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Energy 128 (2017) 626e633

Contents lists available at ScienceDirect

Energy
journal homepage: www.elsevier.com/locate/energy

An energy and cost comparison of residential water heating


technologies
Christopher M. Keinath, Srinivas Garimella*
G.W. Woodruff School of Mechanical Engineering, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA, USA

a r t i c l e i n f o a b s t r a c t

Article history: Water heating is a significant user of energy. Several studies have investigated the development of more
Received 5 July 2015 efficient systems. The present study compares several commercially available options for water heating
Received in revised form and compares them with the performance of a recently developed of a gas-fired heat pump water
16 February 2017
heating system. Comparisons of each technology are conducted using annual energy use and operating
Accepted 13 March 2017
cost metrics. Payback period predictions for the gas and electric heat pumps are performed with the
Available online 22 April 2017
electric and non-condensing gas storage units as a base case. Electric and gas heat pumps, at total initial
costs of $2,400, are estimated to require 3.6 and 3.1 year payback periods when compared to an electric
Keywords:
Water heater
storage unit, respectively, while a gas heat pump with a total initial cost of $2000 is estimated to require
Heat pump 2.3 years. For this study a gas heat pump cost of $2400 was assumed. Daily total draw cases for a gas heat
Energy usage pump of 243, 303 and 379 L compared to a non-condensing gas storage unit as the base case show
Operating cost payback periods of 4, 3.2 and 2.5 years, respectively. This analysis shows that electric and gas heat pump
Absorption technologies offer significant energy use and operational cost savings compared to baseline water
heating technologies with reasonable payback periods.
© 2017 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.

1. Introduction there are more ENERGY STAR© rated water heaters available. The
life expectancy of a water heater is 10e15 years [5], which makes
Water heating is the second largest user of energy in house- increasing the availability and number of these products more
holds, accounting for up to 18% of total energy costs [5]. As a result, pressing because the opportunity to replace these units is infre-
focus on the development of more efficient water heaters has quent. To address this, two approaches should be taken. First, the
increased over the past decade. More efficient water heater designs, number of already commercially proven and available ENERGY
like heat pump systems, are being developed to offer Energy Fac- STAR© systems should be increased. Second, the development and
tors (EF) above current designs. The Energy Factor is a rating based commercialization of new ENERGY STAR© qualifying water heaters
on a representative daily energy usage test to allow for comparison is needed. In combination, more energy efficient water heaters will
between different water heating technologies. Direct heated sys- be available to consumers and increase market share.
tems are limited to Energy Factors of one or less and have been The present study considers both of the steps mentioned above.
approaching this theoretical limit for some time. The Energy Factor A survey is performed to determine the overall state and avail-
is one of the criteria considered in the ENERGY STAR© rating of ability of ENERGY STAR© water heaters. Current water heater
water heaters. technologies are discussed. A recently developed gas-fired ab-
In 2015, manufacturers shipped 8.4 million storage water heater sorption heat pump water heater that offers EF values greater than
in the United States, of which 52% were gas storage units [2]. In one is also discussed. Energy and cost analyses are performed to
2009, only 12.5% of the water heaters shipped in the United States evaluate the current state of water heaters from a consumer’s
were ENERGY STAR© rated [16]. Increasing the number of units perspective and the cost of a gas heat pump to allow for a
shipped that meet this rating criterion is important in reducing reasonable payback period is estimated.
residential energy consumption. This is more likely to happen if

