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The Purpose of this presentation is to try to
show, The ethic of eco-theology can promote
natural capitalism and achieve green economy
(steady state, low carbon, sound material
circulation, flourishing within limits etc.).
2
Ecological Civilization
The ethic of eco-theology can promote natural capitalism
Summary
and create a graceful simple-living lifestyle based on the
advanced science and technology.
World Religions Eco-theology Eco-theological Approaches
(1) Ethics panel, Science
Bah Faith Panels, Earth law
Buddhism (2) Green Economy
Christianity Environmental ethics Tax bads (depletion and
Consensus for pollution)
Confucianism (3) Industrial Metabolism
Hindunism Sustainability of
Ecodesign, Eco-Indsutrial-
Islamism Biosphere and Park, Eco-city
Judaism human civilization (4) Corporate Social
Responsibility
Taoism
(5) Ethical and Green Market
Green Purchasing and
Eco-philosophy,
Environmental Science, Investment
etc. (6) Simple living, Eco-Culture
3
Well designed infrastructure
Part 1
What is
Sustainable Development ?
4
Part 1 What is Sustainable Development (SD) ?
1-1. Definition of SD by Bruntland Report
1-2. Early Thoughts on Sustainable Society
Steady State Economy by Herman Daly
The Four System Conditions by Karl-Henrik Robert
1-3. Recent Thoughts on Sustainable Society
Resource Productivity by F. Schmidt-Bleek
Prosperity without Growth by Tim Jackson
1-4. A Call to Integrate Faith, Ecology and the Global Economy
1-5. Humanity has already transgressed at least three Planetary Boundaries
1-6. Recent Status of Global Warming
Dangerous Climate Change
Extreme Weather Events
4C Global Warming by 2060
Emission Pathway needed to keep 2C target
1-7. Decoupling Status of Metal Consumption from Economic Growth
1-8. Three Different Scenarios for Resource Use Up to 2050
1-9. IEA Strategy for 2C/450ppm by 2030
1-10. Full solar Supply of Industrialized Countries The Example Japan
1-11. We need new MAD Strategies.
5
Natural science perspective
planetary boundaries
risk of tipping points
very limited global carbon budget in order to keep the 2C climate
target (750 GtCO2 exhausted in 20 years)
Social perspective
Over 2billion people living on less than $2 a day
1.6billion people today without access to electricity
900million people without access to transportation
1.8million deaths per year due to lack of sanitation, poor hygiene,
and unsafe drinking water
Great Transformation :
Comprehensive societal, economic and cultural change is needed
6
OECD Environmental Outlook to 2050:
The Consequences of Inaction March 2012
By 2050, without new policies,
!A word economy four times larger than today is projected to need 80% more
energy in 2050 without new policy action.
!Global energy mix in 2050 will not differ significantly from today, with the share
of fossil energy at about 85%, renewables including biofuels just over 10%, and the
balance nuclear.
!To feed a growing population with changing dietary preference, agricultural land is
projected to expand globally in the next decade to match the increase in food
demand, but at a diminishing rate.
!Global greenhouse gas emissions projected to increase by 50%, primary due to a
70% growth in energy-related CO2 emissions.
!Globally, terrestrial biodiversity as measured as mean species abundance is
projected to decrease by a further 10% by 2050, with significant losses in Asia,
Europe and Southern Africa.
!Globally, mature forest areas are projected to shrink by 13%.
!Freshwater availability will be further strained with 2.3 billion more people than
today (in total over 40% of the global population) projected to be living in river
basins under severe water stress, especially in North and South Africa, and South and
7
Central Asia. etc.
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The environment does not exist as a sphere separate from human
actions, ambitions, and needs, and attempts to defend it in
isolation from human concerns have given the very word
environment a connotation of naivet in some political circles.
The word development has also been narrowed by some into a
very limited focus, along the lines of what poor nations should
do to become richer, and thus again is automatically dismissed
by many in the international arena as being a concern of
specialists, of those involved in questions of development
assistance.
