Table 21.1. Disposable Personal Income, U.S., Quarterly Data from 1947-2007.

Year Quarter DPI GDP PCE CP DIVIDEND

1947 1 1096.0 1570.519 1017.2 21.2 6.0
1947 2 1072.8 1568.653 1034.0 20.0 6.3
1947 3 1102.8 1567.966 1037.5 19.8 6.5
1947 4 1089.7 1590.938 1037.7 21.7 6.4
1948 1 1107.3 1616.069 1042.6 22.9 7.0
1948 2 1145.3 1644.637 1054.3 24.1 6.7
1948 3 1168.4 1654.061 1056.1 23.8 7.1
1948 4 1171.9 1657.988 1064.8 23.0 7.4
1949 1 1147.6 1633.249 1066.1 21.0 7.2
1949 2 1151.4 1628.439 1082.6 18.6 7.2
1949 3 1158.1 1646.698 1085.0 19.2 7.1
1949 4 1165.7 1629.911 1100.2 18.8 7.4
1950 1 1252.8 1696.765 1118.9 19.3 8.3
1950 2 1245.4 1747.322 1136.8 23.1 8.4
1950 3 1264.8 1815.845 1195.3 28.0 9.2
1950 4 1277.4 1848.928 1160.1 30.8 9.5
1951 1 1276.9 1871.311 1187.4 25.6 8.4
1951 2 1297.5 1903.118 1154.5 21.8 8.6
1951 3 1305.9 1941.109 1167.9 19.9 8.6
1951 4 1308.5 1944.447 1174.9 21.6 8.7
1952 1 1308.1 1964.670 1178.1 20.9 8.2
1952 2 1323.9 1966.044 1200.7 20.0 8.7
1952 3 1349.7 1978.806 1206.0 20.2 8.6
1952 4 1376.0 2043.795 1248.3 22.2 8.8
1953 1 1395.0 2082.277 1263.4 22.9 8.4
1953 2 1414.5 2098.083 1271.2 22.8 9.2
1953 3 1408.7 2085.419 1268.2 22.3 9.0
1953 4 1399.8 2052.532 1259.7 17.5 8.9
1954 1 1407.5 2042.420 1264.3 20.1 9.4
1954 2 1407.4 2044.286 1280.1 20.8 8.9
1954 3 1422.7 2066.865 1297.1 22.1 9.3
1954 4 1450.6 2107.801 1324.0 23.8 9.5
1955 1 1471.9 2168.470 1353.5 27.0 10.0
1955 2 1506.9 2204.008 1379.1 27.4 10.2
1955 3 1535.3 2233.360 1396.1 28.0 10.8
1955 4 1552.7 2245.337 1413.3 29.1 10.9
1956 1 1568.4 2234.833 1415.5 28.2 11.2
1956 2 1583.9 2252.504 1420.2 28.9 11.2
1956 3 1590.6 2249.755 1423.4 27.6 11.2
1956 4 1615.9 2286.470 1442.8 29.2 11.6
1957 1 1618.9 2300.312 1452.7 29.5 11.6
1957 2 1629.5 2294.618 1455.1 28.2 11.8
1957 3 1637.5 2317.001 1467.0 27.6 11.9
1957 4 1628.2 2292.459 1467.8 25.3 11.7
1958 1 1613.2 2230.219 1447.3 21.6 11.6
1958 2 1623.7 2243.374 1458.9 22.0 11.7
1958 3 1656.8 2295.207 1482.2 24.5 11.7
1958 4 1677.1 2348.023 1500.9 27.9 11.4
1959 1 1688.6 2392.886 1525.9 29.8 12.1
1959 2 1721.0 2455.813 1551.7 32.5 12.5
1959 3 1719.5 2453.948 1569.2 29.2 12.8
1959 4 1733.2 2462.587 1571.4 28.6 13.0
1960 1 1753.2 2517.365 1585.6 31.5 13.2
1960 2 1761.8 2504.800 1605.1 29.2 13.2
1960 3 1762.8 2508.726 1598.5 27.9 13.5
1960 4 1761.2 2476.232 1600.3 26.8 13.5
1961 1 1777.6 2491.154 1600.2 26.2 13.6
1961 2 1804.6 2537.981 1624.2 27.6 13.6
1961 3 1829.2 2579.114 1632.1 29.3 13.9
1961 4 1865.4 2631.831 1664.9 31.6 14.5
1962 1 1883.4 2679.149 1682.7 32.2 14.6
1962 2 1904.1 2708.404 1703.1 32.2 15.0
1962 3 1914.7 2733.339 1717.0 33.2 15.2
1962 4 1930.4 2740.014 1741.5 34.0 15.4
1963 1 1946.0 2775.944 1753.1 33.6 15.8
1963 2 1964.3 2810.598 1770.0 35.5 16.1
1963 3 1986.4 2863.512 1794.0 36.4 16.3
1963 4 2019.6 2885.796 1809.3 37.4 16.8
1964 1 2060.6 2950.490 1845.2 40.6 17.5
1964 2 2116.8 2984.751 1877.9 40.5 18.0
1964 3 2144.6 3025.492 1912.6 41.6 18.4
1964 4 2169.4 3033.640 1918.0 41.0 18.9
1965 1 2193.3 3108.151 1960.3 46.8 19.2
1965 2 2217.4 3150.167 1982.0 48.5 19.9
1965 3 2278.4 3214.076 2016.0 49.1 20.5
1965 4 2324.3 3291.826 2072.7 51.9 21.2
1966 1 2345.9 3372.325 2103.2 53.1 21.3
1966 2 2351.7 3384.007 2109.0 53.3 20.9
1966 3 2381.3 3406.292 2133.1 52.9 20.5
1966 4 2408.6 3433.681 2142.0 51.9 20.0
1967 1 2445.0 3464.114 2154.6 49.6 21.1
1967 2 2464.5 3464.310 2183.4 49.6 21.7
1967 3 2488.1 3491.798 2194.5 50.6 22.1
1967 4 2506.1 3518.205 2207.8 52.9 21.2
1968 1 2549.8 3590.655 2260.3 51.5 22.6
1968 2 2592.3 3651.618 2295.1 52.6 23.4
1968 3 2597.1 3676.455 2338.2 52.8 24.0
1968 4 2613.7 3691.966 2348.6 54.3 24.2
1969 1 2617.5 3750.180 2375.0 53.8 24.0
1969 2 2643.5 3760.881 2390.0 52.1 24.1
1969 3 2696.6 3784.245 2401.0 50.4 24.3
1969 4 2716.1 3766.280 2419.8 49.4 24.6
1970 1 2729.4 3759.997 2434.4 46.9 24.5
1970 2 2777.4 3767.066 2445.7 46.6 24.3
1970 3 2814.6 3800.541 2467.1 47.3 24.2
1970 4 2804.4 3759.801 2460.1 44.3 24.2
1971 1 2863.6 3864.057 2507.4 51.0 25.0
1971 2 2904.6 3885.851 2530.5 53.0 25.0
1971 3 2916.4 3916.676 2550.7 56.5 25.2
1971 4 2946.8 3927.867 2593.2 58.2 24.9
1972 1 2965.0 3997.666 2627.6 62.1 26.1
1972 2 2991.5 4092.105 2677.3 62.9 26.4
1972 3 3053.6 4131.079 2718.4 65.7 27.1
1972 4 3175.0 4198.718 2781.7 71.2 27.7
1973 1 3210.5 4305.330 2832.0 82.2 28.4
1973 2 3240.3 4355.102 2830.5 84.5 29.3
1973 3 3258.3 4331.934 2840.6 84.7 30.4
1973 4 3297.6 4373.263 2832.2 88.1 31.5
1974 1 3246.6 4335.370 2807.8 92.8 32.5
1974 2 3219.9 4347.936 2819.0 95.3 33.3
1974 3 3231.1 4305.821 2831.6 101.4 33.6
1974 4 3217.3 4288.936 2790.8 90.3 33.5
1975 1 3205.7 4237.593 2814.6 80.0 32.9
1975 2 3354.6 4268.614 2860.5 85.4 32.7
1975 3 3309.1 4340.867 2901.2 102.3 32.9
1975 4 3342.0 4397.806 2931.4 107.9 33.4
1976 1 3390.9 4496.761 2989.7 113.2 36.2
1976 2 3417.5 4530.335 3016.3 114.3 38.1
1976 3 3448.0 4552.030 3047.9 115.1 39.9
1976 4 3473.0 4584.623 3088.0 115.1 41.9
1977 1 3479.7 4639.990 3124.6 126.6 42.7
1977 2 3517.4 4731.092 3141.5 135.4 43.9
1977 3 3570.6 4815.812 3171.4 141.1 45.6
1977 4 3642.1 4815.321 3219.1 140.7 46.8
1978 1 3663.5 4830.832 3237.3 144.0 48.3
1978 2 3706.3 5021.183 3306.4 160.7 49.5
1978 3 3737.6 5070.661 3320.8 165.2 51.8
1978 4 3768.3 5137.416 3347.8 175.1 53.7
1979 1 3811.7 5147.430 3365.3 176.2 55.4
1979 2 3785.2 5152.338 3364.0 182.5 56.9
1979 3 3807.2 5189.446 3397.3 186.5 58.0
1979 4 3841.5 5204.662 3407.1 182.3 59.7
1980 1 3869.4 5221.253 3401.7 183.9 61.8
1980 2 3800.0 5115.917 3325.8 153.8 64.3
1980 3 3839.0 5107.376 3362.0 161.8 64.7
1980 4 3920.8 5202.110 3406.8 165.7 65.6
1981 1 3905.7 5307.544 3421.3 169.8 68.7
1981 2 3915.0 5266.117 3422.1 154.9 72.7
1981 3 4003.1 5329.829 3435.7 158.7 75.9
1981 4 4012.8 5263.368 3409.7 154.3 77.7
1982 1 4013.3 5177.077 3432.2 133.0 77.7
1982 2 4041.9 5204.859 3444.3 134.1 76.5
1982 3 4059.3 5185.225 3470.8 132.3 77.1
1982 4 4066.2 5189.839 3533.9 128.7 79.5
1983 1 4100.4 5253.845 3568.5 131.1 81.0
1983 2 4132.7 5372.336 3639.5 150.9 82.1
1983 3 4191.6 5478.360 3704.1 163.0 84.3
1983 4 4286.5 5590.469 3762.5 167.9 86.4
1984 1 4385.5 5699.830 3794.9 176.6 88.6
1984 2 4467.0 5797.902 3849.3 177.3 90.9
1984 3 4539.8 5854.251 3879.1 164.9 91.1
1984 4 4583.9 5902.354 3930.2 165.5 92.7
1985 1 4580.0 5956.937 3996.2 153.5 95.4
1985 2 4673.4 6007.789 4032.6 156.3 97.0
1985 3 4640.4 6101.737 4109.1 159.5 98.3
1985 4 4688.0 6148.564 4118.4 162.8 99.5
1986 1 4744.2 6207.368 4152.7 131.6 103.2
1986 2 4793.8 6232.008 4196.7 133.4 106.4
1986 3 4813.6 6291.695 4269.5 135.9 107.5
1986 4 4813.4 6323.404 4296.7 144.3 107.6
1987 1 4854.6 6365.028 4298.6 162.8 108.8
1987 2 4802.3 6435.023 4357.3 186.5 109.8
1987 3 4887.3 6493.434 4406.3 195.4 113.3
1987 4 4954.1 6606.820 4417.1 204.0 117.2
1988 1 5016.9 6639.118 4490.6 225.3 121.7
1988 2 5061.3 6723.544 4522.7 243.4 126.4
1988 3 5103.3 6759.376 4560.5 248.9 132.8
1988 4 5149.2 6848.612 4614.0 260.2 138.7
1989 1 5216.3 6918.116 4631.2 251.4 148.0
1989 2 5199.1 6963.471 4653.0 238.0 155.7
1989 3 5224.9 7013.144 4697.3 225.8 161.1
1989 4 5259.9 7030.913 4718.8 235.6 167.1
1990 1 5307.9 7112.100 4757.1 253.8 170.1
1990 2 5338.7 7130.261 4773.0 265.2 169.9
1990 3 5343.6 7130.752 4792.6 267.4 170.0
1990 4 5306.6 7076.857 4758.3 269.9 166.3
1991 1 5310.5 7040.828 4738.1 283.8 175.5
1991 2 5347.1 7086.477 4779.4 280.0 180.5
1991 3 5359.6 7120.738 4800.1 283.3 183.3
1991 4 5389.4 7154.116 4795.9 290.5 183.4
1992 1 5473.9 7228.234 4875.0 317.4 181.2
1992 2 5514.6 7297.935 4903.0 325.7 182.2
1992 3 5537.4 7369.500 4951.8 285.6 189.2
1992 4 5619.2 7450.687 5009.4 320.8 199.0
1993 1 5512.1 7459.718 5027.3 328.8 193.2
1993 2 5590.2 7497.514 5071.9 342.9 198.2
1993 3 5597.4 7535.996 5127.3 343.5 205.7
1993 4 5677.2 7637.406 5172.9 369.0 214.1
1994 1 5629.9 7715.058 5230.3 346.2 219.2
1994 2 5733.1 7815.682 5268.0 376.9 229.4
1994 3 5770.8 7859.465 5305.7 397.5 240.6
1994 4 5850.9 7951.647 5358.7 412.6 249.7
1995 1 5886.4 7973.735 5367.2 437.7 248.7
1995 2 5881.7 7987.970 5411.7 455.4 251.1
1995 3 5912.1 8053.056 5458.8 462.8 252.0
1995 4 5943.3 8111.958 5496.1 466.5 264.9
1996 1 6010.0 8169.191 5544.6 492.8 286.1
1996 2 6059.8 8303.094 5604.9 499.9 290.6
1996 3 6111.3 8372.697 5640.7 498.9 302.6
1996 4 6142.5 8470.572 5687.6 513.8 311.0
1997 1 6201.3 8536.051 5749.1 529.4 320.5
1997 2 6251.9 8665.831 5775.8 548.2 330.6
1997 3 6323.3 8773.720 5870.7 570.4 339.7
1997 4 6406.6 8838.414 5931.4 560.4 347.1
1998 1 6543.4 8936.191 5996.8 478.9 350.1
1998 2 6638.6 8995.289 6092.1 471.0 352.3
1998 3 6710.9 9098.858 6165.7 469.2 351.9
1998 4 6763.0 9237.081 6248.8 460.8 352.2
1999 1 6812.9 9315.518 6311.3 499.3 339.9
1999 2 6822.1 9392.581 6409.7 510.0 333.4
1999 3 6856.0 9502.237 6476.7 515.1 334.2
1999 4 6955.6 9671.089 6556.8 544.5 342.0
2000 1 7109.7 9695.631 6661.3 514.6 360.3
2000 2 7157.5 9847.892 6703.3 512.2 377.3
2000 3 7249.3 9836.603 6768.0 502.3 386.6
2000 4 7259.6 9887.749 6825.0 503.7 387.6
2001 1 7283.0 9875.576 6853.1 532.1 379.2
2001 2 7252.1 9905.911 6870.3 537.1 370.1
2001 3 7452.2 9871.060 6900.5 473.6 366.0
2001 4 7346.0 9910.034 7017.6 472.4 368.4
2002 1 7549.9 9977.280 7042.2 518.9 382.5
2002 2 7585.2 10031.568 7083.5 553.6 396.1
2002 3 7555.5 10090.666 7123.2 589.5 406.1
2002 4 7559.3 10095.771 7148.2 641.3 412.0
2003 1 7591.7 10126.007 7184.9 625.3 411.7
2003 2 7685.7 10212.691 7249.3 622.2 417.4
2003 3 7804.8 10398.723 7352.9 672.7 427.1
2003 4 7837.3 10466.951 7394.3 738.9 442.8
2004 1 7908.7 10543.621 7475.1 845.8 473.9
2004 2 7955.1 10634.232 7520.5 892.5 500.7
2004 3 8012.2 10728.671 7585.5 896.7 528.5
2004 4 8158.8 10796.408 7664.3 954.2 654.8
2005 1 8089.8 10878.380 7709.4 1169.4 566.0
2005 2 8140.9 10954.069 7775.2 1184.9 588.1
2005 3 8115.4 11074.326 7852.8 1155.2 612.6
2005 4 8246.0 11107.213 7876.9 1237.3 638.7
2006 1 8344.2 11238.662 7961.9 1307.3 662.5
2006 2 8348.6 11306.694 8009.3 1382.4 685.6
2006 3 8384.5 11336.734 8063.8 1381.0 711.1
2006 4 8510.7 11395.538 8141.2 1336.8 736.4
2007 1 8623.9 11412.619 8215.7 1363.3 759.4
2007 2 8607.1 11520.115 8244.3 1441.4 784.2
2007 3 8692.1 11658.927 8302.2 1410.2 807.7
2007 4 8695.2 11675.714 8349.1 1425.5 829.4
dpi ingreso personal disponible
gdp pib
pce gasto de consumo personal
cp utilidades empresariales
div dividendos
TIME PIB LN PIB LOG PIB
1 1570.519 7.35916142 3.19604319
2 1568.653 7.35797257 3.19552688
3 1567.966 7.35753452 3.19533664
4 1590.938 7.37207906 3.20165326
5 1616.069 7.38775194 3.2084599
6 1644.637 7.40527497 3.21607006
7 1654.061 7.41098876 3.21855152
8 1657.988 7.4133601 3.21958138
9 1633.249 7.39832656 3.2130524
10 1628.439 7.39537717 3.21177149
11 1646.698 7.40652735 3.21661396
12 1629.911 7.39628069 3.21216389
13 1696.765 7.43647878 3.2296217
14 1747.322 7.46583961 3.24237295
15 1815.845 7.5043062 3.25907877
16 1848.928 7.52236129 3.26692
17 1871.311 7.53439453 3.27214597
18 1903.118 7.55124887 3.27946572
19 1941.109 7.57101474 3.28804992
20 1944.447 7.5727329 3.28879611
21 1964.670 7.58307957 3.29328961
22 1966.044 7.58377868 3.29359323
23 1978.806 7.59024891 3.29640322
24 2043.795 7.62256365 3.31043733
LN P
10
25 2082.277 7.64121729 3.3185385
26 2098.083 7.64877935 3.32182266 9
27 2085.419 7.64272507 3.31919333 8
28 2052.532 7.62682943 3.31228994 7
29 2042.420 7.62189066 3.31014505
30 2044.286 7.62280386 3.31054165 6
31 2066.865 7.63378825 3.315312111 5
32 2107.801 7.6534005 3.32382961 4
33 2168.470 7.68177713 3.33615342
3
34 2204.008 7.6980328 3.34321317
35 2233.360 7.71126246 3.34895873 2
36 2245.337 7.7166109 3.35128153 1
37 2234.833 7.71192178 3.34924508 0
38 2252.504 7.71979777 3.35266557
1
8

