Académique Documents
Professionnel Documents
Culture Documents
ADAPTING TO
THE DIGITAL REVOLUTION
WHITE PAPER
2
DEDICATION:
This White Paper is dedicated to everyone interested in ensuring that future
generations in Ontario and Canada have the opportunity to participate fully
in learning adapted to the new realities of the fourth Industrial Revolution.
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3FOREWORD AN EM ER G E N C Y F O R T H E WO R L D O F E D UC AT I ON: ADAP TI NG T O T HE DI GI TAL R EVO LU TI ON
FOREWORD
INTRODUCTION
Recognizing the major transformations facing the world with the rise
of the fourth Industrial Revolution, we clearly realized that the means
currently at our disposal fell short of the needs and ambitions of
educational organizations seeking meaningful opportunities to participate
in transforming education. The availability of and access to digital learning
content, tools and solutions in French is not some wild idea
but a reality that we must bring to fruition.
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4FOREWORD AN EM ER G E N C Y F O R T H E WO R L D O F E D UC AT I ON: ADAP TI NG T O T HE DI GI TAL R EVO LU TI ON
This White Paper was developed through the team effort of many
INTRODUCTION
Glenn OFarrell
President and CEO, Groupe Mdia TFO
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INTRODUCTION AN EM ER G E N C Y F O R T H E WO R L D O F E D UC AT I ON: ADAP TI NG T O T HE DI GI TAL R EVO LU TI ON
FOREWORD 3
TABLE OF CONTENTS 5
SUMMARY 6
INTRODUCTION 10
TABLE
1. SITUATIONAL ANALYSIS 13
1.1 The Canadian Job Market and the 4th Industrial Revolution 14
A Job market in Upheaval 15
Critical Competencies to Meet the New Needs of the Economy 18
Necessary Competencies to Face Global Challenges 22
1.2 The Necessary Transformation of the Education System 23
Reinventing Teaching Practices 23
Technology, a Critical Means to Teach Global Competencies 25
Integrating Global Competencies into School Programs 29
2. CHALLENGES AND RECOMMENDATIONS FOR THE WORLD OF EDUCATION 31
2.1 Preparing A New Generation of Highly-Qualified Canadian Experts 33
At the National Level 33
In Canadas Minority Francophone Community 33
2.2 Support the Francophonie in Global Competencies Training 36
At the National Level 36
In Canadas Minority Francophone Community 37
2.3 Illuminate the Digital Francophone Educational Space 40
At the National Level 40
In Canadas Minority Francophone Community 41
3. CONCLUSION 44
4. ACKNOWLEDGMENTS 48
5. BIBLIOGRAPHY 52
APPENDIX1: OVERVIEW OF SELECT RECENT STUDIES ON THE IMPACT OF
AUTOMATION AND FUTURE OF WORK 57
APPENDIX2: EXAMPLES OF GLOBAL COMPETENCIES 58
APPENDIX3: TECHNOLOGIES USED BY ONTARIO SCHOOL BOARDS,
KEY PRACTICES, AND THEIR ROLE IN COMPETENCY DEVELOPMENT 59
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SUMMARY
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7 SUMMARY AN EM ER G E N C Y F O R T H E WO R L D O F E D UC AT I ON: ADAP TI NG T O T HE DI GI TAL R EVO LU TI ON
THE IMPACT OF THE Upheaval in the Canadian labour market arising from
4TH INDUSTRIAL a widespread process: 47% of tasks performed by
REVOLUTION ON THE theCanadian workforce could be automated by 2055
CANADIAN LABOUR using technologies already available (McKinsey, 2017).
MARKET AND THE SKILLS Emerging needs for new competencies
TO BE DEVELOPED (global and technological)
Inclusion of these competencies in the curricula
TEACHING PRACTICES
REQUIRED TO PASS ON Personalized education
THESE SKILLS STEAM teaching (science, technology,
engineering, arts, math)
Digital instruction (innovative initiatives)
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INTRODUCTION AN EM ER G E N C Y F O R T H E WO R L D O F E D UC AT I ON: ADAP TI NG T O T HE DI GI TAL R EVO LU TI ON
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INTRODUCTION AN EM ER G E N C Y F O R T H E WO R L D O F E D UC AT I ON: ADAP TI NG T O T HE DI GI TAL R EVO LU TI ON
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INTRODUCTION
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INTRODUCTION AN EM ER G E N C Y F O R T H E WO R L D O F E D UC AT I ON: ADAP TI NG T O T HE DI GI TAL R EVO LU TI ON
INTRODUCTION
INTRODUCTION
This thought process examines the impact of the 4th Industrial Revolution
on the labour market and the vital skills needed to participate in it fully.
