POLL EMBARGOED UNTIL 6th APRIL 2018, 6 AM EST

Ontarians’ Party Preference

and Reaction to the Budget
6th April 2018
METHODOLOGY
The analysis in this report is based of results
of a survey was conducted between April
3rd to April 4th, 2018 among a sample of
1969 adults, 18 years of age or older, living
in Ontario. The survey was conducted using
automated telephone interviews (Smart IVR).
Respondents were interviews on landlines
and cellular phones.
The sampling frame was derived from both
a national telephone directory compiled by
Mainstreet Research from various sources and
random digit dialing. The part of the survey
that dialed from the directory was conducted
as a stratified dial of the following regions;
Toronto (also known as the 416 region),
the Greater Toronto Area (also known as
the 905 region), South Central Ontario,
Southwestern Ontario, Eastern Ontario, and
Northern Ontario. In the case of random digit
dials, respondents were asked the additional
question of what region of the province they
resided in.
The survey was conducted by Mainstreet
Research and was not sponsored by a third
party.
The margin of error for this survey is +/- 2.21%
and is accurate 19 times out of 20.
(full methodology appears at the end of this
report)
ABOUT MAINSTREET
With 20 years of political experience in all
three levels of government, President and CEO
Quito Maggi is a respected commentator on
international public affairs.
Differentiated by its large sample sizes,
Mainstreet Research has provided accurate
snapshots of public opinion, having predicted
a majority NDP government in Alberta, and
was the only polling firm to correctly predict a
Liberal majority government in the 2015 federal
election. Mainstreet also accurately predicted
the Miami & New York City Mayoral elections.
and the Alabama special election in 2017.
Mainstreet Research is a member of the World
Association for Public Opinion Research and
meets international and Canadian publication
standards.
CONTACT INFORMATION
In Ottawa:
Quito Maggi, President
quito@mainstreetresearch.ca
In Toronto:
Dr. Joseph Angolano, Vice President
joseph@mainstreetresearch.ca
Find us online at:
www.mainstreetresearch.ca
twitter.com/MainStResearch
facebook.com/mainstreetresearch
BUDGET GIVES NO BOOST TO LIBERALS, PCs STILL IN COMMANDING LEAD

6 APRIL 2018 (TORONTO, ON) – The latest Ontario budget has not improved the governing Liberals’
fortunes in public support, the latest Mainstreet Research poll finds.

The poll finds that the PCs have now climbed to 50.3% support among decided and leaning voters.
The Liberals led by Kathleen Wynne are at 23.9%. The NDP led by Andrea Horwath currently sit with
18.3% support, while Mike Schreiner and the Greens have 5.2%.

“Our poll shows that the budget has so far not moved the needle in favour of the Liberals,” said
Quito Maggi, President and CEO of Mainstreet Research. “While it may give them a boost during
the election when more voters are paying attention, there is no evidence that shows the budget has
given the Wynne Liberals the shot in the arm that they badly need at this time.”

When asked whether the measures in the budget would make them more or less likely to vote Liberal
in June, 53.1% said the budget made them less likely to vote Liberals, while 20.4% said that they are
now more likely to vote Liberal. 14.2% said that the budget had no effect on their considerations to
vote. 12.3% said they were undecided.

“Just 7% of respondents who are undecided about their vote said the budget made them more likely
to vote Liberal, along with 18.5% of NDP supporters and 13.4% of Green voters,” added Maggi. “The
Liberals need more of these progressive voters to switch their votes in June if they are to have a
chance to win.”

When asked whether they had a favourable opinion of each party leader, the poll found that Wynne
has a -46.8% net favourability rating, while Ford has a -6.3% rating. Only Horwath enjoys a positive
net rating (8.1%).

“We have never seen a party lead by such a large margin and their leader have a net negative
favourability rating at the same time this close to the start of a campaign,” continued Maggi. “Ontario
voters are not in love with Doug Ford, but they are in an angry and ornery mood and seem ready to
vote for the PCs just because they are not the Liberals.”

“The campaign will start in just over a month and large leads can evaporate”, concluded Maggi. “But
starting with such a gap to close and news of more incumbent candidates choosing not to seek re-
election, likely reduces the chances that the Wynne Liberals can pull off a comeback by June 7th”

The poll surveyed 1969 Ontarians aged 18 and over between April 3rd and 4th 2018. The poll has a
margin of error of +/- 2.21% and is accurate 19 times out of 20.

