Académique Documents
Professionnel Documents
Culture Documents
By
MERLYN KETTERING
an agency of
T&le of Contents
List of Figures
FOWARD
1. INTRODUCTICN
Project Financing
11
2.5 Project Implementation
2.6
13
24
28
42
5.1 Purpose
5.2 47
Relation to Other Components
5.3 48
Developing the Problem or Needs Statement
5.4
48
6.1 Purpose 53
6.2 Relation to Other Components
6.3
53
54
59
6.5 Relevant Training Modules
60
VII. COMPONENT THREE: DEMAND AND MARKET ANALYSIS STATEMENT
7.1 Purpose
61
7.2
Relation to other Project Components
62
68
8.1 Purpose 69
a Technology Statement 70
9.1 Purpose 78
10.1 Purpose 83
11.1 Purpose 91
12.1 Purpose 97
XIV. SUMMARY
LIST OF FIGURES
TITLE
PAGE
Project
41
Components
46
95
Resource
Material
(PDRT of PAMCO).
during the months while the PDRT 4ere preparing materials used in training
ministries.
Many of the Project Management tools that others have found useful and
materials are most readily learned in training situations when they were
used on actual projects in which the trainee become involved. This Manual
shows how the tools are applied on real Jamaican projects. The PORT found
time
projects are actually moved forward during the training peiod. Thus,
both
Based
on
the training experience of two years, the team strongly recommends this
came from four primary sources. These publications are highly recommended
management.
Procedures For Formulating and Impleth ing ealth Projects, World Health
Peter Delp, et.al., Systems Tools for Project Planning, PASITAM, Indiana
the
assisted the PDRT in applying the management tools to the management problems
facing them in planning and implementing the Projects. These officers produced
iii
other projects. There are also the many officials within the Ministry
above, the publication of this material would not have been oossible.
on pro
jects that are faced with the complex Droblems that surround project
manage
ment.
PAMCO
June, 1979.
iv
PAMCO, PDRT
Resource
Material
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
acquire the specific knowledge and skills needed to perform their particular
AlI
present PDRT members, listed as contributing authors, have worked together
many modules.
Mrs. Marjorie Humphreys assumed primary responsibility for
editing and production, and deserves much credit for organizing and clarifying
the materials. Mr. Lascelles Dixon has headed the PDRT since 1979 and also
deserves credit for the cover designs and for improving many of the art illus
trations.
Agriculture (USDA) and USAID have given support to the project and encourage
ment to this publication. In particular, Mr. Morris Solomon of the Development
Project Management Center (DPMC) of USDA was responsible for the original
project design and for supplying publications and giving encouragement and
advice throughout the project. The many participants of the workshops and
seminars have also contributed significantly to the form and content of the
series.
Finally, credit is due to the total staff of PAMCO who Ioave given support,
PAMCO, PDRT
Resource
Material
and practical planning, analysis and management materials. There are gaps; there
are areas needing improvement and revision. The series is intended to be used
the usefulness, accuracy, and relevance of the materials are welcome. The
efforts o9f all preparing and publishing the Project Planning and Management
Marcel Knight
Managing Director
PAMCO
September, 1980
Contributing Authors:
Merlyn Kettering
Bruce Brooks
Conrad Smikle
L.ascelles Dixon
Michael Farr
Marjorie Humphreys
Published by:
Resource
FOREWORD
Material
Introduction
basic building blooks for the development programmes of nations and lending
and control
financial, physical and human resources so their contributions
are channelled toward the aims of their parent organizations and societies.
tools and techniques for the formulation and implementation of sound projects.
series can be used as a reference and guide for persons with responsibilities
The objectives of the project were to (1) increase the flow of development
Action-Training
the participants and uses "live" projects so that the workshops are strongly
where scarce management skills do not permit the release of persons from
and consultations and gives them the specific knowledge, guidance and skills
and moved forward while project personnel are being trained in relevant
PAMCO, PDRT
Resource
Material
(organizational context;
live projects.
isfollowed by
a simple
exercise to illustrate the concept and demonstrate its application.
permits an in-depth
actual under
takings of the respective organizations of the participants and represent
necessary to follow a
workshop with site and field consultation to see that
assignments are completed and that the tools are being used for project
System,
. 0 "
PAMCO, PDRT
Resource
Material
monitoring, or evaluation.
these skills.
to action-training.
Different persons perform different functions and
roles
flow.
Some must focus on the clarity of objectives while others must
be able
while
basic concepts and skills be taught to most project personnel and that
taught to the different teams and groups. For this reason, the series
is
tools and techniques can be selected for direct relevance to the specific
the action-training.
using Manual P --
Project Planning with an assortment of modules,
including:
PAMCO, PDRT
Resource
Material
including:
typical of adult education, is that it draws upon the knowledge and experience
her indigeneous capability and capacity for formulating and managing development
There are gaps and inadequacies which will b2 identified. The series is not
P.I
PAMCO, PORT
Resource
Material
INTRODUCTION
planning and decision points before they are authorized for implementa
tion. Project planning should be carried out with a thoroughness which
get projects started. Pushing "Immature" projects, which have not been
authority. They must perform within a framework that has many more
constraints, just because they are project managers. The material
developed in this manual explains how project planners can effectively
P. 2 PA?4CO, PDRT
Resource
Material
be realistic.
know the demand for the output, design a reliable technology within
covered in any project plan so that the plans are sufficiently com
prehensive to permit analysis and selection. There are general
Ynodules which complement this manual to form the Project Planning and
Management Series.
Resource
Material
Material
2.1
Definition o6 Development Project6
or services,
to exploit for productive demands for particular products
or efficiently.2
They are unique. They are
Material
done, and how and when it is to be done, but the plans must be
of development projects.
in Figure 1.
Project
Conceived
Authorization End of
Investment
Period
Pre- Post
Output
Authori zati on
Planning
Author' zati on
Planning and
Investnent
Production
and
Distribution
4
Resource
Material
be accompanied by financing.
