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1
A Statistical Approach In Cosmology
prob( B| A, I ) × prob( A| I )
prob( A| B, I ) = (1.2)
prob( B| I )
that in the third chapter will become our foundation to the estima-
tion of signals.
Finally we introduce the concept of marginalization. The probabil-
ity that A is true, irrespective of the results of B, is given by1
Z
prob( A| I ) = p( A, B)dB (1.3)
• p( x ) ≥ 0
R
• p( x )dx = 1
Some definition
Any expectation value of some function f ( X ) defined over R can be
obtained directly from the pdf
Z
h f ( X )i = E[ f ( X )] = f ( x ) p( x )dx . (1.5)
Z
p X2 ( x 2 ) = p X1 X2 ( x1 , x2 )dx1 . (1.6)
p X1 | X2 ( x 1 | x 2 ) = p X1 ( x 1 ) . (1.8)
Z
χ X (u) = heiuX i = p X ( x )eiux dx (1.9)
which is simply the Fourier transform of the pdf. From this we can
define the n−th moment µn of X, when it exists, by
1 dn χ X (u)
µn = h X n i = | u =0 (1.10)
in dun
The n−th cumulants of X are instead
1 dn lnχ X (u)
κn = | u =0 (1.11)
in dun
2 Which has to be measurable.
4 introduction
If the n−th moments and n−th cumulants are defined for each n
then it is possible to perform a McLaurin expansion of χ X and lnχ X
∞
(iu)n
χ X (u) = 1 + ∑ n! µn (1.12)
n =1
∞
(iu)n
lnχ X (u) = ∑ n! κn (1.13)
n =1
κ 1 = µ1 , µ1 = κ 1 (1.14)
κ 2 = µ2 , µ2 = κ 2 (1.15)
κ 3 = µ3 , µ3 = κ 3 (1.16)
κ1 = µ (1.21)
κ2 = σ2 (1.22)
κn = 0 ∀n ≥ 3 (1.23)
1. it is semi-positive definite
3. it goes to zero as q → ±∞
3 And
R eventually of a time t that we omit for clarity
4 D [q(~x )]P [q̂(~x )] = 1 , where the integral is a path integral over field configurations.
6 introduction
∞
iN
Z Z
Z [ J (~x )] = 1 + ∑ N!
d~x1 ... d~x N D ( N ) (~x1 , .., ~x N ) J (~x1 )...J (~x N ) .
N =1
(1.26)
Or in other words by functional differentiation
δN Z [ J]
D ( N ) (~x1 , .., ~xn ) = (−i ) N | J =0
δJ (~x1 )...δJ (~x N )
But this is
δN Z [ J]
Z
D [q]P [q]q(~x1 )...q(~xn ) = (−i ) N | J =0
δJ (~x1 )...δJ (~x N )
In the end
Z
(N)
D (~x1 , .., ~xn ) = D [q]P [q]q(~x1 )...q(~xn ) ≡ hq(~x1 )...q(~xn )i (1.27)
∞
in
Z Z
lnZ [ J (~x )] = ∑ d~x1 ... d~xn C (n) (~x1 , .., ~xn ) J (~x1 )...J (~xn ) (1.28)
n =1
n!
5 Denoted by the bracket.
6 Formally inside each argument of the integral it should be present q̂(~x ). We omit for
brevity.
7 See analogy with the characteristic function of random variables
1.2 random fields 7
this to the previous example this means that ξ will depend only on
the modulus of the relative positions12 . This assumption is useful
when we do averages of statistical quantities. [Komatsu phd], [Hu]
A simplification
Our focus will be on the random field f = Tof the Cosmic Microwave
Background. When we take observations of it from the sky, we only
sample a projection on the celestial sphere at the time of last scatter-
ing of the photons. In other words we deal with 2 dimensional maps.
Here we will describe a convenient spherical decomposition to study
a 2-D random field.
The idea is to build our theory on the spherical analog of the
Fourier transform, the spherical harmonics13 .
As said, we will consider the space of square integrable functions.
