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Edward L. Maydew*
Kenan-Flagler Business School, University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill, NC 27599-3490, USA
Abstract
This discussion reflects on the state and future of empirical tax research in accounting,
complementing and extending Shackelford and Shevlin (2000). Specifically, this discussion 1)
examines the scope Shackelford and Shevlin (2000), 2) discusses what I view to be the main
contributions and limitations in the extant tax research, and 3) charts several directions for future
research.
__________________________________
*Corresponding author. Tel: (919) 843-9356; fax: (919) 962-4727; e-mail: maydewe@bschool.unc.edu
I thank Merle Erickson, Austan Goolsbee, Doug Shackelford, Terry Shevlin, Doug Skinner and Ross
Watts (the editors), and workshop participants at the 2000 Journal of Accounting and Economics
conference for their helpful comments.
1. Introduction
integrated package with Shackelford and Shevlin (2000). At the outset let me emphasize that I
agree with the vast majority of the opinions and analysis in their review. However, to avoid
redundancy this discussion focuses on those areas in which I offer a different perspective.
This discussion is designed for three types of readers. First and foremost, it is designed
for Ph.D. students and new researchers interested in conducting tax research. Second, it is for
researchers who have an ancillary interest in taxation as consumers of tax research. Finally, the
discussion is for experienced tax researchers who want to contemplate what the field has
Shackelford and Shevlin (2000) and the costs of excluding most tax papers published in finance
and economics journals. Section 3 examines what we can learn from tax research and introduces
a metaphor for thinking about tax research. Section 4 suggests a number of directions for future
research and also examines the methodological issues identified in Shackelford and Shevlin
Shackelford and Shevlin define the scope of their review as research conducted by
accountants, specifically archival empirical tax research conducted by accountants since the
Scholes-Wolfson paradigm began. 1 Review papers must set boundaries to be manageable and
Shackelford and Shevlin’s coverage is thorough and comprehensive given its stated scope.
1
See Scholes, Wilson and Wolfson (1990) and Scholes, Wolfson, Erickson, Maydew and Shevlin (2001).
1
However, a major theme in Shackelford and Shevlin (2000) is that tax research is
Shackelford and Shevlin (2000) do mention some important finance and economics papers. For
the most part, however, their review excludes research by non-accountants, which does not
square with the interdisciplinary nature of tax research that they espouse nor with both of the
accountants. One cost is that it risks leaving readers with an incomplete picture of the research
on any given topic. 2 During the most recent three-year period, for example, thirteen papers with
the word “tax” in their titles appeared in the Journal of Financial Economics or the Journal of
Finance. Only three of these thirteen papers are cited in Shackelford and Shevlin (2000). 3
Perhaps these exclusions are harmless because the topics are different than those studied by
accountants. Not so. Each of the non-cited papers from the finance journals bear directly to
topics discussed in the review. For example, non-cited papers by Fama and French (1998) and
Graham (2000) bear directly on the capital structure research discussed in Section 3.2 of
Shackelford and Shevlin (2000). 4 Bali and Hite (1998) and Murray and Jagannathan (1998)
examine taxes and asset pricing issues discussed in Sections 3.3 and 3.4. Most tax research by
economists is also excluded. The cost of excluding papers from economics journals is probably
less severe than excluding papers from finance journals, as many of the tax papers in the
2
The same caveat applies as a result of the exclusion of theoretical and behavioral papers.
3
I examined issues from 1998- 2000. The three cited papers are Graham, Lemmon and Schalleheim (1998), Reese
(1998), and Guenther and Willenborg (1999). The ten papers not cited are Bali and Hite (1998), Barclay, Pearson,
and Weisback (1998), Elton and Green (1998), Fama and French (1998), Frank and Jagannathan (1998), Naranjo,
Nimalendran and Ryngaert (1998), Crowder and Wohar (1999), Graham and Smith (1999), Allen, Bernardo, and
Welch (2000), and Graham (2000).
4
In fact, at the time this article was written Fama and French (1998) was by far the most heavily downloaded “tax”
paper on the Social Science Research Network (SSRN) and was ranked forth among all papers on SSRN in all-time
downloads.
2
economics journals deal with topics not generally examined by accounting researchers, e.g.,
optimal taxation.