Before there is a heavy commitment of
rejected.
Feasibility Studies.
The phases of the project life are sequential,
but overlap to some extent. For example, the Project Planning Phase
(Idea)
The Project Life
(Feedback)
Resource
Material
properly conducted.
"
PAMCO, PDRT
Resource
Material
P.10
development is cyclical.
The concept of Ptojec._t Cycte refers to a
Less worthy project ideas should be screened out before they are
can be used for the promotion of priority ideas into the feasibility
study stage.
This two-stage process of project planning, facilitates
project through the Identification Stage should not exceed two months,
P.11
PAMCO, PDRT
Resource
Material
expenditures.
They are the beginning of a full commitment
of a project
For some projects, the need for financial support begins with
execution of a Pre-feasibility Study; for other projects financing the
will
not be needed until the Feasibility Study; and for still other
projects,
plays
a very important role in oroject analysis and development.
on its development.
The first stage in the Financinq Phase
financing of a Pre-feasibility or Feasibility Study.
This is
corresponds
in terms
Resource
Material
as
loan or foreign assistance may be dependent upon proportional
(f) auditing.
P. 13
PAMCO, PDRT
Resource
Material
project.
General steps which may be involved in
Extra-governmental
Financing include:
(c) negotiations;
co-ordination of several
avenues of financing.
Working agreements
tasks, responsi
bilities and relationships of all
relevant representatives
should be
in force.
Imnlementation Phase
incorporated in the
agencies. The Charter forms a foundation for the second stage, the
Output System. 7
Resource
Material
stages:
(1)
Planning for Routine Operation;
(2)
Training, Recruitment and/or Construction for
On-going Operation;
necessary by the
At the
but a project
project life.
The feedback from this comprehensive evaluation
be important to future project efforts so that technological, will
are part of
Material
and formulation.
At each stage, the idea should become more detailed
and accurate, and the analysis should become more intense and precise.
valid assumptions and that they are technically consistent and sound.
P.17
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Material
c)nsistent;
calculated;
ii) rejected;
iii) held for later consideration; or
focus of the
P. 18 PAMCO, PDRT
PROJECT PROFILE
F
I 1. PROJECT IDENTIFICATION
_STAGE
(Appraisal) Is the project desirable
Not at NO Hold or
Proposed Project PriorityReject
YES
PRE-FEASIBILITY STUDY
(Appraisal)
or Redefi Not as
NO Hold or
Project
Proposed Project FeasibilitReject
Projeect
NEGOTIATIONS
DO NOT DUPLICATE ES
WITHOUT PERMISSION IMPLANTATION
Resource
Material
If the objectives
are within the priority or ranking criteria of the
two different
--
depending urFn the nature of the project.
A Pre-feasibility Study
is
Feasibility Study is to
determine the technical, financial, and or
Resource
Material
Resource
Material
optimal.
Deferral may occur at any stage, even following Project
process;
Resource
Material
the decision point where a project may have been stage just above
rejected,
the end of the Identification Stage, when the appeal e.g., at
would be carried
in terms
of sets of
project ideas.
This standard format requires particular
data and information necessary for project appraisal preliminary
Resource
Material
project;
dependent;
available sources.
The sources might consist of such documents as
from similar projects, etc. New data need not be developed for the
Profile.
Profile should be
as accurate and detailed as possible. The statement
P. 24
PAMCO, PDRT
Res Durce
Material
relation to
authorized.
of ways in which desired objec
tives may be achieved.
In planning, it is necessary
alternatives in order to arrive at project solutions to investigate
spirit of openess to
variations,
are key elements in sound and creative
planning.
found to be highly
follows:
optimal solution(s);
Material
study.
primarily based on
existing data which can be readily assembled. All
Resource
Material
beneficiaries;
iii) realistic in terms cT project objectives and
way; and
executed:
Resource
Material
should not take more than two to three weeks, and that the flow of a
project through the Identification Stage will not exceed one month.
projects.
facilitate a smooth and rapid flow of the project through this stage
variants.
P.28
PAMCO, PDRT
Resource
Material
development
ensures that preparation and appraisal standards
of projects
stages -- Identification,
Pre-feasibility, and Feasibility. The estimated
are proportional to the total size of the costs of planning
ultimate project, and the
guidelines are flexible due to
different
planning needs, based upon
a Feasibility Study, or
S 2,000
$ 20,000
Impl ementati on
75,000
$1,000,000
It is seen
that the total costs for all Planning Stages
approximated to reach a maximum of $22,500, is
Resource
Material
in all aspects.
P. 30
FIGURE
4 MARKET STUDY
B. Pre-feasibll~, Study
C. Feasibiltty Study
location, quantities)
(names, location, quantities
(a) Chosen resources
-
Detaled data on topographical distribution
c tion
only)reore(mn
(estimated quantities
(b) Detailed utilization of resources
resourcesconsumr,-spl
(main consumers,
iutionidvua
C
- Kind of specific enterprises
copnsumption, individual
-- wsupply
situation general
- Specific customers, their past and
raw material policy, estimated
(c) Approximate balance of avail-
laws/
-
Prices at purchases
places of production
present utilization
-
Adequacy of supply: quantities, qualities
--
)
rm
(2)Market situation of specific
present + future demand)
(2)
Market situation of specific productr
products
products
-
C (a) Past demand for specific
(a) Approximate demand for
(a) Detailed demand for specific items
total sales/demand, in
Past/future, local/foreign sales demand
- Main consumers
quanitity,
prices for values, specific
- Specific consumption per capita
all local/
- Prices, fluctuation
c (b) P
Past ssforeign
itenis supply
(approximate
pastloca
of totals
of
manfactringandInfluence
(b) Approximate
itemsupply
by suppliers:
of
requirements
(t) Present total local
products
-
Present manufacturing/importing
expected future
volumes, load factors
trend,
and prices
- Product qualities
- Location
(c) Past coveragefuture
and assumed of demand
(c)Approximate coverage of
trends
demand (past/future
- Sales: past and expected ftur
(approximate quantities,
- Transport facilities
qualities, prices)
quantities, qualities, and
prices)
- New units under constructioniplnning
- Prices
n
-
Regional distribution
Resource
Material
or projects;
implementation; and
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PAMCO, PDRT
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Material
to its implementation.
all
the facets have been designed and
implementation.