2. Prior work
* Corresponding author.
E-mail address: sgarimella@gatech.edu (S. Garimella). The studies discussed in this section investigate the cost

http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.energy.2017.03.055
0360-5442/© 2017 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
C.M. Keinath, S. Garimella / Energy 128 (2017) 626e633 627

implications of changes to water heater insulation and parts, as well gas units provided lower life-cycle cost for homes with large vol-
as the implementation of new water heater designs. Changes in ume water heaters.
designs to meet US Department of Energy (DOE) standards, and the The studies discussed above highlight different aspects of
implementation of heat pump, gas instantaneous or tankless, and different water heating technologies. Some valuable findings about
condensing gas storage units are also discussed. heat pump water heaters were reported. The first is that the use of a
Lekov et al. [15] performed a study to estimate the energy sav- heat pump did not result in hot water run-outs as is a concern of
ings potential and associated costs for water heaters driven by many evaluating the viability of this technology. The second is that
three different energy sources: a 190 L electric heated unit, a 150 L the high-efficiency units are most suited for homes with large
gas-fired unit, and a 120 L oil-fired unit. Baseline models with volume water heaters where they provide lower life cycle costs.
current technology and future models that incorporate new
mandated features were assessed. Variation in future models 3. Rating systems
included different thicknesses of water blown and HFC-245a blown
insulation (to be used in place of HCFC-141b blown insulation), heat Several rating systems have been instituted to allow for the
traps, plastic tanks, improved flue baffles, side arm heaters and evaluation and comparison of different water heater designs on an
several other potential improvements. The study showed that for equivalent basis. The Energy Factor allows for comparison of per-
the water heaters investigated, energy-efficiency can be increased formance across all designs and is a U.S. Department of Energy test
by 4% for electric units, 9% for gas-fired units and 2% for oil fired that evaluates energy usage throughout a representative day. Test
units. The importance of the blowing agent and insulation thick- conditions, instrumentation, installation, test procedure and
ness to reduce standby losses was highlighted. A payback period calculation requirements can be found at DoE [4].
threshold of less than four years was used to determine acceptable Technology-specific ratings have also been developed, and
designs. The study concluded that electric and gas-fired water include the First-Hour Rating (FHR) for storage water heaters, and
heaters offer a much higher and cost-effective efficiency level with the Liters-per-Minute (LPM) flow rating for instantaneous water
an acceptable payback than oil-fired units. heaters. The FHR is the maximum volume of hot water that a
Tomlinson and Murphy [19] investigated the performance of 17 storage water tank can supply within an hour where the tank is
integrated electric heat pump water heaters installed at homes in initially fully heated. The LPM is the maximum flow rate that can be
the United States over a period of 18 months. Eleven of the units provided by an instantaneous water heater while maintaining a
were installed in the South East Region. The units were equipped temperature rise of 43  C [6]. The U.S. Department of Energy uses
with electric resistance heaters for back up heating. Units were these tests to benchmark technologies. The EF and other tests are
switched between heat pump and electric resistance heating to used to set lower limits to the ENERGY STAR© rating. These values
allow for comparison of operational performance. The average co- have increased and continue to increase as technologies are
efficient of performance (COPs) values in resistance and heat pump improved. For electric storage units, a minimum EF and FHR of 2.0
mode were calculated to be 0.86 and 2.00, respectively. Consumers and 189 L per hour are required, respectively. For gas storage units,
experienced an average energy savings of 55% with a heat pump a minimum EF and FHR of 0.67 and 254 L per hour are required,
water heater. This shows that there is the potential for significant respectively. For gas instantaneous units, a minimum EF of 0.82 and
energy and monetary savings for an end user. Other important LPM of 9.5 L per minute are required.
findings from this study were that hot water draw patterns varied Another aspect relevant to the comparison of fossil fuel and
significantly from 87 to more than 417 L per day, compressor run- electric heated units is the accounting of the inefficiencies related
times were expectedly long (multiple hours and up to 11.5 h per to the generation and transmission of electricity. When accounting
day) and the use of the heat pump did not aggravate hot water run- for these inefficiencies, the word Primary is typically used as a
outs as might be expected. They defined hot water run-outs as a prefix for the variable of interest, e.g., Primary EF. The penalty
draw that ended with a tank outlet temperature of 40.5  C or lower. associated with this added cost for grid electricity is a factor of 3.14
Run-outs were typically experienced less than 5 times a day and [3]. Similarly, source penalties associated with natural gas, propane
were not dependent on the mode of operation (resistance heater or and heating oil No. 2 are 1.05, 1.01 and 1.01, respectively.
heat pump).
Schoenbauer et al. [18] investigated the use of gas-fired storage 4. Water heater designs
water heaters, instantaneous water heaters, and condensing
instantaneous water heaters for residential applications by per- Water heating technologies investigated in the present study
forming field tests at ten households. The 15-month study showed are briefly described here, along with their advantages and limi-
that instantaneous water heaters allowed for a reduction in energy tations. The majority of these technologies are commercially
use and operational cost when compared to the standard gas-fired available and information on them was gathered from nationwide
storage unit. Non-condensing instantaneous units used 22e54% distributors [10], manufacturers (Rheem, Electrolux, Westing-
less energy than the storage units. Condensing instantaneous units house), and energy related agencies [1,6]. Gas storage (non-
used 23e63% less energy than storage units. However, the high condensing, condensing and heat pump), electric storage (direct
installation cost, in addition to a lengthy payback period, makes the heated and heat pump), tankless (non-condensing, condensing and
instantaneous units economically undesirable. electric) and heating oil water heaters are reviewed below. Figs. 1
Lekov et al. [14] conducted a life-cycle cost and payback period and 2 show schematics of the water heating technologies under
analysis for gas and electric storage water heaters. The study was consideration here.
motivated by new energy efficiency standards for residential water
heaters by the US Department of Energy set to take effect in 2015. 4.1. Gas storage
Gas storage (condensing and non-condensing), electric storage and
electric heat pump storage water heaters were assessed. Capital, These systems use the combustion of natural gas or liquid pro-
installation and operational costs were considered for each unit. pane to directly heat stored water. Natural gas systems are more
The study showed that efficiency improvements to the baseline common in areas with local natural gas utilities. Propane systems
units reduce the life-cycle cost in most cases for gas and electric are more common in areas where on-site gas storage is required.
water heaters. They found that electric heat pump and condensing The combustion of gas to heat water is simple, effective and
628 C.M. Keinath, S. Garimella / Energy 128 (2017) 626e633

