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Kris Wernstedt
Attracting Private Investment
Peter B. Meyer
to Contaminated Properties: Anna Alberini
The Value of Public
Interventions
Abstract
We employ a mail survey of private developers that uses conjoint choice experi-
ments and Likert-scaled attitudinal questions to examine preferences for policy
instruments and incentives intended to encourage brownfield cleanup and redevel-
opment. Our analysis suggests that developers judge public hearing requirements
at brownfield redevelopments unattractive, but that they place a relatively high
value on liability relief-from both cleanup costs and claims by third parties. Reim-
bursement of environmental assessment costs is not particularly attractive. We
also find considerable heterogeneity among developers in the value they place on
these incentives, depending on their experience with contaminated sites. (c) 2006 by
the Association for Public Policy Analysis and Management
INTRODUCTION
An array of practitioners and analysts have pointed out that traditional regulatory
approaches often discourage private parties from becoming involved in "brown-
fields" sites in the United States (Bartsch & Munson, 1994; Gorman, 2003;
McCarthy, 2002; Robertson, 2001; Schoenbaum, 2002; U.S. General Accounting
Office, 1995). These are defined in federal legislation as "real property, the expan-
sion, redevelopment, or reuse of which may be complicated by the presence or
potential presence of a hazardous substance, pollutant, or contaminant" (42 U.S.C.
89601, amended 2002). Both public and private owners of the properties, as well as
prospective buyers and lenders, fear liability for expensive cleanups, often opting
not to transact or develop them (Segerson, 1993; Whitney, 2003). Yet, left unat-
tended, such sites may pose threats to public health and the environment, and
depress the economy of local neighborhoods (Meyer, 2003). Moreover, existing pub-
lic infrastructure may remain underutilized even as undeveloped areas attract new
growth, contributing to uneven economic progress and continued underinvestment
in older urban and industrial areas. These impacts are pervasive, affecting large and
small urban communities and rural areas throughout the nation.
In response to the abundance of contaminated sites and the problems or missed
opportunities they entail, since the late 1980s, nearly all states have developed a
range of initiatives to stimulate reuse of such sites under the rubric of brownfield
and/or voluntary cleanup programs. These operate in a less burdensome and intru-
sive fashion than longer-standing enforcement-led programs under federal and state
Journal of Policy Analysis and Management, Vol. 25, No. 2, 347-369 (2006)
(c) 2006 by the Association for Public Policy Analysis and Management *WILEY
Published by Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Published online in Wiley InterScience interScience(R)
(www.interscience.wiley.com)
DISCOVER SOMETHING GREAT
DOI: 10.1002/pam.20176
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348 / Attracting Private Investment to Contaminated Properties
law. They provide a range of incentives, such as direct financial subsidies, and
replace uniform cleanup requirements with risk-based standards linked to expected
future site use. Some programs may provide some form of liability release upon
state approval of cleanup, providing protection from possible future changes in
cleanup standards or from claims made by neighbors for environmental damages.
Typically, states and localities bundle together multiple incentives, offering a mix-
ture of features to entice private interest in brownfields. The effectiveness of these
incentives is unclear, however. While a number of case studies and surveys have
concluded that the public programs can promote investment in properties that may
otherwise have remained underutilized (e.g., Council for Urban Economic Devel-
opment, 1999), no analysis has examined the import of individual incentives in
investment decisions at contaminated sites in the United States.
This article reports results from a mail survey of over 300 private developers in
the United States and provides suggestive evidence of the relative attractiveness to
such developers of individual incentives to promote brownfields redevelopment. We
focus specifically on financial subsidies, liability relief, and public involvement
requirements. The survey questionnaire does not probe actual redevelopment deci-
sions per se, but rather relies on a series of conjoint choice experiments in which
respondents face hypothetical redevelopment scenarios and must choose between
different combinations of incentives and disincentives on the land development
project. Respondents are randomly assigned different combinations of incentives,
and the responses to the choice questions, which we interpret within a random util-
ity framework, are statistically modeled to assess the attractiveness of each incen-
tive relative to the others. In addition, we pose a series of 5-point Likert-scaled ques-
tions to collect additional evidence on respondents' attitudes. In the following
discussion, we first summarize the brownfields problem and the relevant literature
that motivates our research hypotheses, before presenting the survey results and
discussing their policy implications.
