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Movement of WPI Sub-indices January 2016–August 2017 Merchandise Trade August 2017
Year-on-Year in % August 2017 Over Month Over Year April–August
($ bn) (%) (%) (2017–18 over 2016–17) (%)
27
Exports 23.8 5.7 10.3 8.6
Imports 35.5 4.3 21.0 26.6
18
Trade deficit 11.6 1.7 51.1 84.2
Primary Articles 10.0% Data is provisional. Source: Ministry of Commerce and Industry.
9
2.5%
Trade Deficits January 2016–August 2017
0 $ billion
2.7%
Manufactured Products Fuel and Power 3
-9
Oil Trade Deficit
0
-18 Non-oil Trade Deficit
Jan F M A M J J A S O N D Jan F M A M J J Aug* -3
2016 2017 -$4.4bn
* Data is provisional; Base: 2011–12=100
-6
80 october 14, 2017 vol LII no 41 EPW Economic & Political Weekly
CURRENT STATISTICS EPW Research Foundation
India’s Quarterly Estimates of Final Expenditures on GDP
2015–16 2016–17 2017–18
` crore | at 2011–12 Prices Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1
Private final consumption expenditure 1453347 (2.0) 1484050 (3.9) 1602945 (5.9) 1722032 (12.1) 1575613 (8.4) 1601797 (7.9) 1780914 (11.1) 1848300 (7.3) 1680481 (6.7)
Government final consumption expenditure 286327 (0.1) 326759 (4.1) 267516 (5.1) 229123 (2.4) 333761 (16.6) 380561 (16.5) 323603 (21.0) 302161 (31.9) 391080 (17.2)
Gross fixed capital formation 849973 (4.7) 848892 (5.0) 881093 (7.0) 938488 (3.9) 912768 (7.4) 874494 (3.0) 895740 (1.7) 919040 (-2.1) 927506 (1.6)
Change in stocks 67160 (9.7) 68126 (12.3) 64908 (15.3) 74252 (41.4) 73118 (8.9) 72171 (5.9) 69029 (6.3) 76862 (3.5) 73979 (1.2)
Valuables 40244 (-13.6) 46978 (13.2) 44081 (9.1) 48972 (-11.0) 34687 (-13.8) 36783 (-21.7) 35273 (-20.0) 41958 (-14.3) 105716 (204.8)
Net trade (Export–import) -40536 -57914 -32963 -652 -25702 -23572 -22817 -10583 -101668
Exports 583423 (-6.1) 599072 (-4.4) 581297 (-8.7) 614896 (-1.6) 594947 (2.0) 608293 (1.5) 604510 (4.0) 678256 (10.3) 602159 (1.2)
Less imports 623959 (-5.8) 656986 (-3.7) 614260 (-10.0) 615548 (-3.7) 620649 (-0.5) 631865 (-3.8) 627327 (2.1) 688839 (11.9) 703827 (13.4)
Discrepancies 69359 53206 15159 30079 37601 36584 -40978 50689 33052
Gross domestic product (GDP) 2725873 (7.6) 2770097 (8.4) 2842737 (7.4) 3042294 (9.0) 2941846 (7.9) 2978817 (7.5) 3040763 (7.0) 3228427 (6.1) 3110145 (5.7)
Capital Markets 29 September Month Year Financial Year So Far 2016–17 End of Financial Year
2017 Ago Ago Trough Peak Trough Peak 2014–15 2015–16 2016–17
S&P BSE SENSEX (Base: 1978–79=100) 31814 (13.2) 31662 28106 (4.4) 29319 32575 24674 29649 27957 (24.9) 25342 (-9.4) 29621 (16.9)
S&P BSE-100 (Base: 1983–84=100) 10383 (15.4) 10331 9001 (8.6) 9439 10580 7656 9494 8607 (28.3) 7835 (-9.0) 9494 (21.2)
S&P BSE-200 (1989–90=100) 4370 (15.5) 4348 3785 (10.0) 3983 4457 3193 3992 3538 (31.9) 3259 (-7.9) 3992 (22.5)
CNX Nifty (Base: 3 Nov 1995=1000) 9980 (14.6) 9916 8710 (6.8) 9104 10153 7546 9174 8491 (26.7) 7738 (-8.9) 9174 (18.5)
Net FII Investment in equities ($ Million)* 173670 (0.2) 175292 173274 (4.4) - - - - 168116 (12.3) 166107 (-1.2) 174637 (5.1)
* = Cumulative total since November 1992 until period end | Figures in brackets are percentage variations over the specified or over the comparable period of the previous year | (-) = not relevant | - = not available | NS = new series | PE = provisional estimates
Comprehensive current economic statistics with regular weekly updates are available at: http://www.epwrf.in/currentstat.aspx.