Another cost of focussing mainly on tax research by accountants is that readers may get
the impression that Shackelford and Shevlin exaggerate when they argue that tax research is
highly interdisciplinary. To provide empirical evidence of the degree to which tax research is
interdisciplinary, I performed a search of all papers on SSRN using the keyword “tax.” The
search produced 1680 papers, with the titles taking twenty pages to display. Examining the first
paper listed on each of the twenty pages, which is admittedly ad hoc but should not be biased,
revealed that accounting researchers were authors on only six of the twenty papers, supporting
Further evidence of the degree to which tax research is multidisciplinary comes from the
rate at which tax research is published in the top general journals in accounting, economics and
finance. Over the most recent three-year period, The Accounting Review, the Journal of
Accounting and Economics and the Journal of Accounting Research published a total of nineteen
papers with “tax” in their titles, or a rate of 2.1 tax papers per journal-year. 5 Recall that over the
same three-year period the Journal of Finance and the Journal of Financial Economics published
a total of twelve tax papers, or a rate of 2.0 tax papers per journal-year. American Economic
Review published eleven tax papers during the same period, or 3.67 tax papers per journal-year.
This evidence, while not conclusive, is consistent with Shackelford and Shevlin’s claims that tax
empirical tax research conducted by accountants. Readers should be cautioned, however, that it
5
I gathered these data from the reference list of Shackelford and Shevlin (2000) and included papers listed as
forthcoming in 2000.
3
is not a comprehensive review of corporate tax research, must less of tax research in general.
Readers looking for tax research on a given topic will in many cases need to supplement their
reading of Shackelford and Shevlin (2000) with a search of the finance and economics journals,
as well as a search of theoretical and behavioral papers within the accounting journals.
Shackelford and Shevlin (2000) do a good job of reviewing and summarizing the papers
and findings that accounting researchers have produced over the past decade or so. However, I
worry that readers, particularly doctoral students, will get lost in the trees and miss the forest.
Accordingly, in this section poses and address two questions about the tax literature as a whole.
First, what can we learn from tax research? Second, how can accounting researchers best
Despite its emergence as a line of inquiry in accounting, tax research has its critics.
Some researchers do not consider tax research to be part of accounting, perhaps because of its
interdisciplinary nature, but more likely because generally it is not based on information
economics, which provides the theoretical foundation for most financial and managerial
accounting research. 6 The majority of accounting research is geared towards understanding the
role of accounting data as information for decision making by managers, investors, etc. in the
face of uncertainty. However, uncertainty and information asymmetries tend to enter tax
6
Regardless of how one defines the word accounting, the rest of the world expects accounting professors to have
something intelligent to say on tax matters, and tax professionals remain a core constituency as well as core product
of most accounting programs.
4
research only as non-tax factors (e.g., financial reporting costs) rather than as primary aspects of
In my opinion tax researchers would do well to reflect on these criticisms, even if they
believe them to be unfounded. Tax research competes in the market for ideas and the
perceptions of other academics affects the demand for tax research. That said, I now attempt to
explain how one can view most tax research to best understand its role and contributions. I do so
one day over lunch he asked: “Why did the chicken cross the road?” I replied that I didn’t know.
He responded mirthfully, “Because taxes were lower on the other side.” From me came fake
The implication, of course, is that tax research is obvious – firms respond to cash flows,
taxes affect cash flows, and therefore firms respond to tax incentives. Under the chicken-
crossing-the-road scenario, tax research is nothing more than a test of whether chickens (firms)
are rational enough to move to the low tax side of the road when doing so is in their best
interests. 7
Over the years, however, I have found the chicken-crossing-the-road joke does provide a
useful metaphor for thinking about what tax research in accounting is trying to achieve. Imagine
now that instead of one chicken there are many chickens, representing firms, some of whom
have crossed the road and some of whom have not. The real question is not why did the chicken
cross the road, but why didn’t all the chickens cross the road? If we assume, as customary, that
the chickens/firms are rational economic decision-makers, then one way some chickens would
choose to not cross to the low tax rate side of the road is if there are costs associated with
7
I later discovered that the joke was generalizable and had been used to poke fun of a variety of non-tax lines of
research.
