Ferramenta de Gerncia de Riscos em Projetos

verso 5.1

Dados Comuns do Projeto:

Projeto: Casamento do Senhor Falconi
Cliente: Gran Falconi de Marco
Gerente Responsvel: Gerentino Jnior
Data Anlise: 4/30/2009
Resp. Reviso: Gerentino Neto
Data ltima Reviso: 5/21/2009
Foco da Anlise: Anlise de Custos 1
Valor Base do Projeto: 40,000.00
Novo Valor Base do Projeto: 40,650.00

Sistema Gerencial: Sistema XPTO

Processo de Identificao dos Adaptado do PMBOK

Riscos:

Responsveis no Acompanhildo Listo

Acompanhamento:

Contexto do Projeto: Cerimnia e Festa de Casamento e Viagem dos Noivos

Campos de Input

Adaptada abordagem de Carlos Salles

Open-Source
Lista de Riscos - Ameaas - Analise Inicial Pr-Reao
Projeto: Casamento do Senhor Falconi 4/30/2009
Cliente: Gran Falconi de Marco Sensibilid 100%
Resp: Gerentino Jnior

TOTAL - Valor Esperado das Ameaas $55,500 $4,300

No. Data Categoria Evento de Ameaa Probabi- Impacto Impacto Valor Priori-
Identif. Causa Raiz Efeito lidade (%) (input) Ajustado Esperado dade
Cerimni 8
1 4/26/2007 Padre Doente Cerimonia no se realizar 5% $20,000 $20,000 $1,000
Cerimni
a 12
2 4/26/2007 Ausncia de um dos noivos Cerimonia no se realizar 1% $30,000 $30,000 $300
Cerimni
a 14
3 4/26/2007 Desastre natural Cerimonia no se realizar 0.1% $40,000 $40,000 $40
a 2
4 4/26/2007 Festa Problemas com Buffet Mal estar nos convidados 20% $5,000 $5,000 $1,000
5 4/26/2007 Festa Climatizao indevida do local Mal estar nos convidados 30% $5,000 $5,000 $1,500 6
6 4/26/2007 Festa Msica Mal estar nos convidados 20% $2,000 $2,000 $400 9
7 4/26/2007 Viagem Atraso na chegada ao Aeroporto No conseguir viajar 10% $4,500 $4,500 $450 1
8 4/26/2007 Viagem Cancelamento do Vo No conseguir viajar 10% $4,000 $4,000 $400 10
9 4/26/2007 Viagem Overbook No conseguir viajar 20% $4,000 $4,000 $800 13
Problemas na retirada do 3
10 4/26/2007 Viagem No conseguir viajar 10% $3,000 $3,000 $300
Problemas na emisso do
passaporte 7
11 4/26/2007 Viagem No conseguir viajar 5% $3,000 $3,000 $150
bilhete
Problemas no trnsito Atraso na Chegada ao
12 4/26/2007 Viagem 20% $4,500 $4,500 $900 5
(engarrafamento) Aeroporto
Atraso na Chegada ao
13 4/26/2007 Viagem Problemas mecnicos no carro 5% $5,000 $5,000 $250 4
Aeroporto
Viagem com trecho no
14 4/26/2007 Viagem Cancelamento do Vo 10% $1,000 $1,000 $100 11
previsto
15 0% $0 $0 $0 0
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200 0% $0 $0 $0 0

Probabilidade: Chance de Ocorrncia do Risco (%)

Sensibilidade: Percentual de variao sobre a Quantificao (probabilidade e Impacto) do Risco - ferramenta de anlise de Sensibilidade
Lista de Riscos - Oportunidades - Analise Inicial Pr-Reao
Projeto: Casamento do Senhor Falconi 4/30/2009
Cliente: Gran Falconi de Marco Sensibilidade: 100%
Resp: Gerentino Jnior

TOTAL - Valor Esperado das Oportunidades $3,400 $196

No. Data Categoria Evento de Oportunidade Probabi- Impacto Impacto Valor Priori-
Identif. Causa Raiz Efeito lidade (%) (input) Ajustado Esperado dade
Pernoite em hotel
1 4/26/2007 Viagem Atraso no Vo pagos pela companhia 2% $1,000 $1,000 $20 1
area
Refeies pagas pela
2 4/26/2007 Viagem Atraso no Vo 4% $200 $200 $8 3
companhia area
Pernoite em hotel
3 4/26/2007 Viagem Cancelamento do Vo pagos pela companhia 5% $1,000 $1,000 $50 2
area
Refeies pagas pela
4 Cancelamento do Vo 9% $200 $200 $18 4
companhia area
Troca de categoria no
5 4/26/2007 Viagem Overbook 10% $1,000 $1,000 $100 5
vo
6 0% $0 $0 $0 #REF!
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### 0% $0 $0 $0 #REF!

Probabilidade: Chance de Ocorrncia do Risco (%)

Sensibilidade: Percentual de variao sobre a Quantificao (probabilidade e Impacto) do Risco - ferramenta de anlise de Sensibilidade
Valor Esperado do Projeto - Inicial (Pr-Reao)
Projeto: Casamento do Senhor Falconi 4/30/2009 Sensibilidade:
Cliente: Gran Falconi de Marco Ameaas: 100%
Resp: Gerentino Jnior Oportunidades: 100%

Anlise de Custos Valores Variao Observao

Valor Base do Projeto $40,000 100.00% sem Riscos
Riscos - Ameaas $4,300 10.75% Valor Esperado
Riscos - Oportunidades ($196) -0.49% Valor Esperado
Valor Esperado do Projeto com Ri $44,104 10.26% Totais
Valor Esperado - Melhor Caso $36,600 -8.50% Oportunidades $3,400
Valor Esperado - Pior Caso $95,500 138.75% Ameaas $55,500
Priorizao de Riscos por Anlise Comparativa
Projeto: Casamento do Senhor Falconi 4/30/2009
Cliente: Gran Falconi de Marco 4/30/2009
Resp: Gerentino Jnior

