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OKLAHOMA SURVEY OF
LIKELY 2018 REPUBLICAN
PRIMARY VOTERS
April 18th – 19th and 15th, 2018
Oklahoma GOP Primary Survey, 644n, +/-3.86%, April 2018 2
Methodology
Ø Magellan Strategies are pleased to present the results for a 644n
autodial survey of likely 2018 Republican primary voters in the state
of Oklahoma.
Ø The interviews were conducted from April 18th, 19th and 22nd, 2018.
Ø The overall survey has a margin of error of +/- 3.86% at the 95%
confidence interval. Subgroups of voters will have higher margin of
error than the overall population.
Ø The survey results were weighted based upon past voter turnout
demographics for a Republican primary election in Oklahoma.
Survey Demographics
45%
48%
52%
24%
14%
7% 10%
34%
31%
20%
15%
Survey Demographics
76%
11% 6% 5% 1% 1%
Married Widowed Separated or Single, Never Single, Living with No Opinion
Divorced Been Married Partner
Oklahoma GOP Primary Survey, 644n, +/-3.86%, April 2018 5
Congressional Districts
KAY OTTAWA
HARPER WOODS GRANT NOWATA
CIMARRON TEXAS BEAVER ALFALFA CRAIG
WASHINGTON
OSAGE
WOODWARD NOBLE
GARFIELD ROGERS
MAJOR PAWNEE MAYES
ELLIS
PAYNE
1 DELAWARE
TULSA
DEWEY
KINGFISHER LOGAN WAGONER CHEROKEE
BLAINE CREEK ADAIR
ROGER MILLS
3 LINCOLN
CUSTER OKMULGEE MUSKOGEE
CANADIAN OKLAHOMA OKFUSKEE SEQUOYAH
MCINTOSH
BECKHAM WASHITA
CADDO POTTAWATOMIE
CLEVELAND 5 SEMINOLE HASKELL
Legend JEFFERSON
CARTER
MARSHALL CHOCTAW
MCCURTAIN
LOVE BRYAN
Congressional District
µ
CD 1
CD 2
CD 3
CD 4
CD 5
“Leadership in the
“Should address the bureaucracy. Have
“Taxes are too high. Teachers legislature. The economy
audits of everything and see what we can
pay is too low. Too much and jobs. Education
cut. We should address the union of
corruption.” problems. Healthcare
government employees, it isn't right that
-Female, 65+, Trump Rep problems.”
the union runs our state more than the
- Female, 65+, Traditional
state does. ”
-Male, 45-54, Trump Rep
Oklahoma GOP Primary Survey, 644n, +/-3.86%, April 2018 8
24%
19%
13%
7%
6%
1%
ADDRESSING IMPROVING CREATE JOBS PROTECTING ENFORCING PROTECT LIFE REDUCING REDUCE OTHER NO
STATE BUDGET PUBLIC GROW 2ND IMMIGRATION RELIGIOUS COST OF ENERGY OPINION
CRISIS SCHOOLS ECONOMY AMENDMENT LAWS LIBERTY HEALTHCARE INDUSTRY
REGULATIONS
Oklahoma GOP Primary Survey, 644n, +/-3.86%, April 2018 9
2%
23% 15% 14% 15% 14% 10% 4% 4%
MEN
1% 2%
33% 31% 14% 7%
TRADITIONAL 4% 5% 3%
1%
45-54 27% 25% 13% 17% 5% 8% 1% 2%
GARY RICHARDSON
IMAGE RATING
Oklahoma GOP Primary Survey, 644n, +/-3.86%, April 2018 13