Itexplores current teaching practices by asking the key question:
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INTRODUCTION AN EM ER G E N C Y F O R T H E WO R L D O F E D UC AT I ON: ADAP TI NG T O T HE DI GI TAL R EVO LU TI ON
This status report will help identify the major challenges facing
INTRODUCTION
METHODOLOGY:
This white paper is based exclusively on a survey of research
on the 4th Industrial Revolution and its impact on employment,
skills and the educational system. It approaches the topic
from the international, national and Ontario provincial levels.
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SITUATIONAL ANALYSIS
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14 ANALYSIS AN EM ER G E N C Y F O R T H E WO R L D O F E D UC AT I ON: ADAP TI NG T O T HE DI GI TAL R EVO LU TI ON
1. SITUATIONAL ANALYSIS
INTRODUCTION
SITUATIONAL
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15 ANALYSIS AN EM ER G E N C Y F O R T H E WO R L D O F E D UC AT I ON: ADAP TI NG T O T HE DI GI TAL R EVO LU TI ON
IT IS URGENT TO FIND
COMPLEMENTARITY BETWEEN
THETASKS PERFORMED BY PEOPLE AND
THOSE THAT WILL BE AUTOMATED.
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INTRODUCTION AN EM ER G E N C Y F O R T H E WO R L D O F E D UC AT I ON: ADAP TI NG T O T HE DI GI TAL R EVO LU TI ON
The technical automation potential of the global economy is significant, although there is some
variation among countries.
Employee weighted overall % of activities that can be automated by adapting currently demonstrated
technologies.
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17 ANALYSIS AN EM ER G E N C Y F O R T H E WO R L D O F E D UC AT I ON: ADAP TI NG T O T HE DI GI TAL R EVO LU TI ON
4 Conseil dorientation pour lemploi. (2017). Automatisation, numrisation et emploi Tome 1 : Impacts sur le volume, la
structure et la localisation de lemploi. Page 13.
5 Brown-Martin G. (2017). Education and the Fourth Industrial Revolution. Page 4. Traduction libre.
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19 ANALYSIS
INTRODUCTION
SITUATIONAL AN EM ER G E N C Y F O R T H E WO R L D O F E D UC AT I ON: ADAP TI NG T O T HE DI GI TAL R EVO LU TI ON
In its Future of Jobs report (January 2016), the World Economic Forum
distributed a list of ten skills that will be most sought after in 2020. This
list was prepared after consulting human resource specialists in large
corporations.
Creativity will become one of the main skills of the future, in order to
deal with the massive and rapid arrival of new products, new technologies
and new ways to work.
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INTRODUCTION AN EM ER G E N C Y F O R T H E WO R L D O F E D UC AT I ON: ADAP TI NG T O T HE DI GI TAL R EVO LU TI ON
TOP 10 SKILLS
IN 2020 IN 2015
SITUATIONAL
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21 ANALYSIS AN EM ER G E N C Y F O R T H E WO R L D O F E D UC AT I ON: ADAP TI NG T O T HE DI GI TAL R EVO LU TI ON
6 Ontario Ministry of Education. (2017). Ontario Boosting Digital and Online Learning for Students. Press re-lease.
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22 ANALYSIS
INTRODUCTION AN EM ER G E N C Y F O R T H E WO R L D O F E D UC AT I ON: ADAP TI NG T O T HE DI GI TAL R EVO LU TI ON
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With the upheaval of the job market, how does the current
education system handle the new training issues with regards
to the essential global and technological competencies of
the 21st century? This line of inquiry will lead us to question
theplace of new technologies in teaching practices, with a focus
onfrancophone Ontario
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An approach being deployed more and more in the world is the STEAM 11
teaching method. Originally, its purpose was to promote interdisciplinarity
between scientific subjects (sciences, technology, engineering and
mathematics, known as STEM), through applied exercises linked to the
real world. Recent initiatives have sought to incorporate artistic disciplines
9 https://wetheeducators.com/
10 Ontario Ministry of Education. (2016 - revised version). Digital teaching in action Foundation document for French
language schools and school boards in Ontario. Pages 20-21.