Riscos - Ameaas # Prioridade

1 Padre Doente 1 6 7
2 Ausncia de um dos noivos 1 2 2 11
3 Desastre natural 1 2 3 0 14
4 Problemas com Buffet 4 4 4 4 12 1
5 Climatizao indevida do local 5 5 5 4 5 8 6
6 Msica 1 6 6 4 5 6 6 7
7 Atraso na chegada ao Aeroporto 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 12 1
8 Cancelamento do Vo 1 8 8 4 5 6 7 8 5 10
9 Overbook 1 2 9 4 5 6 7 8 9 1 13
10 Problemas na retirada do ######### 4 ###### 7 ######### 11 3
11 passaporte
Problemas na emisso do bilhete ######### 4 5 6 7 ############ 6 7
12 Problemas no trnsito ######### 4 ######################## 10 4
13 (engarrafamento) ######### 4 ###### 7 ################## 10 4
Problemas mecnicos no carro
14 Cancelamento do Vo 1 8 ### 4 5 6 7 8 ################## 2 11
15 0 ### 0 14
Reaes Aos Riscos - Conteno/ Preveno e Contingncia - AMEAAS
Projeto: Casamento do Senhor Falconi
Cliente: Gran Falconi de Marco 4/30/2009
Resp: Gerentino Jnior OBS: Opotunidades na pasta Reacao-Oport