But the environment is where we all live; and
development is what we all do in attempting to improve
our lot within that abode. The two are inseparable.
Bruntland Report
9
Early Thoughts on Sustainable Society
Herman E. Daly
Steady State Economics
Karl Henrik-Robert
The Natural Step 10
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Discussions for Economic Growth
13
Discussions for Sustainable Economy
14
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I=Impact
P=Population
17
Recent thoughts on Sustainable Society
Prosperity without growth ? by Tim Jackson
12 Steps to a Sustainable Economy
We envision:
A new economic model that embodies social and ecological values bound by Earths
biophysical limits. etc.
(1)Paradigm shift in mindset and values.
This will entail change from a focus on material goods to holistic well-being; from
excess to sufficiency; from exclusion to inclusion; from competition to
cooperationetc.
(2)Public policies for an economy of right relationship,
19
(3)An economy of thriving and resilient communities..
By Dave Griggs
20
(Climate Change, Biodiversity loss and Biogeo-chemical flow boundary)
ref. Planetary Boundaries, Johan Rockstroem et al, Ecology and Society 2009
Earth System Process Planetary Boundary
Atmospheric CO2 Concentration, 350ppm
1. Climate Change
(350-550ppm)
3. Stratospheric ozone depletion less than 5% reduction from pre-industrial level
22
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by Prof. H. J. Schellnhu
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Melting of
Mountain Glaciers
1921
1
Courtesy of the Royal Geographical Society
2007
28
Dangerous Climate Change
Reasons for concern (IPCC AR3, AR4)
(1) Risk to unique and threatened systems
coral reefs, tropical mountain glaciers, endangered species etc.
(2) Risk of extreme weather events
heat waves, floods, droughts, wildfires, hurricanes
(3) Disparities of impacts and vulnerabilities
disproportionate harm to developing countries and the poor in
developed countries
(4) Aggregate damages
net global market damages
(5) Risks of large-scale discontinuities
rapid sea-level rise, ocean acidification etc.
30
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Russias 2010 July Heat Record
Study Finds 80% of Chance Russias 2010 July Heat Record Would Not Have
Occurred Without Climate Warming.
Probability of July average temperature anomalies in Moscow, Russia since 1950. The image
shows that the average temperature in Moscow for July 2010 was significantly hotter than in
any year since 1950.
35
Source: Climate Central
Huge iceberg breaks off Greenland glacier
36
Source: NASA
Crack in Pine Island Glacier
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Source: boston.com
Pakistan Floods
42
(Source: Drought Monitor)
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Climate Variability and Climate Change: The New Climate Dice
10 November 2011
45
I, Rick Perry, Governor of Texas, under the authority vested in me by the
Constitution and Statutes of the State of Texas, do hereby proclaim the three-
day period from Friday, April 22,2011, to Sunday, April 24,2011, as Days of
Prayer for Rain in the State of Texas. I urge Texans of all faiths and traditions to
offer prayers on those days for the healing of our land, the rebuilding of our
communities and the restoration of our normal way of life.
Science cannot disprove the possibility of divine intervention. However,
there is a relevant saying that Heaven helps those who help themselves.
Science does show that business-as-usual fossil fuel emissions will cause
atmospheric CO2 to continue to increase rapidly. The increasing greenhouse
gases will cause the rapid global warming of the past three decades to continue,
and this warming will cause the climate dice to become more and more loaded
with greater and greater extreme events. The probability that this conclusion is
wrong is about as close to zero as one can get.
