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Submitted By;
Amritha K.R (FM-1414)
AlmaBaby (FM-1410)
Aishwarya Jayachandran (FM-1427)
Gokul Dutt (FM-1400)
Neya Joseph (FM-1419)
Anand Balachandran (FM-1404)
Introduction
International trade is the exchange of capital, goods, and services across international
bordersor territories. It is the exchange of goods and services among nations of the world.[1] In
most countries, such trade represents a significant share of gross domestic product (GDP). While
international trade has existed throughout history (for example Uttarapatha, Silk Road, Amber
Road, scramble for Africa, Atlantic slave trade, salt roads), its economic, social, and political
importance has been on the rise in recent centuries.
Definition of Global Trade. Global trade, also known as international trade, is simply the
import and export of goods and services across international boundaries. Goods and services that
enter into a country for sale are called imports.
cultural, and economic environment. The concept of International trade is a complex, because
the environment in which it operates is constantly changing. Firstly, the businesses are
constantly pushing the frontiers of economic growth, technology, culture, and politics which
also will result in the change of the surrounding global society and global economic context.
Secondly, factors external to international trade (e.g., developments in science and information
technology) are constantly forcing international trade to change how they operate. International
trade will work properly only if it can adapt to the changes easily which is happening in the
environment.
2) Transfer of Technology:
Technology transfer is the process by which commercial technology is disseminated. This will
take the form of a technology transfer transaction, but which will involve the communication,
by the transferor, of the relevant knowledge to the recipient. It also includes non-commercial
developed and developing states. Such agreements may relate to infrastructure or agricultural
America especially) has impacted international trade in every way. The emerging markets have
simultaneously increased the potential size and worth of current major international trade while
also facilitates the emergence of a whole new generation of innovative companies. These
emerging markets play a significant role in international trade as these markets will help to
increase the revenue of the world trade and develop the developing and under developed
economies.
The WTO is forecasting that global trade will expand by 2.4% in 2017; however, as deep
uncertainty about near-term economic and policy developments raise the forecast risk, this
figure is placed within a range of 1.8% to 3.6%. In 2018, the WTO is forecasting trade growth
between 2.1% and 4%. This is up from a very weak 1.3% in 2016, as global GDP growth rises
to 2.7% this year from 2.3% last year.
In India, during January 2017, exports continue to show a positive growth of 4.32 per cent in
dollar terms (valued at US$ 22115.03 million) and 5.61 per cent in Rupee terms (valued at
Rs.150559.98 crore) as compared to US$ 21199.02 million (Rs.142568.31 crore) during
January 2016. Imports during January 2017 were valued at US$ 31955.94 million
(Rs.217557.32 crore) which was 10.70 per cent higher in Dollar terms and 12.07 per cent higher
in Rupee terms over the level of imports valued at US$ 28866.53 million (Rs.194134.02 crore)
in January, 2016.
Merchandise exports and imports of India
Source: https://www.wto.org/english/news_e/pres17_e/pr791_e.htm
In 2016, world merchandise exports were valued at US$ 15.46 trillion, down 3.3% from the
previous year. All regions recorded declines in exports, with the largest drop reported by the
Commonwealth of Independent States (-16.2%). On the import side Europe saw a small increase
of 0.2%, while all other regions recorded declines. The chart shows year-on-year growth in
monthly exports and imports of selected major traders through February. Trade values are
clearly recovering in the early months of 2017, but whether this growth can be sustained
throughout the year remains to be seen. Much of the increase can be explained by weakness in
trade growth in the previous year rather than strong growth in the current year.
Developing economies suffered a sharp 3% decline in imports in the first quarter, equivalent to
an annualized drop of 11.6%, but growth resumed in the second quarter and losses were
recovered by the end of the year. Meanwhile developed economies' imports continued to grow
but at a reduced pace. The weakness of imports was reflected on the export side in slow growth
of shipments from both developed and developing countries.
