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PUBLISHED ONLINE: 23 JANUARY 2017 | DOI: 10.1038/NGEO2879

Potentially exploitable supercritical geothermal


resources in the ductile crust
Noriaki Watanabe1*, Tatsuya Numakura1, Kiyotoshi Sakaguchi1, Hanae Saishu2, Atsushi Okamoto1,
Steven E. Ingebritsen3 and Noriyoshi Tsuchiya1

The hypothesis that the brittleductile transition (BDT) drastically reduces permeability implies that potentially exploitable
geothermal resources (permeability >1016 m2 ) consisting of supercritical water could occur only in rocks with unusually high
transition temperatures such as basalt. However, tensile fracturing is possible even in ductile rocks, and some permeability
depth relations proposed for the continental crust show no drastic permeability reduction at the BDT. Here we present
experimental results suggesting that the BDT is not the first-order control on rock permeability, and that potentially exploitable
resources may occur in rocks with much lower BDT temperatures, such as the granitic rocks that comprise the bulk of the
continental crust. We find that permeability behaviour for fractured granite samples at 350500 C under effective confining
stress is characterized by a transition from a weakly stress-dependent and reversible behaviour to a strongly stress-dependent
and irreversible behaviour at a specific, temperature-dependent effective confining stress level. This transition is induced by
onset of plastic normal deformation of the fracture surface (elasticplastic transition) and, importantly, causes no jump in
the permeability. Empirical equations for this permeability behaviour suggest that potentially exploitable resources exceeding
450 C may form at depths of 26 km even in the nominally ductile crust.

M
any magma bodies exist in the drillable parts of the Earths permeabilitydepth relations proposed for the continental crust
upper crust, and from the 1970s to early 1990s there show no drastic permeability reduction at the BDT10 . Finally,
was considerable interest in the possibility of extracting existence of high-permeability ductile crust, at least transiently,
geothermal energy directly from magma and adjacent very hot rock. has been suggested by the temporal expansion of earthquake
This interest gradually waned in light of the technical challenges of swarms induced by the 2011 Tohoku-Oki earthquake in northeast
drilling and extracting fluid at near-magmatic temperatures, and Japan, attributed to fluid migration at 410 km depth and used to
in light of apparent evidence that very hot rocks are rarely (if estimate permeabilities of 1015 m2 (ref. 11). The fluid migration,
ever) permeable enough to support commercially viable flowrates. believed to be fed by underlying ductile crust, persisted for
Several wells in existing geothermal reservoirs had been drilled deep more than two months. Thus, potentially exploitable supercritical
enough to attain temperatures near the critical point of pure water geothermal resources may be more widespread than has been
(350 C; the pure-water critical point is 374 C), and each of these supposed. To explore the formation of potentially exploitable
wells encountered high pressures, reactive fluids, and low mass flow resources in rocks with relatively low BDT temperatures, such as the
rates1 , implying low permeabilities. In 20082009 the IDDP-1 well granitic rocks that comprise the bulk of the continental crust1,1214 ,
in Iceland unexpectedly encountered rhyolitic magma at a depth of we performed a set of permeability measurements on fractured
about 2 km (refs 24). Perhaps even more unexpectedly, subsequent granite at 350500 C and effective confining pressures of up
well tests achieved flowrates of up to 50 kg s1 at temperatures of up to 100 MPa.
to 440 C (ref. 5). At such high enthalpies (3,200 kJ kg1 ), sustained
flowrates of 30 kg s1 could generate 20 MWe. This discovery Permeability behaviour influenced by elasticplastic transition.
renewed interest in the possibility of extracting energy from the We measured permeabilities of cylindrical granite samples
near-magma environment. (diameter, 30 mm; length, 25 mm) containing either a mechanically
It has been proposed that permeability decreases markedly at created single tensile fracture or thermally created multiple tensile
the brittleductile transition (BDT), which occurs at temperatures fractures at temperatures of 350, 380, 400, 450 and 500 C, and
of roughly 350400 C and depths of 1015 km in typical crustal effective (hydrostatic) confining stresses of up to approximately
rocks along regional metamorphic geotherms, but can be much 100 MPa, using low-reactivity steam at 12 MPa as the permeant
shallower in areas of active magmatism. Assuming that the BDT fluid. The BDT temperature of granitic rocks is 360 C at
drastically reduces permeability, potentially exploitable supercritical typical crustal strain rates1,1214 . Previous experiments on granite
geothermal resources could occur only in rocks with unusually high at 300500 C (ref. 15) documented permeability decreases at a
transition temperatures such as basalt (450 C)6 . However, even constant effective confining stress of 50 MPa due to crack healing
rocks that are ductile in compression can be brittle in extension7,8 , and sealing by waterrock interaction. The stress dependence of
and evidence of intensive tensile fracturing in metamorphic permeability of fractured rocks at various temperatures, which is
and plutonic rocks in the middle crust beneath the BDT zone probably a primary control on crustal permeability structure, is
has been found in outcrops in Antarctica9 . Furthermore, some experimentally explored here for the first time.