64

99
106
113
15
22
29
36
43
50
57

71
78
85
92
39 2249.755 7.7185766 3.35213523
40 2286.470 7.73476442 3.35916551
41 2300.312 7.74080004 3.36178675
42 2294.618 7.73832166 3.3607104
43 2317.001 7.74802896 3.36492622
44 2292.459 7.73738032 3.36030158
45 2230.219 7.70985507 3.34834751
46 2243.374 7.71573626 3.35090168
47 2295.207 7.73857831 3.36082186
48 2348.023 7.76132898 3.37070235
49 2392.886 7.78025545 3.37892201
50 2455.813 7.80621315 3.39019529
51 2453.948 7.80545344 3.38986536
52 2462.587 7.8089677 3.39139158
 53 2517.365 7.830968 3.40094619
54 2504.800 7.82596417 3.39877305
55 2508.726 7.82753033 3.39945323
56 2476.232 7.81449333 3.39379133
57 2491.154 7.82050134 3.39640058
58 2537.981 7.83912416 3.40448837
59 2579.114 7.85520121 3.41147054
60 2631.831 7.87543508 3.420258
61 2679.149 7.89325449 3.42799687
62 2708.404 7.90411481 3.43271345
63 2733.339 7.91327922 3.4366935
64 2740.014 7.91571831 3.43775278
65 2775.944 7.92874615 3.4434107
66 2810.598 7.94115255 3.44879873
67 2863.512 7.95980412 3.45689901
68 2885.796 7.96755605 3.46026563
69 2950.490 7.98972654 3.46989415
70 2984.751 8.00127161 3.47490811
71 3025.492 8.014829 3.48079601
72 3033.640 8.0175185 3.48196404
73 3108.151 8.04178329 3.49250211
74 3150.167 8.05521075 3.49833358
75 3214.076 8.07529519 3.50705614
76 3291.826 8.0991977 3.51743687
77 3372.325 8.1233577 3.52792942
78 3384.007 8.12681579 3.52943125
79 3406.292 8.13337959 3.53228187
80 3433.681 8.14138814 3.53575995
81 3464.114 8.15021218 3.53959218
82 3464.310 8.15026876 3.53961675
83 3491.798 8.15817207 3.54304911
84 3518.205 8.1657062 3.54632114
85 3590.655 8.18608992 3.55517368
86 3651.618 8.20292564 3.56248534
87 3676.455 8.20970425 3.56542925
88 3691.966 8.21391439 3.56725769
89 3750.180 8.22955912 3.57405211
90 3760.881 8.23240852 3.57528959
91 3784.245 8.23860167 3.57797925
92 3766.280 8.23384306 3.5759126
93 3759.997 8.23217344 3.5751875
94 3767.066 8.23405173 3.57600323
95 3800.541 8.2428987 3.57984542
96 3759.801 8.23212131 3.57516486
97 3864.057 8.25947295 3.58704352
98 3885.851 8.26509729 3.58948614
99 3916.676 8.27299861 3.59291765
100 3927.867 8.27585181 3.59415677
101 3997.666 8.29346597 3.60180651
102 4092.105 8.31681479 3.61194677
103 4131.079 8.32629391 3.6160635
104 4198.718 8.34253452 3.62311671
105 4305.330 8.36760907 3.63400645
106 4355.102 8.37910331 3.63899833
107 4331.934 8.37376937 3.63668183
108 4373.263 8.38326469 3.6408056
109 4335.370 8.37456224 3.63702617
110 4347.936 8.37745653 3.63828314
111 4305.821 8.36772311 3.63405597
112 4288.936 8.36379396 3.63234957
113 4237.593 8.3517507 3.62711924
114 4268.614 8.35904446 3.63028688
115 4340.867 8.37582938 3.63757648
116 4397.806 8.38886106 3.64323607
117 4496.761 8.41111264 3.65289981
118 4530.335 8.41855117 3.65613032
119 4552.030 8.42332857 3.65820512
120 4584.623 8.43046316 3.66130363
121 4639.990 8.44246749 3.66651704
122 4731.092 8.46191132 3.67496139
123 4815.812 8.47965995 3.68266952
124 4815.321 8.47955799 3.68262524
125 4830.832 8.48277399 3.68402193
126 5021.183 8.52142084 3.70080605
127 5070.661 8.53122646 3.70506458
128 5137.416 8.54430551 3.71074473
129 5147.430 8.54625284 3.71159045
130 5152.338 8.54720587 3.71200435
131 5189.446 8.55438223 3.715121
132 5204.662 8.55731004 3.71639253
133 5221.253 8.56049269 3.71777474
134 5115.917 8.540111939 3.70892349
135 5107.376 8.53844105 3.70819783
136 5202.110 8.55681959 3.71617953
137 5307.544 8.57688448 3.7248936
138 5266.117 8.56904856 3.7214905
139 5329.829 8.58107443 3.72671328
140 5263.368 8.56852641 3.72126374
141 5177.077 8.55199589 3.71408462
142 5204.859 8.55734789 3.71640897
143 5185.225 8.55356851 3.71476761
144 5189.839 8.55445795 3.71515389
145 5253.845 8.56671547 3.72047726
146 5372.336 8.5890181 3.73016317
147 5478.360 8.60856107 3.73865057
148 5590.469 8.62881846 3.74744824
149 5699.830 8.64819163 3.7558619
150 5797.902 8.66525141 3.76327087
151 5854.251 8.67492334 3.76747134
152 5902.354 8.68310653 3.77102525
153 5956.937 8.6923117 3.77502301
154 6007.789 8.70081207 3.77871467
155 6101.737 8.71632876 3.78545348
156 6148.564 8.72397384 3.7887737
157 6207.368 8.73349225 3.79290749
158 6232.008 8.73745387 3.794628
159 6291.695 8.74698579 3.79876766
160 6323.404 8.75201295 3.80095093
161 6365.028 8.75857391 3.80380032
162 6435.023 8.76951069 3.8085501
163 6493.434 8.77854679 3.81247443
164 6606.820 8.79585773 3.81999247
165 6639.118 8.8007344 3.82211039
166 6723.544 8.81337068 3.82759825
167 6759.376 8.81868586 3.82990661
168 6848.612 8.83180128 3.83560256
169 6918.116 8.84189876 3.83998784
170 6963.471 8.84843334 3.84282577
171 7013.144 8.85554138 3.84591276
172 7030.913 8.85807185 3.84701172
173 7112.100 8.86955284 3.85199785
174 7130.261 8.87210312 3.85310543
175 7130.752 8.87217198 3.85313533
176 7076.857 8.86458516 3.84984042
177 7040.828 8.85948106 3.84762374
178 7086.477 8.8659436 3.85043038
179 7120.738 8.87076665 3.85252501
180 7154.116 8.87544313 3.85455598
181 7228.234 8.88575003 3.8590322
182 7297.935 8.89534671 3.86319999
183 7369.500 8.90510514 3.86743802
184 7450.687 8.91606152 3.87219632
185 7459.718 8.91727289 3.87272241
186 7497.514 8.92232678 3.87491729
187 7535.996 8.92744629 3.87714066
188 7637.406 8.9408133 3.88294588
189 7715.058 8.95092928 3.8873392
190 7815.682 8.96388751 3.89296688
191 7859.465 8.96947382 3.89539298
192 7951.647 8.98113436 3.90045709
193 7973.735 8.98390829 3.9016618
194 7987.970 8.98569194 3.90243643
195 8053.056 8.99380693 3.90596072
196 8111.958 9.00109455 3.90912569
197 8169.191 9.00812516 3.91217905
198 8303.094 9.0243835 3.91923995
199 8372.697 9.03273133 3.92286537
200 8470.572 9.04435332 3.92791274
201 8536.051 9.05205377 3.931257
202 8665.831 9.0671431 3.93781022
203 8773.720 9.07951617 3.94318377
204 8838.414 9.08686273 3.94637434
205 8936.191 9.09786471 3.95115244
206 8995.289 9.10445627 3.95401512
207 9098.858 9.11590419 3.95898689
208 9237.081 9.13098121 3.96553475
209 9315.518 9.13943689 3.96920701
210 9392.581 9.1476754 3.97278495
211 9502.237 9.15928252 3.97782586
212 9671.089 9.1768962 3.98547538
213 9695.631 9.17943065 3.98657608
214 9847.892 9.1950127 3.99334328
215 9836.603 9.19386571 3.99284514
216 9887.749 9.1990518 3.99509743
217 9875.576 9.19781992 3.99456244
218 9905.911 9.20088693 3.99589442
219 9871.060 9.19736252 3.99436379
220 9910.034 9.20130306 3.99607514
221 9977.280 9.20806579 3.99901216
222 10031.568 9.2134922 4.00136882
223 10090.666 9.21936612 4.00391983
224 10095.771 9.2198719 4.00413949
225 10126.007 9.22286234 4.00543822
226 10212.691 9.23138644 4.00914019
227 10398.723 9.24943829 4.01698001
228 10466.951 9.25597805 4.01982019
229 10543.621 9.26327631 4.02298979
230 10634.232 9.27183351 4.02670613
231 10728.671 9.28067497 4.03054593
232 10796.408 9.28696877 4.03327929
233 10878.380 9.29453261 4.03656423
234 10954.069 9.30146626 4.03957547
235 11074.326 9.31238474 4.0443173
236 11107.213 9.31535 4.0456051
237 11238.662 9.32711508 4.05071461
238 11306.694 9.33315022 4.05333564
239 11336.734 9.33580353 4.05448796
240 11395.538 9.34097715 4.05673483
241 11412.619 9.34247495 4.05738532
242 11520.115 9.35184992 4.06145681
243 11658.927 9.36382743 4.06665858
244 11675.714 9.36526624 4.06728345
 36
43
50
57
64
71
78
85
92
99
106
113
120
127

LN PIB
134
141
148
155
162
169
176
183
190
197
204
211
218
225
232
239

0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
3.5
4
4.5
1
8
15
22
29
36
43
50
57
64
71
78
85
92
99
106
113
120
LOG

127
134
141
148
155
162
169
176
 99
106
113
120

LOG
127
134
141
148
155
162
169
176
183
190
197
204
211
218
225
232
239
CAMINATA ALEATORIA CON DERIVA
Resumen
TIME PIB PIB T-1
1 1570.519 0 Estadísticas de la regresión
2 1568.653 1570.519 Coeficiente de 0.99931911
3 1567.966 1568.653 Coeficiente d 0.99863869
4 1590.938 1567.966 R^2 ajustado 0.99863306
5 1616.069 1590.938 Error típico 107.846892
6 1644.637 1616.069 Observacione 244
7 1654.061 1644.637
8 1657.988 1654.061 ANÁLISIS DE VARIANZA
9 1633.249 1657.988 Grados de libertad
10 1628.439 1633.249 Regresión 1
11 1646.698 1628.439 Residuos 242
12 1629.911 1646.698 Total 243
13 1696.765 1629.911
14 1747.322 1696.765 Coeficientes
15 1815.845 1747.322 Intercepción 35.9384472
16 1848.928 1815.845 Variable X 1 1.00224898
17 1871.311 1848.928
18 1903.118 1871.311
19 1941.109 1903.118
20 1944.447 1941.109 Análisis de los residuales
21 1964.670 1944.447
22 1966.044 1964.670 Observación
Pronóstico para Y
23 1978.806 1966.044 1 35.9384472
24 2043.795 1978.806 2 1609.98951
25 2082.277 2043.795 3 1608.11931
26 2098.083 2082.277 4 1607.43076
27 2085.419 2098.083 5 1630.45443
28 2052.532 2085.419 6 1655.64195
29 2042.420 2052.532 7 1684.27419
30 2044.286 2042.420 8 1693.71939
31 2066.865 2044.286 9 1697.65522
32 2107.801 2066.865 10 1672.86058
33 2168.470 2107.801 11 1668.03977
34 2204.008 2168.470 12 1686.33983
35 2233.360 2204.008 13 1669.51508
36 2245.337 2233.360 14 1736.51943
37 2234.833 2245.337 15 1787.19013
38 2252.504 2234.833 16 1855.86724
39 2249.755 2252.504 17 1889.02464
40 2286.470 2249.755 18 1911.45798
41 2300.312 2286.470 19 1943.33651
42 2294.618 2300.312 20 1981.41295
43 2317.001 2294.618 21 1984.75846
44 2292.459 2317.001 22 2005.02694
45 2230.219 2292.459 23 2006.40403
46 2243.374 2230.219 24 2019.19473
47 2295.207 2243.374 25 2084.32989
48 2348.023 2295.207 26 2122.89844
49 2392.886 2348.023 27 2138.73998
50 2455.813 2392.886 28 2126.0475
 51 2453.948 2455.813 29 2093.08654
52 2462.587 2453.948 30 2082.9518
53 2517.365 2462.587 31 2084.822
54 2504.800 2517.365 32 2107.45178
55 2508.726 2504.800 33 2148.47984
56 2476.232 2508.726 34 2209.28528
57 2491.154 2476.232 35 2244.90321
58 2537.981 2491.154 36 2274.32122
59 2579.114 2537.981 37 2286.32515
60 2631.831 2579.114 38 2275.79753
61 2679.149 2631.831 39 2293.50827
62 2708.404 2679.149 40 2290.75309
63 2733.339 2708.404 41 2327.55066
64 2740.014 2733.339 42 2341.42379
65 2775.944 2740.014 43 2335.71699
66 2810.598 2775.944 44 2358.15032
67 2863.512 2810.598 45 2333.55313
68 2885.796 2863.512 46 2271.17315
69 2950.490 2885.796 47 2284.35774
70 2984.751 2950.490 48 2336.30731
71 3025.492 2984.751 49 2389.24209
72 3033.640 3025.492 50 2434.20599
73 3108.151 3033.640 51 2497.27451
74 3150.167 3108.151 52 2495.40532
75 3214.076 3150.167 53 2504.06374
76 3291.826 3214.076 54 2558.96494
77 3372.325 3291.826 55 2546.37168
78 3384.007 3372.325 56 2550.30651
79 3406.292 3384.007 57 2517.73943
80 3433.681 3406.292 58 2532.69499
81 3464.114 3433.681 59 2579.6273
82 3464.310 3464.114 60 2620.85281
83 3491.798 3464.310 61 2673.68837
84 3518.205 3491.798 62 2721.11279
85 3590.655 3518.205 63 2750.43358
86 3651.618 3590.655 64 2775.42466
87 3676.455 3651.618 65 2782.11467
88 3691.966 3676.455 66 2818.12548
89 3750.180 3691.966 67 2852.85741
90 3760.881 3750.180 68 2905.89041
91 3784.245 3760.881 69 2928.22453
92 3766.280 3784.245 70 2993.06403
93 3759.997 3766.280 71 3027.40208
94 3767.066 3759.997 72 3068.2347
95 3800.541 3767.066 73 3076.40103
96 3759.801 3800.541 74 3151.0796
97 3864.057 3759.801 75 3193.19009
98 3885.851 3864.057 76 3257.24282
99 3916.676 3885.851 77 3335.16768
100 3927.867 3916.676 78 3415.84772
101 3997.666 3927.867 79 3427.55599
102 4092.105 3997.666 80 3449.89111
103 4131.079 4092.105 81 3477.34171
104 4198.718 4131.079 82 3507.84315
105 4305.330 4198.718 83 3508.03959
106 4355.102 4305.330 84 3535.58941
107 4331.934 4355.102 85 3562.0558
108 4373.263 4331.934 86 3634.66874
109 4335.370 4373.263 87 3695.76885
110 4347.936 4335.370 88 3720.6617
111 4305.821 4347.936 89 3736.20759
112 4288.936 4305.821 90 3794.55251
113 4237.593 4288.936 91 3805.27757
114 4268.614 4237.593 92 3828.69412
115 4340.867 4268.614 93 3810.68872
116 4397.806 4340.867 94 3804.39159
117 4496.761 4397.806 95 3811.47648
118 4530.335 4496.761 96 3845.02677
119 4552.030 4530.335 97 3804.19515
120 4584.623 4552.030 98 3908.68562
121 4639.990 4584.623 99 3930.52863
122 4731.092 4639.990 100 3961.42295
123 4815.812 4731.092 101 3972.63912
124 4815.321 4815.812 102 4042.5951
125 4830.832 4815.321 103 4137.24649
126 5021.183 4830.832 104 4176.30814
127 5070.661 5021.183 105 4244.09926
128 5137.416 5070.661 106 4350.95103
129 5147.430 5137.416 107 4400.83496
130 5152.338 5147.430 108 4377.61486
131 5189.446 5152.338 109 4419.03681
132 5204.662 5189.446 110 4381.05859
133 5221.253 5204.662 111 4393.65285
134 5115.917 5221.253 112 4351.44313
135 5107.376 5115.917 113 4334.52016
136 5202.110 5107.376 114 4283.06169
137 5307.544 5202.110 115 4314.15245
138 5266.117 5307.544 116 4386.56795
139 5329.829 5266.117 117 4443.635
140 5263.368 5329.829 118 4542.81255
141 5177.077 5263.368 119 4576.46206
142 5204.859 5177.077 120 4598.20585
143 5185.225 5204.859 121 4630.87215
144 5189.839 5185.225 122 4686.36367
145 5253.845 5189.839 123 4777.67056
146 5372.336 5253.845 124 4862.58109
147 5478.360 5372.336 125 4862.08898
148 5590.469 5478.360 126 4877.63487
149 5699.830 5590.469 127 5068.41396
150 5797.902 5699.830 128 5118.00324
151 5854.251 5797.902 129 5184.90837
152 5902.354 5854.251 130 5194.94489
153 5956.937 5902.354 131 5199.86393
154 6007.789 5956.937 132 5237.05538
155 6101.737 6007.789 133 5252.3056
156 6148.564 6101.737 134 5268.93392
157 6207.368 6148.564 135 5163.36102
158 6232.008 6207.368 136 5154.80081
159 6291.695 6232.008 137 5249.74786
160 6323.404 6291.695 138 5355.41898
161 6365.028 6323.404 139 5313.89881
162 6435.023 6365.028 140 5377.7541
163 6493.434 6435.023 141 5311.14363
164 6606.820 6493.434 142 5224.65856
165 6639.118 6606.820 143 5252.50305
166 6723.544 6639.118 144 5232.82489
167 6759.376 6723.544 145 5237.44927
168 6848.612 6759.376 146 5301.59921
169 6918.116 6848.612 147 5420.3567
170 6963.471 6918.116 148 5526.61914
171 7013.144 6963.471 149 5638.98027
172 7030.913 7013.144 150 5748.58722
173 7112.100 7030.913 151 5846.87978
174 7130.261 7112.100 152 5903.35551
175 7130.752 7130.261 153 5951.56669
176 7076.857 7130.752 154 6006.27245
177 7040.828 7076.857 155 6057.23881
178 7086.477 7040.828 156 6151.3981
179 7120.738 7086.477 157 6198.33041
180 7154.116 7120.738 158 6257.26666
181 7228.234 7154.116 159 6281.96208
182 7297.935 7228.234 160 6341.78331
183 7369.500 7297.935 161 6373.56363
184 7450.687 7369.500 162 6415.28124
185 7459.718 7450.687 163 6485.43365
186 7497.514 7459.718 164 6543.97602
187 7535.996 7497.514 165 6657.61702
188 7637.406 7535.996 166 6689.98766
189 7715.058 7637.406 167 6774.60353
190 7815.682 7715.058 168 6810.51612
191 7859.465 7815.682 169 6899.9528
192 7951.647 7859.465 170 6969.61312
193 7973.735 7951.647 171 7015.07012
194 7987.970 7973.735 172 7064.85483
195 8053.056 7987.970 173 7082.6638
196 8111.958 8053.056 174 7164.03338
197 8169.191 8111.958 175 7182.23523
198 8303.094 8169.191 176 7182.72733
199 8372.697 8303.094 177 7128.71112
200 8470.572 8372.697 178 7092.60109
201 8536.051 8470.572 179 7138.35276
202 8665.831 8536.051 180 7172.69081
203 8773.720 8665.831 181 7206.14388
204 8838.414 8773.720 182 7280.42857
205 8936.191 8838.414 183 7350.28632
206 8995.289 8936.191 184 7422.01227
207 9098.858 8995.289 185 7503.38186
208 9237.081 9098.858 186 7512.43317
209 9315.518 9237.081 187 7550.31417
210 9392.581 9315.518 188 7588.88271
211 9502.237 9392.581 189 7690.52078
212 9671.089 9502.237 190 7768.34742
213 9695.631 9671.089 191 7869.19772
214 9847.892 9695.631 192 7913.07919
215 9836.603 9847.892 193 8005.4685
216 9887.749 9836.603 194 8027.60618
217 9875.576 9887.749 195 8041.87319
218 9905.911 9875.576 196 8107.10557
219 9871.060 9905.911 197 8166.14004
220 9910.034 9871.060 198 8223.50175
221 9977.280 9910.034 199 8357.7059
222 10031.568 9977.280 200 8427.46543
223 10090.666 10031.568 201 8525.56055
224 10095.771 10090.666 202 8591.18681
225 10126.007 10095.771 203 8721.25869
226 10212.691 10126.007 204 8829.39032
227 10398.723 10212.691 205 8894.22982
228 10466.951 10398.723 206 8992.22672
229 10543.621 10466.951 207 9051.45763
230 10634.232 10543.621 208 9155.25955
231 10728.671 10634.232 209 9293.79341
232 10796.408 10728.671 210 9372.40681
233 10878.380 10796.408 211 9449.64313
234 10954.069 10878.380 212 9559.54574
235 11074.326 10954.069 213 9728.77749
236 11107.213 11074.326 214 9753.37468
237 11238.662 11107.213 215 9905.97811
238 11306.694 11238.662 216 9894.66372
239 11336.734 11306.694 217 9945.92475
240 11395.538 11336.734 218 9933.72437
241 11412.619 11395.538 219 9964.12759
242 11520.115 11412.619 220 9929.19822
243 11658.927 11520.115 221 9968.25987
244 11675.714 11658.927 222 10035.6571
223 10090.0672
224 10149.2981
225 10154.4146
226 10184.7186
227 10271.5975
228 10458.0479
229 10526.4294
230 10603.2718
231 10694.0866
232 10788.738
233 10856.6273
234 10938.7837
235 11014.6429
236 11135.1703
237 11168.1313
238 11299.8759
239 11368.0609
240 11398.1685
241 11457.1047
242 11474.2241
243 11581.9619
244 11721.0861
Suma de cuadrados
Promedio de los cuadradosF Valor crítico de F
2064815532 2064815532 177527.645 0
2814690.4 11630.9521
2067630223