For the year, imports of developed countries grew 2.0% while those of developing economies
stagnated at 0.2%. Exports recorded modest growth in both developed and developing
countries, 1.4% in the former and 1.3% in the latter.
Source: https://www.wto.org/english/news_e/pres17_e/pr791_e.htm
Source: https://www.wto.org/english/news_e/pres17_e/pr791_e.htm
The chart shows the contributions to world trade volume growth by region. Despite positive
growth in its exports and imports, North America was one of the biggest contributors to the
weakness of world imports in 2016. This is illustrated by the chart, which shows regional
contributions to world trade volume growth. In 2015, North American imports added 1.2
percentage points to world import growth of 2.9%, or 42% of the total increase. By contrast,
the region only contributed 0.1 percentage points to world import growth of 1.2% last year.
Asia and Europe were the only regions making significant positive contributions to global
import demand in 2016, with Europe contributing 1.6 percentage points (39% of the total
increase) and Asia adding 1.9 percentage points (49% of the total).
The use of electronic means and the internet can make the process of initiating and doing trade
a lot easier, faster, and less expensive.
With e-commerce applications, a whole range of activities can occur without having buyer and
seller in close physical proximity. In this respect, the internet will likely promote trade much in
the same way as lifting other trade barriers would.
The participants to the summit endorsed this year’s new initiatives, including the G20 SMART
innovation initiative, development of green financing and investment markets and
establishment of the Electronic World Trade Platform (eWTP).
In Hangzhou, China, recommended to build an Electronic World Trade Platform (eWTP),
which would bring together businesses, other stakeholders, international organizations and
governments to share ideas on making electronic commerce more inclusive.The related
discussions had revolved around how digital technology can help small and medium sized
enterprises (SMEs), thereby making the trading system more inclusive and pro-development.
2. The International Chamber of Commerce (ICC) also recently concluded an event in
collaboration with the WTO and the private sector on the role of trade policy in accelerating the
growth of ecommerce and the digital economy around the world.
Director General of WTO, Roberto Azevêdo, stated that e-commerce is a transformative force
in global trade, supporting growth, development, job creation and inclusion. He further stated
that the developed, developing and least-developed Members of WTO are growing increasingly
interested in e-commerce and the digital economy.
3. ITC actively supports SMEs in acquiring the necessary skills and capabilities to trade through
e-commerce channels.
•E-solutions programme
E-Solutions help enterprises (and in particular SMEs) successfully take part in digital trade by
acquiring necessary capabilities that are not readily accessible, affordable or understood by
smaller enterprises in developing or least developed countries.
•Virtual Market Places (VMP) project
This project strengthens the skills of SMEs in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region
to effectively use new technologies to enhance their visibility on international markets and
increase their business and market share.
There are an increasing number of ITC projects which help businesses grow using e-commerce
channels.
Top 10 countries with retail E-commerce
TRADE IN SERVICES
International Trade can be split into two categories: trade in goods and trade in services.
International trade in goods involves the movement of objects between countries and across
borders. A good is tangible object.
International Trade in Services- which cannot be seen or touched. Like Banking Services,
tourism services or telecommunication services. Records the value of services exchanged
between residents and non-residents of an economy, including services provided through
affiliates established abroad. It is measured in million USD and percentage of GDP for exports,
imports and net trade. Trade in services drives the exchange of ideas, know-how and technology
it is restricted to barriers such as domestic regulations.
Modes of Supply
The GATS covers governmental measures that would influence trade in any and all services
(excluding services supplied in the exercise of governmental authority). The GATS defines
155 service sectors based on categories developed by the GATT Secretariat, and specifies four
modes of trade in services:
(a) Consumption abroad (supply of services in the territory of one Member to a service
consumer of another Member);
(b) Commercial presence (supply of services by a service supplier of one Member through
commercial presence in the territory of another Member
(c) Presence of natural persons (supply of services by a service supplier of one Member
through the presence of natural persons of that Member in the territory of another Member
Figure 3 Values and growth rates of world trade in goods and services
International trade can be broadly distinguished between trade in goods (merchandise) and
services. The bulk of international trade concerns physical goods, while services account
for a much lower share. World trade in goods has increased dramatically over the last
decade, rising from about $10 trillion in 2005 to more than $18.5 trillion in 2014 to then
fall to about $16 trillion in 2015. Trade in services greatly increased between 2005 and
2015 (from about $2.5 trillion to almost $5 trillion). The value of international trade of
both goods and services declined substantially in 2015 (figure 1a). Following the strong
rebound in 2010 and 2011, export growth rates (in current dollars) are now at much lower
level than in the pre-crisis period and were negative for 2015, both for developing and
developed countries (figure 1b).