46
Area of the world covered by temperature anomalies in categories
defined as hot ( >0.43!), very hot (>2!), and extremely hot (3!),
with analogous divisions for cold anomalies
48
Debbie Surlin salvages items from her parent's home in Joplin, Mo. Wednesday, May 25, 2011. The home's
residents Beverly and Roy Winans rode out the EF-5 tornado by hiding under a bed in the home. The tornado tore
through much of the city Sunday, damaging a hospital and hundreds of homes and businesses and killing at least
123 people. (Charlie Riedel/Associated Press)
49
Massive sand storm hits Phoenix ARIZONA, July 5th 2011
50
Thailand flood reaches Bangkok
This aerial picture shows an under-construction temple surrounded by floodwaters outside the
ancient Thai capital of Ayutthaya, north of Bangkok on October 11, 2011. (Christophe Archambault/
AFP/Getty Images)
51
People push their belongings through floodwaters during an evacuation from a flooded market in
Bangkok October 24, 2011. (Sukree Sukplang/Reuters)
52
From Cairo to the
Cape, climate
change begins to
take hold of Africa
The world's poorest
communities have begun to
experience extreme weather
outside the natural
variability of African climate.
Without a rapid reduction in
emissions, the continent
faces calamitous
temperature rises within this
century
53
http://
?"&*#G'%.60)A"$%05%$"-%?-*$)68 www.theepochtimes.c
om/n2/china-news/
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55
Key Messages of the IPCC Special Report on Extreme Events
November 2011
(1) Even withouttakingclimatechangeintoaccount,disasterrisk
willcontinuetoincreaseinmany countries as more vulnerable
people and assets are exposed to weather extremes.
(2) Evidence suggests that climate change has changed the magnitude and
frequency of some extreme weather and climate events in some regions
already.
(3) Climate change will have significant impacts on the severity and
magnitude of climate extremes in the future.
As climate change becomes more dramatic, its effect on a range of climate
extremes will become increasingly important and will play a more
significant role in disaster impacts.
(4) Climate extremes are essentially becoming more unpredictable.
(5) Any delay in greenhouse gas mitigation is likely to lead to more severe
and frequent climate extremes in the future.
56
4C Global Warming: Regional patterns and timing
by Richard Betts et al, Met Office, Hadley Centre, UK
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Potsdam Climate Impact institute, NASA Goddard institute,
Tyndall Center, UK Germany USA
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PIOMAS Trend Shows That All The Arctic Sea Ice Will Be Gone
In Four Years, 2015.
Winters look ice free by about 2030 or 2040.
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70
Irreversible climate change due to carbon dioxide emissions
Susan Solomon, Gian-Kasper Plattner, Reto Knutti and Pierre Friedlingstein
PNAS (2009)
71
World headed for irreversible climate change
in five years, IEA warns. 2011
If fossil fuel infrastructure is not rapidly changed, the world will loss
for ever the chance to avoid dangerous climate change
by Fiona Harvey, environment correspondent, gurdian, UK
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V < F h 6 ? <: non-metal elements
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Annual production Index of the extent
= of depletion
Concentration in the Earths Crust
Ecological Rucksack
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by Dr. Kohmei HALADA (NIMS, Japan)
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Table; Metabolic scales and rates, overview of scenario analysis
ref. IRP Report
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Collapse of the myth of Nuclear Safety
A place of refuge of Fukushima prefectural Fukushima Daiichi Nuclear Power Station
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84
Complex Disaster of Earthquake Disaster and Severe Accident
of Nuclear Power Plant was predicted
Prof. Kiyoo MOGI Prof. Katsuhiko ISHIBASHI
Professor Emeritus of Professor Emeritus of
the University of Tokyo the Kobe University
85
Distribution of Earthquakes in the World
Map
86
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Full Solar Supply of Industrialized Countries
The Example Japan
by Harry Lehman (www. Energyrichjapan.info)
Using baseline data from 1999, the Energy Rich Japan report shows how a
combination of the best energy efficiency technologies available today, and a
massive investment in renewable energy, could ultimately provide Japan with
100% of its energy needs from renewables including transportation fuels
without expensive and environmentally damaging imported fossil and nuclear
fuels. Rather than seeking energy security through its hugely expensive and
polluting nuclear program, for example, Japan could instead build its own
renewable energy industry. As an energy hungry and supposedly resource-poor
country, Japan could make this transition to clean, renewable energy without any
sacrifice in living standards or industrial capacity.
Six scenarios of how this might happen are outlined in the report, all of which can
provide 100% renewable energy for Japan.
87
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