Error típico Estadístico t Probabilidad Inferior 95% Superior 95%Inferior 95,0%Superior 95,0%
14.3676664 2.50134199 0.0130341 7.6368005 64.2400938 7.6368005 64.2400938
0.00237872 421.340296 0 0.99756334 1.00693461 0.99756334 1.00693461

ES EL RO (ρ) QUE INDICA QUE SI ES =1 EXISTE RAIZ UNITARIA

Residuos Variable X 1 Gráfico de lo

1534.58055 2000
-41.3365052
-40.1533087
-16.4927636
1500
-14.3854271
Residuos

-11.0049461
-30.2131948
-35.7313891 1000
-64.4062208
-44.4215834
-21.3417659 500
-56.4288299
27.2499236
10.8025707 0
28.6548692 0 2000 4000 6000 8
-6.9392373
-17.7136401 Variable X 1
-500
-8.33997895
-2.2275121
-36.9659529
-20.08846
-38.982941
-27.5980311
24.6002675
-2.05289117
-24.8154362
-53.3209835
-73.5155025
-50.6665405
-38.6657988
-17.9569954
0.34922498
19.9901609
-5.27728214
-11.5432062
-28.9842181
-51.4921541
-23.2935309
-43.7532725
-4.28309008
-27.2386612
-46.8057915
-18.7159858
-65.6913247
-103.33413
-27.7991541
10.8492606
11.7156895
3.64390764
21.6070119
-43.3265094
-32.818315
13.3012561
-54.1649383
-37.6456799
-74.0745094
-26.5854312
5.28600959
-0.51330317
10.9781897
5.46063052
-12.7087865
-17.0945802
-35.4106584
-6.17067035
-7.52747602
10.654588
-20.0944143
22.2654696
-8.31302562
-1.91007776
-34.5947033
31.7499721
-0.91260128
20.8859058
34.583176
37.1573182
-31.840722
-21.2639946
-16.210113
-13.2277101
-43.5331532
-16.241594
-17.3844138
28.5991975
16.9492592
-19.313845
-28.6957028
13.9724133
-33.6715085
-21.0325748
-62.4141198
-50.691717
-37.3255867
-10.9354847
-85.2257691
59.8618541
-22.834615
-13.8526292
-33.5559539
25.0268779
49.5099017
-6.16748931
22.4098591
61.2307407
4.15097298
-68.900963
-4.35185875
-83.6668066
-33.1225862
-87.8318468
-62.5071313
-96.9271573
-14.4476882
26.7145464
11.2380512
53.1259968
-12.4775506
-24.4320577
-13.5828492
9.11784999
44.728331
38.1414449
-47.2600883
-31.2569841
143.548132
2.24703743
19.4127626
-37.4783677
-42.6068889
-10.4179269
-32.3933819
-31.0526023
-153.016915
 -55.985017
47.3091915
57.7961371
-89.3019813
15.930187
-114.3861
-134.066631
-19.7995643
-67.2780453
-42.9858889
16.3957343
70.7367864
58.0033031
63.8498578
60.8497274
49.3147772
7.37121576
-1.00151174
5.37030581
1.51655001
44.4981851
-2.83410158
9.03758566
-25.2586631
9.73292218
-18.3793124
-8.53562514
19.7417635
8.00034651
62.8439816
-18.4990207
33.5563419
-15.22753
38.0958847
18.1631952
-6.14211761
-1.92611987
-33.9418332
29.4362048
-33.7723828
-51.4832264
-105.870331
-87.8831222
-6.12409384
-17.6147573
-18.5748094
22.0901243
17.5064347
19.2136789
28.674731
-43.6638565
-14.919167
-14.3181693
 48.5232857
24.5372171
47.3345797
-9.73272117
38.567812
-31.7335031
-39.6361784
11.1828074
4.85243062
3.05096149
79.5922459
14.9911014
43.106566
10.4904475
74.6441869
52.4613149
9.02367525
41.9611801
3.06228202
47.4003721
81.821448
21.7245879
20.1741851
52.5938723
111.543259
-33.1464853
94.5173204
-69.3751108
-6.91472213
-70.3487482
-27.8133714
-93.0675941
-19.1642151
9.02013338
-4.08910119
0.59880645
-53.5271035
-28.4075845
27.9724155
127.125465
8.903084
17.1916409
30.960212
34.5844301
7.67003918
21.7527004
15.2853474
59.6831247
-27.9573303
70.5307077
6.81808213
-31.3269201
-2.63047935
-44.4857281
45.8908572
76.9651013
-45.3720834
e X 1 Gráfico de los residuales

000 6000 8000 10000 12000 14000

Variable X 1
CAMINATA ALEATORIA SIN DERIVA
Resumen
TIME PIB PIB T-1
1 1570.519 0 Estadísticas de la regresión
2 1568.653 1570.519 Coeficiente de 0.99984025
3 1567.966 1568.653 Coeficiente d 0.99968052
4 1590.938 1567.966 R^2 ajustado 0.9955653
5 1616.069 1590.938 Error típico 109.007153
6 1644.637 1616.069 Observacione 244
7 1654.061 1644.637
8 1657.988 1654.061 ANÁLISIS DE VARIANZA
9 1633.249 1657.988 Grados de libertad
10 1628.439 1633.249 Regresión 1
11 1646.698 1628.439 Residuos 243
12 1629.911 1646.698 Total 244
13 1696.765 1629.911
14 1747.322 1696.765 Coeficientes
15 1815.845 1747.322 Intercepción 0
16 1848.928 1815.845 Variable X 1 1.00746696
17 1871.311 1848.928
18 1903.118 1871.311
19 1941.109 1903.118
20 1944.447 1941.109 Análisis de los residuales
21 1964.670 1944.447
22 1966.044 1964.670 Observación
Pronóstico para Y
23 1978.806 1966.044 1 0
24 2043.795 1978.806 2 1582.246
25 2082.277 2043.795 3 1580.36607
26 2098.083 2082.277 4 1579.67394
27 2085.419 2098.083 5 1602.81747
28 2052.532 2085.419 6 1628.13612
29 2042.420 2052.532 7 1656.91744
30 2044.286 2042.420 8 1666.41181
31 2066.865 2044.286 9 1670.36813
32 2107.801 2066.865 10 1645.4444
33 2168.470 2107.801 11 1640.59849
34 2204.008 2168.470 12 1658.99383
35 2233.360 2204.008 13 1642.08148
36 2245.337 2233.360 14 1709.43467
37 2234.833 2245.337 15 1760.36918
38 2252.504 2234.833 16 1829.40384
39 2249.755 2252.504 17 1862.73387
40 2286.470 2249.755 18 1885.284
41 2300.312 2286.470 19 1917.3285
42 2294.618 2300.312 20 1955.60318
43 2317.001 2294.618 21 1958.96611
44 2292.459 2317.001 22 1979.34011
45 2230.219 2292.459 23 1980.72437
46 2243.374 2230.219 24 1993.58166
47 2295.207 2243.374 25 2059.05593
48 2348.023 2295.207 26 2097.82528
49 2392.886 2348.023 27 2113.7493
50 2455.813 2392.886 28 2100.99074
 51 2453.948 2455.813 29 2067.85817
52 2462.587 2453.948 30 2057.67067
53 2517.365 2462.587 31 2059.5506
54 2504.800 2517.365 32 2082.2982
55 2508.726 2504.800 33 2123.53986
56 2476.232 2508.726 34 2184.66188
57 2491.154 2476.232 35 2220.46524
58 2537.981 2491.154 36 2250.03641
59 2579.114 2537.981 37 2262.10284
60 2631.831 2579.114 38 2251.52041
61 2679.149 2631.831 39 2269.32336
62 2708.404 2679.149 40 2266.55383
63 2733.339 2708.404 41 2303.54298
64 2740.014 2733.339 42 2317.48834
65 2775.944 2740.014 43 2311.75182
66 2810.598 2775.944 44 2334.30195
67 2863.512 2810.598 45 2309.5767
68 2885.796 2863.512 46 2246.87195
69 2950.490 2885.796 47 2260.12518
70 2984.751 2950.490 48 2312.34522
71 3025.492 2984.751 49 2365.55559
72 3033.640 3025.492 50 2410.75358
73 3108.151 3033.640 51 2474.15046
74 3150.167 3108.151 52 2472.27153
75 3214.076 3150.167 53 2480.97504
76 3291.826 3214.076 54 2536.16206
77 3372.325 3291.826 55 2523.50324
78 3384.007 3372.325 56 2527.45855
79 3406.292 3384.007 57 2494.72192
80 3433.681 3406.292 58 2509.75535
81 3464.114 3433.681 59 2556.932
82 3464.310 3464.114 60 2598.37214
83 3491.798 3464.310 61 2651.48277
84 3518.205 3491.798 62 2699.1541
85 3590.655 3518.205 63 2728.62754
86 3651.618 3590.655 64 2753.74873
87 3676.455 3651.618 65 2760.47357
88 3691.966 3676.455 66 2796.67186
89 3750.180 3691.966 67 2831.58462
90 3760.881 3750.180 68 2884.89373
91 3784.245 3760.881 69 2907.34412
92 3766.280 3784.245 70 2972.52119
93 3759.997 3766.280 71 3007.03801
94 3767.066 3759.997 72 3048.08323
95 3800.541 3767.066 73 3056.29207
96 3759.801 3800.541 74 3131.35944
97 3864.057 3759.801 75 3173.68917
98 3885.851 3864.057 76 3238.07537
99 3916.676 3885.851 77 3316.40593
100 3927.867 3916.676 78 3397.50601
101 3997.666 3927.867 79 3409.27524
102 4092.105 3997.666 80 3431.72664
103 4131.079 4092.105 81 3459.32016
104 4198.718 4131.079 82 3489.9804
105 4305.330 4198.718 83 3490.17786
106 4355.102 4305.330 84 3517.87111
107 4331.934 4355.102 85 3544.47529
108 4373.263 4331.934 86 3617.46627
109 4335.370 4373.263 87 3678.88448
110 4347.936 4335.370 88 3703.90694
111 4305.821 4347.936 89 3719.53376
112 4288.936 4305.821 90 3778.18244
113 4237.593 4288.936 91 3788.96334
114 4268.614 4237.593 92 3812.5018
115 4340.867 4268.614 93 3794.40266
116 4397.806 4340.867 94 3788.07274
117 4496.761 4397.806 95 3795.19453
118 4530.335 4496.761 96 3828.91948
119 4552.030 4530.335 97 3787.87528
120 4584.623 4552.030 98 3892.90976
121 4639.990 4584.623 99 3914.86649
122 4731.092 4639.990 100 3945.92166
123 4815.812 4731.092 101 3957.19622
124 4815.321 4815.812 102 4027.51641
125 4830.832 4815.321 103 4122.66058
126 5021.183 4830.832 104 4161.9256
127 5070.661 5021.183 105 4230.06966
128 5137.416 5070.661 106 4337.47772
129 5147.430 5137.416 107 4387.62137
130 5152.338 5147.430 108 4364.28037
131 5189.446 5152.338 109 4405.91798
132 5204.662 5189.446 110 4367.74203
133 5221.253 5204.662 111 4380.40186
134 5115.917 5221.253 112 4337.97239
135 5107.376 5115.917 113 4320.96131
136 5202.110 5107.376 114 4269.23493
137 5307.544 5202.110 115 4300.48757
138 5266.117 5307.544 116 4373.28008
139 5329.829 5266.117 117 4430.64424
140 5263.368 5329.829 118 4530.33813
141 5177.077 5263.368 119 4564.16283
142 5204.859 5177.077 120 4586.01982
143 5185.225 5204.859 121 4618.85619
144 5189.839 5185.225 122 4674.63662
145 5253.845 5189.839 123 4766.41887
146 5372.336 5253.845 124 4851.77147
147 5478.360 5372.336 125 4851.2768
148 5590.469 5478.360 126 4866.90362
149 5699.830 5590.469 127 5058.67597
150 5797.902 5699.830 128 5108.52342
151 5854.251 5797.902 129 5175.77688
152 5902.354 5854.251 130 5185.86565
153 5956.937 5902.354 131 5190.8103
154 6007.789 5956.937 132 5228.19538
155 6101.737 6007.789 133 5243.525
156 6148.564 6101.737 134 5260.23988
157 6207.368 6148.564 135 5154.11734
158 6232.008 6207.368 136 5145.51257
159 6291.695 6232.008 137 5240.95394
160 6323.404 6291.695 138 5347.17521
161 6365.028 6323.404 139 5305.43888
162 6435.023 6365.028 140 5369.62662
163 6493.434 6435.023 141 5302.66935
164 6606.820 6493.434 142 5215.73402
165 6639.118 6606.820 143 5243.72347
166 6723.544 6639.118 144 5223.94286
167 6759.376 6723.544 145 5228.59132
168 6848.612 6759.376 146 5293.07525
169 6918.116 6848.612 147 5412.45101
170 6963.471 6918.116 148 5519.26669
171 7013.144 6963.471 149 5632.2128
172 7030.913 7013.144 150 5742.3904
173 7112.100 7030.913 151 5841.1947
174 7130.261 7112.100 152 5897.96445
175 7130.752 7130.261 153 5946.42664
176 7076.857 7130.752 154 6001.4172
177 7040.828 7076.857 155 6052.64891
178 7086.477 7040.828 156 6147.29842
179 7120.738 7086.477 157 6194.47508
180 7154.116 7120.738 158 6253.71816
181 7228.234 7154.116 159 6278.54215
182 7297.935 7228.234 160 6338.67483
183 7369.500 7297.935 161 6370.6206
184 7450.687 7369.500 162 6412.5554
185 7459.718 7450.687 163 6483.07305
186 7497.514 7459.718 164 6541.92021
187 7535.996 7497.514 165 6656.15285
188 7637.406 7535.996 166 6688.69202
189 7715.058 7637.406 167 6773.74843
190 7815.682 7715.058 168 6809.84798
191 7859.465 7815.682 169 6899.75031
192 7951.647 7859.465 170 6969.77329
193 7973.735 7951.647 171 7015.46695
194 7987.970 7973.735 172 7065.51086
195 8053.056 7987.970 173 7083.41254
196 8111.958 8053.056 174 7165.20576
197 8169.191 8111.958 175 7183.50237
198 8303.094 8169.191 176 7183.99703
199 8372.697 8303.094 177 7129.6996
200 8470.572 8372.697 178 7093.40157
201 8536.051 8470.572 179 7139.39143
202 8665.831 8536.051 180 7173.90826
203 8773.720 8665.831 181 7207.53549
204 8838.414 8773.720 182 7282.20693
205 8936.191 8838.414 183 7352.42838
206 8995.289 8936.191 184 7424.52776
207 9098.858 8995.289 185 7506.32098
208 9237.081 9098.858 186 7515.41941
209 9315.518 9237.081 187 7553.49763
210 9392.581 9315.518 188 7592.26697
211 9502.237 9392.581 189 7694.4342
212 9671.089 9502.237 190 7772.66602
213 9695.631 9671.089 191 7874.04138
214 9847.892 9695.631 192 7918.1513
215 9836.603 9847.892 193 8011.02162
216 9887.749 9836.603 194 8033.27455
217 9875.576 9887.749 195 8047.61585
218 9905.911 9875.576 196 8113.18784
219 9871.060 9905.911 197 8172.52966
220 9910.034 9871.060 198 8230.19002
221 9977.280 9910.034 199 8365.09286
222 10031.568 9977.280 200 8435.21559
223 10090.666 10031.568 201 8533.82141
224 10095.771 10090.666 202 8599.78934
225 10126.007 10095.771 203 8730.53841
226 10212.691 10126.007 204 8839.23301
227 10398.723 10212.691 205 8904.41008
228 10466.951 10398.723 206 9002.91717
229 10543.621 10466.951 207 9062.45645
230 10634.232 10543.621 208 9166.7988
231 10728.671 10634.232 209 9306.05391
232 10796.408 10728.671 210 9385.07659
233 10878.380 10796.408 211 9462.71502
234 10954.069 10878.380 212 9573.18981
235 11074.326 10954.069 213 9743.30263
236 11107.213 11074.326 214 9768.02788
237 11238.662 11107.213 215 9921.42581
238 11306.694 11238.662 216 9910.05251
239 11336.734 11306.694 217 9961.58042
240 11395.538 11336.734 218 9949.31652
241 11412.619 11395.538 219 9979.87803
242 11520.115 11412.619 220 9944.7668
243 11658.927 11520.115 221 9984.03182
244 11675.714 11658.927 222 10051.7799
223 10106.4733
224 10166.0126
225 10171.1557
226 10201.6175
227 10288.9487
228 10476.3698
229 10545.1073
230 10622.3498
231 10713.6374
232 10808.7815
233 10877.0243
234 10959.6084
235 11035.8626
236 11157.0175
237 11190.1501
238 11322.5806
239 11391.1206
240 11421.3849
241 11480.628
242 11497.8366
243 11606.1352
244 11745.9837
 Variable X