Fig. 1. Schematics of gas water heaters.

Fig. 2. Schematics of electric water heaters.

reliable, making it a widely adopted technology for residential surveyed ranged from 529 to 583 L with storage tank volumes of
water heating. 227e303 L. Storage volume sizes align with the idea that these
Standard gas storage water heaters (Fig. 1a) are available with a higher efficiency systems are cost effective in high water usage
range of system parameters. For the units surveyed, these param- installations. Energy Factor values are not reported but are ex-
eters include heating rate (9e23 kW), tank volume (110e370 L), EF pected to be 0.77 or higher. This increase in efficiency comes with
rating (0.48e0.69), height (1.3e1.9 m), and diameter (0.4e0.7 m). increased system complexity, size and cost, and as a result, this
The FHR for these systems ranged from 185 to 511 L. It should be technology is targeted at households of 5 or more to help reduce its
noted that the higher EF rated units are power damper and power payback period.
vent systems. The large number of options cater well to the selec-
tion of a gas water heater for any residential capacity and space 4.2. Gas tankless
constraint. Few parts and a long product life make these units
inexpensive and worry-free for most users. However, direct heating Gas tankless units allow for on demand hot water use without a
and combustion losses for the non-condensing systems lead to low water storage tank and the stand-by losses associated with a tank
EF values. The theoretical limit for a direct heated unit is 1, with (Fig. 1c). Many of these units are ENERGY STAR© rated and they are a
these systems operating well below this value. good option where space is a significant constraint. Although these
A more efficient gas storage technology is one where the com- systems maintain high EF values, they are direct heated and limited
busted materials are cooled to the point of water vapor conden- to EF values below 1. Also, the achievable temperature of delivered
sation (Fig. 1b). This allows for almost all of the heat of combustion hot water is a function of water flow rate, and simultaneous water
to be transferred to the water tank. The FHR for the systems draws may limit the temperature of water delivered to each user.
C.M. Keinath, S. Garimella / Energy 128 (2017) 626e633 629

Table 1 4.4. Heating oil-fired units


Water heater fuel pricing [7].

