Mean, m 30 Cumulative Probability

Standard Deviation, s 10 xmin 25

Graph Limits
zmin -4 Pr(x<xmin) 30.85%
zmax 4

0.045

0.04

z x f(x) F(x) 0.035

-4 -10 1.338E-05 3.167E-05
-3.8 -8 2.919E-05 7.235E-05 0.03
-3.6 -6 6.119E-05 0.000159
-3.4 -4 0.000123 0.000337 0.025
-3.2 -2 0.000238 0.000687
-3 0 0.000443 0.00135 0.02
-2.8 2 0.000792 0.002555
-2.6 4 0.001358 0.004661 0.015
-2.4 6 0.002239 0.008198
-2.2 8 0.003547 0.013903 0.01
-2 10 0.005399 0.02275
-1.8 12 0.007895 0.03593 0.005
-1.6 14 0.011092 0.054799
-1.4 16 0.014973 0.080757 0
-1.2 18 0.019419 0.11507 -20 -10 0 10 20
-1 20 0.024197 0.158655
-0.8 22 0.028969 0.211855
-0.6 24 0.033322 0.274253
-0.4 26 0.036827 0.344578
-0.2 28 0.039104 0.42074
1.277E-15 30 0.039894 0.5
0.2 32 0.039104 0.57926
0.4 34 0.036827 0.655422
0.6 36 0.033322 0.725747
0.8 38 0.028969 0.788145
1 40 0.024197 0.841345
1.2 42 0.019419 0.88493
1.4 44 0.014973 0.919243
1.6 46 0.011092 0.945201
1.8 48 0.007895 0.96407
2 50 0.005399 0.97725
2.2 52 0.003547 0.986097
2.4 54 0.002239 0.991802
2.6 56 0.001358 0.995339
2.8 58 0.000792 0.997445
 3 60 0.000443 0.99865
3.2 62 0.000238 0.999313
3.4 64 0.000123 0.999663
3.6 66 6.119E-05 0.999841
3.8 68 2.919E-05 0.999928
4 70 1.338E-05 0.999968

z x f(x) F(x)
-4 -10 1.338E-05
-9.125 1.892E-05
-8.25 2.654E-05
-7.375 3.695E-05
-6.5 5.105E-05
0.045 -5.625 7E-05
0.04 -4.75 9.522E-05
0.035
0.03
-3.875 0.000129
0.025 -3 0.000172
0.02 -2.125 0.000229
0.015
-1.25 0.000302
0.01
0.005
-0.375 0.000396
0 0.5 0.000514
-20 -10 0 1.375
10 20 0.000663
30 40 50 60 70 80

2.25 0.000849
3.125 0.001078
4 0.001358
4.875 0.001699
5.75 0.002108
6.625 0.002597
7.5 0.003174
8.375 0.00385
9.25 0.004634
10.125 0.005535
11 0.006562
11.875 0.007719
12.75 0.009011
13.625 0.010439
14.5 0.012001
15.375 0.013692
16.25 0.015501
17.125 0.017416
18 0.019419
18.875 0.021486
19.75 0.023592
20.625 0.025707
21.5 0.027798
22.375 0.02983
23.25 0.031767
24.125 0.033571
 25 0.035207

z x f(x)
4 70 1.338E-05
68.25 2.654E-05
66.5 5.105E-05
64.75 9.522E-05
0.045 63 0.000172
0.04 61.25 0.000302
0.035
59.5 0.000514
0.03
0.025 57.75 0.000849
0.02 56 0.001358
0.015 54.25 0.002108
0.01
0.005
52.5 0.003174
0 50.75 0.004634
-20 -10 0 49 20
10 0.006562
30 40 50 60 70 80

47.25 0.009011
45.5 0.012001
43.75 0.015501
42 0.019419
40.25 0.023592
38.5 0.027798
36.75 0.031767
35 0.035207
33.25 0.037842
31.5 0.039448
29.75 0.039882
28 0.039104
26.25 0.037186
24.5 0.034294
22.75 0.030674
21 0.026609
19.25 0.022386
17.5 0.018265
15.75 0.014453
14 0.011092
12.25 0.008256
10.5 0.005959
8.75 0.004172
7 0.002833
5.25 0.001865
3.5 0.001191
1.75 0.000738
0 0.000443

z x f(x) F(x)
25 0.035207
24.375 0.034057
23.75 0.032816
0.045 23.125 0.031497
0.04
0.035
0.03
0.025
0.02
0.015
0.01
0.005
 0.045
0.04 22.5 0.030114
0.035
21.875 0.028679
0.03
0.025
21.25 0.027205
0.02 20.625 0.025707
0.015 20 0.024197
0.01
19.375 0.022687
0.005
0
18.75 0.021188
-20 -10 0 18.125
10 20 0.019711
30 40 50 60 70 80
17.5 0.018265
16.875 0.016859
16.25 0.015501
15.625 0.014197
15 0.012952
14.375 0.01177
13.75 0.010654
13.125 0.009606
12.5 0.008628
11.875 0.007719
11.25 0.006879
10.625 0.006106
10 0.005399
9.375 0.004755
8.75 0.004172
8.125 0.003646
7.5 0.003174
6.875 0.002752
6.25 0.002377
5.625 0.002045
5 0.001753
4.375 0.001496
3.75 0.001272
3.125 0.001078
2.5 0.000909
1.875 0.000764
1.25 0.00064
0.625 0.000534
0 0.000443