BACKGROUND
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Attracting Private Investment to Contaminated Properties I 349
The range of properties that, in principle, might benefit from such interventions
is large and diverse. No firm count of brownfields has been established, but an early
U.S. General Accounting Office (1987) study estimated that the nation has between
130,000 and 450,000 potential hazardous waste sites. More recently, Simons (1998)
has placed this figure in the range of 500,000 to 600,000 sites and the U.S. Envi-
ronmental Protection Agency (EPA) suggests it may be as high as 1 million sites.'
However, only a small minority of these has been redeveloped and even fewer-
about 20,000-appear to have formally entered voluntary cleanup programs (U.S.
Environmental Protection Agency, 2005).
EXISTING LITERATURE
The literature from studies over the last 40 years of the efficacy of publicly provided
incentives in shaping private investment and location decisions in the United States
remains inconclusive, even as researchers have adopted increasingly sophisticated
analytical techniques and used better datasets. For example, early statistical and
econometric work that suggested no or very modest impact on location decisions
from tax incentives (Due, 1961; Greenhut, 1956; Oakland, 1974) has been chal-
lenged by later studies that suggested a statistically significant, positive relationship
between tax incentives and regional and local growth and property values (Bartik,
1991; Greenstone & Moretti, 2003; Newman & Sullivan, 1988; Wasylenko, 1997).
However, while such studies demonstrate that individual firms may respond to
incentives, researchers continue to question the practical-as opposed to merely
statistical-significance of the estimated relationship between tax enterprise zones,
1 See www.epa.gov/compliance/resources/faqs/cleanup/brownfields.
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350 / Attracting Private Investment to Contaminated Properties
tax increment financing and other incentives, and overall economic gains in tar-
geted areas (Fisher & Peters, 1998; Fox & Murray, 2004; McGuire, 1992; Peters &
Fisher, 2002). This work points out that the relationships are inconsistent across
regions, time, industry focus, and incentive type. This is not surprising in light of
the fact that the incentives typically are very small relative to Other factors in a
firm's decision making. Absent more detailed studies-with quasi-experimental
approaches using control and treatment groups or rigorous and independent sur-
veys-the effects of the incentives may be difficult to distinguish (Bartik, 2004).
Moreover, even if new private activity can be encouraged and gross economic gains
realized in a targeted area, the difficulty of restricting the incentives to only new
activities often appears to result in negative net public benefits, due to the cost of
offering the incentives to existing businesses or to ones that would have located in
the targeted area even without the incentives (Peters & Fisher, 2004).
The literature on financial incentives to promote economic activity on contami-
nated land, although relatively limited, echoes some of the findings of the more gen-
eral body of work on economic development incentives. Most studies that have
examined the redevelopment of contaminated properties have identified the barri-
ers to redevelopment and how direct financial subsidies and other interventions can
improve the attractiveness of investing in such properties (Bartsch, Undated;
Bartsch, Collaton, & Pepper, 1996; Coffin & Shepherd, 1998; DeSousa, 2004; How-
land, 2003, 2004; Pepper, 1997; Wernstedt, 2001; XL International and International
Economic Development Council, 2002; Yount & Meyer, 1999). Sherman (2003) pro-
vides the most thorough work on financial subsidies in his simulations of developer
investment calculations, including property tax abatements, site assessment grants,
development grants, low-interest loans for assessment and remediation, and federal
tax incentives that allow remediation costs to be written off for tax purposes as
expenses in the year they are incurred (rather than depreciated over a project life).
No one incentive proves ideal, but the property tax abatement appears the strongest
at enhancing project returns and improving lending terms by improving cash flows
in early years.2
However, echoing the same kind of targeting problem that the more general eco-
nomic literature reports, Sherman notes that for many firms incentives do not
alter behavior by turning a financially undesirable project into an attractive one.
Instead, they boost returns on a project that would be carried out regardless of the
incentives. Grants for environmental assessments typically are too small to make
much difference on project financials, for example, and they do not enhance the
ability of the project to meet debt service payments that otherwise would be out
of reach. Moreover, while remediation and redevelopment grants can be sizable
enough to have an effect, they may entail administrative burdens that make them
unappealing.
