using marginal valuations (as described surplus.
under "Valuation Concepts," above,) however, GNP3 can 5. That is, if physicaldepreciationis Dp and capital gain is
convey important information beyond that of the other G, the decompositionof value depreciationrequiresthat V, =
two measures of modified GNP. For considerations of V, - Dp + G or V/,- V1 = Dp - G.
whether any of the modified GNP concepts are good indi- 6. Of course, in practice the availabilityof drinking water
cators of social well-being,total valuations of environmen- may be reduced for other reasons, notablyby poisoningfrom
tal services and damages are of more interest that mar- waste products. To keep the analysis simple, however,it is
ginal valuations. However, marginal valuations provide a assumedthat the lake providesonlyone service-drinking wa-
piece of valuable policy information. As described above, ter-and not a wastedisposalservice.
if the marginal ifvluatins
th margnal
valuations OfEs an ED ae thesame7.
of ES and ED are the same For a more detailed discussion
seRglsadRgls(96 90 ofn accounting concepts,
eateto
(neglectingthe minus signs), the allocation of the services see Ruggles
Commerce and Ruggles(1956;1970)and U.S.Departmentof
(1954).
of environmental capital is optimal in the sense that any 8. This simple economydoes not includea foreignsector,
other allocation lowers social well-being.Thus, if marginal nor are there any interestpayments.If these were included,net
valuations are used (and if environmental depreciation is exports (exportsless imports)wouldalso appear on the right-
neglected), an optimum allocation occurs wherl ES = ED hand side of the consolidatedaccount and net interest on the
or, equivalently,when NEB equals zero or when GNP3 = left-handside.
GNP. If NEB were negative or GNP3 < GNP, well-being 9. One implicationof this householdproductionis that many
would improve if ED were decreased. Such a policy rec- consumergoods are really intermediatein nature and thus
ommendation to reduce environmentaldamage would not contributeonlyindirectlyto well-being.See Hirsch (1976)for a
be very controversial.However,the analysis also indicates gooddiscussionof this issue.
that ifNEBwerepositive,orGNP'
> GNP,theremay10. This statement assumesthat the economywill remain
that lif NEB were positlve, or GNP > GNP, there may be fullyemployedin spite of these shifts in output. If factors of
too little environmental damage for social optirnality.The productiondo not shift easily-as maybe the case in the real
concept of too little environmental damage is a natural world-GNP mayfall.
consequence of the fact that environmental asset services 11. The reductionin the right-handside of the consolidated
contribute to well-being just as does the reduction in accountin Table 10-2must be offsetby an equal reductionin
environmental damages. GNP3 explicitly recognizes this somecomponentson the left-handside. Sincethe total amount
78 HenryM.Peskin
An importantoutcomeof the 1972 U.N. Conferenceon less clear how "sustainability"can be definedoperation-
the HumanEnvironmentin Stockholmwas to affirmthat allyso that indicatorscan be developedthat signalsignif-
environmentalproblemsare causedby highlyaccelerated icant deviationsfrom the sustainable path of develop-
economicgrowthas well as by activitiesinduced by an ment.' It appears that politicians in most countries
actual lack of development.A broader viewof environ- continueto base their decisionson the assumptionthat
mental damage was also advanced,which included, be- overalleconomicand social welfarerises and falls with
sides the dischargeof toxic substances,the degradation the popularmacroindicatorsof gross domesticor national
and depletionof natural resources. An integrated and product, GDP or GNP. In fact, these indicatorsare usually
coordinatedapproach to developmentplanning, which taken to moveparallel with aggregateincome,which is
includedsafeguardingthe natural resources of the earth obtainedbymakingan allowancefor the wear and tear of
for the benefit of present and future generations,was capitalassets used to produce output and corresponding
proclaimedin the "principles"of the conferencereport income.As far as the producedcapital is concerned, an
(UnitedNations1973). elementof sustainabilityis thus introducedin the defini-
Eight years later the WorldConservationStrategyad- tion of nationalincome.This approachreflects the Hick-
vocated the "achievementof sustainable development sian view of income as a practical guide for prudent
throughthe conservationof livingresources"as its basic conducttowardconsumption,whichshould not exceed a
aim (IUCN1980).The InternationalDevelopmentStrategy certainlimitbeyondwhicha person or a populationwould
for the Third U.N.DevelopmentDecadealso referredto be impoverished(Hicks1946,p. 172).