These include the examined for successful
physical,
financial, commercial, organizational, technical, economic,
management, and
resource
facets of projects.
Project studies
problem identification and solving.
are essentially a tool for
computational skills
(such as those
associated with project financial
of predictable results.
Resource
Material
Resource
Material
influence.
planning
and implementation.
Pre-Setection CommLttee:
This is a committee (including
Town Planning, Ministry of Finance
-- Budget Division, Ministry NPA,
Development
Project
on
Economic Counciet:
The Economic Council is responsible for
Cabinet:
The Cabinet is responsible for ensuring that projects
FIGURE 5
D.
DECISION MAKING BODIES INVOLVED IN PROJECT DEVELOPMENT
PAMCO, PDRT
Material
Stages
M.O.F. Boards Agencies Committee Council Cabinet
Supplier
1. Identification
b a
-
2. Preliminary Selection
b b
a a
3. Feasibility (prepara
tion)
b a
C
4. Appraisal (Post
feasibility Appraisal
and Decision)
a/b b
b a
5. Approval and
Authorization
a/b - a a
6. Project, Design and
-t
Engineering
a b/c a
7. Financing
a/b
b c - c b
8. Contracting and
Purchase
d b a - b - c
9. Construction
d - a/b - - a
10. Commissioning
d b a - b
Note: Involvement: a =
Ultimate Responsibility; b = Secondary Responsibilities; c Support Activities;
d =
Monitoring Activities
P. 36 PAMCO, PDRT
Resource
Material
In the case
bodies with
and
promoted.
as a whole,
like Projects.
usual'ly
takes the forn! of a project. Projects generally have a
horizon and will generally be administratively handled definite time
as a discrete
set of related activities. They have definite airqs of
flows of outut or services over a definite time period Producing
to obtain
.ither either increased productive and delivery capacities
or increased
.fficiency of existing capacities, or both.
P. 37 PAMCO, PDRT
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Material
exhaustive or rigid.)
financing;
Projects in Category One are the types for which the Project
organizations.
routine budgets;
(b)
those of less than $ million
P.38
PAMCO, PDRT
Resource
Material
and so budgeted.
financing sources.
taken more
rapidly through the planning
phase as
they need little
initial appraisals.
However, the general
guidelines for project
implementation.
agency;
government; and
institutions
other special
assistance.
P.39
PAMCO, PDRT
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Material
process of planning determines the desired end points and the path to
reach these points. The path, the activities, the milestones necessary
of the plan.
to all aspects of the project idea. In some instances, the data may
ci rcums tances ?
Resource
Material
IvAigation Pojeac
A system of micro-dams can be used to irrigate an
area
low rates.
operations.
comparisons.
of information on
both projects is necessary to make the comparison.
Let us suppose
that there is limited foreign exchange savings and
earnings are
P.41
PAMCO, PDRT
Resource
Material
return is important.
Is there enough information to make
The following composes the projects on an
illustrative a decision?
set of criteria
Industrial Irrigation
Project Project
Investment
Costs ? (minimal) ?
$4 million
Employment
Generation 100
Benefits ? ?
Investment
Period
? 2-3 years
Payback
Period
1 year
Resources
not known
of
between local
local resou.-ces
and
imported wood
P. 42 PAMCO, PDR
Resource
Material
levels of
planning), such as
the Project Profile, it is possible to
make
in
Project Profile.
The Project Skeleton contains the basic the
components
1 2 3
8 9 4
Co.st6 and Project Technology
Benefits SummGAy
7 6 5
Project Organization Human and
Life and Physical
Resource
Material
detail will
be greater in later stages of planning.
PROBLEM OUTPUTS
COSTS
RESOURCES
the skeleton and moving clock-wise around the skeleton toward the centre of
*In many project documents, the project summary is the first section of the
statement of all the most important aspects of all the other components and
properly placed at the centre of the project components -- and at the end of
Resource
Material
determined. The demand for the outputs of the specific project give the
reLsoLuL cC
1ed. of the project. When the resources are identified, the
project technology are known. And finally, with the project scheduling
and timing complete, it is possible to value the costs and benefits of the
project over time. The salient point from these components all become
FIGURE 9:
LOGICAL SEQUENCE OF PROJECT SKELETON COMPONENTS
I 2 3
Problem Objectives Demand
o and and
Need Otputs Market
8 9 4
Costs Pkoject
d, Summary Tcchnology
bene f4t
17 65
P4oj Cc't Ogcoui za'tio l Himnan
Lane alid coid
anid ewe t
,'fal c'ac P11 -.ccl C
Schcdut.c Rc .ou ccS
P.45
PAMCO, PDRT
Resource
Material
project.
illustration only.
One may find, for example, that once
the resources
the Technology.
Or once cost and benefits have been calculated,
is a need to return to some of the former components for there
re-shapinq
orqanically interrelated.
reiteration
OBJECTIVES
PROBE DEMAND 3
S
BENEFITS
/1g \ <
7-
_1-\
A >
TIMING \ RESOURCES
5
' ORGANIZATION
6
<.- Logical Sequence
- Interdependency
P.47
PAMCO, PDRT
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Material
COMPONENTS OF THE
PROJECT SKELETON
1 2 3
Problem
Objectives
Demand
or
and
Need
and
output Marke t
9 4
Costs and Project Technology
Benefits Summary
7 6 5
Project Organization Human
ande and and
and Physical
Schedue Management ResouAces
5.1 Purpo'se
The purpose of this component is to develop
a clear, concise
solve, i.e.,
to state a clear focus for the
project. It will include
The problem statement
terms of its
impact upon completion.