Since 2005 the volume of international trade of goods has increased dramatically.
However, growth has slowed down significantly in the last few years and virtually
stalled in 2015. In particular, while export volumes from developing countries had
been growing at rates of more than 10 per cent per year between 2003 and 2008, the
figure for 2015 was about one per cent. Moreover, volumes of trade fell for many
countries both in terms of imports and exports, including in China.
The value of trade in goods is virtually equal in developing and developed countries.
On the other hand, about two thirds of trade in services originated from developed
countries. BRICS account for an important share of trade in goods and services.
LDCs continue to account for a very small share in overall trade. In 2015 the value
of world trade has declined both for developed and developing countries.
Figure 5 Values of trade in goods and services by region
Developed countries' relative importance as suppliers in international markets is declining.
Still, they account for about half of the value of exports of goods and about two thirds of
exports of services. In 2015 developed countries' exports of goods was about $8 trillion
(figure 3a), while that of services added up to about $3 trillion (figure 3b). In 2015,
developing countries' trade sum up to about $8 trillion in regard to goods and about $2
trillion in regard to services. In 2015 BRICS exported about $3 trillion in goods and about
$500 billion in services. LDCs' contribution to world trade remains minimal, although
some increases in exports and imports of these countries have been recorded over the past
decade.
A very large part of world trade is clustered around three regions: North America,
Europe and East Asia. Other regions' contribution to world trade is much lower.
During 2015 trade declined in all regions across all trade flows, however with some
differences. Trade flows declined the most in relation to the transition economies.
Trade from and to North America has was relatively more resilient.
Figure 6 Trade flows across regions
The trade network map (Figure 4) illustrates the importance of trade between and within
regions, as well as the trade decline between 2014 and 2015. The width of the
corresponding lines reflects the magnitude of trade in 2015, whereas the size of the nodes
reflects total trade for each of the regions. The colours of both the lines and the nodes
reflect percentage drops in the value of trade between 2014 and 2015, darker colours
indicating greater declines. As of 2015, world trade continues to be largely concentrated
in three main regions: North America, East Asia and Europe, with a large share of trade
being intraregional. In 2015, trade declined in regard to all regions and all bilateral trade
flows. However, the value of trade declined substantially more for the transition
economies, Latin America, sub-Saharan Africa, and for Europe, especially in regard to
trade within the European Union. International trade was relatively more resilient for East
Asia and North American countries.
International trade in goods is increasingly linked to imports and exports of
developing countries. South– South trade has promptly rebounded from pre-crisis
levels, and reached almost $5.5 trillion in 2014. In 2015 it declined to about $4.6
trillion. Among the widespread trade downturn of 2015, developing countries' trade
with China has been more resilient, showing increases in most cases.
The increase in world trade between 2004 and 2014 was largely driven by the rise of trade
between developing countries (South–South) (figure 5a). By 2014, the value of South–
South trade had reached almost $5.5 trillion, a magnitude close to that of trade between
developed countries (North–North). The substantial decline in trade in 2015 was evenly
widespread between the trade flows of developing and developed countries. Figure 5b
denotes the contribution of South–South trade over total trade and further decomposes it
among intraregional flows related to China and other South–South trade. The significance
of South–South trade flows for developing countries is evident when considering that in
recent years, they represented more than half the trade of developing country regions
(imports and exports). South–South trade share varies by region, from about 40 per cent in
Latin America to almost 70 per cent in South Asia and East Asia. Although a certain
proportion of South–South trade encompasses intraregional flows, an important part
involves trade with China. Since 2005, China has become an increasingly important
partner for all other developing country regions. Trade with China more more resilient in
2015, while a large part of the trade downturn was related to other South–South flows.