1 Department of Environmental Studies for Advanced Society, Graduate School of Environmental Studies, Tohoku University, Sendai, Miyagi 9800845,
Japan. 2 Renewable Energy Research Center, National Institute of Advanced Industrial Science and Technology (AIST), Koriyama, Fukushima 9630298,
Japan. 3 US Geological Survey, Menlo Park, California 94025, USA. *e-mail: noriaki.watanabe.e6@tohoku.ac.jp

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ARTICLES NATURE GEOSCIENCE DOI: 10.1038/NGEO2879

a 1014 We also measured permeabilities of cylindrical basalt samples


Granite, multiple fractures, 350 C (same dimensions) containing a mechanically created single tensile
fracture. Permeability of the fractured basalt samples first decreases
1015 and then becomes almost constant with increasing effective
Elasticplastic
transition
confining stress at all temperatures (Fig. 1b and Supplementary
Permeability (m2)

Fig. 1), similar to the response observed for a basalt sample


1016
containing a single tensile fracture at room temperature18 . The
permeability behaviour of the fractured basalt samples may be a
1017 Recovery w consequence of the high thermal stability of mechanical properties
hen decrea
stress to th sing of basalts, which can have BDT temperatures as high as 800 C
e initial leve
l
(refs 19,20).
1018 Strongly stress-
Weakly stress dependent and dependent and Empirical equations for predicting the permeability behaviour.
reversible irreversible The permeability behaviour of the fractured granite samples may
1019 be more easily interpreted in loglog plots (Fig. 2) that reveal
0 20 40 60 80 100
two linear curves with different slopes intersecting at the effective
Effective conning stress (MPa) confining stress where the transition from elastic to plastic normal
b 1014
deformation of the fracture surface occurs (hereafter, elasticplastic
Basalt, single fracture, 350 C transition stress or transition stress). The elasticplastic transition
stresses are 70, 50, 3050, 25 and 15 MPa, respectively, at 350,
1015 380, 400, 450 and 500 C. Some variation (about 10 MPa) in
the transition stress at each temperature is expected, given the
range of 3050 MPa obtained from five different granite samples
Permeability (m2)

1016 containing either multiple fractures or a single fracture at 400 C


(Fig. 2cg). The transition stress is clearly temperature dependent,
and an empirical fit to the experimental data yields
1017
log10 eff,trans = 12.8 4.3 log10 T (1)
1018 No transition in the behaviour
where eff,trans is the elasticplastic transition stress (MPa) and T
is the temperature ( C). The slope of the linear curve (that is,
1019 stress dependence of permeability) during loading is 0.9 0.2
0 20 40 60 80 100 (mean s.d.) under elastic conditions and 3.8 0.5 under
Effective conning stress (MPa) plastic conditions, and these slopes appear to be independent of
temperature. Thus, the empirical equations for the average stress
Figure 1 | Relations between permeability and effective confining stress at dependence of permeability are
350 C for granite containing multiple fractures and basalt containing a
single fracture. a, For granite, the transition from weakly stress-dependent 1 log10 k = 0.91 log10 eff (eff eff,trans ) (2)
and reversible permeability changes to highly stress-dependent and
irreversible permeability changes occurs at a specific stress level (about
70 MPa in this case). b, No such transition occurs for the basalt samples.
1 log10 k = 3.81 log10 eff (eff > eff,trans ) (3)