11 STEAM = Science, Technology, Engineering, Art and Math..
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25 ANALYSIS AN EM ER G E N C Y F O R T H E WO R L D O F E D UC AT I ON: ADAP TI NG T O T HE DI GI TAL R EVO LU TI ON
in order to go further into deeper learning, the goal being to show students
INTRODUCTION
how technical concepts are directly related to real life situations and
provide tools so that they may apply these concepts to other contexts.
SITUATIONAL
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12 Ontario Ministry of Education. (2016). Towards Defining 21st Century Competencies Foundation document for discussion ,
Winter 2016 Edition, page 35.
13 Quoted in the Ontario Ministry of Education: Towards Defining 21st Century Competencies Foundation doc-ument for
discussion. (2016). Page 35.
14 According to Statistics Canada (2015), 16% of Ontarians whose primary language is French come from immigrant stock
(1st and 2nd generation).
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INTRODUCTION AN EM ER G E N C Y F O R T H E WO R L D O F E D UC AT I ON: ADAP TI NG T O T HE DI GI TAL R EVO LU TI ON
ITS IDENTITY.
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theyused more English than French when accessing media. There were
even anumber of situations in which the use of English for browsing
theInternet or watching television exceeded 90%. This finding confirms
what haspreviously been observed in the literature, which is that English
holds a great deal of appeal for media use, regardless of the region
of residence or the Francophone minority concentration in a particular
community. Thisdemonstrates the importance of prioritizing the
development of innovative French-language content.
17 http://www.statcan.gc.ca/pub/89-642-x/2015012/conclusion-eng.htm
18 https://www.idello.org/en
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INTRODUCTION AN EM ER G E N C Y F O R T H E WO R L D O F E D UC AT I ON: ADAP TI NG T O T HE DI GI TAL R EVO LU TI ON
The Canadian world of education, for its part, reflected on the matter
through partnerships in order to agree on a common definition of global
competencies. Some ten years later, the Council of Ministers of Education
of Canada (CMEC) published a Canada-wide framework for global
competencies (July 2017).
19 Ananiadou, K. et M. Claro. (2009). 21st Century Skills and Competences for New Millennium Learners in OECD Countries.
20 OCDE. (2016). Global competency for an inclusive world.
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21 http://www.edugains.ca/newsite/21stCenturyLearning/about_learning_in_ontario.html
22 https://www.cmec.ca/682/Global_Competencies.html
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CHALLENGES AND
RECOMMENDATIONS
FOR THE WORLD
OF EDUCATION
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23 McKinsey Global Institute. (2017). A Future That Works: Automation, Employment, and Productivity - Executive summary.
Page 19. Traduction libre,
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CANADIAN EXPERTS
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26 http://www.francophoniedesameriques.com
27 http://ici.radio-canada.ca/nouvelle/1052071/universite-francaise-toronto
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RECOMMENDATIONS:
CHALLENGES AND RECOMMENDATIONS FOR THE WORLDINTRODUCTION
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37 OF EDUCATION AN EM ER G E N C Y F O R T H E WO R L D O F E D UC AT I ON: ADAP TI NG T O T HE DI GI TAL R EVO LU TI ON
29 Dupuis S. (2017). Lcole de langue franaise dans les provinces et territoires majorit anglophone au Canada. Page49.
(French language schools in English language majority provinces and territories in Canada)
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30 Cormier M. Quand des lves adolescents de milieux minoritaires ont loccasion dcouter des chansons
francophones. . Revue du Nouvel-Ontario 35-36 (2010) : 163 187. DOI: 10.7202/1005969ar.
