Académique Documents
Professionnel Documents
Culture Documents
With the earnings season upon us, discussions in recent weeks sometimes
have focused on pro forma numbers, especially with respect to several IPOs.
Some pro forma numbers are better than others. Most, however, are
inferior to GAAP (generally accepted accounting principles) numbers.
What these pro forma constructs have in common is that they are non-GAAP
numbers, which means that their definition and measurement are not
standardized by any agency, and more importantly that corporate
disclosures about them are not audited. By itself, this does not disqualify
them from use, but should alert the user to apply caution.
One particularly good pro forma number is free cash flow. The variable is
supported by economic theory, and its components (cash generated by
operating activities and capital expenditures) are found in GAAP financial
statements, which means they are audited numbers.
However, many pro forma numbers are bad. Take for example Groupons
consolidated segment operating income. The number is not supported by
any theory, and is simply a figment of Groupons imagination. It is not
audited, and is therefore of low quality, and it dismisses items such as
marketing and merger costs as if these expenses are not real. Worst of all,
Groupon is the only firm that employs this metric, which destroys any
chance of comparing Groupons metric with values from other entities. The
real purpose of such pro-forma disclosures is to divert the readers attention
away from the red ink on the income statement, not improved investor
decision-making.
We dont know when EBITDA was invented, but we do know that its
popularity soared during the late 1980s and the 1990s, as investment
bankers tried to justify merger and acquisition deals for target firms with
operating losses. EBITDA use peaked during the dot com craze of the late
1990s, when analysts, bankers, traders, and even some investors sought to
justify lofty prices for internet business models. Unfortunately, the dot com
busts near the end of the 20th century unmasked the limitations of EBITDA.
Okay, so what are the advantages of EBITDA? First, the construct is well
defined inasmuch as the number equals operating income plus interest
expense, depreciation, depletion, and amortization charges. Nothing like
having a measure upon which we all can agree how it is measured!
What are the disadvantages of EBITDA? First and foremost is that nobody
knows what EBITDA is really measuring. EBITDA clearly is not earnings, as
it pretends that some very real costs are fictional. It tries to undo the hard
work of the accounting profession in obtaining decent estimates on
profitability. As Warren Buffet said in the Presidents letter in the 2002
annual report of Berkshire Hathaway:
Nor is EBITDA a cash flow. It does not proxy for cash flow because it
ignores working capital changes, adjustments for changes in deferred
income taxes, as well as the effects of other long-term adjustments. In no
way is it a proxy for cash flow. Besides, if somebody were interested in cash
flow, why wouldnt they just look at the cash flow statement? Thus, EBITDA
is neither earnings nor cash flow. Indeed, we have no idea what it really is
measuring.
Finally, EBITDA is not value relevant. There is no economic theory that links
EBITDA to the value of the firm. Yes, there are some models that claim to
do this, but they adjust EBITDA for the missing items we note above, and in
effect convert the measure either to operating income or to free cash flow.
They still do not map EBITDA directly into value.
This essay reflects the opinion of the authors and not necessarily the
opinions of The Pennsylvania State University, The American College, or
Villanova University.