In practice, the significance of direct financial incentives for driving brownfield
redevelopment decisions is unclear. Because direct financial incentives are often
combined with other offerings-such as liability relief, community support, infra-
structure provision, and predictable regulatory processes-it is difficult to deter-
mine the effects of any one incentive. In addition, basic property characteristics
clearly may exert far more influence on an investment decision than the limited
2 One reason for this result is that the other incentives have limitations. For example, loans for site
assessment or remediation also can lower debt service requirements and improve lending terms, but
they typically are too small to have much impact. Their chief utility may be in providing early funding
for projects when outside money is unavailable.
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Attracting Private Investment to Contaminated Properties I 351
scope of incentives that are available. Meyer and Lyons' (2000) analysis of early
brownfield redevelopers, for example, suggests situations where property prices
are especially low because the market-clearing price overestimates the cost of
remediation have played a much bigger role in stimulating entrepreneurial rede-
velopment activity on contaminated sites than the relatively modest public subsi-
dies available. In addition, the subsidies often have entailed transaction costs that
offset their value.
A number of academic studies have explicitly focused on the role of liability on
the market for contaminated sites. In general, this literature bundles together dif-
ferent types of liability. For example, in an empirical paper that examines industrial
property transactions in Chicago, McGrath (2000) concludes that contamination
risk is fully capitalized into industrial land values. In fact, the discount on the sale
price due to contamination may overstate the immediate cleanup cost liability,
which he suggests may reflect legal costs associated with site redevelopment. Boyd,
Harrington, and Macauley (1996) discuss different sources of liability but argue
that it is not the environmental liabilities themselves that predominantly distort real
estate markets, but rather information asymmetries between buyers and seller
regarding the extent of contamination. To the extent that buyers have experience
with the redevelopment of contaminated properties and reasonably symmetric
information as sellers (or can be provided indemnification), distorted markets can
function efficiently.
Unlike the more general literature evaluating economic development mecha-
nisms, with only a few exceptions (Council for Urban Economic Development,
1999; DeSousa, 2002; U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, 2003; Wernstedt,
2004) studies of the redevelopment of contaminated land have not focused on the
economic or fiscal effects of interventions to stimulate this redevelopment. The site-
specific nature of brownfield redevelopment and the lack of readily available data
on such effects at a suitable scale make such an exercise exceedingly difficult.
Rather, existing studies have concentrated on whether the interventions encourage
redevelopment, regardless of whether such redevelopment provides net benefits.
They also have largely been restricted to case study analyses and several reviews of
media coverage of redevelopment projects.
In one of the few rigorous surveys of contaminated sites, Lange and McNeil
(2004b) present an analysis of results from a survey of over 100 EPA brownfield
grant recipients and other stakeholders. They find that community support, consis-
tency with local plans, cost minimization, and minimizing the time it takes to put
the site back into productive use are the most often-cited variables that influence
brownfield development success.3 Alberini, Longo, Tonin, Trombetta, & Turvani
(2005) also use a survey approach in their study of developers and real estate pro-
fessionals attending an international trade fair in France. Respondents selected
among different hypothetical projects and policy incentives that the survey ques-
tionnaire presented them, with the projects differentiated by location, contamina-
tion characteristics, and policies consisting of liability relief, fast-track approval,
flexible cleanup standards, and subsidies. In general, the respondents indicated less
interest in the contaminated sites than other sites, although they were willing to
undertake the former with incentives, particularly if they had prior experience with
contamination. Those less experienced with contamination placed a higher value
on liability relief, fast track permitting, and flexible cleanup standards than they did
3 In a related study of the brownfield grant recipients, Lange and McNeil (2004a) also note the impor-
tance of financial incentives.
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352 / Attracting Private Investment to Contaminated Properties
Based on the existing literature that identifies factors that promote the redevelop-
ment of contaminated property, four research hypotheses guide our analysis. Pro-
ceeding from our most general hypothesis:
4 We combine protection for the discovery of existing contamination and changes in standards because
of survey considerations described below.
5 Developers who have significant experience with contaminated properties may be more aware of this
trend than others. If so, it is possible that the value they place on protection from liability over future
cleanup costs is different than that for less experienced developers. This is one conjecture related to
hypothesis H4 below.