31 Diane Grin-Lajoie La problmatique identitaire et lcole de langue franaise en Ontario. Francophonies dAmrique
18 (2004): 171179. DOI : 10.7202/1005360ar
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RECOMMENDATIONS::
CHALLENGES AND RECOMMENDATIONS FOR THE WORLDINTRODUCTION
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41 OF EDUCATION AN EM ER G E N C Y F O R T H E WO R L D O F E D UC AT I ON: ADAP TI NG T O T HE DI GI TAL R EVO LU TI ON
report that teachers are most likely to use free online resources
CHALLENGES AND RECOMMENDATIONS FOR THE WORLDINTRODUCTION
when they need new learning resources.33, This can be related to the
budget cuts in resources allocated to educational resources in the last few
years. These free resources are not the subject of Ministry of Education
qualitycontrol, as is the case for books (Trillium list) and are not adapted
to the official programs. Besides, the previously quoted ACP report (2017)
reaches the same finding nationally. It is thus critical, in this context of
digital plurality, to showcase quality resources that meet Canadian
school program requirements.
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37 http://www.ledevoir.com/societe/actualites-en-societe/506703/la-decouvrabilite
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RECOMMENDATIONS:
CHALLENGES AND RECOMMENDATIONS FOR THE WORLDINTRODUCTION
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CONCLUSION
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CONCLUSION AN EM ER G E N C Y F O R T H E WO R L D O F E D UC AT I ON: ADAP TI NG T O T HE DI GI TAL R EVO LU TI ON
3. CONCLUSION
INTRODUCTION
Given that everyone will be called upon to adapt to the rapid change of the
job market and respond to worldwide social and environmental challenges,
educational systems must be trans-formed reinvented so that young
people may learn how to learn, unlearn and relearn (Toffler A., 1970).
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CONCLUSION AN EM ER G E N C Y F O R T H E WO R L D O F E D UC AT I ON: ADAP TI NG T O T HE DI GI TAL R EVO LU TI ON
38 World Economic Forum. (2016). The 10 skills you need to thrive in the Fourth Industrial Revolution.
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CONCLUSION AN EM ER G E N C Y F O R T H E WO R L D O F E D UC AT I ON: ADAP TI NG T O T HE DI GI TAL R EVO LU TI ON
COMMUNICATIONS SERVICE:
Carole Nkoa
Communication Director and
Chef de missions communauts franco-ontariennes
Email: cnkoa@tfo.org
O: 416.968.8313
M: 416.606.5113
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ACKNOWLEDGMENTS
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ACKNOWLEDGMENTS AN EM ER G E N C Y F O R T H E WO R L D O F E D UC AT I ON: ADAP TI NG T O T HE DI GI TAL R EVO LU TI ON
4. ACKNOWLEDGMENTS
INTRODUCTION
JOURNEY
The idea of publishing a White Paper began to germinate in early
summer2017, in Sudbury, during conversations between Groupe Mdia
TFOs Board of Directors and its management team. I can still hear Glenn
OFarrell, with that visionarys spark in his eye, saying, Theres trouble
brewing, guys! What do we do? He was talking about the deep change
undergoing in our society, the imperative of preparing future generations,
and, most especially, the need to equip Ontarios young Francophones,
whoare at the heart of our mission. To begin with, how could Groupe
Mdia TFO find the means to address these needs in a way that would
match the ambitions of Ontario and Canada?
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ACKNOWLEDGMENTS AN EM ER G E N C Y F O R T H E WO R L D O F E D UC AT I ON: ADAP TI NG T O T HE DI GI TAL R EVO LU TI ON
Thanks to him, we got our hands on Education and the Fourth Industrial
INTRODUCTION
So here we now stand, with the fruit of collective efforts that will,
wehope, inspire, create focus, and clear the way for the future.
Andfinally, thankyou to all of those who believe in youth, education,
theFrancophonies of Ontario, Canada and the world, as well as the work
of Groupe Mdia TFO: the employees of TFO, its Board of Director.
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
A journey such as this would not be possible without the help and
collaboration of passionate and talented people. I want to thank those
whoprovided their precious support to this work.
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ACKNOWLEDGMENTS AN EM ER G E N C Y F O R T H E WO R L D O F E D UC AT I ON: ADAP TI NG T O T HE DI GI TAL R EVO LU TI ON
This journey was an extremely enriching experience for me, a feast that
nourished my love for education!
