ESTACION CERRO DE PASCO

AÑO ENE. FEB. MAR. ABR. MAY. JUN.

1975 16.0 19.5 17.0 13.5 10.3 5.0
1976 21.6 4.0 20.4 14.6 35.0 35.0
1977 30.0 35.0 28.0 20.0 12.0 10.0
1979 18.0 16.0 30.0 23.7 11.0 3.0
1980 38.0 29.0 35.0 20.3 15.0 11.7
1981 33.0 33.0 28.0 28.0 16.0 10.0
1983 36.0 22.0 28.0 28.0 9.7 20.0
1984 30.0 30.0 22.0 20.0 12.0 24.0
1985 18.0 16.0 30.0 17.7 10.0 16.0
1986 22.0 18.0 20.0 14.0 14.0 12.0
1995 11.4 25.1 22.8 15.3 12.2 3.1
1998 12.1 30.5 13.7 18.5 5.2 5.5
1999 38.0 31.7 14.7 25.8 7.3 4.8
2000 18.0 17.3 18.3 6.5 9.4 2.8
2001 29.4 24.3 24.0 23.7 10.9 2.0
2002 8.0 19.4 26.8 15.5 13.5 3.0
2003 14.5 19.4 20.7 18.1 8.3 7.0
2004 12.7 31.2 11.4 16.9 6.0 4.0
2005 15.4 20.0 46.7 17.4 2.9 2.8
2006 9.8 17.5 16.2 19.1 3.9 17.0
2007 15.5 16.0 18.4 14.2 16.0 0.0
2008 16.6 18.5 8.0 12.5 5.4 7.3
2009 26.0 19.0 39.2 11.4 12.0 12.0
2010 25.7 24.3 35.9 14.5 17.0 2.0
2011 20.5 16.3 20.8 24.4 12.0 0.0
2012 20.0 20.7 15.0 12.0 7.8 6.5
2013 25.8 15.0 20.3 14.0 15.0 5.8
2014 26.2 19.8 20.0 24.7 7.3 10.0
2015 15.0 10.0 18.0 15.2 10.3 9.0
PROMEDIO 21.5 21.3 23.1 17.9 11.3 8.7
DESV.EST. 8.5 7.1 8.7 5.3 5.9 7.8
MAXIMO 38.0 35.0 46.7 28.0 35.0 35.0
MINIMO 8.0 4.0 8.0 6.5 2.9 0.0
N°Datos 29 29 29 29 29 29

HISTOGRAMA DEL REGISTRO HISTOR

ESTACION CERRO DE PASCO
60.0
 HISTOGRAMA DEL REGISTRO HISTOR
ESTACION CERRO DE PASCO
60.0

50.0

Precipitacion Maxima 24H (mm)

40.0

30.0

20.0

10.0

0.0
75 9 76 9 77 979 9 80 9 81 9 83 984 9 85 986 995 9 98 999 0 00 001 002 0 03 004 00 5 0 06
19 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2