the "need to ensure an economicdevelopmentprocess The concept of capital maintenancehas not been ex-
whichis environmentally sustainableover the long run" tended to natural and human capital assets in national
among its goals and objectives(United Nations 1981, accounting.As a result,in the case of natural assets,the
para. 41). Duringits 38th sessionthe U.N. GeneralAs- degradationand depletionof the naturalenvironmentand
semblycalled upon the World Commissionon Environ- its resourcescontribute to illusionaryincome flows that
ment andDevelopmentto proposelong-termenvironmen- cannot be maintainedin the long run. Moreover,expen-
tal strategiesforachievingsustainabledevelopmentbythe ditures by governmentor householdsfor "regrettable"
year 2000 (UnitedNations 1984b).Accordingly, sustaina- measuresto counteractdeterioratingenvironmentalcon-
ble developmentis the all-pervadingthemreof the Com- ditions actuallyincrease national product and income.
mission'sreport (WorldCommission1987). Measuresof economicwelfarewere therefore advanced
Althoughthere is generalagreementon the desirability that purported to correct the misclassificationof regret-
of sustainableeconomicgrowth and development,it is table expendituresas final and that madeallowancesfor
importantnonmarket activities,environmentaldegrada-
tion, and the depletionof natural resources.Best known
are perhaps the pioneeringeffortsby Nordhausand To-
Note: The authoris a staffmemberof the UnitedNations. bin (1972),made popular by Samuelson'stextbook as
Theviewsexpressedherearehisownandnotnecessarilythose "net economicwelfare" or NEW (Samuelson1980, p.
ofthe UnitedNations. 183).
79
80 Peter Bartelmus
At the requestof the U.N.Committeefor Development Europetook the initiativeto developa systemof environ-
Planning,the U.N.StatisticalOffice(UNSO) criticallyre- ment statisticsthat would complementthe already exist-
viewedthe concepts,methodologies,and empiricalappli- ing systemsof economicstatistics (the SNA) and social
cations of these measures.The reviewconcludedthat and demographic statistics (the System of Social and
considerableconceptualand measurementproblemsmake DemographicStatistics,SSDS) (United Nations 1975). It
estimatesof the valueof environmentaldamage "essen- soon becameapparent, however,that the currentstate of
tially exercisesfor multidisciplinary
research and experi- knowledgeabout the environmentand its statisticalmeas-
ments, not for routine collectionof statistics,"and that urement, as well as widelydifferingenvironmentalcon-
difficultiesof agreeingon the scope, concept,and meas- cerns and priorities, did not permit an internationally
urementof welfarewouldrender such approaches"inap- applicablestatisticalsystemto be established.Therefore,
propriate for officialand especiallyinternational use" under the guidanceof the U.N. Statistical Commission
(UnitedNations1977b,pp. 54 and 66). The environment and with the financialsupport of the U.N. Environment
statisticsprogramof the UNSO focused,therefore,on de- Programme(UNEP), the UNSO developeda flexibleFrame-
velopingphysical statistics and related indicators (see work for the Developmentof Environment Statistics
"EnvironmentStatistics,"below).A significantlimitation (FDES) (UnitedNations1984a).Since the FDES itselfdoes
of such data is that they lacka commonnum6raire,which not recommendstatisticaldefinitionsand classifications,
would permit aggregationacross broad sectors of the no direct linkagethrough commonconceptsand classifi-
environment.Despiteits limitations,GDP thus continues cationswas establishedwith the SNA or other statistical
to be the mainindicatorof economicsuccessor failure. systems.2
The joint UNEPIWorld Bank workshopsset out, there- The FDESis currentlybeing expandedinto a series of
fore,to reexaminethe feasibilityof physicaland monetary technicalreports on "Conceptsand Methodsof Environ-
accountingand concentratedon the fieldof environment ment Statistics,"whichwillproposedefinitionsand clas-
and natural resources. This field appeared to be better sificationsfor statisticalvariablesand indicators of high
researchedand easier to assessthan the wholegamut of priority.Becausethese statisticsincludeindicatorsof re-
welfareeffectsoriginallyaddressedby economicwelfare source depletion and environmentaldegradation,their
measures.A consensusemergedin the workshopsthat use for establishingresourceand environmentalaccounts
enoughprogresshad beenachievedto link environmental in physicalterms willbe addressedspecificallyin a report
accountingto the standard Systemof NationalAccounts on "Statisticsof the NaturalEnvironment."These meth-
(SNA)(UnitedNations 1968) and to include certain as- odologieswill be applied at the regional and national
pectsof environmentalaccountingin the ongoingrevision levelsin a GlobalProgramof EnvironmentStatistics(U.N.
of the SNA. This chapter examinesthe treatmentof envi- StatisticalCommission1987, p. 29).
ronmental issues in the SNA and reviewsthe main ap-
proachesto resource and environmentalaccountingfor Materials/EnergyBalances
possiblelinkageor integrationwith the SNA.
