Vous êtes sur la page 1sur 2

MEMORANDUM

TO: INTERESTED PARTIES


FROM: CHRIS PERKINS – PARTNER
SUBJECT: TENNESSEE STATEWIDE SURVEY RESULTS
DATE: FEBRUARY 19, 2018

On behalf of American Future Fund Political Action, Ragnar Research Partners conducted a
scientific survey among n=926 Likely Republican Primary Voters across Tennessee.
Interviews were conducted February 14-19, 2018 by telephone, including landlines and cell
phones. The margin of error for this study is +3%.

Blackburn Outperforms Corker In the Republican Primary


Marsha Blackburn is viewed favorably by nearly half of Republican voters (47%) and has
ample room to grow with around 2 in 5 who either don’t recognize her or who do recognize
her but haven’t formed an opinion yet (16% & 20%). In contrast, a majority of Republican
primary voters are split on Corker (39% favorable, 41% unfavorable), leaving only 1 in 5
who have yet to form an opinion. This translates into a 19-point lead for Blackburn on the
primary ballot.

Question: Now I am going to read you a list of names of people or groups of people. After I read each one,
please tell me if you have (ROTATE) an unfavorable or a favorable (END ROTATION) impression of that
person or group. If I read you one you have never heard of, just tell me and we’ll move on to the next one.

RAGNARRESEARCH.COM
Question: If the Republican Primary Election for the U.S. Senate were held today, would you vote for
(ROTATE) Marsha Blackburn or Bob Corker? IF CHOICE, ASK: And, would you definitely vote for (Marsha
Blackburn / Bob Corker), or just probably? IF UNDECIDED/NOT SURE, ASK: If you had to decide today, would
you lean more toward (ROTATE) Marsha Blackburn or Bob Corker?

Conclusion
Marsha Blackburn has a strong lead in a hypothetical matchup versus Senator Bob Corker
among Republican primary voters (+19). Her lead is significant among self-identified
conservatives (70% of Republican primary voters) and her image (fav/unfav) is in a much
stronger position than Senator Corker’s. (+31 for Blackburn versus -2 for Corker).

Furthermore, Blackburn has room to grow, as 36% of Republicans don’t know her or
haven’t formed an opinion of her. The opportunity especially exists in East Tennessee
where her ballot lead is only +7, compared to middle Tennessee and west Tennessee
(areas she has represented in the House) where her ballot lead is +24 and +31 respectively.

As Blackburn becomes more known across the state, she has the opportunity to build upon
her already strong image and solidity Republican support heading into the 2018 general
election.

RAGNARRESEARCH.COM