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The H ass Property

INDEX
HOUSE PRICE INDEX
QUARTER ONE REPORT
2016

Housing market records double digit growth


for the first time in 5 years
• House prices continued the upward cycle to record a 4.2 per cent growth on the quarter and 14.6 per cent increase over
the year - the first double digit annual growth rate since 2011
• Highest house price increases in Q1 2016 were experienced in Langata at 5.4 per cent, Karen at 5.2 per cent, Athi River
at 4.9 per cent, Ruiru at 4.5 per cent and Muthaiga and Kitisuru at 4.4 and 4.3 per cent respectively
• Rents rises continued to be subdued in the first quarter with a marginal increase of 1.5 per cent bringing the annual
growth to just 5.5 per cent
• Semi-detached houses appeared to buck the trend recording a strong annual rent rise of 17.1 per cent
• Apartment dense suburbs saw rent price corrections with Westlands recording the highest drop in asking rents at 2.5
per cent followed by Syokimau recording a similar 2.3 per cent drop in the same period

Property Index Highlights:

The Hass Composite Sales Index Quarter % Change Annual % Change Change From 2007

All Properties 4.2% 14.6% 2.26 Fold

Suburb with Highest Quarterly Increase in Sales Price Langata ( +5.4% over last quarter)

Suburb with Highest Annual Increase in Sales Price Athi River ( +19.6% over last year)

Suburb with Lowest Quarterly Increase in Sales Price Kilimani ( -1.1% over last quarter)

Suburb with Lowest Annual Increase in Sales Price Kilimani (+0.5% over last year)

The Hass Composite Rental Index Quarter % Change Annual % Change Change From 2007

All Properties 1.5% 5.5% 1.73 Fold

Suburb with Highest Quarterly Increase in Rental Price Athi River (+4.8% over last quarter)

Suburb with Highest Annual Increase in Rental Price Ruiru (+16.1% over last year)

Suburb with Lowest Quarterly Increase in Rental Price Westlands (-2.5% over last quarter)

Suburb with Lowest Annual Increase in Rental Price Westlands (-0.8% over last year)
* The Hass Composite Indices is a measure of advertised prices, based on a Mix Adjusted Methodology

HassConsult Limited | ABC Place, Waiyaki Way | P.O. Box 14090 - 00800 Nairobi, Kenya www.hassconsult.co.ke
T: +254 20 4446914 | F: +254 20 4447200 | M: 0722 204 764/5; 0733 629 786 | E: info@hassconsult.co.ke
The H ass Property

INDEX
HOUSE PRICE INDEX
QUARTER ONE REPORT
2016

Nairobi, April 18th, 2016: HassConsult today unveiled property price trends for the first quarter of 2016,
showing an upward trend in house prices, while rents remain relatively subdued.
Asking prices for houses increased by 4.2 per cent in the first quarter of 2016, and 14.6 per cent on a year earlier.
This is the very first time the market has shown a double digit annual growth in five years. Against a backdrop of
economic uncertainty and market volatility, this is a clear sign that investors are looking for more consistent
asset channels and are looking to the stability of the property market.
“There has been increased demand for residential property since the beginning of the year, catalysed by the
poor performance of alternative asset classes such as stocks. Investors are also shying away from assets such as
fixed deposits in light of the perceived turmoil in the financial sector,” said Ms. Sakina Hassanali, Head of
Research and Marketing at HassConsult.
Asking rents in Nairobi rebounded by a marginal 1.5 per cent in the first quarter attributable to growth in
suburbs that are characterised by detached and semi-detached houses such as Loresho and Lavington up 3.4
per cent and 2.9 per cent respectively. Semi-detached houses across the market recorded sharp rent rises of 1.3
per cent over the last quarter and 17.1 per cent over the last year.
The increased supply of apartments continues to supress rents in areas dominated by them with Westlands
reporting a 2.5 per cent drop in rental asking prices. The same trend was observed in satellite towns with
apartment heavy suburbs recording some correction in rental prices. Syokimau, for example, witnessed a 2.3
per cent drop in asking rents between January and March 2016.

For more information, please contact:

Sakina Hassanali

Head of Research & Marketing

HassConsult Limited | ABC Place, Waiyaki Way | P.O. Box 14090 - 00800 Nairobi, Kenya www.hassconsult.co.ke
T: +254 20 4446914 | F: +254 20 4447200 | M: 0722 204 764/5; 0733 629 786 | E: info@hassconsult.co.ke
The H ass Property