Closelinkageto the SNAhas been attempted in more
Environment Statistics and Physical Accounlting selectiveapproachesto accountingfor flowsof materials
and natural resources.The uNso developeddraft guide-
The close interactionsamongenvironment,population, lines for statistics on materialslenergybalances (MEB),
naturalresources,and developmentrequirean integrated whichwere seen as a moduleof a larger systemof envi-
approachto planningand policyformulation,which in ronment statistics (United Nations 1976). The primary
turn need to be supported by comparable social, eco- purposeof the MEB is to trace the extractionand trans-
nomic,and environmentaldata. On the one hand, envi- formationof materialsand energyfrom natural resources,
ronment statisticssystemsattempt to compileraw data through varioussuccessivestages of processing,to final
from a multitudeof sources and to present them in a use, and thence back to the environmentas waste or,
from
of surce
mulitudandto prsentthemin a alternatively,
to secondaryuse. Compatibilitywith the SNA
coordinatedmannerin statisticalcompendiasuch as year- iseacived b usindits ustandrdpatebolessuch asdo
books or bulletins. Further aggregationand more rigid is achievedby using its standard categories,such as do-
presentation of the stocks and flows of natural resources mestic output and consumption, imports, and exports,
in physicalterms are, on the other hand, the objectiveof and its classificationof economicactivity.Contraryto the
resourceaccountsand balances. conceptsof market transactionsand monetaryvaluation
used in national accounting,physical stocks and flows
and materials/energytransformationprocesses are pre-
Environment Statistics sented in such balances.
The U.N.StatisticalCommissionconsideredthe MEB to
At the internationallevel,the Conferencefor European be an interestinglong-termapproach,but too ambitious
Statisticians(CES 1973)of the EconomicCommissionfor forshort-termimplementationbecausecountriesstilllack
Environmental Accounting and the System of National Accounts 81
assets whosereturns are typicallyspread over many ac- services (counted as a subsidy or negative input) ancl
countingperiods.As describedabove,some of the more deliverenvironmental"bads" (as negativeoutputs)to na-
commercialchanges are recorded separatelyin reconcili- ture's productionaccount(Peskin1981).
ation accounts,but these accounts haverarelybeen pre- The model claimsto be fullyconsistentwith the prin-
pared and thus are largely neglected in policymaking. ciples of neoclassicaleconomicsin measuringthe envi-
Now,however,awarenessof the unsustainability of income ronmentalaspectsof socialwelfare.There are, however,
resulting from the consumptionof finite natural assets considerableproblemsin measuringand valuingnonmar
has created new interest in accountingfor selected re- ket contributions from and to nature and in double
sourcesin physicalaccountsand has also revitalizedat- counting the external economies and diseconomiesof
temptsto assignmonetaryvaluesto the stocks and flows these contributionsthat are already reflectedas produc-
of these accounts. tivitychangesin the productionaccounts.
In principle,such accounts can be developedin har-
monywithnationalaccountingconceptsby extendingthe Indicators of Sustainable Product and Expenditure
SNA's balancesheetsto coverfullynaturalresourcessuch
as water,forest,or wildlife,evenif they havenol:been the The environmentalaccounts described aboveproduce
objectof commercialtransactions.Contraryto the prac- aggregatesthat can be used to modifythe valueadded or
tice of reconciliationaccounts, the separate listing of the valueof gross productioncreated,and the amountof
additions(discoveries,net revisions,extensions,growth, expendituresallocatedfor consumptionand investment
or reproductions),reductions(extraction,deforestation, by those transactors of the economythat use or protect
or degradation),and revaluations
' in "national income ~~~~~~~~~~natural
resources and environmentalservices. Accord-
accounts for natural resources" has been proposed to ingly,the followingnew conceptsof gross and net domes-
record changes in the values of the stocks of natural tic product, incomeand expenditurehavebeen proposed
resourcesduring the accountingperiod (Repetto1986). .. .'