5
crossing the road. In the case of a real chicken, one can imagine the costs. In the case of a firm,
the costs could include financial reporting effects, agency costs, capital constraints, direct
transactions costs, increased IRS scrutiny, and costs of tax planning. As Shackelford and
Shevlin (2000) point out, much existing tax research can be thought of as attempting to
understand the trade-offs among and economic significance of tax and non-tax factors in
As a body of research, the trade-offs literature has three main contributions. First, it adds
to our understanding of the forces that shape the economic world. Specifically, it helps us to
know in which decisions taxes represent a first-order effect and in which decisions taxes play an
nth order effect – even I would admit that in some decision contexts taxes play a minor,
Second, the tax trade-offs literature allows us to quantify non-tax costs in dollars by
measuring the tax savings firms must realize before they incur particular non-tax costs. For
example, studies quantify how much firms will pay, in the form of forgone tax savings, for
additional GAAP earnings. 8 Finding experimental settings where one can quantify how much
cash firms are willing to pay for a particular level of GAAP earnings was difficult and rarely
Finally, the trade-offs literature can be thought of as part of the public economics
literature that examines the extent to which taxes distort economic behavior. The idea being that,
in general, the more taxes affect decision-making the more they reduce economic efficiency.
8
For example, see Matsunaga, Shevlin and Shores (1992) and Engel, Erickson, and Maydew (1999).
6
Empirical estimates of the extent to which various tax regimes affect behavior is therefore central
to understanding whether and how much those tax regimes generate deadweight costs. 9
Outside of papers examining tax and non-tax tradeoffs, the tax literature is clearly not
subject to the criticism that it is simplistic. The effects of taxes on equilibrium asset prices and
returns are particularly nettlesome from a theoretical basis once one allows for tax clienteles and
tax arbitrage. Empirical evidence of the role that taxes play in asset pricing has been hard to
come by because of the lack of clean experiments and methods to control for risk differences
across firms. As I discuss in the next section, the role of taxes in asset pricing is one of the most
active areas of current tax research and I expect it will continue to be for some time to come.
3.2. How can accounting researchers best contribute to the tax literature?
This section is written primarily for new tax-accounting researchers deciding where to
best concentrate their research energies. As discussed earlier, tax research is interdisciplinary in
specialize in certain areas of tax research in which they have a comparative advantage over
economists and finance researchers. The comparative advantage that accounting researchers
most often possess is a superior knowledge of institutional factors, in particular knowledge of the
complexities of the tax law and knowledge of financial accounting. This institutional advantage
is often accentuated with knowledge gained from teaching tax strategy and financial accounting.
taxation, while economists produce most of the research involving individual taxation. Why?
9
Some taxes have the potential to increase economic efficiency, namely when they encourage the production of
public goods, which generate positive externalities (e.g., basic scientific research), or discourage the production of
public bads, which generate negative externalities (e.g., pollution). Most research on taxes and externalities has
been by economists and the concept has not crept into tax research in accounting.
7
Because the institutional complexity of the tax law is greater in corporate taxation than in
individual taxation. Further, while accountants usually are less well-versed in economics than
are economists, the gap generally is smaller in financial economics than in other branches of
specializing in areas that draw from financial economics, namely research involving corporations
Within corporate tax research, accountants contribute most heavily in those areas that
require the most institutional knowledge, including mergers and acquisitions, 11 international
tax, 12 and settings involving complex strategies, entities, or securities (e.g., ESOPS, MIPS). 13
all of the research that examines the trade-offs between tax and financial accounting objectives. 15
The same can be said for research on tax-book conformity and accounting for income taxes. 16 I
am not suggesting that accountants forsake economic theory – tax researchers can never learn too
much finance and microeconomics – only that their comparative advantage is institutional
knowledge, economic theory, and research design that accounting researchers are well equipped
to provide.
10
Tax-accounting researchers occasionally publish their work in the top general finance journals, a practice I hope
becomes more common as tax research in accounting develops, e.g., Trezevant (1992) and Guenther and Willenborg
(1999).
11
Erickson (1998), Ayers, Lefanowicz, and Robinson (2000), and Erickson and Wang (2000).
