Variation and Historical Change of Temperature and Rainfall over Bangladesh

Introduction
Climate Change and its impacts on development goal such
as agriculture, food security, society and overall economy
have appeared as a global concern for the last couple of
decades. Natural hazards originated from increased rainfall,
rising sea levels, and tropical cyclones are projected to
occur in higher frequency due to climate changes and all
such events are extremely affecting society economy and
Objective environment-three pillars of sustainable development.

To investigate the trends and change

of temperature and rainfall of Bangladesh
using historical data of last 50 years from 35 stations over the
country.

Methodology
 Daily temperature and rainfall data of 35 stations over Bangladesh during
the period of 1964-2013 (50 years) were collected
 The non parametric Mann-Kendall test in combination with trend free pre-
whitening (TFPW) approach for correcting time series for serial correlation
have been used.
 Sen’s slope method was used to determine the magnitude of change in
the climate parameter series
Results:
Temperature Rainfall
Mean maximum, minimum, 1
 The trend in country wide mean an-  The annual rainfall at country level
day max, 1 day min, Mean
nual temperatures was found to be was found small increasing trend.
temperature and 1 day, 3
increasing at a rate of about 0.4ºC
day and mean rainfall in  Trend of rainfalls in the months of
per 50 year.
seasonal and monthly time June and August of the monsoon
scales show in general in-  The winter (Dec-Feb), pre-monsoon season have decreased and the
creasing trends at Bangla- (Mar-May), monsoon (Jun-Sep) and rainfall of September has increased.
desh which are more ob- post-monsoon (Oct-Nov) trends in The months of March and May of the
servable in the presenta- years of data were found to be 0.1, pre-monsoon season have experi-
tion. 0.7, 1.67 and 0.95ºC per 50 year, re- enced increased rainfalls.
spectively.
Trends in mean temperatures (°C per
50 yr) at some selected station in Bang-
es (°
Conclusion: ladesh ***p < 0.01
< 0.1; Station Z Statistics Mean
Increased temperature, shortening of winter and Barisal 3.78 0.55
Chittagong 4.14 0.75
erratic rainfall might cause outbreaks of tropical
Cox's bazar 5.02 0.7
diseases and increased severity and frequency of Dhaka 4.63 0.95
hydrological and meteorological disasters. Khepupara -3.02 -0.7
Madaripur -3.28 -2
Annual and seasonal rainfall in most climatic Maijdicourt 2.66 0.7
stations shows increasing trends but not sig- Mymensing -3.63 -0.85
Patuakhali -2.84 -0.95
nificantly. Rainfall varies in different years for
Rangpur 3.94 0.9
different seasons which are evident in the Sitakunda -3.52 -1.15
graphs. Variation of temperature is found Srimongol 3.39 0.9
Sylhet 2.96 0.9
considerable compared to rainfall.