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Attracting Private Investment to Contaminated Properties I 353
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354 / Attracting Private Investment to Contaminated Properties
age). The policy attributes themselves entail different redevelopment incentives and
disincentives, each of which has two or more levels, as shown in Table 1. These include
financial support, separately provided for (i) site assessment and/or (ii) cleanup/con-
struction; (iii) protection from cleanup liability; (iv) protection from third- party lia-
bility claims for environmental damages by site occupants, workers, and adjacent
landowners; and (v) additional public hearing requirements. The cleanup liability
attribute refers to protection from additional cleanup costs if standards change or
additional existing contamination is discovered in the future after the state has
approved the cleanup (which provides protection against reopeners). The exact phras-
ing of the scenario and of the conjoint choice questions is reported in the Appendix.'
To represent a cross-section of different attribute combinations, we created 32
different sets consisting of five incentive pairs-each incentive pair contained two
policy packages applicable to the proposed project-and presented each respondent
with one of these 32 sets.' Each respondent, therefore, faced five choice questions.
As noted above, for each of the choice questions, a respondent would choose one of
the two policy packages or an option to choose neither package. This means that in
each choice question the choice set contains 3 alternatives.
The approach is motivated by a random utility model, and the corresponding sta-
tistical model is a conditional logit that predicts the probability of choosing one
alternative out of the J alternatives shown to the respondent in the choice question
(Greene, 1997):
Pr(yi=k)=epx
where Pr(Yi = k) is the probability of bundle k being chosen by individual i, xik is a
vector of attributes for choice k presented to each individual i, and xii is a vector of
attributes for each choice j presented to each individual i. As explained above, in
our survey J equals 3.
6 Ideally, we would have liked to separate the various aspects of liability into many attribut
increasing the number of attributes requires larger sample sizes (e.g., 5 attributes, each with 2
generate 25 or 32 combinations, and each additional attribute or additional level for an existing
ute doubles this).
We use 32 sets to ensure that each would be received by a sufficient number of respondents (L
et al., 2000). The 32 sets come from the following. We first created all of the possible combinat
the levels of attributes, which gives a total of 64 policy packages. We then created all of the possib
of these 64 policy packages (roughly 2,000 possibilities), but discarded the pairs with dominated
natives (pairs where one of the alternatives is obviously more attractive than the other). Fr
remaining possibilities, we created 32 sets of five pairs each by randomly selecting pairs.
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Attracting Private Investment to Contaminated Properties / 355
RESULTS
The survey was administered in late fall 2003, with questionnaires mailed to a sam-
ple of private industry members of the Urban Land Institute (ULI), a nonprofit
organization that focuses on land use and real estate development.8 Of the 2,759
original mailings of the questionnaire, 11 were returned due to unreachable
addresses, and 313 usable responses were obtained.9
We do not expect this sample to be representative of the population of developers
at large in terms of experience with contamination, but we cannot examine and/or
formally model any self-selection into the sample because we do not have identify-
ing information on the targeted developers and on the respondents that returned
the questionnaire.10 Because of the anonymity of the responses and the lack of iden-
8 Prior to the actual mailing of the questionnaire, ULI announced the survey in a newsletter circulated
to members. The actual mailing of the survey packet was preceded by a letter signed by the president of
the organization urging participation. The packet included a letter from the lead investigator of the proj-
ect, the questionnaire itself, and a self-addressed, postage-paid envelope. In addition, reminder postcards
or e-mails were sent to all recipients of the original mailing both two and four weeks after the initial
mailing. To maintain strict anonymity, the questionnaires did not ask for identifying information and did
not include codes that allowed survey administrators to identify respondents in any way.
9 The response rate of 11.4 percent likely reflects the mail survey format (Cameron, Shaw, & Ragland,
1999) and the financially sensitive nature of some of the questions. ULI's own surveys of its members on
a variety of issues range from 10 to 30 percent, depending on the topic, while Wernstedt, Meyer, and
Yount's (2003) examination of developer's experiences with environmental insurance at contaminated
sites reports a 27 percent response rate to a telephone instrument. In analogous studies appearing in the
corporate finance literature that seek information on how corporate financial officers evaluate projects,
response rates to mail surveys have been in the 5-15 percent range (Brounen, Jong, & Koedijk, 2004;
Graham & Harvey, 2001; Trahan & Gitman, 1995).