where eff is the effective confining stress (MPa) and k is the


At all temperatures, permeability of the fractured granite samples permeability (m2 ). The slope of the unloading curve is similar to
first decreases, then becomes almost constant with increasing that for elastic loading (Fig. 2e). Our experiments involved samples
effective confining stress, and then decreases again at a relatively with initial permeabilities ranging widely from 1017 m2 (Fig. 2b) to
high stress level (for example, Fig. 1a). The stress dependence of 1014 m2 (Fig. 2g), so that we suggest that equations (2) and (3) may
permeability seen at lower stress levels is similar to that observed for reasonably be applicable at a wide range of initial permeabilities.
tensile fractures in granite at room temperature16,17 . It reflects elastic The permeability behaviour represented by equations (1)(3) is
normal deformation of the fracture surface, whereas the renewed consistent with suggested permeabilitydepth relations for the con-
stress dependence of permeability at high stress levels reflects onset tinental crust10 , assuming a zero-confining-pressure (zero-depth)
of plastic normal deformation of the fracture surface. Indeed, as intercept of 1015 m2 (Fig. 3). This suggests that the temperature-
shown in Fig. 1a, decreasing the effective confining stress below and stress-dependent permeability behaviour seen in the present
the elasticplastic transition results in almost perfect recovery of study may be widespread in nature. It is also consistent with obser-
the initial permeability, whereas decreasing the effective confining vations in deep geothermal wells that have reached temperatures of
stress from points above the elasticplastic transition to its initial 350 C, namely WD-1a in Kakkonda, Japan2123 , Wilson 1 in The
value shows significant permeability hysteresis. The change in stress Geysers, United States1,24 , San Vito 1 in Campi Flegrei Fields near
dependence of permeability under hydrostatically applied pressure Naples, Italy1,25 , San Pompeo 2 in Larderello, Italy2628 , and NJ-11
(that is, very small differential stress) does not represent the BDT; in Nesjavellir, Iceland1,29 (Fig. 4). In these deep geothermal wells,
rather, it represents a newly discovered fracture closing and opening the base of a productive high-temperature geothermal reservoir
behaviour with normal stress changes. The BDT is perhaps related to was marked by the onset of a conductive geothermal gradient
this phenomenon, but was originally defined in terms of a transition (WD-1a) or occurrence of elevated pore pressures (the other wells),
from frictional sliding to plastic flow in shearing of a rock under high either of which suggest a transition from a higher-permeability
differential stress7,8 . The observed hysteresis is unlikely to represent regime to a lower-permeability regime. Conditions at the base of
crack healing and sealing15 , because the experiments used low- these productive reservoirs are within the plastic conditions (San
pressure steam of low reactivity and were completed within one to Pompeo 2) or near the conditions of the elasticplastic transition
two days. (the other wells).

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NATURE GEOSCIENCE DOI: 10.1038/NGEO2879 ARTICLES
a 1014 b 1014 c 1014
Granite, multiple fractures, 350 C Granite, multiple fractures, 380 C Granite, multiple fractures, 400 C
1015 Elasticplastic 1015 Elasticplastic 1015 Elasticplastic
transition stress transition stress transition stress
Permeability (m2)

Permeability (m2)

Permeability (m2)
1016 70 MPa 1016 50 MPa 1016 40 MPa

1017 1017 1017

1018 1018 1018

1019 1019 1019


1 10 100 1,000 1 10 100 1,000 1 10 100 1,000
Effective conning stress (MPa) Effective conning stress (MPa) Effective conning stress (MPa)

d 1014 e 1014 f 1014


Granite, multiple fractures, 400 C Granite, multiple fractures, 400 C Granite, single fracture, 400 C
1015 Elasticplastic 1015 Pe 1015
rm
transition stress eab
Permeability (m2)

