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MASON-DIXON® MISSISSIPPI POLL

DECEMBER 2017 – PART 1
Polling in Mississippi since 1987

FOR RELEASE: Wednesday, December 20, 2017
© Copyright 2017

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Mason-Dixon® Mississippi Poll - December 2017
TRUMP & SENATORS GET GENERALLY FAVORABLE JOB RATINGS,
BUT WICKER COULD FACE A COMPETITIVE GOP PRIMARY

Despite the negative national view of Republican leadership in Washington,
Mississippi voters give relatively favorable job ratings to President Donald
Trump and the state’s two incumbent GOP Senators.

Statewide, 51% say they approve of the job performance of Trump, while 43%
disapprove. This is significantly higher than the approval rating Trump receives
in a wide array of recent national polls.

Senior Senator Thad Cochran’s job performance has the approval of 54% of
Mississippi voters, while 32% disapprove. Junior Senator Roger Wicker has an
approval rating of 47%, a disapproval rating of 33% and a significant 20% can’t
rate it.

JOB RATINGS

60% 54%
51%
50% 47%
43%
40% Approve
32% 33%
30%
20% Disapprove
20% 14%
10%
Not Sure
6%
0%
TRUMP COCHRAN WICKER

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Mason-Dixon® Mississippi Poll - December 2017
While Wicker has a 70% approval rating from Republican voters, he could still
face a tough primary challenge from Chris McDaniel, who came very close to
defeating incumbent Senator Cochran in 2016.

Among those who indicated they vote regularly in GOP primary elections, Wicker
holds the early advantage, leading 49%-33% in a head-to-head match-up. A
significant 18% are undecided.

2018 GOP SENATE PRIMARY

18%
49% WICKER
MCDANIEL
UNDECIDED
33%

Wicker may present a tougher race for McDaniel, because as a candidate he does
not raise the same concerns about age and health as Cochran. However, Wicker
still currently draws slightly less than 50% support from Mississippi Republicans.
He will also be clearly defined as the “Washington establishment” candidate,
which was the kiss of death in the recent GOP Senate primary process in
neighboring Alabama.

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Mason-Dixon® Mississippi Poll - December 2017
QUESTION: Do you approve or disapprove of Donald Trump’s job performance
as president?

APPROVE DISAPPROVE NOT SURE

STATE 51% 43% 6%

REGION APPROVE DISAPPROVE NOT SURE

Northern Mississippi 61% 34% 5%
The Delta 11% 83% 6%
Eastern Mississippi 62% 31% 7%
Jackson Metro 47% 45% 8%
Southern Mississippi 58% 37% 5%

SEX APPROVE DISAPPROVE NOT SURE

Men 56% 40% 4%
Women 47% 45% 8%

AGE APPROVE DISAPPROVE NOT SURE

<50 50% 41% 9%
50+ 51% 45% 4%

RACE APPROVE DISAPPROVE NOT SURE

White 75% 20% 5%
Black 3% 88% 9%

PARTY IDENTIFICATION APPROVE DISAPPROVE NOT SURE

Democrat 9% 84% 7%
Republican 86% 9% 5%
Independent 51% 41% 8%

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Mason-Dixon® Mississippi Poll - December 2017
QUESTION: Do you approve or disapprove of Thad Cochran’s job performance as
Mississippi’s U.S. Senator?

APPROVE DISAPPROVE NOT SURE

STATE 54% 32% 14%

REGION APPROVE DISAPPROVE NOT SURE

Northern Mississippi 50% 37% 13%
The Delta 43% 41% 16%
Eastern Mississippi 51% 32% 17%
Jackson Metro 63% 27% 10%
Southern Mississippi 57% 28% 15%

SEX APPROVE DISAPPROVE NOT SURE

Men 47% 38% 15%
Women 60% 27% 13%

AGE APPROVE DISAPPROVE NOT SURE

<50 53% 36% 11%
50+ 55% 29% 16%

RACE APPROVE DISAPPROVE NOT SURE

White 61% 26% 13%
Black 39% 44% 17%

PARTY IDENTIFICATION APPROVE DISAPPROVE NOT SURE

Democrat 41% 45% 14%
Republican 64% 23% 13%
Independent 56% 27% 17%

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Mason-Dixon® Mississippi Poll - December 2017
QUESTION: Do you approve or disapprove of Roger Wicker’s job performance as
Mississippi’s U.S. Senator?

