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waktu y (aktual) Ramalan (55,531 + 1,087t) Yt - Y't waktu

1 49 56.618 -7.618 1
2 60 57.705 2.295 2
3 58 58.792 -0.792 3
4 65 59.879 5.121 4
5 59 60.966 -1.966 5
6 61 62.053 -1.053 6
7 71 63.14 7.86 7
8 56 64.227 -8.227 8
9 73 65.314 7.686 9
10 68 66.401 1.599 10
11 70 67.488 2.512 11
12 59 68.575 -9.575 12
749 751.158 -2.158

MSE = 4.656964 0.3880803333 MSE =


12
MAD = -2.158 -0.1798333333 MAD=
12

y'(15) = 56.814
y'(18) = 45.315
y (aktual) ramalah 47,889 + 4,285t - 0,246 t^2 Yt - Y't
49 51.928 -2.928
60 55.475 4.525
58 58.53 -0.53
65 61.093 3.907
59 63.164 -4.164
61 64.743 -3.743
71 65.83 5.17
56 66.425 -10.425
73 66.528 6.472
68 66.139 1.861
70 65.258 4.742
59 63.885 -4.885
749 748.998 0.002

0.000004 3.33333333333333E-07
12
0.002 0.0001666667
12

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