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preferences.
3. Nike's Application on smart phone and gadgets
4. Doing marketing plan to increase sales in footwear and apparel
5. Focusing on footwear sales for kid and elder to reach new target
6. After sales service division
7. Discounting price for the new shoes by redeeming the old one
8. Doing more CSR project to help reduce advertising cost and
improve brand image.
NIKE, Incorporation
Nike sells an assortment of products, including shoes and apparels for sports
activities, namely football, American football, basketball, running, combat sports, tennis,
golf, and cross trainings for men, women, and children. Nike not only sell indoor sports
activities, but also sells products of outdoor activities, such as skateboarding, baseball,
cycling, baseball, volleyball, cheerleading, wrestling, aquatic activities, and other recreational
products. It is well known in youth culture and hip hop culture for its urban fashion clothing.
NIKEs Mission and Vision
Mission statement: To bring inspiration and innovation to every athlete in the world.
The legendary University of Oregon track and field coach, and Nike co-founder, Bill
Bowerman said, If you have a body, you are an athlete.
Vision statement: NIKE, Inc. is the worlds leading innovator in athletic footwear, apparel,
equipment and accessories.
Nikes products can actually be used by everybody in the world. Ranging from the shoes to
clothes and other sports apparels, therefore if Nike uses the term athlete customers who do
not often play sports might not feel that he or she is a part of Nike. Even though Bill
Bowerman have said If you have a body, you are an athlete, but the it still emphasizes on
the athlete. Therefore by improving the mission to Bringing inspiration and innovation to
all it focuses on how Nike still bring inspiration and innovation continuously and to all
which means everyone globally.
Columbia Sportswear
Mission statement: Design and deliver authentic, outdoor, high-value products for active
consumers of all ages.
Mission statement: Through sports, we inspire people the desire and power to make
breakthroughs
Puma
Mission statement: At PUMA, we believe that our position as the creative leader in
sportlifestyle gives us the opportunity and the responsibility to contribute to a better world for
the generations to come. A better world in our visionthe PUMAVisionwould be safer,
more peaceful, and more creative than the world we know today.
Adidas
Mission statement:The Adidas Group strives to be the global leader in the sporting goods
industry with brands built on a passion for sports and a sporting lifestyle
Conclusion
To bring inspiration and innovation to every athlete in the world, is the mission of
Nike. Nike focuses on bringing all the best innovations to the athletes therefore they are able
to play sports more efficiently. Design and deliver authentic, outdoor, high-value products for
active consumers of all ages, is the mission of Columbia sportswear. It tends to focus more on the
outdoor activities and they tend to be more how well consumers can use their sports equipment in
doing outdoor activities. Li-Nings mission is Through sports, we inspire people the desire and
power to make breakthroughs supports the customers to become athletes. At PUMA, we
believe that our position as the creative leader in sport lifestyle gives us the opportunity and
the responsibility to contribute to a better world for the generations to come. For Puma it
believes that it is the leader in sports lifestyle that creates opportunities for those who want to
play sports to participate in order to become athletes. The Adidas Group strives to be the
global leader in the sporting goods industry with brands built on a passion for sports and a
sporting lifestyle According to Adidas its mission is to be the global leader who build
passion for people to play sports and to live a sporty lifestyle.
NIKE Porter's Five Forces Analysis
Trend Analysis
The above table illustrates the summary of key financial ratios of Nike, Inc. You can
see that liquidity health of the company is quite good as you can see from the higher current
ratio and quick ratio, comparing to the previous year. However, there is one ratio,Days
Payable, in this area that become worse. During the year of 2009, Nike had to pay its payable
faster than its previous five years, reaching the bottom at around 36 days.
For the asset management aspect, Nikes ability to manage overall its assets is the
worst in 2009 during the past five year. Surprisingly, when we focus on just the part of
inventory management, the company can manage it the best during the past five years. On the
other hand,the financial structure of the company remained quite constant over five years as
you can see from stable debt ratio and debt to equity ratio.
In addition, it is obviously seen that all of the profitability ratios of Nike reach the
bottom during the past five years in 2009, especially ROE which sharply dropped from the
peak at 24.07% in 2008 to 17.10% in 2009. This mainly came from the economic crisis in
US, especially Hamburger crisis and subprime loan crisis which slow down the economy of
US throughout the country.
Inventory Turnover Ratio Current Ratio
3.40
3.20
3.00
2.80
2.60
2.40
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
In order to see which factor causes ROE become lower, we decompose the ROE into
three dimensions: profitability management, efficiency management, and financial leverage.
Not surprisingly, due to the economic problem as mentioned above, all three factors are lower
than the previous year, especially the profitability of the company. This is due to products of
Nike are consumer products, so its sales are vary according to the economic situation.
ROE ROA
30.00% 20.00%
25.00% 15.00%
20.00%
15.00% 10.00%
10.00%
5.00%
5.00%
0.00% 0.00%
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
Cross Sectional Analysis
Columbia
Nike Adidas Puma Skechers Li-Ning Sportswear
Liquidity Ratio
Current Ratio 2.97 1.58 2.19 3.42 1.70 5.14
Quick Ratio 2.25 1.06 1.63 2.45 1.36 3.90
Days Payable 35.63 75.07 79.84 44.82 68.29 51.96
Asset Management Ratio
Total Asset Turnover Ratio 1.45 1.17 1.22 1.45 1.76 1.03
Inventory Turnover Ratio 4.49 3.85 3.44 3.73 6.99 3.24
Financial Structure Ratio
Debt Ratio 34.39% 57.45% 38.44% 24.73% 46.78% 17.78%
Debt/Equity Ratio 52.42% 135.04% 62.45% 32.85% 87.90% 21.63%
Profitability Ratio
Gross Profit Margin 44.87% 45.39% 51.30% 41.69% 47.33% 42.13%
Operating Profit Margin 11.78% 3.10% 7.50% -0.22% 16.00% 7.05%
Net Profit Margin 7.75% 2.36% 5.20% 3.80% 11.56% 5.39%
ROA 11.22% 2.76% 6.37% 5.49% 18.02% 5.53%
ROE 17.10% 6.49% 10.30% 7.30% 33.87% 6.72%
The above table illustrates the summary of key financial ratios of Nike, Inc. and its
competitors, including Adidas AG, Puma SE, Skechers, Li Ning and Columbia sportswear
company. As you can see from the liquidity ratio, Columbia sportswear company has an
impressive liquidity position shown by current ratio and quick ratio being higher than other
companies while Nike ranks number 3 which still in the good place. However, Nike has the
lowest days payable ratio. It means that Nike has to pay its bills to suppliers faster than other
companies.
For the asset management aspect, Li Ning can use its assets most efficiently in
generating sales shown by both total asset turnover ratio and inventory turnover ratio that are
above other companies while Nike ranks the second place. Turning to financial structure
ratio, Adidas has the highest debt ratio and debt to equity ratio, indicating that Adidas is more
leveraged than peers. The high debt to equity ratio limits its ability to borrow funds at
reasonable interest rates and leads to high borrowing costs, resulting in the low net income
supported by its net profit margin, 2.36 percent, which is lower than other companies. Not
surprisingly, Adidas faces the highest financial risk measured by financial leverage, 2.35
times. Nikes financial structure, on the other hand, is financially strong.
For the profitability aspect, all profitability ratios apart from gross profit margin show
that Li Ning is the most successful company in terms of generating returns while Puma has
the highest gross profit margin, 51.3 percent. For Nike Inc., its overall efficiency and
performance measured by profitability ratios ranks the second place follow Li Ning except its
gross profit margin which ranks the fourth place.