The spherical harmonics form a basis for this space and allow us to
express f through a modal expansion (the index is n̂ = (θ, φ))
∞ m=+l
f (θ, φ) = ∑ ∑ alm Ylm (θ, φ) . (1.30)
l =0 m=−l
∇2 Ylm = −l (l + 1)Ylm
∂φ Ylm = imYlm
Z π Z π Z
Ylm (θ, φ)Yl 0 m0 (θ, φ)sinθdθdφ = dΩYlm (n̂)Yl 0 m0 (n̂) = δll 0 δmm0
−π 0
(1.31)
Example
• l = 0 has zero oscillation in the θ direction, it’s a monopole,
constant over the whole sphere.
1 1 1
N ( ~X |~µ, Σ) = X − ~µ)T Σ−1 ( ~
exp[− ( ~ X − ~µ)] (1.33)
(2π ) D/2 |Σ| 1/2 2
X |~µ, Σ) ≥ 0
• N (~
14 Furthermore, for the Gaussian distribution to be well defined, it is necessary that Σ
is also positive definite[Bishop].
10 introduction
N ( ~X |~µ, Σ)d ~X = 1
R
•
Other properties of the Gaussian distribution:
• E[ ~
X ] = ~µ, so ~µ is the mean of the distribution
• E[ ~
X~X T ] = ~µ~µ T + Σ which groups all the second order moments
X ] = E[( ~
• cov[ ~ X − ~µ)T ] = Σ
X − ~µ)( ~
< qi1 qi2 ....qin >= ∑ < q j1 qk1 > .... < q jn/2 qkn/2 > (1.34)
I
where the sum is over all possible pairings of i1 , ...., in into pairs
( j1 , k1 ), ...., ( jn/2 , k n/2 ) (n is even).
TOLGO?
Proof Sketch Let’s start from the following partition function with a
source term J and a symmetric, positive definite matrix H(pack qi ’s
in ~q)
1
Z
2∑
Z [ J] = exp{− Hij qi q j + ∑ Ji qi }d~q
i,j i
Indeed
∂ ai ∂ ai 1
Z
Z [ J ] = exp{− ~q · H~q}exp{∑ Ji qi }d~q =
∂Jiai ∂Jiai 2 i
1
Z
= exp{− ~q · H~q}qiai exp{∑ Ji qi }d~q
2 i
15 Remember that independence means uncorrelation, but the converse is not true for
general non-normal distributions .
1.4 gaussian distribution 11
Then J = 0 =⇒
1
Z
exp{− ~q · H~q}qiai d~q =< qiai >
2
by definition. Because of the independence of the derivatives with
respect to the Ji ’s the result follows directly.
Now we expand ( H~q − ~J ) · H −1 ( H~q − ~J ) = ~q · H~q − ~J · ~q
We can then rewrite Z [ J ] as
1 1
Z
Z[ J ] = exp{− ( H~q − ~J ) · H −1 ( H~q − ~J )}exp{ ~J · ~q}d~q =
2 2
1 1 1
Z
= exp{− ~y · H −1~y}| H −1 |exp{ ~J · H −1~y}exp{ ~J · H −1~J }d~y =
2 2 2
1 1
= exp{ ~J · H −1~J } = exp{ ∑ Hij−1 Ji Jj } (1.36)
2 2 i,j
∂ ∂ 1
< qi q j >= exp{ ~J · H −1~J }| J =0 = Hij−1 = Hji−1
∂Ji ∂Jj 2
∂ 1
< qi >= exp{ ~J · H −1~J } = 0
∂Ji 2
+∞ +∞ n n
1 ∂n 1
Z[ J ] = ∑ ∑ 1 n ∂Ji ...∂Ji
J i1
...J in
Z [ J ]| J =0 = ∑ ∑ ∏ ik ∏ Jik =< q >
n=0 n! i ,..,in
1 1 n n=0 n! i ,..,in
1 k =1 k =1
1 1
= 1 + ∑ < qi > Ji + ∑ < qi q j > Ji Jj + ∑ < qi q j qk > Ji Jj Jk + ....
i
2 i,j 6 i,j,k
+∞
1
Z[ J ] = ∑
n=0 n!