12
Collins and Shackelford (1992), Harris (1993), Klassen, Lang and Wolfson (1993), Collins and Shackelford
(1997), Collins, Kemsley and Lang (1998), and Newberry (1998).
13
Shackelford (1991), Engel, Erickson and Maydew (1999) and Myers (2000).
14
Collins, Shackelford and Wahlen (1995), Petroni and Shackelford (1995), Mikhail (1999), and Ke, Petroni and
Shackelford (2000).
15
Scholes, Wilson, and Wolfson (1992), Guenther (1994), Dhaliwal, Frankel, and Trezevant (1994), and Maydew
(1997).
8
4. Directions for future research: where are we going?
In this section I chart several paths that future tax research might take, including research
on taxes in asset pricing and a number of corporate finance issues. I also discuss opportunities to
learn from the economics literature and conclude with a discussion of some methodological
issues. The paths are neither mutually exclusive nor exhaustive of the interesting directions for
4.1. Future research on taxes and asset pricing: tax capitalization and implicit taxes
More so than perhaps any tax area, research on the role of taxes in asset pricing is spread
terminology across these fields hamper integration of research findings. In particular, I would
argue that implicit taxes and tax capitalization are the same phenomena. In accounting the term
“implicit taxes” was popularized by Scholes and Wolfson to describe the phenomenon where tax
favored assets bear lower pretax returns than tax disfavored assets. 17 “Tax capitalization” is the
favored term among economists and is gaining ground with accountants. 18 Taxes are said to be
capitalized into prices when current prices are lower than they otherwise would be given future
Consider a taxable bond and a tax-exempt bond that have the same pretax interest
payments. If investors are willing to pay less for the taxable bond than for the tax-exempt bond
then tax capitalization is said to have occurred in the taxable bond. When the price of the taxable
16
Guenther, Maydew and Nutter (1997), Ayers (1998), Mills (1998), Miller and Skinner (1998), and Sansing
(1998).
17
Scholes and Wolfson (1992), Guenther (1994), Erickson and Maydew (1998), and Scholes et al. (2001).
9
bond is driven down, its pretax return rises. In this case, the tax-exempt bond is said to bear
implicit taxes to the extent it bears a lower pretax return than the taxable bond. Thus, we see that
tax capitalization and implicit taxes are two sides of the same coin. Tax capitalization tends to
be defined in terms of the prices of tax disfavored assets, while implicit taxes tend to be defined
in terms of pretax returns of tax favored assets. But the terms are equivalent.
I would also argue that tax capitalization and implicit taxes are far more fundamental and
pervasive concepts than they are commonly thought to be. Consider the classic question of
whether there is a tax benefit to corporate leverage, a question not normally associated with tax
capitalization. Modigliani and Miller (1963) examine leverage when there is corporate level
taxation in which interest, but not dividends, are deductible to the firm. Modigliani and Miller
(1963) assume no investor level taxes and find massive tax gains to leverage. By assuming no
investor level taxes, however, there is no opportunity for differing investor level taxation to
affect the pretax return on debt versus equity. Thus, if investor level taxes do not affect pretax
returns on debt and equity then a large tax gain from leverage will exist.
Miller (1977) allows for personal level taxes and greater investor level taxation of interest
than returns on equity. In Miller’s setting, the greater investor tax burden on interest causes
investors to demand an increased pretax return on debt relative to equity (equivalent to bidding
up the price of equity relative to debt) such that the corporation enjoys no tax gain to leverage.
The tax disadvantage to leverage at the investor level offsets the corporate level tax advantage to
interest deductibility. The classic question of whether there are tax gains to leverage boils down
to whether investor level taxation affects the equilibrium prices and pretax returns of debt
relative to equity. The tax gains to leverage question is essentially just one example of the
larger question of the extent to which tax capitalization / implicit taxes occur.
18
Collins and Kemsley (2000) and Lang and Shackelford (2000).
