Académique Documents
Professionnel Documents
Culture Documents
Reference of the full Global Carbon Budget 2016: Le Qur, C., Andrew, R. M., Canadell, J. G., Sitch, S., Korsbakk
Chevallier, F., Chini, L. P., Ciais, P., Currie, K., Delire, C., Doney, S. C., Friedlingstein, P., Gkritzalis, T., Harris, I., Hau
D., Melton, J. R., Metzl, N., Millero, F., Monteiro, P. M. S., Munro, D. R., Nabel, J. E. M. S., Nakaoka, S., OBrien, K.
Sutton, A. J., Takahashi, T., Tian, H., Tilbrook, B., van der Laan-Luijkx, I. T., van der Werf, G. R., Viovy, N., Walker, A
syst-sci-data.net/8/605/2016/
Further information is available on: http://wwwglobalcarbonprojectorg/carbonbudget
References to previous updates of the Global Carbon Budget by the Global Carbon Project:
2015: Le Qur, C, R Moriarty, RM Andrew, JG Canadell, S Sitch, JI Korsbakken, P Friedlingstein, GP Peters, RJ And
2015: Jackson, R. B., Canadell, J. G., Le Qur, C., Andrew, R. M., Korsbakken, J. I., Peters, G. P., and Nakicenovic,
2014: Le Qur, C, R Moriarty, R M Andrew, G P Peters, P Ciais, P Friedlingstein, S D Jones, S Sitch, P Tans, A Arne
2014: Friedlingstein, P., Andrew, R. M., Rogelj, J., Peters, G. P., Canadell, J. G., Knutti, R., Luderer, G., Raupach, M.
2013: Le Qur, C, G P Peters, R J Andres, R M Andrew, T A Boden, P Ciais, P Friedlingstein, R A Houghton, G Mar
2012: Le Qur, C, R J Andres, T Boden, T Conway, R A Houghton, J I House, G Marland, G P Peters, G R van der W
2012: Peters, G, RM Andrews, T Boden, JG Canadell, P Ciais, C Le Qur, G Marland, MR Raupach and C Wilson,
2011: Peters, G, Marland, G, Le Qur, C, Boden, T, Canadell, JG, and Raupach, MR, 2012. Rapid growth in CO2 e
2010: Friedlingstein, P, Houghton, RA, Marland, G, Hackler, J, Boden, TA, Conway, TJ, Canadell, JG, Raupach, MR,
2009: Le Qur, C, Raupach, MR, Canadell, JG, Marland, G, Bopp, L, Ciais, P, Conway, TJ, Doney, SC, Feely, R, Fo
2007: Canadell, JC, Le Qur, C, Raupach, MR, Fields, C, Buitenhuis, ET, Ciais, P, Conway, TJ, Gillett, N, Houghton,
2006: Raupach, MR, Marland, G, Ciais, P, Le Qur, C, Canadell, JG, Klepper, G, and CB Field, CB, 2007. Global an
nessen, E Kato, R F Keeling, V Kitidis, K Klein Goldewijk, C Koven, C S Landa, P Landschtzer, A Lenton, I D Lima, G Marland, J
Geoscience, 2014. 2014.