Columbia
Nike Adidas Puma Skechers Li-Ning Sportswear
Net Profit Margin 7.75% 2.36% 5.20% 3.80% 11.56% 5.39%
Total Asset Turnover Ratio 1.45 1.17 1.22 1.45 1.76 1.03
Financial Leverage 1.52 2.35 1.62 1.33 1.88 1.22
ROE 17.10% 6.49% 10.32% 7.30% 38.87% 6.72%
ROA
20.00%
18.00%
16.00%
14.00%
12.00%
10.00%
8.00%
6.00%
4.00%
2.00%
0.00%
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Net Profit Margin Operating Profit Margin
14.00% 18.00%
12.00% 16.00%
10.00% 14.00%
12.00%
8.00% 10.00%
6.00% 8.00%
4.00% 6.00%
2.00% 4.00%
0.00% 2.00%
0.00%
-2.00%
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Days Payable Inventory Turnover Ratio
90.00 8.00
80.00 7.00
70.00 6.00
60.00 5.00
50.00 4.00
40.00
30.00 3.00
20.00 2.00
10.00 1.00
0.00 0.00
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Debt/Equity Ratio Current Ratio
160.00% 6.00
140.00% 5.00
120.00%
100.00% 4.00
80.00% 3.00
60.00% 2.00
40.00%
20.00% 1.00
0.00% 0.00
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Organizational Chart of Nike Inc.
The organizational chart above is the functional organizational chart, which is structured with
fewer managers at the top and more people with lower power at the bottom. In this type of
chart, job classifications are well-defined, and authorities were up-down.
The advantages of the functional organizational chart are that it offers high level of
specialization, whereby entry-level employees can develop their specialized skills and
knowledge as they move up the hierarchy. In addition, employees who are experts in their
functional area are eligible to perform with high speed and efficiency. Since the career path in
the functional units are clear, employees are more likely to be motivated to advance their
career path, which will result in employees becoming more productive.
On the other hand, functional organizational chart also comes with drawbacks. Even
though the specialized unit operates with high efficiency, but they might not be able to
perform well with other units. Therefore if a project requires several units to work together,
the units may be unwilling to cooperate with one another and this will lead to the projects to
fall behind schedule. Moreover, as the organization becomes larger, the top manager needs to
delegate more decision making responsibilities to each area, therefore it is challenging top
managers to maintain control and manage the several different units of the organization well.
Recommended Organizational Chart
After having re-organized the structure of Nike Incorporation, it is suggested that the Greater
China and Nike Golf should be under supervision of Chief Operating Officer since Chief
Operating Officer has already taken care of the Nike products according to the territories
assigned. Moreover, the Nike Golf should be under the management of Nike Brand. The
major readjustments to Nike Brand it is divided into the product types, which can be seen on
the right and the interactions to customers, which can be seen on the left hand side.
For Adidas and Puma, which are the key players in the industry. It can be seen that all
three brands, Nike, Adidas, and Puma are the brands that good emphasis on fashion and it has
a good performance. The other competitors, such as Columbia Sportswear, Li-Ning, and
Skechers are less fashionable, but more into technology have a good performance.
Nike Marketing Strategies
Targeting Strategies
As Nike products are produced with high quality and it has continuously gained reputations
from all over the world, it can be seen that the prices of Nike products are more expensive
than most other brands. Consumers who purchase Nike usually perceive it has high-end
products.
The fact that majority of Nike consumers are the sportsmen or even females who play
sports. This is why Nike has been focusing on product sponsorship for professional and well-
known athletic team, college sports team, and even celebrity athletes. Events like American
Football, soccer tournament, golf tournament, and even FIFA World Cup receive sponsorship
from Nike. As a result, Nike becomes successful as it was able to reach many athletes.
Sometimes the manager of the sports team lay down a particular kind of track shoes, so the
team members have no choice, but to purchase them. More marketing strategies of Nike
include the styling of product purpose. When the superstar athlete sponsors Nike, it will be
related to victory. This psychological effect affect the viewers and it is reinforced with
promotions which affirms this.
Pricing Strategies
The pricing strategies of Nike is focuses on product understanding and closeness. This
lead to the fact the Nike set higher costs than its rivalries. The superior quality havelead to the
superior prices which therefore have added the value to the product, as consumers begin to
view Nike as a high-end product.
Distribution Strategies
It is vital for on-time delivery of the Nike products to the consumers, since it results in
the high level of consumers satisfaction as well as loyalty. Nike Inc. distributes the products
based on the level. High costs (premiums) products are distributed to particular distributors,
whereby low priced products are to be traded at discounted prices at retail stores.
Communication and Promotional Marketing Strategy
Nike has hired several professionals and sports men celebrities that managed to make
a considerable interest to their products. Athletes such as Ronaldo, Lebron James, or Tiger
Woods are some of the contracted male athletes. This havelead to a high level of Nike
products awareness. Additionally, Nike also increased its brand awareness by using a
selective demand ad targets on higher cost shoes utilized for typical sports.
Nike operates worldwide, over six major territories which comprised of: North America,
Western Europe, Central/Eastern Europe, Emerging Markets (developing countries), Great
China, and Japan. According to the Nike website, the total contract factories under Nike are
612 factories worldwide, which locates in 46 countries globally, with 819,990 workers
worldwide.
Value Chain Analysis
In the primary activities, the inbound logistics for Nike concerns the growth in revenue and
decreasing carbon emissions as well. Though the processes of operations, Nike wants to
become as environmental friendly as possible. For outbound logistics, Nike has selected the
means of transportations which is most environmental friendly. The marketing and sales
department has continuously develop a good advertising campaign, by being a sponsor in a
sports competition or hiring a brand ambassador. It creates value directly by changing the
consumers perspective to view Nike as a high-end brand. Good services, such as after sales
services by being to change the products even if they have minor defects also contributes to
the added value of the product.
According to the supporting activities, the products of Nike has been produced through
factories worldwide. It has been chosen by Nike, concerned already regarding the quality at
acceptable cost. Moreover, the human resource management ensures that the staffs have been
working professionally, focusing on their specialized tasks. Each one has been assigned a
specific tasks. The technological development has allowed Nike to make its running shoes
becoming the most updated technology, which makes running becomes much easier for
athletes.
Nike Website & Nike Online Store
The photo above is the homepage of http://www.nike.com. It can be seen that Nike has been
using Russell Wilson as the brand ambassador, which is consistent with its marketing effort.
The website is relatively fast and easy to use. People of all ages can access the website easily
and look at the products available online.
On the Nike online website, consumers can browse over more than 7,080 products via
internet. The products are well categorized by gender, categories (shoes, clothing), sports,
collections, and even custom made. One cool thing about the Nike online shop is that
consumers can customize their Nike products online with NikeiD.
Value of the Firm Analysis
The above table shows the average growth rate of Nikes revenue which is computed
from the percentage change in revenue during the year of 2000-2009. In this case, our group
is going to use the 5year compound average growth since this value gives us more accurate
value than the 5year average growth rate. Therefore, our historical growth rate is 8.36%.
Sustainable Growth Rate for each year is calculated by the following formula:
The above table is the summary when we run simple linear regression between GDP Growth
and Industry Growth.
In order to forecast the company growth in 2010, we use the forecasted GDP growth
and industry growth to run multiple regressions as x-variables:
Therefore, we substitute expected GDP growth and Industry growth in 2010 in the
multiple linear regression and we will get the company growth is 8.64%
4. Qualitative Analysis
According to the world economic problem, we found that in the beginning of 2009,
US has got Hamburger crisis, subprime lending had become too aggressive, many subprime
mortgages were going to go into default, and as a result securities backed by subprime
mortgages were falling in value. This impact creates negative impacts not only to the banking
industry but also to the textile-apparel & accessories industry where Nike fell in. However,
since Nike is the company has the customer based in many countries around the world and its
brand and its products are well recognized and have good reputation, its sales revenue still
increases but not that much, comparing to the previous year. So, we adjust the qualitative
growth rate of the company to be 10%.