Residuos
2000
1500
1000
500
0
-500 0 2000
Suma de cuadrados
Promedio de los cuadradosF Valor crítico de F
9035218723 9035218723 760376.488 0
2887461.92 11882.5593
9038106184

Error típico Estadístico t Probabilidad Inferior 95% Superior 95%Inferior 95,0%Superior 95,0%
#N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A
0.00115536 871.995692 0 1.00519117 1.00974275 1.00519117 1.00974275

ES EL RO (ρ) QUE INDICA QUE SI ES =1 EXISTE RAIZ UNITARIA

Residuos
1570.519
-13.5930011
-12.4000678
11.264062
13.251531
16.5008789
-2.8564372
-8.42380582
-37.1191286
-17.0054035
6.0995126
-29.0828266
54.6835212
37.8873252
55.4758181
19.5241597
8.57713026
17.8339973
23.7804957
-11.1561815
5.70389379
-13.2961105
-1.91837012
50.2133365
23.2210663
0.25772282
-28.3302999
-48.4587384
-25.4381725
-13.3846666
7.31440006
25.5028036
44.9301362
19.3461232
12.8947624
-4.69940776
-27.2698395
0.98359341
-19.5683552
19.9161714
-3.23097796
-22.8703356
5.24918126
-41.8429517
-79.3576976
-3.49795404
35.0818181
35.6777832
27.3304083
45.0594181
-20.2024552
-9.68452933
36.3899636
-31.3620615
-14.7772391
-51.2265544
-3.56792305
28.225655
22.1819997
33.4588613
27.6662256
9.24990401
4.71145812
-13.7347305
15.4704275
13.9261397
31.9273797
0.90227303
43.1458793
12.2298119
18.4539864
-14.443225
51.8589342
18.8075636
40.3868319
53.750626
55.9190699
-13.4990128
-2.98324184
1.95435698
4.79384443
-25.6703975
1.62013894
0.33388717
46.1797072
34.151726
-2.42948223
-11.9409391
30.6462409
-17.3014407
-4.71834458
-46.2218026
-34.4056587
-21.0067438
5.34647228
-69.1184842
76.1817197
-7.05875555
1.80950954
-18.0546595
40.4697778
64.5885915
8.41841936
36.7924021
75.2603445
17.624277
-55.6873685
8.98262603
-70.5479759
-19.8060304
-74.5808603
-49.0363893
-83.3683097
-0.62093358
40.3794339
24.5259237
66.1167625
-0.00313044
-12.1328261
-1.3968218
21.1338076
56.4553845
49.3931296
-36.4504712
-20.4448049
154.279375
11.9850319
28.8925817
-28.3468751
-33.5276492
-1.36429708
-23.533381
-22.2719982
-144.322883
 -46.741343
56.5974323
66.5900574
-81.0582139
24.3901198
-106.258615
-125.592354
-10.8750222
-58.4984692
-34.103863
25.2536845
79.2607543
65.9089869
71.20231
67.6171967
55.5116026
13.0563029
4.38954726
10.5103641
6.3717951
49.0880853
1.26557942
12.8929241
-21.7101629
13.1528512
-15.2708292
-5.592599
22.4675963
10.3609465
64.8997939
-17.0348547
34.8519775
-14.372428
38.7640159
18.3656944
-6.30228917
-2.3229531
-34.5978594
28.6874602
-34.9447598
-52.7503672
-107.140033
-88.8716017
-6.92457466
-18.6534339
-19.7922594
20.6985085
15.7280724
17.0716179
26.159245
-46.602975
-17.9054092
-17.5016303
 45.1390261
20.6238018
43.0159775
-14.5763778
33.4956964
-37.2866229
-45.3045531
5.44015477
-1.22983973
-3.33865855
72.903985
7.60413676
35.356414
2.22958538
66.0416564
43.1815944
-0.81900833
31.7809242
-7.62817264
36.401545
70.2821995
9.46409403
7.50440816
39.5219819
97.899185
-47.6716259
79.8641199
-84.8228067
-22.3035122
-86.0044173
-43.405522
-108.818032
-34.7328012
-6.75181849
-20.2119416
-15.8073079
-70.2415902
-45.1487091
11.07352
109.774254
-9.41883926
-1.48629495
11.8822133
15.0336247
-12.3735475
1.35566311
-5.53941846
38.4634149
-49.8045392
48.5118949
-15.8866294
-54.3866216
-25.846929
-68.0090161
22.2784408
52.7917725
-70.269731
 Variable X 1 Gráfico de los residuales
Residuos

2000
1500
1000
500
0 Variable X 1
-500 0 2000 4000 6000 8000 10000 12000 14000
MODELO CON TENDENCIA DETERMINISTICA Yt= b1+B2t
Resumen
TIME PIB
1 1570.519 Estadísticas de la regresión
2 1568.653 Coeficiente de 0.97846648
3 1567.966 Coeficiente d 0.95739666
4 1590.938 R^2 ajustado 0.95722061
5 1616.069 Error típico 603.324
6 1644.637 Observacione 244
7 1654.061
8 1657.988 ANÁLISIS DE VARIANZA
9 1633.249 Grados de libertad
Suma de cuadrados
Promedio de los cuadrados
10 1628.439 Regresión 1 1979542260 1979542260
11 1646.698 Residuos 242 88087963.3 363999.848
12 1629.911 Total 243 2067630223
13 1696.765
14 1747.322 Coeficientes Error típico Estadístico t
15 1815.845 Intercepción 391.178943 77.4857746 5.04839689
16 1848.928 Variable X 1 40.4382097 0.54835288 73.7448654
17 1871.311
18 1903.118
19 1941.109
20 1944.447 Análisis de los residuales
Var

Residuos
21 1964.670
22 1966.044 Observación
Pronóstico para YResiduos 2000
23 1978.806 1 431.617153 1138.90185 1000
24 2043.795 2 472.055363 1096.59764
25 2082.277 3 512.493572 1055.47243 0
26 2098.083 4 552.931782 1038.00622 -1000 0
27 2085.419 5 593.369992 1022.69901
-2000
28 2052.532 6 633.808201 1010.8288
29 2042.420 7 674.246411 979.814589
30 2044.286 8 714.684621 943.303379
31 2066.865 9 755.12283 878.12617
32 2107.801 10 795.56104 832.87796
33 2168.470 11 835.99925 810.69875
34 2204.008 12 876.437459 753.473541
35 2233.360 13 916.875669 779.889331
36 2245.337 14 957.313879 790.008121
37 2234.833 15 997.752088 818.092912
38 2252.504 16 1038.1903 810.737702
39 2249.755 17 1078.62851 792.682492
40 2286.470 18 1119.06672 784.051283
41 2300.312 19 1159.50493 781.604073
42 2294.618 20 1199.94314 744.503863
43 2317.001 21 1240.38135 724.288654
44 2292.459 22 1280.81956 685.224444
45 2230.219 23 1321.25777 657.548234
46 2243.374 24 1361.69598 682.099025
47 2295.207 25 1402.13418 680.142815
48 2348.023 26 1442.57239 655.510605
49 2392.886 27 1483.0106 602.408396
50 2455.813 28 1523.44881 529.083186
 51 2453.948 29 1563.88702 478.532976
52 2462.587 30 1604.32523 439.960767
53 2517.365 31 1644.76344 422.101557
54 2504.800 32 1685.20165 422.599347
55 2508.726 33 1725.63986 442.830138
56 2476.232 34 1766.07807 437.929928
57 2491.154 35 1806.51628 426.843718
58 2537.981 36 1846.95449 398.382509
59 2579.114 37 1887.3927 347.440299
60 2631.831 38 1927.83091 324.673089
61 2679.149 39 1968.26912 281.48588
62 2708.404 40 2008.70733 277.76267
63 2733.339 41 2049.14554 251.16646
64 2740.014 42 2089.58375 205.034251
65 2775.944 43 2130.02196 186.979041
66 2810.598 44 2170.46017 121.998831
67 2863.512 45 2210.89838 19.3206218
68 2885.796 46 2251.33659 -7.96258783
69 2950.490 47 2291.7748 3.43220251
70 2984.751 48 2332.21301 15.8099928
71 3025.492 49 2372.65122 20.2347832
72 3033.640 50 2413.08943 42.7235735
73 3108.151 51 2453.52764 0.42036386
74 3150.167 52 2493.96585 -31.3788458
75 3214.076 53 2534.40406 -17.0390555
76 3291.826 54 2574.84227 -70.0422651
77 3372.325 55 2615.28047 -106.554475
78 3384.007 56 2655.71868 -179.486684
79 3406.292 57 2696.15689 -205.002894
80 3433.681 58 2736.5951 -198.614104
81 3464.114 59 2777.03331 -197.919313
82 3464.310 60 2817.47152 -185.640523
83 3491.798 61 2857.90973 -178.760733
84 3518.205 62 2898.34794 -189.943942
85 3590.655 63 2938.78615 -205.447152
86 3651.618 64 2979.22436 -239.210362
87 3676.455 65 3019.66257 -243.718571
88 3691.966 66 3060.10078 -249.502781
89 3750.180 67 3100.53899 -237.026991
90 3760.881 68 3140.9772 -255.1812
91 3784.245 69 3181.41541 -230.92541
92 3766.280 70 3221.85362 -237.10262
93 3759.997 71 3262.29183 -236.799829
94 3767.066 72 3302.73004 -269.090039
95 3800.541 73 3343.16825 -235.017249
96 3759.801 74 3383.60646 -233.439458
97 3864.057 75 3424.04467 -209.968668
98 3885.851 76 3464.48288 -172.656878
99 3916.676 77 3504.92109 -132.596087
100 3927.867 78 3545.3593 -161.352297
101 3997.666 79 3585.79751 -179.505507
102 4092.105 80 3626.23572 -192.554716
103 4131.079 81 3666.67393 -202.559926
104 4198.718 82 3707.11214 -242.802136
105 4305.330 83 3747.55035 -255.752345
106 4355.102 84 3787.98856 -269.783555
107 4331.934 85 3828.42676 -237.771765
108 4373.263 86 3868.86497 -217.246974
109 4335.370 87 3909.30318 -232.848184
110 4347.936 88 3949.74139 -257.775394
111 4305.821 89 3990.1796 -239.999603
112 4288.936 90 4030.61781 -269.736813
113 4237.593 91 4071.05602 -286.811023
114 4268.614 92 4111.49423 -345.214232
115 4340.867 93 4151.93244 -391.935442
116 4397.806 94 4192.37065 -425.304652
117 4496.761 95 4232.80886 -432.267861
118 4530.335 96 4273.24707 -513.446071
119 4552.030 97 4313.68528 -449.628281
120 4584.623 98 4354.12349 -468.27249
121 4639.990 99 4394.5617 -477.8857
122 4731.092 100 4434.99991 -507.13291
123 4815.812 101 4475.43812 -477.772119
124 4815.321 102 4515.87633 -423.771329
125 4830.832 103 4556.31454 -425.235539
126 5021.183 104 4596.75275 -398.034748
127 5070.661 105 4637.19096 -331.860958
128 5137.416 106 4677.62917 -322.527168
129 5147.430 107 4718.06738 -386.133377
130 5152.338 108 4758.50559 -385.242587
131 5189.446 109 4798.9438 -463.573797
132 5204.662 110 4839.38201 -491.446006
133 5221.253 111 4879.82022 -573.999216
134 5115.917 112 4920.25843 -631.322426
135 5107.376 113 4960.69664 -723.103635
136 5202.110 114 5001.13484 -732.520845
137 5307.544 115 5041.57305 -700.706055
138 5266.117 116 5082.01126 -684.205264
139 5329.829 117 5122.44947 -625.688474
140 5263.368 118 5162.88768 -632.552684
141 5177.077 119 5203.32589 -651.295893
142 5204.859 120 5243.7641 -659.141103
143 5185.225 121 5284.20231 -644.212313
144 5189.839 122 5324.64052 -593.548522
145 5253.845 123 5365.07873 -549.266732
146 5372.336 124 5405.51694 -590.195942
147 5478.360 125 5445.95515 -615.123151
148 5590.469 126 5486.39336 -465.210361
149 5699.830 127 5526.83157 -456.170571
150 5797.902 128 5567.26978 -429.85378
151 5854.251 129 5607.70799 -460.27799
152 5902.354 130 5648.1462 -495.8082
153 5956.937 131 5688.58441 -499.138409
154 6007.789 132 5729.02262 -524.360619
155 6101.737 133 5769.46083 -548.207829
156 6148.564 134 5809.89904 -693.982038
157 6207.368 135 5850.33725 -742.961248
158 6232.008 136 5890.77546 -688.665457
159 6291.695 137 5931.21367 -623.669667
160 6323.404 138 5971.65188 -705.534877
161 6365.028 139 6012.09009 -682.261086
162 6435.023 140 6052.5283 -789.160296
163 6493.434 141 6092.96651 -915.889506
164 6606.820 142 6133.40472 -928.545715
165 6639.118 143 6173.84293 -988.617925
166 6723.544 144 6214.28113 -1024.44213
167 6759.376 145 6254.71934 -1000.87434
168 6848.612 146 6295.15755 -922.821554
169 6918.116 147 6335.59576 -857.235764
170 6963.471 148 6376.03397 -785.564973
171 7013.144 149 6416.47218 -716.642183
172 7030.913 150 6456.91039 -659.008393
173 7112.100 151 6497.3486 -643.097602
174 7130.261 152 6537.78681 -635.432812
175 7130.752 153 6578.22502 -621.288022
176 7076.857 154 6618.66323 -610.874231
177 7040.828 155 6659.10144 -557.364441
178 7086.477 156 6699.53965 -550.975651
179 7120.738 157 6739.97786 -532.60986
180 7154.116 158 6780.41607 -548.40807
181 7228.234 159 6820.85428 -529.15928
182 7297.935 160 6861.29249 -537.888489
183 7369.500 161 6901.7307 -536.702699
184 7450.687 162 6942.16891 -507.145909
185 7459.718 163 6982.60712 -489.173118
186 7497.514 164 7023.04533 -416.225328
187 7535.996 165 7063.48354 -424.365538
188 7637.406 166 7103.92175 -380.377747
189 7715.058 167 7144.35996 -384.983957
190 7815.682 168 7184.79817 -336.186167
191 7859.465 169 7225.23638 -307.120376
192 7951.647 170 7265.67459 -302.203586
193 7973.735 171 7306.1128 -292.968796
194 7987.970 172 7346.55101 -315.638005
195 8053.056 173 7386.98922 -274.889215
196 8111.958 174 7427.42742 -297.166425
197 8169.191 175 7467.86563 -337.113634
198 8303.094 176 7508.30384 -431.446844
199 8372.697 177 7548.74205 -507.914054
200 8470.572 178 7589.18026 -502.703263
201 8536.051 179 7629.61847 -508.880473
202 8665.831 180 7670.05668 -515.940683
203 8773.720 181 7710.49489 -482.260892
204 8838.414 182 7750.9331 -452.998102
205 8936.191 183 7791.37131 -421.871312
206 8995.289 184 7831.80952 -381.122521
207 9098.858 185 7872.24773 -412.529731
208 9237.081 186 7912.68594 -415.171941
209 9315.518 187 7953.12415 -417.12815
210 9392.581 188 7993.56236 -356.15636
211 9502.237 189 8034.00057 -318.94257
212 9671.089 190 8074.43878 -258.756779
213 9695.631 191 8114.87699 -255.411989
214 9847.892 192 8155.3152 -203.668199
215 9836.603 193 8195.75341 -222.018408
216 9887.749 194 8236.19162 -248.221618
217 9875.576 195 8276.62983 -223.573828
218 9905.911 196 8317.06804 -205.110037
219 9871.060 197 8357.50625 -188.315247
220 9910.034 198 8397.94446 -94.8504566
221 9977.280 199 8438.38267 -65.6856663
222 10031.568 200 8478.82088 -8.24887593
223 10090.666 201 8519.25909 16.7919144
224 10095.771 202 8559.6973 106.133705
225 10126.007 203 8600.1355 173.584495
226 10212.691 204 8640.57371 197.840285
227 10398.723 205 8681.01192 255.179076
228 10466.951 206 8721.45013 273.838866
229 10543.621 207 8761.88834 336.969656
230 10634.232 208 8802.32655 434.754447
231 10728.671 209 8842.76476 472.753237
232 10796.408 210 8883.20297 509.378027
233 10878.380 211 8923.64118 578.595818
234 10954.069 212 8964.07939 707.009608
235 11074.326 213 9004.5176 691.113398
236 11107.213 214 9044.95581 802.936189
237 11238.662 215 9085.39402 751.208979
238 11306.694 216 9125.83223 761.916769
239 11336.734 217 9166.27044 709.30556
240 11395.538 218 9206.70865 699.20235
241 11412.619 219 9247.14686 623.91314
242 11520.115 220 9287.58507 622.448931
243 11658.927 221 9328.02328 649.256721
244 11675.714 222 9368.46149 663.106511
223 9408.8997 681.766302
224 9449.33791 646.433092
225 9489.77612 636.230882
226 9530.21433 682.476673
227 9570.65254 828.070463
228 9611.09075 855.860254
229 9651.52896 892.092044
230 9691.96717 942.264834
231 9732.40538 996.265625
232 9772.84359 1023.56441
233 9813.28179 1065.09821
234 9853.72 1100.349
235 9894.15821 1180.16779
236 9934.59642 1172.61658
237 9975.03463 1263.62737
238 10015.4728 1291.22116
239 10055.9111 1280.82295
240 10096.3493 1299.18874
241 10136.7875 1275.83153
242 10177.2257 1342.88932
243 10217.6639 1441.26311
244 10258.1021 1417.6119
 F Valor crítico de F
5438.30517 7.615E-168