Jain, S D Jones, E Kato, R F Keeling, K Klein Goldewijk, A Krtzinger, C Koven, N Lefvre, F Maignan, A Omar, T Ono, G-H Park,
Klein Goldewijk, S Levis, P Levy, M Lomas, B Poulter, M Raupach, J Schwinger, S Sitch, B D Stocker, N Viovy, S Zaehle and N Z
entice, IC, Randerson, JT, Running, SW, Sarmiento, JL, Schuster, U, Sitch, S, Takahashi, T, Viovy, N, van der Werf, GR, Woodwar
atural sinks PNAS, 104, 18866-18870
ven, P Landschtzer, SK Lauvset, N Lefvre, A Lenton, ID Lima, N Metzl, F Millero, DR Munro, A Murata, JEMS Nabel, S Nakao
, I D Lima, G Marland, J T Mathis, N Metzl, Y Nojiri, A Olsen, T Ono, S Peng, W Peters, B Pfeil, B Poulter, M R Raupach, P Regn
Omar, T Ono, G-H Park, B Pfeil, B Poulter, M R Raupach, P Regnier, C Rdenbeck, S Saito, J Schwinger, J Segschneider, B D Sto
Viovy, S Zaehle and N Zeng 2012. The Global Carbon Budget 1959 - 2011 Earth Syst Sci Data, doi:105194/essdd-5-165-2013
der Werf, GR, Woodward, FI, 2009. Trends in the sources and sinks of carbon dioxide Nature Geoscience, 2, 831-836 Reques
ta, JEMS Nabel, S Nakaoka, Y Nojiri, K O'Brien, A Olsen, T Ono, FF Prez, B Pfeil, D Pierrot, B Poulter, G Rehder, C Rdenbeck,
er, M R Raupach, P Regnier, C Rdenbeck, S Saito, J E Salisbury, U Schuster, J Schwinger, R Sfrian, J Segschneider, T Steinho
r, J Segschneider, B D Stocker, T Takahashi, B Tilbrook, S van Heuven, N Viovy, R Wanninkhof, A Wiltshire, and S Zaehle, 2014
5194/essdd-5-165-2013, 2013 http://www.earth-syst-sci-data-discuss.net/5/165/2013/
Segschneider, T Steinhoff, B D Stocker, A J Sutton, T Takahashi, B Tilbrook, G R van der Werf, N Viovy, Y-P Wang, R Wanninkho
hire, and S Zaehle, 2014. Global Carbon Budget 2013 Earth Syst Sci Data, 6, 235-263, 2014, doi:105194/essd-6-235-2014, ww
n, T Takahashi, B Tilbrook, IT van der Laan-Luijkx, GR van der Werf, S van Heuven, D Vandemark, N Viovy, A Wiltshire, S Zaeh
Y-P Wang, R Wanninkhof, A Wiltshire, and N Zeng 2015. Global Carbon Budget 2014 Earth System Science Data, 7, 47-85, do
94/essd-6-235-2014, wwwearth-syst-sci-datanet/6/235/2014/
ovy, A Wiltshire, S Zaehle, and N Zeng 2015 Global Carbon Budget 2015 Earth System Science Data, 7, 349-396 doi:10.5194/
DeFries, RS, Hansen, MC, House, JI, Le Qur, C, Pongratz, J and Ramankutty, N 2012. Chapter G2 Carbon emissions from lan
n agriculture statistics of the Food and Agriculture Organization
ility as captured by satellite-based fire emissions (data in red in Column C).
round 0.2 GtC/yr from 1980) is estimated directly from atmospheric CO2 concentration measurements, and provided by t
Tans, NOAA/ESRL (www.esrl.noaa.gov/gmd/ccgg/trends/)
South Pole stations as observed by the CO2 Program at Scripps Institution of Oceanography. http://scrippsco2.ucsd.edu/dat
ated from multiple stations by NOAA/ESRL.
d a combination of global ocean biogeochemistry models. How to cite: Le Qur et al. 2016 (see Summary)
estimated from the residual of the other budget terms: land_sink = fossil_fuel + land_use_change - atm_growth - ocean_si
land sink
0.97
1.59
1.65
2.15
2.12
2.19
0.83
1.01
2.45
1.78
1.20
1.98
2.76
0.98
1.28
2.98
1.75
2.48
0.59
1.92
0.53
1.15
2.14
2.31
0.49
2.11
1.47
2.89
-0.48
0.81
2.70
3.00
4.12
3.94
2.67
1.96
1.57
3.64
2.41
-0.16
2.85
3.26
2.04
0.83
1.16
3.31
1.81
3.41
2.82
3.38
3.68
2.43
4.23
2.93
2.75
3.88
1.88
elow by 3.664.
on Analysis Center, Oak Ridge National Laboratory, U.S. Department of Energy, Oak Ridge, Tenn., U.S.A. doi 10.3334/CDIAC/0
National Laboratory, adjusted with revised China statistics from 1990. http://cdiac.ornl.gov/trends/emis/meth_reg.html
m/content/dam/bp/pdf/energy-economics/statistical-review-2016/bp-statistical-review-of-world-energy-2016-full-report.pd
Carbon emissions from land use and land-cover change, Biogeosciences, 9, 5125-5142. Doi: 10.5194/bgd-9-835-2012
ements, and provided by the US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration Earth System Research Laboratory (NO
/scrippsco2.ucsd.edu/data/atmospheric_co2.html
e - atm_growth - ocean_sink.