Economic & Political Weekly EPW october 14, 2017 vol LII no 41 81
Secondary Market Transactions in Government Securities, Forex Market and Money Market—September 2017
82
CURRENT STATISTICS
1 Settlement Volume of Government Securities Transactions 2 Netting Factor 3 Instrument-wise Break-up of Securities Transactions (` Cr)
Settlement Outright Repo Daily Average (Outright) Daily Average (Repo) a Securities b Funds a Outright Trades b Repo
Period Number Volume Number Volume Number Volume Number Volume Gross Net Netting Gross Net Netting Central Govt Treasury State Central Govt Treasury State
of Trades (` Cr) of Trades (` Cr) of Trades (` Cr) of Trades (` Cr) (` Cr) (` Cr) Factor (%) (` Cr) (` Cr) Factor (%) Dated Bills Govt Dated Bills Govt
September 2017 82276 1109806 17797 2291542 3918 52848 809 104161 3401349 1359612 60.03 3501840 567525 83.79 920834 112996 75977 784840 285605 95605
September 2016 121160 1591699 13923 2229723 6058 79585 633 101351 3821422 1437215 62.39 4013979 591154 85.27 1423018 102166 66514 980902 89074 54190
2017–18* 498488 6541351 97267 12678316 4086 53618 726 94614 19219668 7867398 59.07 19812172 3310447 83.29 5562997 633065 345290 4470693 1429292 423092
2016–17* 719684 8846301 84059 11555312 5948 73110 627 86234 20566333 7527079 63.40 21258004 2873712 86.48 8033169 512534 300597 4745288 763293 298757
4 Tenor-wise Settlement Volume of Central 5 Deal Size Analysis (%) 6 Market Share of Top ‘n’ Securities (%)
Government Dated Securities Settlement Period < 5 Cr 5 Cr > 5 Cr <=10 Cr >10 Cr<=20 Cr > 20 Cr Period Sept 2017 Sept 2016 2017–18* 2016–17*
Year September 2017 2017–18* 2016–17* % to Total % to Total % to Total % to Total % to Total % to Total % to Total % to Total % to Total % to Total Top 5 78.79 74.61 69.88 70.41
2017 0 4718 (0.08) 91945 (1.15) Trades Value Trades Value Trades Value Trades Value Trades Value
Top 10 85.77 90.08 79.00 86.03
2018 2561 21970 (0.39) 66651 (0.83) September 2017 3.02 0.34 54.55 20.22 20.46 15.13 7.36 9.32 14.61 54.99 Top 15 89.41 93.21 84.04 90.69
2019 4701 33010 (0.59) 144363 (1.80) 2017–18* 3.55 0.42 54.16 20.64 21.42 16.29 7.28 9.46 13.58 53.20 Top 20 92.29 95.26 87.98 93.18
2020 29058 196346 (3.53) 614901 (7.68)
2021 7649 64389 (1.16) 150246 (1.88) 7 Intercategory Member Turnover Activity for All Category 8 Market Share of Top Five Members
2022 20849 200649 (3.61) 90125 (1.13) Buy Sell (Category-wise) (%)
Category Outright Reverse Repo CBLO Lending Uncollateralised Forex Outright Repo CBLO Borrowing Uncollateralised Forex Categories Sept 2017 Sept 2016 2017–18*
2023 38146 213089 (3.83) 668490 (8.35) (Funds Lending) Money Market Money Market
2024 23385 177512 (3.19) 267075 (3.34) Lending@ Borrowing@
Cooperative Banks 57.53 54.58 55.52
2025 28889 169234 (3.04) 418977 (5.23) Foreign Banks 82.89 83.90 80.91
Cooperative Banks 2.97 0.52 2.88 40.44 0.20 2.70 1.21 1.40 0.94 0.19
2026 19809 850857 (15.29) 2125841 (26.55) Public Sector Banks 63.96 44.46 61.22
Financial Institutions 0.14 0.65 0.23 - 0.00 0.23 0.53 11.54 - 0.00
2027 368869 1342408 (24.13) 45704 (0.57) Private Sector Banks 75.86 77.99 78.39
Foreign Banks 20.23 41.49 3.84 6.73 41.21 22.15 10.06 2.21 10.76 41.22
2028 6812 48935 (0.88) 31061 (0.39) Mutual Funds 53.85 60.22 54.66
Insurance Companies 2.63 3.23 11.91 - - 2.16 0.00 0.01 - -
2029 255385 1712611 (30.79) 1399619 (17.48) Primary Dealers 92.59 94.27 91.82