Fuel type Fuel cost Oil-fired water heater units operate in a manner similar to the
Propane 0.76 $ liter1
gas-fired units. A mixture of oil and air is combusted to heat stored
Natural Gas 1.097 $ therm1 water. These units have a high capital cost and relatively low EF
Electricity 0.125 $ kWh1 values in the 0.53e0.55 range. High fuel costs are another drawback
Heating Oil No. 2 0.99 $ liter1 of these systems.

4.5. Electric storage


High installation cost and lengthy payback periods, as highlighted
by Schoenbauer et al. [18]; are other drawbacks of these systems.
Similar to non-condensing gas storage units, electric storage
Non-condensing gas tankless units are available for a range of
water heaters are available with a range of system parameters
system parameters. The heating rate and EF of these units range
(Fig. 2a). These parameters include heating rate (7.6e11 kW), tank
from 22 to 59 kW and 0.82, respectively. The Liter-per-Minute
volume (110e435 L), EF rating (0.86e0.95), height (0.66e1.8 m),
rating ranges from 12.5 to 16.3 LPM.
and diameter (0.45e0.8 m). The range of water heating options
Condensing gas tankless units are available for the larger
makes selecting an electric storage unit for a desired size and space
heating capacities (46e58 kW) The Energy Factor of the surveyed
constraint straightforward. Few parts and long product life make
systems ranged from 0.91 to 0.98. The Liter-per-Minute rating
these units inexpensive and maintenance free for most users.
ranged from 14.4 to 21.2 LPM. Similar to condensing gas storage
The high EF values appear to make these units attractive.
units, the added costs of these systems result in them being tar-
However, based on the ENERGY STAR© rating system, none of these
geted to large draw households. The EF values achieved show that
units qualify as ENERGY STAR© products. This is because electric
this technology is approaching its EF limit and alternative tech-
storage units are required to have EF values greater than 2.0. This is
nologies will be required for gas-fired systems to achieve higher EF
in part to account for electricity production and transmission los-
values.
ses. If the EF is adjusted to account for these losses [3], the Primary
EF values for the surveyed electric storage units range from 0.27 to
0.31.
4.3. Gas heat pump

At present, there are no commercially available gas heat pump 4.6. Electric tankless
water heaters at the residential capacity. However, studies con-
ducted by a number of researchers [8,9,11e13] have shown the Electric tankless water heaters can be sized to meet the needs of
potential of such systems. Garrabrant et al. [8] presented experi- a single location within a home (e.g., kitchen sink) or meet the
mental results from three absorption heat pump storage water needs of an entire home (Fig. 2b). As a result, capacities can range
heater systems (284 L tank) that were indicative of EF values of from a few kilowatts to tens of kilowatts. Heating rates of the sys-
1.2e1.3. Keinath and Garimella [13] presented experimental results tems surveyed here range from 18 to 38 kW. The high on-demand
for a compact packaged prototype absorption heat pump using electrical need of these units requires dedicated high amperage
microchannel heat and mass exchangers. The system was designed breakers for many of these systems. Some residences may not be
to be tank mounted, similar to current electric heat pump water equipped to handle the electrical demand of the larger tankless
heaters and provided 2.58 kW at a COP of 1.6. These systems used units.
the combustion of natural gas to drive an absorption heat pump
system (Fig. 1d). This system is more complex than a direct heated 4.7. Electric heat pump
system, is larger and more costly, but with benefits of lower energy
use and operating costs. These emerging compact and cost ENERGY STAR© qualifying EF values are one of several benefits of
competitive gas-fired absorption heat pump systems enable a electric heat pump units. Energy Factor and FHR values of the units
commercially viable gas-fired storage water heater to achieve EF surveyed ranged from 2.35 to 3.0 and 216e289 L, respectively. The
values greater than 1. This is significant because gas water heating corresponding Primary EF values ranged from 0.75 to 0.96. These
technologies are currently limited to EF values less than 1, while units operate by pumping low grade heat from the surroundings to
electric heat pump systems are advancing electric water heating the desired water heating temperature, at which it is used to heat a
options to EF values greater than 1. water storage tank (Fig. 2c). Electric heat pump systems are

Fig. 3. Energy Factors for systems under investigation.


