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Even on their best days, the worlds failed states are dicult to mistake for anything but tragic examples of
countries gone wrong. A few routinely make the headlines Somalia, Iraq, Congo. But alongside their brand of
extreme state dysfunction exists an entirely separate, easily missed class of states teetering on the edge. In dozens
of countries, corrupt or feeble governments are proving themselves dangerously incapable of carrying out the
most basic responsibilities of statehood. These countries nations such as Botswana, Cambodia, Georgia, and
Kenya might appear to be recovering, even thriving, developing countries, but like their failed-state cousins,
they are increasingly unable, and perhaps unwilling, to fulll the functions that have long dened what it means
to be a state.
What or who is keeping these countries from falling into the abyss? Not so long ago, former colonial masters
and superpower patrons propped them up. Today, however, the thin line that separates weak states from truly
failed ones is manned by a hodgepodge of international charities, aid agencies, philanthropists, and foreign
advisors. This armada of nonstate actors has become a powerful global force, replacing traditional donors and
governments inuence in poverty-stricken, war-torn world capitals. And as a measure of that inuence, they are
increasingly taking over key state functions, providing for the health, welfare, and safety of citizens. These
private actors have become the "new colonialists" of the 21st century.
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In much the same way European empires once dictated policies across their colonial holdings, the new
colonialists among them international development groups such as Oxfam, humanitarian nongovernmental
organizations (NGOs) like Doctors Without Borders, faith-based organizations such as Mercy Corps, and
megaphilanthropies like the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation direct development strategies and craft
government policies for their hosts. But though the new colonialists are the glue holding society together in many
weak states, their presence often deepens the dependency of these states on outsiders. They unquestionably ll
vital roles, providing lifesaving healthcare, educating children, and distributing food in countries where the
government cant or wont. But, as a consequence, many of these states are failing to develop the skills necessary
to run their countries eectively, while others fall back on a global safety net to escape their own accountability.
Have the new colonialists gone too far in attempting to manage responsibilities that should be those of
governments alone? And given the dependency they have nurtured, can the world aord to let them one day walk
away?
Dependency is not a new phenomenon in the worlds most destitute places. But as wealthy governments have lost
their appetite for the development game, the new colonialists have lled the breach. In 1970, seven of every 10
dollars given by the United States to the developing world came from ocial development assistance (ODA).
Today, ODA is a mere 15 percent of such ows, with the other 85 percent coming from private capital ows,
remittances, and NGO contributions. Nor is this trend strictly an American phenomenon. In 2006, total aid to the
developing world from countries of the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD)
amounted to $325 billion. Just a third of that sum came from governments.
The expanding budgets of humanitarian NGOs are indicative of the power shift taking place. During the 1990s,
the amount of aid owing through NGOs in Africa, rather than governments, more than tripled. Spending by the
international relief and development organization CARE has jumped 65 percent since 1999, to $607 million last
year. Save the Childrens budget has tripled since 1998; Doctors Without Borders budget has doubled since 2001;
and Mercy Corps expenditures have risen nearly 700 percent in a decade.
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The shift is equally apparent on the receiving end. When aid reaches developing countries, it increasingly
bypasses the host governments altogether, often going straight into the coers of the new colonialists on the
ground. In 2003, the USAID Oce of U.S. Foreign Disaster Assistance distributed two thirds of its budget through
NGOs rather than aected governments. Between 1980 and 2003, the amount of aid from OECD countries
channeled through NGOs grew from $47 million to more than $4 billion. One reason for the shift is the growing
reluctance of rich countries to route aid through corrupt foreign ocials. That has created an increasing reliance
But the new colonialists are doing far more than simply carrying out the mandates of wealthy benefactors back
home. They often tackle challenges that donors and developing-country governments either ignore or have failed
natural-resource management in unstable countries such as the Democratic Republic of the Congo and serves as
an early warning system to Western governments about impending conicts. The Gates Foundation, which has
spent more in the past decade on neglected-disease research than all the worlds governments combined, has
been so dissatised with existing international health indexes that it is funding the development of brand-new
Seeing jobs that need to be done, the new colonialists simply roll up their sleeves and go to work, with or without
the cooperation of states. That can be good for the family whose house needs rebuilding or the young mother who
needs vaccinations for her child. But it can be a blow to the authority of an already weak government. And it may
do nothing to ensure that a state will be able to provide for its citizens in the future.
