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IME602: Probability and Statistics Quiz-2, August 30,2016 Duration: 1 hour Maximum Marks: 10 Name: Roll No: .... This is @ closed book/note examination. Useful information, whenever necessary, is provided along with the question. Attempt all questions, 1. Ifa football match remains unresolved even after the penalty shootout, “sudden death” is used to break the tie. In sudden death, each team takes one penalty kick, and if one team scores and the other does not, the game is resolved. On the other hand, if both teams score or none scores, another round of penalties are taken. This process continues until the match 's resolved. Let the teams be denoted by A and B. Probability that A scores from a penalty kick is 0.8; the same for B is 0.7. Let X denote the number of penalties taken in the sudden death stage of a game. Determine the mass function of X from the first principle. State any assumption(s) that you have made while solving the problem. (Marks: 3] Note: The “first principle”: Pyqy(A) = Pa({w € 0:X(w) € A}). 2. In my house, on every alternate day, | get a supply of 1 liter milk, which is consumed in two days period in a random fashion such that each outcome is equally likely. Let X denote the difference between consumptions on any such pair of days (absolute value). Determine the distribution function of X from the first principle (see Q1 note). (Marks: 2} 3. ‘Time till failure’ for equipments is generally modeled by exponential distribution. Let the time till my Office PC fails is Exp(A,), and the time till my Home PC fails is Exp(A,). Determine the density function of the time till any of my PCs fails. State any assumption(s) that you have made. The density should look familiar! (Marks: 3] Info: If X ~ Exp(A), f(x) Ae™* for x > 0, and f(x) = 0 for x < 0. 4. Annual rainfall in Kanpur follows normal distribution with p= 95 cm and ¢ = 5 cm. A Year is declared drought if annual rainfall is below 90 cm. Assuming independence of yearly rainfalls, find the probability of (i) two consecutive droughts and (ii) two non-consecutive droughts in three years. Identify the probability distribution of the number of droughts in a decade, i.e., name the distribution and identify its parameter(s). 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