Probabilidad Inferior 95% Superior 95%Inferior 95,0%Superior 95,0%

8.7646E-07 238.546292 543.811595 238.546292 543.811595
7.615E-168 39.3580559 41.5183635 39.3580559 41.5183635

Variable X 1 Gráfico de los residuales

Residuos

2000
1000
0
-1000 0 50 100 150 200 250 300
Variable X 1
-2000
4. MODELO CAMINATA ALEATORIA CON DERIVA Y TENDENCIA DETERMINISTICA

TIME PIB PIB T-1 DIF Yt

1 1570.519 0 0 Resumen
2 1568.653 1570.519 -1.866
3 1567.966 1568.653 -0.687 Estadísticas de la regresión
4 1590.938 1567.966 22.972 Coeficiente de 0.4079008
5 1616.069 1590.938 25.131 Coeficiente d 0.16638306
6 1644.637 1616.069 28.568 R^2 ajustado 0.16293836
7 1654.061 1644.637 9.424 Error típico 41.449336
8 1657.988 1654.061 3.927 Observacione 244
9 1633.249 1657.988 -24.739
10 1628.439 1633.249 -4.810 ANÁLISIS DE VARIANZA
11 1646.698 1628.439 18.259 Grados de libertad
12 1629.911 1646.698 -16.787 Regresión 1
13 1696.765 1629.911 66.854 Residuos 242
14 1747.322 1696.765 50.557 Total 243
15 1815.845 1747.322 68.523
16 1848.928 1815.845 33.083 Coeficientes
17 1871.311 1848.928 22.383 Intercepción 9.3415425
18 1903.118 1871.311 31.807 Variable X 1 0.26182197
19 1941.109 1903.118 37.991
20 1944.447 1941.109 3.338
21 1964.670 1944.447 20.223
22 1966.044 1964.670 1.374 Análisis de los residuales
23 1978.806 1966.044 12.762
24 2043.795 1978.806 64.989 Observación
Pronóstico para Y
25 2082.277 2043.795 38.482 1 9.60336447
26 2098.083 2082.277 15.806 2 9.86518644
27 2085.419 2098.083 -12.664 3 10.1270084
28 2052.532 2085.419 -32.887 4 10.3888304
29 2042.420 2052.532 -10.112 5 10.6506523
30 2044.286 2042.420 1.866 6 10.9124743
31 2066.865 2044.286 22.579 7 11.1742963
32 2107.801 2066.865 40.936 8 11.4361182
33 2168.470 2107.801 60.669 9 11.6979402
34 2204.008 2168.470 35.538 10 11.9597622
35 2233.360 2204.008 29.352 11 12.2215842
36 2245.337 2233.360 11.977 12 12.4834061
37 2234.833 2245.337 -10.504 13 12.7452281
38 2252.504 2234.833 17.671 14 13.0070501
39 2249.755 2252.504 -2.749 15 13.268872
40 2286.470 2249.755 36.715 16 13.530694
41 2300.312 2286.470 13.842 17 13.792516
42 2294.618 2300.312 -5.694 18 14.0543379
43 2317.001 2294.618 22.383 19 14.3161599
44 2292.459 2317.001 -24.542 20 14.5779819
45 2230.219 2292.459 -62.240 21 14.8398038
46 2243.374 2230.219 13.155 22 15.1016258
47 2295.207 2243.374 51.833 23 15.3634478
48 2348.023 2295.207 52.816 24 15.6252697
49 2392.886 2348.023 44.863 25 15.8870917
50 2455.813 2392.886 62.927 26 16.1489137
51 2453.948 2455.813 -1.865 27 16.4107356
52 2462.587 2453.948 8.639 28 16.6725576
53 2517.365 2462.587 54.778 29 16.9343796
54 2504.800 2517.365 -12.565 30 17.1962015
55 2508.726 2504.800 3.926 31 17.4580235
56 2476.232 2508.726 -32.494 32 17.7198455
57 2491.154 2476.232 14.922 33 17.9816675
58 2537.981 2491.154 46.827 34 18.2434894
59 2579.114 2537.981 41.133 35 18.5053114
60 2631.831 2579.114 52.717 36 18.7671334
61 2679.149 2631.831 47.318 37 19.0289553
62 2708.404 2679.149 29.255 38 19.2907773
63 2733.339 2708.404 24.935 39 19.5525993
64 2740.014 2733.339 6.675 40 19.8144212
65 2775.944 2740.014 35.930 41 20.0762432
66 2810.598 2775.944 34.654 42 20.3380652
67 2863.512 2810.598 52.914 43 20.5998871
68 2885.796 2863.512 22.284 44 20.8617091
69 2950.490 2885.796 64.694 45 21.1235311
70 2984.751 2950.490 34.261 46 21.385353
71 3025.492 2984.751 40.741 47 21.647175
72 3033.640 3025.492 8.148 48 21.908997
73 3108.151 3033.640 74.511 49 22.1708189
74 3150.167 3108.151 42.016 50 22.4326409
75 3214.076 3150.167 63.909 51 22.6944629
76 3291.826 3214.076 77.750 52 22.9562848
77 3372.325 3291.826 80.499 53 23.2181068
78 3384.007 3372.325 11.682 54 23.4799288
79 3406.292 3384.007 22.285 55 23.7417508
80 3433.681 3406.292 27.389 56 24.0035727
81 3464.114 3433.681 30.433 57 24.2653947
82 3464.310 3464.114 0.196 58 24.5272167
83 3491.798 3464.310 27.488 59 24.7890386
84 3518.205 3491.798 26.407 60 25.0508606
85 3590.655 3518.205 72.450 61 25.3126826
86 3651.618 3590.655 60.963 62 25.5745045
87 3676.455 3651.618 24.837 63 25.8363265
88 3691.966 3676.455 15.511 64 26.0981485
89 3750.180 3691.966 58.214 65 26.3599704
90 3760.881 3750.180 10.701 66 26.6217924
91 3784.245 3760.881 23.364 67 26.8836144
92 3766.280 3784.245 -17.965 68 27.1454363
93 3759.997 3766.280 -6.283 69 27.4072583
94 3767.066 3759.997 7.069 70 27.6690803
 95 3800.541 3767.066 33.475 71 27.9309022
96 3759.801 3800.541 -40.740 72 28.1927242
97 3864.057 3759.801 104.256 73 28.4545462
98 3885.851 3864.057 21.794 74 28.7163681
99 3916.676 3885.851 30.825 75 28.9781901
100 3927.867 3916.676 11.191 76 29.2400121
101 3997.666 3927.867 69.799 77 29.5018341
102 4092.105 3997.666 94.439 78 29.763656
103 4131.079 4092.105 38.974 79 30.025478
104 4198.718 4131.079 67.639 80 30.2873
105 4305.330 4198.718 106.612 81 30.5491219
106 4355.102 4305.330 49.772 82 30.8109439
107 4331.934 4355.102 -23.168 83 31.0727659
108 4373.263 4331.934 41.329 84 31.3345878
109 4335.370 4373.263 -37.893 85 31.5964098
110 4347.936 4335.370 12.566 86 31.8582318
111 4305.821 4347.936 -42.115 87 32.1200537
112 4288.936 4305.821 -16.885 88 32.3818757
113 4237.593 4288.936 -51.343 89 32.6436977
114 4268.614 4237.593 31.021 90 32.9055196
115 4340.867 4268.614 72.253 91 33.1673416
116 4397.806 4340.867 56.939 92 33.4291636
117 4496.761 4397.806 98.955 93 33.6909855
118 4530.335 4496.761 33.574 94 33.9528075
119 4552.030 4530.335 21.695 95 34.2146295
120 4584.623 4552.030 32.593 96 34.4764514
121 4639.990 4584.623 55.367 97 34.7382734
122 4731.092 4639.990 91.102 98 35.0000954
123 4815.812 4731.092 84.720 99 35.2619174
124 4815.321 4815.812 -0.491 100 35.5237393
125 4830.832 4815.321 15.511 101 35.7855613
126 5021.183 4830.832 190.351 102 36.0473833
127 5070.661 5021.183 49.478 103 36.3092052
128 5137.416 5070.661 66.755 104 36.5710272
129 5147.430 5137.416 10.014 105 36.8328492
130 5152.338 5147.430 4.908 106 37.0946711
131 5189.446 5152.338 37.108 107 37.3564931
132 5204.662 5189.446 15.216 108 37.6183151
133 5221.253 5204.662 16.591 109 37.880137
134 5115.917 5221.253 -105.336 110 38.141959
135 5107.376 5115.917 -8.541 111 38.403781
136 5202.110 5107.376 94.734 112 38.6656029
137 5307.544 5202.110 105.434 113 38.9274249
138 5266.117 5307.544 -41.427 114 39.1892469
139 5329.829 5266.117 63.712 115 39.4510688
140 5263.368 5329.829 -66.461 116 39.7128908
141 5177.077 5263.368 -86.291 117 39.9747128
142 5204.859 5177.077 27.782 118 40.2365347
143 5185.225 5204.859 -19.634 119 40.4983567
144 5189.839 5185.225 4.614 120 40.7601787
145 5253.845 5189.839 64.006 121 41.0220007
146 5372.336 5253.845 118.491 122 41.2838226
147 5478.360 5372.336 106.024 123 41.5456446
148 5590.469 5478.360 112.109 124 41.8074666
149 5699.830 5590.469 109.361 125 42.0692885
150 5797.902 5699.830 98.072 126 42.3311105
151 5854.251 5797.902 56.349 127 42.5929325
152 5902.354 5854.251 48.103 128 42.8547544
153 5956.937 5902.354 54.583 129 43.1165764
154 6007.789 5956.937 50.852 130 43.3783984
155 6101.737 6007.789 93.948 131 43.6402203
156 6148.564 6101.737 46.827 132 43.9020423
157 6207.368 6148.564 58.804 133 44.1638643
158 6232.008 6207.368 24.640 134 44.4256862
159 6291.695 6232.008 59.687 135 44.6875082
160 6323.404 6291.695 31.709 136 44.9493302
161 6365.028 6323.404 41.624 137 45.2111521
162 6435.023 6365.028 69.995 138 45.4729741
163 6493.434 6435.023 58.411 139 45.7347961
164 6606.820 6493.434 113.386 140 45.9966181
165 6639.118 6606.820 32.298 141 46.25844
166 6723.544 6639.118 84.426 142 46.520262
167 6759.376 6723.544 35.832 143 46.782084
168 6848.612 6759.376 89.236 144 47.0439059
169 6918.116 6848.612 69.504 145 47.3057279
170 6963.471 6918.116 45.355 146 47.5675499
171 7013.144 6963.471 49.673 147 47.8293718
172 7030.913 7013.144 17.769 148 48.0911938
173 7112.100 7030.913 81.187 149 48.3530158
174 7130.261 7112.100 18.161 150 48.6148377
175 7130.752 7130.261 0.491 151 48.8766597
176 7076.857 7130.752 -53.895 152 49.1384817
177 7040.828 7076.857 -36.029 153 49.4003036
178 7086.477 7040.828 45.649 154 49.6621256
179 7120.738 7086.477 34.261 155 49.9239476
180 7154.116 7120.738 33.378 156 50.1857695
181 7228.234 7154.116 74.118 157 50.4475915
182 7297.935 7228.234 69.701 158 50.7094135
183 7369.500 7297.935 71.565 159 50.9712354
184 7450.687 7369.500 81.187 160 51.2330574
185 7459.718 7450.687 9.031 161 51.4948794
186 7497.514 7459.718 37.796 162 51.7567014
187 7535.996 7497.514 38.482 163 52.0185233
188 7637.406 7535.996 101.410 164 52.2803453
189 7715.058 7637.406 77.652 165 52.5421673
190 7815.682 7715.058 100.624 166 52.8039892
191 7859.465 7815.682 43.783 167 53.0658112
192 7951.647 7859.465 92.182 168 53.3276332
193 7973.735 7951.647 22.088 169 53.5894551
194 7987.970 7973.735 14.235 170 53.8512771
195 8053.056 7987.970 65.086 171 54.1130991
196 8111.958 8053.056 58.902 172 54.374921
197 8169.191 8111.958 57.233 173 54.636743
198 8303.094 8169.191 133.903 174 54.898565
199 8372.697 8303.094 69.603 175 55.1603869
200 8470.572 8372.697 97.875 176 55.4222089
201 8536.051 8470.572 65.479 177 55.6840309
202 8665.831 8536.051 129.780 178 55.9458528
203 8773.720 8665.831 107.889 179 56.2076748
204 8838.414 8773.720 64.694 180 56.4694968
205 8936.191 8838.414 97.777 181 56.7313187
206 8995.289 8936.191 59.098 182 56.9931407
207 9098.858 8995.289 103.569 183 57.2549627
208 9237.081 9098.858 138.223 184 57.5167847
209 9315.518 9237.081 78.437 185 57.7786066
210 9392.581 9315.518 77.063 186 58.0404286
211 9502.237 9392.581 109.656 187 58.3022506
212 9671.089 9502.237 168.852 188 58.5640725
213 9695.631 9671.089 24.542 189 58.8258945
214 9847.892 9695.631 152.261 190 59.0877165
215 9836.603 9847.892 -11.289 191 59.3495384
216 9887.749 9836.603 51.146 192 59.6113604
217 9875.576 9887.749 -12.173 193 59.8731824
218 9905.911 9875.576 30.335 194 60.1350043
219 9871.060 9905.911 -34.851 195 60.3968263
220 9910.034 9871.060 38.974 196 60.6586483
221 9977.280 9910.034 67.246 197 60.9204702
222 10031.568 9977.280 54.288 198 61.1822922
223 10090.666 10031.568 59.098 199 61.4441142
224 10095.771 10090.666 5.105 200 61.7059361
225 10126.007 10095.771 30.236 201 61.9677581
226 10212.691 10126.007 86.684 202 62.2295801
227 10398.723 10212.691 186.032 203 62.491402
228 10466.951 10398.723 68.228 204 62.753224
229 10543.621 10466.951 76.670 205 63.015046
230 10634.232 10543.621 90.611 206 63.276868
231 10728.671 10634.232 94.439 207 63.5386899
232 10796.408 10728.671 67.737 208 63.8005119
233 10878.380 10796.408 81.972 209 64.0623339
234 10954.069 10878.380 75.689 210 64.3241558
235 11074.326 10954.069 120.257 211 64.5859778
236 11107.213 11074.326 32.887 212 64.8477998
237 11238.662 11107.213 131.449 213 65.1096217
238 11306.694 11238.662 68.032 214 65.3714437
239 11336.734 11306.694 30.040 215 65.6332657
240 11395.538 11336.734 58.804 216 65.8950876
241 11412.619 11395.538 17.081 217 66.1569096
242 11520.115 11412.619 107.496 218 66.4187316
243 11658.927 11520.115 138.812 219 66.6805535
244 11675.714 11658.927 16.787 220 66.9423755
221 67.2041975
222 67.4660194
223 67.7278414
224 67.9896634
225 68.2514853
226 68.5133073
227 68.7751293
228 69.0369513
229 69.2987732
230 69.5605952
231 69.8224172
232 70.0842391
233 70.3460611
234 70.6078831
235 70.869705
236 71.131527
237 71.393349
238 71.6551709
239 71.9169929
240 72.1788149
241 72.4406368
242 72.7024588
243 72.9642808
244 73.2261027
 Variable X

Residuos
200
100
0
-100 0 50

-200
Suma de cuadrados
Promedio de los cuadradosF Valor crítico de F
82983.7592 82983.7592 48.3012032 3.3688E-11
415767.484 1718.04746
498751.244

Error típico Estadístico t Probabilidad Inferior 95% Superior 95%Inferior 95,0%Superior 95,0%
5.32339822 1.75480813 0.08055762 -1.14456788 19.8276529 -1.14456788 19.8276529
0.03767273 6.9499067 3.3688E-11 0.18761365 0.33603028 0.18761365 0.33603028

Residuos
-9.60336447
-11.7311864
-10.8140084
12.5831696
14.4803477
17.6555257
-1.75029628
-7.50911825
-36.4369402
-16.7697622
6.03741585
-29.2704061
54.1087719
37.5499499
55.254128
19.552306
8.59048404
 17.7526621
23.6748401
-11.2399819
5.38319617
-13.7276258
-2.60144777
49.3637303
22.5949083
-0.34291367
-29.0747356
-49.5595576
-27.0463796
-15.3302015
5.12097648
23.2161545
42.6873325
17.2945106
10.8466886
-6.79013336
-29.5329553
-1.61977729
-22.3015993
16.9005788
-6.2342432
-26.0320652
1.78311287
-45.4037091
-83.3635311
-8.23035304
30.185825
30.907003
22.6921811
40.4943591
-24.5594629
-14.3172848
31.5598932
-36.0449288
-19.8157508
-56.4975727
-9.34339469
22.2997833
16.3439614
27.6661394
22.0053174
3.68049547
-0.9013265
-19.4231485
9.57002957
8.0322076
26.0303856
-4.86143634
37.2867417
6.59191972
 12.8100978
-20.0447242
46.0564538
13.2996319
34.9308099
48.5099879
50.9971659
-18.081656
-7.74047799
-2.89829996
-0.11612193
-30.6149439
-3.58476586
-4.92758783
40.8535902
29.1047682
-7.28305374
-16.8708757
25.5703023
-22.2045196
-9.80334161
-51.3941636
-39.9739855
-26.8838075
-0.73962948
-75.2164514
69.5177266
-13.2060954
-4.43691735
-24.3327393
34.0134387
58.3916167
2.66479477
31.0679728
69.7791508
12.6773289
-60.5244931
3.71068493
-75.773137
-25.575959
-80.518781
-55.5506029
-90.2704249
-8.16824688
32.8019312
17.2261092
58.9802872
-6.66253475
-18.8033567
-8.16717869
14.3449993
49.8181774
43.1743554
-42.2984666
-26.5582885
148.01989
6.88506754
23.9002456
-33.1025764
-38.4703984
-6.53222034
-28.6860423
-27.5728643
-149.761686
-53.2285082
49.7846698
60.2228479
-86.8999741
17.9772039
-112.457618
-132.54944
-18.738262
-66.416084
-42.4299059
16.7002721
70.9234501
58.1946282
64.0178062
61.0079842
49.4571623
7.4723403
-1.03548167
5.18269636
1.1898744
44.0240524
-3.35876954
8.35640849
-26.0694135
8.71576455
-19.5240574
-9.87087938
18.2382986
6.39247668
61.1056547
-20.2441673
31.6220108
-17.2338112
35.9083668
15.9145449
-8.4962771
-4.44009906
-36.605921
26.550257
-36.737565
-54.6693869
-109.317209
-91.7130309
-10.2968528
-21.9466748
-23.0914968
17.3866813
12.7078593
14.3100373
23.6702153
-48.7476066
-20.2444286
-19.8202506
42.8459275
18.8261055
41.5362835
-15.5665384
32.5706396
-37.7851824
-45.9000043
4.6891737
-1.75664827
-3.68747024
72.7207078
8.15888583
36.1690639
3.51124189
67.5504199
45.397598
1.94077598
34.761954
-4.17886795
40.0303101
74.4224881
14.3746661
12.7388442
45.0700222
104.0042
-40.5676217
86.8895563
-76.9222657
-14.7490876
-78.3299096
-36.0837316
-101.531554
-27.9683755
0.04180253
-13.1780194
-8.62984141
-62.8846634
-38.0154853
18.1706927
117.256871
-0.80895125
7.37122678
 21.0504048
24.6165828
-2.34723912
11.6259389
5.08111694
49.387295
-38.244527
60.055651
-3.62317093
-41.8769929
-13.3748149
-55.3596368
34.7935412
65.8477192
-56.4391027
 Variable X 1 Gráfico de los residuales
Residuos