Permeability (m2)

Permeability (m2)
50 MPa ilit
1016 1016 y-s 1016
tre
ss
pa
1017 1017 th 1017
Elasticplastic Elasticplastic
1018 1018 transition stress 1018 transition stress
30 MPa 40 MPa
1019 1019 1019
1 10 100 1,000 1 10 100 1,000 1 10 100 1,000
Effective conning stress (MPa) Effective conning stress (MPa) Effective conning stress (MPa)

g 1013 h 1014 i 1014


Granite, single fracture, 400 C Granite, multiple fractures, 450 C Granite, multiple fractures, 500 C
1014 1015 1015
Permeability (m2)

Permeability (m2)

Permeability (m2)
1015 1016 1016

1016 1017 1017


Elasticplastic Elasticplastic
1017 transition stress 1018 Elasticplastic 1018 transition stress
40 MPa transition stress
15 MPa
25 MPa
1018 1019 1019
1 10 100 1,000 1 10 100 1,000 1 10 100 1,000
Effective conning stress (MPa) Effective conning stress (MPa) Effective conning stress (MPa)

Figure 2 | Loglog diagrams of the relation between permeability and effective confining stress for granite samples containing either multiple fractures
or a single fracture. The stress level at the intersection of the two linear curves is the elasticplastic transition stress.

0 effective confining stress (or equivalent depth) for potentially


exploitable supercritical geothermal resources may be predicted
This study
5 for granite and other silicic rocks, as shown in Fig. 4. This
Elasticplastic transition prediction assumes that the maximum feasible stress is that at
10 which permeability is significantly (an order of magnitude) less
Brittleductile transition zone than the permeability at the transition stress, based on the fact
Depth (km)

15
that the onset of the transition does not represent complete loss of
permeability (Fig. 2), and that the stress at the base of the productive
20
reservoir in San Pompeo 2 is significantly higher than the transition
Permeability range from stress. Thus, the yellow triangle in the figurebounded by the
25
ref. 10 maximum feasible stress, the critical temperature of water, and the
30
depth corresponding to the critical pressure of waterrepresents
conditions for the exploitable resources.
35 The formation of exploitable supercritical geothermal resources
20 18 16 14 12 (permeability >1016 m2 ) is a transient process caused by magma
log10(Permeability (m2)) intrusion into host rocks6 , and such resources may occur both in the
host rocks and in recently solidified magma even at temperatures
Figure 3 | Comparison between the experimental results summarized in higher than the BDT temperature. The allowable stress will depend
equations (1)(3) and a permeabilitydepth relation from the literature10 . on the initial permeabilities of host rocks and solidified magma right
The permeabilitydepth relation in this study is consistent with those after formation of tensile fractures (that is, at near-zero effective
suggested in the literature, which indicates no abrupt decrease in normal stress on fracture surfaces), where the initial permeabilities
permeability at the brittleductile transition. The elasticplastic transition subsequently decrease with increasing effective normal stress to a
occurs at a depth of approximately 11 km (temperature, 285 C; effective depth-dependent stress level. The initial permeabilities may vary
confining stress, 177 MPa). depending on intensity of fracturing, with values of 1014 to 1015 m2
possible even for tensile fracturing, as demonstrated in the present
study (Fig. 2). For the higher initial permeability of 1014 m2 ,
Potentially exploitable supercritical geothermal resources. On the allowable stress may be between the transition stress and the
the basis of the postulated linkage between the elasticplastic maximum feasible stress, as observed in San Pompeo 2 (or Fig. 2g),
transition and the base of productive reservoirs, a maximum whereas in the case of lower initial permeability, the allowable stress

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ARTICLES NATURE GEOSCIENCE DOI: 10.1038/NGEO2879