P.B
48PAMCO,
PDRI
Resource
Material
against which
design.
effectively
exercise.
Problems
are
not static, but dynamic. They are intimately and
intricately
to be
5.3 Developin
g the Problem or.Needs Statement
development
the solution
point because
it is not
addressing the problems appropriately. A clear
understanding
the problem.
P.49
PAMCO, PDRT
Resource
Material
in any consi'stent
manner.
Though it is difficult to make clear, consise
problem statements,
is focused
on specific problem resolution or reduction.
specific. In
statements of:
feelings to certain
must be identified
Material
suitability of the resources required for the project (as these are
P. 51 PAMCO, PDRT
Resource
Material
and so on.
and for judging their relative degrees of impact upon the project.
problem analysis. How was the project idea conceived? Where did it
What has been done already about it? All of these can strongly
Though the date actually written in the project plan may give only a
P. 52 PAMCO, PDRT
Resource
Material
a) Problem Statement
Resource
Material
I 2 3
Problem Objectives Demand
Wt and and
8 9 4
Couts Project
and Summary Technology
Benefits
7 6 5
Pr'oject Human
Life Organ4: ation and
and and Physicat
Schedute Management Resources
6.1 Ppos6e
objectives for the project. Objectives are positive statements of the changes
objec'zive which defined the intended overall impacts of the project activities.
The Objective Statement forms the foundation for the later components of
output- of the project which must be produced and "marketed". The objectives
often ,provide the boundaries for project design in terms of benefits, organisa
tion, resource use, and costs. The guidelines which are ?xplicit or
P.54
PAMCO, PDRT
Resource
Material
the project very early, it is possible to ensure that the focus of the pro
ject is maintained throughout planning and implementation. Any changes in
the project objectives will require a policy decision from the project execu
tives.
which establish the purpose for the project and the specific outputs and the
project. They form the guidelines for other aspects of the project design
end, usually a state that is to be achieved at some time in the future. Every
project has a hierarchy of objectives. Some objectives are primary while other
a water shed area. One of the objectives of such a project will be:
Resource
Material
achieving the higher level objective of controlling soil erosion in the water
to achieve the higher objective. This objective can also have still higher
These higher level objectives may have still higher level objectives, such as:
which is logically linked between the levels. As one moves from a lower level
objective, one may ask the question "Why" to define a higher level objective.
P.56
PAMCO, PDRT
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Material
FIGURE 11:
EXAMPLE OF AN HIERARCHY OF OBJECTIVES
0-
0
0
= >
to increase agricultural production
in water shed area
>
=0i- I
.
.
: to control soil erosion in water shed area
V) 0
to construct
to adopt soil
to reforest
bench terraces
conservation measures
top hillsides
Resource
Material
than its weakest link. For example, in the case of a project to expand dairy
We can ask "Why?" is each lower level objective included to find the statement
is "whose needs? what is the target group?". Are they to be defined on the
Other key questions direct the analysis to the "systems" within which the
which involves the planning team and the project administrators as well as
the project.
After the pupose of the project has been clearly stated and is
outputs. For all of these outputs, there should be some attempt to quantify,
so the progress of the project and its impact can be measured, monitored and
evaluated. Project Objectives are foundation for not only planning, and
throughout the planning process. They become the background for most project
they in turn, will be modified if subsequent planning shows that the objec
tives are not realistic. They may have been over-ambitious or may not have
tend to be very general so as to achieve a broad base of support for the pro
ject, but may be internally conflicting. People support projects for a wide
range of reasons and the accomplishment of any specific objective may have a
P.58
PAMCO, PDRT
Resource
Material
etc.);
problem(s).
The objectives must be reviewed against background information
Resource
Material
following:
groups;
and
Often there will be general guidelines within which projects must fall
recognise the importance of the setting in which guidelines are being esta
blished and expressed. Objectives must be stated in such a way as to reflect
Project Outputs.
P.60
PAMCO, PDR
Resource
Material
appropriate.
Sowie of the techniques and
tools applicable
in the
Analysis.
Module 1
*. Defining Project Objectives
Module
2 - Logical Framework
Module 16 -
Project Area Analysis
Module 29
- Project Selection Analysis
Module 30 - Brainstorming.
Resource
Material
Problem
Need
1 21
Objec tve 6
Otpwt6
. Deit
M.:41a
'. I.rket.
. I
8 9 4
Cost6 Project
and Summary Technology
Benefits
7 6 5
PRoject Human
Life Otganitation and
and and Phys6ical
Schedule Management Resources
7.1 Pwrpos e
The purposes of the Demand and Market Analysis Statements are (1) to
specify the level of goods or services which exists, (2) to identify the level
of output for the project, and (3) to identify a strategy for ensuring that
achieve the desired project impact. The Demand Statement will identify the
the "effective demands" for the project outputs among the target populations.
The Market Statement complements the Demand Statement by showing how the
project output will get to the consumer or beneficiary and who has responsi
bility at the various stages or for the various activities involved in en
suring that this happens.
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Outputs.
It becomes the foundation for identification
technologies for the project
for tfchnology selection of alternative
which
detertmined by output .pecification and tevets o6 production is partially
and service.
It assists in determining the technological 6o& the goods
level, scope,
of the chosen
technology.
must ensure that the beneficiaries receive the product, project organisation
It is also a determinant
objectives and outputs because the study of the need to the project
outputs.
When the demand analysis is complete, there
is a definition of the
established.
plumbers,
nurse aids, project planners, etc.
Still
other projects have out
puts which take the form of services, many of which
do not demand a direct
reform or chaige,
such as
improving the efficiency of existing delivery
systems or administra
tive systems. In all of these projects, the study of
the need fot the
Resource
Material
and quantifying the conditions under which the project outputs will be used
or consumed.