200
100
0
-100 0 50 100 150 200 250 300
Variable X 1
-200
PIB TIME PIB T-1 DIF Yt Resumen
1570.519 1 0 0
1568.653 2 1570.519 -1.866 Estadísticas de la regresión
1567.966 3 1568.653 -0.687 Coeficiente de
1590.938 4 1567.966 22.972 Coeficiente d
1616.069 5 1590.938 25.131 R^2 ajustado
1644.637 6 1616.069 28.568 Error típico
1654.061 7 1644.637 9.424 Observacione
1657.988 8 1654.061 3.927
1633.249 9 1657.988 -24.739 ANÁLISIS DE VARIANZA
1628.439 10 1633.249 -4.810 Grados de libertad
1646.698 11 1628.439 18.259 Regresión
1629.911 12 1646.698 -16.787 Residuos
1696.765 13 1629.911 66.854 Total
1747.322 14 1696.765 50.557
1815.845 15 1747.322 68.523
1848.928 16 1815.845 33.083 Intercepción
1871.311 17 1848.928 22.383 Variable X 1
1903.118 18 1871.311 31.807 Variable X 2
1941.109 19 1903.118 37.991
1944.447 20 1941.109 3.338
1964.670 21 1944.447 20.223
1966.044 22 1964.670 1.374 Análisis de los residuales
1978.806 23 1966.044 12.762
2043.795 24 1978.806 64.989 Observación
2082.277 25 2043.795 38.482 1
2098.083 26 2082.277 15.806 2
2085.419 27 2098.083 -12.664 3
2052.532 28 2085.419 -32.887 4
2042.420 29 2052.532 -10.112 5
2044.286 30 2042.420 1.866 6
2066.865 31 2044.286 22.579 7
2107.801 32 2066.865 40.936 8
2168.470 33 2107.801 60.669 9
2204.008 34 2168.470 35.538 10
2233.360 35 2204.008 29.352 11
2245.337 36 2233.360 11.977 12
2234.833 37 2245.337 -10.504 13
2252.504 38 2234.833 17.671 14
2249.755 39 2252.504 -2.749 15
2286.470 40 2249.755 36.715 16
2300.312 41 2286.470 13.842 17
2294.618 42 2300.312 -5.694 18
2317.001 43 2294.618 22.383 19
2292.459 44 2317.001 -24.542 20
2230.219 45 2292.459 -62.240 21
2243.374 46 2230.219 13.155 22
2295.207 47 2243.374 51.833 23
2348.023 48 2295.207 52.816 24
2392.886 49 2348.023 44.863 25
2455.813 50 2392.886 62.927 26
2453.948 51 2455.813 -1.865 27
2462.587 52 2453.948 8.639 28
2517.365 53 2462.587 54.778 29
2504.800 54 2517.365 -12.565 30
2508.726 55 2504.800 3.926 31
2476.232 56 2508.726 -32.494 32
2491.154 57 2476.232 14.922 33
2537.981 58 2491.154 46.827 34
2579.114 59 2537.981 41.133 35
2631.831 60 2579.114 52.717 36
2679.149 61 2631.831 47.318 37
2708.404 62 2679.149 29.255 38
2733.339 63 2708.404 24.935 39
2740.014 64 2733.339 6.675 40
2775.944 65 2740.014 35.930 41
2810.598 66 2775.944 34.654 42
2863.512 67 2810.598 52.914 43
2885.796 68 2863.512 22.284 44
2950.490 69 2885.796 64.694 45
2984.751 70 2950.490 34.261 46
3025.492 71 2984.751 40.741 47
3033.640 72 3025.492 8.148 48
3108.151 73 3033.640 74.511 49
3150.167 74 3108.151 42.016 50
3214.076 75 3150.167 63.909 51
3291.826 76 3214.076 77.750 52
3372.325 77 3291.826 80.499 53
3384.007 78 3372.325 11.682 54
3406.292 79 3384.007 22.285 55
3433.681 80 3406.292 27.389 56
3464.114 81 3433.681 30.433 57
3464.310 82 3464.114 0.196 58
3491.798 83 3464.310 27.488 59
3518.205 84 3491.798 26.407 60
3590.655 85 3518.205 72.450 61
3651.618 86 3590.655 60.963 62
3676.455 87 3651.618 24.837 63
3691.966 88 3676.455 15.511 64
3750.180 89 3691.966 58.214 65
3760.881 90 3750.180 10.701 66
3784.245 91 3760.881 23.364 67
3766.280 92 3784.245 -17.965 68
3759.997 93 3766.280 -6.283 69
3767.066 94 3759.997 7.069 70
3800.541 95 3767.066 33.475 71
3759.801 96 3800.541 -40.740 72
3864.057 97 3759.801 104.256 73
3885.851 98 3864.057 21.794 74
3916.676 99 3885.851 30.825 75
3927.867 100 3916.676 11.191 76
3997.666 101 3927.867 69.799 77
4092.105 102 3997.666 94.439 78
4131.079 103 4092.105 38.974 79
4198.718 104 4131.079 67.639 80
4305.330 105 4198.718 106.612 81
4355.102 106 4305.330 49.772 82
4331.934 107 4355.102 -23.168 83
4373.263 108 4331.934 41.329 84
4335.370 109 4373.263 -37.893 85
4347.936 110 4335.370 12.566 86
4305.821 111 4347.936 -42.115 87
4288.936 112 4305.821 -16.885 88
4237.593 113 4288.936 -51.343 89
4268.614 114 4237.593 31.021 90
4340.867 115 4268.614 72.253 91
4397.806 116 4340.867 56.939 92
4496.761 117 4397.806 98.955 93
4530.335 118 4496.761 33.574 94
4552.030 119 4530.335 21.695 95
4584.623 120 4552.030 32.593 96
4639.990 121 4584.623 55.367 97
4731.092 122 4639.990 91.102 98
4815.812 123 4731.092 84.720 99
4815.321 124 4815.812 -0.491 100
4830.832 125 4815.321 15.511 101
5021.183 126 4830.832 190.351 102
5070.661 127 5021.183 49.478 103
5137.416 128 5070.661 66.755 104
5147.430 129 5137.416 10.014 105
5152.338 130 5147.430 4.908 106
5189.446 131 5152.338 37.108 107
5204.662 132 5189.446 15.216 108
5221.253 133 5204.662 16.591 109
5115.917 134 5221.253 -105.336 110
5107.376 135 5115.917 -8.541 111
5202.110 136 5107.376 94.734 112
5307.544 137 5202.110 105.434 113
5266.117 138 5307.544 -41.427 114
5329.829 139 5266.117 63.712 115
5263.368 140 5329.829 -66.461 116
5177.077 141 5263.368 -86.291 117
5204.859 142 5177.077 27.782 118
5185.225 143 5204.859 -19.634 119
5189.839 144 5185.225 4.614 120
5253.845 145 5189.839 64.006 121
5372.336 146 5253.845 118.491 122
5478.360 147 5372.336 106.024 123
5590.469 148 5478.360 112.109 124
5699.830 149 5590.469 109.361 125
5797.902 150 5699.830 98.072 126
5854.251 151 5797.902 56.349 127
5902.354 152 5854.251 48.103 128
5956.937 153 5902.354 54.583 129
6007.789 154 5956.937 50.852 130
6101.737 155 6007.789 93.948 131
6148.564 156 6101.737 46.827 132
6207.368 157 6148.564 58.804 133
6232.008 158 6207.368 24.640 134
6291.695 159 6232.008 59.687 135
6323.404 160 6291.695 31.709 136
6365.028 161 6323.404 41.624 137
6435.023 162 6365.028 69.995 138
6493.434 163 6435.023 58.411 139
6606.820 164 6493.434 113.386 140
6639.118 165 6606.820 32.298 141
6723.544 166 6639.118 84.426 142
6759.376 167 6723.544 35.832 143
6848.612 168 6759.376 89.236 144
6918.116 169 6848.612 69.504 145
6963.471 170 6918.116 45.355 146
7013.144 171 6963.471 49.673 147
7030.913 172 7013.144 17.769 148
7112.100 173 7030.913 81.187 149
7130.261 174 7112.100 18.161 150
7130.752 175 7130.261 0.491 151
7076.857 176 7130.752 -53.895 152
7040.828 177 7076.857 -36.029 153
7086.477 178 7040.828 45.649 154
7120.738 179 7086.477 34.261 155
7154.116 180 7120.738 33.378 156
7228.234 181 7154.116 74.118 157
7297.935 182 7228.234 69.701 158
7369.500 183 7297.935 71.565 159
7450.687 184 7369.500 81.187 160
7459.718 185 7450.687 9.031 161
7497.514 186 7459.718 37.796 162
7535.996 187 7497.514 38.482 163
7637.406 188 7535.996 101.410 164
7715.058 189 7637.406 77.652 165
7815.682 190 7715.058 100.624 166
7859.465 191 7815.682 43.783 167
7951.647 192 7859.465 92.182 168
7973.735 193 7951.647 22.088 169
7987.970 194 7973.735 14.235 170
8053.056 195 7987.970 65.086 171
8111.958 196 8053.056 58.902 172
8169.191 197 8111.958 57.233 173
8303.094 198 8169.191 133.903 174
8372.697 199 8303.094 69.603 175
8470.572 200 8372.697 97.875 176
8536.051 201 8470.572 65.479 177
 8665.831 202 8536.051 129.780 178
8773.720 203 8665.831 107.889 179
8838.414 204 8773.720 64.694 180
8936.191 205 8838.414 97.777 181
8995.289 206 8936.191 59.098 182
9098.858 207 8995.289 103.569 183
9237.081 208 9098.858 138.223 184
9315.518 209 9237.081 78.437 185
9392.581 210 9315.518 77.063 186
9502.237 211 9392.581 109.656 187
9671.089 212 9502.237 168.852 188
9695.631 213 9671.089 24.542 189
9847.892 214 9695.631 152.261 190
9836.603 215 9847.892 -11.289 191
9887.749 216 9836.603 51.146 192
9875.576 217 9887.749 -12.173 193
9905.911 218 9875.576 30.335 194
9871.060 219 9905.911 -34.851 195
9910.034 220 9871.060 38.974 196
9977.280 221 9910.034 67.246 197
10031.568 222 9977.280 54.288 198
10090.666 223 10031.568 59.098 199
10095.771 224 10090.666 5.105 200
10126.007 225 10095.771 30.236 201
10212.691 226 10126.007 86.684 202
10398.723 227 10212.691 186.032 203
10466.951 228 10398.723 68.228 204
10543.621 229 10466.951 76.670 205
10634.232 230 10543.621 90.611 206
10728.671 231 10634.232 94.439 207
10796.408 232 10728.671 67.737 208
10878.380 233 10796.408 81.972 209
10954.069 234 10878.380 75.689 210
11074.326 235 10954.069 120.257 211
11107.213 236 11074.326 32.887 212
11238.662 237 11107.213 131.449 213
11306.694 238 11238.662 68.032 214
11336.734 239 11306.694 30.040 215
11395.538 240 11336.734 58.804 216
11412.619 241 11395.538 17.081 217
11520.115 242 11412.619 107.496 218
11658.927 243 11520.115 138.812 219
11675.714 244 11658.927 16.787 220
221
222
223
224
225
226
227
228
229
230
231
232
233
234
235
236
237
238
239
240
241
242
243
244
stadísticas de la regresión
0.99932038
0.99864123
0.99862995
107.969639
244

NÁLISIS DE VARIANZA
Grados de libertad
Suma de cuadrados
Promedio de los cuadradosF Valor crítico de F
2 2064820779 1032410390 88562.3365 0
241 2809443.76 11657.443
243 2067630223

Coeficientes Error típico Estadístico t Probabilidad Inferior 95% Superior 95%Inferior 95,0%Superior 95,0%
37.0060643 14.4717839 2.55711836 0.01116805 8.49873091 65.5133976 8.49873091 65.5133976
0.32147659 0.47919297 0.67087084 0.50294525 -0.62246466 1.26541784 -0.62246466 1.26541784
0.99461287 0.01162883 85.5299417 2.593E-182 0.97170576 1.01751999 0.97170576 1.01751999

nálisis de los residuales

Pronóstico para YResiduos

37.3275409 1533.19146
1599.70743 -31.0544312
1598.17296 -30.2069602
1597.81114 -6.87313777
1620.98086 -4.91186126
1646.29795 -1.66095395
1675.03353 -20.9725311
1684.72824 -26.7402394
1688.95556 -55.7065607
1664.67131 -36.2323095
1660.2087 -13.5106981
1678.69081 -48.7798112
1662.31572 34.4492785
1729.13105 18.190953
1779.73717 36.1078334
1848.2125 0.71549895
1881.43876 -10.1277553
1904.02265 -0.90465181
1935.97978 5.12921996
1974.08759 -29.6405943
1977.72909 -13.0590886
1998.16462 -32.1206213
1999.8527 -21.046696
2012.86742 30.9275779
2077.82779 4.44920537
2116.42396 -18.3409638
2132.46629 -47.0472914
2120.19199 -67.6599906
2087.80363 -45.3836337
2078.06758 -33.7815849
2080.24501 -13.3800091
2103.02385 4.77715027
2144.0608 24.4092011
2204.72444 -0.71644381
2240.39247 -7.03247266
2269.90783 -24.5708263
2282.14178 -47.3087812
2272.01584 -19.5118442
2289.91312 -40.1581249
2287.50041 -1.03041069
2324.3391 -24.0270989
2338.42801 -43.8100069
2333.08616 -16.0851578
2355.67005 -63.2110543
2331.58174 -101.362742
2269.99851 -26.6245132
2283.40412 11.8028779
2335.27937 12.7436323
2388.13232 4.75368225
2433.07511 22.7378884
2495.98459 -42.0365924
2494.45112 -31.864116
2503.36505 13.9999468
2558.16943 -53.3694337
2545.9936 -37.2675996
2550.21993 -73.9879263
2518.22245 -27.0684522
2533.38554 4.5954579
2580.28176 -1.16775567
2621.51464 10.3163565
2674.26913 4.87987308
2721.6537 -13.2496954
2751.07257 -17.7335716
2776.19472 -36.1807201
2783.15524 -7.21123766
2819.21315 -8.61515476
2854.00195 9.51005417
2906.95237 -21.156368
2929.4378 21.0522022
2994.10476 -9.35375955
3028.50267 -3.01066776
3069.34567 -35.7056674
3077.77125 30.3797503
3152.20233 -2.03532599
3194.31346 19.762543
3258.19965 33.6263523
3335.85228 36.4727249
3416.23909 -32.2320933
3428.17964 -21.8876375
3450.66606 -16.9850619
3478.22899 -14.1149905
3508.81952 -44.5095206
3509.33594 -17.5379413
3536.99734 -18.7923366
3563.58356 27.0714447
3635.96473 15.6532655
3696.9208 -20.4657956
3721.94547 -29.9794721
3737.69439 12.485611
3795.91626 -35.0352593
3806.88109 -22.6360882
3830.4407 -64.1607
3812.89396 -52.8969563
3806.96628 -39.9002802
3814.31868 -13.7776752
3847.93482 -88.1338177
3807.73577 56.3212341
3911.7516 -25.9006021
3933.74967 -17.0736716
3964.73009 -36.86309
3976.18228 21.4837207
4045.92674 46.1782603
4140.17846 -9.09946138
4179.26398 19.4540199
4246.86008 58.4699233
4353.21922 1.88277912
4403.04457 -71.1105694
4380.32285 -7.05985491
4421.75069 -86.3806869
4384.3833 -36.4472979
4397.20308 -91.3820799
4355.63644 -66.7004353
4339.16387 -101.570874
4288.41894 -19.8049415
4319.5943 21.272696
4391.77954 6.02645558
4448.73328 48.0277166
4547.47668 -17.1416767
4581.19129 -29.1612859
4603.09089 -18.4678888
4635.82978 4.16021729
4691.21999 39.8720098
4782.15269 33.6593113
4866.73777 -51.4167678
4866.57089 -35.7388895
4882.31981 138.863194
5071.96684 -1.30583783
5121.49977 15.9162299
5188.21663 -40.786629
5198.49816 -46.1601589
5203.7012 -14.2551955
5240.93077 -36.2687665
5256.38627 -35.1332726
5273.20937 -157.292371
5168.76231 -61.3863064
5160.58879 41.5212055
5255.13393 52.4100731
5360.32142 -94.2044171
5319.43907 10.3899338
5383.12932 -119.761318
5317.34783 -140.270829
5231.84317 -26.9841658
5259.79698 -74.5719772
5240.59022 -50.7512247
5245.50085 8.34415493
5309.48351 62.8524868
5427.65766 50.7023364
5533.43198 57.0370246
5645.25851 54.5714935
5754.35184 43.5501586
5852.21699 2.03400834
5908.58391 -6.229909
5956.74925 0.18775141
6011.35968 -3.57067959
6062.25921 39.47779
6156.02258 -7.4585767
6202.91879 4.44920973
6261.72748 -29.7194822
6286.55622 5.13878002
6346.24316 -22.8391551
6378.10281 -13.0748112
6419.82405 15.198946
6489.76346 3.67054137
6548.18127 58.6387323
6661.27792 -22.1599195
6693.7234 29.8205974
6778.01607 -18.6400656
6813.97651 34.6354894
6903.05326 15.0627385
6972.50431 -9.03331114
7017.93645 -4.79245456
7067.66334 -36.7503364
7085.65809 26.4419109
7166.7292 -36.468201
7185.11384 -54.3618419
7185.92367 -109.066673
7132.64049 -91.8124893
7097.12706 -10.6500587
7142.85162 -22.1136183
7177.24953 -23.1335265
7210.76919 17.4648085
7284.80938 13.125615
7354.45637 15.0436266
7425.95732 24.7296798
7507.02843 -47.3104321
7516.33226 -18.8182575
7554.24612 -18.2501222
7592.84229 44.5637086
7694.02746 21.0305406
7771.58261 44.0993853
7871.98602 -12.521017
7915.85463 35.792371
8007.86151 -34.1265094
8030.152 -42.1819951
8044.63179 8.42421408
8109.68864 2.26936408
8168.5948 0.59620008
8225.84096 77.253045
8359.34408 13.3529209
8428.8936 41.6784046
8526.56281 9.48819308
8592.01054 73.8204602
8721.41287 52.307125
8829.04214 9.37186026
8893.7091 42.4818985
8991.28084 4.00815908
9050.38195 48.476051
9153.71449 83.3665138
9291.51434 24.0036621
9369.85026 22.7307357
9446.81959 55.4174073
9556.20634 114.882662
9724.47019 -28.8391878
9749.20145 98.6905465
9900.96368 -64.3606806
9890.05697 -2.30797251
9941.24892 -65.6729191
9929.46297 -23.5519732
9959.95603 -88.8960312
9925.61425 -15.5802546
9964.69977 12.5802267
10031.905 -0.3369871
10086.222 4.44399269
10145.3231 -49.5521154
10150.7221 -24.7150907
10181.1167 31.5743179
10267.6552 131.067819
10453.0065 13.9445206
10521.1884 22.4325969
10597.7668 36.4651514
10688.2112 40.4598078
10782.4629 13.9450862
10850.1565 28.2235174
10932.0084 22.0606345
11007.6111 66.7149042
11127.5417 -20.3287326
11160.573 78.0889573
11291.6354 15.0586132
11359.6224 -22.8883663
11389.822 5.7159864
11448.6307 -36.0117055
11465.9412 54.1738354
11573.1795 85.7474535
11711.5652 -35.8512252
 Variable X 1 Gráfico de los residuales
Residuos