INDEX
HOUSE PRICE INDEX
QUARTER ONE REPORT
2016

Sales Prices Rental Prices

Nairobi Suburbs Quarter Annual Change Quarter Annual Change


Property Index % Change % Change From 2007 % Change % Change From 2007

Donholm -0.1 % 0.7 % 3.23 FOLD -0.4 % 5.4 % 1.75 FOLD


Eastleigh 1.3 % 9.2 % 2.95 FOLD 1.2 % 7.5 % 2.57 FOLD
Gigiri 2.9 % 11.5 % 2.43 FOLD 0.2 % 0.7 % 1.84 FOLD
Karen 5.2 % 17.7 % 2.86 FOLD 0.3 % 4.0 % 1.74 FOLD
Kileleshwa 1.1 % 5.9 % 2.38 FOLD 0.8 % 6.0 % 2.13 FOLD
Kilimani -1.1 % 0.5 % 2.50 FOLD 1.4 % 3.1 % 1.72 FOLD
Kitisuru 4.3 % 6.0 % 2.48 FOLD 0.0 % 4.5 % 2.60 FOLD
Langata 5.4 % 15.9 % 3.28 FOLD 1.7 % 3.3 % 1.74 FOLD
Lavington 2.0 % 8.6 % 2.32 FOLD 2.9 % 9.7 % 2.29 FOLD
Loresho 3.8 % 13.6 % 2.05 FOLD 3.4 % 7.0 % 2.42 FOLD
Muthaiga 4.4 % 9.9 % 1.78 FOLD 1.3 % 6.0 % 2.56 FOLD
Nyari 2.5 % 6.9 % 2.10 FOLD -0.7 % -0.1 % 1.68 FOLD
Parklands 2.1 % 5.9 % 2.75 FOLD 1.2 % 3.6 % 2.05 FOLD
Ridgeways 0.5 % 8.4 % 2.33 FOLD 1.2 % 0.1 % 2.00 FOLD
Runda 3.5 % 3.2 % 2.89 FOLD -0.1 % 0.6 % 1.70 FOLD
Spring Valley 2.0 % 8.1 % 2.04 FOLD 1.1 % 2.2 % 1.78 FOLD
Upperhill 0.3 % 5.7 % 3.07 FOLD 1.3 % 3.2 % 3.16 FOLD
Westlands 0.4 % 4.8 % 2.48 FOLD -2.5 % -0.8 % 2.29 FOLD

Sales Prices Rental Prices

Nairobi Satellite Town Quarter Annual Change Quarter Annual Change


Property Index % Change % Change From 2007 % Change % Change From 2007

Athi River 4.9 % 19.6 % 2.38 FOLD 4.8 % 12.9 % 1.59 FOLD
Juja 1.7 % 5.3 % 2.65 FOLD 3.4 % 10.0 % 2.40 FOLD
Kiambu 1.9 % 11.3 % 2.51 FOLD -0.8 % 8.7 % 2.20 FOLD
Kiserian 3.7 % 12.1 % 2.45 FOLD -0.3 % 1.7 % 2.33 FOLD
Kitengela 2.6 % 7.6 % 2.22 FOLD 0.1 % 8.8 % 1.91 FOLD
Limuru 0.5 % 5.5 % 2.21 FOLD 1.6 % 8.7 % 1.88 FOLD
Mlolongo 2.2 % 8.1 % 1.67 FOLD 1.9 % 11.3 % 2.14 FOLD
Ngong 2.8 % 7.3 % 2.15 FOLD 2.3 % 14.5 % 2.07 FOLD
Ongata Rongai 3.0 % 8.3 % 2.33 FOLD 1.6 % 9.3 % 2.10 FOLD
Ruaka 1.8 % 3.5 % 1.84 FOLD 1.1 % 5.8 % 1.89 FOLD
Ruiru 4.5 % 11.8 % 2.78 FOLD 4.8 % 16.1 % 1.85 FOLD
Syokimau 0.8 % 3.2 % 1.93 FOLD -2.3 % 0.8 % 1.99 FOLD
Thika 2.5 % 8.0 % 1.96 FOLD 1.1 % 1.4 % 1.95 FOLD
Tigoni 1.5 % 2.3 % 1.90 FOLD 0.5 % 4.6 % 1.81 FOLD

HassConsult Limited | ABC Place, Waiyaki Way | P.O. Box 14090 - 00800 Nairobi, Kenya www.hassconsult.co.ke
T: +254 20 4446914 | F: +254 20 4447200 | M: 0722 204 764/5; 0733 629 786 | E: info@hassconsult.co.ke
The H ass Property

INDEX
HOUSE PRICE INDEX
QUARTER ONE REPORT
2016

SNAP SHOTS:
The Hass Sales Index • The Hass Composite Sales Index is representative of
450 All Property Types all properties for sale in Kenya
400
• Property values have increased by 4.17 times since
350
Index 2000 =100

300 2000.
250 • The index shows a property price rise 4.2% in the
200 last quarter and a 14.6% rise in the last year.
150
100
50
0
2006 Q3
2007 Q1
2007 Q3
2008 Q1
2008 Q3
2009 Q1
2009 Q3
2010 Q1
2010 Q3
2011 Q1
2011 Q3
2012 Q1
2012 Q3
2013 Q1
2013 Q3
2014 Q1
2014 Q3
2015 Q1
2015 Q3
2016 Q1