z x f(x)
-4 -10 1.338E-05
-9.875 1.407E-05
-9.75 1.479E-05
-9.625 1.554E-05
-9.5 1.633E-05
-9.375 1.715E-05
-9.25 1.801E-05
-9.125 1.892E-05
-9 1.987E-05
-8.875 2.086E-05
 -8.75 2.189E-05
-8.625 2.298E-05
-8.5 2.411E-05
-8.375 2.53E-05
-8.25 2.654E-05
-8.125 2.784E-05
-8 2.919E-05
-7.875 3.061E-05
-7.75 3.209E-05
-7.625 3.364E-05
-7.5 3.526E-05
-7.375 3.695E-05
-7.25 3.871E-05
-7.125 4.055E-05
-7 4.248E-05
-6.875 4.449E-05
-6.75 4.658E-05
-6.625 4.877E-05
-6.5 5.105E-05
-6.375 5.343E-05
-6.25 5.591E-05
-6.125 5.849E-05
-6 6.119E-05
-5.875 6.4E-05
-5.75 6.693E-05
-5.625 7E-05
-5.5 7.317E-05
-5.375 7.648E-05
-5.25 7.993E-05
-5.125 8.353E-05
-5 8.727E-05
-4.875 9.116E-05
-4.75 9.522E-05
-4.625 9.944E-05
-4.5 0.000104
-4.375 0.000108
-4.25 0.000113
-4.125 0.000118
-4 0.000123
-3.875 0.000129
-3.75 0.000134
-3.625 0.00014
-3.5 0.000146
-3.375 0.000152
-3.25 0.000159
-3.125 0.000165
-3 0.000172
-2.875 0.000179
-2.75 0.000187
-2.625 0.000195
 -2.5 0.000203
-2.375 0.000211
-2.25 0.00022
-2.125 0.000229
-2 0.000238
-1.875 0.000248
-1.75 0.000258
-1.625 0.000269
-1.5 0.000279
-1.375 0.000291
-1.25 0.000302
-1.125 0.000314
-1 0.000327
-0.875 0.00034
-0.75 0.000353
-0.625 0.000367
-0.5 0.000381
-0.375 0.000396
-0.25 0.000411
-0.125 0.000427
0 0.000443
e Probability

0.045

0.04

0.035

0.03

0.025

0.02

0.015

0.01

0.005

0
0 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80
 Number of Probability that demand
Rooms Q is less than Q
PRICES
Low Price 159 1 0.0018658133
High Price 225 2 0.0025551303
Price Difference 66 3 0.0034669738
4 0.004661188
Critical ratio 0.2933333333 5 0.0062096653
6 0.0081975359
DISTRIBUTION OF HIGH DEMAND CUSTOMERS 7 0.01072411
Mean 30 8 0.0139034475
Standard deviation 10 9 0.0178644206
10 0.0227501319
Total Number of Rooms 118 11 0.0287165598
12 0.0359303191
13 0.0445654628
14 0.0547992917
15 0.0668072013
16 0.0807566592
17 0.0968004846
18 0.1150696702
NO SHOW FORECAST 19 0.1356660609
Mean 9 20 0.1586552539
Standard Deviation 3 21 0.1840601253
22 0.2118553986
23 0.2419636522
24 0.2742531178
25 0.3085375387
26 0.3445782584
27 0.3820885778
28 0.4207402906
29 0.4601721627
30 0.5
31 0.5398278373
32 0.5792597094
33 0.6179114222
34 0.6554217416
35 0.6914624613
36 0.7257468822
37 0.7580363478
38 0.7881446014
39 0.8159398747
40 0.8413447461
41 0.8643339391
42 0.8849303298
43 0.9031995154
44 0.9192433408
45 0.9331927987
46 0.9452007083
47 0.9554345372
48 0.9640696809
 49 0.9712834402
50 0.9772498681
51 0.9821355794
52 0.9860965525
53 0.98927589
54 0.9918024641
55 0.9937903347
56 0.995338812
57 0.9965330262
58 0.9974448697
59 0.9981341867
60 0.998650102
61 0.9990323968
62 0.9993128621
63 0.9995165759
64 0.9996630707
65 0.9997673709
66 0.9998408914
67 0.9998922003
68 0.999927652
69 0.9999519037
70 0.9999683288
71 0.9999793425
72 0.9999866543
73 0.9999914601
74 0.9999945875
75 0.9999966023
76 0.9999978875
77 0.9999986992
78 0.9999992067
79 0.9999995208
80 0.9999997133
81 0.9999998302
82 0.9999999004
83 0.9999999421
84 0.9999999667
85 0.999999981
86 0.9999999893
87 0.999999994
88 0.9999999967
89 0.9999999982
90 0.999999999
91 0.9999999995
92 0.9999999997
93 0.9999999999
94 0.9999999999
95 1
96 1
97 1
98 1
99 1
100 1
101 1
102 1
103 1
104 1
105 1
106 1
107 1
108 1
109 1
110 1
111 1
112 1
113 1
114 1
115 1
116 1
117 1
118 1
 Probability that
Number of hotel will turn
Overbooked down X
rooms X customers

1 0.00383
2 0.009815
3 0.02275
4 0.04779
5 0.091211
6 0.158655
7 0.252493
8 0.369441
9 0.5
10 0.630559
11 0.747507
12 0.841345
13 0.908789
14 0.95221
15 0.97725
16 0.990185
17 0.99617
18 0.99865
19 0.999571
20 0.999877
21 0.999968
22 0.999993
23 0.999998
24 1
25 1