2000
1500
1000
500
0 Variable X 1
-500 0 50 100 150 200 250 300

Variable X 2 Gráfico de los residuales

Residuos

perior 95,0% 2000

1500
1000
500
0 Variable X 2
-500 0 2000 4000 6000 8000 10000 12000 14000
MODELO A ESTIMARSE

PIB TIME PIB T-1 DIF Yt Resumen

1570.519 1 0 0
1568.653 2 1570.519 -1.866 Estadísticas de la regresión
1567.966 3 1568.653 -0.687 Coeficiente de 0.40419678
1590.938 4 1567.966 22.972 Coeficiente d 0.16337503
1616.069 5 1590.938 25.131 R^2 ajustado 0.15991791
1644.637 6 1616.069 28.568 Error típico 41.5240517
1654.061 7 1644.637 9.424 Observacione 244
1657.988 8 1654.061 3.927
1633.249 9 1657.988 -24.739 ANÁLISIS DE VARIANZA
1628.439 10 1633.249 -4.810 Grados de libertad
Suma de cuadrados
1646.698 11 1628.439 18.259 Regresión 1 81483.5015
1629.911 12 1646.698 -16.787 Residuos 242 417267.742
1696.765 13 1629.911 66.854 Total 243 498751.244
1747.322 14 1696.765 50.557
1815.845 15 1747.322 68.523 Coeficientes Error típico
1848.928 16 1815.845 33.083 Intercepción 8.0643764 5.531951
1871.311 17 1848.928 22.383 Variable X 1 0.00629607 0.00091587
1903.118 18 1871.311 31.807
1941.109 19 1903.118 37.991
1944.447 20 1941.109 3.338
1964.670 21 1944.447 20.223 Análisis de los residuales
1966.044 22 1964.670 1.374
1978.806 23 1966.044 12.762 Observación
Pronóstico para YResiduos
2043.795 24 1978.806 64.989 1 8.0643764 -8.0643764
2082.277 25 2043.795 38.482 2 17.9524805 -19.8184805
2098.083 26 2082.277 15.806 3 17.940732 -18.627732
2085.419 27 2098.083 -12.664 4 17.9364066 5.03559342
2052.532 28 2085.419 -32.887 5 18.08104 7.04996001
2042.420 29 2052.532 -10.112 6 18.2392666 10.3287334
2044.286 30 2042.420 1.866 7 18.4191329 -8.99513288
2066.865 31 2044.286 22.579 8 18.4784671 -14.5514671
2107.801 32 2066.865 40.936 9 18.5031918 -43.2421918
2168.470 33 2107.801 60.669 10 18.3474332 -23.1574332
2204.008 34 2168.470 35.538 11 18.3171491 -0.05814907
2233.360 35 2204.008 29.352 12 18.4321091 -35.2191091
2245.337 36 2233.360 11.977 13 18.3264169 48.5275831
2234.833 37 2245.337 -10.504 14 18.7473346 31.8096654
2252.504 38 2234.833 17.671 15 19.0656453 49.4573547
2249.755 39 2252.504 -2.749 16 19.4970711 13.5859289
2286.470 40 2249.755 36.715 17 19.7053642 2.67763584
2300.312 41 2286.470 13.842 18 19.8462892 11.9607108
2294.618 42 2300.312 -5.694 19 20.0465484 17.9444516
2317.001 43 2294.618 22.383 20 20.2857426 -16.9477426
2292.459 44 2317.001 -24.542 21 20.3067589 -0.08375887
2230.219 45 2292.459 -62.240 22 20.4340844 -19.0600844
2243.374 46 2230.219 13.155 23 20.4427352 -7.68073518
2295.207 47 2243.374 51.833 24 20.5230857 44.4659143
2348.023 48 2295.207 52.816 25 20.9322612 17.5497388
2392.886 49 2348.023 44.863 26 21.1745468 -5.36854676
2455.813 50 2392.886 62.927 27 21.2740625 -33.9380625
2453.948 51 2455.813 -1.865 28 21.194329 -54.081329
2462.587 52 2453.948 8.639 29 20.98727 -31.09927
2517.365 53 2462.587 54.778 30 20.9236041 -19.0576041
2504.800 54 2517.365 -12.565 31 20.9353526 1.64364739
2508.726 55 2504.800 3.926 32 21.0775117 19.8584883
2476.232 56 2508.726 -32.494 33 21.3352478 39.3337522
2491.154 57 2476.232 14.922 34 21.7172243 13.8207757
2537.981 58 2491.154 46.827 35 21.9409742 7.41102584
2579.114 59 2537.981 41.133 36 22.1257765 -10.1487765
2631.831 60 2579.114 52.717 37 22.2011846 -32.7051846
2679.149 61 2631.831 47.318 38 22.1350507 -4.46405065
2708.404 62 2679.149 29.255 39 22.2463086 -24.9953086
2733.339 63 2708.404 24.935 40 22.2290007 14.4859993
2740.014 64 2733.339 6.675 41 22.460161 -8.61816103
2775.944 65 2740.014 35.930 42 22.5473113 -28.2413113
2810.598 66 2775.944 34.654 43 22.5114614 -0.12846144
2863.512 67 2810.598 52.914 44 22.6523865 -47.1943865
2885.796 68 2863.512 22.284 45 22.4978682 -84.7378682
2950.490 69 2885.796 64.694 46 22.1060006 -8.95100056
2984.751 70 2950.490 34.261 47 22.1888254 29.6441746
3025.492 71 2984.751 40.741 48 22.5151698 30.3008302
3033.640 72 3025.492 8.148 49 22.8477033 22.0152967
3108.151 73 3033.640 74.511 50 23.1301641 39.7968359
3150.167 74 3108.151 42.016 51 23.5263571 -25.3913571
3214.076 75 3150.167 63.909 52 23.5146149 -14.8756149
3291.826 76 3214.076 77.750 53 23.5690067 31.2089933
3372.325 77 3291.826 80.499 54 23.9138931 -36.4788931
3384.007 78 3372.325 11.682 55 23.8347829 -19.9087829
3406.292 79 3384.007 22.285 56 23.8595013 -56.3535013
3433.681 80 3406.292 27.389 57 23.6549167 -8.73291665
3464.114 81 3433.681 30.433 58 23.7488667 23.0781333
3464.310 82 3464.114 0.196 59 24.0436929 17.0893071
3491.798 83 3464.310 27.488 60 24.3026693 28.4143307
3518.205 84 3491.798 26.407 61 24.6345795 22.6834205
3590.655 85 3518.205 72.450 62 24.9324971 4.32250287
3651.618 86 3590.655 60.963 63 25.1166888 -0.18168877
3676.455 87 3651.618 24.837 64 25.2736814 -18.5986814
3691.966 88 3676.455 15.511 65 25.3157077 10.6142923
3750.180 89 3691.966 58.214 66 25.5419256 9.11207438
3760.881 90 3750.180 10.701 67 25.7601098 27.1538902
3784.245 91 3760.881 23.364 68 26.0932602 -3.80926024
3766.280 92 3784.245 -17.965 69 26.233562 38.460438
3759.997 93 3766.280 -6.283 70 26.6408802 7.62011982
3767.066 94 3759.997 7.069 71 26.85659 13.88441
3800.541 95 3767.066 33.475 72 27.1130983 -18.9650983
3759.801 96 3800.541 -40.740 73 27.1643987 47.3466013
3864.057 97 3759.801 104.256 74 27.6335255 14.3824745
3885.851 98 3864.057 21.794 75 27.8980614 36.0109386
3916.676 99 3885.851 30.825 76 28.3004372 49.4495628
3927.867 100 3916.676 11.191 77 28.7899569 51.7090431
3997.666 101 3927.867 69.799 78 29.2967846 -17.6147846
4092.105 102 3997.666 94.439 79 29.3703353 -7.08533535
4131.079 103 4092.105 38.974 80 29.5106434 -2.12164336
4198.718 104 4131.079 67.639 81 29.6830865 0.74991347
4305.330 105 4198.718 106.612 82 29.874695 -29.678695
4355.102 106 4305.330 49.772 83 29.875929 -2.38792899
4331.934 107 4355.102 -23.168 84 30.0489955 -3.64199548
4373.263 108 4331.934 41.329 85 30.2152559 42.2347441
4335.370 109 4373.263 -37.893 86 30.6714065 30.2915935
4347.936 110 4335.370 12.566 87 31.055234 -6.21823404
4305.821 111 4347.936 -42.115 88 31.2116096 -15.7006096
4288.936 112 4305.821 -16.885 89 31.309268 26.904732
4237.593 113 4288.936 -51.343 90 31.6757877 -20.9747877
4268.614 114 4237.593 31.021 91 31.743162 -8.37916199
4340.867 115 4268.614 72.253 92 31.8902635 -49.8552635
4397.806 116 4340.867 56.939 93 31.7771545 -38.0601545
4496.761 117 4397.806 98.955 94 31.7375963 -24.6685963
4530.335 118 4496.761 33.574 95 31.7821032 1.69289679
4552.030 119 4530.335 21.695 96 31.9928643 -72.7328643
4584.623 120 4552.030 32.593 97 31.7363622 72.5196378
4639.990 121 4584.623 55.367 98 32.3927657 -10.5987657
4731.092 122 4639.990 91.102 99 32.5299824 -1.70498238
4815.812 123 4731.092 84.720 100 32.7240589 -21.5330589
4815.321 124 4815.812 -0.491 101 32.7945182 37.0044818
4830.832 125 4815.321 15.511 102 33.2339779 61.2050221
5021.183 126 4830.832 190.351 103 33.8285729 5.14542715
5070.661 127 5021.183 49.478 104 34.073956 33.565044
5137.416 128 5070.661 66.755 105 34.4998162 72.1121838
5147.430 129 5137.416 10.014 106 35.1710533 14.6009467
5152.338 130 5147.430 4.908 107 35.4844215 -58.6524215
5189.446 131 5152.338 37.108 108 35.338554 5.99044599
5204.662 132 5189.446 15.216 109 35.5987645 -73.4917645
5221.253 133 5204.662 16.591 110 35.3601873 -22.7941873
5115.917 134 5221.253 -105.336 111 35.4393038 -77.5543038
5107.376 135 5115.917 -8.541 112 35.1741446 -52.0591446
5202.110 136 5107.376 94.734 113 35.0678354 -86.4108354
5307.544 137 5202.110 105.434 114 34.7445761 -3.72357608
5266.117 138 5307.544 -41.427 115 34.9398866 37.3131134
5329.829 139 5266.117 63.712 116 35.3947968 21.5442032
5263.368 140 5329.829 -66.461 117 35.753289 63.201711
5177.077 141 5263.368 -86.291 118 36.376317 -2.80231703
5204.859 142 5177.077 27.782 119 36.5877014 -14.8927014
5185.225 143 5204.859 -19.634 120 36.7242947 -4.13129475
5189.839 144 5185.225 4.614 121 36.9295027 18.4374973
5253.845 145 5189.839 64.006 122 37.2780974 53.8239026
5372.336 146 5253.845 118.491 123 37.8516824 46.8683176
5478.360 147 5372.336 106.024 124 38.3850858 -38.8760858
5590.469 148 5478.360 112.109 125 38.3819944 -22.8709944
5699.830 149 5590.469 109.361 126 38.4796528 151.871347
5797.902 150 5699.830 98.072 127 39.6781168 9.79988318
5854.251 151 5797.902 56.349 128 39.989634 26.765366
5902.354 152 5854.251 48.103 129 40.4099284 -30.3959284
5956.937 153 5902.354 54.583 130 40.4729773 -35.5649773
6007.789 154 5956.937 50.852 131 40.5038784 -3.39587842
6101.737 155 6007.789 93.948 132 40.7375131 -25.5215131
6148.564 156 6101.737 46.827 133 40.8333142 -24.2423142
6207.368 157 6148.564 58.804 134 40.9377724 -146.273772
6232.008 158 6207.368 24.640 135 40.2745691 -48.8155691
6291.695 159 6232.008 59.687 136 40.2207943 54.5132057
6323.404 160 6291.695 31.709 137 40.8172466 64.6167534
6365.028 161 6323.404 41.624 138 41.4810669 -82.9080669
6435.023 162 6365.028 69.995 139 41.2202394 22.4917606
6493.434 163 6435.023 58.411 140 41.6213749 -108.082375
6606.820 164 6493.434 113.386 141 41.2029315 -127.493932
6639.118 165 6606.820 32.298 142 40.659637 -12.877637
6723.544 166 6639.118 84.426 143 40.8345545 -60.4685545
6759.376 167 6723.544 35.832 144 40.7109374 -36.0969374
6848.612 168 6759.376 89.236 145 40.7399875 23.2660125
6918.116 169 6848.612 69.504 146 41.142974 77.348026
6963.471 170 6918.116 45.355 147 41.8890021 64.1349979
7013.144 171 6963.471 49.673 148 42.5565371 69.5524629
7030.913 172 7013.144 17.769 149 43.2623837 66.0986163
7112.100 173 7030.913 81.187 150 43.9509286 54.1210714
7130.261 174 7112.100 18.161 151 44.5683972 11.7806028
7130.752 175 7130.261 0.491 152 44.9231747 3.1798253
7076.857 176 7130.752 -53.895 153 45.2260348 9.35696524
7040.828 177 7076.857 -36.029 154 45.5696934 5.28230663
7086.477 178 7040.828 45.649 155 45.8898613 48.0581387
7120.738 179 7086.477 34.261 156 46.4813649 0.34563509
7154.116 180 7120.738 33.378 157 46.7761912 12.0278088
7228.234 181 7154.116 74.118 158 47.1464255 -22.5064255
7297.935 182 7228.234 69.701 159 47.3015608 12.3854392
7369.500 183 7297.935 71.565 160 47.6773546 -15.9683546
7450.687 184 7369.500 81.187 161 47.8769968 -6.25299677
7459.718 185 7450.687 9.031 162 48.1390646 21.8559354
7497.514 186 7459.718 37.796 163 48.5797583 9.83124173
7535.996 187 7497.514 38.482 164 48.9475183 64.4384817
7637.406 188 7535.996 101.410 165 49.6614049 -17.3634049
7715.058 189 7637.406 77.652 166 49.8647555 34.5612445
7815.682 190 7715.058 100.624 167 50.3963079 -14.5643079
7859.465 191 7815.682 43.783 168 50.6219088 38.6140912
7951.647 192 7859.465 92.182 169 51.1837453 18.3202547
7973.735 193 7951.647 22.088 170 51.6213476 -6.26634761
7987.970 194 7973.735 14.235 171 51.9069061 -2.23390606
8053.056 195 7987.970 65.086 172 52.2196509 -34.4506509
8111.958 196 8053.056 58.902 173 52.3315259 28.8554741
8169.191 197 8111.958 57.233 174 52.8426853 -34.6816853
8303.094 198 8169.191 133.903 175 52.9570283 -52.4660283
8372.697 199 8303.094 69.603 176 52.9601196 -106.85512
8470.572 200 8372.697 97.875 177 52.6207927 -88.6497927
8536.051 201 8470.572 65.479 178 52.3939515 -6.74495146
8665.831 202 8536.051 129.780 179 52.681361 -18.420361
8773.720 203 8665.831 107.889 180 52.8970707 -19.5190707
8838.414 204 8773.720 64.694 181 53.1072211 21.0107789
8936.191 205 8838.414 97.777 182 53.5738735 16.1271265
8995.289 206 8936.191 59.098 183 54.0127162 17.5522838
9098.858 207 8995.289 103.569 184 54.4632947 26.7237053
 9237.081 208 9098.858 138.223 185 54.9744541 -45.9434541
9315.518 209 9237.081 78.437 186 55.031314 -17.235314
9392.581 210 9315.518 77.063 187 55.2692804 -16.7872804
9502.237 211 9392.581 109.656 188 55.5115659 45.8984341
9671.089 212 9502.237 168.852 189 56.1500508 21.5019492
9695.631 213 9671.089 24.542 190 56.6389535 43.9850465
9847.892 214 9695.631 152.261 191 57.2724897 -13.4894897
9836.603 215 9847.892 -11.289 192 57.5481507 34.6338493
9887.749 216 9836.603 51.146 193 58.1285354 -36.0405354
9875.576 217 9887.749 -12.173 194 58.2676031 -44.0326031
9905.911 218 9875.576 30.335 195 58.3572277 6.72877229
9871.060 219 9905.911 -34.851 196 58.767014 0.13498601
9910.034 220 9871.060 38.974 197 59.1378654 -1.90486535
9977.280 221 9910.034 67.246 198 59.4982086 74.4047914
10031.568 222 9977.280 54.288 199 60.3412718 9.26172822
10090.666 223 10031.568 59.098 200 60.7794974 37.0955026
10095.771 224 10090.666 5.105 201 61.3957257 4.08327432
10126.007 225 10095.771 30.236 202 61.8079863 67.9720137
10212.691 226 10126.007 86.684 203 62.6250908 45.2639092
10398.723 227 10212.691 186.032 204 63.304368 1.38963204
10466.951 228 10398.723 68.228 205 63.7116862 34.0653138
10543.621 229 10466.951 76.670 206 64.3272974 -5.22929742
10634.232 230 10543.621 90.611 207 64.6993828 38.8696172
10728.671 231 10634.232 94.439 208 65.3514609 72.8715391
10796.408 232 10728.671 67.737 209 66.2217232 12.2152768
10878.380 233 10796.408 81.972 210 66.7155683 10.3474317
10954.069 234 10878.380 75.689 211 67.2007627 42.4552373
11074.326 235 10954.069 120.257 212 67.891165 100.960835
11107.213 236 11074.326 32.887 213 68.9542697 -44.4122697
11238.662 237 11107.213 131.449 214 69.108788 83.152212
11306.694 238 11238.662 68.032 215 70.0674345 -81.3564345
11336.734 239 11306.694 30.040 216 69.9963581 -18.8503581
11395.538 240 11336.734 58.804 217 70.3183771 -82.4913771
11412.619 241 11395.538 17.081 218 70.241735 -39.906735
11520.115 242 11412.619 107.496 219 70.4327264 -105.283726
11658.927 243 11520.115 138.812 220 70.213302 -31.239302
11675.714 244 11658.927 16.787 221 70.4586851 -3.21268515
222 70.8820709 -16.5940709
223 71.2238722 -12.1258722
224 71.5959576 -66.4909576
225 71.6280991 -41.3920991
226 71.8184672 14.8655328
227 72.3642361 113.667764
228 73.5355073 -5.30750732
229 73.9650759 2.70492413
230 74.4477959 16.1632041
231 75.0182894 19.4207106
232 75.6128844 -7.87588439
233 76.0393616 5.93263844
234 76.5554634 -0.86646335
235 77.0320069 43.2249931
236 77.7891539 -44.9021539
237 77.9962129 53.4527871
238 78.8238255 -10.7918255
239 79.25216 -49.21216
240 79.4412941 -20.6372941
241 79.8115285 -62.7305285
242 79.9190717 27.5769283
243 80.5958745 58.2161255
244 81.4698451 -64.6828451
Promedio de los cuadradosF Valor crítico de F
81483.5015 47.257445 5.2546E-11
1724.24687