630 C.M. Keinath, S. Garimella / Energy 128 (2017) 626e633

Table 2
Water heating systems investigated.

Fuel Storage or instantaneous ENERGY STAR© Heating rate Storage volume EF Unit cost
kW L $

Gas Storage No 22.0 284 0.59 1228


Gas Storage (Condensing) Yes 22.3 303 0.80 2789
Gas Instantaneous Yes 58.6 e 0.82 1023
Gas Instantaneous (Condensing) Yes 58.6 e 0.94 1299
Gas Storage (Heat Pump) N/A 2.8 284 1.3 N/A
Propane Storage No 20.5 284 0.59 1258
Propane Storage (Condensing) Yes 22.3 227 0.80 2403
Propane Instantaneous Yes 58.6 e 0.82 1154
Propane Instantaneous (Condensing) Yes 58.6 e 0.94 1173
Electricity Storage No 11 303 0.92 591
Electricity Instantaneous No 36 e 0.98 848
Electricity Storage (Heat Pump) Yes e 303 3.0 1899
Oil No. 2 Storage No e 189 0.55 2000

designed to operate within ambient temperature ranges of The average household in the U.S. uses 243 L of hot water a day [5].
0e60  C. The working fluid of the electric heat pump depends on This value is used in the base case evaluation of the technologies
the unit, and manufacturers currently use R-410a and R-134a. In investigated here. Table 1 presents pricing information for fuels
addition to the heat pump, the water heaters are equipped with an used by commercially available water heaters. The values presented
electric resistance back-up heater located in the top half of the tank. are the average of residential price data for 2014 published by the
This heater can assist during periods of significant water draws or Energy Information Agency [7]. The Energy Factor is the final input
when the ambient temperature is outside the range of operation of required for the estimation of annual energy consumption and is
the heat pump. Tomlinson and Murphy [19] indicated that typical published by nationwide distributors and manufacturers as noted
heat pump water heater operation did not require the use of this in the previous section. Fig. 3 shows a plot of the Energy Factor
back up heater, which can be disabled in most systems. ranges for these water heating technologies. It can be seen that
Heat pump systems offer the benefits of better EF values, but many of the direct heated systems are approaching their theoretical
with the penalty of increased system complexity, size and cost, limit of one, while heat pump systems have EF values greater than
making them more suitable primarily for large draw households one. Accounting for inefficiencies in the generation and trans-
where the payback period can be reduced. Other potential draw- mission of electricity [6] shows that a gas-fired heat pump would
backs are that the extraction of ambient heat by the heat pump may offer the highest Primary EF. It should be noted that an EF value of
negatively impact conditioned space temperature, and the opera- 3.14 or greater would be required for the electric heat pump to
tional noise (compressor and fan) may disturb occupants. achieve Primary EF values of 1 or greater.
Equations (1) and (2) are used to estimate the annual energy
5. Energy and cost analysis usage and operating cost of a specific water heating system. The
mass term is determined based on the assumed volume of water
The annual energy usage and operating cost of each technology used in a day. The specific heat of water is calculated using the
is an important factor in the evaluation of water heater technolo- average temperature of water. The temperature difference is
gies. Typically, less expensive units use more energy and have assumed to be 45 K based on the water being heated from a ground
higher operating costs, negating the benefit of the lower capital water temperature of 15  C to a stored temperature of 60  C. Fuel
investment within a few years. On the other hand, technologies cost values presented in Table 1 are converted to appropriate units
requiring increased capital and lower operating costs are not and used for applicable water designs.
economically viable for low hot water usage situations. Therefore,
water heaters are designed with specific residence capacities in m$cpwater;avg $DTwater
mind. Energyannual ¼ $365 days (1)
EFwaterheater
Hot water usage, fuel cost and water heater efficiency are all
important factors that contribute to the merits of a water heater.