Tiempo (años)
 JUL. AGO. SET. OCT. NOV. DIC. MÁXIMO
8.0 6.0 14.0 14.0 13.0 30.0 30.0
30.0 50.0 30.0 20.0 25.0 30.0 50.0
5.0 20.0 17.0 20.0 20.0 20.0 35.0
8.5 11.5 18.0 28.0 26.0 16.0 30.0
18.0 8.0 14.0 34.0 28.0 28.0 38.0
6.0 40.0 18.0 28.0 43.0 24.0 43.0
10.0 16.0 40.0 28.0 28.0 31.0 40.0
8.0 12.0 14.0 14.0 21.0 16.0 30.0
17.0 12.0 14.1 4.0 18.0 16.0 30.0
5.0 38.0 44.0 22.0 24.0 24.0 44.0
2.9 0.3 9.4 13.0 18.4 16.1 25.1
0.0 1.5 5.7 19.7 15.8 9.6 30.5
4.3 3.3 10.7 16.1 16.6 16.5 38.0
4.5 8.2 7.1 14.3 12.7 22.6 22.6
11.5 6.0 7.9 19.1 16.6 28.0 29.4
10.4 3.5 13.7 24.1 12.6 22.3 26.8
4.6 10.0 20.7 6.0 20.0 13.1 20.7
8.6 7.9 27.5 22.5 26.8 33.2 33.2
4.1 4.5 6.0 12.8 29.1 9.0 46.7
2.7 4.0 21.8 21.3 27.3 24.6 27.3
8.0 4.4 10.5 16.0 20.6 26.7 26.7
3.2 10.4 10.0 10.4 29.4 25.0 29.4
8.2 12.4 5.1 20.0 31.4 29.5 39.2
4.4 0.0 7.5 24.0 13.8 30.8 35.9
6.3 9.0 14.0 16.0 22.7 24.0 24.4
3.5 5.2 16.8 25.4 18.0 24.6 25.4
8.0 11.0 17.6 20.5 11.6 16.0 25.8
7.0 2.6 20.6 15.0 17.5 25.6 26.2
9.0 7.4 18.4 17.3 25.1 15.4 25.1
7.8 11.2 16.3 18.8 21.8 22.3 32.0
5.8 11.9 9.4 6.7 7.1 6.7 7.6
30.0 50.0 44.0 34.0 43.0 33.2 50.0
0.0 0.0 5.1 4.0 11.6 9.0 20.7
29 29 29 29 29 29 29

EGISTRO HISTORICO
RO DE PASCO
EGISTRO HISTORICO
RO DE PASCO

01 002 0 03 004 00 5 0 06 007 0 08 009 010 0 11 012 01 3 0 14 015

20 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2

o (años)
N° AÑO ORDEN P24 Log(P24)
1 1975 13 30.0 1.4771
2 1976 1 50.0 1.6990 Maximo valor historico registrado
3 1977 10 35.0 1.5441
4 1979 13 30.0 1.4771
5 1980 7 38.0 1.5798
6 1981 4 43.0 1.6335
7 1983 5 40.0 1.6021
8 1984 13 30.0 1.4771
9 1985 13 30.0 1.4771
10 1986 3 44.0 1.6435
11 1995 25 25.1 1.3997
12 1998 12 30.5 1.4843
13 1999 7 38.0 1.5798
14 2000 28 22.6 1.3541
15 2001 17 29.4 1.4683
16 2002 20 26.8 1.4281
17 2003 29 20.7 1.3160 Minimo valor historico registrado
18 2004 11 33.2 1.5211
19 2005 2 46.7 1.6693
20 2006 19 27.3 1.4362
21 2007 21 26.7 1.4265
22 2008 17 29.4 1.4683
23 2009 6 39.2 1.5933
24 2010 9 35.9 1.5551
25 2011 27 24.4 1.3874
26 2012 24 25.4 1.4048
27 2013 23 25.8 1.4116
28 2014 22 26.2 1.4183
29 2015 25 25.1 1.3997

Numero de datos n 29 29
Suma ∑ 928.4 43.33
Máximo 50.0 1.70
Mínimo 20.7 1.32
Promedio xx 32.0 1.49
Desviación estándar s 7.59 0.10
Coeficiente asimetría Cs 0.78 0.39
Cs/6 k 0.13 0.07
ximo valor historico registrado

PRUEBA DE DATOS DUDOSOS (Metodo Water Resources Council)

n= 29
Kn= 2.549

Umbral de datos dudosos altos:

(xH: unid. logaritimicas)

xH  x  Kn  s
XH= 1.75
nimo valor historico registrado
Precipitacion maxima aceptada:

PH  10 xH
PH 55.7 mm

Umbral de datos dudosos bajos:

(xH: unid. logaritimicas)

xL  x  Kn s
XL= 1.24

Precipitacion minima aceptada:

PH  10 xL
PH 17.5 mm

Se observa que todos los valores de P24 estan dentro

de los limites de PH y PL, es decir se encuentran entre 55.7mm y 17.5mm
 P24 log(P24)
Numero de datos: n 29 29
Promedio: x 32.0 1.49
Desviación estándar: s 7.59 0.10
Coeficiente asimetría: Cs 0.78 0.39
Cs/6: k 0.13 0.07
Cv 0.2370 0.0661
ESTACION
VALOR OBSERVADO NORMAL
N T P(X≤xT)
P24 log(P24) KT ESPERADO
1 30.00 3.33% 50.0 1.6990 1.8339 45.9
2 15.00 6.67% 46.7 1.6693 1.5011 43.4
3 10.00 10.00% 44.0 1.6435 1.2816 41.7
4 7.50 13.33% 43.0 1.6335 1.1108 40.4
5 6.00 16.67% 40.0 1.6021 0.9674 39.4
6 5.00 20.00% 39.2 1.5933 0.8416 38.4
7 4.29 23.33% 38.0 1.5798 0.7279 37.5
8 3.75 26.67% 38.0 1.5798 0.6229 36.7
9 3.33 30.00% 35.9 1.5551 0.5244 36.0
10 3.00 33.33% 35.0 1.5441 0.4307 35.3
11 2.73 36.67% 33.2 1.5211 0.3407 34.6
12 2.50 40.00% 30.5 1.4843 0.2533 33.9
13 2.31 43.33% 30.0 1.4771 0.1679 33.3
14 2.14 46.67% 30.0 1.4771 0.0837 32.6
15 2.00 50.00% 30.0 1.4771 0.0000 32.0
16 1.88 53.33% 30.0 1.4771 -0.0837 31.4
17 1.76 56.67% 29.4 1.4683 -0.1679 30.7
18 1.67 60.00% 29.4 1.4683 -0.2533 30.1
19 1.58 63.33% 27.3 1.4362 -0.3407 29.4
20 1.50 66.67% 26.8 1.4281 -0.4307 28.7
21 1.43 70.00% 26.7 1.4265 -0.5244 28.0
22 1.36 73.33% 26.2 1.4183 -0.6229 27.3
23 1.30 76.67% 25.8 1.4116 -0.7279 26.5
24 1.25 80.00% 25.4 1.4048 -0.8416 25.6
25 1.20 83.33% 25.1 1.3997 -0.9674 24.7
26 1.15 86.67% 25.1 1.3997 -1.1108 23.6
27 1.11 90.00% 24.4 1.3874 -1.2816 22.3
28 1.07 93.33% 22.6 1.3541 -1.5011 20.6
29 1.03 96.67% 20.7 1.3160 -1.8339 18.1
T: Periodo de retorno
P: Probabilidad de ocurrencia

AJUSTE ESTADISTICO PARA LA DIS

60.0

50.0
 AJUSTE ESTADISTICO PARA LA DIS
60.0

50.0
Pmax 24hrs (mm)

40.0

30.0

20.0

10.0

0.0
-2.5000 -2.0000 -1.5000 -1.0000 -0.5000 0

Variable

AJUSTE ESTADISTICO PARA LA DISTR

60

50
Pmax 24hrs (mm)

40

30

20

10

0
-2.5000 -2.0000 -1.5000 -1.0000 -0.5000

Variable

AJUSTE ESTADISTICO PARA LA D

60.0

50.0
(mm)

40.0
 AJUSTE ESTADISTICO PARA LA D
60.0

50.0

Pmax 24hrs (mm)

40.0

30.0

20.0

10.0

0.0
-2.0000 -1.5000 -1.0000 -0.5000 0.0000

Variabl

AJUSTE ESTADISTICO PARA LA DISTR

60.0

50.0
Pmax 24hrs (mm)

40.0

30.0

20.0

10.0

0.0
-2.0000 -1.5000 -1.0000 -0.5000 0.0000

Variabl

AJUSTE ESTADISTICO PARA LA DISTRIB

60.0

50.0
max 24hrs (mm)