14%
23%
37%
31% 31%
25% 25%
35% 21%
28% 12%
17%
MEN WOMEN
FAVORABLE
UNFAVORABLE 39% 37% 36%
HEARD OF NO OPINION 25% 24% 26% 27% 26%
20% 19%
NEVER HEARD OF 11% 11%
28% 35%
TODD LAMB
IMAGE RATING
Oklahoma GOP Primary Survey, 644n, +/-3.86%, April 2018 16
6%
35%
34% 32% 33%
37% 35%
29%
22%
25% 7% 5%
MEN WOMEN
FAVORABLE
UNFAVORABLE 41% 39%
37% 35% 36%
HEARD OF NO OPINION 31%
22% 25%
NEVER HEARD OF 16%
6% 4% 7%
48%
38% 41%
35% 34% 32% 34% 36%
27% 30%
23% 25% 26% 24% 22%
8% 5% 8%
4%
18-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+
18
KEVIN STITT
IMAGE RATING
Oklahoma GOP Primary Survey, 644n, +/-3.86%, April 2018 19
22% 28%
34%
29% 28% 26%
21% 22% 22%
31% 19% 17%
MEN WOMEN
FAVORABLE
UNFAVORABLE 33% 33% 33%
29% 30% 31%
HEARD OF NO OPINION 25% 22%
21%
17%
NEVER HEARD OF 13% 12%
31% 19%
52%
48%
32% 31% 32% 31% 33%
25% 27% 27% 25% 25% 22% 22%
18% 15% 14%
10% 10%
MICK CORNETT
IMAGE RATING
Oklahoma GOP Primary Survey, 644n, +/-3.86%, April 2018 22
17%
33% 32% 33% 33%
21% 25% 23%
19% 19%
16%
29%
MEN WOMEN
FAVORABLE
UNFAVORABLE 45%
46%
38% 36% 33% 39%
32% 31%
27% 25% 23% 28%
22% 21%
18% 16% 18% 18%
14%
10%
6%
GARY JONES
IMAGE RATING
Oklahoma GOP Primary Survey, 644n, +/-3.86%, April 2018 25
12%
31%
38%
24% 31% 31%
26% 29%
21%
14%
33% 10%
MEN WOMEN
FAVORABLE
UNFAVORABLE 33% 37% 37%
31% 30%
27%
HEARD OF NO OPINION 23% 22%
18% 19%
NEVER HEARD OF 13% 11%
33%
45% 47%
34% 33% 36%
32% 32% 32% 32%
27% 26%
21% 20%
17% 19% 15%
12% 11%
0% 8%
DONALD TRUMP
JOB APPROVAL
Oklahoma GOP Primary Survey, 644n, +/-3.86%, April 2018 28
6%
14%
83% 78%
APPROVE 98%
90%
DISAPPROVE
56%
UNSURE NO OPINION 39%
5% 5% 5% 2%
80%
83% 85%
72% 68% 74%
REPUBLICAN CONGRESSIONAL
JOB APPROVAL
Oklahoma GOP Primary Survey, 644n, +/-3.86%, April 2018 31
16%
26% 65%
52%
25% 27%
21%
58% 10%
MEN WOMEN
58%
66% 66%
54% 56% 56%
MARY FALLIN
JOB APPROVAL
Oklahoma GOP Primary Survey, 644n, +/-3.86%, April 2018 34
17% 20%
66%
60%
24%
63% 16% 16% 18%
MEN WOMEN
APPROVE 69%
59% 58%
DISAPPROVE
UNSURE NO OPINION 22% 22% 19% 21% 21%
9%
TRADITIONAL EVANGELICAL TRUMP
Oklahoma GOP Primary Survey, 644n, +/-3.86%, April 2018 35
63%
77% 71%
64% 67%
55%
OKLAHOMA GOVERNOR
REPUBLICAN PRIMARY
BALLOT TEST
Oklahoma GOP Primary Survey, 644n, +/-3.86%, April 2018 37
23%
19% 19%
17%
12%
5% 5%
VOTER OPINION ON
TEACHER RAISES
Oklahoma GOP Primary Survey, 644n, +/-3.86%, April 2018 43
3%
18%
84%
74%
79% 23%
3% 14% 2%
MEN WOMEN
18% 3%
79%
27% 23%
17% 2% 18% 2% 17% 3%
6%
28% 61%
71%
34%
66% 23%
5% 6%
MEN WOMEN
MAGELLAN STRATEGIES
303-861-8585
www.MagellanStrategies.com