-30-

For additional information or to arrange an interview, contact:

Dr. Joseph Angolano, 647-894-1552 - joseph@mainstreetresearch.ca
 All Voters
If a provincial election were held today, which
party would you vote for?
16.7%
20.1%

1.8%

4%

All Voters

14.2%

Decided and Leaning Voters

43.2%

2.4%
5.2%

Liberals Progressive Conservatives NDP Green

23.9%

Another Party Undecided

18.3%

Decided and Leaning Voters

50.3%

Liberals Progressive Conservatives NDP Green

If a provincial election were held today, which party would you
vote for?
(regional breakouts)

33.3%
42.8%
Toronto

17.5%
3.3%
3%

25.8%
56.0%
GTA

13.9%
2.3%
2.1%

25.2%
50.2%
East

15.3%
7.0%
2.2%

18.4%
South Central

51.9%
20.3%
8.7%
0.7%

13.3%
Southwestern

53.4%
24.3%
7.3%
1.7%

20.6%
40.5%
North

23.6%
8.9%
6.4%

0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60

Liberals PCs NDP Green Another Party

 Which party, if any, would be your second
choice?
Liberals PCs

8.5% 6.8%

25.2%

29.8%

1.2%
Liberals
Liberals
53.1%
PCs

7.8%

8.5%
57.3%

NDP Greens 6.7%

25.2% 3.6%

14.1%
PCs NDP
19.4% Greens Another Party No Second Choice Liberals NDP Greens Another Party No Second Choice

30.8%
34.6%

2% 1.2% Liberals
17.5%

NDP
7.8% Greens

17.6%

57.3%

11.4%

26.2%
26.4%

Liberals PCs Greens PCs NDP

Another Party No Greens
Second Choice AnotherLiberals
Party No
PCs Second
NDP Choice
Another Party No Second Choice
 How likely are you to change your vote from
your first choice to your second choice?
berals PCs

6.1% 8.7% 4.9% 8.6%

13.1%
16.1%

37.5%
Liberals
Liberals PCs

53.8% 19.6%

6.1% 8.7%

DP 31.6% Greens

7.4% 6.6% 16.1% 6.9%

13%
Very Likely Somewhat Likely Somewhat Unlikely Very Likely Somewhat Likely Somewhat Unlikely

Very Unlikely Not Sure Very Unlikely Not Sure

37.5% 24%
Liberals
19.3% 31.4%
33%
NDP Greens

31.6%

29% 29.3%

Very Likely Very

Somewhat Likely Likely
Somewhat Somewhat
Unlikely Likely Somewhat
Very Likely Unlikely
Somewhat Likely Somewhat Unlikely

Very Unlikely Not Sure Very Unlikely Not Sure Very Unlikely Not Sure
Do you have a favourable or unfavourable opinion
of [PROVINCIAL PARTY LEADER]?

100

9.2%
9.6%

90

80 16%

70

38.3%
33.1%
60

50
43.6%

40
24.8%

33.3%
30
67.4%

20 12.8% 15.6%

10
20.7%

37.3%

32.9%

0
Wynne Ford Horwath Schreiner

Favourable Not Favourable Not Sure Not Familiar

Last week, the Ontario government presented its final budget
before the election. Based on what you have seen and heard,
do the contents of the budget make you more or less likely to
vote Liberal in the next provincial election?
(broken out by party support)