The study of the need for the project outputs lays the groundwork for
subsequent project components. It becomes the basis for decisions with regard
Demand Analysis deals with the concept of a "market" for the project
study of both the demand for and the supply of the project outputs. It
"free" in the sense that the existence of a rate of exchange or direct market
price which consummates the transaction is not linked with their use or con
sumption--such as, schools and roads. The clarification is important because
many (certainly not all) of the goods and services which are outputs of
government or public projects are not sold in the marke". or at the prevailing
market prices1 7 .
need based upon the "needs" of mankind. "Effective Demand" means that some
one not only wants the product, but also that someone is willing and able to
pay for it..8 Every output has to cost somebody even though the direct
of money for the product. The costs of hospitals and schools as well as
highways are usually paid for out of government budgets. Many government
projects are subsidized in the social or economic interest. Demand for these
kinds of project outputs must exist with the same certainty that demand must
effective demand may mean separate studies of the consumers and the wi.ing
nus and abiiity to pay for the output. With some outputs, the need and the
potential number of consumers may far outstrip the ability of the government,
the private sector or whoever is responsible for financing the project to pay.
In this case, effective demand is based not upon the need, the social
pressures or demands for a project, but upon the capacity to support the pro
ject by the funds of those who "pay" for it. It is very important that pro
ject demand analysis focus upon effective demand and not some more abstract
P.64
PAMCO, PDRT
Resource
Material
are two main levels of analysis. The first is concerned with the total
demand
or market for the output. The second is concerned with the market for
the
by suppliers;
For a number of reasons, the present size of the market does not
determine the place of the project within it. This is why the planners
must
know the probable growth o': the market and what the demand determinant
are.
In the caae of final consumeA demand, the strongest determining factors
factors
Demand o6 producvt,
on the other hand, is usually derived from con
sumer demand, or created consumer demand and is determined by investment
demand.
or all
analysis of demand.
The part of the total market which the project can claim depends
partly on
the structure of the market, the costs of production-and distribu
tion for the project, the nature of extra project or environmental support
Resource
Material
and marketing policies. Thus, it is not only important to know the total
extent to which the project outputs fit into the total demand and supply
situation.
include: 20
produced;
what contribution the project will make in supplying the particular goods
reflect anticipated economic and structural changes which may affect the pro
ject.
Resource
Material
PRODUCTION
PREPARATION
--- r DISTRIBUTION
CONSUMPTION
K
Resource
Material
supply side, and eventually also technology and input constraints affecting
for key demand determinants or parameters affecting the demand or the supply
of the outputs.
overlooked aspect of demand study is Makket Strategy, i.e., how the outputs
how the consumers will be assembled to the points of utility. This is the
associdted with the various functions which muzt be, performed for an effec
tive demand to be "efectivety tapped" by a projec 1
.These may include
demand is identified, but not mobilized, the project is also doomed to failure.
There are several distinct products from this components, such as:
demand projections;
P.68
PAMCO, PDRT
Resource
Material
which include:
include:
Regression Analysis
Resource
Material
1 2 3
Problem Objectives Demand
orl and and
8 9 4
Co6ts Ptoject
and Summary Technology
Benefits
7 6 5
Project Human
Life Organisation and
and and Physicat
Schedule Management ResouAces
8.1 Pwrpos e
etc.) before selecting and designing the most appropriate technology for a
management.
Resource
Material
When a technology has been selected and all aspects of the design
choice of technology is the most important foundation for project cost esti
mation, project scheduling, and determination of resource requirements. It
correlation between technology and other components. The choice and analysis
goods and/or services. (See FISURE 13). The combination of raw and inter
mediate materials with labour and capital resources, in distinct processes of
basic component for a project whether the outputs are marketable or non
ma'ketable goods or services.
Resource
Material
alternative;
maintenance; and
23
such as site tests for construction, tests of raw materials or processes, tests
P.72
PAMCO, PDRT
Resource
Material
and quality
These are often supplemental to the basic technology choice, but can be
g. Pant Efficiency:
This refers to the output fro.n the production processes
in terms
of operating and input costs, relative to productive capacity.
of
purely technical factors, should be taken into account along with the
general
Resource
MIaterial
dimensions and put together the best combination for meeting the project
objectives within the scheduled time, cost and resource constraints. These
dimension include:
(b) size;
(c) location;
of project support;
productive structures;
support;
Resource
Material
syztem, water supply, drainage power supply, and any other special
structures.
(a) labour;
(d) fuel;
(e) water;
specific technical
choices are made, there must be data to estimate desirability,
the benefits and costs. Many development projects seek drastic changes in
possibilities of alteAnative
for each component--outputs, resources, sche
duling, costs, organization and so on.
But the concept of alternatives is
nore than one way of technically meeting the same project requirement. A
Resource
Material
selection, but to find the appropriate technology for the project conditions
and objectives. The issue is not simply one of technology bias, but whether
It does no good to insist upon labour intensive technologies which force them
selves out of the market because they do not produce competitively, have to
markets.
by the project.
well as overall project design. The project must receive materials and
P.76
PAMCO, PDRT
Resource
Material
of the project. 28
Backward linkages
include the transportation to the mill
of a sugar-processing mill would
as
The forward linkages would be represented well as
the cane production units.
of a selected technology.
vary in terms
of quaity and yet still
of various quality can be constructed meet the basic defined needs.
Roads
to hold
leaving some room for exercising technological a maxin,,m
or minimum capacity,
be designed to achieve a
minimum accepta
ble level or to strive for excellence.
the capacity.
When there is a geographi
cal distribution of needs or of supplies,
there is a tradeoff between location
but it is not
often transferent to new projects.
planning a project, however, it is usually In advanced stages of
between projects.
types of projects:
Resource
Material
Resource
Material
1
2 3
Problem Objectives
Demand
or and
Need
and
Output6
Market
8 9
Project
4
Cost6
and
Summaty
Benefit6 Technology
7 65
Project Organisation Human
L fe and
and
and Management
Schedule Phys ical
Rsou rce
Resources
9.1 Purpose:
The purpose of this component is
sical resoupces required for carrying outto the
ensure that all the human -d phy
be made available to the project.