By looking the past financial statement and the performance in doing business, Nike
can be considered as Good Company which has good reputation. Moreover, from the
Internal Assessment analysis, we can see that Nike has several strengths which overweight its
weaknesses. Therefore, we can conclude that Nike is a good company and we think Nike
should have 7 years excess return period with only one year transitional period after that the
growth rate will be constant forever.
The above table shows the forecasted revenues in the next 10 years staring from 2010
to 2019. During the first seven years, starting from 2010 to 2016, we use the average growth
rate after qualitative adjustment which equal to 11.42%. Then, during the transition period,
we use the growth rate equal to 7.32% which is the average between ERP and long term
inflation rate. After that, Nike will grow at constant rate which is equal to average rate of long
term inflation which is equal to 3.22%.
For the valuation method, since the interest expenses of Nike is missing and the
leverage of the company is quite constant, we will not use the FCFF method to find the
intrinsic value of the company. Moreover, since the dividend of Nike is subjected to less than
80% of FCFE in every year, the dividend discount model also should not be applied. As a
result, our group chooses to find the intrinsic value of Nike by using FCFE method.
Forecasting FCFE
Remark: For the Beta of Nike, we run simple liner regression by using change in yearly
market return as X-variable and change in yearly stock return as Y-variable for 15 years.
SW Analysis: Strengths
SW Analysis: Weaknesses
1. Nike has its reputation for exploiting for inexpensive child labor at the Asian factories
where products are produced.
2. Nike has history for its overtime laws and minimum wage rates in Vietnam.
3. Nike has been accused of poor working conditions in the production factories of Nike
products.
4. Nike has constant focal point for negative criticism by anti-globalization groups.
5. The uncovered child labor law in Pakistan led to criticisms about Nike, and as a result
Nike has seen a slight sales decline.
6. Many human right groups formed alliance to pronounce the Nike scandal testimonial
and have ended in the tarnish of Nike reputation.
7. Nike lacks retail stores and its products most of the time has to be ordered online.
8. Boards of directors have an average age of around 60.
9. Even though Nike has a diversified range of sports products, but its income is heavily
depended on footwear market.
10. The low price competition that arises cause Nike to have lowered their price in order
to compete with the competitors. This caused Nike to lose a certain amount of margin.
11. The only way to deal with price cut by retailer is by opening its own physical stores.
However, this would increase the fixed overhead costs (wages, rents, utilities).
12. Nike has a fewer distribution of products (retail stores) when being compared to its
competitors.
13. High advertising cost is a part of concern of Nike. The strategies that involves locking
major athletes has been prove successful, yet comes at a very high price tag.
14. Due to the strong brand, Nike can be seen as exploitative and greedy. Nike can
actually stick its logo on a plain white t-shirt and sell much more over the
manufacturing costs.
15. Supply chain is the most important and vulnerable aspect of Nike business model and
it has to ensure that Nike has a solid supply chain of raw materials to delivery
logistics.
16. Price sensitivity is a major concern for Nike, since its product has already comes with
high costs.
17. Consumers somehow perceive Nike as an expensive brand.
18. As a result of expensive brand perception, consumers begin to turn away from Nike.
19. The low market shares of Nike apparels have caused a concern for Nike.
20. Nike has to find an equilibrium point between price and quality if it still wants to be
the number one player within the shoe industry.
Politic
The United States is a federal constitutional republic, in which the President of the
United State (the head of state and head of government), Congress, and judiciary share
powers reserved to the national government, and the federal government shares sovereignty
with the state governments.
Mr. Barack Obama from Democratic party won the president election and became 44th
president of the United State.
The Democratic Party is one of the 2 majors contemporary political parties in United
state, along with the younger Republican Party. Tracing its origins back to the Democratic-
Republican party, was founded around 1828.There have been 15 Democratic presidents, the
first was Andrew Jackson, who served from 1829 to 1837; the most recent is the current
president, Barack Obama, who just officially gave an oath on Jan 20, 2009.
Figure 1.1
Figure 1.2
2. Political Stability and Absence of Violence (PV) capturing percepti ons of the
likelihood that the government will be destabilized or overthrown by unconstitutional or
violent means, including politically- motivated violence and terrorism.
5. Rule of Law (RL) capturing perceptions of the extent to which agents have
confidence in and abide by the rules of society, and in particular the quality of contract
enforcement, property rights, the police, and the courts, as well as the likelihood of crime and
violence.
Tracing back to the 9/11 Al-Queda terrorist , since 2001, President George W. Bush
calls for the reconstruction of Afghanistan The U.S. Congress appropriates over $38 billion in
humanitarian and reconstruction assistance to Afghanistan from 2001 to 2009. Still in 2009,
with help of NATO, reconstruction has still implemented and more troop will be sent to
Afghanistan. In 2009, the situation is considered to be quite intense and more pressure than in
2008 which makes the figure and indicators indicate the lower number as a reflection of
negative American perspective.
Since the Obama foreign policy intends to end the war in Iraq, finish the fight against
the Taliban and al Qaeda in Afghanistan, secure nuclear weapons and loose nuclear materials
from terrorists, and renew American diplomacy to support strong alliances and to seek a
lasting peace in the Israeli-Palestinian conflict.
After the first year(2009) of President Obama administration, it is hoped that the
American confidence on government effectiveness will be improved after many policies
implemented.
Figure 1.2.1
Political instability index shows that current politic condition in United state is quite
moderate compared to its comparable competitor such as China which the index shows
warning situation. If China politic condition still remain until 2010, rival company based in
China such as Li Ning PCL will probable get effected. In turn, if Nike can create any
opportunities to launch any product and generate revenue to be exceed those of Li Ning, it
will reduce the Li Ning competitive potential in the long run.
Consumption
During the second half of 2009, As a result of president Barack Obama
administration's policy, the consumer spending is increased intentionally to help boost the
economy. Apart from $787 billion stimulus program, to improve financial stability,
government offers perks, benefits, and incentives throughout the year . For example, cash for
clunkers program, the car trade-in arrangement provided monetary incentivesa credit of
$3,500 to $4,500to car owners who replaced their existing vehicles with cars that had a
better fuel efficiency. The government pledged $3 billion for the program, and that funding
was depleted in just a few months.
In addition, First-time homebuyers were also given a purchase incentive in the form
of an $8,000 tax credit. Homeowners who had been in their homes for at least five years were
also entitled to a tax credit when buying a new house. Also an extension of unemployment
benefits provided to Americans who had been out of work for an extended period of time.
Benefits to the unemployed were extended by 14 weeks across the country, and by an
additional six weeks for those who lived in states with unemployment rates higher than 8.5%.
figure 1.4
figure 1.4 shows an inflation rate (change in consumer price index over time) of
United state.
Apparently, inflation rate begin to bound back in the second half of 2009 which
reflect the government policy and consumer confidence toward the economy.
Investment spending
Investment from local and foreign in United State started to improve after an
economic recovery. With government policy supported, investment spending will show a
positive sign for United State.
figure 1.5
figure 1.5 shows the interest rate during 2007-2009, According to federal reserve,
interest rate will be kept at near-zero level around 0-0.25% for several quarter afterward in
order to bottom United State out of inflation and to provide incentive for investment and
consumption spending. As a result of policies implemented, in 2009, the business confidence
and business profit figure start to show positive figure and was more relief through the
second half of the year.
Government Spending
Since year 2009 is considered to be the year of economic recovery, government put
more effort trying to inject money in to the system; through open market operation. Total
government spending in all categories during 2009 accounts for $3.518 trillion which made a
deficit of $1.413 trillion. Tracking some part of spending; around $644 billion spent for social
security while $408 billion spent on medicare system. Another $360 billion are spent on
unemployment and welfare resolution.
The result of government spending is quite well for recovering economy. The
unemployment started to decline during the first time when program was launched, however,
unemployment rate was still quite fluctuated and end the year with an increase several points.