SNAP SHOTS:
Annual Average • The annual average is representative of the average
All Property Types price of all properties offered for sale in Kenya.
50,000
45,000
ASking Price KSH.s 1000s

40,000 • The average value for a property has gone from 7.1
35,000 million in December 2000 to 29.9 million in
30,000
25,000 March 2016.
20,000
15,000 • The average value for a 4-6 bedroom property is
10,000
5,000 currently 45.9 million.
0
• The average value for a 1-3 bedroom property is
2006 Q3
2007 Q1
2007 Q3
2008 Q1
2008 Q3
2009 Q1
2009 Q3
2010 Q1
2010 Q3
2011 Q1
2011 Q3
2012 Q1
2012 Q3
2013 Q1
2013 Q3
2014 Q1
2014 Q3
2015 Q1
2015 Q3
2016 Q1

currently 13.8 million.

1 to 3 Beds 4 to 6 Beds Mix Adj

SNAP SHOTS:
Mix by Year • The Mix by Year is a measure of the percentage that
All Property Types each type of property represents in the market.
100%
• In 2000, apartments took up 23.5% of the market,
90%
80% Apartments (1-3 Bed)
semi-detached took up 24.5% of the market and
70% detached houses took up 52% of the market.
Semi-detached (1-3 Bed)
60%
Detached (1-3 Bed)
• In March 2016 however, Apartments took up
50%
41.7% of the market, Semi-detached Houses took
40% Apartments (4-6 Bed)

30% up 17.2% of the market and Detached Houses took


Semi-detached (4-6 Bed)
20% up 41.1% of the market.
10% Detached (4-6 Bed)

0%
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015

HassConsult Limited | ABC Place, Waiyaki Way | P.O. Box 14090 - 00800 Nairobi, Kenya www.hassconsult.co.ke
T: +254 20 4446914 | F: +254 20 4447200 | M: 0722 204 764/5; 0733 629 786 | E: info@hassconsult.co.ke
The H ass Property

INDEX
HOUSE PRICE INDEX
QUARTER ONE REPORT
2016

SNAP SHOTS:
The Hass Rental Index • The Hass Composite Letting Index is representative
All Property Types of all properties for rental in Kenya
400.00
350.00 • Rents have increased by 1.73 fold since 2000
300.00
Index 2000 =100

• The index shows rents have increased by 1.5% in the


250.00
last quarter but have risen by 5.5% in the last year.
200.00
150.00
100.00
50.00
0.00
2006 Q3
2007 Q1
2007 Q3
2008 Q1
2008 Q3
2009 Q1
2009 Q3
2010 Q1
2010 Q3
2011 Q1
2011 Q3
2012 Q1
2012 Q3
2013 Q1
2013 Q3
2014 Q1
2014 Q3
2015 Q1
2015 Q3
2016 Q1

SNAP SHOTS:
Annual Average • The annual average is representative of the average
All Property Types rent of all properties offered to let in Kenya.
250
• The average rental for a property has gone from
ASking Price KSH.s 1000s

200
Kshs. 38,516 in December 2000 to Kshs. 141,395 in
150 March 2016.
100 • The average rent for a 4-6 bedroom property is
50 currently Kshs. 237,510
0 • The average rent for a 1-3 bedroom property is
2006 Q3
2007 Q1
2007 Q3
2008 Q1
2008 Q3
2009 Q1
2009 Q3
2010 Q1
2010 Q3
2011 Q1
2011 Q3
2012 Q1
2012 Q3
2013 Q1
2013 Q3
2014 Q1
2014 Q3
2015 Q1
2015 Q3
2016 Q1

currently Kshs. 73,813

1 to 3 Beds 4 to 6 Beds Mix Adj

SNAP SHOTS:
Mix by Year
• The Mix by Year is a measure of the percentage that
All Property Types
each type of property represents in the market.
100%
• In 2000, Apartments took up 45.3% of the market,
90%
80% Apartments (1-3 Bed)
Semi-detached Houses took up 20.5% of the market
70% and Detached Houses took up 34.1% of the market.
Semi-detached (1-3 Bed)
60%
• In March 2016 however, Apartments took up
50% Detached (1-3 Bed)

40% 59.6% of the market, Semi-detached Houses took


Apartments (4-6 Bed)
30% up 13.1% of the market and Detached Houses took
Semi-detached (4-6 Bed)
20% up 27.3% of the market.
10% Detached (4-6 Bed)

0%
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015

HassConsult Limited | ABC Place, Waiyaki Way | P.O. Box 14090 - 00800 Nairobi, Kenya www.hassconsult.co.ke
T: +254 20 4446914 | F: +254 20 4447200 | M: 0722 204 764/5; 0733 629 786 | E: info@hassconsult.co.ke

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