.A. doi 10.3334/CDIAC/00001_V2016
emis/meth_reg.html
ergy-2016-full-report.pdf
4/bgd-9-835-2012
bal, Regional, and National Fossil-Fuel CO2 Emissions. Carbon Dioxide Information Analysis Center, Oak Ridge National Labor
are from the Carbon Dioxide Information Analysis Center (CDIAC) at Oak Ridge National Laboratory, adjusted with revised Ch
energy statistics published by BP (data in red in Column B). https://www.bp.com/content/dam/bp/pdf/energy-economics/st
ological Survey (data in blue in Column F). http://minerals.usgs.gov/minerals/pubs/commodity/cement/
sigma confidence level.
ak Ridge National Laboratory, U.S. Department of Energy, Oak Ridge, Tenn., U.S.A. doi 10.3334/CDIAC/00001_V2016
C, House, JI, Le Qur, C, Pongratz, J and Ramankutty, N 2012. Chapter G2 Carbon emissions from land use and land-cover ch
u, M, Kasibhatla, P, Morton, DC, DeFries, RS, Jin, Y, and van Leeuwen, TT 2010. Global fire emissions and the contribution of d
Emissions from Land-Use Change Affected More by Nitrogen Cycle, than by the Choice of Land Cover Data, Global Change Bi
ifferent land cover change data sets on the carbon stocks of plants and soils in concert with CO2 and climate change Global
Best, MJ, Pryor, M, Rooney, GG, Essery, RLH, Blyth, E, Boucher, O, Cox, PM, and Harding, RJ 2011. The Joint UK Land Environm
of vegetation dynamics in the modelling of terrestrial ecosystems: comparing two contrasting approaches within European
mer, W, Kaplan, JO, Levis, S, Lucht, W, Sykes, MT, Thonicke, K, Venevsky, S 2003. Evaluation of ecosystem dynamics, plant geo
le Dynamics in the O-CN Land Surface Model: 1 Model Description, Site-Scale Evaluation, and Sensitivity to Parameter Estim
studies below). The average anomalies from the model results, normalised to the observed mean for 1990-1999 are used fo
of 2.2 PgC/yr:
L. 2003. Anthropogenic CO2 uptake by the ocean based on the global chlorofluorocarbon data set, Science, 299, 235-239, 10
carbon sinks from the Scripps atmospheric oxygen flask sampling network, Tellus Series B-Chemical and Physical Meteorolo
ewicz, S., Gerber, M., Follows, M., Joos, F., Lindsay, K., Menemenlis, D., Mouchet, A., Mller, S. A., and Sarmiento, J. L. 2006.
RB, Sailley, SF, Le Qur, C 2010. Biogeochemical fluxes through microzooplankton. Global Biogeochemical Cycles 24.