All 20.4% 14.2% 53.1% 12.3%

OLP 66.9% 15.1% 7% 11.1%

PC 9.3% 81.9%

NDP 18.5% 22.3% 44.5% 14.8%

Green 13.4% 22.3% 48.6% 15.7%

Undecided 6.9% 15.8% 31.9% 45.4%

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

Support No Difference Less Likely To Support Not Sure

Breakouts
If a provincial election were held today, which party would you vote for?
(all voters)
18- 35- 50- South
All Male Female 65+ 416 905 East Southwestern North
34 49 64 Central
Liberals led by Kathleen Wynne 20.1% 16.9% 23.2% 17.2% 16.2% 22.8% 25.8% 27.5% 21.5% 23.1% 14.6% 11.3% 17.6%
Progressive Conservatives led by
43.2% 53% 33.7% 42.1% 44.7% 43.6% 42.2% 37.6% 48.5% 42.3% 45.1% 45.5% 31.6%
Doug Ford
NDP led by Andrea Horwath 14.2% 11.4% 16.9% 16% 15.7% 12.3% 12.4% 14.7% 10.2% 13.3% 15.8% 17.7% 17.6%
Greens led by Mike Schreiner 4% 3% 4.9% 4.3% 5.2% 3.7% 2.3% 2.7% 1.9% 5.3% 6.8% 5.3% 6.4%
Another Party 1.8% 3% 0.6% 2.8% 1.4% 1.7% 1.1% 1.5% 1.9% 2.1% 0.3% 1.6% 5%
Undecided 16.7% 12.7% 20.6% 17.7% 16.8% 15.9% 16.2% 15.9% 15.9% 13.9% 17.3% 18.5% 21.8%
Unweighted Frequency 1969 1103 866 294 542 640 493 438 526 264 246 375 120
Weighted Frequency 1969 968 1001 553 496 541 380 458 541 263 176 411 120

(leaning and undecided voters)

18- 35- 50- South
All Male Female 65+ 416 905 East Southwestern North
34 49 64 Central
Liberals led by Kathleen Wynne 21.9% 18.1% 25.6% 19.1% 17.1% 24.7% 28.2% 30.8% 23.5% 23.7% 16.6% 12.2% 18.1%
Progressive Conservatives led by
46.5% 55.7% 37.6% 44.9% 49.7% 45.9% 45.4% 39.7% 51.6% 47.5% 47.3% 49.4% 36%
Doug Ford
NDP led by Andrea Horwath 16.7% 13.5% 19.8% 18.9% 18.7% 14.8% 13.8% 16.1% 12.7% 14.3% 18.4% 22.4% 20.7%
Greens led by Mike Schreiner 4.8% 3.3% 6.2% 5.7% 5.9% 4.1% 2.7% 3.1% 2.1% 6.6% 7.8% 6.7% 7.8%
Another Party 2.2% 3.4% 1.1% 3.1% 1.9% 2.1% 1.4% 2.8% 1.9% 2.1% 0.6% 1.6% 5.7%
Undecided 8% 6.1% 9.8% 8.3% 6.7% 8.3% 8.5% 7.6% 8.2% 5.9% 9.2% 7.7% 11.7%
Unweighted Frequency 1969 1103 866 294 542 640 493 438 526 264 246 375 120
Weighted Frequency 1969 968 1001 553 496 541 380 458 541 263 176 411 120

(decided and leaning voters)

18- 35- 50- South
All Male Female 65+ 416 905 East Southwestern North
34 49 64 Central
Liberals led by Kathleen Wynne 23.9% 19.3% 28.4% 21% 18.4% 27% 30.9% 33.3% 25.8% 25.2% 18.4% 13.3% 20.6%
Progressive Conservatives led by
50.3% 59.3% 41.6% 48.7% 53.1% 49.9% 49.5% 42.8% 56% 50.2% 51.9% 53.4% 40.5%
Doug Ford
NDP led by Andrea Horwath 18.3% 14.4% 22% 20.7% 20.1% 16.2% 15.1% 17.5% 13.9% 15.3% 20.3% 24.3% 23.6%
Greens led by Mike Schreiner 5.2% 3.5% 6.9% 6.3% 6.4% 4.5% 3% 3.3% 2.3% 7% 8.7% 7.3% 8.9%
Another Party 2.4% 3.6% 1.2% 3.3% 2% 2.3% 1.5% 3% 2.1% 2.2% 0.7% 1.7% 6.4%
Unweighted Frequency 1817 1032 785 271 506 589 451 407 484 248 224 350 104
Weighted Frequency 1817 893 924 510 457 499 350 422 499 243 162 379 111

Which party, if any, would be your second choice?