This requiresproject are identified and can
materials including land and water necessary special attenjion to raw
or operations.
It is also necessary to specify
fessional expertise as there may be scarcities, areas of t:',-hnical
or pro
which necessitate the procurement of technical in the development context,
technology.
Resource
Material
(a) manpower;
the basis for the original project idea, e.g., idle land, spoiling fruits,
and so on. The supply of raw rnmerials can be the "oppowtuiuLty" for the
processes.
It may be found that these constraints may show that the project will have to
be reduced below the maximum capacity to meet the demand for its output.
project design. Construction activities, for example, may make demands upon
equipment which are not entirely controlled by the project but must be shared
P.80
PAMCO, PDRT
Resource
Material
of the buildings
Manpower is anotner
basic category of resources which must be closely
on
the project should be identified, from attendant and labourer
professional or technical categories.
Human resources can be to the higher
examined in
to
identify
to obtain.
It may be necessary to include a training component
into the pro
ject plan to ensure that there is sufficient time to prepare
ject implementation or operation.
If gaps are identified, it persons for pro
is often
possible to
identify domestic and international
sources of technical
assistance.
arrange
ments.
requirements.
gations must be made into the actual resources in all categories investi
with care
ful documentation as
to the qualiLies, locations and any constraints
uses of "ieresources.
When the relevant types of resources on the
in each category
each resource
of
alternatives.
Resource
Material
the detriment of the overall impact of the project. Projects may require an
of areas in which the utilization of the resources for the project may ad
versely affect supporting organizational activities. The drawing of some
are assigned to project work. Both the project and the ongoing programmes
training resources, maintenance resources and other resources which may come
machinery necessary to implement the project and ensure its continued impact,
Project Profile, but should be very detailed and extensive, expanding quite
planning.
identifying qualifications;
implementation; and
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PAMCO, PDRT
Resource
Material
necessary.
In addition, it is important upon the material resources may be
Material
X.
COMPONENT SIX: ORGANISATION
1 2 3
Problem ObjectZves Demand
or
and
and
Need Owtpwut MarLket
8 9 4
Cost6 Project
and Summaty Technology
Benefit6
7 6 5
P.roject Human
Life Organisation and
and and Physical
Schedule Management ReAouLceA
10.1 Purpose:
The purpose of this component is to establish the temporary
sational structures required to carry out the project.
This organi
includes mobili
sing all
physical and human resources, establishing the implementation
production processes, and satisfactorily delivering the goods and
and services.
structures
project activities,
Resource
Material
and economic merits, on the organization of the persons responsible for its
HEAD
PROJ ECT
COORD INATOR
Resource
Material
It may also be made into a completely distinct new organisation with full res
ponsibility for all aspects of project organisation and management. There is
depends upon the strengths of the sponsoring organisation(s) and the forms of
Type of 1
2 3
Organisa
tion: Functional
Matrix Projectised
a
b I d e f
Project Manager:
Func-
Project Project
tional
Organisa- Staff:
Team Organisa
tion
tion
+ +
F.T. P.T.
profdssion
als.
Resource
Material
important to clarify those responsibilities which lie with the project organi
sation as opposed to those with the parent organisation. The project organi
sation is generally entrusted with day-to-day decisions affecting execution,
useful to identify any known informal aspects of the organisations which will
on the project;
Resource
Material
circulars which should be collected and put into the Project File for ready
reference. The review should include time estimates for the various key
-- project modification;
-- project staffing;
-- evaluation.
maker. This should be summarized in the form of a report which has three
and other support personnel. The measures necessary to fulfill the require
ments for training may also be identified, depending upon the needs of the
project. The project organisation may chanqe during implementation and after
Resource
Material
tion of project teams, the control of the projects, about the organisa
the kinds of problems
The organisational
review should end with planning
include relevant organisational charts, brief functional documents which
institutional environment
Enab.ing Ueagiekag_
which provide the general authoritative
and
No
itiveinkages which exist with groups or organisations
having
organised, such as
with media, volunteer groups such
as
design, especially on
the design of the project organisation.
Resource
Material
review relevant policies which may have an influence on the project, such
as:
collected. This can become a powerful tool in justifying the project, espe
cially if the policies lead support to the project ideas. In addition, it
is useful to review all related programmes to see if there may be any contri
bution to or coorperation with these programmes to the benefit of both the
project and the programmes. This review seeks to ensure a higher level of
project;
organisation;
Resource
Material
operations in an existing
Building Model
P.91
PAMCO, PDRT
Resource
Material
1 2 3
Ol and and
8 9 4
Cos6ts Project
and Swmnaky Technotogy
BenefZt6
6 5
Human
. . Ortgan on and
and and Physical
'4I~~ Management Reaouwez
11.1 PuApos6e:
into a time frame which shows their logical work relationship throughout the
requirements and to ensure that performance of the various elements and acti
vities of the project are integrated.
possible to identify all of the project activities and to know what "phasing"
scheduling also shows the phasing of costs and benefits throughout the life
P. 92 PAMCO, PDRT
Resource
Material
time.
across
the top of the chart (e.g., days, weeks,
months) and project activities
as
on
An advantage of bar charts is that they are easier the network diagrams.
to read
-- and as flexible
as
the points of significant
diagrams are transformed into a Bar Chart for On most projects, network
P.93
PAMCO, PDRT
Resource
Material
FIGURE 16
Component Elements
Activities
Site Preparation
Land Structuring
Surveying Roadway
Road Construction
Site Roads
Procure Irrigation
Development
Procure site for
Inst.