1.5 non-gaussianity
a Gaussian density function, both with the same mean and variance.
f
If the cumulants κi and κiZ , of f ( x ) and Z ( x ) respectively, become
’close’ sufficiently quickly as i increases [EdgePeter] then we say that
f ( x ) is close to Gaussian. It seems natural then to use the expansion
∞
dn Z ( x )
f (x) = ∑ cn dx n
(1.37)
n =0
2 /2 dn − x2 /2
Hen ( x ) = (−1)n e x e (1.38)
dx n
These are called Chebyshev-Hermite polynomials. Examples are
He0 ( x ) = 1
He1 ( x ) = x
He2 ( x ) = x2 − 1
He3 ( x ) = x3 − 3x
2 d n − x2
Hn ( x ) = (−1)n e x e (1.39)
dx n
dn Z ( x )
= (−1)n Hen ( x ) Z ( x ) (1.40)
dx n
17 Chebyshev-Hermite polynomials are also called the probabilists’ Hermite functions,
while Hermite polynomials the physicists’ Hermite function. The two are linked by
a rescaling. See Wikipedia.
14 introduction
∞
f ( x ) = (−1)n ∑ cn Hen (x)Z(x) (1.41)
n =0
Z +∞
(−1)n
cn = f (t) Hen (t)dt (1.42)
n! −∞
With this coefficients we are left with what it is called the Gram-
Charlier expansion of type A [NearlyGauss]. Expressing the polyno-
mial Hen (t) as ∑nk=0 ak tk stands out the fact that the coefficients cn are
a linear combination of the moments αk of the random variable X. To
find the full formula it is possible to show[NearlyGauss] that
[n/2]
(−1)k x n−2k
Hen ( x ) = n! ∑ k!(n − 2k )!2k
n =0
κn
Sn = (1.43)
σ −2
2n
∞ s
1 S m +2 k m
g( x ) = σ f (σx ) = Z ( x ){1 + ∑ σs × ∑ Hes+2r ( x ) ∏ ( ) }
s =1 {k m }
k ! ( m + 2) !
m =1 m
(1.44)
order than the N − th term in the sum. See [Nearly] for a derivation
and for how to do the sum(O METTO IN UN APPENDICE?). In the
standard literature we will find only the few first terms written. In
this thesis for example we will only need the expansion to S3 . For
future reference we write here some terms of the expansion19 :
1 y S3 y S4 y
f (y) = Z ( )[1 + σ He3 ( ) + σ2 He4 ( ) + ...] =
σ σ 6 σ 24 σ
1 y2 S3 y S4 y
−
=√ e 2σ2 [1 + σ He3 ( ) + σ2 He4 ( ) + ...] (1.45)
2πσ2 6 σ 24 σ
Example:
(METTERE CHI E RAYLEIGH)
or22
Z
∗
alm = dΩδT (n̂)Ylm (n̂)
1 1
2∑
p(~Φ) = p({ alm }) = exp[− a∗lm (C −1 )lm,l 0 m0 al 0 m0 ] (1.47)
(2π ) D |C |1/2 lm
1 1
2∑
p({ alm }) = p(~a) = exp[− a∗lm (C −1 )lm,l 0 m0 al 0 m0 ]×
(2π ) D |C |1/2 lm
1
6 all∑lm l1 m1 l2 m2 l3 m3
×{1 + h a a a i[(C −1 a)l1 m1 (C −1 a)l2 m2 (C −1 a)l3 m3 ]+
1
6 all∑lm l1 m1 l2 m2 l3 m3
− h a a a i[3(C −1 )l1 m1 ,l2 m2 (C −1 a)l3 m3 ] + ...} (1.48)
a∗ alm
− lm
∂ ∂ ∂ e 2Cl
p(~a) = [1 − ∑ h a l1 m 1 a l2 m 2 a l3 m 3 i
∂al1 m1 ∂al2 m2 ∂al3 m3
]∏ √
2πCl
(1.50)
all lm lm