200 12 Methods
Plastic Methods, including statements of data availability and any

tran
Normal deformation of the fracture surface

Elast stress c
sitio
Strongly stress dependent and
associated accession codes and references, are available in the

icp
n
online version of this paper.
Effective conning stress (MPa)

irreversible permeability of the fracture


150 9

lastic rve
Received 27 September 2016; accepted 13 December 2016;

u
sup
erc Poten published online 23 January 2017
riti

Depth (km)
t
cal ially
ge exp
100 oth lo 6
Th erm itab
eb al r le References
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ARTICLES NATURE GEOSCIENCE DOI: 10.1038/NGEO2879

Methods confining pressure through the PEEK melt; the axial pressure is slightly higher than
Sample preparation. Cylindrical granite samples (diameter, 30 mm; length, the confining pressure (that is, differential stress of about 2 MPa). The confining
25 mm), containing either a single tensile fracture induced by the Brazilian test or pressure is controlled by injecting PEEK melt at a prescribed pressure through the
by splitting a 20-cm cubic notched granite block with a wedge, or multiple tensile upper tube, using a metallic piston that is displaced by pumping silicone oil at
fractures induced by heating in an electric furnace at 570 C and atmospheric constant pressure. At the prescribed temperature and confining stress, steam is
pressure for 3 h, were prepared using Inada granite from Ibaraki prefecture, Japan injected into the sample at a constant pressure of 2 MPa using a syringe pump,
(Supplementary Fig. 2). Permeability of the sample containing the fracture induced and exits the sample at atmospheric pressure, with the flow rate measured using the
by a wedge was much higher those of the other samples because the rock was syringe pump. The steam is generated from pumped liquid water and preheated to
completely split only when using the wedge. Cylindrical basalt samples (same the prescribed temperature before entering the sample. Sample permeability is
dimensions) containing a single tensile fracture were prepared from Genbudo calculated using Darcys law based on the pressure, flow rate, steam viscosity, and
basalt from Hyogo prefecture, Japan. Before fracturing, Youngs modulus, porosity the cross-sectional area and length of the sample. Low-pressure steam of low
and permeability at or near atmospheric pressure are, respectively, 5580 GPa, reactivity is used to minimize dissolution and precipitation effects on the
0.660.70% and 1018 m2 for Inada granite, and 4050 GPa, 2.903.87% and rock permeability.
1017 m2 for Genbudo basalt. After fracturing, the porosity is increased by an
average of 0.63% for granite samples and 0.26% for basalt samples. Two of the Estimation of the permeabilitydepth relation for the continental crust (Fig. 3).
granite samples contained single fractures induced by the Brazilian test or by a We calculate the permeability decrease from a near-surface value with increasing
wedge, and the others contained multiple fractures. A preliminary experimental depth (that is, a combination of effective confining stress and temperature), where
investigation on granite samples with multiple tensile fractures revealed a relation the effective confining stress is a difference between lithostatic stress (rock density:
between fractional porosity () and permeability (k) in m2 represented by 2.7 103 kg m3 ) and hydrostatic pressure (fluid density: 1.0 103 kg m3 ), and
log10 = 0.19 log10 k + 1.03. The two types of fractures are used to demonstrate that the temperature gradient is 25 C km1 (ground surface temperature: 20 C). The
the permeability behaviour observed for the granite samples is independent of near-surface permeability is 1 1015 m2 , an intermediate value from the literature
fracture type. The two types of rocks are used to demonstrate that the observed (1 1017 1 1012 m2 )10 . Permeability decreases based on equation (2) until the
permeability behaviour is not specific to our experimental system. The BDT depth at which effective confining stress is equal to the elasticplastic transition
temperature for basalt is as high as 800 C19,20 , much higher than the temperature of stress, then decreases based on equation (3); the elasticplastic transition stress is
360 C for granite1,1214 , so that the basalt samples are mechanically stable at the given by equation (1).