Valores Totais nas Reaes de AMEAAS $7,590 $650

AMEAAS Dados antes da Reao CONTENO/ PREVENO NOVO

No. Data Categoria Evento Valor Reao Estratgia Custo da Probabi- Impacto
Identif. Causa Raiz Efeito Esperado Reao lidade (%) (input)
A) Clusula no contrato
Padre Doente Cerimonia no se prevendo um outro Padre
realizar caso o contratado no
1 ### Cerimnia $1,000 chegue 2 horas antes no Eliminar $0 0% $0
local. B) Convidar outros
padres para participar da
A) Contrato de casamento
festa.
Ausncia de um dos noivos Cerimonia no se prevendo multa referente as
realizar despesas e danos morais.
B) Em caso de problemas
2 ### Cerimnia $300 de sade ou de ordem Mitigar $0 0.2% $10,000
maior, manter clusula no
contrato com os
fornecedores isentando
nus extras.
Desastre natural Cerimonia no se Clusula no contrato dos
Aceitar
3 ### Cerimnia realizar $40 fornecedores isentando $0 0.1% $20,000
Ativa
nus extra pelos danos.
Problemas com Buffet Mal estar nos Prever medidas no contrato
4 ### Festa convidados $1,000 para controle de qualidade Mitigar $0 5% $5,000
do Buffet
A) Prever em contrato a
Climatizao indevida do Mal estar nos faixa de climatizao
5 ### Festa local convidados $1,500 Mitigar $0 5% $5,000
adequada. B) Manter
ventiladores
A) Convidar amigos
reservas.
DJs
Msica Mal estar nos para intervir se necessrio.
convidados B) Contratar um DJ para
6 ### Festa $400 Mitigar $250 20% $2,000
fazer o controle de
qualidade. C) Manter um
DVD/Karaok
A) Agendar carro
de reserva.
com
Atraso na chegada ao No conseguir margem de segurana. B)
7 ### Viagem Aeroporto viajar $450 Verificar meteorologia e Mitigar $0 5% $4,500
boletins de trnsito para a
data da viagem.
 Garantir, junto a agncia de
Cancelamento do Vo No conseguir viagens, garantias
viajar contratuais de viagem em
8 ### Viagem $400 Transferir $0 10% $1,000
caso de problemas
inesperados com a
companhia area.
Overbook No conseguir de viagens, garantias
viajar contratuais de viagem em
caso de problemas
inesperados com a
9 ### Viagem $800 Mitigar $0 10% $1,000
companhia area. B)
Providenciar que o
transporte chegue antes do
previsto, para realizar o
Problemas na retirada do No conseguir Acordar que a agncia de
passaporte viajar viagens auxilie o processo
10 ### Viagem $300 de retirada do passaporte, Mitigar $200 5% $1,000
sob pena de cancelamento
da viagem.
Clusula contratual
Problemas na emisso do No conseguir informando que os bilhetes
11 ### Viagem bilhete viajar $150 devero ser entregues com Mitigar $0 2% $1,000
2 semanas de
A) Agendar carro com
antecedncia.
Problemas no trnsito Atraso na margem de segurana. B)
12 ### Viagem (engarrafamento) Chegada ao $900 Verificar meteorologia e Mitigar $0 10% $4,500
Aeroporto boletins de trnsito para a
data da viagem.
Problemas mecnicos no Atraso na Fazer reviso no carro 2
carro Chegada ao semanas antes da ida ao
13 ### Viagem $250 Mitigar $200 2% $5,000
Aeroporto Aeroporto. Gerar checklists
para o dia anterior.
Garantir, junto a agncia de
Cancelamento do Vo Viagem com viagens, garantias
trecho no contratuais de viagem em Aceitar
14 ### Viagem previsto $100 $0 10% $1,000
caso de problemas Ativa
inesperados com a
companhia area.
15 ### 0 0 0 $0 $0 0% $0
16 ### 0 0 0 $0 $0 0% $0
17 ### 0 0 0 $0 $0 0% $0
18 ### 0 0 0 $0 $0 0% $0
19 ### 0 0 0 $0 $0 0% $0
20 ### 0 0 0 $0 $0 0% $0
21 ### 0 0 0 $0 $0 0% $0
22 ### 0 0 0 $0 $0 0% $0
23 ### 0 0 0 $0 $0 0% $0
24 ### 0 0 0 $0 $0 0% $0
25 ### 0 0 0 $0 $0 0% $0
26 ### 0 0 0 $0 $0 0% $0
27 ### 0 0 0 $0 $0 0% $0
28 ### 0 0 0 $0 $0 0% $0
29 ### 0 0 0 $0 $0 0% $0
30 ### 0 0 0 $0 $0 0% $0
31 ### 0 0 0 $0 $0 0% $0
32 ### 0 0 0 $0 $0 0% $0
33 ### 0 0 0 $0 $0 0% $0
34 ### 0 0 0 $0 $0 0% $0
35 ### 0 0 0 $0 $0 0% $0
36 ### 0 0 0 $0 $0 0% $0
37 ### 0 0 0 $0 $0 0% $0
38 ### 0 0 0 $0 $0 0% $0
39 ### 0 0 0 $0 $0 0% $0
40 ### 0 0 0 $0 $0 0% $0
41 ### 0 0 0 $0 $0 0% $0
42 ### 0 0 0 $0 $0 0% $0
43 ### 0 0 0 $0 $0 0% $0
44 ### 0 0 0 $0 $0 0% $0
45 ### 0 0 0 $0 $0 0% $0
46 ### 0 0 0 $0 $0 0% $0
47 ### 0 0 0 $0 $0 0% $0
48 ### 0 0 0 $0 $0 0% $0
49 ### 0 0 0 $0 $0 0% $0
50 ### 0 0 0 $0 $0 0% $0
51 ### 0 0 0 $0 $0 0% $0
52 ### 0 0 0 $0 $0 0% $0
53 ### 0 0 0 $0 $0 0% $0
54 ### 0 0 0 $0 $0 0% $0
55 ### 0 0 0 $0 $0 0% $0
56 ### 0 0 0 $0 $0 0% $0
57 ### 0 0 0 $0 $0 0% $0
58 ### 0 0 0 $0 $0 0% $0
59 ### 0 0 0 $0 $0 0% $0
60 ### 0 0 0 $0 $0 0% $0
61 ### 0 0 0 $0 $0 0% $0
62 ### 0 0 0 $0 $0 0% $0
63 ### 0 0 0 $0 $0 0% $0
 64 ### 0 0 0 $0 $0 0% $0
65 ### 0 0 0 $0 $0 0% $0
66 ### 0 0 0 $0 $0 0% $0
67 ### 0 0 0 $0 $0 0% $0
68 ### 0 0 0 $0 $0 0% $0
69 ### 0 0 0 $0 $0 0% $0
70 ### 0 0 0 $0 $0 0% $0
71 ### 0 0 0 $0 $0 0% $0
72 ### 0 0 0 $0 $0 0% $0
73 ### 0 0 0 $0 $0 0% $0
74 ### 0 0 0 $0 $0 0% $0
75 ### 0 0 0 $0 $0 0% $0
76 ### 0 0 0 $0 $0 0% $0
77 ### 0 0 0 $0 $0 0% $0
78 ### 0 0 0 $0 $0 0% $0
79 ### 0 0 0 $0 $0 0% $0
80 ### 0 0 0 $0 $0 0% $0
81 ### 0 0 0 $0 $0 0% $0
82 ### 0 0 0 $0 $0 0% $0
83 ### 0 0 0 $0 $0 0% $0
84 ### 0 0 0 $0 $0 0% $0
85 ### 0 0 0 $0 $0 0% $0
86 ### 0 0 0 $0 $0 0% $0
87 ### 0 0 0 $0 $0 0% $0
88 ### 0 0 0 $0 $0 0% $0
89 ### 0 0 0 $0 $0 0% $0
90 ### 0 0 0 $0 $0 0% $0
91 ### 0 0 0 $0 $0 0% $0
92 ### 0 0 0 $0 $0 0% $0
93 ### 0 0 0 $0 $0 0% $0
94 ### 0 0 0 $0 $0 0% $0
95 ### 0 0 0 $0 $0 0% $0
96 ### 0 0 0 $0 $0 0% $0
97 ### 0 0 0 $0 $0 0% $0
98 ### 0 0 0 $0 $0 0% $0
99 ### 0 0 0 $0 $0 0% $0
100 ### 0 0 0 $0 $0 0% $0
101 ### 0 0 0 $0 $0 0% $0
102 ### 0 0 0 $0 $0 0% $0
103 ### 0 0 0 $0 $0 0% $0
104 ### 0 0 0 $0 $0 0% $0
105 ### 0 0 0 $0 $0 0% $0
106 ### 0 0 0 $0 $0 0% $0
107 ### 0 0 0 $0 $0 0% $0
108 ### 0 0 0 $0 $0 0% $0
109 ### 0 0 0 $0 $0 0% $0
110 ### 0 0 0 $0 $0 0% $0
111 ### 0 0 0 $0 $0 0% $0
112 ### 0 0 0 $0 $0 0% $0
113 ### 0 0 0 $0 $0 0% $0
114 ### 0 0 0 $0 $0 0% $0
115 ### 0 0 0 $0 $0 0% $0
116 ### 0 0 0 $0 $0 0% $0
117 ### 0 0 0 $0 $0 0% $0
118 ### 0 0 0 $0 $0 0% $0
119 ### 0 0 0 $0 $0 0% $0
120 ### 0 0 0 $0 $0 0% $0
121 ### 0 0 0 $0 $0 0% $0
122 ### 0 0 0 $0 $0 0% $0
123 ### 0 0 0 $0 $0 0% $0
124 ### 0 0 0 $0 $0 0% $0
125 ### 0 0 0 $0 $0 0% $0
126 ### 0 0 0 $0 $0 0% $0
127 ### 0 0 0 $0 $0 0% $0
128 ### 0 0 0 $0 $0 0% $0
129 ### 0 0 0 $0 $0 0% $0
130 ### 0 0 0 $0 $0 0% $0
131 ### 0 0 0 $0 $0 0% $0
132 ### 0 0 0 $0 $0 0% $0
133 ### 0 0 0 $0 $0 0% $0
134 ### 0 0 0 $0 $0 0% $0
135 ### 0 0 0 $0 $0 0% $0
136 ### 0 0 0 $0 $0 0% $0
137 ### 0 0 0 $0 $0 0% $0
138 ### 0 0 0 $0 $0 0% $0
139 ### 0 0 0 $0 $0 0% $0
140 ### 0 0 0 $0 $0 0% $0
141 ### 0 0 0 $0 $0 0% $0
142 ### 0 0 0 $0 $0 0% $0
143 ### 0 0 0 $0 $0 0% $0
144 ### 0 0 0 $0 $0 0% $0
145 ### 0 0 0 $0 $0 0% $0
146 ### 0 0 0 $0 $0 0% $0
147 ### 0 0 0 $0 $0 0% $0
148 ### 0 0 0 $0 $0 0% $0
149 ### 0 0 0 $0 $0 0% $0
150 ### 0 0 0 $0 $0 0% $0
151 ### 0 0 0 $0 $0 0% $0
152 ### 0 0 0 $0 $0 0% $0
153 ### 0 0 0 $0 $0 0% $0
154 ### 0 0 0 $0 $0 0% $0
155 ### 0 0 0 $0 $0 0% $0
156 ### 0 0 0 $0 $0 0% $0
157 ### 0 0 0 $0 $0 0% $0
158 ### 0 0 0 $0 $0 0% $0
159 ### 0 0 0 $0 $0 0% $0
160 ### 0 0 0 $0 $0 0% $0
161 ### 0 0 0 $0 $0 0% $0
162 ### 0 0 0 $0 $0 0% $0
163 ### 0 0 0 $0 $0 0% $0
164 ### 0 0 0 $0 $0 0% $0
165 ### 0 0 0 $0 $0 0% $0
166 ### 0 0 0 $0 $0 0% $0
167 ### 0 0 0 $0 $0 0% $0
168 ### 0 0 0 $0 $0 0% $0
169 ### 0 0 0 $0 $0 0% $0
170 ### 0 0 0 $0 $0 0% $0
171 ### 0 0 0 $0 $0 0% $0
172 ### 0 0 0 $0 $0 0% $0
173 ### 0 0 0 $0 $0 0% $0
174 ### 0 0 0 $0 $0 0% $0
175 ### 0 0 0 $0 $0 0% $0
176 ### 0 0 0 $0 $0 0% $0
177 ### 0 0 0 $0 $0 0% $0
178 ### 0 0 0 $0 $0 0% $0
179 ### 0 0 0 $0 $0 0% $0
180 ### 0 0 0 $0 $0 0% $0
181 ### 0 0 0 $0 $0 0% $0
182 ### 0 0 0 $0 $0 0% $0
183 ### 0 0 0 $0 $0 0% $0
184 ### 0 0 0 $0 $0 0% $0
185 ### 0 0 0 $0 $0 0% $0
186 ### 0 0 0 $0 $0 0% $0
187 ### 0 0 0 $0 $0 0% $0
188 ### 0 0 0 $0 $0 0% $0
189 ### 0 0 0 $0 $0 0% $0
190 ### 0 0 0 $0 $0 0% $0
191 ### 0 0 0 $0 $0 0% $0
192 ### 0 0 0 $0 $0 0% $0
193 ### 0 0 0 $0 $0 0% $0
194 ### 0 0 0 $0 $0 0% $0
195 ### 0 0 0 $0 $0 0% $0
196 ### 0 0 0 $0 $0 0% $0
197 ### 0 0 0 $0 $0 0% $0
198 ### 0 0 0 $0 $0 0% $0
199 ### 0 0 0 $0 $0 0% $0
200 ### 0 0 0 $0 $0 0% $0
 Tipos de reao