Fig. 4. Annual energy usage of water heaters investigated.


C.M. Keinath, S. Garimella / Energy 128 (2017) 626e633 631

Fig. 5. Annual operating cost of water heaters investigated.

Fig. 6. Estimated payback period for water heaters investigated.

This analysis provides an additional comparative metric and helps


Costannual ¼ Energyannual $Costfuel (2) establish pricing targets for the emerging gas-fired heat pump
water heater. Installation costs were approximated based on values
Representative water heating systems, of those surveyed above, reported from several sources [1,14,17].
were selected for each technology of interest (Table 2). Larger ca-
pacity units were selected for each technology, because this study ðCostwater heater  Costbaseline ÞUnit þ Installation
Payback ¼ (3)
focuses on comparison with advanced water heating technologies ðCostbaseline  Costwater heater ÞAnnual Operation
that are typically more suitable for larger residential water heating
applications.
The (simple) payback period for each unit was calculated using
Equation (3). The electric storage and non-condensing gas storage 6. Results and discussion
units are used as the baseline costs depending on the case under
consideration. Payback periods are determined for the more effi- Annual energy use and operating costs of selected water heating
cient and expensive units to estimate the time required to recover technologies are presented for the base case of 243 L per day. The
the additional initial capital cost compared to the baseline units. natural gas water heaters are then investigated for additional daily

Fig. 7. Total lifetime cost for water heaters investigated.