Mutual Funds 10.62 25.81 61.40 - - 10.95 0.09 20.70 - -
2030 10371 232510 (4.18) 1690990 (21.12) 9 Market Share of Top ‘n’ Members (%)
Others 2.28 0.00 11.04 - - 1.68 5.48 6.91 - -
2031 70743 70743 (1.27) 0 (0.00) Period Sept 2017 Sept 2016 2017–18* 2016–17*
Primary Dealers 15.43 3.69 0.03 0.00 - 17.08 29.18 3.75 29.77 -
2032 7210 28262 (0.51) 19650 (0.25) Top 5 29.06 29.92 28.81 31.55
Private Sector Banks 18.33 15.12 2.70 24.39 27.70 17.83 29.70 18.82 29.59 27.62
2033 11357 61528 (1.11) 13740 (0.17) Top 10 46.71 43.29 45.72 46.62
Public Sector Banks 27.37 9.49 5.97 28.43 30.89 25.22 23.75 34.66 28.94 30.96 Top 15 56.16 52.87 55.89 56.16
2034 6611 43488 (0.78) 46277 (0.58)
2035 813 8159 (0.15) 8324 (0.10) Total 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 Top 20 63.69 60.56 63.43 63.49
2036 55 4731 (0.09) 8839 (0.11)
10 Trading Platform Analysis of Outright Trades 12 Settlement Volume of Collateralised Borrowing and Lending Obligations (CBLO)
2037 0 0 (0.00) 0 (0.00)
Period OTC NDS-OM Period Overnight Term Total
2038 0 0 (0.00) 0 (0.00) Trades % Share Value (` Cr) % Share Trades % Share Value (` Cr) % Share Number Volume Number Volume Number Volume
2039 80 2702 (0.05) 4795 (0.06) September 2017 5847 6.98 275919 24.22 77941 93.02 863086 75.78 of Trades (` Crore) of Trades (` Crore) of Trades (` Crore)
2040 1254 3704 (0.07) 6527 (0.08) September 2017 15538 2219907 1377 157895 16915 2377802
September 2016 8070 6.68 238399 15.12 112656 93.32 1338105 84.88
2041 195 4400 (0.08) 4913 (0.06) 2017–18* 88055 11941849 10802 1369349 98857 13311198
2017–18* 38766 7.77 1696734 25.87 460371 92.23 4862030 74.13
OCTOBER 14, 2017
15 Forex Settlement
Settlement Period Cash Tom Spot Forward Total Average Netting Factor: Forex 16 Category-wise Forex Activity—Deal Type
Trades Value Trades Value Trades Value Trades Value Trades Value Trades Value Gross Net Netting Category Cash Tom Spot Forward
(` Cr) ($ Mn) (` Cr) ($ Mn) (` Cr) ($ Mn) (` Cr) ($ Mn) (` Cr) ($ Mn) (` Cr) ($ Mn) ($ Mn) ($ Mn) Factor (%)
Foreign Banks 39.08 43.62 40.12 44.09
September 2017 2508 478868 74256 4036 669758 103850 172547 1836406 285058 7006 512199 77515 186097 3497231 540679 9305 174862 27034 540679 21093 96.10 Public Sector Banks 26.24 25.07 34.10 31.59
2017–18* 15081 2866617 445290 23886 3867207 600633 928373 9689758 1504612 47822 3538224 527252 1015162 19961806 3077787 8531 167746 25864 3077787 127100 95.87 Private Sector Banks 34.59 31.25 25.48 24.25
17 Forex Deal Size Analysis (%) Cooperative Banks 0.08 0.07 0.30 0.07
Settlement Period < 1 mn 1 mn > 1 mn <= 5 mn > 5 mn <= 10 mn > 10 mn <= 20 mn > 20 mn Financial Institutions 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00
% to Total Trades % to Total Value % to Total Trades % to Total Value % to Total Trades % to Total Value % to Total Trades % to Total Value % to Total Trades % to Total Value % to Total Trades % to Total Value
Economic & Political Weekly
September 2017 29.71 4.63 47.63 16.39 12.13 9.88 0.45 1.12 0.68 3.43 9.40 64.54
2017–18* 32.44 4.88 43.95 14.50 11.77 9.20 0.49 1.16 0.76 3.68 10.60 66.59
20 Forex Trading Platform: FX Clear
(Amount in $)
18 Market Share—Forex (%) 19 Tenor-wise Forward Trade Analysis (%) Period Spot Daily Average
Period September 2017 September 2016 2017–18* 2016–17* Settlement Period < 30 Days > 30 Days & <= 90 Days > 90 Days & <= 180 Days > 180 Days & <= 365 Days > 1 Year Trades Value Trades Value