18- 35- 50- South
All Male Female 65+ 416 905 East Southwestern North
34 49 64 Central
Liberals led by Kathleen Wynne 13% 11.9% 14.2% 17.1% 9.9% 11% 14.4% 15.2% 12.6% 14.8% 12.6% 9.7% 15.6%
Progressive Conservatives led by
16.9% 18.1% 15.8% 21.4% 18.9% 11% 16.5% 15.7% 15.7% 15.2% 21.5% 17.8% 21.8%
Doug Ford
NDP led by Andrea Horwath 31.5% 30.1% 32.8% 27% 31.2% 35.9% 32% 35.8% 31.3% 30.1% 24.9% 31.6% 28.2%
Greens led by Mike Schreiner 8.9% 8.9% 9% 8.5% 10.8% 9% 7% 7% 9.4% 13% 7.9% 8.4% 8.8%
Another Party 3.4% 4.2% 2.7% 4.4% 4.1% 3.1% 1.4% 3.1% 2.7% 3.2% 3% 5.1% 2.6%
No Second Choice 26.2% 26.8% 25.5% 21.6% 25.1% 30% 28.7% 23.2% 28.3% 23.7% 30.1% 27.4% 23.1%
Unweighted Frequency 1656 962 694 244 455 544 413 374 445 226 205 313 93
Weighted Frequency 1640 814 842 465 417 455 319 385 455 221 148 346 101
 Which party, if any, would be your second choice? (continued)
All OLP PC NDP Green
Liberals led by Kathleen Wynne 13% - 6.8% 34.6% 14.1%
Progressive Conservatives led by Doug Ford 16.9% 8.5% - 26.4% 17.5%
NDP led by Andrea Horwath 31.5% 57.3% 29.8% - 26.2%
Greens led by Mike Schreiner 8.9% 7.8% 6.7% 17.6% -
Another Party 3.4% 1.2% 3.6% 2% 11.4%
No Second Choice 26.2% 25.2% 53.1% 19.4% 30.8%
Unweighted Frequency 1656 401 883 264 74
Weighted Frequency 1640 402 851 287 81

How likely are you to change your vote from your first choice to your second choice?
All Male Female 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ 416 905 East South Central Southwestern North
Very Likely 8.2% 8.3% 8.1% 7.7% 7.8% 7.1% 10.9% 10.5% 9% 5.8% 5.8% 8.1% 4.9%
Somewhat Likely 17.3% 17% 17.7% 19.3% 16.2% 19.4% 13.1% 18.8% 14.4% 19.6% 16.1% 18% 19.7%
Somewhat Unlikely 25.5% 22.9% 28.1% 34.1% 19.4% 24.1% 22.9% 21.2% 26.6% 22.4% 27% 30.2% 25.6%
Very Unlikely 42.8% 46% 39.8% 35.5% 49.1% 41.7% 46.9% 44.1% 42.8% 44.9% 43.8% 38.8% 45.6%
Not Sure 6.1% 5.9% 6.4% 3.4% 7.5% 7.6% 6.2% 5.4% 7.2% 7.3% 7.3% 4.9% 4.2%
Unweighted Frequency 1202 690 512 190 338 378 296 283 315 169 143 223 69
Weighted Frequency 1202 591 611 338 303 330 232 279 330 161 107 251 73

All OLP PC NDP Green

Very Likely 8.2% 8.7% 8.6% 6.6% 6.9%
Somewhat Likely 17.3% 16.1% 13.1% 24% 31.4%
Somewhat Unlikely 25.5% 31.6% 19.6% 29% 29.3%
Very Unlikely 42.8% 37.5% 53.8% 33% 19.3%
Not Sure 6.1% 6.1% 4.9% 7.4% 13%
Unweighted Frequency 1202 342 556 221 55
Weighted Frequency 1202 338 542 236 58

Do you have a favourable or unfavourable opinion of Kathleen Wynne?

18- 35- 50-
All Male Female 65+ 416 905 East South Central Southwestern North
34 49 64
Favourable 20.7% 16.9% 24.3% 18.2% 16.5% 21.9% 28.0% 27% 20.9% 24.7% 15.9% 13.2% 19.2%
Unfavourable 67.4% 73% 62.1% 71.4% 72.1% 65.3% 58.7% 58% 65.8% 64% 75.4% 77.8% 71.3%
Not Sure 9.6% 7.5% 11.7% 8.1% 8.8% 10.8% 11.3% 11.8% 11.2% 8.4% 7.2% 7.9% 6.7%
Not familiar with Kathleen
2.3% 2.7% 1.9% 2.4% 2.7% 2% 2% 3.2% 2.1% 2.9% 1.5% 1.2% 2.8%
Wynne
Unweighted Frequency 1969 1103 866 294 542 640 493 438 526 264 246 375 120
Weighted Frequency 1969 968 1001 553 496 541 380 458 541 263 176 411 120

Do you have a favourable or unfavourable opinion of Doug Ford?

