Académique Documents
Professionnel Documents
Culture Documents
Over the last five years, the level of access to telecommunications/ICTs has improved significantly
across the world. Mobile cellular has proven to be the most rapidly adopted technology in history,
and the total number of broadband subscriptions has grown more than threefold. Yet, there still
remains a substantial broadband divide (see below), both within and among countries. Particular
efforts will need to be made to support availability of infrastructure and services in underserved and
rural areas, in particular in developing countries.
• Wireless subscriptions will increase 1.4B to 5.5B during next four years, a cumulative 33%
advance.
• Large gains in broadband and wireless penetration will fuel growth in Asia Pacific.
• Surging broadband market and wireless growth will drive spending in Latin America.
CHART 1.1
Global telecommunications spending will grow at a 6.3% percent compound annual rate to $4.9T in
2013 from $3.9T in 2009.
INTERNATIONAL MARKET
Further According to Telecommunication Industry Association (TIA), the International
telecommunications revenue for service providers will continue to increase over the next four years,
while revenue for telecommunications equipment is expected to resume growth in 2011.
Wireless Subscribers are growing rapidly, with the fastest growth occurring in the Middle East/
Africa and Asia Pacific Regions.
FIGURE 1.1
SOURCE: (TIA), 2010 policy playbook.
TABLE 1.2 LEADING COUNTRIES BY OVERALL TELECOMMUICATIONS
REVENUE, 2009 ($ BILLIONS)
COUNTRY REVENUE ($ BILLIONS)
China 335
Japan 200
Germany 192
United Kingdom 172
Brazil 144
Italy 122
France 113
India 107
Mexico 80
Spain 77
South Korea 77
Russia 70
SOURCE: TIA’s 2010 ICT Market Review and Forecast
CHART 1.2
The top 12 countries as a group accounted for 47% of total international telecommunications
spending in 2009.
CHART 1.3: SPENDING GROWTH BY COMPONENT
CHART 1.4:
SOURCE: Self-constructed
Europe had the seven countries in the world and 11 of the top 12 in broadband penetration.
TABLE 1.4: INTERNATIONAL INTERNET SUBSCRIBERS (MILLIONS)
CHART: 1.5
SOURCE: Self-constructed
Because of the broadband surge during the past four years, dial-up had 44% fewer subscribers in
2009, and by 2013 there will be 75% fewer subscribers.
TABLE 1.5: TELECOMMUNICATIONS REVENUE IN BRIC AND OTHER
INTERNATIONAL MARKETS ($ MILLIONS)
COUNTRY 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
10530 12026 14093 14393 15870 17633 18691 20072
BRAZIL 88203 3 8 1 8 5 7 9 0
RUSSIA 47804 56212 59384 71032 70466 70668 74835 80724 87082
10455 10782 11488 13631 15741 18006
INDIA 52031 80001 90015 7 5 4 3 1 8
20293 22746 28409 34286 33505 37127 40872 44901 48608
CHINA 3 8 1 7 3 4 2 1 4
39097 46898 55375 65938 65728 71553 79620 87406 95395
BRIC TOTAL 1 4 8 7 2 1 7 5 4
OTHER
INTERNATIO
NAL 17615 19561 21737 23127 22261 23176 24715 26521 28446
MARKETS 20 55 38 91 78 02 47 93 16
21524 24251 27274 29721 28834 30331 32677 35262 37985
TOTAL 91 39 96 78 60 33 54 58 70
SOURCE: TIA’s 2010 ICT Market Review and Forecast
CHART 1.6
BRIC telecommunications spending will total $954B in 2013, comprising 25.1% of total
international telecommunications spending, up from 22.8% in 2009 and 16.5% in 2003.
TABLE 1.6 OVERALL ICT SPENDING IN ASIA
YEARS REVENUE ($ BILLIONS)
2003 591
2004 649
2005 728
2006 842
2007 986
2008 1122
2009 1082
2010 1162
2011 1271
2012 1384
2013 1499
SOURCE: TIA’s 2010 ICT Market Review and Forecast
CHART 1.7
SOURCE: Self-constructed
For the 2010-13 period, the overall telecommunications market is set to expand at an 8.5%
compound annual rate, rising to $1.5T from $1.1T in 2009.
CHART 1.8
A projected 340 million increase in India and a 300 million advance in China will bringing total
subscribers in the two countries to 1.89 billion by 2013, 62% of all wireless subscribers in Asia
Pacific.
TABLE 1.8: BROADBAND PENETRATION IN ASIA
YEARS CHINA REST OF THE REGION
2003 8.60 28.00
2004 24.00 34.85
2005 36.00 42.73
2006 44.90 51.70
2007 58.70 60.64
2008 75.80 68.97
2009 93.55 77.26
2010 115.00 84.25
2011 130.00 92.89
2012 145.00 102.74
2013 160.00 115.15
SOURCE: TIA’s 2010 ICT Market Review and Forecast
CHART 1.9
According to TIA’s projection the number of broadband subscribers to rise to 160 million in China
by 2013, accounting for 64% of the total projected growth in broadband subscribers in Asia Pacific.
CHART 2.1
• China is the largest broadband market in the world, with 93.6 million subscribers.
• According to TIA forecast, by 2013, China will represent 64% of the Asia Pacific region’s
total broadband subscriber growth.
• China has made largest wireless market in the world, with more than 800 million wireless
subscribers. By 2013, it is expected to grow another 300 million subscribers.
• In November 2008, China passed an economic stimulus plan of approximately $54 billion
(9.3%) will be invested in 3G networks, next-generation Internet, and digital television.
• In 2009, India had the second largest wireless market in Asia Pacific with 450 million
subscribers, which is projected to reach 790 million by 2013.
• India added an average of 8.5 million wireless subscribers per month in 2009.
• The number of telephone subscribers in India increased to 653.92 Million at the end of May
• The target of 500 million telephones by 2010 has been achieved in September 2009 itself.
• Wireless telephones are increasing at faster rate. The share of wireless telephones as on
• Overall tele-density has reached around 55.38% as 31st May 2010. Urban tele-density
crossed 100% mark whereas rural tele-density is at 21.19% which is also steadily
increasing.