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PLANNING STEPS
© Boeing Laishram
Learning Objectives
§ Total employment
► Total number of remunerative jobs at either national
or a sub-national geographically defined area (such
as state, city)
§ Productivity
► Value of production of marketed goods and services
per hour worked
► Items with no market values like time savings, and
leisure are not included in the definition of productivity
§ Economic growth
► Increase in total production valued at market-
determined prices
► For example, real Gross National Product or the
gross product of some sub-national geographically
defined area
§ Distribution of income
► Share of total output and income obtained by groups
at different levels of income
► Place a value on the fairness of the division of output
§ Regional transfers
► Transferring the value of production or economic
welfare from one region to another
§ Sectoral transfers
► Shifting wealth or economic activity from one industry
to another
Politically Financially
Feasible Plan Feasible Plan
§ Rational planning
§ Planning sequence applicable to major
infrastructure projects
§ Programming and budgeting process of a public
works agency
§ Contd.
§ Option generation/identification
► Individual thinks of potential alternative solutions to
the problem at hand
§ Information search
► Individual seeks information, either about what
additional options might be available or about
properties of one or more of the options under
consideration
§ Contd.
§ Assessment of option information
► Individual consciously considers the information they
have about the different options
► On the basis of this information, individual forms
preferences for some options relative to others
§ Choice
► Individual selects one of the decision options for
purposes of future behavioral enactment
§ Contd.
§ Post-decision evaluation
► Individuals reflects on the decision after the option
has been enacted, then evaluates the decision (and
the decision process) in light of the outcomes that
have resulted
§ Problem diagnosis
► Define the problem and gather the baseline data
► Planning is about future and diagnosis of problems
must involve assessment of future states
► Baseline study of the area is required to describe the
nature of the status quo
► For instance, baseline study of major transportation
project will involve
• Population types and distribution; Reasons for travel and
present infrastructure provisions
• Areas of wildlife protection; Hot spots of social dislocation
and patterns of migration
§ Goal articulation
► Possible to plan without well defined goals; Planning
in well developed areas is merely a process of
incremental changes to existing plans
► However, in developing countries with rapid social
change – Industrialization increasing in volume and
diversity, populations expanding in inappropriate
places and infrastructure becoming quickly
overwhelmed
► In these circumstances, it is important to think
carefully about goals of infrastructure planning
• Why are we doing it and what do we hope to achieve?
§ Forecasting
► Using baseline data and trends, to forecast the
planning requirements at some future date
► Degree of forecasting to predict the impacts of the
natural development of the status quo
► For example, predict traffic congestion, urban blight or
electricity shortages
► Techniques like trend analysis and scenario building
will be required to test the likely impact of alternative
forms of new infrastructure
► Uncertainty attached to forecasts depending on the
timescale and dynamics of social change
• Probability analysis to take account of the uncertainty
§ Design of alternatives
► Create plan alternatives (scenarios) to satisfy the
forecast requirements and the goals
► Design of plan alternatives heavily dependent on
team experience
• Planning team has to search for indicators of likely solutions
that would satisfy the requirements
► Design solutions constrained by simple technical
issues like soil type, minimization of route length,
design of alternatives is close to formal engineering
design
► Issues like multi-modal, socio-political pressures
make design of alternatives more ambiguous
§ Plan testing
► Evaluate the degree to which each plan alternative
fulfils the goals and to select a preferred option or
options
► At completion of design, the alternatives should be
revisited to test for coherence and conformity to the
goals, objectives and constraints
► Objectives must be stated in such a manner to enable
comparisons to be made between plans
• Techniques – Checklist or formal weighted methods
§ Implementation
► Prepare a final report and put in place
recommendations for the next stages of development
► Final report may be submitted for comment by
stakeholders prior to freezing the plan
► Necessary to conduct a formal environmental impact
assessment which may repeat some of the steps of
the planning process, but directed towards the more
limited requirements of the relevant environmental
legislation
► Political authorization may be required, enabling
legislation may need to be drafted
§ Implementation – Contd.
► Projects could be funded through
• Public funds – Project will enter a pipeline for funding where
other factors may be used to assess its merit in relation to
other infrastructure proposals
• External loan or grant providers for consideration
• Open to private sector for BOT offers
§ Contents – Contd.
► Financial analyses projecting the year-by-year costs,
revenues, and subsidies
► Economic analyses of the project, if appropriate – If
sponsor is a government agency
► Plans for financing construction, and for managing the
construction and operation
► Institutional and legal requirements
► Assessments of the environmental and social impacts
of construction and operation, and other impact
studies if required.
§ Program trade-offs
► Evaluate what the proposed program will achieve
► Evaluate trade-offs for shifting resources among
program areas or project types
• E.g. Rehabilitation vs. capacity expansion
► Determine levels of resource allocation across
program areas based on agency priorities, including
the results of needs analyses
§ Budgeting
► Develop an expenditure plan based on available
resources and project and program costs