40.0

30.0

20.0
Pmax 24hrs (mm)
40.0

30.0

20.0

10.0

0.0
-2.0000 -1.5000 -1.0000 -0.5000 0.0000

Variabl
 ESTACION CERRO DE PASCO
LOGNORMAL 2P LOGNORMAL 3P GUMBEL PEARSON III
KT ESPERADO KT ESPERADO KT ESPERADO KT
1.8339 47.4 1.9291 48.4 2.1887 48.6 2.1084
1.5011 43.9 1.6840 45.8 1.6347 44.4 1.6297
1.2816 41.8 1.4651 43.6 1.3046 41.9 1.3325
1.1108 40.2 1.3792 42.7 1.0658 40.1 1.1113
0.9674 38.9 1.1035 40.1 0.8770 38.7 0.9321
0.8416 37.8 1.0249 39.4 0.7195 37.5 0.7798
0.7279 36.8 0.9024 38.3 0.5834 36.4 0.6460
0.6229 36.0 0.9024 38.3 0.4627 35.5 0.5256
0.5244 35.2 0.6733 36.4 0.3538 34.7 0.4154
0.4307 34.4 0.5688 35.5 0.2538 33.9 0.3131
0.3407 33.7 0.3464 33.8 0.1609 33.2 0.2170
0.2533 33.1 -0.0265 31.0 0.0737 32.6 0.1258
0.1679 32.4 -0.1017 30.5 -0.0090 31.9 0.0386
0.0837 31.8 -0.1017 30.5 -0.0881 31.3 -0.0456
0.0000 31.2 -0.1017 30.5 -0.1643 30.8 -0.1273
-0.0837 30.6 -0.1017 30.5 -0.2383 30.2 -0.2073
-0.1679 30.0 -0.1948 29.9 -0.3106 29.7 -0.2861
-0.2533 29.5 -0.1948 29.9 -0.3819 29.1 -0.3642
-0.3407 28.9 -0.5494 27.5 -0.4526 28.6 -0.4421
-0.4307 28.3 -0.6413 27.0 -0.5234 28.0 -0.5206
-0.5244 27.7 -0.6600 26.9 -0.5948 27.5 -0.6001
-0.6229 27.1 -0.7559 26.3 -0.6675 26.9 -0.6815
-0.7279 26.4 -0.8352 25.8 -0.7426 26.4 -0.7657
-0.8416 25.8 -0.9169 25.3 -0.8211 25.8 -0.8541
-0.9674 25.0 -0.9799 25.0 -0.9048 25.1 -0.9484
-1.1108 24.2 -0.9799 25.0 -0.9963 24.5 -1.0517
-1.2816 23.3 -1.1329 24.1 -1.1003 23.7 -1.1689
-1.5011 22.2 -1.5726 21.8 -1.2268 22.7 -1.3104
-1.8339 20.6 -2.1325 19.2 -1.4045 21.4 -1.5064

