METODO DE LA PARABOLA

AO POB. Y X X^2 X^3

1940 1672 1672 0 0 0
1961 2013 2013 21 441 9261
1972 2537 2537 32 1024 32768
1981 3055 3055 41 1681 68921
1993 3885 3885 53 2809 148877
2005 4671 4671 65 4225 274625
17833 212 10180 534452
PROM 2972.167 35.333 1696.667 89075.333

29809924 A + 534452 B + 10180

534452 A + 10180 B + 212
10180 A + 212 B + 6

29809924 534452 10180 39269016 8.462649E-07

534452 10180 212 758232 -5.499211E-05
10180 212 6 17833 0.0005072252

A= 0.5806
B= 9.9189
C= 1636.6863

Yi= 0.5806 Xi^2 + 9.9189 Xi + 1636.6863

ao a evaluar = 2025
Xi = 85
Yi= 0.5806 *85^2 + 9.9189 *85 + 1636.6863
Y2025= 6675 HABITANTES
 X^4 YX YX^2
0 0 0
194481 42273 887733
1048576 81184 2597888
2825761 125255 5135455
7890481 205905 10912965
17850625 303615 19734975
29809924 758232 39269016
4968321 126372 6544836

C = 39269016
C = 758232
C = 17833

-5.4992112E-05 0.000507225
0.0039453451 -0.04609891
-0.0460989111 0.934902719
AO DEL CENSO POBLACION AO POBLACION
2005 4671 2005 4671
1995 4016
1993 3885
1985 3332
1981 3055
1975 2710
1972 2537
1965 2204
1961 2013
1955 1916
1940 1672
1945 1753
1940 1672

AO POB (hab) P (hab) Pp(hab) 2P(hab) 2P2 (hab)

1945 1753
1955 1916 163
1965 2204 288 125
1975 2710 506 218
1985 3332 622 116
1995 4016 684 62
2005 4671 655 486.33 -29 98.4
= 2918 492

Pk = 4671 + m* 486.33 + m(m-1)/2* 98.4

ao a calcular = 2026
m= 2

Pk = 5742 HABITANTES