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ZINC

Año Demanda (D) x 10^3 Precio (P) US c/Lb Varia. D ΔD x 10^3


2006 1130 148.56
2007 1050 147.07 -80
2008 998 85.04 -52
2009 893 75.05 -105
2010 907 98.18 14
2011 939 99.5 32
2012 892 88.29 -47
2013 940 86.59 48
2014 965 98.18 25
2015 931 87.47 -34
2016 780 94.83 -151
Σ

PLOMO
Año Demanda (D) x 10^3 Precio (P) US c/Lb Varia. D ΔD x 10^3
2006 1580.00 58.5
2007 1580.00 117.03 0
2008 1540.00 94.83 -40
2009 1500.00 77.91 -40
2010 1410.00 97.61 -90
2011 1400.00 108.97 -10
2012 1540.00 93.5 140
2013 1500.00 97.12 -40
2014 1700.00 95.07 200
2015 1670.00 80.9 -30
2016 1540.00 84.89 -130
Σ

PLATA
Año Demanda (D) x 10^3 Precio (P) US$/OzTr Varia. D ΔD x 10^3
2006 7550.00 11.57
2007 6880.00 13.42 -670
2008 5950.00 15.01 -930
2009 5360.00 14.68 -590
2010 7220.00 20.19 1860
2011 7910.00 35.17 690
2012 5990.00 31.15 -1920
2013 6620.00 23.15 630
2014 7150.00 19.08 530
2015 8000.00 15.68 850
2016 7230.00 17.14 -770
Σ
ZINC
Varia. P ΔP US c/Lb ΔD/D (%) ΔP/P (%) (ΔD/D)(ΔP/P) (ΔD/D)^2

-1.49 -7.0796 -1.0030 7.1006 50.1214


-62.03 -4.9524 -42.1772 208.8775 24.5261
-9.99 -10.5210 -11.7474 123.5950 110.6923
23.13 1.5677 30.8195 48.3172 2.4578
1.32 3.5281 1.3445 4.7434 12.4476
-11.21 -5.0053 -11.2663 56.3916 25.0533
-1.7 5.3812 -1.9255 -10.3613 28.9569
11.59 2.6596 13.3849 35.5982 7.0733
-10.71 -3.5233 -10.9085 38.4342 12.4138
7.36 -16.2191 8.4143 -136.4728 263.0598
-34.1642 -25.0648 376.2238 536.8024

PLOMO
Varia. P ΔP US c/Lb ΔD/D (%) ΔP/P (%) (ΔD/D)(ΔP/P) (ΔD/D)^2

58.53 0.0000 100.0513 0 0.0000


-22.2 -2.5316 -18.9695 48.0240 6.4092
-16.92 -2.5974 -17.8425 46.3440 6.7465
19.7 -6.0000 25.2856 -151.7135 36.0000
11.36 -0.7092 11.6382 -8.2540 0.5030
-15.47 10.0000 -14.1966 -141.9657 100.0000
3.62 -2.5974 3.8717 -10.0563 6.7465
-2.05 13.3333 -2.1108 -28.1439 177.7778
-14.17 -1.7647 -14.9048 26.3026 3.1142
3.99 -7.7844 4.9320 -38.3929 60.5974
-0.6515 77.7546 -257.8556 397.8946

PLATA
Varia. P ΔP US c/Lb ΔD/D (%) ΔP/P (%) (ΔD/D)(ΔP/P) (ΔD/D)^2

1.85 -8.8742 15.9896 -141.8947 78.7509


1.59 -13.5174 11.8480 -160.1545 182.7212

-0.33 -9.9160 -2.1985 21.8006 98.3264


5.51 34.7015 37.5341 1302.4879 1204.1936

14.98 9.5568 74.1951 709.0672 91.3322


-4.02 -24.2731 -11.4302 277.4460 589.1820

-8 10.5175 -25.6822 -270.1131 110.6184

-4.07 8.0060 -17.5810 -140.7542 64.0967


-3.4 11.8881 -17.8197 -211.8427 141.3272
1.46 -9.6250 9.3112 -89.6205 92.6406
8.4643 74.1664 1296.4220 2653.1893
Año t ΔD/D ΔD/D x t t^2
2007 1 -7.0796 -7.0796 1
2008 2 -4.9524 -9.9048 4
2009 3 -10.5210 -31.5631 9
2010 4 1.5677 6.2710 16
2011 5 3.5281 17.6406 25
2012 6 -5.0053 -30.0319 36
2013 7 5.3812 37.6682 49
2014 8 2.6596 21.2766 64
2015 9 -3.5233 -31.7098 81
2016 10 -16.2191 -162.1912 100
Σ 55 -34.1642 -189.6242 385

