DMI_REM_Individual Assignment Vikram Rana (PDM-03-027)

ROLE OF ENERGY IN CLIMATE CHANGE THROUGH

LENS OF RCPS
Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs) is a Modeling software and database
which record and monitor the periodical data and high definition image of earth,
regarding the minor change in the energy or environment ex: - level of greenhouse
gas, CO2, temperature, etc. to forecast the scenario in 2100 or beyond.

Efforts to respond to climate change are changing the way the energy sector is
developing, and the increased ambition of the Paris Agreement on climate change,
agreed at COP21 in December 2015, is accelerating that shift. International Energy
Agency (IEA) analysis has found, however, that the path set by the initial round of
NDCs is consistent with an average global temperature increase of around 2.7°C by
2100 and above 3°C thereafter (Birol, 2016). Energy and Climate change are
correlated because after using the advanced technology and renewal source of
energy generation, CO2 emission would be happening, So, it could be only slow
down. And RCPs will provide the impact of our efforts in slowing down the process by
forecasting till 2100.

Managing energy demand is a vital tool to reduce emissions, notably through energy
efficiency measures which improve energy productivity and thereby reduce the
amount of energy needed to support continued economic growth. Lower levels of
energy demand are tied to lower emissions across the IEA 2°C scenarios (Birol, 2016).

RCPs provides stronger tracking frameworks and better energy data and metrics can
support sound domestic policy development and implementation, and help countries
understand whether current actions are consistent with short- and long-term goals for
the low-carbon energy transition.

Actions to reduce emissions in industry and transport will, therefore, be critical to limit
temperature rise to well below 2°C. Efforts are needed to decarbonise these sectors,
such as through more extensive fuel switching to renewables and potentially
increasing CCS in the industry and increasing the use of fossil fuel alternatives in
aviation. Efforts are also needed to address demand; for example, in transport, by
finding alternatives to using personal light-duty vehicles as well as improving the
dispatch of heavy-duty freight vehicles to reduce low-capacity trips.
DMI_REM_Individual Assignment Vikram Rana (PDM-03-027)

What is perhaps less apparent in the preceding figures is the impact on energy
emissions of avoiding demand. Reducing emissions is not simply a case of switching
from high-carbon to low-carbon energy generation systems, such as renewables and
nuclear, but also managing the demand for energy. Energy efficiency is key in this
regard; additional structural and even behavioural changes can also help obviate
the need for energy while still meeting growth, poverty alleviation and consumer
objectives. For example, although total final energy consumption increases in all IEA
scenarios through 2050 relative to the current level, the 2DS provides for 136 exa joules
(EJ) less than the 4DS in 2050 (455 EJ compared with 591 EJ). This reduction in energy
demand is greater than the current consumption of energy from coal and natural gas
combined and close to that of oil.

Mitigating climate change is one of the biggest challenges that confront mankind in
the present millennium. The problem has continued to dominate public debates in
terms of its origin, sources, potential impacts and possible adaptation strategies.

Energy is and will continue to be a primary engine for economic development. It is

central to achieving the goals of sustainable development. Socio-economic
development requires energy for improved living standards, enhanced productivity,
effective transportation of goods to the point of need, and as inputs to a wide range
of economic production activities. Energy represents material comfort to industrialized
countries, but the way to the alleviation of poverty in developing countries (Akpan &
Akpan, 2012). The three last centuries have seen mankind’s substantial dependence
upon an ever-growing use of fossil fuels (coal, oil and gas) for industrialization and
urbanization (Cao, 2003; Reddish and Rand, 1996). However, the exploitation of
energy to drive the growth process of many nations comes with increasing costs of
environmental pollution (Akpan & Akpan, 2012). So, it can only be delayed with the
help of RCPs in the rise of global temperature by 2o C at the end of this millennium
(2100)… in achieving this information will play a vital role through RCPs…

REFERENCES
Akpan, U. F., & Akpan, G. E. (2012). The Contribution of Energy Consumption to
Climate Change: A Feasible Policy Direction. International Journal of Energy
Economics and Policy , 21-33.
DMI_REM_Individual Assignment Vikram Rana (PDM-03-027)

Birol, D. F. (2016). Energy, Climate Change & Environment. Paris: International Energy
Agency.