All Male Female 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ 416 905 East South Central Southwestern North
Favourable 37.3% 46% 29% 36.5% 40.9% 36.2% 35.4% 34.3% 42.5% 37.4% 34.4% 36.3% 33.6%
Unfavourable 43.6% 38.2% 48.9% 44% 41.6% 45.2% 43.4% 52.5% 40.4% 42.2% 42.6% 39.4% 42.8%
Not Sure 16% 12.7% 19.1% 15.6% 16.1% 15.5% 17% 11.4% 14.1% 16.4% 20.7% 20.2% 19.9%
Not familiar with Doug Ford 3.1% 3.1% 3.1% 3.9% 1.5% 3% 4.2% 1.9% 3% 4% 2.4% 4.1% 3.7%
Unweighted Frequency 1969 1103 866 294 542 640 493 438 526 264 246 375 120
Weighted Frequency 1969 968 1001 553 496 541 380 458 541 263 176 411 120
 Do you have a favourable or unfavourable opinion of Andrea Horwath?
18- 35- 50-
All Male Female 65+ 416 905 East South Central Southwestern North
34 49 64
Favourable 32.9% 28.7% 37% 30.7% 34.5% 34.6% 31.9% 33.6% 31.5% 27.6% 34.1% 36.9% 33.6%
Unfavourable 24.8% 33.1% 16.8% 24.5% 24.7% 25.7% 24% 24.4% 26.5% 26.2% 23.5% 22.8% 24.7%
Not Sure 33.1% 29.1% 36.9% 33.5% 32.7% 30.9% 35.9% 34.1% 34.9% 33.3% 31.3% 30.8% 30.5%
Not familiar with Andrea
9.2% 9% 9.3% 11.3% 8% 8.8% 8.1% 7.9% 7.1% 12.9% 11.2% 9.5% 11.1%
Horwath
Unweighted Frequency 1969 1103 866 294 542 640 493 438 526 264 246 375 120
Weighted Frequency 1969 968 1001 553 496 541 380 458 541 263 176 411 120

Do you have a favourable or unfavourable opinion of Mike Schreiner?

All Male Female 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ 416 905 East South Central Southwestern North
Favourable 12.8% 11.5% 14.0% 16.5% 13.2% 11.5% 8.6% 11.2% 12.3% 11.5% 12.2% 15.0% 16.9%
Unfavourable 15.6% 21.5% 9.9% 14.9% 14.7% 16.2% 17.0% 13.2% 15.9% 15.8% 12.9% 18.2% 18.0%
Not Sure 33.3% 30.2% 36.3% 32.3% 32.8% 35.3% 32.6% 34.0% 31.6% 33.7% 36.4% 34.0% 30.9%
Not familiar with Mike Schreiner 38.3% 36.8% 39.8% 36.3% 39.3% 37.0% 41.7% 41.5% 40.2% 39.0% 38.5% 32.8% 34.3%
Unweighted Frequency 1969 1103 866 294 542 640 493 438 526 264 246 375 120
Weighted Frequency 1969 968 1001 553 496 541 380 458 541 263 176 411 120

Last week, the Ontario government presented its final budget before the election.
Based on what you have seen and heard, do the contents of the budget make you more
or less likely to vote Liberal in the next provincial election?
All Male Female 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Toronto GTA East South Central Southwestern North
More Likely 20.4% 16.9% 23.7% 20.9% 14.3% 21.3% 26.2% 28.6% 20.6% 23% 16.20% 11.4% 19.1%
No Effect 14.2% 13.7% 14.7% 11.7% 15.5% 16.9% 12.6% 15.8% 11.8% 18.1% 13.2% 14.7% 10.9%
Less Likely 53.1% 59.2% 47.1% 51.3% 58.4% 51.6% 50.7% 39.9% 54.4% 50.9% 57.4% 63% 61.4%
Not Sure 12.3% 10.1% 14.5% 16.1% 11.8% 10.2% 10.5% 15.7% 13.2% 8.1% 13.1% 10.9% 8.6%
Unweighted Frequency 1969 1103 866 294 542 640 493 438 526 264 246 375 120
Weighted Frequency 1969 968 1001 553 496 541 380 458 541 263 176 411 120