DISTICO PARA LA DISTRIBUCION NORMAL - ESTACION CERRO DE PASCO

60.0

50.0
DISTICO PARA LA DISTRIBUCION NORMAL - ESTACION CERRO DE PASCO
60.0

50.0

40.0

30.0

20.0

10.0

0.0
-0.5000 0.0000 0.5000 1.0000 1.5000 2.0000

Variable reducida KT

TICO PARA LA DISTRIBUCION LOGNORMAL 2P - ESTACION CERRO DE PASCO

60.0

50.0

40.0

30.0

20.0

10.0

0.0
-0.5000 0.0000 0.5000 1.0000 1.5000 2.0000

Variable reducida KT

ADISTICO PARA LA DISTRIBUCION GUMBEL - ESTACION CERRO DE PASCO

60.0

50.0

40.0
ADISTICO PARA LA DISTRIBUCION GUMBEL - ESTACION CERRO DE PASCO
60.0

50.0

40.0

30.0

20.0

10.0

0.0
00 0.0000 0.5000 1.0000 1.5000 2.0000

Variable reducida KT

STICO PARA LA DISTRIBUCION PEARSON TIPO III - ESTACION CERRO DE PASCO

60.0

50.0

40.0

30.0

20.0

10.0

0.0
000 0.0000 0.5000 1.0000 1.5000 2.0000

Variable reducida KT

CO PARA LA DISTRIBUCION LOG PEARSON TIPO III - ESTACION CERRO DE PASCO

60.0

50.0

40.0

30.0

20.0
 40.0

30.0

20.0

10.0

0.0
00 0.0000 0.5000 1.0000 1.5000 2.0000

Variable reducida KT
 PEARSON III LOGPEARSON III
ESPERADO KT ESPERADO
48.0 1.9819 49.0
44.4 1.5751 44.7
42.1 1.3156 42.1
40.4 1.1185 40.2
39.1 0.9562 38.8
37.9 0.8161 37.6
36.9 0.6914 36.5
36.0 0.5778 35.6
35.2 0.4726 34.7
34.4 0.3737 34.0
33.7 0.2799 33.3
33.0 0.1898 32.6
32.3 0.1028 31.9
31.7 0.0178 31.3
31.0 -0.0655 30.7
30.4 -0.1480 30.2
29.8 -0.2301 29.6
29.3 -0.3125 29.1
28.7 -0.3957 28.5
28.1 -0.4805 28.0
27.5 -0.5676 27.4
26.8 -0.6580 26.9
26.2 -0.7530 26.3
25.5 -0.8543 25.7
24.8 -0.9646 25.1
24.0 -1.0878 24.4
23.1 -1.2314 23.6
22.1 -1.4108 22.6
20.6 -1.6721 21.3

E PASCO
E PASCO

Normal
Valor
observado

5000 2.0000 2.5000

RO DE PASCO

Log Normal 2P
Valor
observado

1.5000 2.0000 2.5000

DE PASCO

Gumbel
DE PASCO

Gumbel
Valor
observado

00 2.0000 2.5000

RRO DE PASCO

Pearson III
Valor
observado

00 2.0000 2.5000

CERRO DE PASCO

Log Pearson III

Valor
observado
 Log Pearson III
Valor
observado

00 2.0000 2.5000
 PRUEBA DE BONDAD DE AJUSTE KOLMOGOROV-SMIRNOV
ESTACION CERRO DE PASCO

|Fo(xm)-F(xm)|
m xm Fo(xm) Z=(x-X)/S F(xm) Normal
Normal

1 50.0 0.966667 2.370306 0.991113326 0.02445

2 46.7 0.933333 1.935417 0.973530429 0.04020
3 44.0 0.900000 1.579598 0.942900566 0.04290
4 43.0 0.866667 1.447814 0.926165422 0.05950
5 40.0 0.833333 1.052460 0.853705652 0.02037
6 39.2 0.800000 0.947032 0.828188750 0.02819
7 38.0 0.766667 0.788890 0.784911948 0.01825
8 38.0 0.733333 0.788890 0.784911948 0.05158
9 35.9 0.700000 0.512143 0.695724365 0.00428
10 35.0 0.666667 0.393536 0.653038294 0.01363
11 33.2 0.633333 0.156324 0.562111137 0.07122
12 30.5 0.600000 -0.199495 0.420937881 0.17906
13 30.0 0.566667 -0.265387 0.395355647 0.17131
14 30.0 0.533333 -0.265387 0.395355647 0.13798
15 30.0 0.500000 -0.265387 0.395355647 0.10464
16 30.0 0.466667 -0.265387 0.395355647 0.07131
17 29.4 0.433333 -0.344458 0.365250985 0.06808
18 29.4 0.400000 -0.344458 0.365250985 0.03475
19 27.3 0.366667 -0.621206 0.267232146 0.09943
20 26.8 0.333333 -0.687098 0.246010476 0.08732
21 26.7 0.300000 -0.700277 0.241877322 0.05812
22 26.2 0.266667 -0.766169 0.221787923 0.04488
23 25.8 0.233333 -0.818883 0.206426668 0.02691
24 25.4 0.200000 -0.871597 0.191714248 0.00829
25 25.1 0.166667 -0.911132 0.181112918 0.01445
26 25.1 0.133333 -0.911132 0.181112918 0.04778
27 24.4 0.100000 -1.003381 0.157838472 0.05784
28 22.6 0.066667 -1.240594 0.107377945 0.04071
29 20.7 0.033333 -1.490985 0.067982775 0.03465

Xprome 32.01
S 7.59
Cs 0.78
n 29
a 0.05
Dcritico 0.24645
JUSTE KOLMOGOROV-SMIRNOV
ON CERRO DE PASCO