Tax cut tend to attract the investor to invest more both in portfolio and direct investment.
Business owner start to have more confidence on long-term borrowing
Net export
Obama administration put more emphasis on fair trade agreement and stimulate
national export. During 2009, the figure 1.6 shows balance of trade deficit all over the year.
The figure shown in 2009 is considered to be better than those of 2008 whose balance of
trade plummeted to almost the trough. However, the current account shows positive sign--
less negative figurewhich means that the barrier-to-product-import measurement works.
According to figure 1.3, in February 2009, President Obama signed a $787 billion
stimulus package into law, with the hope that the money would help to create 3.5 million jobs
for out-of-work and underemployed Americans and help pull the U.S. out of recession. Also
the GDP was expected to improve overtime after implement the policy. In the figure above, it
evidenced that the injection policy was work and was able to stimulate economic growth. By
October 2009, the unemployment rate reached 10.2%, the highest level in 26 years, though a
broader measure tracked by the Labor Department, which includes unemployed,
underemployed, and discouraged workers, stood at 17.5%. The outlook improved by
December, when the unemployment rate declined to 10% and the number of jobs lost was
just 11,000, fall considerably from a January high of 741,000.
US Stock market
figure 1.4
Figure 1.4 : S&P 500 index of US shared listed during the he second half of the year.
The US stock market has improved overtime and is expected to last long til year 2010. These
may be the result of Barack Obama administration's economic stimulus policy. Both local and
foreign investor have more confidence toward US economy proofed by tax incentives policy,
small business investment, and government spending.
US Housing market
figure 1.5
Figure 1.5 shows the graph of housing price index on month-on-month basis.
According to figure 1.5, during Q3/2009, the house price index showed positive
signal toward the economic recovery. However, during Q4/2009, the index fell down only
just a little compared by month on month basis or 1.2 percent year on year basis. This 1.2
percent implies the last longing of recovery because there is only a fluctuated amount at the
end of 2009. Then,in 2010, it is hoped that housing price index will start the year with an
improved performance also positive sign of economy will reflect housing price index in the
same way.
Social Unemployment
In 2009, the unemployment rate still has surged until the end of the year. Apparently,
it implies that even if there is $787 stimilus program to stimulate the economic activity but
however, it is still not translated into employment. Most of employee recently are employed
temporarily. The unemployment rate reached a peak of 10 percent at the end of 2009. the rate
is expected to remain high until March 2010.
Income Gap and poverty
In 2009, the income gap started widen. Under President Obama, government will
spend more on welfare in a single year than President George W. Bush spent on the war in
Iraq during his entire presidency. According to the Congressional Research Service, the cost
of the Iraq war through the end of the Bush Administration was around $622 billion. By
contrast, annual federal and state means-tested welfare spending will reach $888 billion in FY
2010. Federal welfare spending alone will equal $697 billion in that year.
According to American Community Survey reveals that median household income
fell in the US nearly 3 percent between 2008 and 2009, from $51,726 to $50,221. Median
income declined in 34 states; income gap between the rich and the poor grew to its widest
amount on record as young adults and children struggled to stay afloat in the recession.
Recently, there is no measurement announced to curve out the situation. If the gap widen still
exist witnout any solution, economy will not be able to improve.
Technology
In 2009, it is considered to be the year of breakthrough. There was may technology
breakthrough, especially advance system of mobile phone, for instance the development of
android including navigation, application that was evolved to become an important role in
people's life. However, the most breakthrough that we believe can catch the attention is
Green Energy Development. Not only many institution emphasize on further development
on environmental-friendly product but also government was trying to support the research
and development as well; government will provide a tax credit on cash for clunker program,
not only to save cost for car buyer but also to ensure that more fuel efficiency car will be on
the road years afterward. According to the research, in 2009, solar panel was developed in
order to reduce electricity consumption, all electric car and plug-in hybrid car were also put
more further development. All of 2009 research went in the same way trying to focus more
on saving world energy and environment which is limited. By this, as a result, year 2010
trend is expected to be about environment issue. In case of Nike, if the company can produce
products which is environmentally-friendly, it is expected that it is likely to grab an attention
of the people more than just only a regular product.
External Factor Evaluation Matrix (EFE Matrix)
THREATS
GE Model
From the market attractiveness and Nikes strength from IFE and EFE matrix, we use
these scores to plot on the GE Model and we found that the position of Nike fall in Growth
Horizontal Integration or Stability. From our analysis, Nike is not in the Stability position, but
in Growth Horizontal Integration position, which is consistent with the current strategies of
Nike as you can see that Nike tries to expand its business by both internal and external
expansion. For example, Nike has acquired several apparel and footwear companies over the
course of its history. During the past ten years, in 2002, Nike bought surf apparel
company Hurley International from founder Bob Hurley. In 2003, Nike paid US$309 million
to acquire Converse, makers of the Chuck Taylor All-Stars line of sneakers. The company
acquired Starter in 2004 and Umbro, known as the manufacturers of the England national
football team's kit, in 2008.
Therefore, from this model, we can conclude that Nike has the ability to grow more in
the market since it has not yet reached the maturity state. In order to match with the GE
model, we recommend that during this time, Nike should expand its business by internal
expansion only since the economic situation is not stable. Nike should increase its retail
stores in abroad. As a result, we expected that increasing the retail store in abroad will effect
growing in turnover and consumer base.
Moreover, we also suggest to expand internal business of Nike by developing its main
product line or to find new products to meet the market as demand for health product
increased substantially, especially the product for aging population.
Competitive Profile Matrix
Analysis
From the competitive profile matrix analysis of apparel footwear and accessories
industry companies above, we can see that Nike has the highest total weighted score. The
CPM is the matrix that uses to compare the company and its competitors in the same industry.
The analysis reveals companys strengths and weaknesses against its competitors.
Nike Inc. has the highest market share, 46.4 percent, compared with its main
competitors and this can show that the companys brand is well known by most people. These
two factors are the most important factors that we give highest weight and the company get
0.8 score from these two factors. Nike expands its business globally. It sells the products in
over 170 countries around the world for example America, EMEA, Asia, and others so we
give 0.21 for the global expansion factor. Moreover, the company focuses on product
research and development as it believes that the R&D efforts are a key factor in its past
success. The staff of Nike are specialists in the many fields such as biomechanics, chemistry,
exercise physiology, engineering and industrial design. They produce the products that help
to reduce injury, enhance athletic performance and maximize comfort so we do not question
about its quality which score 0.36. However, the price of Nike is not that competitive if we
compare to other competitors so we give 0.27, which is lower than other competitors. For
marketing, Nike spends for advertising 12.26 percent of its revenues while Puma spends
20.08 percent of its revenues for advertisement. Looking at financial position, even though
Nike has many expenses that make its net profit become lower than Li Ning, its profitability
performance is still better than many competitors. The financial ratios of Nike in all parts are
not bad at all compare to other competitors. Summing up the CPM matrix score, Nike gets
total weighted score equal to 3.52. Nike is competitive in terms of market share, product
quality and product research and development. However, Nike should consider its pricing
strategy for better progress.
Puma SE does not grab a lot of market share. However, it has a desirable brand image
as one part maybe because it has done corporate social responsibility projects. The score of
these two factors combines is 0.7. Puma operates its business in geographical areas including
Asia Pacific, EMEA and America. In 2009,Puma spends only 0.02 percent of its sales in
product research and development. However, it spends large amounts to open the new
development center in Vietnam and it continues to guarantee the high quality standards of its
products coming out from the new development center. For advertisement, Puma spends
20.08 percent of its sales, which consider as high percentage so the score is 0.24 which is
higher than competitors. Additionally, the price of Puma is competitive comparing to other
competitors. Looking at financial position, Puma classifies as a good financial position
company. The key financial ratios look good except for its operating profit margin and the
asset turnover. Therefore, the company should keep an eye on its operating expenses and the
efficiency in using its assets to generate sales in order to increase the companys performance.