temperatures of the present experiments (350500 C). Thus, permeability
behaviour of the basalt samples should be consistent with the well-known Temperature and depth conditions at the base of high-temperature geothermal
behaviour at room temperature. reservoirs (Fig. 4). The temperature and depth conditions at the base of selected
high-temperature geothermal reservoirs shown in Fig. 4 were determined based on
Permeability measurement. An experimental system newly developed by the deep drilling data. Well WD-1a at the Kakkonda geothermal field, Japan,
authors was used for permeability measurement. The novelty of this system is the penetrated the boundary between a hydrothermal convection zone and a heat
use of a special tri-axial cell, which uses a high-viscosity plastic melt as a confining conduction zone at 3,100 m, and reached 3,780 m total depth21,23 . The temperature
fluid and a thin plastic film as a sleeve (Supplementary Fig. 3). The plastic melt is at 3,100 m depth in WD-1a was 380 C based on logging, the homogenization
composed of PEEK (polyether ether ketone), which has a melting point of 343 C temperature of liquid-rich fluid inclusions, and Horner plots22 . For the other wells,
and a decomposition temperature greater than 538 C. Because of the high viscosity the bottom of the well essentially corresponds to the base of the high-temperature
of 350 Pa s even at 400 C, sealing of the PEEK melt is easy. The plastic film is geothermal reservoir. The total depth of the Wilson 1 well in The Geysers,
polyimide film (thickness: about 50 m), which has no melting point (that is, it United States, is 3,673 m, and analysis of fluid inclusions in cuttings from 2,980 m
decomposes before melting), and a high decomposition temperature of >500 C. and below 3,350 m indicates a temperature range of 350400 C (ref. 1). A
Metallic sleeves are usually used in high-temperature fluid-flow experiments under temperature gradient of 92.6 C km1 and a measured temperature of 326 C at
confining stress, because rubber sleevessuch as the silicone rubber sleeves that 3,353 m depth24 yields a bottomhole temperature of 356 C. Thus, the bottomhole
are usually used in low-temperature fluid-flow experimentscannot be used due temperature of Wilson 1 seems to be in the range of 350400 C. For the well San
to low decomposition temperatures. However, with a metallic sleeve it is difficult to Vito 1 in Campi Flegrei Fields, Italy, one temperature estimate is >420 C at the
create a homogeneous distribution of confining pressure on the sample surface, total depth of 3,000 m (ref. 1). However, extrapolation of well temperatures from
and therefore to prevent short-circuit flow between the sleeve and sample surface. cores at 8032,865 m (ref. 25) results in a bottomhole temperature of 399 C. Thus,
Use of the thin plastic film avoids such difficulties. This new type of tri-axial cell the bottomhole temperature of San Vito 1 may be 399 C. The San Pompeo 2 well
can work at lower temperatures when a plastic with a lower melting point, such as at Larderello, Italy, was drilled to 2,962 m (ref. 27). The temperature was 370 C at
polyethylene, is used as a confining fluid. 2,400 m depth and 400 C at 2,600 m depth26,28 , which suggests that the deep
The sample wrapped with the polyimide film is first placed inside a PEEK temperature gradient and the bottomhole temperature may be 150 C km1 and
cylinder within a tri-axial cell. A graphite gasket having a hole for fluid flow is 450 C, respectively; the bottomhole temperature of San Pompeo 2 may therefore
attached at both ends of the sample. A tube containing a PEEK rod, which is used be in the range of 400450 C. The total depth of well NJ-11 in Nesjavellir, Iceland
to inject PEEK melt, is attached to the upper part of the cell. The cell is then placed is at 2,265 m, and bottomhole temperature is estimated to be >381 C by
within an electric furnace. At a small axial pressure of about 2 MPa maintained by a temperature logging1,29 .
hydraulic jack, the temperature is increased to a prescribed value, melting both the
PEEK cylinder and the rod. Temperatures are measured both inside and outside the Data availability. The data that support the findings of this study are available
cell. A prescribed confining stress is then applied to the sample by adjusting the from the corresponding author upon request.

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