Quiz # 6 (STA 4032)

Name:

1. The heat evolved in calories per gram of a cement mixture is approximately normally
distributed. The mean is thought to be 100, and the standard deviation is 2. You wish to
test H0 : = 100 versus H1 : 6= 100 with a sample size of n = 5 specimens.
(a) If the acceptance region is defined as 98.5 x 101.5, find the type I error probability
.
(b) Find for the case in which the true mean heat evolved is 103.

2. A manufacturer produces crankshafts for an automobile engine. The crankshafts wear

after 100,000 miles is of interest because it is likely to have an impact on warranty claims.
A random sample of n = 15 shafts is tested and x = 2.78. It is known that = 0.9 and
that wear is normally distributed.
(a) Test H0 : = 3 versus H1 : 6= 3 using = 0.05.
(b) What is for this test if the true mean is = 3.25?
(c) What sample size would be required to detect a true mean of 3.75 if we want the power
to be at least 0.9?
 Solution to Quiz #6 (STA 4032)

1. Use n = 5, everything else held constant:

a) P( X 98.5) + P( X >101.5)

X 100 98.5 100 X 100 101.5 100

= P + P >
2/ 5 2 / 5 2 / 5 2 / 5

= P(Z 1.68) + P(Z > 1.68)

= P(Z 1.68) + (1 P(Z 1.68))= 0.04648 + (1 0.95352) = 0.09296

b) = P(98.5 X 101.5 when = 103)

98.5 103 X 103 101.5 103

= P
2/ 5 2/ 5 2 / 5

= P(5.03 Z 1.68) = P(Z 1.68) P(Z 5.03) = 0.04648 0 = 0.04648

2. a)

1) The parameter of interest is the true mean crankshaft wear, .

2) H0 : = 3

3) H1 : 3

x
4) z0 =
/ n

5) Reject H0 if z0 < z /2 where = 0.05 and z0.025 = 1.96 or z0 > z/2 where = 0.05
and z0.025 = 1.96

6) x = 2.78, = 0.9

2.78 3
z0 = = 0.95
0.9 / 15
7) Because 0.95 > -1.96, fail to reject the null hypothesis. There is not sufficient
evidence to support the claim the mean crankshaft wear differs from 3 at = 0.05.

3 3.25 3 3.25
b) = z 0.025 + z 0.025 +
0.9 / 15 0.9 / 15

= (1.96 + 1.08) (1.96 + 1.08)

= (0.88) (-3.04) = 0.81057 (0.00118) = 0.80939

(z /2 + z ) 2
2
(z 0.025 + z 0.10 )2 2 (1.96 + 1.29) 2 (0.9) 2
c) n = = = = 15.21, n 16
2 (3.75 3) 2 (0.75) 2