The total weighted score of Puma is 3.17 ranking number three follow Adidas.
Adidas Group has the second highest market share, 35.3 percent, among the
competitors and its brand is very well known. The score combined the two factors is 0.8.
Adidas operates its business in many geographic areas such as Europe, North America, Asia
Pacific and Latin America. For product research and development, the company said that
everyone in the Adidas Group is responsible for driving innovation so product innovation is a
prerequisite which it has to come up with new product every year and the quality of its
product is high as well. The score given on product research and development, and product
quality are0.24 and 0.36 respectively, which is same as Nike. The good score on product
research and development can lead to high customer loyalty as well because the company can
come up with the new product responding to the customers need. Moreover, the price of
Adidas is quite competitive compare to other competitors. The price range of Adidas is
closely the same as Pumas product prices. For the companys financial position, Adidas gets
score only 0.14 which is lowest comparing to other competitors. The reason is because the
company cannot well control its operating expenses, also the debt ratio is very high and the
asset management ratio is not good as well. However, the company gets a good score on
corporate social responsibility as it has done many CSR projects in many fields. Summing up
the CPM matrix score, Adidas gets 3.30, which is the second highest score. The company
should reconsider its financial position for better progress.
Columbia Sportswear has low market share which is 3.24 percent and the brand
recognition is not desirable. The score on market share and brand recognition are 0.2 and 0.2
respectively. However, Columbia Sportswear operates its business in many geographical
areas such as United States, EMEA, Latin America and Asia Pacific so the score for global
expansion is 0.21, which considers as good. Looking at the relationship with manufacturers
and suppliers, the company maintains 13 manufacturing offices, which the personnel in these
manufacturing offices are direct employees of each region. The company believes that having
employees physically located in each region will enhance the ability to monitor factories for
compliance with its policies, and standard labor practices so we give a good score on this
factor. However, the score on advertising is low as the company spends only 0.88 percent and
this may be the reason that is why its market share is low. For the asset management,
companys inventory ratio is lower than competitors and the lower inventory turnover ratio
implies that the customer loyalty is low so the score on inventory turnover and customer
loyalty is low. Summing up the CPM level, the company gets 2.79 ranking number five out of
six as many competitors have greater financial, marketing and have achieved greater brand
strength than the company have.
Li Ninghas low market share compare to competitors as its business operates only in
China so the score on market share and global expansion is quite low. However, the quality of
its products is desirable. The company has R&D lab to make the in-depth product research
and set up its libraries of apparel material so the score on product research and development
is 0.24, which is in a good range. Additionally, the price of companys products is very
competitive as the cost of production is quite low. For advertising, the company spends 15.40
percent of its revenue, which consider as high and the score on advertising is 0.18. Looking at
financial position, the company has strong financial position. The inventory turnover ratio is
quite high compare to competitors, which implies that it has high customer loyalty as well.
Moreover, the profitability ratios are impressive. Lastly, the company gets a good score on
corporate social responsibility as it has done a lot on CSR projects in many aspects for
example the safety environmental protection, and labor aspect. Summing up the score, the
company gets 3.06 ranking the fourth place.
Skechersgains 3.51 percent of market share. The company, however, operates its
business in many geographical areas such as Asia Pacific, EMEA, Australia and South
America. Also, the company aggressively promotes its brand through television, outdoor
campaigns and animated kids television campaigns as it believe that brand recognition is an
important element for success. The scores on global expansion and brand recognition are
desirable even though the score on market shareis quite low.For advertising, the company
spends 6.84 percent of its revenue for advertising which rates as moderate and the score on
advertising is 0.12. Moreover, the price of the product is competitive in the market. Looking
at financial ratio, all key financial ratio is okay except for the operating profit margin.
Therefore, the company should be very serious on controlling operating expenses. Moreover,
from our research we do not see that the company has done any corporate social
responsibility projects so we give 0 score on this factors. Summing up the CPM level, the
company gets 2.61 ranking number six.
SWOT Matrix
SWOT Matrix
TOWS Matrix
SPACE Analysis
Rating Remarks
Rating Remarks
Rating Remarks
Though Nike is well established, there still a
Growth potential 4
room to grow.
Market entry ability 3 Moderate ability for Nike to enter the market.
Rating Remarks
From the SPACE analysis Calculation, starting from internal analysis, the financial
strength of Nikes score is 4.4 which is considered quite high. Nike can use its assets
efficiently in generating sales and it has impressive liquidity position, as well as higher
inventory turnover than most competitors. For the competitive advantage score, the score is
quite high. Nike has many internal strengths such as high product quality, high customer
loyalty, good technological know-how and high bargaining power over suppliers. For external
analysis, industry strength score is 4.25. It has high growth potential to grow and can benefit
from economy of scale. Environmental stability score is good because there is low risk
involved in the business and high barriers for new comers to enter the market.
Nike should follow an aggressive strategy because it already has a strong competitive
position and a rapid growth. Nike should focus on internal strengths to take advantage of
external opportunities, fix internal weaknesses, and avoid external threats. Therefore, market
penetration; market development and product development would be appropriated to
implement these strategies.
Grand Strategy Matrix
Grand
Strategy Matrix has become an effective tool in devising alternative strategies. The matrix is
based on four important elements that can be described as two evaluative dimensions of
market growth and competitive position. These four elements form four quadrants matrix
wherein every organization can be placed in a way the identification and selection of
appropriate strategy becomes an easy task.
According to the diagram of Nikeabove, we can say that Nike belongs to the quadrant
IV. This means that Nike has strong competitive position and market growth is quite low. The
position in quadrant IV implies that recently, Nike has good strategic position already but
market growth is slow. Therefore, it should find the way to increase their sales during slow
market growth.
From both SPACE Analysis and Grand Strategy Matrix, it indicates that the company
falls into competitive area. In order to maintain its position in that area, the company should
concentrate on market penetration, market development, product development, SWOT, and
promotions. For market development, the company used its existing products to reach new
target market group such as focusing on new geographical areas and also target group of
people with new age range. Moreover, the company also took product development strategy
by launching new product that was developed from its existing products. Lastly, the company
offered special promotion during slow market growth period.
The BCG Matrix
Salesthis year
Relative market s h are= '
Leading rival s sales t h is year
19,176.10
Relative market s h are= =1 X
19,176.10
40,973.8341,933.38
Market growt h rate= = -2.29%
41,933.38
Analysis
Based on the Boston Consulting Group Matrix, shortly BCG matrix, Nike Inc. is
classified in Cash Cow division. According to the research of the NDP Group, Inc., a leading
market research company, it shown that the worldwide sports market has decline since 2005
and the year 2009, the global sportswear market was down supported by the global sales of
sports equipment, apparel and footwear is valued at 282 billion USD which is a 2 percent
decline from 2008. The percentage of market growth rate we calculated above is related to
the research we studied. While the market growth rate is slow-growing industry, Nike has a
strong relative market share, as the company itself is the leading company in the apparel
footwear and accessories. The following session we analyze BCG matrix in each product line.
However, we are going to use only five company including Nike. We do not do anything with
Skechers as the data are not available for us.