Julie Caron
Chief of Digital Learning Officer
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BIBLIOGRAPHY
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BIBLIOGRAPHY AN EM ER G E N C Y F O R T H E WO R L D O F E D UC AT I ON: ADAP TI NG T O T HE DI GI TAL R EVO LU TI ON
5. BIBLIOGRAPHY
INTRODUCTION
Ananiadou, K. et M. Claro. (2009). 21st Century Skills and Competences for New Millennium Learners in
OECD Countries. OECD Education Working Papers, No 41. Paris : ditions OCDE.
Boudarbat B., Connoly M. (2013). Brain Drain : Why Do Some Post-Secondary Graduates Choose to Work
in the United States? Montral, Centre interuniversitaire de recherche en analyse des organisations
(CIRANO). Found at: http://www.cirano.qc.ca/pdf/publication/2013RP-12.pdf
Brown-Martin G. (2017). Education and the Fourth Industrial Revolution. Toronto, prepared for
GroupeMdia TFO.
CGI, in association with CentraleSuplec, Universit Paris-Dauphine, ECE Paris and Telecom cole de
Management. (2015). Le numrique, une chance saisir pour la France. 4 tudes et 33 propositions pour
une France numrique. France. Found at: https://www.cgi.fr/grenelle-du-numerique/livre-blanc
Conference Board of Canada. (2016). Learning in the Digital Age. Found at: http://www.conferenceboard.
ca/reports/briefings/learning-digital-age.aspx
Council of Ministers of Education, Canada (CMEC). (2017). Canada-wide framework for global
competencies. Found at: http://www.ontariodirectors.ca/CODE-TLF/docs/tel/Cadre_pancanadien_
competences_globales_descripteu-3.PDF, and https://www.cmec.ca/682/Global_Competencies.html
Conseil dorientation pour lemploi (membre of the France Stratgie network). (2017). Automatisation,
numrisation et emploi - Tome 1 : les impacts sur le volume, la structure et la localisation de lemploi.
Synthse. Found at: http://www.coe.gouv.fr/IMG%2Fpdf%2FCOE_170110_Rapport_Automatisation_
numerisation_et_emploi_Tome_1.pdf
Cormier M. Quand des lves adolescents de milieux minoritaires ont loccasion dcouter des
chansons francophones... . Revue du Nouvel-Ontario 35-36 (2010) : 163 187. DOI: 10.7202/1005969ar.
Council of Canadian Academies. (2015). Some Assembly Required: STEM Skills and Canadas Economic
Productivity. Ottawa: The Expert Panel on STEM Skills for the Future, Council of Canadian Academies.
Found at: http://www.scienceadvice.ca/uploads/ENG/AssessmentsPublicationsNewsReleases/STEM/
STEMFullReportEn.pdf
Dallaire, C. et Roma, J. (2003). Entre la langue et la culture, lidentit francophone des jeunes
en milieu minoritaire au Canada. Bilan des recherches , (pp. 30-46). Dans R. Allard (dir.) Actes
du colloque pancanadien sur la recherche en ducation en milieu francophone minoritaire : Bilan et
prospectives. Moncton, NB : Association canadienne dducation de langue franaise (ACELF) et Centre
de recherche et de dveloppement en ducation (CRDE), Universit de Moncton. Found at: https://ruor.
uottawa.ca/bitstream/10393/12894/1/Dallaire_Christine_2003_Entre_la_langue_et_la_culture.pdf
Dupuis S. (2017). Lcole de langue franaise dans les provinces et territoires majorit anglophone au
Canada. Universit Laval. Found at: http://eduexpo.ca/fr/pdf/%C3%89du_EXPO_Synth%C3%A8se_
Historique.pdf.
Fishman, B. et C. Dede. (Sous presse). Teaching and technology: New tools for new times. In D. Gitomer
et C. Bell (Eds.), Handbook of research on teaching (5th ed.). American Educational Research Association.
New York : Springer.