10 A formal self-selection model might comprise two equations. The first would explain participation as
a function of individual characteristics, while the second would amend the indirect utility function
underlying the random utility model to account for the fact that unobservable characteristics of the
developers influence both participation in the survey and the value placed on the incentives. See
Cameron, Shaw, and Ragland (1999) for a self-selection model for mail survey data.
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356 / Attracting Private Investment to Contaminated Properties
tifying information, we also cannot determine the geographic and financial repre-
sentativeness of the 313 respondents. We would reasonably expect our sample to
comprise developers that have had actual experience with contaminated sites, or
might be willing to consider such sites for future projects.
The summary statistics displayed in Table 2 suggest the decision context of the
hypothetical project is familiar. Nearly all of the respondents are, in fact, develop-
ers-with only 10 percent listing other development roles such as construction or
consulting-and over three-quarters have experience in residential development.
Most are also substantively involved in investment decisions in their firms-as the
decision maker or the provider of information to the decision maker, a role that the
survey questionnaire requires them to take on in the conjoint experiments. Almost
two-thirds of the respondents have a direct ownership interest in the firm. In addi-
tion, less than 20 percent report that their firm self-finances projects, meaning that
most of the firms represented in the sample use borrowed capital and thus share
project financial risks with others.
The characteristics of the project in the conjoint choice scenarios are also broadly
consistent with the experiences of the respondent. Over one-half of the respondents
indicate that the questionnaire's hypothetical project is about the same size as the
typical project of their firm, with the majority of the remainder indicating that the
hypothetical project is smaller than their firm's typical project. In addition, almost
two-thirds of the respondents' firms have experience in developing townhouses.
However, while the hypothetical scenarios depict a residential project that is leased
or rented, only about one-quarter of the respondents indicate that their firms typi-
cally rent their residential projects on completion.
In terms of the environmental component of the project, Table 2 shows that
almost all respondents have experience with infill projects and environmental
assessments, and more than three-quarters have experience with sites that have
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Attracting Private Investment to Contaminated Properties I 357
Basic Model
The results of the basic statistical model appear in Table 3. This model includes the
five policy attributes, with the two dollar attributes-assess$ and subsidy$-
expressed in thousands of dollars-and the other three attributes specified as 0/1
dummy variables. The model uses the full sample of 313 respondents for a total of
1,475 usable observations." As already noted, in each choice experiment, the
respondent chooses between two alternative bundles of policy choices or a "do nei-
ther" option (thus, the specification has two intercepts, leftpack and rtpack, that rep-
11 As noted earlier, we asked respondents to consider a number of opinions that are sometimes expressed
about the development of properties that are known or suspected to have contamination and to indicate
whether such opinions reflect their own experience, on a scale from 1 to 5, where 1 means "never" and
5 means "always." One of these opinions stated that "Developers of contaminated properties are con-
cerned that additional cleanup might be required by the State if there are changes in environmental stan-
dards in the future" and another that "Developers of contaminated properties are concerned that find-
ing previously undiscovered pollution could lead to State requirements for additional cleanup efforts."
12 In addition, when a choice of one of the two policy packages is made, it does not appear that the order
of the policy packages makes a difference; that is, 37 percent choose the first policy package listed and
31 percent the second package.
13 Meyer and Lyons (2000) report minimum annual returns to brownfield entrepreneurs in the mid-
1990s of 20 to 25 percent, but these have dropped as the brownfields market has matured.
14 We justifiably can pool the responses of developers who received the strong and weak market scenar-
ios because a likelihood ratio test indicated that the coefficients on the attributes were the same across
these two subsamples. This implies that the marginal dollar value of the incentives does not differ across
the two scenarios.
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358 / Attracting Private Investment to Contaminated Properties
resent each of the two policy packages, namely, that shown on the left and on the
right of the questionnaire's page)."