Product Line BCG Matrix
Columbia
Sales ($) in million Nike Puma SE Adidas Sportswear Li Ning
2008 2009 2008 2009 2008 2009 2008 2009 2008 2009
Footwear 9,731.60 10,306.70 2,108.42 1,849.75 7,230.93 6,466.75 217.20 214.60 426.19 520.52
Apparel 5,234.00 5,244.70 1,321.97 1,188.17 7,019.25 6,496.01 1032.60 955.00 457.54 575.22
Accessories & Equipment 1,130.40 1,110.40 280.1818 390.0669 1,624.35 1,498.97 68.00 74.40 78.99 131.80
Total 18,627.00 19,176.1 3,710.57 3,427.99 15,874.52 14,461.73 1,317.80 1,244.00 962.71 1,227.55
Nike 9,731.60 10,306.70 53.24% 5,234.00 5,244.70 36.27% 1,130.40 1,110.40 34.64%
Puma SE 2,108.42 1,849.75 9.56% 1,321.97 1,188.17 8.22% 280.1818 390.0669 12.17%
Adidas 7,230.93 6,466.75 33.41% 7,019.25 6,496.01 44.93% 1,624.35 1,498.97 46.76%
Columbia Sportswear 217.20 214.60 1.11% 1032.60 955.00 6.60% 68.00 74.40 2.32%
Li Ning 426.19 520.52 2.69% 457.54 575.22 3.98% 78.99 131.80 4.11%
Total 19,714.33 19,358.33 100.00% 15,065.35 14,459.10 100.00% 3,181.92 3,205.64 100.00%
Product Line:
Footwear
10,306.7
Relative market share= =1 X
10,306.7
19,358.3319,714.33
Market growth rate= = -1.81%
19,714.33
Apparel
5,244.7
Relative market share= =0.81 X
6,496.01
14,459.115,065.35
Market growth rate= = -4.02%
15,065.35
Accessories & Equipment
1,110.4
Relative market share= =0.74 X
1,498.97
40,973.8341,933.38
Market growth rate= = 0.75%
41,933.38
Analysis in Product Line
Footwear and Apparelfall in the cash cow division. Both product lines have lower
market growth ratesupported by the decline of 1.81 percent sales of footwear and 4.02
percent sales of apparel in the industry. However, Nike has high relative market share in both
product lines, especially in the footwear sector. Nike grabs the highest market share in
footwear while it has the second highest market share in apparel line. Most people would say
that cash cow is not worth invested, as it will become dog very soon. However, cash cowhas
competitively advantaged lower growth businesses with a large cash generation
capability.Therefore, the company should direct its resources toward maximizing its sales and
marketing resources dedicated to raising awareness about them tend to be money well spent.
Accessories & Equipment falls in the star division. This product line has positive
market growth and the relative market share is quite high but still lower than Adidas. As the
product has high market share,Nike has a strong opportunity to increase its sales by
implementing aggressive strategy. Furthermore, the company is well established. It does not
need to spend a lot on reintroducing brand to the market again only do the promotions on
products and more distribution so as to maximize its revenues.
The Internal-External Analysis
According to the diagram above, it can be seen that Nike got IFE scores at 2.675 and
EFE scores at 2.81. This means that Nike has quite moderate internal strength to handle with
circumstance in the market and it also has moderate ability to respond with the external
factors. In the beginning of 2009, US has got Hamburger crisis, subprime lending had
become too aggressive, many subprime mortgages were going to go into default. This impact
creates negative impacts not only to the banking industry but also to the textile-apparel &
accessories industry where Nike fell in.However, since Nike is the company has the customer
based in many countries around the world and its brand and its products are well recognized
and have good reputation, its sales revenue still increases but not that much. Furthermore, IE
Matrix indicates that domestic division is in cell 5 which means that the situation is quite
moderate. What the company should do is to grow and build. Market penetration and product
development could be their options.
Rank Recommended Strategy Rating
Score
1 Increasing the number of retail store in abroad 5.61
In order to respond consumer needs directly,Nike plans to increase the retail store in other
countries, instead of ordering via online where consumers have to pay more fees.Also,
this strategy will make consumers convenient in order not to wait the products for a long
time.Moreover,Nike can directly access to potential customers or customers that we can
create brand loyalty from them.We also expected that in increasing the retail store in
abroad will effect growing in turnover and consumer base.It is because people know more
about Nike.
2 Focusing on R&D by creating new fashion trend and the customer's 5.5
preference
Because most of Nike product line falls into cash cow category, it is best that the company
use part of the streaming cash flow to maintain the high level of support for R&D. Since
R&D can result in constantly soars ahead of its competition. It gives useful knowledge
that the company can use to further develop its main product line or to find new products
to meet the market as demand for health product increased substantially.
3 Nike's Application on smart phone and gadgets 4.96
Number of people using smartphone has been growing fast each year, thus Nike should
provide application for smartphone users. By providing app and gadget through
android,IOS, Symbian and window application to make it easier for them to reach the
brand and get up to date information of Nike with convenience instead of having to
enterthrough the website to see new collection and other events.Also the faster customer
gets the information, thefaster turnover as well.
4 Doing marketing plan to increase sales in footwear and apparel 4.85
Main product of Nike, footwear and apparel, falls into cash cow category in BCG matrix.
This means that the product are regarded a mature market, high market share with low or
stable growth. The cash cow product is very important in a way that it provides huge cash
flow to generate income to the company so its essential to budget for its continued
success. And with constantly put care into this product line, Nike might have push it to
become star again and enjoy high market share in a fast-growing industry.
5 Focusing on footwear sales for kid and elder to reach new target 4.64
Nike is known for its famous footwear product line but mostly the target is on teenagers
and now it has already gained certain amount of that market share. So Nike should
consider experimenting and researching on new target group which are kids and elders.
The trend has also shown the fast growing number on this segment. With all data gather
then, Nikecould produce the product with features that meet with their customers need,
such as color, style, function, and etc.
6 After sales service division 4.48
To provide more alternatives for the customers who bought the products or have problems
with the product to be able to fixthem. Although this might not cause an immediate shift
in sales growth but it would create customer loyalty which is more important nowadays as
it is a long term relationship with the brand. Customer would be more satisfy if we
provide them with after sale service as well and they might come back to Nike repeatedly.
7 Discounting price for the new shoes by redeeming the old one 3.02
We create the promotion Getting discount from the old shoes which is about swap the
old shoes to get discount 50% of the new one.Due to consumer behavior is quite low in
this sector which causes of low in net profit margin when compared to the last year.For
this reason,we create this promotion in order to convince current and new consumers to
purchase the products and stimulate circulation .we expected that sales will increase by
5% of the shoes.
8 Doing more CSR project to help reduce advertising cost and improve brand 1.64
image
Brand image of Nike isnt necessary the best, so contributing more for social
responsibility would improve companys brand image. And at the same time, would be a
kind of promoting the company itself with less cost because then, Nike wouldnt have to
spend a lot more for hiring top athletes to promote the products. This would help Nike
reduce one of its cost concern.
Recommendation
Projected Income Statement
With current strategies of Nike, we find five-year average gross profit margin,
operating profit margin, and net operating profit margin which equal to 44.46%, 31.72%, and
12.74%, respectively. We use these numbers in order to project Income Statement in the next
ten years.