All OLP PC NDP Green Undecided

More Likely 20.4% 66.9% 2.5% 18.5% 13.4% 6.9%
No Effect 14.2% 15.1% 9.3% 22.3% 22.3% 15.8%
Less Likely 53.1% 7% 81.9% 44.5% 48.6% 31.9%
Not Sure 12.3% 11.1% 6.2% 14.8% 15.7% 45.4%
Unweighted Frequency 1969 435 947 309 85 152
Weighted Frequency 1969 431 915 329 94 157
 QUESTIONNAIRE
If a provincial election were held today, which Do you have a favourable or unfavourable opinion
party would you vote for? of Kathleen Wynne?
(first four responses randomized) Favourable
The Ontario Liberal Party led by Kathleen Wynne Unfavourable
The Progressive Conservative Party of Ontario led by Not Sure
Doug Ford Not Familiar with Kathleen Wynne
The New Democratic Party of Ontario led by Andrea
Horwath Do you have a favourable or unfavourable opinion
The Green Party of Ontario led by Mike Schreiner of Doug Ford?
Another Party Favourable
Undecided Unfavourable
Not Sure
Which party are you leaning towards? (only asked Not Familiar with Doug Ford
to respondents who said they were undecided in
the previous question) Do you have a favourable or unfavourable opinion
The Ontario Liberal Party led by Kathleen Wynne of Andrea Horwath?
The Progressive Conservative Party of Ontario led by Favourable
Doug Ford Unfavourable
The New Democratic Party of Ontario led by Andrea Not Sure
Horwath Not Familiar with Andrea Horwath
The Green Party of Ontario led by Mike Schreiner
Another Party Do you have a favourable or unfavourable opinion
Undecided of Mike Schreiner?
Favourable
Which party, if any, would be your second choice? Unfavourable
(only asked to respondents who indicated a party Not Sure
preference in the first question) Not Familiar with Mike Schreiner
The Ontario Liberal Party led by Kathleen Wynne
The Progressive Conservative Party of Ontario led by Last week, the Ontario government presented its
Doug Ford final budget before the election. Based on what you
The New Democratic Party of Ontario led by Andrea have seen and heard, do the contents of the budget
Horwath make you more or less likely to vote Liberal in the
The Green Party of Ontario led by Mike Schreiner next provincial election?
Another Party More Likely
No Second Choice Less Likely
No Effect Either Way
How likely are you to change your vote from your Not Sure
first choice to your second choice?
Very Likely What is your gender?
Somewhat Likely Male
Somewhat Unlikely Female
Very Unlikely
Not Sure What is your age group?
Under 18 years of age
(the following four questions were randomized) 18 to 34 years of age
We will now ask you about your opinions on the 35 to 49 years of age
four major party leaders in Ontario. 50 to 64 years of age
65 years of age or older
Methodology
The analysis in this report is based on results of a survey conducted between April 3rd and
April 4th, 2018, among a sample of 1969 adults, 18 years of age or older, living in Ontario. The
survey was conducted using Interactive Voice Recording. Respondents were interviews on
both landlines and cellular phones. The survey is intended to represent the voting population
of Ontario.

The survey was conducted by Mainstreet Research and was not sponsored by a third party.

The sampling frame was derived from both a national telephone directory compiled by
Mainstreet Research from various sources and random digit dialing. The survey that dialed
from the directory was conducted as a stratified dial of the following regions: Toronto (also
known as the 416 region), the Greater Toronto Area (also known as the 905 region), South
Central Ontario, Southwestern Ontario, Eastern Ontario, and Northern Ontario. In the case
of random digit dials, respondents were asked the additional question of what region of the
province they resided in. In both cases, respondents were dialed at random.

At least two attempts were made to complete an interview at every sampled telephone
number. The calls were staggered over times of day and two days to maximize the chances
of making contact with a potential respondent. Interviewing was also spread as evenly as
possible across the field period.

The questionnaire used in this survey is available in this report and online at www.
mainstreetresearch.ca. Questions are asked as they appear in the release document. If
a question is asked of a subset of the sample a descriptive note is added in parenthesis
preceding the question.

The sample was weighted by population parameters from the Canada 2016 Census for adults
18 years of age or older in Canada. The population parameters used for weighting are age,
gender, and region.

The margin of error for this poll is +/- 2.21% at the 95% confidence level. Margins of error are
higher in each subsample.

The margins of error for each subsample is as following: Males: +/- 2.95%, Females: +/- 3.33%,
18-34 age group: +/- 5.72%, 35-49 age group: +/- 4.21%, 50-64 age group: +/- 3.87%, 65+
age group: +/- 4.41%, Toronto: +/- 4.68%, Greater Toronto Area: +/- 4.27%, South Central
Ontario: +/- 6.25%, Southwestern Ontario: +/- 5.06%, Eastern Ontario: +/- 6.03%, Northern
Ontario: +/- 8.95%

In addition to sampling error, one should bear in mind that the wording of questions and
practical difficulties in conducting surveys can introduce error or bias into the findings of
opinion polls.