The results highlight the significance of most of the policy incentives at the 0.05
level or better, as is shown by the t statistics reported in column 4. Three of the four
significant policy attributes-protection from cleanup liability, protection from
third-party liability, and cleanup/construction subsidies-have positive coefficients,
suggesting that these incentives offer some value to the respondents. The fourth sig-
nificant attribute-the public hearing requirement-enters the model with a nega-
tive coefficient. The negative alternative-specific intercepts imply that, absent the
incentives, developers would tend to choose the "neither project" alternative.
In addition to the coefficient and standard errors, we can estimate the financial
value of each of the policy incentives. Columns 5 and 6 in Table 3 show the marginal
value (in dollars) of the policy attributes and their value as a percentage of the project's
profit, respectively. The dollar values in Column 5 are calculated as the ratio of each
attribute's coefficient to the coefficient of subsidy$, and are thus expressed in thou-
sands of dollars (the unit of measurement of subsidy$). We obtain the percentages dis-
played in column 6 of Table 3 as the marginal values of the policy incentives divided
by the average expected profit in the sample.16 Respondents indicate a high dollar
value from the liability protections-nearly $1 million in the case of protection from
third-party liability for environmental damage claims from site occupants, workers,
and neighbors and over $700,000 in the case of cleanup liability protection-and an
over $200,000 cost associated with the public hearing requirement. Cleanup and third-
party liability are worth 16 percent and 22 percent of the expected profit each.
These results have implications for each of our four hypotheses.
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Attracting Private Investment to Contaminated Properties / 359
sis that the relative attractiveness of the two distinct forms of liability protection
differs. As noted earlier, most of the academic literature has focused almost exclu-
sively on cleanup protection, but our results suggest that third-party liability pro-
tection may offer more value to private developers.
Responses to our Likert-scaled questions on insurance mechanisms that provide
liability protection provide additional evidence of the importance of such protection.
Specifically, 47 percent of respondents indicated that an affordable insurance policy
that protects a developer from damage and liability claims would "always" encourage
private redevelopment of contaminated properties.17 An additional 43 percent indi-
cated that such insurance would "almost always" encourage such development. It is
interesting that protection against cleanup cost overruns-which were provided in
the hypothetical scenarios as a baseline condition rather than an incentive-attracts
a similar level of support. Specifically, 40 percent of respondents indicated that an
affordable insurance policy that assures a firm cap on the costs of environmental
response would "always" encourage private redevelopment of contaminated proper-
ties, while 46 percent indicated that it "almost always" would do so.18
The negative sign and significance of the coefficient on the public involvement
proxy variable, hearing, lead us to reject our hypothesis that public involvement
requirements provide benefits or are neutral to developers. The unattractiveness
likely reflects the additional time that such involvement often entails, as well as the
uncertainty about additional requirements and costs that such involvement may
generate. These can be particularly problematic if a developer's investment strategy
is built on a short project horizon with rapid sale of the property to other investors.
In contrast to this finding, in our Likert-scaled question on this theme, nearly
one-half of the respondents expressed the belief that developers always or almost
always "gain if they involve community members in their environmental response
planning process." That this did not translate to a perceived benefit from the pub-
lic hearing requirement may reflect respondents' experience that a mandatory hear-
ing-as distinct from a proactive engagement and partnership with community
members-is potentially contentious. The negative value of the hearing require-
ment also may reflect the fact that most of our respondents sell or mostly sell their
projects, and thus likely have less long-term presence in the community than those
who typically lease the residential units they develop. In addition, nearly one-quar-
ter of respondents indicated that local residents "always" or "almost always" oppose
infill redevelopment projects. Another one-half indicated that local residents "some-
times" oppose such projects. Such opposition clearly has the potential to slow down
project timelines or change redevelopment options, particularly if manifested in a
contentious public hearing process in which residents may pressure local and state
permitting entities to deny more lucrative land uses (Howland, 2003).
17 In the Likert scale section of the questionnaire, the respondents were shown the statement "An affordable
insurance policy that protects a developer from damage and liability claims would encourage private rede-
velopment of contaminated properties" and were asked to indicate, based on their experience, how true this
was on a scale from 1 to 5, where 1 means "never" and 5 means "always." While the conjoint choice ques-
tions treat the two types of liability protection as separate attributes of a policy package, in the Likert scale
question, we combined them within the same statement to keep this section of the survey manageable.