Net changesin the valueof the resourcepositioncan be
estimatedfrom these accountsfor the calculationof sus-
tainableincomeor product indicators.Other procedures SustainableNet Product and Expenditure
to estimatethe depletionfactor in the calculationof sus-
tainableincomeinclude applyingdepreciationprinciples Correctingnational incomefor changes in the net re-
to the stock of natural resourcesor calculatinguser cost source position,which is obtained from accountingfor
allowancesfor their intermediateconsumption(see "Indi- depletion and the increase in the stock of natural re-
cators of SustainableProductand Expenditure,"below). sources,has been proposed for calculatingindicators of
sustainableincome or product (see "Natural Resource
EnvironmentalServices Capital,"above).It has been argued,however,that geolog-
ical discoveriesof natural resources can be neglected,
The amount of environmentalexpendituresor costs since they do not reversethe process of depletion but
described above does not reflect the correct value of extend only the period over which depletion can con-
actualenvironmentaldamage.On the one hand, the value tinue. Consequently,if the depreciationconceptwere ex-
of damagemaybe higheror lowerthan the costof repair- tended to the consumptionof natural capitalby resource-
ing it. On the other hand, accountingfor environmental exploitingindustries,it wouldaccountsufficientlyfor sus-
expendituresneglectsthe fact that pollutionis connected tainability in a measure of sustainable product (Daly,
with both the benefits of using nature's disposal and Chapter2).
absorptionservicesand the "disbenefits"resultingfrom The valuationof naturalresourcestocks couldbe based
lossesof these and other servicesthat benefitconsumers on the principle of replacementcosts or willingnessto
directly.Contraryto defensiveexpenditures,these serv- pay. However,changesin the value of environmentalas-
ices are not priced by the market system and are thus sets can result from both physicaldepreciationand capi-
excludedfrom standard national accounts (see Peskin, tal loss or gain, as, for example,with increasinglyheavy
Chapter10). use of a naturalresource,such as the use of a waterbody
The introductionof a natural productionaccountinto for fishingand recreation.In theory,valuationof capital
the nationalaccountingsystemwas thereforesuggested. loss or gain should be based thereforeon the marginal
Such an account would record environmentalservices benefitsof uses (Peskin,Chapter10).
(for example,waste disposal,cooling, and provisionof The extensionof the depreciationprincipleto the con-
oxygenand nutrients)as output from,and environmental sumptionof natural capitalaffectsthe net valueadded of
damage(in particularpollutioneffects)as input into, the industriesthat exploitnatural resourcesand thus the NDP.
environment,withthe balancerepresentinga net environ- In addition,defensiveexpenditureshavebeen considered
mentalloss or benefit.Industry,government,and house- as intermediaterather than final consumption,and the
hold productionaccountsreceivenature'soutputas "free" furtherdeductionof such expendituresfrom net national
EnvironmentalAccountingand the System of NationalAccounts 85
product has been proposed.This procedurewouldyield the exploitationof natural resourcesas intermediatecon-
a new indicator,whichhas been termed "sustainableso- sumptionof differentproductionactivitiesand deducting
cialnet nationalproduct"(Daly,Chapter2). a correspondingamount from final demandas a change
Such sweepingtreatment, however,loses track of the in "environmentalassets." 6 For estimatingthe amountof
accountingidentity betweennational income(the sum of intermediateconsumptionto be deductedfrom the gross
valueadded createdin production)and nationalproduct output of resource-exploitingindustries,the calculation
(the value of final demand)because defensiveexpendi- of a so-calleduser cost allowancehas been advocated(El
tures contain elements of both intermediateand final Serafy,Chapter3). User costs calculationsavoidthe diffi-
consumptionand capitalformation.A new,imoresystem- culties of estimatingphysical or value depreciationby
atic approachto dealingwith(deducting)defensiveexpen- allocatinga certainamountof the receiptsfromextractive
ditureshas thereforebeenproposedin a draftSNA Frame- industriesto an actual (Ward1982)or hypotheticalfund,
work for EnvironmentalSatelliteAccounting(Bartelmus which, if invested,would "create a perpetual stream of
and van Tongeren1988).The idea is to reduce the pro- incomethat wouldprovidethe same levelof true income,
ductionboundaryof the SNA by coveringonlynonenviron- both during the life of the resource as well as after the
mental activitiesand thus excludingall production of resource has been exhausted" (El Serafy, Chapter 3).
