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Peran Mahasiswa Geofisika

Sekretaris Jenderal dalam Ketahanan Energi


HAGI 2016 - 2018 Dimasa Datang
Arif Gunawan
10 March 2017
Quotes
Introduction
Oil and Gas Potential in
Indonesia
Profile Oil Production (2015
2050)

ASSUMPTION :
RRR up to 100 % from 2025
12% Decline rate per year
5 year production time since first discovery
Profile Gas Production (2015
2050)
Domestic and Imported Supply of Crude Oil for
Refinery (2015-2050)

Satuan: Ribu bopd

Kebutuhan 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2025 2030 2040 2050

Minyak mentah domestik 488,0 539,0 502,5 441,0 398,0 364,0 412,8 362,1 287,9 216,9

Impor minyak mentah 445,4 399,8 436,3 497,8 620,8 654,8 1.783,8 2.176,2 3.183,3 4.403,0
Kebutuhan kilang minyak
933,4 938,8 938,8 938,8 1.018,8 1.018,8 2.196,6 2.538,3 3.471,2 4.619,9
mentah
Supply Plan and Demand of Gas (2015-2050)

25,000
Additional Supply/Import
20,000 Committed Supply
RUEN
15,000

10,000
Additional Supply/Import
5,000
Committed Supply
0
2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050
Satuan: MMSCFD

Keterangan 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2025 2030 2040 2050

Kebutuhan gas bumi


4.121,0 5.094,0 5.578,0 5.774,0 5.667,0 5.834,4 9.141,9 11.289,8 18.275,3 26.419,9
dalam negeri*
- Committed production 4.121,0 5.094,0 5.578,0 5.774,0 5.667,0 5.636,0 5.732,0 5.100,9 6.202,4 5.668,1

- Surplus/(defisit) - - - - - (198,4) (3.409,9) (6.188,9) (12.072,9) (20.751,8)


Catatan :
*) Tidak termasuk kebutuhan impor LPG
Research Recommendation

1. Western Indonesia Pre-Tertiary


Exploration
2. Volcanic Petroleum
3. Unconventional Hydrocarbon
4. Biogenic Gas
Western Indonesia Pre-Tertiary
Exploration
Western Indonesia Pre-Tertiary
Exploration

Tertary base

Pre-tertiary ?? 2

3
4
5

6
Volcanic Area Map
Unconventional
Biogenic Gas

Tarakan

Mamberamo Del
Sibolga CSB
Kutai

Nias Sengkang
SSB
Paleo-sundaland delta?
Bengkulu NWJB

NEJB
Ujungkulon Foreland steenkool
Solo Kendeng Randublatung Foreland basin

GENERAL KEYWORDS:
1. Rapid sedimentation basin subsidence thick sediment
2. High organic content
3. Cool basin (low gradient geothermal) or young sediment
4. Shallow (+/- 3000 ft)
Seismic Indication
Bottom Simulating Reflection (BSR) Flat spot bright spot

Gas chimney

Courtesy by TGS
Benyamin Sapiie, 2016 (Joint Study Forum KESDM)
Thank You

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