Water
Water System
Supply
Select Management
Team
Management Team
Train Management
Team
Orientate Managemen
Team
Staffing Workers
Train Leaders and
Pioneers
Construct Housing
Building
Facilities
Facilities
Construct Farm
Buildings
Procure Equipment
Equipment and
Planting Material
Suoplies
and Poultry Feed
Procure Chemical
Land Preparation
Farm Crop
Planting and
Operation Production
Fertilizing
Harvesting and
Marketing
Revise Reporting
Farm
System
Management
Develop Management
System
PAMCO, PDRT
Resource
Material
ILI USInArION,2
Earliest Start
9 12 12 1
3. Acquire Funds 2
ES
C 1 D. Acquire Site 2
Star I>
06-0 2-0 1-0
3-3
a o 06 - -- --) 8E. Hire Contractor 3
F F Develop Site 6
G. Order Building
Latest Finish
9 11 1/ 15 Materials
3
Latest Start
CRITICAL PATH
P.95
PAMCO, PORT
Resource
Material
4 5
FIGURE L8:
BAR CHART AND LIST OF MILESTONES
ACTIVITIES (.weeks) 4 8 12 16 20 24
A. Land Survey and Acquisition '.
D. Install Equipment /
E. Procure Supplies
LIST OF MILESTONES
Planned
date Actual
P.96
PAMCO, PDRT
Resource
Material
because it was
assumed that there would projects take much longer than planned
Module
3 - Work Breakdown Structure
Module 4 -
Activity Description Sheets
Module 8 -
Using Bar Charts for Project Control
Module 9 -
Project Scheduling - Network Analysis
Module 11
- Manpower Plans/Resource Plans
Module 17 -
Project Costs and Benefits.
1 2 3
8'9 4
Costs.
7 6 5
Project Human
Life Otganization and
and and Physical
Schedule Management Ruowk.ces
12.1l Pupose:
The purpose of this component is to identify and phase all the costs
and benefits of the project over the life of the project. This permits an
analysis of the financial and economic worthiness of the project and provides
that the financing requirements are identified and financing sources can be
The data required for financial analysis comes primarily from the
APPLICATIONS:
Capital
Expenditures 712.3 965.2 1279.6 1538.1 615.5 242.8 242.8 242.8 242.8 242.8
Operating
Costs 6.5 49.7 109.1 173.4 185.8 202.9 205.7
To tal" 205.7 205.7 205.7
Applications 718.8 1014.9 1388.7 1711.5 801.3 445.7 448.5 448.5 448.5 448.5
CASH FLOW:
Net Cash Flow
Before Debt Service (-560.0) (-719.2) (-566.8) 366.9 1542.6 1954.4 1951.6 1951.6 1951.6 1951.6
Cumulative Cash Flow (-560) (-1279.2)(-1846.0) (-1479.1) 63.5 2017.9 3969.5 5921.1 7872.7 9824.3
DEBT SERVICE:
Loan Repayment 35.8 100.3 215.1 352.9 352.9 352.9 317.1 252.6 137.8
Net Cash Flow
After Debt Service (-560) (-755) (-667.1) 151.8 1189.7 1601.5 1598.7 1634.5 1699.0 1813.8
Cumulative Net
Cash Flow (-560) (-1315) (-1982.1) (1830.3) (-640.6) (960.9 2559.6 4194.1 5893.1 7706.9
YEAR 1 2
3
4
5
6 TOTAL
INVESTMENT REQUIRED:
X DEDUCT:
P.100
PAMCO, PDRT
Resource
Material
--
invetments from which project benefits the implementation phase and are the
the physical
assets neEded for the and installations, before 0oeration,
project. Recurrent costs are those of
on.
Capital
fixed investments) may include such items such as expenditures (also called
costs, etc.33 b
e
are usually based upon historical of expenditure for the project and
cost records.
This is
to give an
of magnitude" for project costs. "order
Revenues*.
These can
be combined
into the cash flow for the project.
and balances on
an annual
the Project Profile. Although cash A cash flow format is also attached to
and cash eceiptz which are considered payment,6 which are considered as
costs
See Module 18 -
Project Profile Preparation
Resource
Material
short, medium and long-term financing must be available. Cash flows also
show the surpluses or deficits which will be incurred through the project
life so that repayment can be arranged. (See FIGURE 19). The investment
with the cash flow, except when more sophisticated forms of analysis are
So a cash flow is thd basic justifier of the project, both in terms of overall
returns and phasing of the returns. Even in projects where there are no
facilitates the seeking of financing arrangments and lays the groundwork for
making an economic analysis which adjusts the values of foreign and local
which cause a tendency to raise this aspect of the project to a high propor
tional level. Such tendencies should be discouraged where balance of payments
is under severe pressure. Exchange rate.s used 6o& foreign exchange shoutd be
economic situation.
decision makers and financing agencies. In later planning stages, not only
the extent of funding, but also the terms of reference for finavicing and
assumptions. The financial component should show both the internal and
external sources of project financing, and the policy and procedural problems
P.102
PAMCO, PDRT
Resource
Material
project.
If financing is required for subsequent over the life of the
be proposed.
(i.e.,
to the operating Agency or Ministry.).
They as internal or external
agency, it will
nct be
generally essential
to follow the planning stages
demand special or capital budgeting. The followingrequired for projects which
general
sources of finan
cing might be indicated in the Project Profile,
but should be specified in
- Corporate bonds,
- Government.bonds,
-
Borrowing from foreign government assistance programmes.
iii)
Other special financing arrangements:
(c) grants.
Resource
Material
direct and indirect foreign currency costs of projects are eligible for loan
Rate of Return, and so on. But planners must avoid the danger of making the
P.104
PAMCO, PDRT
Resource
Material
Module 21 - Discounting
Module 22 - Net Present Worth
Module 23 - Cost-Benefit Analysis
Module 24 - Benefit Cost Ratio
Module 25 - Internal Rate of Return
Module 27 - Economic Analysis.
Resource
Material
1 2 3
Problem Objectives Demand
oA and and
8 9 4
Costs
and Project Technology
Benefits6 Summary
7 6 5
Project Hunan
Life Oqgani6ation and
and and Physicat
Schedule Management ksouces
13.1 Purpose:
The purpose of the project summary is to bring together in one com
ponent the essential elements of the project in a very brief statement. It
should give the reader a concise picture of the project, including the major
elements of each component. It should not attempt to give details which are
in the main document, but give an overview so the reader knows what is pro
posed and what to look for, in greater detail, throughout the project study.
other components that are relevant and gives a diagnostic overview of the
project proposal.