environmentalgoods (filters,chemicals,or wastedisposal Discoveriesare simplydealt with by changingthe para-
plants)and services(protectingor restoringthe qualityof metersof the life expectancyof the resource,that is, the
the environment)that are used in intermediateand final resource-extractionratio.7 SGDE is derivedfrom SGDP by
demand.In this manner, valueadded and finaldemand deductingadditionallydefensiveexpendituresof environ-
are adjustedto obtain identicaltotal values.Further al- mental protection.An approach for deducting defensive
lowancefor the depreciationof natural resource assets expenditureswithoutviolatingaccountingidentities was
then obtainsa measurethat couldbe termed "sustainable described above(see "SustainableNet Product and Ex-
5
net national expenditure" (SNNE). penditure").
As an alternative,the joint UNEP/World Bank Expert
GroupMeetingin Paris (November1988) suggestedap-
plyinga widerconceptof depreciationto calculate"envi- ModifiedGrossor Net Product
ronmentallyadjustednet domesticproduct."This concept
would include both the depletion of the environmental The accountingfor environmentalservices and dam-
"stock" assets of natural resources and the degradation ages (or their difference,that is, the net environmental
in the qualityof "permanent"environmentad assets.The loss or benefit)has been describedas the result of intro-
depreciationof environmentalqualitycould be estimated ducinga natural production accountthat modifiesgross
as the differencebetween actual defensiveexpenditure output in the productionaccounts.This procedurewould
and the cost of restoring environmentalqlualityto the yielda "modifiedgross nationalproduct" (Peskin,Chap-
levelat the beginningof the accountingperiod (in other ter 10). Deductingenvironmentaland other economic
words,"potential"defensiveexpenditures).However,such depreciationfrom this aggregateproduces a "modified
a procedureneither accounts for the "inflation"of NDP net domesticproduct,"whichwouldaccountfor environ-
by defensiveexpendituresnor reflectsactualienvironmen- mentaldegradationas wellas resourcedepletion.Consid-
tal degradation or damage. Clearly, monr research is erableproblemsof measuringand valuingenvironmental
needed to clarify the relations between damage costs servicesand damageswillprobablymake the estimation
(expenditures)and actual damage as well as their impli- of these indicatorsthe object of research studies rather
cationsfor environmentalaccounting. than of routine compilationin environmentalaccounts.
The general rule in the SNA and M.60 is that changes * Nonreproducibleassets should be included in the
in nonreproducible assetsare recordedin the capital(flow) balancesheets whenthey are marketedand their use in
accountswhena transaction(a purchaseor sale)occurs human production activitiesgenerates product and in-
and in the present M.60 reconciliationaccotnts when come. This impliesthat land should be includedwhenit
other changesoccur in the asset balances.In additionto is used for agriculture,human settlement,and so forth
price changes,the latter includechangesfrom newfinds, and that income should be reflected in GDP, GNP, or
growth,destruction,and depletionof assets (see Chapter national income, either as a result of marketed or im-
11). The valueof nonreproducibleassets in the balance putedproduction,includingown-accountagriculturalout-
sheet and reconciliationaccountswhenthere is,no sale is put and imputed dwellingsservices to owners. For the
based on actualvaluesof similarassetsthat are sold(such samereason, historicalmonumentsshouldbe includedin
as for land) or on the sum of discountedfuture values the balance sheets as soon as the assets generate identi-
(suchas for timbertracts and mineraldeposits'. fiable income.In other words, assets should not be in-
The generalrules are not applieduniformlyto all assets cludedwhentheyare marketedbut whenthey are actually
and are unclear for some. The actual treatment distin- used for production and other activitiesthat produce
guishesamongland; historicalmonuments;tirnbertracts flowsregisteredelsewherein the SNA. It is importantto
and forests; plantationsand orchards;cultivatedagricul- establishthis link between income and production, on
tural products; livestockfor dairy, breeding,and draft; the one hand, and the assets used in production,on the
and livestockfor meat production. other, to arriveat correct capital-outputratios and other
measuresof productivity.
