Académique Documents
Professionnel Documents
Culture Documents
CONTROL CONFOUNDING
AR=25-15=10% AR=45-35=10%
RR A/B=.25/.15= 1.67 RR A/B=.45/.35=1.29
AR=10-5=5% AR=26-13=13%
RR A/B=.10/.5= 2.00 RR A/B=.26/.13=2.00
For local rates (i.e. county or cities) can use the state
standard population. For example, Illinois State
Cancer Registry publishes age adjusted rates by county
using Illinois standard population.
Male
White Black
1990-1994 1995-1999 1990-94 1995-999
Age 0-4
5-9
10-14
.
.
.
.
85+
DATA
Weights expressed as proportions:
Stratum Weight
1 0.28492
2 0.17440
3 0.12257
4 0.11362
5 0.11426
6 0.09148
120
8 0.03755
Study population:
External
Reference
Study Group A Study Group B Rates
Age N Deaths Rate N Deaths Rate
< 40 100 10 10% 500 50 10% 12%
>=40 500 100 20% 100 20 20% 50%
Total 600 110 18.3% 600 70 11.7%
Even though they have the same age specific rates, they have
different SMRs because they have different age distributions.
20 or more years latency, 10 or more years worked: SMR: 6.33* (4), 1.73-16.20
Example:
White Males
Years worked=less than one
Calendar Years
1970-74 1975-1979 . 1995-99
Age*
18-24 Number Number etc
of of
Person person
yrs yrs
25-29
85+
*Working populationexcludes under 18
Years worked=1-4
Calendar Years
1970-74 1975-1979 . 1995-99
Age*
18-24 Person Person
yrs yrs
25-29
85+
3
1 z 1
Obs 1
9 Obs 3 Obs
Lower Limit =
Exp
Upper Limit=
3
1 z 1
1 +
9 ( Obs + 1) 3 Obs + 1
( Obs + 1)
Exp
Obs=Numerator of SMR\SIR
Exp=Denominator of SMR\SIR
Z=Standard Normal Deviate (1.96 for 95% Confidence
Interval)
If expected number is less than 5, use exact confidence
intervals --uses iterative procedures
3
1 1.96 1
15 1
9 15 3 15 = .65
Lower Limit=
12.9
Upper Limit=
3
1 1.96 1
1 +
9 (15 + 1) 3 15 + 1 = 1.80
(15 + 1)
12.9
EXACT LIMITS CAN ALSO BE OBTAINED FROM TABLE
in SECTION A.2 in Szklo (see section A.7) for 95 %
Confidence Limits
For 15 events, limits for number of events are .560 and 1.65
H0=SMR/SIR=1
Ha=SMR/SIR NE 1
( Obs Exp )
2
=
2
Exp
( Obs Exp .5 )
2
2 =
Exp
( 15 12.9 .5 )
2
Exact Fisher:
90% conf. interval = 9.25 to 23.10 0.72 to 1.79
95% conf. interval = 8.40 to 24.74 0.65 to 1.92
99% conf. interval = 6.89 to 28.16 0.53 to 2.18
Another example:
USING PEPI INDIRST --4 age groups
INDIRST - Indirect Standardization
Thursday, 26th September 2002.
DATA
STANDARD RATES per 1000
Stratum 1 2.5
Stratum 2 6.1
Stratum 3 12.4
Stratum 4 25.0
DATA
No correction factor.
NOTEif your standardized rates are annual rates, but your study
population observed events are for more than one year, you need to
enter the correction factor for the number of years followed, otherwise
the number expected will be underestimated because it will be based on
only one year of follow up.
DATA
STUDY POPULATION
Stratum 1: Numerator: 6 Denominator: 1200
Stratum 2: Numerator: 27 Denominator: 2340
Stratum 3: Numerator: 98 Denominator: 3750
Stratum 4: Numerator: 48 Denominator: 975
SMR = 203.07%
Standard error of SMR = 14.95%
Approx. 90% conf. interval = 178.8 to 229.9%
Approx. 95% conf. interval = 174.4 to 235.1%
Approx. 99% conf. interval = 166.1 to 245.5%