Aceitar Ativa
Aceitar Passiva
Mitigar
$2,085 $11,800 Transferir
Eliminar
CONTINGNCIA
Valor Reao Custo da Observao
Esperado Reao

Contactar o Padre
$0 reserva, garantindo todas $500
as possveis despesas.

A) Aplicao das multas

cabveis e processo de
$20 danos morais. B) Agendar $0
nova data para
casamento.

Agendar nova data para

$20 $0
casamento.
Realizar pedidos de
$250 empresas do tipo fast-food $2,000
para entregas imediatas
Usar ventiladores
$250 $0
reservas

A) Usar o DJ. B) Parar a

$400 msica e fazer um $0
Karaok.

Remarcar a passagem e
$225 $4,500
hoteis
 Agncia se encarrega de
Os gastos devero ser reembolsados pela
$100 remarcar passagens e $0
agncia, conforme contrato.
hotel.

Agncia se encarrega de
Os gastos devero ser reembolsados pela
$100 remarcar passagens e $0
agncia, conforme contrato.
hotel.

Agncia se encarrega de
Os gastos devero ser reembolsados pela
$50 remarcar passagens e $0
agncia, conforme contrato.
hotel.

Agncia se encarrega de
Os gastos devero ser reembolsados pela
$20 remarcar passagens e $0
agncia, conforme contrato.
hotel.

Remarcar a passagem e
$450 $4,500
hoteis

$100 Pegar txi $300

Remarcar horrio de
$100 $0
chegado no hotel

$0 $0
$0 $0
$0 $0
$0 $0
$0 $0
$0 $0
$0 $0
$0 $0
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$0 $0
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$0 $0
$0 $0
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$0 $0
$0 $0
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$0 $0
$0 $0
$0 $0
$0 $0
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$0 $0
$0 $0
$0 $0
$0 $0
$0 $0
$0 $0
$0 $0
$0 $0
$0 $0
$0 $0
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$0 $0
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$0 $0
$0 $0
$0 $0
$0 $0
$0 $0
$0 $0
Reaes Aos Riscos - Aes para as OPORTUNIDADES
Projeto: Casamento do Senhor Falconi
Cliente: Gran Falconi de Marco
Resp: Gerentino Jnior

Valores Totais nas Aes de OPORTUNIDADES $196

OPORTUNIDADES Dados antes da Reao

No. Data Categoria Evento Valor
Identif. Causa Raiz Efeito Esperado
Pernoite em hotel
1 ### Viagem Atraso no Vo pagos pela $20
companhia area
Refeies pagas
2 ### Viagem Atraso no Vo pela companhia $8
area
Pernoite em hotel
3 ### Viagem Cancelamento do Vo pagos pela $50
companhia area
Refeies pagas
4 ### 0 Cancelamento do Vo pela companhia $18
area