2006. Globalizing results from ocean in situ iron fertilization studies. Global Biogeochemical Cycles 20(2).
ely, RA, Glover, DM, Lindsay, K, Mahowald, N, Moore, JK and Wanninkhof, R 2009. Mechanisms governing interannual variab
Tjiputra, J. F., Kriest, I., Bentsen, M., Bethke, I., Ilicak, M., Assmann, K. M., and Heinze, C.: Evaluation of NorESM-OC (version
hlen, M, Orr, J, Eth, C, Cadule, P, Aumont, O, Salas Y Mlia, D, Voldoire, A and Madec, G 2013 Skill assessment of three earth
iller, A, Matear, R ., Fiedler, R, Mansbridge, J, Lenton, A, Cahill, M, Chamberlain, MA and Ridgway, K 2013. Evaluation of a ne
olf-Gladrow, D., and Volker, C.: Iron fertilisation and century-scale effects of open ocean dissolution of olivine in a simulated C
r, N., Haumann, F. A., Rdenbeck, C., Bakker, D. C. E., van Heuven, S., Hoppema, M., Metzl, N., Sweeney, C., Takahashi, T., Tilb
DCE, Metzl, N, Olsen, A, Sabine, C, Cassar, N, Reum, F, Keeling, RF, and Heimann, M 2014. Interannual sea-air CO2 flux variab
f CO2 (of about 0.45 GtC/yr) and therefore are not directly comparable with the ocean model results
Data-based products
MICOM-HAM NEMO-PISCCSIRO MITgcm-REcoM2 LandschtzeRdenbeck
0.86 0.57 0.72 1.27
0.85 0.77 0.73 1.35
0.78 0.53 0.56 1.26
0.96 0.61 0.71 1.26
1.13 0.65 0.94 1.37
1.25 0.96 0.92 1.65
1.44 1.22 1.29 1.77
1.45 1.21 1.30 1.67
1.26 0.98 0.98 1.55
1.33 0.94 1.11 1.50
1.43 0.76 1.24 1.64
1.32 1.01 0.80 1.55
1.38 1.06 0.93 1.69
1.64 1.12 1.49 1.80
1.70 1.15 1.27 1.79
1.64 1.39 1.19 1.71
1.59 1.21 1.15 1.84
1.76 1.38 1.49 1.72
1.83 1.10 1.57 1.78
1.79 1.32 1.50 1.77
1.64 1.24 1.60 1.61
1.95 1.20 1.41 1.96
1.98 1.53 1.50 1.98
2.04 1.42 1.77 1.97 1.13
2.22 1.66 1.81 2.07 1.22
2.17 1.72 1.60 2.03 1.26
2.15 1.63 1.69 2.17 1.25
2.21 1.60 1.83 2.15 1.35 1.62
2.16 1.55 1.85 2.11 1.50 1.45
2.06 1.49 1.48 2.12 1.26 1.49
2.19 1.72 1.70 2.12 1.18 1.31
2.22 1.51 1.81 2.13 1.27 1.39
2.27 1.60 1.92 2.21 1.37 1.75
2.54 1.87 2.00 2.32 1.37 2.20
2.54 2.02 2.13 2.35 1.41 1.89
2.40 1.86 1.87 2.23 1.28 1.32
2.30 1.68 1.91 2.24 1.11 1.35
2.23 1.71 1.74 2.12 1.01 1.21
2.32 1.60 2.03 2.06 1.20 1.54
2.36 1.60 2.17 2.43 0.97 1.81
2.42 1.85 1.78 2.45 0.72 1.38
2.41 1.72 1.78 2.25 0.73 1.22
2.32 1.52 1.87 2.10 0.73 0.80
2.55 1.32 2.19 2.31 1.02 1.62
2.70 1.85 2.32 2.36 1.25 1.89
2.61 1.64 2.11 2.31 1.30 1.87
2.65 1.55 2.09 2.32 1.45 1.63
2.78 1.87 2.21 2.44 1.59 1.54
2.69 1.93 2.11 2.55 1.60 1.37
2.83 2.00 2.26 2.60 1.69 1.37
2.73 1.87 2.40 2.45 1.89 1.70
2.71 1.90 2.30 2.35 1.84 1.86
2.89 2.07 2.40 2.61 1.93 2.00
3.04 2.04 2.59 2.48 2.05 2.08
3.04 2.09 2.54 2.53 1.96 2.16
3.11 2.36 2.71 2.66 1.99 2.31
3.63 2.70 2.82 2.7 2.29 1.88
Sweeney, C., Takahashi, T., Tilbrook, B., and Wanninkhof, R.: The reinvigoration of the Southern Ocean carbon sink, Science,
rannual sea-air CO2 flux variability from an observation-driven ocean mixed-layer scheme., Biogeosciences, 11, 4599-4613,
storage by the oceans, Global Biogeochemical Cycles, 20.
xes: physical climate and atmospheric dust. Deep-Sea Res., II(56): 640-655.
f the Norwegian Earth System Model (NorESM1), Geosci. Model Dev., 9, 2589-2622, 2016.
e Dynamics, 40, 25492573.
g, Y. Q., and Zhang, L.: Evaluating Surface Water Cycle Simulated by the Australian Community Land Surface Model (CABLE) a
en plant functional types in the Canadian Terrestrial Ecosystem Model (CTEM) v. 2.0, Geosci. Model Dev., 9, 323-361, 2016.