World Economic Forum. (2016). Global Challenge Insight Report - The Future of Jobs -Employment, Skills
and Workforce Strategy for the Fourth Industrial Revolution. Found at: http://www3.weforum.org/docs/
WEF_Future_of_Jobs.pdf
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BIBLIOGRAPHY AN EM ER G E N C Y F O R T H E WO R L D O F E D UC AT I ON: ADAP TI NG T O T HE DI GI TAL R EVO LU TI ON
World Economic Forum, in partnership with Cornell University and INSEAD. (2016). The Global
INTRODUCTION
Information Technology Report 2016 Innovating in the Digital Economy. Found at: http://www3.weforum.
org/docs/GITR2016/WEF_GITR_Full_Report.pdf
World Economic Forum. (2016). Country/Economy Profiles Canada. Found at: http://reports.weforum.
org/global-information-technology-report-2016/economies/#economy=CAN
World Economic Forum. (2016). The 10 skills you need to thrive in the Fourth Industrial Revolution.
Found at: https://www.weforum.org/agenda/2016/01/the-10-skills-you-need-to-thrive-in-the-fourth-
industrial-revolution/
Frey C. B., Osborne M. A. (2013). The Future Of Employment: How Susceptible Are Jobs To
Computerisation? Oxford Martin School. Found at: https://www.oxfordmartin.ox.ac.uk/downloads/
academic/The_Future_of_Employment.pdf
Grin-Lajoie D. La problmatique identitaire et lcole de langue franaise en Ontario. Francophonies
dAmrique 18 (2004): 171179. DOI : 10.7202/1005360ar
Hannon V. et Peterson A. (2017). Thrive: Schools Reinvented for the Real Challenges We Face. London:
Innovation Unit Press. Found at: http://www.innovationunit.org/wp-content/uploads/2017/04/
Thrive_Preface.pdf
Howell S. et ODonnell B. (2017). Digital Trends and Initiatives in Education: The Changing Landscape for
Canadian Content. Toronto, prepared for the Association of Canadian Publishers (ACP). Found at: http://
www.omdc.on.ca/Assets/Research/Research+Reports/Digital+Trends+and+Initiatives+in+Education/
Digital+Trends+and+Initiatives+in+Education.pdf
Louis J. P. (2015). Intelligence artificielle : pourquoi Musk, Hawking et Gates sinquitent? France,
revue Les chos.fr. Found at: https://www.lesechos.fr/30/01/2015/lesechos.fr/0204122175688_
intelligence-artificielle---pourquoi-musk--hawking-et-gates-s-inquietent--.htm
McKinsey Global Institute. (2017). A Future That Works: Automation, Employment, and Productivity -
Executive summary.
McKinsey France. (2014). Acclrer la mutation numrique des entreprises : un gisement de croissance et
de comptitivit pour la France. Found at: https://www.mckinsey.com/france/our-insights/accelerer-la-
mutation-numerique-des-entreprises/fr-fr
McKinsey Global Institute. (2017). Harnessing automation for a future that works. Found at: https://www.
mckinsey.com/global-themes/digital-disruption/harnessing-automation-for-a-future-that-works
Ministry of Education of Ontario. . (2014). Atteindre lexcellence : Une vision renouvele de lducation en
Ontario. Toronto, le Ministre. Found at: www.edu.gov.on.ca/fre/about/renewedVisionFr.pdf.
Ministry of Finance of Ontario . (2014). 2014 Ontario budget : Des perspectives davenir garantes de notre
russite. Toronto. Found at: www.fin.gov.on.ca/fr/budget/ontariobudgets/2014/papers_all.pdf
Ministry of Education of Ontario. (2016 -revised version). Digital teaching in action Foundation
document for French language schools and school boards in Ontario. Found at:
https://pedagogienumeriqueenaction.cforp.ca/.
Ministry of Education of Ontario. (2016). Towards Defining 21st Century Competencies Foundation
document for discussion, Winter 2016 Edition. Toronto. Found at: https://pedagogienumeriqueenaction.
cforp.ca/wp-content/uploads/2016/02/Ontario-21st-century-competencies-foundation-FINAL-
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Ministry of Education of Ontario. (2017). Ontario Boosting Digital and Online Learning for. Press release.