The responsibilities the new colonialists assume are diverse improving public health, implementing
environmental initiatives, funding small businesses, providing military training, even promoting democracy. But
whatever the task, the result is generally the same: the slow and steady erosion of the host states responsibility
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The extent of the new colonialists inuence is perhaps best illustrated in Afghanistan. The government
possesses only the most rudimentary control over its territory, and President Hamid Karzai has made little
progress in combating corruption and narcotics tracking. The result is a shell of a government, unable to
provide basic services or assert its authority. Today, 80 percent of all Afghan services, such as healthcare and
education, are delivered by international and local NGOs. According to its own estimates, the Afghan
government administers only a third of the several billion dollars of aid owing into the country each year. The
rest is managed directly by private contractors, development agencies, and humanitarian aid groups. Major
donors such as Britain only briey include the Afghan government in their aid agendas: Although 80 percent of
Britains $200 million in annual aid to Afghanistan is dedicated to state ministries, as soon as the money arrives,
it is swiftly handed over to NGOs like Oxfam or CARE for the actual construction of schools and hospitals. The
transfers simply reect many donors lack of condence in Afghan ministries to distribute funds competently
Many of the gains that Afghanistan has made since the fall of the Taliban can undoubtedly be attributed to the
eorts and largesse of the many thousands of NGOs that have set up shop in Kabul. But not everyone is thankful
for their labor. Karzai has derided the wasteful overlap, cronyism, and unaccountability among foreign NGOs in
Afghanistan as "NGOism," just another "ism," after communism and Talibanism, in his countrys unfortunate
history. In 2005, Ramazan Bashardost, a parliamentary candidate in Kabul, sailed to electoral victory by running
on an anti-NGO platform, threatening to expel nearly 2,000 NGOs that he claimed were corrupt, for-prot
Many NGOs understandably resent such criticism, particularly as it lumps together a diverse lot private
contractors, international aid agencies, local NGOs and ignores the important contributions some have made.
But none of these groups is anxious to perform so well that it works itself out a job. No matter how well-
intentioned, these new colonialists need weak states as much as weak states need them.
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This kind of perverse dependency is on display in Georgia, where new colonialists have come to wield an
inordinate amount of inuence since the country emerged from Soviet rule. Today, its pro-Western president is
supported by a steady dose of nancial and political aid from abroad, and many state functions are nanced or
managed by outside help. In advance of the countrys Rose Revolution, foreign political consultants advised the
oppositions campaign strategy. The American consulting rm Booz Allen Hamilton has been hired to help
rebuild state ministries from the ground up, recruiting new sta and retraining bureaucrats. These foreign
political reform and intelligence sharing. But in Georgia, as well as other countries where these consultants
operate, as they help mold state functions and prioritize development policies, they also write the complex grant
applications that their home governments consider grants that eectively extend their own positions of
inuence. The result is a vicious cycle of dependency as new colonialists vie for the contracts that will keep them
in business.
That isnt to say that the new colonialists dont get results many do. And in few areas are the eorts of the new
colonialists more impressive than in the public-health arena. When Cambodia emerged from more than a decade
of civil war in 1991, the public healthcare system was nonexistent. Since 1999, the government has outsourced
much of the countrys healthcare to international NGOs such as HealthNet and Save the Children. Today, it is
estimated that 1 in 10 Cambodians receives healthcare from such groups, which run hundreds of hospitals and
clinics throughout the country and often provide far better care than government institutions. So reliable are
these NGOs in providing quality care that it is dicult to imagine the government taking over responsibilities
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Many aid organizations will say that their ultimate goal is to ensure their services are no longer needed. But aid
organizations and humanitarian groups need dysfunction to maintain their relevance. Indeed, their institutional
survival depends on it. Although aid groups occasionally have pulled out of countries because of security
concerns or to protest the manipulation of aid, it is dicult to nd examples where these groups have pulled up
stakes because the needs they seek to address are no more. And as these groups deepen their presence in weak
states, they often bleed the country of local talent. The salaries they oer are not only better and the work more
eective, but there are often no comparable opportunities for well-educated locals in their countrys civil service
or private sector. The new colonialists may depend on this talent to ensure their legitimacy and local expertise,
but it further weakens the host governments ability to attract their own best and brightest, ensuring that they
AN UNBROKEN CYCLE
There is no single global clearinghouse that coordinates, or even tracks, how these actors behave around the
world. If new colonialists only pay lip service to local ownership and democracy, there is little to suggest that the
cycle of mutual dependence will ever be broken. And if that is the case, the new-colonialist crutch may enable
Of course, there is another disturbing possibility that many observers do not like to countenance: Without the
new colonialists, todays weak states could be tomorrows basket cases. It speaks to the ubiquity of the new
colonialists that this prospect seems remote. Nor can most weak states successfully resist their inuence. When
Cyclone Nargis struck Burma in May, the governing military junta initially resisted outside assistance. But state
incapacity, corruption, and incompetence often make a deant stance impossible. After several weeks, the
regimes leaders had little choice but to accept the help of aid workers who were clamoring to gain access to the
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How then should the international community respond to the increasing inuence of the new colonialists? Some
observers argue that the market should take the lead in solving development challenges. Unfortunately, new
investment often avoids failing states, and aid groups can rightly say that they do the work no one else is willing
to do. Other observers think it is time to restore the centrality of the United Nations, at least as a coordinating
force among these actors. But globalization resists the centralization of power, and the United Nations lacks the
The fundamental challenge in this messy new landscape will be to establish a system of accountability. To earn a
place at the table of global governance, the new colonialists will have to keep their promises not only to their
donors and benefactors but to the citizens of failing states themselves. Competition among aid groups might
actually serve to improve this accountability in the future. In many ways, the new colonialists are building a
genuine global constituency, and, for better or worse, they may be the rst and last line of defense for states
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