18 The exact phrasing of this statement is as follows: An affordable insurance policy that assures a firm
cap on the costs of environmental response would encourage private redevelopment of contaminated
properties."
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360 / Attracting Private Investment to Contaminated Properties
The sign of the assessment attribute, assess$, in the basic model represented
Table 3 is positive, as expected, but it is not significant at conventional levels. Mor
over, we cannot reject the null hypothesis that the coefficient on the assessm
attribute is different from that on the subsidy.
The evidence from the Likert questions generally supports this lack of a stro
relationship. Attitudes about the desirability of assessment grants relative t
cleanup grants are mixed. While nearly 40 percent of respondents indicated th
grant for environmental assessments is "always" or "almost always" more beneficia
to a developer than a grant for the same amount for environmental response, near
25 percent of respondents indicated that this is "never" or "almost never" the case
We do find one subsample of developers for whom the assessment reimbursemen
appears relatively more desirable, however. When we asked respondents after
final choice experiment whether they would prefer the assessment and constr
tion/cleanup subsidies in cash or in the form of equivalently valued waivers of pub
lic fees associated with the project (such as for water hookups), 23 percent indicate
a cash preference (roughly 12 percent indicated a preference for waivers, and
remaining 65 percent indicated cash subsidies and fee waivers were equally attr
tive). If we examine only the 23 percent of respondents who indicate a cash prefer
ence for subsidies, the assess$ coefficient becomes significant at the 0.05 level and
about twice the size of the subsidy$ coefficient. Some caution is necessary in inter
preting this finding, however, because this difference still is not statistically sign
cant, a result we attribute to the small number of respondents in this subsample.
Nearly 20 percent of the respondents to the survey are specialists (i.e., developer
who do more than 60 percent of their projects on contaminated sites). Under
H4 hypothesis, we would expect these more experienced respondents to place a dif-
ferent value on both types of liability protection than the non-specialists. Tab
shows the results of running our conditional logit model on a split sample. The lef
panel of the table displays coefficients and p-values for the 250 non-specialist deve
opers, while the right panel shows these figures for the 60 developers in the samp
who specialize in redeveloping contaminated properties. This split corresponds
1,194 and 295 observations. Both panels also show the estimated value of pol
attributes (expressed as a percentage of profits rather than as dollar values) f
coefficients that are significant at the 0.1 level or better. Several features stand ou
First, specialists in redeveloping contaminated properties appear to place a low
value on the cleanup and 3rdparty liability protections as a percentage of profit th
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Attracting Private Investment to Contaminated Properties / 361
19 A Wald test rejects the null hypothesis that the coefficient on third-party liability is the same across
specialists and non-specialists at the 5 percent significance level (Wald statistic = 4.84, p-value = 0.02).
A Wald test, however, fails to reject the null hypothesis that the coefficient on cleanup liability is the
same across the two groups (Wald statistic = 0.68, p-value = 0.41).
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362 / Attracting Private Investment to Contaminated Properties
The survey results also suggest that developers continue to perceive that public
involvement procedures, as manifested through public hearing requirements, place
a cost on projects. Across the sample as a whole, this cost represents about 4 per-
cent of the project's profits. This runs counter to the hypothesis, which much of the
practitioner literature suggests, that developers place a neutral or positive value on
such involvement. However, two qualifications are in order. First, while the
required public hearing in the survey questionnaire appears to impose a cost, an
alternative involvement approach that entails collaboration with local residents
may, in fact, be viewed more favorably. Second, for developers with significant proj-
ect activity involving contamination, the cost of the hearing requirement is statisti-
cally indistinguishable from zero. Since these specialists also appear to place a
lower value on the liability protections than non-specialists, this difference may
simply reflect their greater appetite for risk and/or ability to manage certain aspects
of brownfields activity more efficiently.
Regarding the hypothesis that developers place a higher value on assessment sub-
sidies than equivalent subsidies for cleanup or construction activities, the results
generally support only a weakly significant effect of the assessment at all. And,
when significant, the value appears very close to the value of the cleanup/construc-
tion subsidy. Brownfield specialist developers, in particular, appear to find the
assessment incentive of little interest.