INTRODUCTION
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APPENDIXES
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APPENDIXES AN EM ER G E N C Y F O R T H E WO R L D O F E D UC AT I ON: ADAP TI NG T O T HE DI GI TAL R EVO LU TI ON
APPENDIX 1:
INTRODUCTION
Exhibit E9
Carl Benedikt Frey
and Michael A. Citibank with World Economic McKinsey Global
Osborne Frey and Osborne OECD Forum Institute
Date
September 2013 January 2016 June 2016 January 2016 January 2017
Unit of analysis
Jobs/occupations Jobs/occupations Tasks Not applicable Work activities
Scope
US labor market 50+ countries and 21 OECD countries 15 major developed 46 countries
regions and emerging representing about 80%
economies of global labor force
Approach summary
Analysis of 702 Extension of Frey- Estimates of Analysis of large-scale Disaggregation of
occupations (70 hand- Osborne (2013), using automatibility of tasks survey of major global occupations into 2,000
labeled working with World Bank data, to were developed employers, including constituent activities and
ML researchers, estimate impact of based on matching of 100 largest global rating each against
followed by a tailored automation globally. the automatibility employers in each of human performance in
Gaussian process Further analyses indicators by Frey- WEF main industry 18 capabilities. Further
classifier to estimate include examination of Osborne and the sectors, to estimate analysis of time spent
others and confirm demographic PIAAC data the expected level of on each activity and
hand-labels) to changes, global value occupational codes, changes in job hourly wage levels.
approximate the chain, etc. followed by a two- families between Scenarios for
impact of future step, tailored 201520 and development and
computerization on regression analysis extrapolate number of adoption of automation
the US labor market jobs gained/lost technologies
Key relevant findings
About 47% of total Building on Frey On average, 9% of Automation and Almost half of work
US occupations are and Osborne's jobs across the 21 technological activities globally have
at high risk of original work, data OECD countries are advancements the potential to be
automation perhaps from the World automatable could lead to a net automated using
over the next Bank suggests the There are notable employment impact current technology.
decade or two risks are higher in differences across of more than <5% of occupations
Wages and many other OECD countries 5.1 million jobs lost can be automated
educational countries; in the when it comes to to disruptive labor entirely; about 60%
attainment show a OECD, on average automation (e.g., market changes have at least 30% of
strong negative 57% of jobs are the share of between 201520, automatable activities
relationship with susceptible to automatable jobs is with a total loss of Technically
probability of automation. This 6% in Korea vs. 7.1 million jobs automatable activities
computerization number rises to 12% in Austria) two-thirds of which touch 1.2 billion
69% in India and are concentrated in workers and
77% in China the office and $14.6 trillion in wages.
administrative job China, India, Japan,
familyand a total and the United States
gain of 2 million constitute over half
jobs in several Automations boost to
smaller job families global productivity
could be 0.81.4%
annually over
decades
SOURCE: Carl Benedikt Frey and Michael A. Osborne, The future of employment: How susceptible are jobs to computerisation?, Oxford Martin School,
September 17, 2013; Technology at Work v2.0: The future is not what it used to be, Citibank, January 2016; The future of jobs: Employment, skills,
and workforce strategy for the fourth Industrial Revolution, World Economic Forum, January 2016; Melanie Arntz, Terry Gregory, and Ulrich Zierahn,
The risk of automation for jobs in OECD countries: A comparative analysis, OECD Social, Employment and Migration working paper number 189,
OECD, May 2016; McKinsey Global Institute analysis. See also Holger Bonin, Terry Gregory, and Ulrich Zierahn, Ubertragung der Studie von
Frey/Osborne: (2013) auf Deutschland, Forschungsbericht 455, Bundesministerium fr Arbeit und Soziales, April 14, 2015; and Jeremy Bowles, The
computerisation of European jobs, Bruegel, July 24, 2014.
McKinsey Global Institute A future that works: Automation, employment, and productivity 21
Source: McKinsey Global Institute. (2017). A future that works: Automation, employment, and productivity, Page 21
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APPENDIX 2 :
INTRODUCTION
Source: Ontario Ministry of Education (2016), Towards defining 21st century competencies Foundation document for discussion, Winter
edition 2016, Page 22
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BIBLIOGRAPHY AN EM ER G E N C Y F O R T H E WO R L D O F E D UC AT I ON: ADAP TI NG T O T HE DI GI TAL R EVO LU TI ON
APPENDIX 3 :
INTRODUCTION
Source: Ontario Ministry of Education (2016), Towards defining 21st century competencies Foundation document for discussion,
Winter edition 2016, Page 36.
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