Demand drives mining industry Metal demand follows global economy growth cycles
Increased usage for minerals has forced mines to exploit lower grade and more complex ores
When demand approaches supply prices increases and if process increases increase the hunt of new resources
Gold industry is different, it is not driven by physical demand, it is driven by investment
Investors have to have Confidents and stability from government. Changing the rules. Mining industry is a counter-cycling operation (7 year in prices). 10 year to develop a project. 15 year most probably to have a money revenue.
Companies only have control on cost. It is important to Costs C1: not direct cash cost, represent the cash cost incurres at each processing stage, from mining through to recoverable nickel delivered to market C2: Production cost, is the sum of net direct cash cost C1 and depreciation, depletion and amortisation C3: Fully allocated cost, is the sum of the operating cost C2, indirect costs and net interest charges
Companies have managed to maintain profitability in the face of declining grades only because of major technology advances, which have reduce their production cost.
Types of projects Greenfield: projects are constructed on a new site are stand alone ande include all projects related infrastructure
Brownfield projects are built on an existing and can use some of existing plant and/or infrastructure. Expansion of existing plant de bottlenecking of existing plant replacement of existing plant with more modern equipment Brownfield projects are usually far more profitable than Greenfield projects because of reduced capital requirements.
The larger the company the less their appetite for projects which might have negative health, safety, environmental or social issues (they are very concerned about their international image).
Economic sensitivities to changes in parameters like product selling price, capital and operating cost, resource grade have to be acceptable.
STAGES OF PROJECT EVOLUTION
A project should evolve through sequential phases: Concept > pre-feasibility > feasibility > execution
Reviews and approval to proceed are requires between each phase
Process technology selection
• List potential fatal flaws and value drivers early in the project • Identify risk versus benefits of technology options (document trade-offs) • Do not drop alternative options too early in the study but be aware of implications of advancing too many alternatives in parallel (a less than optimum alternative may be preferable to the delay in developing the optimum solution • Keep design as simple as possible • Be aware of negative market reaction to technological novelty • Process decisions made early in project have a long-term impact. Long-term success is dependent on initial decisions.
Define and record the production design philosophy including:
Allowance for future expansion Variation in feed Live standby capacity Turndown capacity Surge Capacity Multiple streaming Economy of scale of equipment versus reduced standby capacity and flexibility Standardization of equipment Production ramp-up