As we shown in part of Value of the Firm Analysis, the excess return period of Nike is
estimated to be seven years, with only one year transition period. The growth rate in excess
return period of Nike is found from the average of historical growth, sustainable growth,
multiple regression growth and also adjusted with qualitative adjustment, which equal to
11.42%, while the growth of transition period is 7.32% which come from the average
between growth during excess return period and long term inflation rate. So, the expected
revenues will be as follows:
% change in
Year Revenues revenue
2009 19,176,100,000.00
2010 21,366,010,620.00 11.42%
2011 23,806,009,032.80 11.42%
2012 26,524,655,264.35 11.42%
2013 29,553,770,895.54 11.42%
2014 32,928,811,531.81 11.42%
2015 36,689,281,808.74 11.42%
2016 40,879,197,791.30 11.42%
2017 43,871,555,069.62 7.32%
2018 45,284,219,142.87 3.22%
2019 46,742,370,999.27 3.22%
After we get the expect sale revenue of the firm, next we projected the income
statement of firm. First we projected the firm income statement in case if the firm maintains
its strategy. We use 5-year average gross profit margin and 5-year average operating expense
margin together with the sale revenue that we already had projected. We will get the gross
profit, operating expense then we can later calculate the EBIT and so on to get Net Income
and EPS. Therefore, expected income statements in the next ten years are as follows:
Interest Number of
Year Expenses EBT Tax Net Income Shares EPS
2010 22,400,000.00 2,763,727,784.85 690,931,946.21 2,072,795,838.64 968700000 2.14
2011 22,400,000.00 3,081,903,577.88 770,475,894.47 2,311,427,683.41 968700000 2.39
2012 22,400,000.00 3,436,415,046.47 859,103,761.62 2,577,311,284.85 968700000 2.66
2013 22,400,000.00 3,831,411,724.78 957,852,931.19 2,873,558,793.58 968700000 2.97
2014 22,400,000.00 4,271,517,023.75 1,067,879,255.94 3,203,637,767.81 968700000 3.31
2015 22,400,000.00 4,761,882,347.86 1,190,470,586.97 3,571,411,760.89 968700000 3.69
2016 22,400,000.00 5,308,247,391.99 1,327,061,848.00 3,981,185,543.99 968700000 4.11
2017 22,400,000.00 5,698,450,781.08 1,424,612,695.27 4,273,838,085.81 968700000 4.41
2018 22,400,000.00 5,882,662,176.23 1,470,665,544.06 4,411,996,632.17 968700000 4.55
2019 22,400,000.00 6,072,805,178.30 1,518,201,294.58 4,554,603,883.73 968700000 4.70
Year 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Revenue 21366010620.00 23806009032.80 26524655264.35 29553770895.54 32928811531.81
Cost of Goods Sold 11866682298.35 13221857416.82 14731793533.82 16414164355.38 18288661924.77
Gross Profit 9499328321.65 10584151615.98 11792861730.53 13139606540.16 14640149607.04
Operating Expenses 6713200536.80 7479848038.11 8334046684.06 9285794815.38 10346232583.29
EBIT 2786127784.85 3104303577.88 3458815046.47 3853811724.78 4293917023.75
Interest Expenses 22400000.00 22400000.00 22400000.00 22400000.00 22400000.00
EBT 2763727784.85 3081903577.88 3436415046.47 3831411724.78 4271517023.75
Tax 690931946.21 770475894.47 859103761.62 957852931.19 1067879255.94
Net Income 2072795838.64 2311427683.41 2577311284.85 2873558793.58 3203637767.81
Number of Shares 968700000.00 968700000.00 968700000.00 968700000.00 968700000.00
EPS 2.14 2.39 2.66 2.97 3.31
- For the first recommended strategy, which we suggest Nike to expand the retail store
abroad, we suggest to finance this project by using retained earning as the major
source of fund, 80% as it is the cheapest one, and finance another 20% by borrowing
from local banks in that country to avoid currency risk. Moreover, the reason why we
use retained earning more than debt due to the economic uncertainty during this time
which may create high risk to the company if we use debt to finance the project. As a
result, average rate of borrowing of 7% with total amount of 200 million dollars.
- Operating Expenses increase 4% of salesdue to the higher expenses from research and
development expenses in order to follow the second, third and fifth recommended
strategies during the first three years and drop to 2% after that.
- S&A expense increase 1% of sale in year 2011 after Nike's Application on smart phone
and gadgets can operate in 2011.
- Marketing plan to increase sales in footwear and apparel causes advertising expenses
increase 1% of sales.
- After sales service division will be completely operate in 2012, which causes S&A
expense increase 2% of sale every year
- Although CSR project can decrease advertising expenses, costs due to CSR project
will increase operating expenses 1% of sales every year.
- All strategies will make sale and cost increase as follows:
Therefore, we can use this table as a benchmark in order to project the income
statement if Nike follows our recommended strategies. The projected income statement in the
next ten year will be as follows:
Year Revenue Cost of Goods Sold Gross Profit
2010 23,283,620,620.00 12,931,114,309.42 10,352,506,310.58
2011 28,270,972,156.80 15,700,958,994.49 12,570,013,162.31
2012 35,740,163,000.63 19,849,152,360.84 15,891,010,639.79
2013 46,969,722,215.43 26,085,756,032.62 20,883,966,182.81
2014 61,727,608,935.52 34,281,900,578.06 27,445,708,357.45
2015 81,122,423,663.06 45,053,273,739.69 36,069,149,923.37
2016 102,554,967,994.84 56,956,348,661.72 45,598,619,333.12
2017 124,522,242,139.33 69,156,398,545.06 55,365,843,594.28
2018 151,194,906,405.58 83,969,699,113.41 67,225,207,292.17
2019 183,580,855,357.65 101,956,008,663.50 81,624,846,694.15
Interest
Year R&D expenses SG&A Expenses EBIT Expenses
201
0 931,344,824.80 8,084,073,079.26 1,337,088,406.52 14,000,000.00
2011 1,130,838,886.27 10,098,391,254.41 1,340,783,021.63 14,000,000.00
201
2 1,429,606,520.03 13,123,787,853.83 1,337,616,265.93 14,000,000.00
201
3 939,394,444.31 17,247,281,997.51 2,697,289,741.00 14,000,000.00
201
4 1,234,552,178.71 21,431,825,822.41 4,779,330,356.33 14,000,000.00
201
5 1,622,448,473.26 28,165,705,495.81 6,280,995,954.29 14,000,000.00
201
6 2,051,099,359.90 35,607,084,887.81 7,940,435,085.42 14,000,000.00
201
7 2,490,444,842.79 43,234,122,470.78 9,641,276,280.71 14,000,000.00
201
8 3,023,898,128.11 52,494,871,504.02 11,706,437,660.04 14,000,000.00
201
9 3,671,617,107.15 63,739,272,980.18 14,213,956,606.82 14,000,000.00
# of
Year EBT Tax Net Income Shares EPS
201 96870000
0 1,323,088,406.52 330,772,101.63 992,316,304.89 0 1.02
96870000
2011 1,326,783,021.63 331,695,755.41 995,087,266.22 0 1.03
201 96870000
2 1,323,616,265.93 330,904,066.48 992,712,199.45 0 1.02
201 96870000
3 2,683,289,741.00 670,822,435.25 2,012,467,305.75 0 2.08
201 96870000
4 4,765,330,356.33 1,191,332,589.08 3,573,997,767.25 0 3.69
201 96870000
5 6,266,995,954.29 1,566,748,988.57 4,700,246,965.72 0 4.85
201 96870000
6 7,926,435,085.42 1,981,608,771.35 5,944,826,314.06 0 6.14
201 96870000
7 9,627,276,280.71 2,406,819,070.18 7,220,457,210.53 0 7.45
201 96870000
8 11,692,437,660.04 2,923,109,415.01 8,769,328,245.03 0 9.05
201 96870000
9 14,199,956,606.82 3,549,989,151.71 10,649,967,455.12 0 10.99
Year 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Revenue 23283620620.00 28270972156.80 35740163000.63 46969722215.43 61727608935.52
Cost of Goods Sold 12931114309.42 15700958994.49 19849152360.84 26085756032.62 34281900578.06
Gross Profit 10352506310.58 12570013162.31 15891010639.79 20883966182.81 27445708357.45
R&D expenses 931344824.80 1130838886.27 1429606520.03 939394444.31 1234552178.71
SG&A Expenses 8084073079.26 10098391254.41 13123787853.83 17247281997.51 21431825822.41
EBIT 1337088406.52 1340783021.63 1337616265.93 2697289741.00 4779330356.33
Interest Expenses 14000000.00 14000000.00 14000000.00 14000000.00 14000000.00
EBT 1323088406.52 1326783021.63 1323616265.93 2683289741.00 4765330356.33
Tax 330772101.63 331695755.41 330904066.48 670822435.25 1191332589.08
Net Income 992316304.89 995087266.22 992712199.45 2012467305.75 3573997767.25
# of Shares 968700000.00 968700000.00 968700000.00 968700000.00 968700000.00
EPS 1.02 1.03 1.02 2.08 3.69
12.00
10.00
8.00
6.00 EPS(Strategies)
EPS
4.00
2.00
0.00
2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020
16000000000.00
14000000000.00
12000000000.00
10000000000.00
8000000000.00 EBIT(Strategies)
6000000000.00 EBIT
4000000000.00
2000000000.00
0.00
2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020
Next, we will capture the cost and benefit from using debt as our source of fund to
finance the expansion of Nike. Since the company finances by borrowing, resulting in
increasing in interest expenses, the degree of financial leverage of Nike will be higher as you
can see from the below table.