APPROVE DISAPPROVE NOT SURE

STATE 47% 33% 20%

REGION APPROVE DISAPPROVE NOT SURE

Northern Mississippi 52% 32% 16%
The Delta 23% 44% 33%
Eastern Mississippi 50% 33% 17%
Jackson Metro 54% 26% 20%
Southern Mississippi 48% 32% 18%

SEX APPROVE DISAPPROVE NOT SURE

Men 43% 39% 18%
Women 51% 27% 22%

AGE APPROVE DISAPPROVE NOT SURE

<50 45% 30% 25%
50+ 49% 35% 16%

RACE APPROVE DISAPPROVE NOT SURE

White 61% 27% 12%
Black 19% 45% 36%

PARTY IDENTIFICATION APPROVE DISAPPROVE NOT SURE

Democrat 22% 51% 27%
Republican 70% 16% 14%
Independent 44% 35% 21%

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Mason-Dixon® Mississippi Poll - December 2017
*** 400 REGULAR REPUBLICAN PRIMARY VOTERS ***

QUESTION: If the 2018 Republican primary for Mississippi’s U.S. Senate seat
were held today, for whom would you vote if the candidates were: (ORDER
ROTATED)

Roger Wicker 49%
Chris McDaniel 33%
Undecided (NOT READ) 18%

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Mason-Dixon® Mississippi Poll - December 2017
HOW THE POLL WAS CONDUCTED

This poll was conducted by Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy, Inc. of Jacksonville,
Florida from December 13 through December 15, 2017. A total of 625
registered Mississippi voters were interviewed statewide by telephone.

Those interviewed were randomly selected from a phone-matched Mississippi
voter registration list that included both land-line and cell phone numbers.
Quotas were assigned to reflect voter registration by county.

The margin for error, according to standards customarily used by statisticians,
is no more than ± 4 percentage points. This means that there is a 95 percent
probability that the "true" figure would fall within that range if all voters were
surveyed. The margin for error is higher for any subgroup, such as a gender or
age grouping.

This poll also includes a sample of 400 regular Republican primary voters. The
margin for error on this survey is ± 5 percentage points.

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Mason-Dixon® Mississippi Poll - December 2017
DEMOGRAPHICS

PARTY IDENTIFICATION:

Democrat 218 (35%)
Republican 264 (42%)
Independent or Other 143 (23%)

AGE: 18-34 102 (16%)
35-49 174 (28%)
50-64 188 (30%)
65+ 154 (25%)
Refused 7 (1%)

RACE: White/Caucasian 408 (65%)
Black/African American 200 (32%)
Other/Refused 17 (3%)

SEX: Male 295 (47%)
Female 330 (53%)

REGION: Northern Mississippi 130 (21%)
The Delta 80 (13%)
Eastern Mississippi 100 (16%)
Jackson Metro 120 (19%)
Southern Mississippi 195 (31%)

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Mason-Dixon® Mississippi Poll - December 2017
MISSISSIPPI POLL REGIONS

NORTHERN MISSISSIPPI: Voters in DeSoto, Marshall, Yalobusha, Lafayette,
Calhoun, Pontotoc, Chickasaw, Monroe, Itawamba, Lee, Prentiss, Union,
Benton, Tippah, Alcorn and Tishomingo counties.

THE DELTA: Voters in Tate, Panola, Coahoma, Tunica, Quitman, Bolivar,
Tallahatchie, Sunflower, Leflore, Grenada, Carroll, Holmes, Humphreys,
Washington, Sharkey, Yazoo, Issaquena and Warren counties.

EASTERN MISSISSIPPI: Voters in Clay, Lowndes, Oktibbeha, Choctaw,
Webster, Montgomery, Attala, Leake, Scott, Smith, Jasper, Clark, Newton,
Lauderdale, Neshoba, Kemper, Winston and Noxubee counties.

JACKSON METRO: Voters in Hinds, Rankin, Madison, Copiah and Simpson
counties.

SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI: Voters in Claiborne, Jefferson, Adams, Wilkinson,
Franklin, Amite, Lincoln, Pike, Lawrence, Walthall, Jefferson Davis, Marion,
Covington, Jones, Wayne, Lamar, Forrest, Perry, Greene, George, Pearl River,
Stone, Hancock, Harrison and Jackson counties.

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Mason-Dixon® Mississippi Poll - December 2017