SpecificApplicationsof the GeneralRule * The natural growth of agriculturalproducts, prod-
ucts of plantationsand orchards, timber, and livestock
* Naturalresourcesin the public domain are entirely for dairy, breeding,and meat production should be re-
excluded. cordedas gross output at the momentof growthand not
* Land and historicalmonumentsare include(iin the at the moment of harvest (for products of agriculture,
balancesheets only after an actual sale.This impliesthat plantations,and orchards),logging(for timber), or birth
only entries for changesin these assets are reccrdedin (for livestock).During growth,the production shouldbe
the M.60reconciliationaccountsif sales take place. reflected in changes in stocks, and, once allocatedto
* For mineralresources,newfinds as wellas depletion uses,the stocks shouldbe reducedagain. This treatment
are recordedin the presentM.60 reconciliationaccounts. wouldeliminatefromthe present M.60 reconciliationac-
It is not clear, however,what the exact coverageof the countsthe entriesfor naturalgrowthminusdepletionand
newfindsis; does it includeall newfinds,does it include wouldchannelthese entriesthroughall changesin stocks,
only those mineraldepositsthat are actuallymined,or is exceptfor livestockgrowthused for dairy,breeding,and
there some intermediatetypeof coveragefor newfinds? similarpurposes,whichwouldbe allocatedto gross fixed
- Natural growthminus depletion of timber, planta- capital formation.This proposed treatment is an exten-
tions, orchards,and so forth is recordedin the reconcili- sion of the treatment for agriculturalproducts suggested
ation accounts.There is no link between thi.streatment by the November1988 meeting in BuenosAires organ-
in the balance sheets and production,whichis recorded izedjointlyby the EconomicCommissionfor Latin Amer-
only whentimber is loggedand whenorchard and plan- ica (ECLAC/CEPAL) and the MonetaryCenter for Latin
tation productionis harvested. America(MCLA/CEMLA).That suggestionwasmadeto bet-
* The growthof livestockis included,on the one hand, ter link gross output and cost in agriculturalproduction,
as an item in the M.60reconciliationaccountsi(together particularlyunderhigh inflation.Similarargumentswould
with the other natural growthitemsmentionabove)and, hold for all the other products of natural growth men-
on the other hand, as either grossfixedcapitalformation tioned above.
(for animalsfor dairy,breeding, draft, and so forth) or
changesin stocks(foranimalsformeat production).These References
two treatmentsseem contradictory.
* Agriculturalproduction is not reflected in the bal- Bartelmus,Peter, and Jan W. van Tongeren.1988. "Draft
ance sheets or reconciliation accounts and is not regis- Frameworkfor EnvironmentalSatelliteAccounting."U.N.
tered as changesin stocks during the growthprocess.It StatisticalOffice,NewYork.Processed.
is recorded as man-made production after it is harvested. UnitedNations.1968. "A Systemof NationalAccounts."Publi-
cationE.69.XVI1.3.
NewYork.
ProposedModifications
The following modifications would make the above
treatmentsmore consistent.
Appendix
Participantsat thetNEP-WorldBan Workshops
The affiliationsgiven were those at the time the work- Second Workshop, Washington, D.C.,
shops wereheld. November 5-7, 1984
Contributors Contributors
Anthony Friend, Statistics Canada, Ottawa, Canada. Robert Goodlandand GeorgeLedec,WorldBank, Wash-
"Natural Resource Accounting:International Experi- ington,D.C.,U.S.A."NeoclassicalEconomicsand Prin-
ence." ciplesof SustainableDevelopment."
Per Garnasjordet,CentralBureauof Statistics,Dslo,Nor- Roefie Hueting,Central Bureau of Statistics, Voorburg,
way."ResourceAccounts:The NorwegianExperience." Netherlands."EconomicAspectsof EnvironmentalAc-
Roefie Hueting,Central Bureau of Statistics,Voorburg, counting."
Netherlands."Use of EnvironmentalDatain Economic RichardB. Norgaardand John Dixon,Universityof Cali-
Decisions:Netherlands." fomia, Berkeley,and Universityof Hawaii, Honolulu
HenryM. Peskin, Resourcesfor the Future, Washington, (respectively),U.S.A. "Project Design and Evaluation
D.C., U.S.A."NationalIncomeAccountsand the Envi- UsingEconomicand CoevolutionaryCriteria."
ronment." Jacques Theys, Ministry of the Environment, Paris,
MichelPoitier, EnvironmentDirectorate, OECD, Paris, France."EnvironmentalAccountingand Its Use in De-
France. "NationalResourceAccounts:OECD." velopmentPolicy."
WalterSpofford,Resourcesfor the Future, Washington,
D.C.,U.S.A."Environmentand Development." OtherParticipants
Jacques Theys,Ministryof Environment,Paris, France.