Troca de
5 ### Viagem Overbook $100
categoria no vo

6 ### 0 0 0 $0
7 ### 0 0 0 $0
8 ### 0 0 0 $0
9 ### 0 0 0 $0
10 ### 0 0 0 $0
11 ### 0 0 0 $0
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13 ### 0 0 0 $0
14 ### 0 0 0 $0
15 ### 0 0 0 $0
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18 ### 0 0 0 $0
19 ### 0 0 0 $0
20 ### 0 0 0 $0
21 ### 0 0 0 $0
22 ### 0 0 0 $0
23 ### 0 0 0 $0
24 ### 0 0 0 $0
25 ### 0 0 0 $0
26 ### 0 0 0 $0
27 ### 0 0 0 $0
28 ### 0 0 0 $0
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30 ### 0 0 0 $0
31 ### 0 0 0 $0
32 ### 0 0 0 $0
33 ### 0 0 0 $0
34 ### 0 0 0 $0
35 ### 0 0 0 $0
36 ### 0 0 0 $0
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38 ### 0 0 0 $0
39 ### 0 0 0 $0
40 ### 0 0 0 $0
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42 ### 0 0 0 $0
43 ### 0 0 0 $0
44 ### 0 0 0 $0
45 ### 0 0 0 $0
46 ### 0 0 0 $0
47 ### 0 0 0 $0
48 ### 0 0 0 $0
49 ### 0 0 0 $0
50 ### 0 0 0 $0
51 ### 0 0 0 $0
52 ### 0 0 0 $0
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55 ### 0 0 0 $0
56 ### 0 0 0 $0
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68 ### 0 0 0 $0
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70 ### 0 0 0 $0
71 ### 0 0 0 $0
72 ### 0 0 0 $0
73 ### 0 0 0 $0
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76 ### 0 0 0 $0
 77 ### 0 0 0 $0
78 ### 0 0 0 $0
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80 ### 0 0 0 $0
81 ### 0 0 0 $0
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84 ### 0 0 0 $0
85 ### 0 0 0 $0
86 ### 0 0 0 $0
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88 ### 0 0 0 $0
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90 ### 0 0 0 $0
91 ### 0 0 0 $0
92 ### 0 0 0 $0
93 ### 0 0 0 $0
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96 ### 0 0 0 $0
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98 ### 0 0 0 $0
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100 ### 0 0 0 $0
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102 ### 0 0 0 $0
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105 ### 0 0 0 $0
106 ### 0 0 0 $0
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108 ### 0 0 0 $0
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110 ### 0 0 0 $0
111 ### 0 0 0 $0
112 ### 0 0 0 $0
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114 ### 0 0 0 $0
115 ### 0 0 0 $0
116 ### 0 0 0 $0
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118 ### 0 0 0 $0
119 ### 0 0 0 $0
120 ### 0 0 0 $0
121 ### 0 0 0 $0
122 ### 0 0 0 $0
123 ### 0 0 0 $0
124 ### 0 0 0 $0
125 ### 0 0 0 $0
126 ### 0 0 0 $0
127 ### 0 0 0 $0
128 ### 0 0 0 $0
129 ### 0 0 0 $0
130 ### 0 0 0 $0
131 ### 0 0 0 $0
132 ### 0 0 0 $0
133 ### 0 0 0 $0
134 ### 0 0 0 $0
135 ### 0 0 0 $0
136 ### 0 0 0 $0
137 ### 0 0 0 $0
138 ### 0 0 0 $0
139 ### 0 0 0 $0
140 ### 0 0 0 $0
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142 ### 0 0 0 $0
143 ### 0 0 0 $0
144 ### 0 0 0 $0
145 ### 0 0 0 $0
146 ### 0 0 0 $0
147 ### 0 0 0 $0
148 ### 0 0 0 $0
149 ### 0 0 0 $0
150 ### 0 0 0 $0
151 ### 0 0 0 $0
152 ### 0 0 0 $0
153 ### 0 0 0 $0
154 ### 0 0 0 $0
155 ### 0 0 0 $0
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157 ### 0 0 0 $0
158 ### 0 0 0 $0
159 ### 0 0 0 $0
160 ### 0 0 0 $0
161 ### 0 0 0 $0
162 ### 0 0 0 $0
163 ### 0 0 0 $0
164 ### 0 0 0 $0
165 ### 0 0 0 $0
166 ### 0 0 0 $0
167 ### 0 0 0 $0
168 ### 0 0 0 $0
169 ### 0 0 0 $0
170 ### 0 0 0 $0
171 ### 0 0 0 $0
172 ### 0 0 0 $0
173 ### 0 0 0 $0
174 ### 0 0 0 $0
175 ### 0 0 0 $0
176 ### 0 0 0 $0
177 ### 0 0 0 $0
178 ### 0 0 0 $0
179 ### 0 0 0 $0
180 ### 0 0 0 $0
181 ### 0 0 0 $0
182 ### 0 0 0 $0
183 ### 0 0 0 $0
184 ### 0 0 0 $0
185 ### 0 0 0 $0
186 ### 0 0 0 $0
187 ### 0 0 0 $0
188 ### 0 0 0 $0
189 ### 0 0 0 $0
190 ### 0 0 0 $0
191 ### 0 0 0 $0
192 ### 0 0 0 $0
193 ### 0 0 0 $0
194 ### 0 0 0 $0
195 ### 0 0 0 $0
196 ### 0 0 0 $0
197 ### 0 0 0 $0
198 ### 0 0 0 $0
199 ### 0 0 0 $0
200 ### 0 0 0 $0
 4/30/2009
OBS: Ameacas na pasta Reacao-Ameacas

$0 $392

REAO PR-PROPOSTA NOVO

AO Estratgia Custo da Probabi- Impacto Valor
Ao lidade (%) (input) Esperado
Clusula contratual junto a
agncia para garantir este Melhorar $0 4% $1,000 $40
servio.
Clusula contratual junto a
agncia para garantir este Melhorar $0 8% $200 $16
servio.
Clusula contratual junto a
agncia para garantir este Melhorar $0 10% $1,000 $100
servio.
Clusula contratual junto a
agncia para garantir este Melhorar $0 18% $200 $36
servio.
Clusula contratual junto a
agncia para garantir este Melhorar $0 20% $1,000 $200
servio.
$0 0% $0 $0
$0 0% $0 $0
$0 0% $0 $0
$0 0% $0 $0
$0 0% $0 $0
$0 0% $0 $0
$0 0% $0 $0
$0 0% $0 $0
$0 0% $0 $0
$0 0% $0 $0
$0 0% $0 $0
$0 0% $0 $0
$0 0% $0 $0
$0 0% $0 $0
$0 0% $0 $0
$0 0% $0 $0
$0 0% $0 $0
$0 0% $0 $0
$0 0% $0 $0
$0 0% $0 $0
$0 0% $0 $0
$0 0% $0 $0
$0 0% $0 $0
$0 0% $0 $0
$0 0% $0 $0
$0 0% $0 $0
$0 0% $0 $0
$0 0% $0 $0
$0 0% $0 $0
$0 0% $0 $0
$0 0% $0 $0
$0 0% $0 $0
$0 0% $0 $0
$0 0% $0 $0
$0 0% $0 $0
$0 0% $0 $0
$0 0% $0 $0
$0 0% $0 $0
$0 0% $0 $0
$0 0% $0 $0
$0 0% $0 $0
$0 0% $0 $0
$0 0% $0 $0
$0 0% $0 $0
$0 0% $0 $0
$0 0% $0 $0
$0 0% $0 $0
$0 0% $0 $0
$0 0% $0 $0
$0 0% $0 $0
$0 0% $0 $0
$0 0% $0 $0
$0 0% $0 $0
$0 0% $0 $0
$0 0% $0 $0
$0 0% $0 $0
$0 0% $0 $0
$0 0% $0 $0
$0 0% $0 $0
$0 0% $0 $0
$0 0% $0 $0
$0 0% $0 $0
$0 0% $0 $0
$0 0% $0 $0
$0 0% $0 $0
$0 0% $0 $0
$0 0% $0 $0
$0 0% $0 $0
$0 0% $0 $0
$0 0% $0 $0
$0 0% $0 $0
$0 0% $0 $0
$0 0% $0 $0
$0 0% $0 $0
$0 0% $0 $0
$0 0% $0 $0
$0 0% $0 $0
$0 0% $0 $0
$0 0% $0 $0
$0 0% $0 $0
$0 0% $0 $0
$0 0% $0 $0
$0 0% $0 $0
$0 0% $0 $0
$0 0% $0 $0
$0 0% $0 $0
$0 0% $0 $0
$0 0% $0 $0
$0 0% $0 $0
$0 0% $0 $0
$0 0% $0 $0
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 $0

