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Introduction
• An IPO occurs when a security is sold to the general
Initial Public Offerings public for the first time, with the expectation that a
liquid market will develop.
• Benefits:
– once the stock is publicly traded, this enhanced
liquidity allows the company to raise capital on
more favourable terms.
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2. Valuing IPOs
• We shall look at some of the mechanisms that • 2.1 The mechanics of going public
are used in practice to overcome the problems
created by information asymmetries. – clearance is needed
• In addition, evidence is presented on three – a company must supply audited financial statements.
patterns associated with IPOs: – The level of detail that is required depends upon the
– (i) new issues underpricing, size of the company, the amount of money being
– (ii) cycles in the extent of underpricing, and raised, and the age of the company.
– (iii) long-run underperformance. – an issuing firm will typically sell 20-40% of its stock to
the public.
• Various theories that have been advanced to
– The issuer will hire investment bankers to assist in
explain these patterns are also discussed. pricing the offering and marketing the stock.
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• 3.2. Reasons for New Issues Underpricing • The investment banker's monopsony
power hypothesis
• Winner’s curse • The lawsuit avoidance hypothesis
• Market’s feedback • Signalling hypothesis
– Where bookbuilding is used, investment bankers may – Underpriced new issues "leave a good taste" with
underprice IPOs to induce regular investors to reveal investors, allowing the firms and insiders to sell future
information during the pre-selling period, which can offerings at a higher price than would otherwise be
then be used to assist in pricing the issue. the case.
• The bandwagon hypothesis • The ownership dispersion hypothesis
– If an investor sees that no one else wants to buy, he – Issuing firms may intentionally underprice their shares
– or she may decide not to buy even when there is in order to generate excess demand and so be able
favorable information. to have a large number of small shareholders.
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3.3 Why don’t issuers get upset about • The highest initial returns tend to be
leaving money on the table?
associated with issues where the offer
• Netscape’s August 1995 IPO, 5.75 million
shares were sold at $28.00 per share. The first- price has been revised upwards from the
day market price closed at $58.25. If the same file price range.
number of shares could have been sold at • Frequently the number of shares are
$58.25 per share instead of $28.00, the issuing
firm’s pre-issue shareholders would have been revised in the same direction as the price.
better off by $174 million (before investment
banker fees).
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5. Long-Run Performance
5.1 Evidence on long-run performance
– The third pattern associated with IPOs is the
poor stock price performance of IPOs in the
long run.
– companies going public during 1970-1993
produced an average return of just 7.9
percent per
– year for the five years after the offering, using
the first closing market price as the purchase
price.
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Table 4
International Evidence on Long-Run IPO Overpricing
Number Issuing Total abnormal
• The underperformance is concentrated
Country Author(s) of IPOs years return
among firms
Australia
Austria
Lee, Taylor & Walter
Aussenegg
266
57
1976-89
1965-93
-46.5%
-27.3%
– that went public in the heavy-volume years,
Brazil Aggarwal, Leal & Hernandez 62 1980-90 -47.0% and
Canada Jog and Srivistava 216 1972-93 -17.9%
Chile Aggarwal, Leal & Hernandez 28 1982-90 -23.7% – for younger firms.
Finland Keloharju 79 1984-89 -21.1%
Germany Ljungqvist 145 1970-90 -12.1% – IPOs that are not associated with venture
Japan Cai & Wei 172 1971-90 -27.0%
Korea Kim, Krinsky & Lee 99 1985-88 +2.0%
capital financing, and
Singapore Hin & Mahmood 45 1976-84 -9.2%
Sweden Loughran, Ritter & Rydqvist 162 1980-90 +1.2%
– those not associated with high-quality
U.K. Levis 712 1980-88 -8.1% investment bankers
U.S. Loughran & Ritter 4,753 1970-90 -20.0%
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Summary
• Three patterns have been documented for IPOs
in the U.S. and many countries:
– i) new issues underpricing,
– ii) cycles in volume and the extent of underpricing,
and
– iii) long-run underperformance.
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