"NaturalResourceAccounts:France." Ali Al-Damkhi,EnvironmentProtection Council,Safat,
AtsushiYoshikawa,EnvironmentAgency,Tokyo,Japan. Kuwait
"Macroeconomic Accountingfor the Environmentand Ali Al-Juwaiser,Saudi Fund for Development,Riyadh,
the Qualityof Life." SaudiArabia
Lester Brown,WorldwatchInstitute, Washington,D.C.,
Other Participants U.S.A.
DavidBurns,InternationalInstitutefor Environmentand
Partha Dasgupta,LondonSchool of Economics,United Development,London,UnitedKingdom
Kingdom HermanE. Daly,LouisianaState University,
Baton Rouge,
RobertGoodland,WorldBank,WashingtonD.C.,U.S.A. U.S.A.
93
94 Participantsof the UNEP-WorldBank Workshops
Alfsen,Knut,5 and natural capital, 6, 20-22; sustainablelevel of, 11. See also
Arens,Peter L., 6 Depletion;Depreciation
Assets.See Capital Corden,W.M., 17 nl
Ayres,R. U., 26, 65 Cost(s):best estimatesof,29; of defensiveexpenditures,33-38; experi-
ments to measureenvironmental,37; of extraction,17; need for
Balancesheet accounts,40, 42, 44; guidelinesin S9A for, 81-82; for estimatesof environmentaland nonmarket,60; of pollutionabate-
naturalresources,24 ment,27-29, 31; shadow,60, 64 n3
Bartelmus,Peter, 6, 85, 86 nnl, 2, 89 CMted'lvoire:establishmentof soilaccountin, 50
Baumol,WilliamJ., 62 Cremeans,J. E., 28-29
Bax,J., 37
Benerit-costanalysis,56; as methodto achievemonetsryvalue,62-63 Daly,HermanE., 2, 3, 6, 20, 84, 85, 90
Blades,Derek,2, 59 Data,environmental: internationalorganizationsas coordinatorsof,54-
Bounded-knowledge synthesis,56-57 55; as link to economicinformation,65; as sourcesfor developing
Bower,BlairT.,77 nl countriesof,47-49; as sourcesfor pollutionabatement,monitoring,
Bye,Torstein,5 and controlcosts,28-29. See alsoStatistics,environmental
DataResources,Inc.,72
Canada:input-outputmodeluse in, 26; resourceaccc,untingin, 5 Defensiveexpenditures.- categoriesof, 9; for environmentalprotection,
Capital:aggregationof physicaldata for environmental, 63; benefitsand 20-22, 33-38; existingand proposedaccountingtreatmentfor,1-3.
disbenefitsassociatedwith environmental,66, 67; consumptionof See also Costs;Pollutionabatement;Sustainability
fLxed,20; consumption of natural,6; countryapproachesto assessing de Groot,R. S., 37
naturalresource,4547; depletionfactoras invesimentand, 13-14, de Jouvenel,Bertrand,42
17; deteriorationof environmental,60; distinctionbetweenincome Denison,EdwardF., 72
and, 11, 17; environmental enhancementas format:ion of,22-23, 33; Depletion:accountingin industrializedcountriesfor, 10; factoras cap-
environmentas formof social,66; gain and loss,68-69; in national ital investment,13-14, 17; failureto assess naturalresource and
accounts,79; physicaldepredationof, 68; quantifyingenvironmental environmentalcapitaland, 60; of renewableand nonrenewablenatu-
stocksof,44; relationto income(Fisher)of, 66; seirviceflowscreated ral resources,3, 9. See also Capital;Usercost approach
by environmental,63, 66; substitutability of, 62; use of salesof, 13. Depreciation:accountingfor, 3-4, 12-13; additionsin national ac-
See also Capital,man-made;Depletion;Depreciation countsto ordinary,73; of capital,68; conceptin nonmarketaccount-
Capital,man-made:accountingtreatmentbySNAfor,3; consumption of, ing for,61; of nonrenewableresource,37
6, 20-22; depletion of, 9; expendituresfor, 20; measurementof Deterioration,physical:as distinctfromeconomicdepreciation,60
consumptionof,22 Developingcountries:environmentalaccountingfor, 45-48; environ-
Centralaccount(stockaccount).See Environmentalaccounting;Natural mentalinformationin, 4749; nationalaccountingmethodsin, 10;
resourceaccounting nonremunerative sector of, 47; problemsof implementingenviron-
cEs (Conferenceof EuropeanStatisticians), 54, 80 mentalaccountingin, 47-50, 60-63; proposalsto implementenvi-
Christiansen,Gregory,78 n12 ronmentalaccountingin, 49-52, 63-64; resourceaccountingfor,6;
Churchman,C. West,57-58 n5 SNAaccountingtreatmentof natural resource revenue, 10; use of
Classification
of outlaysof industriesby purpose(coIIw), 83 economicdepreciationin nonmarketaccountingin, 61; valuation
Classification
of the functionsof government(coFo(,),UnitedNations: methodsin, 63
data on pollutionmonitoringand abatement,28 Disasterexpenditure:accountingtreatmentfor,23