10
Existing studies of tax capitalization / implicit taxes for the most part simply document
the assets and settings in which tax capitalization appears to be taking place. While such studies
are useful, tax capitalization research could benefit from a stronger link to the economic theory
of tax incidence. Without a foundation of underlying theory, tax capitalization research has
been unable to address key questions. Under what conditions do we expect tax capitalization to
take place? What factors determine the extent of tax capitalization? The public economics
literature demonstrates that the economic incidence of a particular tax depends on the effect that
tax has on equilibrium prices and quantities, with the extent of the effect determined by the
elasticity of supply and demand. Tax capitalization viewed more broadly is a manifestation of
Taxes potentially affect a number of corporate decisions that fall under the purview of
corporate finance. For example, Brealey and Myers (2000) has chapters devoted to debt policy,
dividend policy, pensions, options, leasing, hedging, mergers and acquisitions, and financial
intermediation (e.g., banking, insurance, mutual funds), all of which are affected by taxes.
Accounting researchers can use their institutional knowledge to contribute to these literatures, for
example, by identifying unusual quasi-experimental settings or events that can be used to test
theories. 20
Accounting researchers have made initial inroads into tax effects on domestic mergers
and acquisitions, but the role of taxes in cross-border mergers and acquisitions is largely
19
See Shackelford (1991) for an example of paper that uses the concepts of tax shifting and tax incidence.
20
For example, Lang, Maydew, and Shackelford (2001) use Germany’s repeal of capital gains taxes on the sales of
cross-holdings to provide evidence relevant to, among other things, the “diversification discount” controversy in
finance.
11
unknown and deserving of more attention. 21 Promising new research examines the role taxes
play in decisions of pension funds and mutual funds, and even not-for-profit organizations. 22
Further research also is needed to explain why some firms appear to be more aggressive tax
planners than other firms, whether the existence of international operations affects tax planning
In the areas of capital structure and dividend policy, opportunity exists to clarify whether
taxes do indeed have large effects on the pricing of debt and equity securities. In particular,
considerable controversy has surrounded several studies that claim to find large valuation effects
from the taxation of dividends (Harris and Kemsley, 1999; Harris, Hubbard and Kemsley, 2000;
and Collins and Kemsley, 2000). Shackelford and Shevlin (2000) detail several concerns with
this literature and in places refer to its findings as “controversial” and “implausible.”
Some, but certainly not all, of these concerns are probably due to the lack of caveats in
Harris and Kemsley (1999). For example, Harris and Kemsley (1999) sum up their findings as
“robust evidence that dividend taxes have a substantial, predicable influence on the relative
valuation weights investors assign to equity versus earnings…” (p. 289). In contrast, Collins and
Kemsley (2000), cautions that “…we do not consider our evidence conclusive” and “firm
evidence should be deferred until more evidence is collected” (p. 425-426). In a recent
examination of dividend capitalization, Dhaliwal, Erickson, Myers, and Banji (2001) question
the robustness of Harris and Kemsley (1999) and provide a variety of reasons to question the
model of dividend capitalization employed in that study and related studies. I discuss two key
21
Collins, Kemsley and Shackelford (1995).
22
See Kraft and Weiss (2000), Myers (2000), and Yetman (2000).
23
Phillips (1999) and Olhoft (2000).
12
First, these studies are built on the shaky assumption that all earnings are eventually
distributed to shareholders as taxable dividends. It is common knowledge that the taxation of all
firm earnings as dividends at the shareholder level is not inevitable as the studies assume. For
example, dividend taxation can be avoided through share repurchases and liquidating dividends,
both of which are normally taxed at more favorable capital gains rates. Certain acquisition
structures also result in the distribution of earnings without triggering dividend taxation. The
question is, if dividend taxes did have large negative effects on firm value as the above studies
claim, wouldn’t firms avoid decreasing their value by engaging in more share repurchases than
they do?
Second, how could large valuation effects from dividend taxation exist in the presence of
tax clienteles and tax arbitrage by non-taxable investors? Even if all earnings were distributed in
the form of taxable dividends, the taxes on those dividends can be avoided by having a non-
taxable investor hold the stock at the time of the dividend, a clientele effect. Further, non-
taxable investors could profit from tax arbitrage involving “dividend capture” in which they go
long in stocks around the time they make their dividend distributions and short in stocks not
making distributions. I am not suggesting that tax arbitrage will necessarily eliminate all of the
effects of dividend taxation, as Shleifer and Vishny (1997) show that arbitrage can be risky in
practice. Coupled with the concerns detailed in Shackelford and Shevlin (2000), the concerns
above indicate a need for additional research to determine the extent to which dividend taxes are
13
4.3. Drawing from economics
sophisticated economic theory will be brought to bear on the analysis. While tax research in
accounting is largely microeconomics based, there is room for improvement in the level of
economic analysis actually used. In the future I expect enterprising researchers to draw more
heavily from the economics literature both in terms of theory and approach.