REAO DURANTE O DESENVOLVIMENTO

Estratgia de Ao Custo da Observao
Ao
Fazer com que o dia nasa
$0
feliz.
Solicitar gentilmente
jantar a luz de velas para $0
o casal.
Fazer com que o dia nasa
$0
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Solicitar gentilmente
jantar a luz de velas para $0
o casal.
Usar os servios mais
sofisticados e aproveitar a
viagem, descansando para $0
usufruir melhor o dia
seguinte.
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Tipos de reao

Aceitar
Melhorar
Provocar
Valor Esperado do Projeto - Ps-Reao - Base para Proposta
Projeto: Casamento do Senhor Falconi 4/30/2009 Sensibilidade Pre: Ps-reao:
Cliente: Gran Falconi de Marco Ameaas: 100% 100%
Resp: Gerentino Jnior Oportunidades: 100% 100%

Anlise de Custos Valores Variao Observao Valores Originais Variao

Valor Base do Projeto - Original $40,000 100% sem Riscos $40,000 100%
Custo das Reaes - Ameaas $650
Custo das Reaes - Oportunidad $0
Novo Valor Base do Projeto $40,650 1.63% Com os Custos das Reaes
Riscos - Ameaas $1,195 2.94% Valor Esperado $4,300 11%
Riscos - Oportunidades ($332) -0.82% Valor Esperado ($196) 0%
Valor Esperado do Projeto com Ri $41,513 2.12% $44,104 10.26%
Valor Esperado - Melhor Caso $37,250 -8.36% $36,600 -8.50%
Valor Esperado - Pior Caso $76,150 87.33% $95,500 138.75%

Totais de Valor Total

Ameaas $35,500
Oportunidades ($3,400)

Reserva de Contingncia $11,800 29.03% Somatrio dos custos das aes de Contingncia

Reserva Gerencial $0 0.00% Entrar com o Valor Desejado (normalmente menor que os usuais 10%)
$0

Total das Reservas $11,800 29.03% Para Durante o Projet

Valores Esperados com Reserv Valores Variao

Valor Esperado do Projeto com Ri $53,313 31.15%
Valor Esperado - Melhor Caso $49,050 20.66%
Valor Esperado - Pior Caso $87,950 116.36%
CONCLUSO - entrar com o texto referente a suas concluses sobre o Projeto - Base para a Deciso Sobre o Projeto
s-reao:

r que os usuais 10%)

bre o Projeto
Lista de Riscos Residuais - Ameaas (Ps-Reao, para durante o Projeto)
Projeto: Casamento do Senhor Falconi 4/30/2009
Cliente: Gran Falconi de Marco Sensibilidade: 100%
Resp: Gerentino Jnior

TOTAL - Valor Esperado das Ameaas $35,500 $1,195

No. Data Categoria Evento de Ameaa Probabi- Impacto Impacto Valor Priori-
Identif. Causa Raiz Efeito lidade (%) (input) Ajustado Esperado dade
Cerimni Cerimonia no se
1 4/26/2007 Padre Doente 0% $0 $0 $0 8
Cerimni
a Cerimonia
realizar no se
2 4/26/2007 Ausncia de um dos noivos 0.2% $10,000 $10,000 $20 12
a
Cerimni realizar
Cerimonia no se
3 4/26/2007 Desastre natural 0.1% $20,000 $20,000 $20 14
a Mal estar nos
realizar
4 4/26/2007 Festa Problemas com Buffet 5% $5,000 $5,000 $250 2
convidados
Mal estar nos
5 4/26/2007 Festa Climatizao indevida do local 5% $5,000 $5,000 $250 6
Mal estar nos
convidados
6 4/26/2007 Festa Msica 20% $2,000 $2,000 $400 9
Atraso na chegada ao convidados
7 4/26/2007 Viagem No conseguir viajar 5% $4,500 $4,500 $225 1
Aeroporto
8 4/26/2007 Viagem Cancelamento do Vo No conseguir viajar 10% $1,000 $1,000 $100 10
9 4/26/2007 Viagem Overbook No conseguir viajar 10% $1,000 $1,000 $100 13
Problemas na retirada do
10 4/26/2007 Viagem No conseguir viajar 5% $1,000 $1,000 $50 3
passaporte
Problemas na emisso do
11 4/26/2007 Viagem No conseguir viajar 2% $1,000 $1,000 $20 7
bilhete
Problemas no trnsito Atraso na Chegada ao
12 4/26/2007 Viagem 10% $4,500 $4,500 $450 5
(engarrafamento) Aeroporto
Problemas mecnicos no Atraso na Chegada ao
13 4/26/2007 Viagem 2% $5,000 $5,000 $100 4
carro Aeroporto
Viagem com trecho
14 4/26/2007 Viagem Cancelamento do Vo 10% $1,000 $1,000 $100 11
no previsto
15 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 0
16 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 0
17 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 0
18 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 0
19 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 0
20 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 0
21 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 0
22 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 0
23 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 0
24 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 0
25 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 0
26 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 0
27 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 0
28 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 0
29 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 0
30 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 0
31 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 0
32 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 0
33 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 0
34 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 0
35 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 0
36 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 0
37 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 0
38 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 0
39 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 0
40 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 0
41 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 0
42 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 0
43 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 0
44 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 0
45 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 0
46 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 0
47 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 0
48 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 0
49 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 0
50 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 0
51 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 0
52 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 0
53 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 0
54 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 0
55 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 0
56 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 0
57 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 0
58 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 0
59 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 0
60 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 0
61 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 0
62 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 0
63 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 0
64 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 0
65 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 0
66 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 0
67 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 0
68 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 0
69 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 0
70 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 0
71 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 0
72 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 0
73 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 0
74 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 0
75 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 0
76 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 0
77 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 0
78 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 0
 79 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 0
80 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 0
81 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 0
82 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 0
83 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 0
84 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 0
85 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 0
86 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 0
87 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 0
88 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 0
89 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 0
90 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 0
91 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 0
92 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 0
93 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 0
94 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 0
95 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 0
96 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 0
97 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 0
98 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 0
99 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 0
100 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 0
101 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 0
102 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 0
103 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 0
104 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 0
105 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 0
106 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 0
107 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 0
108 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 0
109 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 0
110 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 0
111 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 0
112 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 0
113 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 0
114 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 0
115 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 0
116 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 0
117 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 0
118 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 0
119 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 0
120 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 0
121 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 0
122 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 0
123 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 0
124 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 0
125 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 0
126 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 0
127 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 0
128 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 0
129 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 0
130 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 0
131 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 0
132 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 0
133 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 0
134 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 0
135 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 0
136 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 0
137 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 0
138 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 0
139 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 0
140 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 0
141 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 0
142 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 0
143 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 0
144 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 0
145 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 0
146 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 0
147 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 0
148 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 0
149 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 0
150 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 0
151 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 0
152 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 0
153 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 0
154 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 0
155 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 0
156 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 0
157 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 0
158 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 0
159 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 0
160 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 0
161 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 0
162 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 0
163 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 0
164 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 0
165 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 0
166 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 0
167 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 0
168 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 0
169 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 0
170 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 0
171 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 0
172 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 0
173 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 0
174 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 0
175 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 0
176 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 0
177 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 0
178 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 0
179 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 0
180 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 0
181 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 0
182 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 0
183 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 0
184 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 0
185 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 0
186 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 0
187 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 0
188 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 0
189 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 0
190 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 0
191 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 0
192 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 0
193 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 0
194 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 0
195 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 0
196 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 0
197 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 0
198 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 0
199 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 0
200 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 0