Año t ΔD/D ΔD/D x t t^2


2007 1 0.0000 0.0000 1
2008 2 -2.5316 -5.0633 4
2009 3 -2.5974 -7.7922 9
2010 4 -6.0000 -24.0000 16
2011 5 -0.7092 -3.5461 25
2012 6 10.0000 60.0000 36
2013 7 -2.5974 -18.1818 49
2014 8 13.3333 106.6667 64
2015 9 -1.7647 -15.8824 81
2016 10 -7.7844 -77.8443 100
Σ 55 -0.6515 14.3566 385
Año t ΔD/D ΔD/D x t t^2
2007 1 -8.8742 -8.8742 1
2008 2 -13.5174 -27.0349 4
2009 3 -9.9160 -29.7479 9
2010 4 34.7015 138.8060 16
2011 5 9.5568 47.7839 25
2012 6 -24.2731 -145.6384 36
2013 7 10.5175 73.6227 49
2014 8 8.0060 64.0483 64
2015 9 11.8881 106.9930 81
2016 10 -9.6250 -96.2500 100
Σ 55 8.4643 123.7086 385
Año ΔD/D Futura ΔP/P Futura Aplicación de la Ley de Mínimos Cuadrad
2017 -3.7606 -7.4712
2018 -3.7815 -7.4856 -25.0648 =
2019 -3.8023 -7.5000
2020 -3.8232 -7.5145 376.2238 =
2021 -3.8441 -7.5289
2022 -3.8649 -7.5433
2023 -3.8858 -7.5578
2024 -3.9066 -7.5722
2025
2026
-3.9275
-3.9484
-7.5866
-7.6011 ΔP/P = ||-4

Año ΔD/D Futura ΔP/P Futura Aplicación de la Ley de Mínimos Cuadrad


2017 3.5228 5.5785
2018 3.7402 5.4404 77.754576858 =
2019 3.9577 5.3022
2020 4.1751 5.1640 -257.85558606 =
2021 4.3926 5.0259
2022 4.6100 4.8877
2023 4.8275 4.7495
2024 5.0449 4.6114
2025
2026
5.2624
5.4798
4.4732
4.3350
ΔP/P = ||7
Año ΔD/D Futura ΔP/P Futura Aplicación de la Ley de Mínimos Cuadrad
2017 16.2774 6.3901
2018 17.2126 7.0370 74.166433468 =
2019 18.1478 7.6840
2020 19.0830 8.3309 1296.4219619 =
2021 20.0182 8.9778
2022 20.9535 9.6248
2023 21.8887 10.2717
2024 22.8239 10.9186
2025
2026
23.7591
24.6943
11.5655
12.2125
ΔP/P = ||7.
Mínimos Cuadrados

10.00 c + -34.1642 b -2.5064755

-34.16 c + 536.8024 b 11.0122153

8.50573974

ΔP/P = ||-4.869783 + 0.6917491 (ΔD/D)||

Mínimos Cuadrados

10 c + -0.6514743093 b 7.77545769

-0.6514743093 c + 397.89455537 b -395.80315

-388.0277

ΔP/P = ||7.8168515 - 0.635387 (ΔD/D)||


Mínimos Cuadrados

10 c + 8.4643101473 b 7.41664335

8.4643101473 c + 2653.18930279 b -153.16333

-145.74669

ΔP/P = ||7.8112714 + 0.4662259 (ΔD/D)||


= 1 c + -3.4164224945 b

= -1 c + 15.7124116467 b

= 0 c + 12.2959891522 b

b = 0.691749125
c = -4.86978279

= 1 c + -0.0651474309 b

= -1 c + 610.760163025 b

= 0 c + 610.6950155941 b

b = -0.63538704
c = 7.816851519
= 1 c + 0.8464310147 b

= -1 c + -313.45605922 b

= 0 c + -312.609628205 b

b = 0.466225853
c = 7.811271369
-34.1642 = 10 d + 55

-189.6242 = 55 d + 385

ΔD/D = -3.531153 - 0.02086 (t)

-0.6514743 = 10 d + 55

14.3565859 = 55 d + 385

ΔD/D = 1.1308322 + 0.2174508 (t)