In interpreting our results and their implications for public policy, the reader
should keep in mind that our study is not designed to address the overarching ques-
tion of whether incentives stimulate redevelopment of contaminated land in a way
that yields net fiscal or social benefits. It also does not attempt to address the com-
plete array of factors that shape brownfields development. Rather, it uses a set of
hypothetical situations to examine which of a subset of important incentives offer
the most value to potential redevelopers of contaminated sites. Moreover, we can-
not claim that the survey sample is representative of the development community
at large, nor that all types of developers are likely to respond to the incentives in the
same ways as our analysis suggests. However, it seems reasonable to believe that
our respondents come primarily from the segment of the development community
that is most likely to undertake development projects on contaminated land.20 Sub-
ject to these caveats, our work offers a handful of important policy takeaways.
First, our analysis suggests that for the subpopulation of private developers who
are reasonably likely to seriously consider a project with contamination, the prob-
ability of undertaking such a project is notably higher when subsidies and liability
protections are provided. In an environment of tight state and local budgets, off-
budget mechanisms, such as liability protections, may become much more critical
than the relatively limited pool of support available through traditional economic
development subsidies.
Second, full or partial reimbursements of environmental assessment costs appear
to have only a modest value and effect on undertaking a redevelopment. This con-
firms the point that such reimbursements do little to improve private project
financing up front, and many developers are accustomed to abandoning much
higher, more general pursuit costs associated with real estate development as a cost
of doing business (Meyer & Lyons, 2000; Sherman, 2003). However, a recent study
by the U.S. Government Accountability Office (2005) notes that programs that pro-
20 This conjecture is supported by the fact that 90 percent of our respondents have had an environmen-
tal assessment done, implying that they are acquainted with potential contamination problems and their
consequences.
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Attracting Private Investment to Contaminated Properties I 363
We wish to thank Ann Oliveri and Michael Pawlukiewicz. of the Urban Land Institute for
their help with our study. This work was supported by STAR Grant R829607 from the U.S.
21 See Yount and Meyer (2004) for a recent discussion of existing state brownfields insurance programs.
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364 / Attracting Private Investment to Contaminated Properties
Environmental Protection Agency (EPA). The opinions reported in this paper are ours and
do not represent those of our institutions or the EPA.
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368 / Attracting Private Investment to Contaminated Properties
In this part of the questionnaire, we would like to ask you to consider a hypo-
thetical land development project under the conditions listed below and five sets
of hypothetical incentives offered by the state or local government for this proj-
ect. Please assume your company does projects of this type in responding to the
questions.
Imagine a townhouse project that your company would then lease to individual
households. This project would take place under the following circumstances:
Market Condition: The project is undertaken in an area with high potential for
property value appreciation that might raise return above expected values.
Environmental Assessment Cost: The expected cost for environmental studies,
including assessment, sampling, and response planning, is $100,000.
Site Remediation Cost: Based on known prior uses, the environmental engi-
neers report that the expected cost for meeting state regulatory requirements is
$900,000, including protection from any cost overruns.
Land Cost: The expected purchase price for the site is $6 million. [Note to reader:
In the low market scenario this is $3 million.] *
Development Cost: The expected development cost at the site, including con-
struction, marketing, interest, legal and administrative fees, etc., is $18 million (in
addition to acquisition, assessment, and cleanup costs). [Note to reader: In the low
market scenario this is $16 million.]*
Revenues: The expected present value of the townhouse development after con-
struction is $30 million. [Note to reader: In the low market scenario this is $24 million.]*
*Note to reader: Half of the respondents receive a questionnaire with high potential
for market appreciation and half receive a questionnaire with little potential for mar-
ket appreciation. Relevant costs for the project with little potential appreciation are
scaled downward but the expected rate of return on investment remains 20 percent in
both scenarios.
All of the five pairs of project alternatives below will occur under the above con-
ditions.
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Attracting Private Investment to Contaminated Properties / 369
Policy Conditions A B
1. Public Sector reimbursement for the full cost Not provided Not provided
of preparation of your environmental
investigations, including needed environmental
assessment, sampling, and planning for remediation
or containment.
Bl. Which of these project alternatives do you find more attractive, A or B, or would you
choose to do neither? (Please check only one.)
CI A
DB
- Not do the project at all.
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