For example, when economists think about the effects of taxes on decision making, they
often think in terms of the economic distortions created by the tax rules in question. In
particular, when taxes affect prices they can lead to substitution effects that generate deadweight
costs (which can be loosely defined as the loss in economic efficiency in excess of the tax
revenues collected; also called the “excess burden of taxation”). Such concepts have barely
penetrated tax research in accounting. 24 Shackelford and Shevlin (2000) conjecture that tax
accountants tend to ignore the long history of tax research in finance and economics because
they are preoccupied with the Scholes-Wolfson paradigm shift. If that is true, then it sadly runs
counter to the intent of Scholes and Wolfson, which was to inject economics and finance into tax
research in accounting.
Shackelford and She vlin (2000) raise a number of methodological issues on which I
would like to comment. First, I agree that the Plesko (1999) criticisms of financial accounting-
based marginal tax rates are premature based on the evidence in that paper. 25 Shevlin (1999)
24
Anand and Sansing (2000) and Goolsbee and Maydew (2000).
25
Shevlin (1990, 1999) and Graham (1996).
14
describes several concerns with Plesko’s (1999) marginal tax rate analysis. I would add that
Plesko’s (1999) definitions of effective tax rates also are not meaningful. Plesko (1999) defines
effective tax rates with the numerators as measures of taxes paid and the denominators as
measures of taxable income. The problem is the unusual approach of using taxable income as
the denominator in the effective tax rate. Such ratios by definition will approximate the statutory
tax rate, with departures apparently reflecting the existence of tax credits. I do agree with Plesko
(1999) that more work is needed to examine the accuracy of marginal and effective tax rate
Second, Shackelford and Shevlin (2000) raise the issue of self-selection in tax research,
which has not received much attention in the tax literature. Self-selection is pervasive in that the
issue can arise whenever the researcher lacks the ability to randomly assign observations – quasi-
experimentation in the sense of Cook and Campbell (1979) – which is the norm in social science
research. Enterprising researchers may find it useful to re-examine the prior tax literature to
determine when the results differ once self-selection is controlled for using well-accepted
econometric techniques. 26 Of course, I must admit that self-selection is not peculiar to tax
research, nor has anyone made a case that self-selection is more problematic in tax research than
Finally, I am not convinced (though I could be) with the assertion that interaction effects
are necessary to infer tax and non-tax trade-offs in regressions of a decision on variables that
proxy for tax and non-tax costs (Shackelford and Shevlin, 2000). Consider the choice between
using the FIFO or LIFO inventory methods. Because of the well-known conformity
requirement, in the LIFO/FIFO choice firms must choose between reducing their current tax
15
liability and reporting high income to their shareholders. The trade-off is imposed by nature (in
this case the LIFO conformity rule) and exists independently of any regression model.
Regressing the inventory method choice on proxies for the tax and financial reporting costs
simply documents which factors are significant in manager’s decision-making. Whether or not
the factors are also trade-offs depends on whether nature requires sacrificing one in order to have
the other. While interaction effects are useful for determining if the level of one variable affects
the importance of another, I do not believe the existence of interaction effects is a necessary
condition for uncovering trade-offs. Hopefully this question will be resolved in the literature.
5. Conclusions
Shackelford and Shevlin (2000) do good job of reviewing archival-empirical tax research
perspectives. Several key recurring themes emerge. First, because microeconomic tax research
microeconomics and finance with accountants’ comparative advantage in institutional tax and
opportunities remain for future researchers to draw from the finance and economics literatures on
a level deeper than exists in the extant research. Finally, while predicting the future can be
hazardous, I offer several avenues for future research, such as the role of tax arbitrage in asset
26
See Heckman (1976, 1979) and Maddala (1991). For examples tax research that dealt with issues of self-
selection, see Graham, Lemmon, and Schallheim (1998), Guenther, Maydew and Nutter (1997) and Maydew,
Schipper and Vincent (1999).
16
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