8.46431015 = 10 d + 55

123.708566 = 55 d + 385

ΔD/D = 5.9900884 + 0.9352104 (t)


e -3.4164225 = 1 d + 5.5

e 3.4477126 = -1 d + -7

0.0312901 = 0 d + -1.5

e = -0.02086
d = -3.53115
2086 (t)

e -0.0651474 = 1 d + 5.5

e -0.2610288 = -1 d + -7

-0.3261763 = 0 d + -1.5

e = 0.217451
d = 1.130832
74508 (t)
e 0.84643101 = 1 d + 5.5

e -2.2492467 = -1 d + -7

-1.4028156 = 0 d + -1.5

e = 0.93521
d = 5.990088
52104 (t)
e AÑO DEMANDA D X 10^3
2016 955.4909
e 2017 919.5586
2018 884.7857
e 2019 851.1432
2020 818.6023
2021 787.1348
2022 756.7127
2023 727.3086
2024 698.8953
2025 671.4462
2026 644.9352

e AÑO DEMANDA D X 10^3


2016 1680.1198
e 2017 1739.3069
2018 1804.3612

e 2019 1875.7722
2020 1954.0884
2021 2039.9236
2022 2133.9650
2023 2236.9821
2024 2349.8367
2025 2473.4945
2026 2609.0382
e AÑO DEMANDA D X 10^3
2016 8074.1125
e 2017 9388.3683
2018 11004.3519
e 2019 13001.4023
2020 15482.4644
2021 18581.7820
2022 22475.3073
2023 27394.8522
2024 33647.4193
2025 41641.7388
2026 51924.8734
PRECIO P (US c/lb) VARIA D. ΔD x 10^3 VARIA P. Δ P x (US c/lb) ΔD/D (%) ΔP/P (%)
94.8300 24.4909 7.3600 -16.2191 8.4143
87.7451 -35.9323 -7.0849 -3.7606 -7.4712
81.1768 -34.7729 -6.5683 -3.7815 -7.4856
75.0885 -33.6425 -6.0883 -3.8023 -7.5000
80.7310 -32.5409 5.6425 -3.8232 7.5145
86.8092 -31.4675 6.0782 -3.8441 7.5289
93.3575 -30.4221 6.5483 -3.8649 7.5433
86.3018 -29.4041 -7.0557 -3.8858 -7.5578
79.7668 -28.4133 -6.5349 -3.9066 -7.5722
73.7152 -27.4491 -6.0516 -3.9275 -7.5866
79.3183 -26.5111 5.6031 -3.9484 7.6011

PRECIO P (US c/lb) VARIA D. ΔD x 10^3 VARIA P. Δ P x (US c/lb) ΔD/D (%) ΔP/P (%)
76.9100 10.1198 -3.9900 -7.7844 -4.9320
81.2004 59.1871 4.2904 3.5228 5.5785
85.6180 65.0543 4.4176 3.7402 5.4404
90.1576 71.4111 4.5396 3.9577 5.3022
85.5019 78.3162 -4.6558 4.1751 -5.1640
81.2047 85.8352 -4.2972 4.3926 -5.0259
77.2357 94.0414 -3.9690 4.6100 -4.8877
80.9040 103.0171 3.6683 4.8275 4.7495
84.6348 112.8546 3.7308 5.0449 4.6114
88.4206 123.6578 3.7859 5.2624 4.4732
84.5876 135.5438 -3.8331 5.4798 -4.3350
PRECIO P (US/OzTr) VARIA D. ΔD x 10^3 VARIA P. Δ P x (US c/lb) ΔD/D (%) ΔP/P (%)
14.2200 74.1125 -1.4600 -9.6250 -9.3112
15.1287 1314.2558 0.9087 16.2774 6.3901
16.1933 1615.9836 1.0646 17.2126 7.0370
17.4376 1997.0504 1.2443 18.1478 7.6840
15.9849 2481.0621 -1.4527 19.0830 -8.3309
14.5498 3099.3176 -1.4351 20.0182 -8.9778
13.1494 3893.5254 -1.4004 20.9535 -9.6248
14.5001 4919.5449 1.3507 21.8887 10.2717
16.0833 6252.5671 1.5832 22.8239 10.9186
17.9434 7994.3195 1.8601 23.7591 11.5655
15.7520 10283.1346 -2.1913 24.6943 -12.2125
Precio del Zinc con los años
100.0000
90.0000
80.0000
70.0000
60.0000
50.0000
40.0000
30.0000
20.0000
10.0000
0.0000
2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 2028

Precio del Plomo con los años


95.0000

90.0000

85.0000

80.0000

75.0000

70.0000
2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 2028
Precio de la Plata con los años
20.0000
18.0000
16.0000
14.0000
12.0000
10.0000
8.0000
6.0000
4.0000
2.0000
0.0000
2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 2028
6 2028

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