uang, M, Koven, C, Levis, S, Li, F, Riley, W, Subin, Z, Swenson, S, Thornton, P, Bozbiyik, A, Fisher, R, Heald, C, Kluzek, E, Lamarq
3.Lu, C., Emissions
CO2 and Tao, B.: TheLand-Use
from Dynamic Change
Land Ecosystem
Affected Model
More by (DLEM) for Simulating
Nitrogen Cycle, thanTerrestrial Processes
by the Choice and
of Land Interactions
Cover in the
Data, Global ChC
of two different land cover change data sets on the carbon stocks of plants and soils in concert with CO2 and climate change
The representation of natural and anthropogenic land cover change in MPI-ESM, Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Sys
ney, N, Best, MJ, Pryor, M, Rooney, GG, Essery, RLH, Blyth, E, Boucher, O, Cox, PM, and Harding, RJ 2011. The Joint UK Land E
entation of vegetation dynamics in the modelling of terrestrial ecosystems: comparing two contrasting approaches within Eu
u, A, Cramer, W, Kaplan, JO, Levis, S, Lucht, W, Sykes, MT, Thonicke, K, Venevsky, S 2003. Evaluation of ecosystem dynamics, p
i, R., and Joos, F.: Past and future carbon fluxes from land use change, shifting cultivation and wood harvest, Tellus Series B-C
gen Cycle Dynamics in the O-CN Land Surface Model: 1 Model Description, Site-Scale Evaluation, and Sensitivity to Paramete
dlingstein, P., Ciais, P., Sitch, S., Polcher, J., and Prentice, I. C.: A dynamic global vegetation model for studies of the coupled a
: A GLOBAL LAND PRIMARY PRODUCTIVITY AND PHYTOGEOGRAPHY MODEL, Global Biogeochemical Cycles, 9, 471-490, 199
ta, Y 2013. Evaluation of spatially explicit emission scenario of land-use change and biomass burning using a process-based b
uto, D, Sacks, W, Tang, J and Yang, Z 2013. Technical Description of version 45 of the Community Land Model (CLM), NCAR.
ica, 65, 1027-1047, 2010.
05 doi:10.1029/2009GB003521.
s, 19, 1-33, 2005.
d Model (CLM), NCAR.
Historical CO2 budget
All values in billion tonnes of carbon per year (GtC/yr), for the globe. For values in billion tonnes o
1 billion tonnes C = 1 petagram of carbon (10^15 gC) = 1 gigatonne C = 3.664 billion tonnes of CO2
Please note: The methods used to estimate the historical fluxes presented below differ from the c
Uncertainties: see the original papers for uncertainties
Cite as:
Fossil fuel combustion and cement production emissions: Boden, T.A., G. Marland, and R.J. Andre
Land-use change emissions: Houghton, RA, van der Werf, GR, DeFries, RS, Hansen, MC, House, JI,
Atmospheric CO2 growth rate: Joos, F and Spahni, R 2008. Rates of change in natural and anthropo
Ocean CO2 sink: Khatiwala, S, Tanhua, T, Mikaloff Fletcher, SE, Gerber, M, Doney, SC, Graven, HD, G
uxes presented below differ from the carbon budget presented for 1959-2015. The atmospheric growth and ocean sink do n
Boden, T.A., G. Marland, and R.J. Andres. 2016. Global, Regional, and National Fossil-Fuel CO2 Emissions. Carbon Dioxide Inf
GR, DeFries, RS, Hansen, MC, House, JI, Le Qur, C, Pongratz, J and Ramankutty, N 2012. Chapter G2 Carbon emissions from
Rates of change in natural and anthropogenic radiative forcing over the past 20,000 years, Proceedings of the National Acad
SE, Gerber, M, Doney, SC, Graven, HD, Gruber, N, McKinley, GA, Murata, A, Rios, AF and Sabine, CL 2013 Global ocean storag
ssions. Carbon Dioxide Information Analysis Center, Oak Ridge National Laboratory, U.S. Department of Energy, Oak Ridge, Te
G2 Carbon emissions from land use and land-cover change, Biogeosciences, 9, 5125-514.
ings of the National Academy of Science, 105, 1425-1430.
2013 Global ocean storage of anthropogenic carbon, Biogeosciences, 10, 2169-2191.
t of Energy, Oak Ridge, Tenn., U.S.A. doi 10.3334/CDIAC/00001_V2016