Probabilidade: Chance de Ocorrncia do Risco (%)

Sensibilidade: Percentual de variao sobre a Quantificao (probabilidade e Impacto) do Risco - ferramenta de anlise
Lista de Riscos Residuais - Oportunidades (Ps-Reao, para durante o Projeto)
Projeto: Casamento do Senhor Falconi 4/30/2009
Cliente: Gran Falconi de Marco Sensibilidade: 100%
Resp: Gerentino Jnior

TOTAL - Valor Esperado das Oportunidades $3,400 $332

No. Data Categoria Evento de Oportunidade Probabi- Impacto Impacto Valor Priori-
Identif. Causa Raiz Efeito lidade (%) (input) Ajustado Esperado dade
Pernoite em hotel
1 ### Viagem Atraso no Vo pagos pela 4% $1,000 $1,000 $40 1
Refeies
companhiapagas
area
2 ### Viagem Atraso no Vo pela companhia 8% $200 $200 $16 3
Pernoite em hotel
area
3 ### Viagem Cancelamento do Vo pagos pela 10% $1,000 $1,000 $40 2
companhiapagas
Refeies area
4 ### 0 Cancelamento do Vo pela companhia 18% $200 $200 $36 4
area
Troca de categoria
5 ### Viagem Overbook 20% $1,000 $1,000 $200 5
no vo
6 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 #REF!
7 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 #REF!
8 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 #REF!
9 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 #REF!
10 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 #REF!
11 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 #REF!
12 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 #REF!
13 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 #REF!
14 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 #REF!
15 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 #REF!
16 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 #REF!
17 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 #REF!
18 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 #REF!
19 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 #REF!
20 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 #REF!
21 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 #REF!
22 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 #REF!
23 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 #REF!
24 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 #REF!
25 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 #REF!
26 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 #REF!
27 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 #REF!
28 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 #REF!
29 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 #REF!
30 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 #REF!
31 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 #REF!
32 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 #REF!
33 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 #REF!
34 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 #REF!
35 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 #REF!
36 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 #REF!
37 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 #REF!
38 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 #REF!
39 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 #REF!
40 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 #REF!
41 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 #REF!
42 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 #REF!
43 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 #REF!
44 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 #REF!
45 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 #REF!
46 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 #REF!
47 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 #REF!
48 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 #REF!
49 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 #REF!
50 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 #REF!
51 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 #REF!
52 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 #REF!
53 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 #REF!
54 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 #REF!
55 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 #REF!
56 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 #REF!
57 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 #REF!
58 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 #REF!
59 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 #REF!
60 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 #REF!
61 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 #REF!
62 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 #REF!
63 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 #REF!
64 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 #REF!
65 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 #REF!
66 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 #REF!
67 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 #REF!
68 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 #REF!
69 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 #REF!
70 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 #REF!
71 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 #REF!
72 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 #REF!
73 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 #REF!
74 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 #REF!
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76 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 #REF!
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 78 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 #REF!
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83 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 #REF!
84 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 #REF!
85 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 #REF!
86 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 #REF!
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88 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 #REF!
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90 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 #REF!
91 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 #REF!
92 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 #REF!
93 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 #REF!
94 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 #REF!
95 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 #REF!
96 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 #REF!
97 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 #REF!
98 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 #REF!
99 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 #REF!
100 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 #REF!
101 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 #REF!
102 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 #REF!
103 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 #REF!
104 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 #REF!
105 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 #REF!
106 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 #REF!
107 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 #REF!
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109 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 #REF!
110 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 #REF!
111 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 #REF!
112 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 #REF!
113 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 #REF!
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199 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 #REF!
200 ### 0 0 0 0% $0 $0 $0 #REF!