Estadístico t Probabilidad Inferior 95% Superior 95%Inferior 95,0%Superior 95,0%

1.4577816 0.14619723 -2.8325444 18.9612972 -2.8325444 18.9612972
6.87440506 5.2546E-11 0.00449198 0.00810017 0.00449198 0.00810017

SEGÚN LA TEORIA SI RO=1 δ DEBE SER CERO

Variable X 1 Gráfico de los residuales

Residuos

200
100
0
-100 0 2000 4000 6000 8000 10000 12000 14000
Variable X 1
-200
TIME PIB LOG PIB LPIB t-1 DIF LOG PIB
1 1570.519 3.19604319 0 0 Resumen
2 1568.653 3.19552688 3.19604319 -0.00051631
3 1567.966 3.19533664 3.19552688 -0.00019024 Estadísticas de la regresión
4 1590.938 3.20165326 3.19533664 0.00631661 Coeficiente de 0.63911649
5 1616.069 3.2084599 3.20165326 0.00680664 Coeficiente d 0.40846989
6 1644.637 3.21607006 3.2084599 0.00761016 R^2 ajustado 0.40435466
7 1654.061 3.21855152 3.21607006 0.00248147 Error típico 0.00426993
8 1657.988 3.21958138 3.21855152 0.00102986 Observacione 244
9 1633.249 3.2130524 3.21958138 -0.00652898
10 1628.439 3.21177149 3.2130524 -0.00128091 ANÁLISIS DE VARIANZA
11 1646.698 3.21661396 3.21177149 0.00484246 Grados de libertad
12 1629.911 3.21216389 3.21661396 -0.00445007 Regresión 1
13 1696.765 3.2296217 3.21216389 0.01745781 Residuos 243
14 1747.322 3.24237295 3.2296217 0.01275125 Total 244
15 1815.845 3.25907877 3.24237295 0.01670583
16 1848.928 3.26692 3.25907877 0.00784122 Coeficientes
17 1871.311 3.27214597 3.26692 0.00522597 Intercepción 0
18 1903.118 3.27946572 3.27214597 0.00731975 Variable X 1 0.00096806
19 1941.109 3.28804992 3.27946572 0.00858421
20 1944.447 3.28879611 3.28804992 0.00074619
21 1964.670 3.29328961 3.28879611 0.0044935
22 1966.044 3.29359323 3.29328961 0.00030362
23 1978.806 3.29640322 3.29359323 0.00280999
24 2043.795 3.31043733 3.29640322 0.01403411
25 2082.277 3.3185385 3.31043733 0.00810117
26 2098.083 3.32182266 3.3185385 0.00328416
27 2085.419 3.31919333 3.32182266 -0.00262934
28 2052.532 3.31228994 3.31919333 -0.00690339
29 2042.420 3.31014505 3.31228994 -0.00214488
30 2044.286 3.31054165 3.31014505 0.0003966
31 2066.865 3.315312111 3.31054165 0.00477046
32 2107.801 3.32382961 3.315312111 0.0085175
33 2168.470 3.33615342 3.32382961 0.01232381
34 2204.008 3.34321317 3.33615342 0.00705975
35 2233.360 3.34895873 3.34321317 0.00574557
36 2245.337 3.35128153 3.34895873 0.0023228
37 2234.833 3.34924508 3.35128153 -0.00203646
38 2252.504 3.35266557 3.34924508 0.0034205
39 2249.755 3.35213523 3.35266557 -0.00053035
40 2286.470 3.35916551 3.35213523 0.00703028
41 2300.312 3.36178675 3.35916551 0.00262124
42 2294.618 3.3607104 3.36178675 -0.00107635
43 2317.001 3.36492622 3.3607104 0.00421583
44 2292.459 3.36030158 3.36492622 -0.00462464
45 2230.219 3.34834751 3.36030158 -0.01195407
46 2243.374 3.35090168 3.34834751 0.00255417
47 2295.207 3.36082186 3.35090168 0.00992018
48 2348.023 3.37070235 3.36082186 0.00988049
49 2392.886 3.37892201 3.37070235 0.00821966
50 2455.813 3.39019529 3.37892201 0.01127329
51 2453.948 3.38986536 3.39019529 -0.00032994
52 2462.587 3.39139158 3.38986536 0.00152623
 53 2517.365 3.40094619 3.39139158 0.00955461
54 2504.800 3.39877305 3.40094619 -0.00217314
55 2508.726 3.39945323 3.39877305 0.00068018
56 2476.232 3.39379133 3.39945323 -0.0056619
57 2491.154 3.39640058 3.39379133 0.00260924
58 2537.981 3.40448837 3.39640058 0.00808779
59 2579.114 3.41147054 3.40448837 0.00698217
60 2631.831 3.420258 3.41147054 0.00878746
61 2679.149 3.42799687 3.420258 0.00773887
62 2708.404 3.43271345 3.42799687 0.00471658
63 2733.339 3.4366935 3.43271345 0.00398005
64 2740.014 3.43775278 3.4366935 0.00105928
65 2775.944 3.4434107 3.43775278 0.00565792
66 2810.598 3.44879873 3.4434107 0.00538803
67 2863.512 3.45689901 3.44879873 0.00810027
68 2885.796 3.46026563 3.45689901 0.00336662
69 2950.490 3.46989415 3.46026563 0.00962852
70 2984.751 3.47490811 3.46989415 0.00501396
71 3025.492 3.48079601 3.47490811 0.0058879
72 3033.640 3.48196404 3.48079601 0.00116803
73 3108.151 3.49250211 3.48196404 0.01053807
74 3150.167 3.49833358 3.49250211 0.00583147
75 3214.076 3.50705614 3.49833358 0.00872256
76 3291.826 3.51743687 3.50705614 0.01038073
77 3372.325 3.52792942 3.51743687 0.01049255
78 3384.007 3.52943125 3.52792942 0.00150183
79 3406.292 3.53228187 3.52943125 0.00285062
80 3433.681 3.53575995 3.53228187 0.00347807
81 3464.114 3.53959218 3.53575995 0.00383223
82 3464.310 3.53961675 3.53959218 2.4572E-05
83 3491.798 3.54304911 3.53961675 0.00343236
84 3518.205 3.54632114 3.54304911 0.00327203
85 3590.655 3.55517368 3.54632114 0.00885254
86 3651.618 3.56248534 3.55517368 0.00731166
87 3676.455 3.56542925 3.56248534 0.00294392
88 3691.966 3.56725769 3.56542925 0.00182844
89 3750.180 3.57405211 3.56725769 0.00679442
90 3760.881 3.57528959 3.57405211 0.00123748
91 3784.245 3.57797925 3.57528959 0.00268965
92 3766.280 3.5759126 3.57797925 -0.00206664
93 3759.997 3.5751875 3.5759126 -0.00072511
94 3767.066 3.57600323 3.5751875 0.00081573
95 3800.541 3.57984542 3.57600323 0.00384219
96 3759.801 3.57516486 3.57984542 -0.00468056
97 3864.057 3.58704352 3.57516486 0.01187867
98 3885.851 3.58948614 3.58704352 0.00244262
99 3916.676 3.59291765 3.58948614 0.0034315
100 3927.867 3.59415677 3.59291765 0.00123913
101 3997.666 3.60180651 3.59415677 0.00764973
102 4092.105 3.61194677 3.60180651 0.01014026
103 4131.079 3.6160635 3.61194677 0.00411673
104 4198.718 3.62311671 3.6160635 0.00705321
105 4305.330 3.63400645 3.62311671 0.01088974
106 4355.102 3.63899833 3.63400645 0.00499189
107 4331.934 3.63668183 3.63899833 -0.0023165
108 4373.263 3.6408056 3.63668183 0.00412376
109 4335.370 3.63702617 3.6408056 -0.00377943
110 4347.936 3.63828314 3.63702617 0.00125697
111 4305.821 3.63405597 3.63828314 -0.00422717
112 4288.936 3.63234957 3.63405597 -0.00170641
113 4237.593 3.62711924 3.63234957 -0.00523032
114 4268.614 3.63028688 3.62711924 0.00316764
115 4340.867 3.63757648 3.63028688 0.0072896
116 4397.806 3.64323607 3.63757648 0.00565959
117 4496.761 3.65289981 3.64323607 0.00966374
118 4530.335 3.65613032 3.65289981 0.00323051
119 4552.030 3.65820512 3.65613032 0.0020748
120 4584.623 3.66130363 3.65820512 0.00309851
121 4639.990 3.66651704 3.66130363 0.00521342
122 4731.092 3.67496139 3.66651704 0.00844435
123 4815.812 3.68266952 3.67496139 0.00770813
124 4815.321 3.68262524 3.68266952 -4.4281E-05
125 4830.832 3.68402193 3.68262524 0.00139669
126 5021.183 3.70080605 3.68402193 0.01678412
127 5070.661 3.70506458 3.70080605 0.00425853
128 5137.416 3.71074473 3.70506458 0.00568016
129 5147.430 3.71159045 3.71074473 0.00084572
130 5152.338 3.71200435 3.71159045 0.0004139
131 5189.446 3.715121 3.71200435 0.00311665
132 5204.662 3.71639253 3.715121 0.00127153
133 5221.253 3.71777474 3.71639253 0.00138221
134 5115.917 3.70892349 3.71777474 -0.00885125
135 5107.376 3.70819783 3.70892349 -0.00072566
136 5202.110 3.71617953 3.70819783 0.0079817
137 5307.544 3.7248936 3.71617953 0.00871407
138 5266.117 3.7214905 3.7248936 -0.0034031
139 5329.829 3.72671328 3.7214905 0.00522277
140 5263.368 3.72126374 3.72671328 -0.00544954
141 5177.077 3.71408462 3.72126374 -0.00717911
142 5204.859 3.71640897 3.71408462 0.00232434
143 5185.225 3.71476761 3.71640897 -0.00164136
144 5189.839 3.71515389 3.71476761 0.00038628
145 5253.845 3.72047726 3.71515389 0.00532337
146 5372.336 3.73016317 3.72047726 0.00968591
147 5478.360 3.73865057 3.73016317 0.0084874
148 5590.469 3.74744824 3.73865057 0.00879768
149 5699.830 3.7558619 3.74744824 0.00841366
150 5797.902 3.76327087 3.7558619 0.00740897
151 5854.251 3.76747134 3.76327087 0.00420047
152 5902.354 3.77102525 3.76747134 0.00355391
153 5956.937 3.77502301 3.77102525 0.00399775
154 6007.789 3.77871467 3.77502301 0.00369166
155 6101.737 3.78545348 3.77871467 0.00673881
156 6148.564 3.7887737 3.78545348 0.00332021
157 6207.368 3.79290749 3.7887737 0.0041338
158 6232.008 3.794628 3.79290749 0.00172051
159 6291.695 3.79876766 3.794628 0.00413966
160 6323.404 3.80095093 3.79876766 0.00218327
161 6365.028 3.80380032 3.80095093 0.00284939
162 6435.023 3.8085501 3.80380032 0.00474979
163 6493.434 3.81247443 3.8085501 0.00392433
164 6606.820 3.81999247 3.81247443 0.00751804
165 6639.118 3.82211039 3.81999247 0.00211791
166 6723.544 3.82759825 3.82211039 0.00548786
167 6759.376 3.82990661 3.82759825 0.00230835
168 6848.612 3.83560256 3.82990661 0.00569596
169 6918.116 3.83998784 3.83560256 0.00438528
170 6963.471 3.84282577 3.83998784 0.00283793
171 7013.144 3.84591276 3.84282577 0.00308699
172 7030.913 3.84701172 3.84591276 0.00109897
173 7112.100 3.85199785 3.84701172 0.00498613
174 7130.261 3.85310543 3.85199785 0.00110757
175 7130.752 3.85313533 3.85310543 2.9905E-05
176 7076.857 3.84984042 3.85313533 -0.00329491
177 7040.828 3.84762374 3.84984042 -0.00221668
178 7086.477 3.85043038 3.84762374 0.00280665
179 7120.738 3.85252501 3.85043038 0.00209462
180 7154.116 3.85455598 3.85252501 0.00203097
181 7228.234 3.8590322 3.85455598 0.00447623
182 7297.935 3.86319999 3.8590322 0.00416779
183 7369.500 3.86743802 3.86319999 0.00423803
184 7450.687 3.87219632 3.86743802 0.0047583
185 7459.718 3.87272241 3.87219632 0.00052609
186 7497.514 3.87491729 3.87272241 0.00219488
187 7535.996 3.87714066 3.87491729 0.00222337
188 7637.406 3.88294588 3.87714066 0.00580522
189 7715.058 3.8873392 3.88294588 0.00439332
190 7815.682 3.89296688 3.8873392 0.00562769
191 7859.465 3.89539298 3.89296688 0.0024261
192 7951.647 3.90045709 3.89539298 0.00506411
193 7973.735 3.9016618 3.90045709 0.00120471
194 7987.970 3.90243643 3.9016618 0.00077463
195 8053.056 3.90596072 3.90243643 0.00352429
196 8111.958 3.90912569 3.90596072 0.00316497
197 8169.191 3.91217905 3.90912569 0.00305336
198 8303.094 3.91923995 3.91217905 0.0070609
199 8372.697 3.92286537 3.91923995 0.00362542
200 8470.572 3.92791274 3.92286537 0.00504736
201 8536.051 3.931257 3.92791274 0.00334426
202 8665.831 3.93781022 3.931257 0.00655321
203 8773.720 3.94318377 3.93781022 0.00537356
204 8838.414 3.94637434 3.94318377 0.00319057
205 8936.191 3.95115244 3.94637434 0.0047781
206 8995.289 3.95401512 3.95115244 0.00286268
207 9098.858 3.95898689 3.95401512 0.00497177
208 9237.081 3.96553475 3.95898689 0.00654786
209 9315.518 3.96920701 3.96553475 0.00367226
210 9392.581 3.97278495 3.96920701 0.00357794
211 9502.237 3.97782586 3.97278495 0.00504091
212 9671.089 3.98547538 3.97782586 0.00764952
213 9695.631 3.98657608 3.98547538 0.0011007
214 9847.892 3.99334328 3.98657608 0.0067672
215 9836.603 3.99284514 3.99334328 -0.00049813
216 9887.749 3.99509743 3.99284514 0.00225229
217 9875.576 3.99456244 3.99509743 -0.000535
218 9905.911 3.99589442 3.99456244 0.00133199
219 9871.060 3.99436379 3.99589442 -0.00153063
220 9910.034 3.99607514 3.99436379 0.00171135
221 9977.280 3.99901216 3.99607514 0.00293702
222 10031.568 4.00136882 3.99901216 0.00235666
223 10090.666 4.00391983 4.00136882 0.00255101
224 10095.771 4.00413949 4.00391983 0.00021966
225 10126.007 4.00543822 4.00413949 0.00129873
226 10212.691 4.00914019 4.00543822 0.00370197
227 10398.723 4.01698001 4.00914019 0.00783982
228 10466.951 4.01982019 4.01698001 0.00284018
229 10543.621 4.02298979 4.01982019 0.0031696
230 10634.232 4.02670613 4.02298979 0.00371634
231 10728.671 4.03054593 4.02670613 0.0038398
232 10796.408 4.03327929 4.03054593 0.00273336
233 10878.380 4.03656423 4.03327929 0.00328494
234 10954.069 4.03957547 4.03656423 0.00301125
235 11074.326 4.0443173 4.03957547 0.00474183
236 11107.213 4.0456051 4.0443173 0.0012878
237 11238.662 4.05071461 4.0456051 0.00510951
238 11306.694 4.05333564 4.05071461 0.00262103
239 11336.734 4.05448796 4.05333564 0.00115232
240 11395.538 4.05673483 4.05448796 0.00224688
241 11412.619 4.05738532 4.05673483 0.00065049
242 11520.115 4.06145681 4.05738532 0.0040715
243 11658.927 4.06665858 4.06145681 0.00520177
244 11675.714 4.06728345 4.06665858 0.00062487
-4.06728345
Suma de cuadrados
Promedio de los cuadradosF Valor crítico de F
0.00305936 0.00305936 167.799036 1.6654E-29
0.00443044 1.8232E-05
0.0074898

Error típico Estadístico t Probabilidad Inferior 95% Superior 95%Inferior 95,0%Superior 95,0%
#N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A
7.4732E-05 12.9537267 1.5695E-29 0.00082085 0.001115263 0.00082085 0.001115263