You can see that during the time that EBIT with our strategies lower than EBIT with
current strategies which is the first four year, the percentage decrease in EPS drop more than
the percentage decrease in EBIT, while when EBIT with our strategies higher than EBIT with
current strategies which is after the first four year, the percentage increase in EPS increase
more than the percentage decrease in EBIT. This is due to the effect of DFL.
Year 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
1.003
DFL(Strategies) 1.0106 1.0106 1.0106 1.0059 1.0053 1.0047 1.0042 1.0039 1.0038 7
1.001
DFL 1.0082 1.0073 1.0066 1.0052 1.0029 1.0022 1.0018 1.0015 1.0012 0
Next step, we are going to do the projected balance sheet, we need to forecast the data
following the historical liabilities and equity from last 3-year.
For 3-year historical Asset we use 2007-2009 to find the average percentage cash of
asset, marketable securities, and inventories and so on as shown in the table below. We used
each asset amount divided by total asset and then we averaged all 3-year to get the forecast
balance sheet in year 2010. The result is shown in the last column.
And then do the same similar method with the liabilities and equities .Using historical
data from last 3 years which are 2007-2009. And use it to find out 3-year average historical
liabilities and equities. By using amount of each liability or equity divided by total liabilities
and equities. The result is show in the table below.
After we get all of average historical data, we can use that to do projected balance
sheet. We started with find the total asset in year 2010 by using the total asset in 2009 and use
growth rate at 10.40% and then we get other total asset in each year. Then use each 3-year
average asset multiple with total asset in each year.
As the company needs to spend $1,000 million to expand more retail shop in foreign
country. Therefore, we recommend Nike to use retain earning for $800 million by spending
own cash $500 million in year 2010, $300 million in year 2011. Another $200 million, we
suggest Nike to borrow from local bank because Nike could avoid the currency risk. We also
suggest Nike to borrow $100 million for each year which will do to add up in LT-investment
in year 2010 and 2011 but after the branches has opened this amount of debt will go to add up
with net property plant and equipment. For liabilities debt will be in long term debt.
The balance sheet after applied with the strategies is show below:
2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010
Liquidity Ratio
Current Ratio 2.91 2.91 2.91 2.91 2.91 2.91 2.91 2.91 2.84 2.78
Quick Ratio 2.15 2.15 2.15 2.15 2.15 2.15 2.15 2.15 2.08 2.02
Days Payable 11.85 13.03 14.33 15.76 18.05 21.49 25.58 30.45 34.87 38.36
Asset Management Ratio
Total Asset Turnover Ratio 5.15 4.68 4.26 3.87 3.38 2.84 2.39 2.00 1.75 1.59
Inventory Turnover Ratio 15.00 13.64 12.40 11.27 9.84 8.27 6.95 5.84 5.10 4.63
Financial Structure Ratio
Debt Ratio 35.46% 35.46% 35.46% 35.46% 35.46% 35.46% 35.46% 35.46% 36.08% 36.14%
Debt/Equity Ratio 55.52% 55.52% 55.52% 55.52% 55.52% 55.52% 55.51% 55.51% 56.48% 56.58%
Profitability Ratio
Gross Profit Margin 44.46% 44.46% 44.46% 44.46% 44.46% 44.46% 44.46% 44.46% 44.46% 44.46%
Operating Profit Margin 7.74% 7.74% 7.74% 7.74% 7.74% 7.74% 5.74% 3.74% 4.74% 5.74%
Net Profit Margin 5.80% 5.80% 5.80% 5.80% 5.79% 5.79% 4.28% 2.78% 3.52% 4.26%
ROA 29.89% 27.17% 24.70% 22.45% 19.60% 16.45% 10.23% 5.57% 6.16% 6.78%
ROE 46.80% 42.54% 38.67% 35.15% 30.68% 25.75% 16.01% 8.72% 9.65% 10.62%
Financial Leverage 1.55 1.55 1.55 1.55 1.55 1.55 1.55 1.55 1.56 1.57
The above table illustrates the summary of key financial ratios after applying new
strategy of Nike, Inc. You can see that liquidity ratio of the company is quite good as you can
see from the higher current ratio and quick ratio, comparing from year 2010 to 2012.
However, there is one ratio, Days Payable decreased every year from 2010 to 2019.
Therefore, Nike has good ability to pay account payable.
For the asset management aspect, Nikes ability to manage overall its assets is better
every year. Surprisingly, when we focus on just the part of inventory management, the
company can manage it better because the ratio increases every year. On the other hand, the
financial structure of the company remained quite constant over the forecast years as you can
see from stable debt ratio and debt to equity ratio.
In addition, it is obviously seen that all of the profitability ratios of Nike are quite
stable over the forecast period, especially ROE and ROA which sharply increased from year
2012 to 2019. For financial leverage, it is quite stable over the forecast period too.
In order to see which factor causes ROE become lower, we decompose the ROE into
three dimensions: profitability management, efficiency management, and financial leverage.
Not surprisingly, form year 2010 to 2012 Nike will have high investment cost of expanding
its business. After that, net profit will increase to 5.80% in year 2015. Also the total asset
turnover ratio increase every year which means that Nike will have high ability to use its
asset to generate sales. Therefore, the main factor of increasing ROE is net profit margin and
total asset turnover ratio.
Year Revenue
2010 23,283,620,620.00
2011 28,270,972,156.80
2012 35,740,163,000.63
2013 46,969,722,215.43
2014 61,727,608,935.52
2015 81,122,423,663.06
2016 102,554,967,994.84
2017 124,522,242,139.33
2018 151,194,906,405.58
2019 183,580,855,357.65
Strategic Result Vision: NIKE, Inc. is the Goal: Increase sales 20%
worlds leading innovator in
athletic footwear, apparel,
equipment and accessories.
Corporate Strategy: Growth: Business Strategy: Customer
Horizontal Integration focus
Financial Perspective Achieve high revenue and maximize shareholders' wealth
Satisfied new market sectors while keeping in touch with
Customer Perspective
current customers
Internal Business
New innovative products
Perspective
Learning & Growth
Develop new product line offered to untouched market.
Perspective
More Customers
strategy Market share
increases 15%
Satisfactory
Conclusion
As you can see from the SWOT Analysis, both strength and opportunity are
overweight, weaknesses and threat which indicate that Nike can be considered as a good
company which a excess return period equal to 7-year. For value of the firm analysis, Nike
has good reputation and has the highest market shared. Moreover, Nike can reach the cost
effective strategy by outsourcing factory. However, there are some weaknesses such as Nikes
revenue is heavily depended on footwear market which in the context of economic situation
in the country.
For external factors, Nike has a chance to enhance revenue during The FIFA World
Cup 2010. From the research throughout the world, they said that people are more concern
about their health and they shift their preference from the street wear market to the sport wear
market. On the other hand, there are severe impacts from other competitors. For example Li-
Ning expanded its market share to other countries in order to acquire more market share.
From our analysis, most of the models are consistent. GE model and BCG matrix
suggest that Nike should expand its business by internal or external expansions by using
excess cash from current business, therefore the strategies that we recommend Nike are about
how to expand its business to other sectors such as aging population. Moreover, we also focus
in the aspects of advertisement and research development in order to improve and promote
our product.