Resource
Material
Project
dominant aspects or elements of the various Summary highlights the pre
of the project. As an introduction to components to present an overview
easily understood. As
a description of
what the project is esentially, it
project. In general,
the summary should
cover the following points:
34
scope;
as appropriate;
PAMCO, PDRT
Resource
21
P. 107
Material
FIGURE
Life of Project:
From Fy ___To Fy
Date Prepared
OBJECTIVELY VERIFIABLE
contributes:
incomes statistics
implement training for -Training Plan completed -Administrative Com- to raise civil ser
the public sector -500 Jamaican civil ser- mission Records vice salary levels
USAiJ ($'OO0's)
Participant available
Materials and
Technical Asst. 96 96
Contingency 4 4
T.69 I_
M- TT I _I____
P.108
PAMCO, PDRT
Resource
Material
Framework basically:
of the
project purposes,
that is, from Project
Input6 to Project Outputs which will
will be produced;
achieved; and
Resource
Material
sufficient work must have been done on project components to permit quantifi
cation of vekficable indicators for all levels from inputs to project goals.
all other components, and should never be completed until sufficient attention
The primary tool for use here is the Logical Framework along with
a good sense of the project so that the major points can be effectively
summarised to catch the attention and interest of the readers, causing them
P. 110
PAMCO, PDRT
Training
Material
XIV. SUMMARY
implementation.
This requires careful documentation of the full
set
of data so that:
1)
every project idea is fully conceptualized; and
2) compa-risons
can be made between projects to choose
good
ideas.
Project documentation is the foundation for decision-making
full set of
give
the general level of production of goods or services which
major determinant of the project technology (though not the isonly
a
determinant), when technology is selected
it is possible to
Resource
Material
PAMCO, PDRT
Training
Material
plan.
based upon existing data and should attempt to state the objectives
light of government and sector goals. The accuracy of cost and data
idea has been approved for more detailed planning. However, the
The outputs for the components are based upon the "internal
on.
the project components. (See Figure 10) The project planner must
P. 112
Output
One:Problem/Need
Problem Definition Problem/Need Surveys
Statement Project Area Statement Problem/Needs Analysis
Problem Forecast Force-Field Analysis
History of Project Idea Policy/Programme Review Problem Impact Analysis
Project-Problem History Forecasting
Project Area Surveys Brainstcrming
Sector Surveys Prob 1ic,diagramming
Social Surveying Analysis
Two:Project
Objectives Statement of Objectives Diagram of Objectives
and Outputs Output Definitions Ends-Means Analysis
Hierarchy of Objectives Objective Trees/[Diagrams
Objective Indicators Logical Framework (draft) Force-Field Analysis
Policy/Programme Reviews Brainstorming
Logical Framework
Three:
Demand and Output Specifications Market Statistical Series
Market Statement Levels of Total Demand Forecasting
Statistics on demand Regression Analysis
Demand Forecast for determinant factors
Project Output Analysis of Elasticity
Analysis of distributive Co-efficients
Marketing Strategy mechanisms Supply-Demand Analysis
Analysis of competition Market Distribution Analysis
Market Flow Diagrams Market Flow Analysis
Policy/regulations and
Standards Reviews
Four:Technology
Technology Alternatives Technology Alternatives Criteria for Technology
Selection Technology Choice Analysis
Statement Location Statement Analysis
Physical Requirements Rationale for Selection Appropriate Technology
Advantages-Disadvantages Stratenies
Output Specifications of Technology Selection
Plant/Site Layouts Technical Analysis
Forward and Backward Organization and Management
P. 113
Material/Supply Requirements
Linkages
;ina lysis
Organization and Management
Production Support
Technological Linkage
Renuirements
ReQuirements
Analysis
Environmental Impact
Equipment Specifications
Ecological Analysis
Statement
and Sources
-Five:
Resource
Raw Material Quantities
Regulations, Provisions
Requirements
Surveying of Skills
and Specifications
and Guidelines on
Job Definitions
Statement
Supplies Specifications
Materials and Supplies
Procurement Procedures
Manpower Requirements
Job Descriptions
Contracting
and Qualifications
Resource and Manpower
Sources of Supplies/
Materials
Si x:
Project
Organization Location
Summary of Policies,
Organizational Analysis
Organization
Project Organization
Programmes and
Statement
Administrative Procedures
Chart
Regulations or
and Guidelines Development
Organizational Support
Administrative
Linear Responsibility
Organizations
Decision-Making Systems
Organization Charts
Linear Responsibility
Parent Organization
Charts
Chart
Seven:
Project
List of Activities
Precedence of Network
Work Breakdown Structure
Schedules
Master Schedule
Diagrams
Network Diagramming
Charts
Charts
Eight:
Statements
Cash Flow
Investment Schedule
Recurrent/Operating Cost
Financial Analysis
Funding Sources
Estimates
Discounting and Financial
Revenue Estimates
Appraisal
Review of Funding
Economic Analysis
Procedures
NineProject
Summary Project Descript-on
List of Critica-
Logical Framework
Summary
Logical Framework (Final)
Assumptions
PAMCO, PDRT
Resource
P.114 Material
implementation.
[OOTNOTES
"a long voyage of discovery in the most varied domain from technology
for a project:
7. John Rubel,
"An Outline of Implementation Considerations: Some Notes
Module 1.0.
Chapter 5.
0 -- Observability:
Can others see the behaviuur?
17.
Baldwin, G.B. "Outline Market Analysis for Project Appraisals"
18. Ibid., p. 1.
26.
One of the best known books on appropriate technology is E.F. Schumacher,
32. There are many sources covering the topic of scheduling --bar charts