cowp(Classificationof outdaysof industriesbypurpose),83 Disbenefits:valuationof, 66, 67
Conferenceof EuropeanStatisticians(CEs),54, 80 Discountrate, 14, 16. See alsoInterestrates
Consumption: of environmental capitalservices,63; of fixed,man-made, Donovan,D. G.,37
97
98 Index
Valuation: and concept of willingness to pay, 62-63; concepts and Ward, Michael,4, 85
methods for environmental, 67-69; of consumption of natural capital, Welfare,economic: concept and measurement of, 1, 79-80: definition
22; of depreciation of nonrenewable resources, 37; of environmental of, 55; loss by certain groups of, 38; maximization of, 66; as under-
damage, 80; of nonmarket goods and services, 30, 55-56, 60; of lying concept for environmental accounting, 65-66; using national
pollution abatement benefits, 30-31; as a reflection of social objec- income to indicate, 32
tives, 63; use of marginal, 67. See also Disbenefits; Nonmarket ac- Well-being:ability of national accounts to reflect, 70-72
counting; Willingnessto pay Willingness to pay: to avoid disbenefits, 67; to correct national income
Valueaggregation, 55-56, 57. See also Environmental accounting; Non- accounting, 34-35; to obtain valuation of nonmarket services, 62-
market accounting 63. See also Information; Preferences; Valuation
Value depreciation: and income, 68-69 World Bank, 49; recommendations for accounting for defensive expen-
van Tongeren, Jan, 85, 89 ditures and depletionldegradation, 88; recommendations of Group
Victor, Peter A., 26 Meeting on environmental accounting, 86; and UNEP workshops, 80
World Commission on Environment and Development,79. 85-86
The complete backlist of World Bank publications is shown in the annual Index of
Publications, which is of value principally to libraries and institutional purchasers. The
latest edition is available free of charge from Publications Sales Unit, The World Bank,
1818 H Street, N.W., Washington, D.C. 20433, U.S.A., or from Publications, The World
Bank, 66, avenue d'Iena, 75116 Paris, France.
I
UTHE WORLDBANK
That the pressures for development may cause long-term damage to the environment and the
natural resource base has become of increasing concern to environmentalists and economists
alike. A great deal of work is now being done to clarify the linkages between development and
the environment. Such work should make it possible to integrate concerns about environmental
and natural resource management more effectively into the process of economic analysis and
decisionmaking.
An important problem has been that current calculations of gross domestic product (GDP), the
most commonly used indicator of national economic performance, ignore the degradation of the
natural resource base and view the sale of nonrenewable resources entirely as income. The papers
in this volume were selected from a series of international conferences jointly organized by the
United Nations Enviromnent Programme (uNEP)and the World Bank during the past six years.
The authors are either economists, who argue that present methods for calculating national
income fail to reflect the consumption of natural capital and that present practices inflate income
from defensive environmental expenditures, or they are income statisticians, who offer ways to
adjust for shortcomings in systems of national accounting.
The combination of economic and statistical perspectives on enviromnental and resource
accounting provided in this volume is rare. Throughout, the environment is treated as natural
capital that needs to be accounted for and maintained. The authors both deal with the conceptual
side of accounting and propose a variety of methods to help produce better measurements of
income, which, in turn, could better guide economic policies in general and also encourage a
more sustainable use of natural resources.
Yusuf J. Ahmad is senior adviser to the executive director of the United Nations Environment
Programme, Salah El Serafy is economic adviser on the Economic Advisory Staff in the Office of
the Senior Vice President-Operations at the World Bank, and Ernst Lutz is a senior economist in
the Environment Department, also at the W`orldBank.
ISBN 0-8213-1224-3