F(ym)
F(ym) Log - Normal |Fo(xm)-F(ym)|
y =Ln(xo) Z=(y-Y)/SY W Z2 Log -
2P Log - Normal 2P
Normal 3 P
3.9120 2.0719 0.980864 0.01420 0.36552 0.68361 0.97310
3.8437 1.7719 0.961792 0.02846 0.42386 0.58008 0.95390
3.7842 1.5101 0.934497 0.03450 0.48448 0.48783 0.92860
3.7612 1.4091 0.920599 0.05393 0.51061 0.45185 0.91610
3.6889 1.0913 0.862427 0.02909 0.60378 0.33795 0.86510
3.6687 1.0025 0.841949 0.04195 0.63293 0.30612 0.84730
3.6376 0.8659 0.806719 0.04005 0.68054 0.25729 0.81660
3.6376 0.8659 0.806719 0.07339 0.68054 0.25729 0.81660
3.5807 0.6160 0.731064 0.03106 0.77619 0.16910 0.74960
3.5553 0.5045 0.693030 0.02636 0.82241 0.13044 0.71530
3.5025 0.2724 0.607352 0.02598 0.92489 0.05206 0.63550
3.4177 -0.1003 0.460034 0.13997 1.10471 -0.06640 0.48940
3.4012 -0.1730 0.431329 0.13534 1.14146 -0.08823 0.45950
3.4012 -0.1730 0.431329 0.10200 1.14146 -0.08823 0.45950
3.4012 -0.1730 0.431329 0.06867 1.14146 -0.08823 0.45950
3.4012 -0.1730 0.431329 0.03534 1.14146 -0.08823 0.45950
3.3810 -0.2618 0.396747 0.03659 1.18695 -0.11432 0.42280
3.3810 -0.2618 0.396747 0.00325 1.18695 -0.11432 0.42280
3.3069 -0.5875 0.278448 0.08822 1.35773 -0.20423 0.29140
3.2884 -0.6687 0.251845 0.08149 1.40092 -0.22522 0.26070
3.2847 -0.6851 0.246633 0.05337 1.40966 -0.22940 0.25460
3.2658 -0.7682 0.221184 0.04548 1.45395 -0.25017 0.22490
3.2504 -0.8358 0.201630 0.03170 1.49002 -0.26664 0.20180
3.2347 -0.9045 0.182870 0.01713 1.52663 -0.28298 0.17960
3.2229 -0.9567 0.169360 0.00269 1.55445 -0.29514 0.16360
3.2229 -0.9567 0.169360 0.03603 1.55445 -0.29514 0.16360
3.1946 -1.0810 0.139849 0.03985 1.62048 -0.32321 0.12860
3.1179 -1.4178 0.078128 0.01146 1.79706 -0.39326 0.05790
3.0301 -1.8037 0.035639 0.00231 1.99279 -0.46375 0.01650

3.441
0.228
0.395
|Fo(xm)-F(ym)| Log
K Auxiliar 1 z Auxiliar 2 w F(ym) Pearson III
- Normal 3P

0.00643 2.3703
0.02057 1.9354
0.02860 1.5796
0.04943 1.4478
0.03177 1.0525
0.04730 0.9470
0.04993 0.7889
0.08327 0.7889
0.04960 0.5121
0.04863 0.3935
0.00217 0.1563
0.11060 -0.1995
0.10717 -0.2654
0.07383 -0.2654
0.04050 -0.2654
0.00717 -0.2654
0.01053 -0.3445
0.02280 -0.3445
0.07527 -0.6212
0.07263 -0.6871
0.04540 -0.7003
0.04177 -0.7662
0.03153 -0.8189
0.02040 -0.8716
0.00307 -0.9111
0.03027 -0.9111
0.02860 -1.0034
0.00877 -1.2406
0.01683 -1.4910
 F(ym) |Fo(ym)-F(ym)|
|Fo(ym)-F(ym)|
K Auxiliar 1 z Auxiliar 2 w Log Log
Pearson III
Pearson III Pearson III
 F(xm) |Fo(xm)-F(xm)|
K T
GEV I GEV I