Probabilidade: Chance de Ocorrncia do Risco (%)

Sensibilidade: Percentual de variao sobre a Quantificao (probabilidade e Impacto) do Risco - ferramenta de anlise
Controle dos Riscos Durante o Desenvolvimento do Projeto
Projeto: Casamento do Senhor Falconi
Cliente: Gran Falconi de Marco 4/30/2009
Resp: Gerentino Jnior OPORTUNIDADES a partir da linha 214

AMEAAS (Oportunidades Abaixo)

No. Data Categoria Evento de Ameaa Novo Valor Reao Ao Custo da Responsvel Responsvel Data
Identif. Causa Raiz Efeito Esperado de Reao Acomp. Reao Ocorrncia
Contactar o Padre reserva,
Cerimni Cerimonia no se
1 ### Padre Doente $0 garantindo todas as possveis $500
a realizar
despesas.
A) Aplicao das multas
Cerimni Cerimonia no se cabveis e processo de danos
2 ### Ausncia de um dos noivos $20 $0
a realizar morais. B) Agendar nova data
para casamento.
Cerimni Cerimonia no se Agendar nova data para
3 ### Desastre natural $20 $0
a realizar casamento.
Realizar pedidos de empresas
Mal estar nos
4 ### Festa Problemas com Buffet $250 do tipo fast-food para entregas $2,000
convidados
imediatas
Mal estar nos
5 ### Festa Climatizao indevida do local $250 Usar ventiladores reservas $0
convidados
Mal estar nos A) Usar o DJ. B) Parar a
6 ### Festa Msica $400 $0
convidados msica e fazer um Karaok.
Atraso na chegada ao No conseguir
7 ### Viagem $225 Remarcar a passagem e hoteis $4,500
Aeroporto No conseguir
viajar Agncia se encarrega de
8 ### Viagem Cancelamento do Vo $100 $0
viajar remarcar passagens e hotel.
No conseguir Agncia se encarrega de
9 ### Viagem Overbook $100 $0
viajar remarcar passagens e hotel.
Problemas na retirada do No conseguir Agncia se encarrega de
10 ### Viagem $50 $0
passaporte viajar remarcar passagens e hotel.
Problemas na emisso do No conseguir Agncia se encarrega de
11 ### Viagem $20 $0
bilhete viajar remarcar passagens e hotel.
Problemas no trnsito Atraso na Chegada
12 ### Viagem $450 Remarcar a passagem e hoteis $4,500
(engarrafamento) ao Aeroporto
Atraso na Chegada
13 ### Viagem Problemas mecnicos no carro $100 Pegar txi $300
ao Aeroporto
Viagem com
Remarcar horrio de chegado
14 ### Viagem Cancelamento do Vo trecho no $100 $0
no hotel
previsto
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129 ### 0 0 0 $0 0 $0
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133 ### 0 0 0 $0 0 $0
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139 ### 0 0 0 $0 0 $0
140 ### 0 0 0 $0 0 $0
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143 ### 0 0 0 $0 0 $0
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145 ### 0 0 0 $0 0 $0
146 ### 0 0 0 $0 0 $0
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148 ### 0 0 0 $0 0 $0
149 ### 0 0 0 $0 0 $0
150 ### 0 0 0 $0 0 $0
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155 ### 0 0 0 $0 0 $0
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159 ### 0 0 0 $0 0 $0
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168 ### 0 0 0 $0 0 $0
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170 ### 0 0 0 $0 0 $0
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173 ### 0 0 0 $0 0 $0
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180 ### 0 0 0 $0 0 $0
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182 ### 0 0 0 $0 0 $0
183 ### 0 0 0 $0 0 $0
184 ### 0 0 0 $0 0 $0
185 ### 0 0 0 $0 0 $0
186 ### 0 0 0 $0 0 $0
187 ### 0 0 0 $0 0 $0
188 ### 0 0 0 $0 0 $0
189 ### 0 0 0 $0 0 $0
190 ### 0 0 0 $0 0 $0
191 ### 0 0 0 $0 0 $0
192 ### 0 0 0 $0 0 $0
193 ### 0 0 0 $0 0 $0
194 ### 0 0 0 $0 0 $0
195 ### 0 0 0 $0 0 $0
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197 ### 0 0 0 $0 0 $0
198 ### 0 0 0 $0 0 $0
199 ### 0 0 0 $0 0 $0
200 ### 0 0 0 $0 0 $0
$2,085 $11,800

OPORTUNIDADES
No. Data Categoria Evento de Oportunidade Novo Valor Ao Ao Custo da Responsvel Responsvel Data
Identif. (descrio do Risco) Esperado de Ao Acomp. Ao Ocorrncia
Fazer com que o dia nasa
1 ### Viagem Atraso no Vo Pernoite em hotel $40 $0
feliz.
Solicitar gentilmente jantar a
2 ### Viagem Atraso no Vo Refeies pagas pe $16 $0
luz de velas para o casal.
Fazer com que o dia nasa
3 ### Viagem Cancelamento do Vo Pernoite em hotel $40 $0
feliz.
Solicitar gentilmente jantar a
4 ### 0 Cancelamento do Vo Refeies pagas pe $36 $0
luz de velas para o casal.
Usar os servios mais
sofisticados e aproveitar a
5 ### Viagem Overbook Troca de categoria $200 $0
viagem, descansando para
usufruir melhor o dia seguinte.
6 ### 0 0 0 $0 0 $0
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169 ### 0 0 0 $0 0 $0
170 ### 0 0 0 $0 0 $0
171 ### 0 0 0 $0 0 $0
172 ### 0 0 0 $0 0 $0
173 ### 0 0 0 $0 0 $0
174 ### 0 0 0 $0 0 $0
175 ### 0 0 0 $0 0 $0
176 ### 0 0 0 $0 0 $0
177 ### 0 0 0 $0 0 $0
178 ### 0 0 0 $0 0 $0
179 ### 0 0 0 $0 0 $0
180 ### 0 0 0 $0 0 $0
181 ### 0 0 0 $0 0 $0
182 ### 0 0 0 $0 0 $0
183 ### 0 0 0 $0 0 $0
184 ### 0 0 0 $0 0 $0
185 ### 0 0 0 $0 0 $0
186 ### 0 0 0 $0 0 $0
187 ### 0 0 0 $0 0 $0
188 ### 0 0 0 $0 0 $0
189 ### 0 0 0 $0 0 $0
190 ### 0 0 0 $0 0 $0
191 ### 0 0 0 $0 0 $0
192 ### 0 0 0 $0 0 $0
193 ### 0 0 0 $0 0 $0
194 ### 0 0 0 $0 0 $0
195 ### 0 0 0 $0 0 $0
196 ### 0 0 0 $0 0 $0
197 ### 0 0 0 $0 0 $0
198 ### 0 0 0 $0 0 $0
199 ### 0 0 0 $0 0 $0
200 ### 0 0 0 $0 0 $0
$332 $0
 Tipos de reao

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