632 C.M. Keinath, S. Garimella / Energy 128 (2017) 626e633

total draw volumes (303 and 379 L) to allow for comparison of the significant capital costs and low EF values result in the long payback
more advanced gas-fired technologies. period for the condensing gas storage system.
Another important consideration for residential water heaters is
6.1. Base case of 243 L per day that they are replaced every 10e15 years. Higher efficiency units
will continue to save the user energy and money beyond the
Fig. 4 shows a graph of the estimated annual energy usage for payback period. Fig. 7 shows a plot of total unit cost over a 13 year
each technology assuming a daily draw volume of 243 L. The plot period. For this graph, the initial cost of the gas-fired heat pump
shows that energy usage is reduced with increased system system is assumed to be $2000. The gas-fired heat pump unit has
complexity. The gas and electric heat pumps use the least energy of the lowest total cost after 13 years. The high EF values and
the systems investigated. This is expected, as the heat pumps use comparatively low price of natural gas contribute to this result. The
low-grade heat from the ambient and pump it to a higher tem- gas-fired heat pump has an estimated lifetime cost of $3,800, while
perature. Heating oil based storage water heating uses the most the electric heat pump has a lifetime cost of $5200. The electric and
energy annually due to its low EF value. It should be noted that the non-condensing gas storage units have lifetime costs of $9000 and
performance of each water heater is based on the EF testing and the $5,600, respectively. The heat pump units offer substantial energy
ambient assumed to be the rating condition of 20  C. This standard and cost saving when compared to their basic direct-heated
case was investigated for several reasons. The change in water counterparts.
temperature entering the heat pump has a much more significant
impact on the performance of the unit. The location of the water 6.2. Large daily total draws
heater in a household can vary significantly, even within the same
general region/city/location. Specifying performance for specific The total cost (unit and installation) of the gas-fired heat pump
locations could therefore be not as generally relevant as desirable. was estimated assuming a 4-year (simple) payback with the non-
Fig. 5 shows a graph of the estimated annual operating cost of condensing gas storage unit as the base case. The total cost
each technology. All of the gas-fired systems, except for the non- required was determined to be $2400. Increasing this gas-fired heat
condensing gas storage, have operating costs that are competitive pump EF and minimizing total cost would help to reduce the
with the electric heat pump. The gas-fired heat pump has the payback period and make the unit more appealing to a consumer.
lowest operating cost of all units evaluated. The electric heat pump The study presented by Tomlinson and Murphy [19] noted that
offers a significant operating cost reduction when compared to the daily total draw volumes can be as high as 417 L per day, depending
other electric heating technologies. The high operating cost of the on the household. They reported that individual occupant usage
propane units is a function of fuel cost and fuel energy density. As ranged from 38 to 117 L per day and averaged 73 L. As a result, daily
noted previously, propane systems would primarily be used in lo- draw volumes of 303 and 379 L were investigated, in addition to the
cations where natural gas utilities are not available. 243 L per day draw for gas water heaters and represented the
The payback period of water heating technologies, with respect addition of occupants. These larger daily draws are representative
to investment in an electric storage unit, were then investigated. of households with more occupants. As previously noted, more
The electric storage unit was chosen as the base case because of its advanced and more expensive units are targeted towards larger
low capital and installation cost. Unit costs were reported in Table 2 draw residences to minimize the payback period.
and installation costs were estimated based on available data Fig. 8 shows a graph of the estimated annual energy usage for
[1,14,17]. The cost of the emerging gas-fired heat pump is unknown, the gas water heaters under consideration. For all cases, the gas-
and for the purpose of this study, a total cost (unit and installation) fired heat pump (with an EF of 1.3) uses approximately 45% of the
is assumed. If the gas heat pump has a total cost equivalent to that energy required for the non-condensing gas storage system, a sig-
of the electric heat pump system ($2,400) the payback period for nificant energy reduction.
the gas-fired heat pump is 3.1 years. The payback period for the The estimated annual operating cost for the gas water heaters
electric heat pump is 3.6 years. These payback periods are below was also investigated. For all cases considered, the gas heat pump
the 4 year threshold mentioned by Lekov et al. [15]. operating cost is roughly 45% of the non-condensing gas storage
The payback period of a $2400 gas heat pump with respect to operating cost. Assuming a total capital cost (unit and installation
the non-condensing gas storage unit would be 4 years, which is at
the limit of acceptability. For this technology to be successful, it
must limit potential barriers to acceptance, including payback. The
fact that the gas heat pump would be a replacement for a gas unit in
most instances means that this payback period should be short.
Reducing the total cost to $2000 would bring the payback period to
1.5 years with respect to the non-condensing gas storage unit. The
current target for a gas heat pump would be for a total cost within
the $2000 to $2400 range.
If the total gas-fired heat pump cost was reduced to $2,000, a
payback period of 2.3 years with respect to the electric storage unit
would be achieved. Fig. 6 shows a graph of payback periods and
includes the gas-fired heat pump case of $2000. If this total cost is
achieved, it will offer the lowest payback period (roughly two-
thirds of the electric heat pump) of the water heating units
considered.
Reducing unit cost and/or implementing these units in house-
holds with larger daily draw values will help meet this payback
threshold. The graph also shows that the non-condensing gas
storage and tankless units offer the second shortest payback pe-
riods. This is because of the low unit and operating costs. The Fig. 8. Annual energy usage for three different daily draw amounts.
C.M. Keinath, S. Garimella / Energy 128 (2017) 626e633 633

costs) of $2,400, the payback period for daily draws of 243, 303, and pump, at a lifetime cost of $3,800, would save $1800 over the life of
379 L are 4, 3.2 and 2.5 years, respectively, with the non- the unit compared to a non-condensing gas storage water heater
condensing gas water heater as the baseline system. ($5600). It is clear that emerging heat pump technologies, espe-
Targeting larger water draw households is a good way to cially gas-fired units, contribute significantly to the reduction of
minimize the payback period. However, large volume (212 L) household energy consumption and provide considerable lifetime
water heaters only account for roughly 4% of gas storage and 9% of cost benefits despite somewhat higher initial costs.
electric storage water heater shipments [14]. As more advanced gas
water heaters come to market, this small demographic will become
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