Although they experienced a consistent decline in 2015, intermediate products still
represent a substantial part of world trade (about $7 trillion in 2015). During 2015
trade in primary products declined substantially due to lower commodity prices and
now stands at about $2.5 trillion. Trade in consumer and capital products was more
resilient, falling slightly in 2015. These flows were valued at about $4 trillion and $2.5
trillion, respectively. Differentiated by broad category, world trade in goods is largely
comprised of manufacturing products (about $12.5 trillion). Trade in agriculture,
although relatively small, was more resilient to the trade downturn of 2015.
Figure 8 Values of world trade in goods by stage of processing and broad category
International trade in goods can be differentiated by stage of processing, depending on
their intended use along the production chain. Goods are therefore classified as primary,
intermediates, consumer and capital (the latter comprising machinery used for the
production of other goods). Goods can also be differentiated by broad category, including
natural resources, agriculture and manufacturing. With regard to the stage of processing,
although there was a substantial contraction in 2015, intermediate products continued to
make up the bulk of world trade (Figure 6a). Trade in consumer and capital products
represent another important share of world trade. In 2015, the value of trade in these two
categories declined, but only marginally so. Trade in primary products was greatly affected
by the 2015 trade downturn, as in 2015 their value was at about $2.6 trillion. With a value
of over $12 trillion in 2015, trade in manufacturing goods held a dominant position over
trade in natural resources and agricultural products. Trade in agriculture was somewhat
more resilient than the rest of world trade (Figure 6b).
Trade related to developed countries remains an important part of international
trade, especially in relation to imports. Participation in international trade varies
significantly among developing regions. BRICS countries account for an important
part of developing countries' trade, especially with respect to trade in intermediates
and exports of consumer products. The participation of other developing country
regions in world trade, both as importers and exporters, is more limited.
Figure 9 Values of world trade in goods by region, stage of processing and broad category
Developed countries account for the bulk of world trade, both in terms of goods
differentiated by stage of processing and broad category (figure 7a, b). Besides other
developing country regions, a significant amount of trade is linked to BRICS, especially
in relation to the trade of intermediates and manufacturing. They also tend to import few
consumer goods while exporting a relatively large share. Developing countries tend to
export more natural resources than they import, unlike developed countries. LDCs only
represent a small share in all types of goods, with a larger share in the exports of primary
products and the imports of manufacturing goods.
With almost $2 trillion traded, chemicals represent a substantial share of world trade
in goods. Other significant sectors include machinery, communications equipment
and motor vehicles. In 2015, the value of international trade shrank in all sectors, but
more so in the energy categories (oil, gas, coal and petroleum products). During the
last decade, export market shares have moved to the advantage of developing
countries in all sectors and more so in regard to communications equipment, non-
metallic minerals and machinery.
Figure 10 Values of world trade in goods by sectors
Figure 8a displays the value of world trade in 25 categories of goods. In terms of value, a
large amount of world trade relates to energy products (oil, gas, coal and petroleum
products), chemicals, machinery, communications equipment and motor vehicles. In
contrast, light manufacturing sectors, including textiles, apparel and tanning, comprised a
much smaller share of world trade. Agricultural sectors – which include food, vegetable
and animal products, as well as oils and fats, and tobacco and beverages – accounted for a
total of over $1.5 trillion of trade flows, or less than 10 per cent of international trade.
While the value of trade increased in all sectors between 2005 and 2014, it sharply fell in
2015, especially in energy products and basic metals. During the last decade, developing
countries' presence in international markets has increased substantially compared with
developed countries. Their export market share has increased across all sectors (figure 8b),
and in particular in machinery, non-metallic minerals and communications equipment.